Daily commodity market report 05 march 2014 epic research

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DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 5th MARCH 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 5th MARCH 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-APR-14

30650.00

30650.00

30051.00

30631.00

-1.50

12205

SILVER

05-MAR-14

46992.00

47188.00

46278.00

47186.00

-1.40

1251

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR-14

6522.00

6520.00

6396.00

6505.00

-1.69

14500

COPPER

26-MAR-14

283.30

288.80

279.60

284.20

-0.07

12847

LEAD

30-APR-14

439.50

444.45

438.15

439.75

0.92

11877

NICKEL

31-MAR-14

913.80

942.20

910.60

916.20

2.44

9492

ZINC

31-MAR-14

131.15

132.60

130.45

131.35

0.69

2461

NATURALGAS

31-MAR-14

120.15

132.40

128.55

120.60

1.97

4681

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR- 14

106.00

108.25

105.45

105.80

2.17

2972

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (04-MAR- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-6800

COPPER

1475

LEAD

UNCHANGED

NICKEL

-198

ZINC

-4250 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 5th MARCH 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,334.20

-16.10

-1.19%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,334.63

+0.16

+0.01%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

21.20

-0.29

-1.33%

MAY 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

320.85

-0.60

-0.19%

MAY 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,457.88

-5.87

-0.40%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

103.36

-1.56

-1.49%

APR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

109.13

-0.17

-0.16%

APR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

297.99

-4.04

-1.34%

APR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.63

-0.03

-0.71%

APR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

303.32

-4.73

-1.54%

APR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 5th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

31-Mar

104.45

106.25

107.25

109.05

110.05

COPPER

30-Apr

435.78

439.72

442.08

446.02

448.38

CRUDEOIL

19-Mar

6291

6343

6436

6488

6581

GOLD

5-Apr

29688

29924

30287

30523

30886

LEAD

31-Mar

129.63

130.97

131.78

133.12

133.93

NATURALGAS

26-Mar

275.63

280.87

284.83

290.07

294.03

NICKEL

31-Mar

898.9

918.7

930.5

950.3

962.1

SILVER

5-May

46241

46726

47352

47837

48463

ZINC

31-Mar

127.22

129.73

131.07

133.58

134.92

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 5th MARCH 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

30-04-2014

47195.00

4,55,82,34,685.00

96,583

NATURAL GAS

26-03-2014

284.00

2,16,97,316.00

76,399

CRUDE OIL

19-03-2014

6398.00

45,15,70,840.00

70,580

SILVER M

30-04-2014

47193.00

2,26,74,82,071.00

48,047

NICKEL

31-03-2014

938.60

2,65,36,099.20

28,272

GOLD

05-04-2014

30173.00

69,14,14,295.00

22,915

NICKELMINI

31-03-2014

938.60

2,14,81,738.20

22,887

COPPER

30-04-2014

443.80

1,01,53,700.20

22,879

GOLD PETAL

31-03-2014

3101.00

6,71,49,054.00

21,654

LEADMINI

31-03-2014

132.20

23,46,021.20

17,746

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 5th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES

Silver down 0.3% on profit-booking Silver futures rise on global cues Elections results to influence gold prices: Study Zinc shed 0.5% on subdued demand Lead down by 0.3% on global trends Copper fall 0.3% on weak global cues 20% of UP's potato crop damaged due to rains Subsidy helps sugar mills export 1.35 mt in a month Sugar output down 11.7% Oil prices surge as Ukraine mobilises army Weak rupee and demand slump pull down India's coal import growth Oil prices up ahead of US stockpiles report India slips to rank 5 in rubber output; Vietnam, China ahead Mentha oil up 1.1% on pick-up in demand

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 5th MARCH 2014

SPECIAL NEWS

COMMODITY BUZZ

The production of sugar in India dropped by10.63% to

Gold declined on Tuesday, after Russian troops reportedly

16.86 million tonnes in the October-February period

were called back to their bases, signaling an easing of ten-

of the ongoing 2013-14 marketing year, on lower out-

sions between Russia and Ukraine. Asian stock indices

put in most states, including Maharashtra and Uttar

were closed mostly higher on Tuesday, as investors re-

Pradesh. Mills had manufactured 18.84 million tonnes

turned to the market following the previous session's

of sugar in the same period of last marketing year

steep

(October-September), according to industry body In-

Ukraine. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index settled up 0.75%,

dian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA), media reports

China's Shanghai composite index shed 0.18%, Australia's

quoted yesterday.

ASX/200 index closed 0.29% lower, while Japan's Nikkei

decline,

fueled

by

heightened

tensions

in

225 Index ended up 0.47%. . Shipments of silver to India are set to fall from last year’s record level as investors anticipate an easing of

The COMEX gold April delivery quotes at $1,337.20 a

curbs on gold imports, and as a looming election draws

troy ounce, down $13.10, Silver March contract quotes at

off “black money” that may have been invested in the

$21.248 a troy ounce, down $0.237 from last close. Gold

precious metal. Lower silver demand in the world’s

futures rallied to $1,355.00 an ounce on Monday, the most

biggest consumer could weigh on prices, which have

since October 30, before trimming gains to settle at

recovered almost 10 per cent this year after a 36 per

$1,350.30, up 2.17%, or $28.70. Local Gold futures pared

cent slump last year, the biggest annual drop in almost

the prior gains tracking the fall in the international mar-

three decades.

ket amid strong Indian rupee

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 5th MARCH 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 46200 Immediate Resistance @ 48400 SILVER MCX Closed @ 47186.00 Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 1111. Open Interest was DOWN -1.80%, Volumes were 23063 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 47750 TGTS 47950/48250 SL 47450 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 46850 TGTS 46650/46350 SL 47150

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 5th MARCH 2014

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 29700Immediate Resistance @ 30300 GOLD MCX Closed @ 30631.00 Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 599. Open Interest was DOWN -1.52%, Volumes were 22115 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 30280 TGTS 30360/30460 SL 30170 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 30050 TGTS 29970/29870 SL 30170

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 5th MARCH 2014

GUARGUM

RESISTANCE 2

12,997

RESISTANCE 1

13,132

PIVOT

12,913

SUPPORT 1

12,787

SUPPORT 2

12,703

NCDEX Guargum MARCH contract closed at 12770 on Tuesday. A sideways trend seen in Guargum. we expect price may more tapper in coming days. A bearish sentiment seen only below 12500 level. On the other hand a firm buying only above 13500.

BUY GURAGUM ABOVE 13000 TG 13050, 13130 SL 12910 SELL GURAGUM BELOW 12700 TG 12650 ,12570 SL 12790

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 5th MARCH 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 2

9439.3

RESISTANCE 1

9565.7

PIVOT

9339.7

SUPPORT 1

9213.3

SUPPORT 2

9113.7

A recovery trend seen in NCDEX Dhaniya APR contract on Tuesday, Although price taking resistance at 9350. SMA 50 standing at 9230 level and giving price to strong support. A firm upside seen only above 9550 level. BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 9440 TG 9470,9520 SL 9390 SELLDHANIYA BELOW 9350 TG 9320,9170 SL 9400

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 5th MARCH 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 5 ALL DAY

BRAZIL - CARNIVAL

06:00

AUD

GDP (QOQ)

0.8%

0.7%

0.6%

06:00

AUD

GDP (YOY)

2.8%

2.5%

2.3%

07:15

CNY

CHINESE HSBC SERVICES PMI

13:43

EUR

SPANISH SERVICES PMI

55.0

54.9

14:13

EUR

ITALIAN SERVICES PMI

49.8

49.4

14:18

EUR

FRENCH SERVICES PMI

46.9

46.9

14:23

EUR

GERMAN SERVICES PMI

55.4

55.4

14:28

EUR

SERVICES PMI

51.7

51.7

14:58

GBP

SERVICES PMI

58.0

58.3

15:30

EUR

GDP (YOY)

0.5%

0.5%

15:30

EUR

GDP (QOQ)

0.3%

0.3%

15:30

EUR

RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.8%

-1.6%

18:45

USD

ADP NONFARM EMPLOYMENT CHANGE

160K

175K

20:30

CAD

INTEREST RATE DECISION

1.00%

1.00%

20:30

USD

ISM NON-MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT

20:30

USD

ISM NON-MANUFACTURING PMI

YOUR MINTVISORY

50.7

56.4 53.5

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