Daily commodity market report 07 march 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 7th MARCH 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 7th MARCH 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-APR-14

30082.00

30226.00

29900.00

30158.00

0.16

12691

SILVER

05-MAR-14

46953.00

47360.00

46436.00

47048.00

0.51

10233

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR-14

6263.00

6263.00

6142.00

6274.00

-1.99

13302

COPPER

26-MAR-14

280.50

287.00

276.70

280.00

1.29

13097

LEAD

30-APR-14

438.20

438.90

435.60

438.90

-0.63

15563

NICKEL

31-MAR-14

932.40

952.40

927.10

934.00

1.21

9740

ZINC

31-MAR-14

130.00

130.65

128.90

130.20

-0.35

3825

NATURALGAS

31-MAR-14

130.00

130.00

128.60

130.35

-1.27

3262

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR- 14

107.10

108.10

106.35

107.40

0.28

2695

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (06-MAR- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-6900

COPPER

-1500

LEAD

1325

NICKEL

-996

ZINC

8150 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 7th MARCH 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,350.50

+10.20

+0.76%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,350.58

-0.24

-0.02%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

21.55

-0.03

-0.13%

MAY 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

321.75

+1.50

+0.47%

MAY 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,484.63

-1.06

-0.07%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

101.70

+0.25

+0.25%

APR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

108.20

+0.10

+0.09%

APR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

294.59

+0.56

+0.19%

APR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.64

-0.02

-0.43%

APR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

298.32

-0.90

-0.30%

APR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 7th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR

105.63

106.67

107.38

108.42

109.13

COPPER

30-APR

433.73

435.17

437.03

438.47

440.33

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR

6011

6064

6164

6217

6317

GOLD

5-APR

29780

29994

30115

30329

30450

LEAD

31-MAR

128.08

129.02

129.83

130.77

131.58

NATURALGAS

26-MAR

271.80

277.20

282.10

287.50

292.40

NICKEL

31-MAR

916.9

931.9

942.2

957.2

967.5

SILVER

5-MAY

46073

46633

46997

47557

47921

ZINC

31-MAR

127.73

128.27

129.13

129.67

130.53

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 7th MARCH 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

NATURAL GAS

26-03-2014

283.60

2,38,48,207.60

84,091

SILVERMICRO

30-04-2014

47300.00

3,89,34,99,500.00

82,315

CRUDE OIL

19-03-2014

6149.00

42,09,54,391.00

68,459

SILVER M

30-04-2014

47306.00

2,02,65,89,040.00

42,840

NICKEL

31-03-2014

945.30

2,61,81,974.10

27,697

NICKELMINI

31-03-2014

945.30

2,19,35,686.50

23,205

SILVER

05-05-2014

47290.00

97,69,64,110.00

20,659

COPPER

30-04-2014

436.15

89,96,029.90

20,626

GOLD M

04-04-2014

30415.00

62,25,95,050.00

20,470

LEADMINI

31-03-2014

129.80

25,64,588.40

19,758

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 7th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES

Silver futures marginally up on global cues Silver imports set to fall as govt may ease curbs on gold Silver down 0.3% on profit-booking Aluminium down 0.3% on global cues Zinc down by 0.4% on global cues Lead down by 0.5% on subdued spot demand Coffee output dips 12% in 2013-14 Australia cautions India over processed food exports Stable maize prices to aid starch makers Oil prices mixed, eyes on Ukraine crisis Oil prices surge as Ukraine mobilises army Weak rupee and demand slump pull down India's coal import growth Crude oil down 0.8% on weak Asian cues Govt push for plastic packing of foodgrains to hit jute mills

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 7th MARCH 2014

SPECIAL NEWS

COMMODITY BUZZ

The purchasing managers' index for China's nonmanufacturing sector rose to 55 percent in February, from 53.4 percent in January. This marks the first rebound after a three-month decline. The sub-index for the service sector went up 2.3 percentage points to 53.8 percent. Construction edged down 1.1 percentage points to 59.9 percent. The index for the business outlook picked up 1.8 percentage points to just under 60.

Gold traded down for third day as investors shifted to equities on easing Ukraine crisis, meanwhile investors were looking for the policy decision by BOE, ECB and US Job data scheduled to release later yesterday European Union leaders are meeting in Brussels for a summit Thursday to discuss the Ukraine crisis and potential action the EU can take against Russia over its military actions in Crimea. Asian indices ended mostly higher on Thursday and European stocks were higher,

The steep fall in the country’s current account deficit (CAD) is being seen as a big relief and the equity and currency markets have responded positively. The correction was triggered by a sharp fall in gold import; these are likely to be half of what it was in 2012-13. The gold import bill was only $21 billion in the first three

quarters

of

this

year,

Asia

Economist

of Nomura Financial Services.“The curbs, along with lower gold prices, may lower imports to around $25

The COMEX gold April delivery quotes at $1,335.30, down $5 a troy ounce and May Silver quotes at $21.163 an ounce, down $0.108. Local Gold futures fell for third day tracking the weak global cues amid strong Indian rupee against greenback. Indian rupee appreciated to nearly two months high against the US dollar with the counter quotes at Rs 61.24, 0.86% appreciated over last close.MCX Gold April quotes at Rs 29,997, down Rs 165 per 10 grams

billion in FY14 from $53.8 billion in FY13 .

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 7th MARCH 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 46200Immediate Resistance @ 48400 SILVER MCX Closed @47048.00 Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 924. Open Interest was UP +0.34%, Volumes were 21475 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 47500 TGTS 47700/48000 SL 47140 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 46900 TGTS 46700/46400 SL 47250

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 7th MARCH 2014

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 29700Immediate Resistance @ 30500 GOLD MCX Closed @ 30158.00. Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 335. Open Interest was UP +3.97%, Volumes were 18580 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 30270 TGTS 30350/30450 SL 30150 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 30120 TGTS 30040/29940 SL 30240

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 7th MARCH 2014

GUARSEED

RESISTANCE 2

4780

RESISTANCE 1

4815

PIVOT

4845

SUPPORT 1

4710

SUPPORT 2

4675

Guarseed daily chart shows sideways to bearishness will continue in upcoming trading session RSI & MACD is in below mid range that shows price may go down, recommending sell on high. Immediate support @ 4705 and immediate resistance @ 4790. BUY GUARSEED ABOVE 4790 TGTS 4820,4870 SL 4740 SELL GUARSEED BELOW 4705 TGTS 4675,4625 SL 4755

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 7th MARCH 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 2

9662.7

RESISTANCE 1

9771.3

PIVOT

9491.3

SUPPORT 1

9382.7

SUPPORT 2

9211.3

Dhaniya daily chart, price chart bullish and will go up in future trading session ,expecting from new high again from here onwards. trend is bullish and fundamentally also its bullish, momentum indicator RSI is near to overbought zone Immediate support @ 9505 and immediate resistance @ 9585

BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 9585 TGTS 9615,9665 SL 9535 SELL DHANIYA BELOW 9505 TGTS 9475,9425 SL 9555

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 7th MARCH 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

FRIDAY, MARCH 7 04:00

AUD

RBA GOVERNOR STEVENS SPEAKS

12:15

CHF

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE N.S.A.

3.5%

3.5%

12:15

CHF

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE S.A.

3.2%

3.2%

13:45

CHF

SWISS CPI (MOM)

0.2%

-0.3%

16:30

EUR

GERMAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)

0.7%

-0.6%

19:00

CAD

EMPLOYMENT CHANGE

15.0K

29.4K

19:00

CAD

EXPORTS

40.00B

39.72B

19:00

CAD

LABOR PRODUCTIVITY (QOQ)

0.6%

0.2%

19:00

CAD

TRADE BALANCE

-1.60B

-1.66B

19:00

CAD

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

7.0%

7.0%

19:00

USD

AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS (MOM)

0.2%

0.2%

19:00

USD

NONFARM PAYROLLS

149K

113K

19:00

USD

PRIVATE NONFARM PAYROLLS

154K

142K

19:00

USD

TRADE BALANCE

-39.00B

-38.70B

19:00

USD

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

6.6%

6.6%

19:30

MXN

MEXICAN CPI (YOY)

4.20%

4.48%

22:30

USD

FOMC MEMBER DUDLEY SPEAKS

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