Special report-07-dec-2018-epic-research

Page 1

Special Report

07-Dec-2018

Global markets at a glance

World Indices

The S&P 500 and Dow industrials ended slightly negative but well above their session lows in volatile trading on Thursday as the arrest of a Chinese technology executive fanned fears of US-China tensions over trade, while some beaten-up big technology and internet shares posted gains.

Index

Value

% Change

DJI

24866

-0.16

S&P500

2695

-0.15

NASDAQ

7188

+0.41

FTSE100

6704

-3.25

21604 26229

+0.48 +0.28

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 79.4 points, or 0.32 percent, to 24,947.67, the S&P 500 lost 4.11 points, or 0.15 percent, to 2,695.95 and the Nasdaq Composite added 29.83 points, or 0.42 percent, to 7,188.26., Asian share markets tried to find their footing on Friday as speculation the Federal Reserve might be “one-and-done” with US rate hikes helped salve some wounds after a punishing week. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan nudged up 0.l3 percent, though that followed a 1.8 percent drubbing on Thursday. Japan’s Nikkei added 0.9 percent and E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 edged up 0.1 percent.Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a positive opening for the broader index in India, a rise of 51 points or 0.48 percent. Nifty futures were trading around 10,675-level on the Singaporean Exchange. PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF

Benchmark indices remained under pressure throughout the session with Nifty ended just above 10,600 level, while Sensex lost 570 points.The Sensex was down 572.28 points at 35,312.13, while Nifty was down 181.70 points at 10,601.20. About 745 shares have advanced, 1778 shares declined, and 150 shares are unchanged. Oil prices are trading lower after Saudi Energy Minister statement with Brent crude oil is trading around USD 61 per barrel. Maruti Suzuki, Tata Motors, Yes Bank, Reliance Industries and Adani Ports are the major losers on the Sensex. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in dices performed as follow; Commodities[-1.79pts], Consumption[1.98pts],PSE[-1.18pts],CPSE[-1.91pts],Energy [-2.13pts],FMCG[-1.49pts],Auto[-2.24pts],Pharma[1.43pts],IT[-2.13pts],Metal[-1.10pts],Realty[-2.40pts], Fin Serv sector[-1.40pts].

NIKKEI HANG SENG

Top Gainers Company

CMP

Change

% Chg

420.15

7.2

1.74

305.4

1.05

0.34

CMP

Change

% Chg

733.35 7,209.70 696.4 5,667.50 162.65

-43 -344.35 -30.45 -235 -6.55

-5.54 -4.56 -4.19 -3.98 -3.87

Sun Pharma JSW Steel

Top Losers Company

Indiabulls Hsg Maruti Suzuki Tech Mahindra Bajaj Finserv Tata Motors

Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH Symbol

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

33.1

1.65

4.98

FILATEX

57

1.05

1.84

ICICILIQ

999.99

0

0

1000.01

0

0

1869.4

50.6

2.71

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

ABGSHIP

2.5

0.05

2

ADHUNIK

2.6

0.1

3.85

39.05 2.5 4

-1.95 0 -0.2

-4.99 0 -5

ELECTROSL

LIQUIDETF VINDHYATEL

Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol

AIFL ALCHEM AMTEKAUTO

Indian Indices Company

CMP

Change

% Chg

NIFTY

10601.20

-181.7

-1.69

SENSEX

35312.13

-572.28

-1.59

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Special Report

07-Dec-2018

RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. DCB BANK (FUTURE ) On Daily chart we have seen that stock near its support level, expectation it will broke its suppoet level. . Fresh selling we have seen in last trading session . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that traders view is to sell the stock . Our recommendation is also sell the stock in the range of 150 target 148/147 Sl 153

STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] DCB BANK On Daily chart we have seen that stock near its support level, expectation it will broke its suppoet level. . Fresh selling we have seen in last trading session . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that traders view is to sell the stock . Our recommendation is also sell the stock in the range of 150 target 148/147 Sl 153

MACRO NEWS 

Gross domestic product (GDP) growth slowed down to 7.1 percent in the second quarter of the current fiscal after four consecutive quarters of acceleration. This was mainly on account of slowing private consumption and a sharp drop in net exports. On the supply side, the growth of gross value added (GVA) at basic prices decelerated to 6.9 percent during the same period reflecting moderation in agricultural and industrial activities.

US stocks closed lower in a last trading session on Friday as the energy sector tumbled on continued weakness in oil prices, and the benchmark S&P 500 confirmed its second correction of 2018.The three major US indexes all fell well over 3 percent for the week, with the Dow industrials and the Nasdaq posting their biggest weekly percentage declines since March.

Country's third largest software company HCL Technologies and NBFC major Bajaj Finance will be included in the 30-share BSE Sensex effective December 24, 2018.Wipro and Adani Ports will be excluded from the index on the same day.

2. DIVI’S LAB [FUTURE] On Daily chart we have seen that stock close above its pivot support level . Fresh Buying we have seen in last trading session . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that traders view is to Buy the stock . Our recommendation is also Buy the stock in the range of 1485 target 1492/1498 Sl 1478

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Special Report

07-Dec-2018

STOCKS IN NEWS

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol

LTP

BANKNIFTY

CE

26,300

0.05 35,76,651

BANKNIFTY

CE

26,400

0.05 30,31,341

BANKNIFTY

CE

26,200

0.1 28,03,958

18,53,060 Elecon Engineering board to consider raising Rs 150 11,15,060 crore via NCD on December 10

RELIANCE

CE

1,200

9.3

5,756

14,28,000

RELIANCE

CE

1,160

18.9

5,018

7,68,500

RELIANCE

CE

1,180

SUNPHARMA

CE

440

MARUTI

CE

8,000

MARUTIACTIVE PUT CE OPTION 9,000 MOST Symbol

Optio Strike n Price Type

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

PFC to acquire govt's stake in REC for Rs 15k crore

Optio Strike n Price Type

BHEL's Rs 1,628-cr buyback offer to open on December 18,31,680 13

NIFTY FUTURE

9,44,500 In last trading session we have seen the haevy selling pressure in the market. It form red bearish candle on 14.4 4,451 10,36,200 daily chart .Nifty also broke the crusial support of 10700. 25.7 4,396 2,22,225 Our view on market is bearish ,our recommendation is to sell the nifty future in the range of 10600 Target 111.5 5,823 2,83,500 10560/10520/10480 .Sell on rise strategy follow for LTP Traded Open trading & positional purpose. 13

4,847

Volume (Contracts)

Interest

BANKNIFTY

PE

26,200

0.6

35,91,087

7,54,180

BANKNIFTY

PE

26,100

0.05

33,16,920

20,03,420

BANKNIFTY

PE

26,000

0.05

21,47,560

18,27,780

RELIANCE

PE

1,100

23.5

5,440

5,98,000

SUNPHARMA PE

400

14.5

4,344

25,54,200

MARUTI

PE

7,000 139.15

4,053

67,950

RELIANCE

PE

1,120

31.5

4,008

2,68,500

RELIANCE

PE

1,140

42

3,922

5,31,000

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY No. of Contracts

SELL Amount in Crores

OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY

No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts

Amount in Crores

NET AMOUNT

INDEX FUTURES

64832

4680.02

70832

4847.81

459747

35146.17

-167.7884

INDEX OPTIONS

1448606

88832.54

1422548

87010.61

1053228

76767.14

1821.932

STOCK FUTURES

439701

24575.05

433045

24099.84

1473795

85741.19

475.2068

STOCK OPTIONS

154804

8739.18

156774

8865.47

176312

10446.71

-126.2875 2003.0629

INDICES

R2

R1

PIVOT

S1

S2

NIFTY

10771

10686

10637

10552

10502

BANKNIFTY

26446

26322

26235

26111

26025

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Special Report

07-Dec-2018

RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 30925 TGT 30975 31000 SL BELOW 30820 SELL GOLD BELOW 30600 TGT 30500 30450 SL ABOVE 30700

COMMODITY ROUNDUP Gold prices were tepid on Wednesday pressured by a robust dollar after a senior U.S. Federal Reserve official reaffirmed the need for a further increase in interest rates, making bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies. Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida said on Tuesday the central bank should continue to gradually raise interest rates, but it was "especially important" to monitor economic data as monetary policy was getting close to a neutral stance. strength of the U.S. dollar has been bad for gold, while the Fed is little more bullish about interest rates," said John Sharma, an economist with National Australia Bank (NAB).Prospects of higher U.S. interest rates are negative for dollar-priced gold as they raise the opportunity cost of holding the bullion.

SILVER TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 36150 TGT 36220 36380 SL BELOW 36000 SELL SILVER BELOW 36000 TGT 35950/35870 SL ABOVE 36150

Oil rose further above $60 a barrel on Wednesday, supported by expectations that OPEC and its partners will next week decide to curb supply and helped by a drop in North Sea output. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia and other allies meet on Dec. 6-7. Producers are discussing a supply curb of 1 to 1.4 million barrels per day and possibly more, OPEC delegates have told Reuters. crude LCOc1 , the global benchmark, was up 53 cents at $60.74 a barrel at 0919 GMT and traded as high as $61.27.U.S. crude CLc1 added 41 cents to $51.97. Palm oil futures in Malaysia recovered from a more than three-year low on Wednesday, helped by a weaker ringgit but soft demand and high inventory levels kept a lid on prices.Palm touched its lowest since August 2015 on Tuesday, falling 4.4 percent over three consecutive sessions. The benchmark palm oil contract for February delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange rebounded by 2.4 percent to 2,014 ringgit ($479.75) per tonne by closing time on Wednesday.Palm futures are traded in ringgit and any weakness in the currency makes them cheaper for holders of other currencies.The ringgit edged lower for a second day on Wednesday, hitting its lowest in more than a year against the dollar.But the trader said palm was likely to struggle .

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Special Report

07-Dec-2018

RECOMMENDATIONS GUARGUM5 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GUARGUM DEC ABOVE 8750 TARGET 8775/8795/8810 SL 8690 SELL GUARGUM ABOVE DEC 8700 TARGET 8685/8670/8650 SL 8760

NCDEX INDICES Index

Value

% Change

Barley Castor Seed Chana Coriander Cotton Seed Oilcake Guar Seed 10 MT

1818 5692 4601 6781 1874.5 4388

-0.17 -2.85 -0.67 -0.19 -0.88 -1.16

Jeera

18715

-1.66

3968 3315 6426

-0.05 -0.3 -0.75

Mustardseed Soy Bean Turmeric

DHANIYA TRADING STRATEGY: BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6790 TARGET 6805/6830/6845 SL 6720 SELL DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6700 TARGET 6680/6660/6640 SL 6780

The Agriwatch Agri Commodities Index fell 1.07 per cent to 109.53 during the week ended Nov 24, 2018 from 110.71 the previous week due to a sharp fall in prices of potato and onion. Sugar, pulses and edible oils also declined while cereals and cotton gained. The base for the Index and all sub-Indices is 2014 (= 100). Six of the nine commodity group sub-Indices and 17 of the 29 individual commodity sub-Indices ended lower during the week. Oil prices on Monday clawed back some losses from a nearly 8 per cent plunge the previous session, with Brent jumping back above $60 per barrel, but sentiment remained weak amid a broad sell-off in financial markets in past weeks. Front-month Brent crude oil futures rose $1.31, or 2.2 per cent, to $60.11 per barrel by 0643 GMT. The gains partly made up for Friday's selloff, which traders have already dubbed 'Black Friday'. Reacting to Friday's falls in Brent and WTI, China's Shanghai crude futures on Monday fell by 5 per cent, hitting their daily downside-limit. The downward pressure comes from surging supply and a slowdown in demand growth which is expected to result in an oil supply overhang by next year. Australia-based MoooFarm Monday said it will train two lakh Indian dairy farmers by 2020 to develop their skills in areas like cattle nutrition with a view to increase farmers' income by at least 20 per cent. MoooFarm will train the farmers through UDAY, a skill development firm, which is its partner in India. The firm said it will also launch a hashtag called #TheColorofMilk on the occasion of National Milk Day, asking people to find the purity of milk. "Our master trainers are providing content to farmers for scaling up, which is being delivered through village-level entrepreneurs. Our target states include Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Andhra Pradesh, Haryana .

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Special Report

07-Dec-2018

RBI Reference Rate Currency

Rate Currency

Rate

Rupee- $

70.45 Yen

62.04

Euro

79.83 GBP

89.6539

USD/INR TRADING STRATEGY: USD/INR BUY USDINR NOV ABOVE 70.5 TGT 70.6 70.7 SL 70.25 SELL USDINR NOV BELOW 70.10 TGT 70 69.8 SL 70.30

GBP/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GBPINR NOV ABOVE 90 TGT 90.2 90.4 SL 89.8 SELL GBPINR NOV BELOW 88.95 TGT 88.85 88.75 SL 89.20

The dollar was trading at two-week highs against a currency basket on Wednesday as markets awaited fresh signals from the Federal Reserve on interest rates and developments in the U.S.-China trade war remained in focus.The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, edged up 0.1% to 97.35 by 04:25 AM GMT (09:25 AM GMT), the most since Nov. 13.Investors were looking ahead to a speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell later in the day and the minutes of the U.S. central bank’s November meeting, due to be released on Thursday. Markets are hoping for fresh indications on the future path of interest rate increases. The Fed is widely expected to raise rates for a fourth time this year at its upcoming meeting in December and has indicated that it may raise rates three more time in 2019.But dovish sounding comments by some policymakers in recent weeks have raised the prospect that the Fed may slow the pace of future rate hikes amid concerns over the outlook for the global economy and ongoing global trade tensions.On Tuesday, U.S. President Donald Trump once again criticized Powell, whom he picked last year to lead the bank, and the Fed’s rate hikes, which he said were harming the economy.Also Tuesday, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida backed further rate hikes, but said the tightening path would be data dependent.Market watchers were also looking ahead to the upcoming G20 summit in Buenos Aires later this week, where Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, are scheduled to discuss trade. Investors are hoping that talks could lead to a ceasefire in the trade war.Trump said earlier this week that it was "highly unlikely" he would accept China's request to hold off a planned increase in tariffs due to take effect in January. The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate dipped today, and is currently trading at $1.1274, after the release of Germany’s Gfk consumer confidence survey showed a decrease for December.

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Special Report

07-Dec-2018

Date

Commodity/ Currency Pairs

06/12/18

NCDEX DHANIYA

DEC

BUY

6790

06/12/18

NCDEX DHANIYA

DEC

Sell

06/12/18

NCDEX GUARGUM5

DEC

06/12/18

NCDEX GUARGUM5

06/12/18

Contract Strategy

Entry Level

Stop Loss

Remark

6805/6830/68 45

6720

NOT EXECUTED

6700

6680/6660/66 40

6780

NOT EXECUTED

BUY

8890

8905/8915/89 30

8840

NOT EXECUTED

DEC

SELL

8660

8645/8630/86 00

8700

TARGET HIT

MCX GOLD

DEC

BUY

30925

30975/31000

30820

NOT EXECUTED

06/12/18

MCX GOLD

DEC

SELL

30600

30500/30450

30700

NOT EXECUTED

06/12/18

MCX SILVER

DEC

BUY

36150

36220/36380

36000

NOT EXECUTED

06/12/18

MCX SILVER

DEC

SELL

36000

35950/35870

36150

NOT EXECUTED

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

Target

Date

Scrip

CASH/ FUTURE/ Strategy OPTION

06/12/18

NIFTY

FUTURE

BUY

10940

10900/10850

11000

NOT EXECUTED

06/12/18

DCB BANK

FUTURE

SELL

150-151

147/148

153

SL HIT

06/12/18

DIVIS LAB

FUTURE

BUY

1492

1498/1510

1480

NOT EXECUTED

06/11/18

DCB BANK

CASH

SELL

150-151

148/147

153

SL HIT

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Special Report

07-Dec-2018

NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS TIME (ET)

REPORT

PERIOD

ACTUAL

FORECAST

PREVIO US

MONDAY, DEC. 3 9:45 am

Markit manufacturing PMI

Nov.

--

55.4

10 am

Construction spending

Oct.

0.3%

0.0%

TUESDAY, DEC. 4

TUESDAY, DEC. 4

TUESDAY, TUESDAY, DEC. 4 DEC. 4

TUESDA TUESDAY, DEC. Y, DEC. 4 4

WEDNESD AY, DEC. 5

WEDNESDAY, DEC. 5

WEDNESD WEDNESDAY, WEDNESDAY, DEC. 5 AY, DEC. 5 DEC. 5

WEDNE SDAY, DEC. 5

8:15 am

ADP employment

Nov.

---

227,000

8:30 am

Productivity

Q3

2.3%

2.2%

9:45 am

Markit services PMI

Nov.

--

55.4

10 am

ISM nonmanufacturing index

Nov.

59.8%

60.3%

--

--

--

-THURSD AY, DEC. 6

10 am

Varies

8:30 am

10 am

9:45 am

9:45 am 2 pm

Quarterly services survey

Markit manufacturing index flash

Nov.

Markit Beigeservices book index flash

Nov.

Q3

--

55.7

--

54.8

THURSDAY THURSDAY, DEC. 6 , DEC. 6

THURSDA THURSDAY, DEC. 6 Y, DEC. 6

THURSDAY, DEC. 6

8:30 am

12/1

225,000

Weekly jobless claims

234,000

8:30 am 10 am

The

Factory orders

Oct.

-2.0%

0.7%

information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility. The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. We are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.