Daily commodity market report 18 march 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 18th MARCH 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 18th MARCH 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-APR-14

30585.00

30737.00

30452.00

30549.00

0.18

11559

SILVER

05-MAR-14

46881.00

47877.00

46723.00

46734.00

0.72

40355

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR-14

6025.00

6085.00

6010.00

6021.00

0.43

7888

COPPER

26-MAR-14

269.50

272.90

266.60

268.90

1.26

10083

LEAD

30-APR-14

400.50

404.95

399.80

399.60

1.03

23584

NICKEL

31-MAR-14

967.90

978.60

963.70

969.80

-0.32

9271

ZINC

31-MAR-14

124.00

125.10

123.50

123.45

1.30

3331

NATURALGAS

31-MAR-14

121.55

121.95

120.50

121.25

0.29

3244

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR- 14

105.20

105.65

104.45

104.95

0.19

4401

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (15-MAR- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-11525

COPPER

-1975

LEAD

-550

NICKEL

378

ZINC

1200 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 18th MARCH 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,362.40

-10.50

-0.76%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,359.55

-7.52

-0.55%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

21.04

-0.37

-1.74%

MAY 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

295.65

+0.60

+0.20%

MAY 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,461.00

-4.75

-0.32%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

97.90

-0.99

-1.00%

APR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

106.38

+0.14

+0.13%

MAY 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

288.11

-7.86

-2.66%

APR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.54

+0.01

+0.11%

APR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

289.34

-4.97

-1.69%

APR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 18th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

31-Mar

103.17

103.93

104.37

105.13

105.6

COPPER

30-Apr

399.93

403.27

405.13

408.47

408.5

CRUDEOIL

21-Apr

5961

6010

6046

6095

6095

GOLD

5-Apr

30296

30431

30510

30645

30645

LEAD

31-Mar

124.52

124.93

125.42

125.83

125.8

NATURALGAS

26-Mar

273.67

277.33

281.37

285.03

285

NICKEL

31-Mar

967.4

972.2

977.5

982.3

982.3

SILVER

5-May

46526

46798

47014

47286

47286

ZINC

31-Mar

119.17

120.08

120.62

121.53

121.5

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 18th MARCH 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

30-04-2014

47103.00

5,02,57,01,688.00

1,06,696

CRUDE OIL

19-03-2014

6047.00

36,90,36,316.00

61,028

SILVER M

30-04-2014

47100.00

2,58,84,27,600.00

54,956

NATURAL GAS

26-03-2014

272.30

1,30,73,939.90

48,013

COPPER

30-04-2014

403.70

1,48,60,600.70

36,811

SILVER

05-05-2014

47072.00

1,42,60,93,312.00

30,296

NICKEL

31-03-2014

966.70

2,66,22,918.00

27,540

COPPERMINI

30-04-2014

403.80

95,97,114.60

23,767

NICKELMINI

31-03-2014

966.40

1,92,88,377.60

19,959

GOLD M

04-04-2014

30735.00

56,42,02,395.00

18,357

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 18th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES Silver up 0.3% on global cues Gold near 6-month high in New York Gems and jewellery exports dip 4% to $3.59 bn in Feb Copper up 0.3% on short covering Lead up 0.5% on short-covering, firm global cues Zinc up 0.3% on spot demand Mango growers stare at a bitter harvest Tea production down 6% to 20.63 mn kg India's veg oil imports fall to 3-year low in February Oil prices ease in Asian trade Oil prices ease on weak Chinese trade data Oil prices up on US jobs optimism, Ukraine Mentha oil down 0.3% on low demand FMC to raise trade position limits Shah found 'not fit & proper' 6 years ago

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 18th MARCH 2014

SPECIAL NEWS

COMMODITY BUZZ

Euro area annual inflation was 0.7% in February

Gold was trading near its highest level in over six

2014, down from 0.8% inJanuary. A year earlier

months

the rate was 1.8%. Monthly inflation was 0.3% in-

as Crimea voted to join Russia, heightening tensions

February 2014, as per the latest figures released by

between Moscow and the West. Bullion has gained 15

Eurostat, the statisticaloffice of the European Un-

percent this year as mounting geopolitical tensions

ion. The core inflation surged 1% in February

and fears over slowing economic growth spurred de-

201,after surging 0.80% in the last month.

mand for the metal seen as a safe-haven asset. Spot

on

Monday

on

weaker

equities

and

gold was trading flat at $1,381.34 an ounce by 0319 Forward Markets Commission (FMC) on Friday

GMT, after earlier hitting $1,391.76 - its highest since

suspended futures trade in agri-commodities on

September 9. Asian shares were near one-month lows.

Saturdays, and allowed evening trade in globallylinked farm items on weekdays with effect from

The prices of Copper faced a very rough week on the

April 1. FMC has already discontinued futures

back of fears from China. The manufacturing growth

trading in non-farm commodities on Saturdays

of China was already on the backside and further de-

from September 2013 .the rationale for futures

clines were registered from the default of one of the

trading in farm commodities on Saturdays does not

Chinese companies in bond market. Some investors

hold good because the global commodities futures

worry that a string of company defaults could dent

markets are closed on that day and this would

already fragile business activity. Others point to the

bring trading days at par with non-farm items.

widespread use of copper as collateral for bank loans,

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 18th MARCH 2014

SILVER

Last day a volatile trading session seen in MCX Silver. MA 50 and 100 giving positive crossover and RSI is also giving bullish signal. We expect price may trade in positive note for coming days

BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 47500 TGTS 47750/48100 SL 47150 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 46700 TGTS 46450/46100 SL 47050

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 18th MARCH 2014

GOLD

A firm recovery was seen in MCX Gold in last session, made high of 30737 and closed at 30595. Indian Govt has put on hold the import rats decision, which is supporting to the gold price. Not only domestic market, but COMEX Gold is also on recovery mode, closed at $1382, approx + $45 from previous week closing. For coming days we expect gold will trade in positive note.

BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 30660 TGTS 30740/30840 SL 30550 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 30430 TGTS 30350/30250 SL 30530

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 18th MARCH 2014

GUARSEED

RESISTANCE 2

4641.70

RESISTANCE 1

4683.30

PIVOT

4593.30

SUPPORT 1

4556.7

SUPPORT 2

4513.3

Guarseed daily chart shows sideways to bearish trend. price is in near to resistance expecting will go up momentum indicator RSI above mid range that shows price may go up, recommending buy on dips, Immediate support @ 4810 and immediate resistance @ 4855. BUY GUARSEED APR ABOVE 4855 TGTS 4885,4935 SL 4805 SELL GUARSEED APR BELOW 4810 TGTS 4780,4730 SL 4860

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 18th MARCH 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 2

9573.70

RESISTANCE 1

9626.30

PIVOT

9503.30

SUPPORT 1

9450.7

SUPPORT 2

9380.30

Dhaniya daily chart, price trend bullish. From here onwards expecting some profit booking will come. trend is bullish and fundamentally also supports its bullishness, momentum indicator RSI near to overbought zone Immediate support @ 9430 and immediate resistance @ 9560 BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9560 TGTS 9590,9640 SL 9410 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9430 TGTS 9400,9350 SL 9480

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 18th MARCH 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

TUESDAY, MARCH 18 06:00

AUD

MONETARY POLICY MEETING MINUTES

15:30

EUR

ZEW ECONOMIC SENTIMENT

67.3

68.5

15:30

EUR

GERMAN ZEW CURRENT CONDITIONS

52.0

50.0

15:30

EUR

GERMAN ZEW ECONOMIC SENTIMENT

53.0

55.7

18:00

CAD

MANUFACTURING SALES (MOM)

1.0%

-0.9%

18:00

USD

BUILDING PERMITS

0.960M

0.945M

18:00

USD

BUILDING PERMITS (MOM)

1.6%

-4.6%

18:00

USD

CORE CPI (YOY)

1.6%

1.6%

18:00

USD

CORE CPI (MOM)

0.1%

0.1%

18:00

USD

CPI (MOM)

0.1%

0.1%

18:00

USD

HOUSING STARTS

0.910M

0.880M

18:00

USD

HOUSING STARTS (MOM)

3.4%

-16.0%

18:30

USD

TIC NET LONG-TERM TRANSACTIONS

23.4B

-45.9B

21:10

CAD

BOC GOV POLOZ SPEAKS

23:15

GBP

BOE GOV CARNEY SPEAKS

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DISCLAIMER 18th MARCH 2014 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.

Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.

The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.

The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.

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