Daily commodity market report 27 march 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 27th MARCH 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 27th MARCH 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-APR-14

29050

29050

28380

28571

-0.97

6444

SILVER

05-MAY-14

43528

43750

42870

43046

-0.82

15652

CRUDEOIL

21-APR-14

6020

6052

5996

6040

+0.30

9345

NATURALGAS

25-APR-14

267

267.7

263

266.4

-0.37

5628

COPPER

30-APR-14

403

404.2

395.5

397.1

-1.43

25145

LEAD

31-MAR-14

124.7

125.4

121.3

122.75

-1.17

3297

NICKEL

31-MAR-14

967

974.5

945.1

953.3

-1.74

6589

ZINC

31-MAR-14

119.65

120.5

117.65

117.95

-1.13

2325

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR-14

103.3

103.85

101.7

101.9

-1.40

5385

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (26-MAR- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-8200

COPPER

2925

LEAD

-75

NICKEL

1578

TIN

-35

ZINC

1550 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 27th MARCH 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,305.30

+1.90

+0.15%

JUN 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,304.30

-0.18

-0.01%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

19.78

-0.20

-1.02%

MAY 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

297.65

-2.90

-0.96%

MAY 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,412.44

+7.19

+0.51%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

100.22

+1.03

+1.04%

MAY 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

106.78

-0.25

-0.23%

MAY 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

290.40

+2.12

+0.74%

APR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.40

0.00

0.00%

APR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

291.94

-0.21

-0.07%

APR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 27th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

31-Mar

100.33

101.12

102.48

103.27

104.63

COPPER

30-Apr

390.23

393.67

398.93

402.37

407.63

CRUDEOIL

21-Apr

5973

6007

6029

6063

6085

GOLD

5-Apr

27997

28284

28667

28954

29337

LEAD

31-Mar

119.05

120.90

123.15

125.00

127.25

NATURALGAS

25-Apr

261.00

263.70

265.70

268.40

270.40

NICKEL

31-Mar

928.2

940.8

957.6

970.2

987.0

SILVER

5-May

42342

42694

43222

43574

44102

ZINC

31-Mar

115.85

116.90

118.70

119.75

121.55

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 27th MARCH 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

30-04-2014

43180.00

3,34,16,57,020.00

77,389

CRUDE OIL

21-04-2014

6042.00

37,65,67,650.00

62,325

COPPER

30-04-2014

397.20

1,68,89,738.40

42,522

SILVER M

30-04-2014

43171.00

1,72,96,89,286.00

40,066

COPPERMINI

30-04-2014

397.20

1,19,32,682.40

30,042

NICKEL

31-03-2014

952.60

2,24,19,441.00

23,535

NATURAL GAS

25-04-2014

266.20

58,71,307.20

22,056

SILVER

05-05-2014

43151.00

92,14,89,605.00

21,355

NICKELMINI

31-03-2014

952.80

1,74,20,042.40

18,283

GOLD M

04-04-2014

28636.00

45,94,35,984.00

16,044

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 27th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES

Chana prices edged up by 0.09% to Rs 3,258 per quintal . Potato prices moved down by 1.17% to Rs 1,192 per quintal. Sugar merchants are struggling to sign new export deals. Nickel prices fell 0.28% to Rs 966.80 per kg. Copper prices declined 0.15% to Rs 406 per kg . Crude Oil for delivery in May traded at $99.94 a barrel during U.S. trading, up 0.76%.. Oil Flat After Breaching Past $100. Gold Bounces Back From $1300 Copper Remains In Rocky Region, Prices Correct From Top. Jeera Eases On Higher Arrivals, Profit Sales. Gold dips on robust U.S. durable goods orders.

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 27th MARCH 2014 SPECIAL NEWS

COMMODITY BUZZ

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that new orders for manufactured durable goods in February increased $5.0 billion or 2.2 percent to $229.4billion, after two consecutive monthly of decreases with a 1.3percent decrease in January 2014. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.2 percent, after surging 0.90% in the January month.

Cardamom futures bounced back from prior session's losses on short covering amid worries on crop prospects in the next season. The MCX Cardamom April delivery ended the day at Rs 865, up Rs 17.40 or 2.05% over last close.. Weather worries in the cardamom belts and export enquiries aided recent upside in the cardamom futures prices.

New Zeeland recorded an 818 million New Zealand dollar goods, or merchandise, trade surplus for February and a NZ$649 million surplus for the year ended February. China remained New Zealand's main export destination in February with exports to the country up 49% from the corresponding month a year earlier. Exports to Australia, New Zealand's second largest trading partner, slipped 0.3% on year. January's monthly trade surplus was revised down to NZ$286 million.

Nickel prices fell 0.28% to Rs 966.80 per kg in futures trading yesterday on emergence of profit-bookings by speculators at existing higher levels amid sluggish demand from alloy-makers in the spot market. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, nickel for delivery in March fell by Rs 2.70, or 0.28% to Rs 966.80 per kg in business turnover of 1805 lots.

Indonesian Export tax has not gone down well with the management of the Newmont Mining. The group has cut down the production of Indonesian Copper and Gold mine by 70% as per the recent report. Australia's earnings from resources and energy exports are expected to rise by 13% in the current fiscal year, as sharp rises in shipments and a weaker domestic currency offset falls in commodity prices.

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Copper prices declined 0.15% to Rs 406 per kg in futures trade today as speculators trimmed their positions in tandem with a weak global trend. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, copper for delivery in June declined by 60 paise, or 0.15% to Rs 406 per kg in business turnover of 108 lots. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil for delivery in May traded at $99.94 a barrel during U.S. trading, up 0.76%. New York-traded oil futures hit a session low of $99.11 a barrel and a high of $100.13 a barrel.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 27th MARCH 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is DOWN, Immediate support @ 42850 Immediate Resistance @ 43600. SILVER MCX Closed @ 43046. Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 880. Open Interest was down +.80 %, Volumes were 21700 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 43460 TGTS 43660/44010 SL 43100 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 42850 TGTS 42650/42300 SL 43200 YOUR MINTVISORY

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 27th MARCH 2014

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is down. Immediate support @ 28350. Immediate Resistance @ 29110. GOLD MCX Closed @28571. Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 670. Open Interest was down -12.05 %, Volumes were 15927 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 28710 TGTS 28790/28910 SL 28590 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 28360 TGTS 28280/28160 SL 28380

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 27th MARCH 2014

GUARSEED

RESISTANCE 2

4662

RESISTANCE 1

4683

PIVOT

4650

SUPPORT 1

4617

SUPPORT 2

4593

BUY GUARSEED APR ABOVE 4660 TGTS 4690,4740 SL 4615 SELL GUARSEED APR BELOW 4620 TGTS 4600,4550 SL 4665

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 27th MARCH 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 2

9138

RESISTANCE 1

9250

PIVOT

8870

SUPPORT 1

8819

SUPPORT 2

8612

BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9050 TGTS 9080,9130 SL 9000 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 8930 TGTS 8900,8850 SL 8980

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 27th MARCH 2014

THURSDAY, MARCH 27 TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

03:15

NZD

TRADE BALANCE (YOY)

650M

490M

310M

03:15

NZD

TRADE BALANCE (MOM)

818M

600M

286M

05:50

USD

FOMC MEMBER BULLARD SPEAKS

TENTATIVE

GBP

NATIONWIDE HPI (MOM)

0.8%

0.6%

TENTATIVE

GBP

NATIONWIDE HPI (YOY)

9.6%

9.4%

15:00

GBP

CORE RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.3%

-1.5%

15:00

GBP

CORE RETAIL SALES (YOY)

2.8%

4.8%

15:00

GBP

RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.5%

-1.5%

15:00

GBP

RETAIL SALES (YOY)

2.5%

4.3%

18:00

USD

FOMC MEMBER PIANALTO SPEAKS

18:00

USD

GDP (QOQ)

2.7%

2.4%

18:00

USD

GDP PRICE INDEX (QOQ)

1.6%

1.6%

18:00

USD

INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS

325K

320K

19:30

USD

PENDING HOME SALES (MOM)

0.3%

0.1%

YOUR MINTVISORY

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

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