Daily commodity market report 06 march 2014 by epicresearch

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DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 6th MARCH 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 6th MARCH 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-APR-14

30191.00

30318.00

30080.00

30160.00

0.01

12553

SILVER

05-MAR-14

47204.00

47444.00

46980.00

47212.00

-0.15

10437

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR-14

6411.00

6419.00

6276.00

6395.00

-1.81

13652

COPPER

26-MAR-14

289.00

293.70

280.60

286.10

-1.36

13472

LEAD

30-APR-14

444.00

446.00

439.25

44365

-0.95

13579

NICKEL

31-MAR-14

937.00

949.50

934.20

938.60

-0.20

9080

ZINC

31-MAR-14

132.50

133.90

130.60

132.30

-1.21

3565

NATURALGAS

31-MAR-14

132.60

133.45

130.50

132.25

-1.25

3807

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR- 14

108.05

109.20

107.60

108.05

-0.42

2597

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (05-MAR- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-7750

COPPER

-1525

LEAD

-125

NICKEL

-564

ZINC

-1725 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 6th MARCH 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,338.40

+0.50

+0.04%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,338.59

+1.73

+0.13%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

21.26

+0.04

+0.18%

MAY 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

320.70

-0.75

-0.23%

MAY 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,476.38

-1.87

-0.13%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

101.01

-0.44

-0.43%

APR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

107.62

-0.14

-0.13%

APR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

293.25

-0.78

-0.27%

APR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.57

+0.05

+1.08%

APR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

297.92

-6.15

-2.02%

APR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 6th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR

106.07

106.73

107.97

108.63

109.87

COPPER

30-APR

433.63

436.27

441.13

443.77

448.63

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR

6168

6221

6320

6373

6472

GOLD

5-APR

29947

30053

30185

30291

30423

LEAD

31-MAR

127.60

128.90

131.40

132.70

135.20

NATURALGAS

26-MAR

269.13

274.57

284.13

289.57

299.13

NICKEL

31-MAR

921.7

927.8

938.7

944.8

955.7

SILVER

5-MAY

46693

46871

47157

47335

47621

ZINC

31-MAR

128.08

129.22

131.33

132.47

134.58

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 6th MARCH 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

NATURAL GAS

26-03-2014

282.20

2,40,90,003.00

85,365

CRUDE OIL

19-03-2014

6279.00

39,51,81,423.00

62,937

SILVERMICRO

30-04-2014

47160.00

2,74,45,23,360.00

58,196

SILVER M

30-04-2014

47161.00

1,49,51,45,183.00

31,703

LEADMINI

31-03-2014

130.70

30,16,163.90

23,077

NICKEL

31-03-2014

936.70

2,14,12,962.00

22,860

COPPER

30-04-2014

439.45

95,24,639.30

21,674

NICKELMINI

31-03-2014

936.70

1,71,58,470.60

18,318

ZINCMINI

31-03-2014

130.65

22,65,209.70

17,338

COPPERMINI

30-04-2014

439.45

75,14,595.00

17,100

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 6th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES Silver imports set to fall as govt may ease curbs on gold Silver down 0.3% on profit-booking Silver futures rise on global cues Nickel down by 0.4% on global trends Zinc shed 0.5% on subdued demand Lead down by 0.3% on global trends Palm oil prices may rise 6% on climate change Potato down 0.7% on reduced offtake Palm oil up 2.9% on spot demand, global cues Oil prices mixed, eyes on Ukraine crisis Oil prices surge as Ukraine mobilises army Weak rupee and demand slump pull down India's coal import growth Mentha oil up 0.9% on rising demand Low demand pushes down cement prices in Gujarat

Mentha oil up 0.5% on higher export and local demand

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 6th MARCH 2014

SPECIAL NEWS The euro area GDP rose by 0.3% during the fourth quarter of2013, compared with the previous quarter, according to second estimates published by Euro stat, the statistical office of the European Union. In the third quarter of 2013, GDP grew by 0.1% in the euro area Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 0.5% in the euro area in the fourth quarter of 2013, after falling 0.3% in the previous quarter UK service sector activity continued to rise at a healthy pace during February, supported by another marked increase in new business. Capacity remained under pressure, with backlogs up sharply and employment subsequently raised to the greatest degree since last October. Confidence in the outlook strengthened to the highest for nearly four and a half years. After accounting for seasonal factors, the headline business activity index recorded 58.2 during February.

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COMMODITY BUZZ Gold remained weak on strong dollar amid easing worries in Ukraine, as investors shifted their money to equities. The U.S. is to release the ADP private sector job reports, ISM service sector activity later yesterday. The Comex gold April delivery quotes at $1,334.20 an ounce, down $3.70 and the March Silver quotes at $21.258, up $0.036 from last day close. MCX Gold remained weak second day on weak global markets amid stronger local currency. The April Gold quotes at Rs 30,160, almost flat over last day close. Silver March quotes at Rs 46,570, up Rs 18 per 1 kg. MCX Crude oil futures stayed on a corrective course, easing from highs around Rs 6400 per barrel. Global crude oil prices also witnessed a mild correction ahead of the US weekly energy inventories data even as global equities stayed supported on receding geopolitical worries over Ukraine. WTI Crude oil quotes at $103, down 33 cents per barrel. MCX Crude oil quotes at Rs 6370, down Rs 25 per barrel or 0.40% on the day. Most of the global stock markets edged up today, extending their yesterday's momentum. The benchmark Nifty index in India added nearly half a percent while stocks in Taiwan

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 6th MARCH 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 46200Immediate Resistance @ 48400 SILVER MCX Closed @47212.00 Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 464. Open Interest was UP +13.78%, Volumes were 16250 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 47500 TGTS 47700/48000 SL 47140 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 46850 TGTS 46650/46350 SL 47150

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 6th MARCH 2014

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 29700 Immediate Resistance @ 30500 GOLD MCX Closed @30160.00 Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 238. Open Interest was UP +5.97%, Volumes were 17126 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 30320 TGTS 30400/30500 SL 30190 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 30050 TGTS 29970/29870 SL 30170

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 6th MARCH 2014

GUARGUM

RESISTANCE 2

13,233

RESISTANCE 1

13,067

PIVOT

12,863

SUPPORT 1

12,697

SUPPORT 2

12,493

Guargum daily chart shows sideways to bearishness will continue in upcoming trading session RSI & MACD is in below mid range that shows price may go down, recommending sell on high. Immediate support @ 12850 and immediate resistance @ 12980. BUY GURAGUM ABOVE 13100 TG 13150, 13230 SL 13010 SELL GURAGUM BELOW 12700 TG 12650 ,12570 SL 12790

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 6th MARCH 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 2

9288

RESISTANCE 1

9269

PIVOT

9434

SUPPORT 1

9515

SUPPORT 2

9580

In Dhaniya daily chart, it is consolidating in upper level, expecting from new high again from here onwards trend is bullish and fundamentally also its bullish, momentum indicator RSI is near to overbought zone Immediate support @ 9410 and immediate resistance @ 9470 BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 9390 TG 9410,9460 SL 9340 SELLDHANIYA BELOW 9220 TG 9190,9140 SL 9270

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 6th MARCH 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

THURSDAY, MARCH 6 00:30

USD

BEIGE BOOK

05:30

USD

FOMC MEMBER FISHER SPEAKS

06:00

AUD

RETAIL SALES (MOM)

1.2%

0.5%

0.7%

06:00

AUD

TRADE BALANCE

1.433B

0.270B

0.591B

13:30

GBP

HALIFAX HOUSE PRICE INDEX (MOM)

0.7%

1.1%

13:30

GBP

HALIFAX HOUSE PRICE INDEX (YOY)

7.2%

7.3%

16:30

EUR

GERMAN FACTORY ORDERS (MOM)

0.7%

-0.5%

17:30

GBP

BOE QE TOTAL

375B

375B

17:30

GBP

INTEREST RATE DECISION

0.50%

0.50%

18:15

EUR

INTEREST RATE DECISION

0.25%

0.25%

18:45

USD

FOMC MEMBER DUDLEY SPEAKS

19:00

CAD

BUILDING PERMITS (MOM)

1.0%

-4.1%

19:00

EUR

ECB PRESS CONFERENCE

19:00

USD

INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS

338K

348K

19:00

USD

NONFARM PRODUCTIVITY (QOQ)

2.5%

3.2%

19:00

USD

UNIT LABOR COSTS (QOQ)

-0.9%

-1.6%

20:30

CAD

IVEY PMI

54.0

56.8

20:30

USD

FACTORY ORDERS (MOM)

-0.4%

-1.5%

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