Daily commodity report 03 march 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 3rd MARCH 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 3rd MARCH 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-APR-14

30026.00

30400.00

30026.00

30089.00

0.16

12444

SILVER

05-MAR-14

46388.00

46740.00

46255.00

46505.00

-0.04

3751

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR-14

6339.00

6379.00

6309.00

6348.00

0.39

13075

COPPER

26-MAR-14

282.00

287.50

276.50

283.20

1.38

12887

LEAD

30-APR-14

443.00

444.35

440.10

442.65

-0.52

13284

NICKEL

31-MAR-14

900.90

913.40

896.20

898.20

1.37

5690

ZINC

31-MAR-14

132.80

133.80

131.15

132.60

-0.49

1956

NATURALGAS

31-MAR-14

128.95

129.30

128.20

128.70

0.12

2879

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR- 14

108.50

108.85

106.65

108.40

-1.01

3099

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (1-MAR- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-6100

COPPER

1875

LEAD

-200

NICKEL

-78

ZINC

-4125 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 3rd MARCH 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,321.60

0.00

0.00%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,326.39

-4.90

-0.37%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

21.24

-0.11

-0.52%

MAY 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

318.75

-1.35

-0.42%

MAY 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,446.25

-6.38

-0.44%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

102.59

0.00

0.00%

APR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

109.07

+0.11

+0.10%

APR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

294.00

-3.74

-1.26%

APR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.61

+0.10

+2.17%

APR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

301.63

+0.86

+0.29%

APR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 3rd MARCH 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR

107.37

107.88

108.32

108.83

109.27

COPPER

30-APR

439.65

441.15

442.75

444.25

445.85

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR

6278

6313

6366

6401

6454

GOLD

5-APR

29920

30004

30095

30179

30270

LEAD

31-MAR

130.70

131.65

132.20

133.15

133.70

NATURALGAS

26-MAR

274.27

278.73

281.77

286.23

289.27

NICKEL

31-MAR

878.9

888.5

894.3

903.9

909.7

SILVER

5-MAY

46960

47243

47603

47886

48246

ZINC

31-MAR

127.30

128.00

128.55

129.25

129.80

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 3rd MARCH 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

NATURAL GAS

26-03-2014

287.10

1,85,81,399.10

64,721

SILVERMICRO

30-04-2014

47394.00

2,33,11,68,678.00

49,187

CRUDE OIL

19-03-2014

6373.00

29,88,55,462.00

46,894

SILVER M

30-04-2014

47396.00

1,14,12,95,680.00

24,080

COPPER

30-04-2014

440.35

90,51,394.25

20,555

NICKEL

31-03-2014

910.50

1,61,23,134.00

17,708

SILVER

05-03-2014

46486.00

76,71,58,458.00

16,503

COPPERMINI

30-04-2014

440.30

67,02,686.90

15,223

GOLD M

05-03-2014

30670.00

45,23,51,830.00

14,749

NICKELMINI

31-03-2014

910.50

1,31,34,873.00

14,426

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 3rd MARCH 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES Silver down 0.3% on global cues US consumers demand higher caratage of gold 'Track gold miners' stocks to predict price trends' Nickel strengthens 0.2% on spot demand Copper down 0.2% on global cues Nickel up 0.1% on spot demand, global cues Coriander up 2.6% as demand picks up Sugar up 0.6% on spot demand, fall in output Chana up 2.9% on strong demand Oil prices up ahead of US stockpiles report Oil prices down in Asian trade Oil rebounds after G20 vows to spur global growth Mentha oil down 0.3% on sluggish demand MCX, NCDEX try to grab each other's market shares FMC might link trade positions with open interest

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 3rd MARCH 2014

SPECIAL NEWS According to the second estimate released by the Bu-

COMMODITY BUZZ

available for the advance estimate issued last month.

Global warming will reduce the world's crop production by up to two percent every decade and wreak $1.45 trillion of economic damage by the end of this century, according to a draft UN report The planet's crop production will decline by up to two percent every decade as rainfall patterns shift and droughts batter farmland, even as demand for food rises a projected 14 percent, it said. Other effects from global warming include the loss of land to rising sea levels, forcing hundreds of millions of people to migrate from coastal areas, with the most vulnerable regions including East, South and Southeast Asia,

According to GDP data released by the Central Statis-

Government today hiked the import tariff value on gold

tics Office (CSO), Ministry of Statistics and Pro-

and silver to $433 per 10 grams and $699 per kg, respec-

gramme Implementation, India's quarterly GDP at fac-

tively, taking into account the volatility in the precious

tor cost at constant (2004-05) prices for Q3 of 2013-14

metals' global prices. Import tariff value is the base price

is estimated at Rs 14.8 lakh crore, as against Rs14.1

at which customs duty is determined to prevent under-

lakh crore in Q3 of 2012-13, showing a growth rate of

invoicing. The tariff value is revised on a fortnightly basis

4.7 per cent over the corresponding quarter of previ-

after analysing the global price trend. Till yesterday, the

ous year, after recording 4.80% growth in the Q2.

import tariff value on gold was at $421/10 grams,

reau of Economic Analysis, real gross domestic product, the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States increased at an annual rate of 2.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2013(that is, from the third quarter to the fourth quarter),. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.1 percent. The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 3rd MARCH 2014

SILVER

Silver future on last trading session closed at 46,362 with loss. On daily chart, silver future price trend up but momentum is bearish as correction is going on. Silver future Prices still above month and 3 month averages but significantly came down from top. Daily chart indicators are with bearish divergences and near supports. BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 47700 TGTS 47950/48300 SL 47350 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 47150 TGTS 46900/46550 SL 47500

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 3rd MARCH 2014

GOLD

Gold future on last trading session closed at 30,090 flat. On daily chart, gold price trend and momentum is bullish. Prices are trading above short term averages while indicators are with bullish divergences. BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 30050 TGTS 29970/29850 SL 30150 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 30220 TGTS 30300/30420 SL 30120

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 3rd MARCH 2014

GUARGUM

RESISTANCE 2

13036.70

RESISTANCE 1

13163.30

PIVOT

12873.30

SUPPORT 1

12746.70

SUPPORT 2

12583.30

Guargum March contract short term trend is "consolidate " Immediate support @ 12270 Immediate Resistance @ 13370. On Saturday Guargum March closed @ 12910 up by 1.3%. intraday range was 290 pts. trend is Sideways to bearish in daily chart.

BUY GURAGUM ABOVE 13370 TG 13420, 13500 SL 13280 SELL GURAGUM BELOW 12270 TG 12220 ,12170 SL 12360

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 3rd MARCH 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 2

9528.70

RESISTANCE 1

9587.30

PIVOT

9440.30

SUPPORT 1

9381.70

SUPPORT 2

9293.30

Dhaniya April on last trading session closed at 9470, a little up by 0.3% from the previous session. On daily chart, Dhaniya price trend and momentum is bullish. It’s Immediate support is @ 9320 and immediate resistance is @ 9500 BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 9500 TG 9530,9580 SL 9450 SELLDHANIYA BELOW 9320 TG 9290,9240 SL 9370

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 3rd MARCH 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

MONDAY, MARCH 3 ALL DAY

HOLIDAY

BRAZIL - CARNIVAL

05:20

JPY

CAPITAL SPENDING (YOY)

06:00

AUD

COMPANY GROSS OPERATING PROFITS (QOQ)

07:15

CNY

CHINESE HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI

13:43

EUR

SPANISH MANUFACTURING PMI

52.0

52.2

14:00

CHF

SVME PMI

56.0

56.1

14:13

EUR

ITALIAN MANUFACTURING PMI

52.8

53.1

14:18

EUR

FRENCH MANUFACTURING PMI

48.5

48.5

14:23

EUR

GERMAN MANUFACTURING PMI

54.7

54.7

14:28

EUR

MANUFACTURING PMI

53.0

53.0

14:58

GBP

MANUFACTURING PMI

56.5

56.7

19:00

CAD

RMPI (MOM)

1.0%

1.9%

19:00

USD

CORE PCE PRICE INDEX (MOM)

0.1%

0.1%

19:00

USD

PERSONAL SPENDING (MOM)

0.1%

0.4%

20:30

USD

ISM MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT

52.0

52.3

20:30

USD

ISM MANUFACTURING PMI

52.0

51.3

YOUR MINTVISORY

1.5% 2.0%

3.9% 48.3

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Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.

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The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.

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