Daily commodity market report11 march 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 11th MARCH 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 11th MARCH 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-APR-14

30063.00

30148.00

29956.00

30209.00

-0.32

12354

SILVER

05-MAR-14

45880.00

46200.00

45570.00

47194.00

-2.60

11637

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR-14

6307.00

6330.00

6156.00

6118.00

0.92

9604

COPPER

26-MAR-14

283.40

289.90

278.70

282.60

-0.80

11641

LEAD

30-APR-14

421.40

421.40

410.25

436.60

-5.21

21355

NICKEL

31-MAR-14

934.00

946.70

910.50

947.00

-0.24

7861

ZINC

31-MAR-14

127.05

127.40

124.70

129.95

-2.39

3681

NATURALGAS

31-MAR-14

125.55

126.05

123.00

128.80

-3.11

2935

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR- 14

106.30

106.95

105.25

107.70

-0.74

3280

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (10-MAR- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-7500

COPPER

-3600

LEAD

-175

NICKEL

+576

ZINC

+16375 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 11th MARCH 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,338.20

-3.30

-0.25%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,339.48

-0.24

-0.02%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

20.82

-0.11

-0.54%

MAY 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

303.50

+0.35

+0.12%

MAY 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,474.88

-2.37

-0.16%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

100.97

-1.61

-1.57%

APR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

107.86

-0.22

-0.20%

APR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

294.84

-2.54

-0.85%

APR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.66

+0.01

+0.11%

APR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

296.30

-0.44

-0.15%

APR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 11th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR

103.72

104.93

105.77

106.98

107.82

COPPER

30-APR

399.82

410.43

415.92

426.53

432.02

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR

6006

6068

6187

6249

6368

GOLD

5-APR

29517

29723

29927

30133

30337

LEAD

31-MAR

123.37

125.38

126.57

128.58

129.77

NATURALGAS

26-MAR

277.07

279.63

281.47

284.03

285.87

NICKEL

31-MAR

910.3

921.2

928.9

939.8

947.5

SILVER

5-MAY

43963

44899

45552

46488

47141

ZINC

31-MAR

121.45

123.65

124.90

127.10

128.35

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 11th MARCH 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

NATURAL GAS

26-03-2014

282.10

2,24,91,550.90

79,729

SILVERMICRO

30-04-2014

46009.00

3,06,01,96,617.00

66,513

CRUDE OIL

19-03-2014

6174.00

36,89,15,022.00

59,753

COPPER

30-04-2014

413.85

1,82,11,883.10

44,006

NICKEL

31-03-2014

944.70

3,44,31,480.90

36,447

SILVER M

30-04-2014

46014.00

1,59,25,44,540.00

34,610

COPPERMINI

30-04-2014

413.85

1,28,97,221.40

31,164

NICKELMINI

31-03-2014

944.90

2,60,60,342.00

27,580

LEADMINI

31-03-2014

126.85

25,33,701.90

19,974

SILVER

05-05-2014

45968.00

86,52,09,696.00

18,822

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 11th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES

Gold down 0.1% on weak global cues Silver down 0.9% on global cues Bullion traders call bandh on Monday Copper down 1.8% on global cues, subdued demand Lead down 0.9% on global cues, subdued demand Nickel down 1.2% on overseas cues, weak spot demand Chana up 0.6% on rising demand Potato up 0.2% as demand picks up Jeera down 1.6% on increased supply Oil prices up on US jobs optimism, Ukraine Oil prices mixed as Ukraine fears recede Oil prices mixed, eyes on Ukraine crisis 'Feb natural rubber imports double' Mentha oil up 1.1% on strong demand

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 11th MARCH 2014

SPECIAL NEWS

COMMODITY BUZZ

The Federal Reserve may have to accelerate the pace

MCX Gold futures dropped to lows under Rs 30000 per 10

of tapering to take into account the economic pickup

grams today, following the weakness in the global prices.

currently ongoing in the US and the improving fore-

However, worries pertaining to Chinese economy trig-

cast for the near future, Federal Reserve Bank of

gered some buying in the yellow metal. Stocks dropped in

Philadelphia President Charles Plosser said Monday,

Asia today as Chinese exports sank 18.1% from a year ear-

according to media reports. We must back away from

lier in February, following a healthy 10.6% expansion in

increasing the degree of policy accommodation in a

January. Gold initially dropped as stocks plummeted but

manner commensurate with an improving economy,

soon found some buying support.

Global business optimism reached a two-year high in

The nationwide bandh on Monday called by the India

February, according to a survey conducted by Markit

Bullion and Jewellers Association Ltd (IBJA) to protest

based on responses from 11,000 companies. The sur-

government policies allegedly hampering trade was

vey, done three times a year, showed expectations

'successful,' with 90 per cent of retailers and traders in

about the year ahead rose sharply in the US, the euro

Maharashtra shutting shop. President Mohit Kamboj said

zone and the UK, with hiring and capital-spending in-

almost all wholesalers and makers, except big retailers,

tentions also up. However, business confidence in the

had joined the strike. . The IBJA had called for a strike to

BRIC countries has barely moved since sliding to a

protest alleged harassment of bullion dealers and jewellers

survey low in mid-2013

by government agencies affecting thereby the overall moral of gems and jewellery business very badly.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 11th MARCH 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 46200 Immediate Resistance @ 48400 SILVER MCX Closed @4719400. Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 630. Open Interest was UP +3.05, Volumes were 19030 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 46200 TGTS 46400/46800 SL 45850 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 45750 TGTS 45550/45200 SL 46100

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 11th MARCH 2014

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 29700Immediate Resistance @ 30500 GOLD MCX Closed @ 30209.00 . Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 192. Open Interest was UP +1.35, Volumes were 10345 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 30180 TGTS 30260/30360 SL 30060 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 30050 TGTS 29970/29870 SL 30170

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 11th MARCH 2014

GUARSEED

RESISTANCE 2

4723.3

RESISTANCE 1

4586.7

PIVOT

4508.3

SUPPORT 1

4371.7

SUPPORT 2

4293.3

Guarseed daily chart has break symmetrical triangle pattern this signs bearishness expecting will continue in upcoming trading session. momentum indicator RSI is in over sold zone that shows price may go down, recommending sell on high, Immediate support @ 4430 and immediate resistance @ 4530. BUY GUARSEED MAR ABOVE 4530 TGTS 4560,4610 SL 4420 SELL GUARSEED MAR BELOW 4430 TGTS 4410,4360 SL 4480

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 11th MARCH 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 2

9855.3

RESISTANCE 1

9750.7

PIVOT

9625.3

SUPPORT 1

9520.7

SUPPORT 2

9395.3

Dhaniya daily chart, price trend bullish and will go up in future trading session ,expecting for new high from here onwards. trend is bullish and fundamentally also supports its bullishness, momentum indicator RSI is near to overbought zone Immediate support @ 9595 and immediate resistance @ 9700 BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9700 TGTS 9730,9780 SL 9650 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9595 TGTS 9565,9515 SL 9645

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 11th MARCH 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

TUESDAY, MARCH 11

06:00

AUD

NAB BUSINESS CONFIDENCE

12:30

EUR

GERMAN TRADE BALANCE

TENTATIVE

JPY

BOJ PRESS CONFERENCE

15:00

GBP

15:00

20:30

YOUR MINTVISORY

7

8

17.7B

18.5B

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)

0.2%

0.4%

GBP

MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION (MOM)

0.3%

0.3%

GBP

NIESR GDP ESTIMATE

0.8%

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Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.

The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.

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