Daily commodity report 15 april 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 15th APRIL 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 15th APRIL 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-Jun-14

28845

28986

28843

28959

+0.57%

9380

SILVER

05-May-14

43040

43365

42803

43229

-0.63%

13673

CRUDEOIL

21-Apr-14

6294

6294

6250

6282

+0.50%

9811

NATURALGAS

25-Apr-14

280.1

280.1

274.8

275.3

-2.75%

7251

COPPER

30-Apr-14

407.6

409.6

406.4

406.8

+0.05%

20694

LEAD

30-Apr-14

126.2

127.55

126.2

127.4

-0.31%

2997

NICKEL

30-Apr-14

1055

1086.9

1055

1075.9

+4.01%

9109

ZINC

30-Apr-14

123.8

124

123.3

123.75

+0.24%

1764

ALUMINIUM

30-Apr-14

112.35

112.6

111.8

111.95

-0.80%

3216

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (11-APRIL- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

325

COPPER

-1700

LEAD

UNCH

NICKEL

-1908

TIN

-10

ZINC

-3375 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 15th APRIL 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,320.00

+1.00

+0.08%

JUN 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,320.27

-7.72

-0.58%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

19.85

-0.10

-0.51%

MAY 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

302.95

-1.20

-0.39%

JUL 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,455.38

-9.50

-0.65%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

103.31

-0.43

-0.41%

MAY 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

108.56

-0.51

-0.47%

MAY 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

302.65

-1.19

-0.39%

MAY 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.56

0.00

0.00%

MAY 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

297.06

+3.74

+1.28%

MAY 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 15th APRIL 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

RES.2

ALUMINIUM

30-APR

111.32

111.63

112.12

112.43

112.92

COPPER

30-APR

404.40

405.60

407.60

408.80

410.80

CRUDEOIL

21-APR

6231

6257

6275

6301

6319

GOLD

5-JUN

28786

28873

28929

29016

29072

LEAD

30-APR

125.70

126.55

127.05

127.90

128.40

NATURALGAS

25-APR

271.43

273.37

276.73

278.67

282.03

NICKEL

30-APR

1040.7

1058.3

1072.6

1090.2

1104.5

SILVER

5-MAY

42570

42900

43132

43462

43694

ZINC

30-APR

122.98

123.37

123.68

124.07

124.38

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 15th APRIL 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

30-04-2014

43245.00

1,59,81,18,975.00

36,955

CRUDE OIL

21-04-2014

6277.00

15,36,92,345.00

24,485

NATURAL GAS

25-04-2014

275.60

60,81,940.80

22,068

SILVER M

30-04-2014

43241.00

79,99,58,500.00

18,500

NICKEL

30-04-2014

1076.30

1,54,39,523.50

14,345

SILVER

05-05-2014

43213.00

46,98,54,949.00

10,873

NICKELMINI

30-04-2014

1076.40

1,04,71,219.20

9,728

COPPER

30-04-2014

406.65

39,22,952.55

9,647

COPPERMINI

30-04-2014

406.70

30,71,398.40

7,552

LEADMINI

30-04-2014

127.30

8,95,810.10

7,037

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 15th APRIL 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES Seizure of smuggled gold in Ahmedabad zooms four times. Gold, silver imports dip 40% in 2013-14. Gold extends gains on stockists buying. Diamond trade looks towards Russia. Steelmakers win resource conservation battle, again. Aluminium down 0.3% on global cues. Lead down 0.1% on sluggish demand, overseas trend. Zinc down 0.1% on global cues. Supply problem ahead for coffee market. Coconut oil market heats up, prices touch Rs 15,000/quintal. "Fusarium wilt" threat to India's banana farming. Punjab sugar output may touch 46 mn quintals. Oil prices up as Russia-Ukraine tensions escalate. Crude oil prices fall further in Asia. Oil prices mixed on growing Ukraine fears. Rubber imports surged last fiscal. Mentha oil down 0.1% on low demand.

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 15th APRIL 2014

SPECIAL NEWS India's exports grew by 3.98%to USD 312.35 bn in FY 2013-14 while imports dipped by 8.11% during the period. Imports declined to USD 450.94bn, narrowing the trade deficit to USD 138.59bn in the last fiscal. In FY 2012-13, trade deficit stood at USD 190.33bn. However, in March exports contracted by 3.15 per cent to USD 29.57bn and imports fell by 2.11% to USD 40 bn as compared to the same period last year. Trade deficit during the month was at USD 10.5bn as against USD 10.4bn in March 2013. In FY 2012-13, the country's merchandise exports had aggregated at USD 300.4bn. The overall shipments in 2013-14 fell short of the target of USD 325bn fixed by the govt. for the period. Eurozone industrial production expanded in February after remaining flat at the start of the year, Eurostat reported Monday. Driven by non-durable consumer goods and intermediate goods, industrial production grew 0.2 percent month-onmonth in February. This was the first rise in production in three months. Production of intermediate goods gained 0.6 percent and that of non-durable consumer goods climbed 0.5 percent. Meanwhile, durable consumer goods fell 1.2 percent and energy by 1.7 percent.

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COMMODITY BUZZ MCX Gold futures are likely to open on a strong note in the evening trades yesterday as the global prices surged to a three week high in electronic moves following the tentative sentiments in global equities. Asian stock markets slipped today following two days of US declines. WTI Crude Oil also edged up above $104 per barrel amid renewed tensions between Ukraine and Russia. These developments supported the yellow metal and the COMEX futures quote at $1322.80, up $3.80 per ounce on the day. MCX Gold futures closed at Rs 28759 on Friday, after hitting highs above Rs 28800 per 10 grams. The gains in COMEX Gold yesterday could stretch the local futures towards Rs 29000 k yesterday. For long, the Indian steel sector has used lump iron ore, leaving fines for exports or at mine pitheads. The uniform 30 per cent duty on lump ore and fines, imposed for the ostensible purpose of resource conservation, reduced exports to about 14 million tonnes (mt) in 2013-14 from a record 113 mt in 2009-10. Traditionally, fines have accounted for about 90 per cent of our ore exports. The spot market cues suggests that higher supplies of around 6070 thousand bags of new chana have been reported in the major producing states such as Madhya Pradesh , Maharashtra and Gujarat.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 15th APRIL 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP. Immediate support @ 42500. Immediate Resistance @ 43460. Yesterday SILVER MCX Closed @ 43229. Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 562. Open Interest was UP +3.30 %, Volumes were 10020 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 43460 TGTS 43660/43960 SL 43160 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 42920 TGTS 42720/42420 SL 43220 YOUR MINTVISORY

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 15th APRIL 2014

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP. Immediate support @ 28600. Immediate Resistance @ 29000. Today GOLD MCX Closed @ 28959. Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 143. Open Interest was UP+ 4.45 %, Volumes were 4310 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD(JUN) ABOVE 28990 TGTS 29070/29170 SL 28880 SELL GOLD(JUN) BELOW 28790 TGTS 28710/28610 SL 28900

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 15th APRIL 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

9772

RESISTANCE 2

9706

PIVOT

9620

SUPPORT 1

9533

SUPPORT 2

9426

Dhaniya daily chart shows bullish trend. once again dhaniya fall form upper level. RSI is in mid range. expecting from here onwards profit booking will continue in upcoming trading session. Immediate support @ 9550 & Immediate resistance @ 9665. BUY DHANIYA MAY ABOVE 9665 TGTS 9695,9745 SL 9615 SELL DHANIYA MAY BELOW 9550 TGTS 9520,9470 SL 9600

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 15th APRIL 2014

GUARSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4883

RESISTANCE 2

4817

PIVOT

4710

SUPPORT 1

4637

SUPPORT 2

4523

Guarseed April short term trend looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Expecting from here onwards guarseed may go down Momentum indicators RSI is below mid range, signs bearishness In intraday basis immediate support @ 4700 & immediate resistance @ 4770. BUY GUARSEED MAY ABOVE 4770 TGTS 4800,4850 SL 4720 SELL GUARSEED MAY BELOW 4700 TGTS 4670,4620 SL 4750

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 15th APRIL 2014

MONDAY, APRIL 15 TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

07:00

AUD

MONETARY POLICY MEETING MINUTES

12:45

CHF

SWISS PPI (MOM)

-0.1%

-0.4%

TENTATIVE

CNY

CHINESE NEW LOANS

1,000B

645B

14:00

GBP

CPI (MOM)

0.2%

0.5%

14:00

GBP

CPI (YOY)

1.6%

1.7%

14:00

GBP

PPI INPUT (MOM)

-0.2%

-0.4%

14:30

EUR

GERMAN ZEW CURRENT CONDITIONS

51.8

51.3

14:30

EUR

GERMAN ZEW ECONOMIC SENTIMENT

45.0

46.6

18:00

CAD

MANUFACTURING SALES (MOM)

1.0%

1.5%

18:00

USD

CORE CPI (YOY)

1.6%

1.6%

18:00

USD

CORE CPI (MOM)

0.1%

0.1%

18:00

USD

CPI (MOM)

0.1%

0.1%

18:00

USD

NY EMPIRE STATE MANUFACTURING INDEX

8.00

5.61

18:30

USD

TIC NET LONG-TERM TRANSACTIONS

20:15

USD

FED CHAIR YELLEN SPEAKS

YOUR MINTVISORY

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

7.3B

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