Daily commodity report 11 april 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 11th APRIL 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 11th APRIL 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-JUN-14

28450

28814

28450

28781

+1.21

9346

SILVER

05-MAY-14

42817

43840

42817

43486

+1.82

13084

CRUDEOIL

21-APR-14

6235

6257

6210

6246

+0.16

9799

NATURALGAS

25-APR-14

276.7

284.1

272.6

283.4

+2.53

8364

COPPER

30-APR-14

403.7

406.9

403

406.45

+0.54

21064

LEAD

30-APR-14

125.75

127.9

125.6

127.75

+1.67

2961

NICKEL

30-APR-14

1010

1037.7

1010

1034.8

+2.64

9480

ZINC

30-APR-14

122.05

123.5

121.7

123.4

+1.31

1885

ALUMINIUM

30-APR-14

110.7

113

110.7

112.8

+1.85

3989

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (10-APRIL- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-3700

COPPER

-750

LEAD

UNCH

NICKEL

-1158

TIN

20

ZINC

-3150 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 11th APRIL 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,319.70

+13.80

+1.06%

JUN 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,319.73

+0.78

+0.06%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

20.01

+0.24

+1.21%

MAY 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

303.40

-0.30

-0.10%

MAY 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,457.13

+0.75

+0.05%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

103.22

-0.38

-0.37%

MAY 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

107.34

-0.12

-0.11%

MAY 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

300.50

-0.34

-0.11%

MAY 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.67

+0.01

+0.24%

MAY 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

293.58

-1.82

-0.62%

MAY 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 11th APRIL 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

RES.2

ALUMINIUM

30-APR

109.87

111.33

112.17

113.63

114.47

COPPER

30-APR

401.55

404.00

405.45

407.90

409.35

CRUDEOIL

21-APR

6191

6218

6238

6265

6285

GOLD

5-JUN

28318

28549

28682

28913

29046

LEAD

30-APR

124.78

126.27

127.08

128.57

129.38

NATURALGAS

25-APR

268.53

275.97

280.03

287.47

291.53

NICKEL

30-APR

999.8

1017.3

1027.5

1045.0

1055.2

SILVER

5-MAY

42358

42922

43381

43945

44404

ZINC

30-APR

121.07

122.23

122.87

124.03

124.67

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 11th APRIL 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

30-04-2014

43499.00

4,58,57,08,079.00

1,05,421

NATURAL GAS

25-04-2014

283.50

1,68,41,601.00

59,406

CRUDE OIL

21-04-2014

6245.00

31,17,56,645.00

49,921

SILVER M

30-04-2014

43494.00

2,05,91,79,936.00

47,344

NICKEL

30-04-2014

1035.00

3,47,72,895.00

33,597

COPPER

30-04-2014

406.40

1,13,43,030.40

27,911

SILVER

05-05-2014

43451.00

1,13,83,72,749.00

26,199

NICKELMINI

30-04-2014

1035.40

2,51,77,821.80

24,317

COPPERMINI

30-04-2014

406.30

88,63,840.80

21,816

LEADMINI

30-04-2014

127.80

20,56,557.60

16,092

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 11th APRIL 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES Diamond trade looks towards Russia Silver up 2% on global cues Nickel up 1.2% on firm demand Iron ore exports from Paradip rises threefold in FY14 Iron ore export to spurt as Goa resumes mining Iron ore bear market deepens as Aussie mines expand Iron ore exports likely to double in FY15 Aluminium up 0.5% on firming overseas trend Jeera up 1.9% on spot demand Chana up 0.2% as demand picks up Sugar down 0.6% on profit-booking Oil prices rise as Ukraine fears resurface Cotton yarn exports face Chinese hurdle Differences abound over iron ore e-auctions in Karnataka Philippines in dialogue with India on rubber

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 11th APRIL 2014

SPECIAL NEWS

COMMODITY BUZZ

The US Department of Labor reported that the advance figure

MCX Gold futures witnessed a strong rally yesterday, extending

for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 300,000 for the week

the recent break as geopolitical worries and prospects of easy

ending April 5, 2014, a decrease of 32,000 from the previous

money conditions continuing in the US supported the sentiments.

week's revised level. The last time initial claims were this low

The yellow metal jumped back soon above $1300 an ounce after

was May 12, 2007 when they were 297,000. The previous

tumbling below $1280 an ounce last week amid growing expecta-

week's level was revised up by 6,000 from 326,000 to 332,000.

tions that the Fed will raise interest rates sooner than expected.

The 4-week moving average was 316,250, a decrease of 4,750

COMEX Gold quotes at $1323, up $17.10 per ounce on the day.

from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's

MCX Gold futures are trading at Rs 28723, up Rs 306 per 10 grams

average was revised up by 1,500 from 319,500 to 321,000.

on the day or 1%. The open interest has spurted by 6%.

Agri commodity markets are benefiting from extension of fu-

Oil prices looked away from the standoff in Ukraine on Thursday

tures trading in the evening as it allows businesses and the

and fell on soft Chinese trade numbers and a weak U.S. supply re-

value chain participants to better manage price risk due to

port. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Inter-

fluctuations in the international market, according to a latest

mediate crude oil for delivery in May traded at $103.40 a barrel

press release from the NCDEX. In the first week of evening

during U.S. trading, down 0.19%. New York-traded oil futures hit

trading, Soy oil, one of the most widely traded commodity,

a session low of $103.12 a barrel and a high of $103.80 a barrel.

reflected higher co-relation in prices (NCDEX-CBOT) post 5 pm. The co-relation reached 95% on some evenings. More

MCX Copper futures were trading on a flat note yesterday. The

than 1000 companies and individual traders through about

global copper prices stayed on edge following tepid foreign trade

300 broking houses participated in trading in the agri com-

data from China- the second largest economy in the world.

modities traded during the evening session.

China's March exports fall 6.6% vs. year earlier while the imports also dropped 11.3% vs. year earlier.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 11th APRIL 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is DOWN. Immediate support @ 43400. Immediate Resistance @ 43760. Yesterday SILVER MCX Closed @ 43486. Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 1023. Open Interest was -12.30 %, Volumes were 23660 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 43560 TGTS 43760/44060 SL 43200 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 43200 TGTS 43000/42700 SL 43550

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 11th APRIL 2014

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is down. Immediate support @ 28600. Immediate Resistance @ 28800. Today GOLD MCX Closed @ 27781. Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 334. Open Interest was UP+ 6.01 %, Volumes were 12450 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD(JUN) ABOVE 28790 TGTS 28870/28970 SL 28680 SELL GOLD(JUN) BELOW 28600 TGTS 28520/28420 SL 28710

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 11th APRIL 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

9925

RESISTANCE 2

9665

PIVOT

9465

SUPPORT 1

9265

SUPPORT 2

9125

Dhaniya daily chart shows bullish trend. once again dhaniya fall form upper level. RSI is in mid range. expecting from here onwards profit booking will continue in upcoming trading session. Immediate support @ 9370 & Immediate resistance @ 9450. BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9450 TGTS 9480,9530 SL 9400 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9370 TGTS 9340,9290 SL 9420

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 11th APRIL 2014

GUARSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4572

RESISTANCE 2

4548

PIVOT

4525

SUPPORT 1

4503

SUPPORT 2

4482

Guarseed April short term trend looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Expecting from here onwards guarseed may go down Momentum indicators RSI is below mid range, signs bearishness In intraday basis immediate support @ 4510 & immediate resistance @ 4560. BUY GUARSEED APR ABOVE 4560 TGTS 4590,4640 SL 4510 SELL GUARSEED APR BELOW 4510 TGTS 4480,4430 SL 4560

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 11th APRIL 2014

FRIDAY, APRIL 11 TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

05:20

JPY

MONETARY POLICY MEETING MINUTES

07:00

CNY

CHINESE CPI (YOY)

2.4%

2.5%

2.0%

07:00

CNY

CHINESE CPI (MOM)

-0.5%

-0.5%

0.5%

07:00

CNY

CHINESE PPI (YOY)

-2.3%

-2.2%

-2.0%

TENTATIVE

CNY

CHINESE NEW LOANS

1,000B

645B

18:00

USD

CORE PPI (MOM)

0.2%

-0.2%

18:00

USD

PPI (MOM)

0.1%

-0.1%

19:25

USD

MICHIGAN CONSUMER EXPECTATIONS

71.4

70.0

19:25

USD

MICHIGAN CONSUMER SENTIMENT

81.0

80.0

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