Daily commodity trading report 09 april 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 09th APRIL 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 09th APRIL 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-Jun-14

28398

28586

28397

28477

+0.56%

9063

SILVER

05-May-14

43300

43430

43165

43198

+0.26%

14183

COPPER

30-Apr-14

407.4

407.4

403.9

406.75

-0.20%

19427

CRUDEOIL

21-Apr-14

6060

6172

6060

6162

+1.92%

8137

NATURALGAS

25-Apr-14

272.1

274.7

269.4

273.6

+0.18%

8355

LEAD

30-Apr-14

123.75

124.9

123.55

124.8

+0.24%

2783

NICKEL

30-Apr-14

994

994.1

982.6

990.3

-0.74%

7201

ZINC

30-Apr-14

121.1

122.1

120.9

122

+0.66%

1667

ALUMINIUM

30-Apr-14

108.6

108.75

107.4

108.6

-0.23%

3275

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (08-APRIL- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

250

COPPER

-1975

LEAD

375

NICKEL

588

TIN

-75

ZINC

-3050 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 09th APRIL 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,312.50

+14.20

+1.09%

JUN 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,312.18

+3.52

+0.27%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

20.05

+0.14

+0.69%

MAY 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

305.15

+1.20

+0.39%

MAY 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,443.88

+3.75

+0.26%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

102.38

-0.18

-0.18%

MAY 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

107.67

0.00

0.00%

MAY 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

298.88

+0.87

+0.29%

MAY 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.55

+0.02

+0.35%

MAY 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

293.29

-0.15

-0.05%

MAY 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 09th APRIL 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

RES.2

ALUMINIUM

30-APR

108.6

107.75

108.25

109.10

109.60

COPPER

30-APR

406.75

404.63

406.02

408.13

409.52

CRUDEOIL

21-APR

6162

6091

6131

6203

6243

GOLD

5-JUN

28477

28387

28487

28576

28676

LEAD

30-APR

124.8

123.93

124.42

125.28

125.77

NATURALGAS

25-APR

273.6

270.43

272.57

275.73

277.87

NICKEL

30-APR

990.3

983.9

989.0

995.4

1000.5

SILVER

5-MAY

43198

43099

43264

43364

43529

ZINC

30-APR

122.0

121.23

121.67

122.43

122.87

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 09th APRIL 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

CRUDE OIL

21-04-2014

6164.00

25,83,33,240.00

41,910

NATURAL GAS

25-04-2014

273.70

85,60,241.20

31,276

SILVERMICRO

30-04-2014

43215.00

1,25,22,41,055.00

28,977

COPPER

30-04-2014

406.80

58,61,174.40

14,408

SILVER M

30-04-2014

43218.00

58,35,29,436.00

13,502

NICKEL

30-04-2014

990.60

1,25,75,667.00

12,695

COPPERMINI

30-04-2014

406.80

45,37,447.20

11,154

NICKELMINI

30-04-2014

990.60

1,02,67,569.00

10,365

SILVER

05-05-2014

43190.00

33,51,11,210.00

7,759

LEADMINI

30-04-2014

124.75

9,25,769.75

7,421

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 09th APRIL 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES Oil Gold imports may hit 10-month high in March RBI relaxes rough diamond import norms ACE launches gold hedge contract Govt reduces tariff value of gold, silver Lead up 0.2% on strong spot demand Nickel up 0.2% on spot demand Copper down 0.7% on weak global cues Shrimp farming boom in West Bengal as farmlands shrink India's oilmeal exports see 11% fall in FY 14: SEA India's agrochemical sector under severe stress on lower usage Oil prices ease in Asian trade Crude prices ease in Asia on profit taking Sustaining farm sector growth amid fall in water availability Mentha oil down 0.4% on sluggish demand Crude oil down 0.2% on Asian cues

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 09th APRIL 2014

SPECIAL NEWS

COMMODITY BUZZ

The turnover of the Indian commodity futures market dropped by a whopping 40.51% to Rs 101.41 lakh crore in 2013-14 from Rs 170.46 lakh crore in the previous fiscal, according to the data from the Forward Market Commission. MCX maintained its position as the leading futures exchange in the country with a turnover of Rs 86.58 lakh crore- representing 85.38% of market share, followed by NCDEX having turnover of Rs 11.44 lakh crore and NMCE Rs 1.52 lakh crore in FY 14.

MCX Gold futures are expected to open on a positive note in the evening trades today as the yellow metal continues to hold sway in the global markets following its radical gains post the non farm payrolls. The Yellow metal added to its gains today in the electronic session even as the equities witnessed a mixed outing, COMEX Gold is quoting at $1311.70, up $13.40 per ounce on the day. MCX Gold futures closed at Rs 28356, up Rs 94 per 10 grams on the day.

Gold for June delivery are trading up $3.3 at $ 1312.4 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Yesterday, it climbed $10.80, or 0.8%, to settle at $1,309.10 an ounce- its highest level since March 25.Yesterday, the May silver added 15 cents, or 0.8%, to $20.057 an ounce, with prices closing at their highest since March 24. Today, the traders will keep watch on the minutes from the Federal Reserve's March policy meeting due to be released later in the day. Weakness in the US dollar ahead of the Fed’s March meeting and escalating tensions in the Ukraine also boosted gold yesterday.

Gold futures extended gains in the Asia electronic trades today as rising geopolitical tensions over Ukraine raised gold safe haven appeal. Gold found some support amid continued worries on the Russia-Ukraine front even as equities delivered a diverse signal. The US stocks slumped heavily yesterday as a continued correction in high-growth stocks hurt sentiments. DOW followed its drubbing on Friday with yet another thrashing yesterday, closing lower by 167 points on the day or 1%. This kept the sentiments mixed in Asia though stocks in Hong Kong and China rose on hopes Beijing will unveil new measures to boost the mainland economy after last week's mini-stimulus.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 09th APRIL 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is DOWN, Immediate support @ 43000. Immediate Resistance @ 43600. Yesterday SILVER MCX Closed @ 43198. Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 205. Open Interest was UP +3.80 %, Volumes were 6240 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 43600 TGTS 43800/44100 SL 43250 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 43030 TGTS 42830/42530 SL 43350 YOUR MINTVISORY

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 09th APRIL 2014

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is down,. Immediate support @ 28350. Immediate Resistance @ 28600. Yesterday GOLD MCX Closed @ 28477. Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 189. Open Interest was UP+ 4.58 %, Volumes were 5530 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD(JUN) ABOVE 28600 TGTS 28680/28780 SL 28480 SELL GOLD(JUN) BELOW 28350 TGTS 28270/28170 SL 28470

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 09th APRIL 2014

GUARSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4765

RESISTANCE 2

4800

PIVOT

4750

SUPPORT 1

4705

SUPPORT 2

4680

Guarseed April short term trend looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators RSI is in mid range. In intraday basis immediate support @ 4710 & immediate resistance @ 4775. BUY GUARSEED APR ABOVE 4610 TGTS 4640,4690 SL 4560 SELL GUARSEED APR BELOW 4550 TGTS 4520,4470 SL 4600

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 09th APRIL 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

9454

RESISTANCE 2

9597

PIVOT

9400

SUPPORT 1

9174

SUPPORT 2

9037

Dhaniya daily chart shows bullish trend, but it has not given closing above its resistance 9730 in daily chart, expecting profit booking will continue in upcoming trading session.RSI is in mid range. Immediate support @ 9230 & Immediate resistance @ 9350. BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9545 TGTS 9575,9525 SL 9495 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9370 TGTS 9350,9300 SL 9420

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 09th APRIL 2014

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 9 TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

00:15

USD

FOMC MEMBER PLOSSER SPEAKS

06:00

AUD

WESTPAC CONSUMER SENTIMENT

0.3%

07:00

AUD

HOME LOANS (MOM)

2.3%

11:30

EUR

GERMAN TRADE BALANCE

11:30

JPY

BOJ MONTHLY REPORT

14:00

GBP

17:30

-0.7% 2.0%

0.0%

17.8B

17.2B

TRADE BALANCE

-9.20B

-9.79B

BRL

BRAZILIAN CPI (YOY)

6.08%

5.68%

18:30

MXN

MEXICAN CPI (YOY)

3.79%

4.23%

23:30

USD

FOMC MEETING MINUTES

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DISCLAIMER 09th APRIL 2014 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.

Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.

The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.

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