Daily commodity market report 14 march 2014

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 14th MARCH 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 14th MARCH 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-APR-14

30537.00

30575.00

30332.00

30472.00

0.18

12208

SILVER

05-MAR-14

46829.00

47071.00

46411.00

46771.00

-0.06

23698

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR-14

6000.00

6038.00

5971.00

5983.00

0.58

9087

COPPER

26-MAR-14

276.00

276.00

277.60

277.40

-3.14

10899

LEAD

30-APR-14

402.10

404.40

399.15

402.70

-0.83

25582

NICKEL

31-MAR-14

952.60

970.60

952.10

955.30

1.39

10618

ZINC

31-MAR-14

123.95

124.30

122.80

123.85

-0.28

3880

NATURALGAS

31-MAR-14

121.75

122.00

120.50

121.35

-0.04

3500

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR- 14

105.80

106.00

104.60

106.00

-0.99

4430

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (13-MAR- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-9875

COPPER

-2100

LEAD

-225

NICKEL

-828

ZINC

1325 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 14th MARCH 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,375.60

+5.10

+0.37%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,374.90

+4.62

+0.34%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

21.30

-0.06

-0.27%

MAY 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

292.85

-3.35

-1.13%

MAY 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,480.00

+3.56

+0.24%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

98.20

+0.21

+0.21%

APR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

107.40

+0.01

+0.01%

APR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

293.00

-2.58

-0.87%

APR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.35

-0.03

-0.75%

APR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

292.63

+0.08

+0.03%

APR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 14th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR

102.97

103.78

104.37

105.18

105.77

COPPER

30-APR

392.45

395.80

397.70

401.05

402.95

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR

5915

5943

5982

6010

6049

GOLD

5-APR

30136

30229

30389

30482

30642

LEAD

31-MAR

121.23

122.02

122.73

123.52

124.23

NATURALGAS

26-MAR

257.27

262.43

265.67

270.83

274.07

NICKEL

31-MAR

938.0

945.1

957.4

964.5

976.8

SILVER

5-MAY

45746

46079

46406

46739

47066

ZINC

31-MAR

119.00

119.75

120.50

121.25

122.00

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 14th MARCH 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

30-04-2014

46785.00

4,05,85,51,965.00

86,749

CRUDE OIL

19-03-2014

6018.00

37,43,85,798.00

62,211

NATURAL GAS

26-03-2014

268.70

1,56,03,140.30

58,069

COPPER

30-04-2014

399.35

1,89,59,141.25

47,475

SILVER M

30-04-2014

46780.00

2,07,52,54,360.00

44,362

COPPERMINI

30-04-2014

399.40

1,27,47,250.40

31,916

SILVER

05-05-2014

46741.00

1,10,76,68,218.00

23,698

NICKEL

31-03-2014

968.60

2,17,39,258.40

22,444

NICKELMINI

31-03-2014

968.70

1,80,65,286.30

18,649

LEADMINI

31-03-2014

123.45

22,22,840.70

18,006

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 14th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES

Gems and jewellery exports dip 4% to $3.59 bn in Feb Hawala premia slump on low gold demand Gold extends gains to 5-1/2 mth high on safe-haven demand Zinc up 0.2% on overseas cues, spot demand Zinc up 0.2% on spot demand, global cues Copper down 0.2% on weak global cues Oilseeds production in Gujarat estimated at 4.2 mn tonnes Coriander down 1.3% on weak demand, adequate supply Chana up 0.7% on pick-up in demand Oil prices ease on weak Chinese trade data Oil prices up on US jobs optimism, Ukraine Oil prices mixed as Ukraine fears recede Shah found 'not fit & proper' 6 years ago Imports to remain as peak season rubber output falls

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 14th MARCH 2014

SPECIAL NEWS India's gems and jewellery exports in February fell by 4.15% to $ 3.59 billion due to sluggish demand in key markets such as the US and Europe. The exports have now dropped for the fourth month in a row. The overseas shipments are also contracting due to the curbs imposed by the government on gold imports. The imports declined 71.4 per cent, year-on-year, to $ 1.63 billion in February. For the 11-month period of the 2013-14 fiscal, the shipments have slipped by 7.15%, year-on-year, to $ 35.73 billion, an official in the com-

COMMODITY BUZZ Gold traded near a six-month high in New York, as investors weighed concern about tension between Ukraine and Russia and slowing Chinese economic growth against speculation prices climbed too fast. Bullion advanced 14 per cent this year, rebounding from the biggest annual drop since 1981, as concern economic growth in the US and China is slowing and the crisis in Ukraine spurred demand for a haven. China's retail sales, industrial output and investment last month trailed estimates, data showed on Thursday. The dollar reached the lowest level against the euro since 2011, while a technical gauge indicated gold may be set to retreat.

merce ministry said. In order to curb the current account deficit (CAD), Gold for April delivery lost 0.1 per cent to $1,368.90 an The U.S. Department of Labor reported today that the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 315,000 for the week ending March 8,2014, a decrease of 9,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 324,000.The 4-week moving average was 330,500, a decrease of 6,250 from the previous week's revised average of 336,750.

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ounce by 7:32 am on the Comex in New York. It reached earlier today $1,375.70, the highest since September 10. Futures volume was 49 per cent above the average for the past 100 days for this time of day, data compiled by Bloomberg showed. Bullion for immediate delivery added 0.1 per cent to $1,368.43 in London The metal's 14-day relative strength index was at 68.5,

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 14th MARCH 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 45500Immediate Resistance @ 48400 SILVER MCX Closed @46771.00 . Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 660. Open Interest was UP +6.28, Volumes were 22340 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 47050 TGTS 47250/47550 SL 46700 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 46600 TGTS 46400/46050 SL 46950

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 14th MARCH 2014

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 30050Immediate Resistance @ 30700 GOLD MCX Closed @ 30472.00 . Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 253. Open Interest was UP -1.85, Volumes were 12165 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 30580 TGTS 30660/30780 SL 30450 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 30410 TGTS 30330/30210 SL 30530

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 14th MARCH 2014

GUARSEED

RESISTANCE 2

4641.7

RESISTANCE 1

4683.3

PIVOT

4598.3

SUPPORT 1

4556.7

SUPPORT 2

4513.3

Guarseed daily chart has break symmetrical triangle pattern this signs bearishness expecting will continue in upcoming trading session. from last 2 days their is some pullback we have saw. expecting downfall will come now momentum indicator RSI below mid range that shows price may go down, recommending sell on high, Immediate support @ 4610 and immediate resistance @ 4705. BUY GUARSEED APR ABOVE 4705 TGTS 4735,4785 SL 4655 SELL GUARSEED APR BELOW 4610 TGTS 4580,4530 SL 4650

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 14th MARCH 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 2

9573.7

RESISTANCE 1

9626.3

PIVOT

9503.3

SUPPORT 1

9450.7

SUPPORT 2

9380.3

Dhaniya daily chart, price trend bullish. From here onwards expecting some profit booking will come. trend is bullish and fundamentally also supports its bullishness, momentum indicator RSI is in overbought zone Immediate support @ 9485 and immediate resistance @ 9570

BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9570 TGTS 9600,9650 SL 9520 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9485 TGTS 9455,9405 SL 9535

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 14th MARCH 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

FRIDAY, MARCH 14 03:00

NZD

BUSINESS NZ PMI

05:20

JPY

MONETARY POLICY MEETING MINUTES

10:00

JPY

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)

4.0%

4.0%

13:45

CHF

SWISS PPI (MOM)

-0.1%

0.0%

15:00

GBP

TRADE BALANCE

-8.60B

-7.72B

18:00

USD

CORE PPI (MOM)

0.1%

0.2%

18:00

USD

PPI (MOM)

0.2%

0.2%

19:25

USD

MICHIGAN CONSUMER SENTIMENT

82.0

81.6

YOUR MINTVISORY

56.2

56.3

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