Special Report
07–MAR-2019
Global markets at a glance Wall Street’s main indexes fell for a third session on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 posting its biggest one-day decline in a month, as healthcare and energy shares slumped and investors sought reasons to buy after the market’s strong rally to start the year.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 133.17 points, or 0.52 percent, to 25,673.46, the S&P 500 lost 18.2 points, or 0.65 percent, to 2,771.45 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 70.44 points, or 0.93 percent, to 7,505.92. Asian shares rose marginally in early trade on Thursday, with caution prevailing as investors awaited some kind of resolution to Sino-US trade negotiations, while the euro remained under pressure ahead of the European Central Bank meeting.Japan’s Nikkei average fell 0.6 percent, while Australian shares added 0.2 percent. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.1percent in early trade. It was not far from its five-month high marked last week and was up 10.4 percent year-to-date.Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a flat to positive opening for the broader index in India, a rise of 5.5 points or 0.05 percent. Nifty futures were trading around 11,102-level on the Singaporean Exchange. PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF Indian equity markets traded with a positive bias throughout the day as buying frenzy led to sharp gains in all the major indices. Nifty Bank Index outperformed the benchmark index by a whopping ~1% as major banking heavyweights like Axis, ICICI, SBI & Kotak Bank posted strong gains along with a rise in open positions. Nifty Midcap 100 index continued its upward momentum, closing 2.3% higher. Stocks like PC Jewellers, Ujjivan & Tata Chem saw a massive spike to the tune of ~25% in open interest, hinting a formation of long positions. Market breadth ended in the favour of the advances with advance/ decline ratio closing at 6:1x. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in dices performed as follow; Commodities[+31.30pts], Consumption[+1.80pts],PSE[+30.25pts],CPSE [+13.10pts],Energy[+254.45pts],FMCG[+61.10pts],Auto[24.85pts],Pharma[+100.35pts],IT[+70.95pts],Metal [+21.10pts],Realty[+1.90ts], Fin Serv sector[+80.65 pts].
World Indices Index
Value
% Change
DJI
25673
-0.52
S&P500
2771
-0.65
NASDAQ
7505
-0.93
FTSE100
7196
+0.17
21433 28903
-0.76 -0.46
NIKKEI HANG SENG
Top Gainers Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
BPCL
372.7
10.2
2.81
2,766.70
71.55
2.65
371.95
8.7
2.4
1,264.80
27.15
2.19
302.55
6.4
2.16
CMP
Change
% Chg
470.9 188.8 720.6 1,699.80 730.5
-13.55 -5.25 -11.45 -24.8 -9.45
-2.8 -2.71 -1.56 -1.44 -1.28
Bajaj Finance ICICI Bank Reliance Bharti Infratel
Top Losers Company
Zee Entertain Tata Motors Axis Bank HUL Indiabulls Hsg
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
AAVAS
1,190.00
40.9
3.67
520.9
24.8
5
2,135.00
-20.6
-0.99
144.1
4.9
3.56
1,348.60
40.45
3.1
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
199
-0.05
-0.02
42.95
2.25
4.98
2.2 1.7 2,849.90
-0.1 0 -18.65
-4.35 0 -0.65
ANUP ASTRAZEN BALRAMCHIN BATAINDIA
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol
BIL BLUECOAST DNAMEDIA HOTELRUGBY ICRA
Indian Indices Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
NIFTY
11053
+65.50
+0.60
SENSEX
36636
+193.56
+0.53
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
07–MAR-2019
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. Vedanta [FUTURE ]
REPCOHOME
Vedanta — In vendanta we have seen that hammer formation on weekly chart . In last two weeks strong buying force seen in metal & energy stock. On technical point of view stock is near to its resistence level , it may posssible resistence will be breakout in upcoming week . Our recommendation is to Buy stock future 175-178 Target 180 Sl 172
Stock showing strength in last day & it is going to be continued beacuse after analysis of derivate date we have seen the increase in open interest along with the price of stock rise . Our recommendation is to buy the stock above 450 target 455/460 Sl 440 .
2. AXIS BANK [FUTURE]
MACRO NEWS
AXIS BANK— In last trading session seen buying in axis bank along with strong volume & Open interest .On technical point of view Stock is trading near to its previous high .RSI & MACD both indicate stock may in uptrend.Our recommendation is to Buy stock future 735-737 Target 740745 Sl 728 .
China sought to shore up its slowing economy through billions of dollars in planned tax cuts and infrastructure spending, with economic growth at its weakest in almost 30 years due to softer domestic demand and a trade war with the United States.The government is targeting economic growth of 6.0 to 6.5% in 2019, Premier Li Keqiang said at Tuesday's opening of the annual meeting of China's parliament, less than the 6.6 percent gross domestic product growth reported last year.
Oil prices fell more than 0.5 percent on Wednesday as bullish output forecasts by two big US producers outweighed recent OPEC-led efforts to rein in crude production. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $56.15 per barrel, down 41 cents, or 0.7 percent. WTI futures closed little changed on Tuesday.
The US Federal Reserve is considering imposing stricter rules on foreign bank branches to tighten what critics say is a loophole that has allowed overseas lenders to shield assets from the toughest US bank rules, three people with Reuters.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
07–MAR-2019
STOCKS IN NEWS
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol
Optio Strike n Price Type
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
BANKNIFTY
CE
27,500 137.25
6,63,672
3,67,240
BANKNIFTY
CE
27,400
201
6,40,771
BANKNIFTY
CE
27,300
281
5,52,552
TATAMOTORS CE
200
6.15
10,227
TATAMOTORS CE
210
3.15
CE
1,240
35
TATAMOTORS CE
190
10.9
TATAMOTORS CE
220
1.55
RELIANCE
MARUTIACTIVE PUT CE OPTION 9,000 111.5 MOST
Varroc Engineering: Step down subsidiary Varroc 2,02,080 Lighting Systems, Poland opened new Research & 1,90,840 Development Centre.
31,06,000 NIFTY FUTURE NIFTY -On daily weekly chart we have 6,056 17,14,000 identify that Head & Shoulder pattern is forming at the top . Head & shoulder & for a short term forming 5,308 10,43,000 Broading wedge pattern in technical term bearish 5,207 18,64,000 reversal pattern .On Tuesday trading session we have seen buying in market in each segment & sector i.e Large 5,048 16,60,000 Cap, Medium & Small Cap .Nifty gets support of 100 DEMA & 200 DEMA.Our recommendation is to Buy nifty 5,823 2,83,500 future in the range of 11010 –10040 Target will be 11080 Traded Open -11100 Sl below 10970. RSI & MACD both indicator Volume Interest indicate nifty on upper side. Its very important resistence (Contracts) on upper side, previsous high made few week ago 5,45,581 10,10,060 around 11130.
Symbol
Optio Strike n Price Type
BANKNIFTY
PE
27,000
29
BANKNIFTY
PE
26,900
24.5
3,81,842
4,78,900
BANKNIFTY
PE
27,100
33
3,61,254
5,64,120
TATAMOTORS PE
180
3.15
4,895
21,26,000
PE
1,200
14.4
4,079
7,24,000
TATAMOTORS PE
190
6.2
4,059
18,02,000
RELIANCE
LTP
Vedanta: Board approved 2nd interim dividend of Rs 1.85 per share i.e. 185 percent on face value of Re 1 for the financial year 2018-19.
RELIANCE
PE
1,220 20.75
3,457
5,45,000
LT
PE
1,280 17.35
2,957
8,52,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY No. of Contracts
SELL Amount in Crores
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts
Amount in Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
42136
3173.79
38118
2796.76
202466
15821.28
377.0269
INDEX OPTIONS
2720453
167575.25
2714805
167286.69
701549
53042.28
288.5671
STOCK FUTURES
216567
12765.85
214510
12604.39
1405547
87381.22
161.4608
STOCK OPTIONS
132104
8061.12
130524
7921.33
92375
5510.98
139.7907 966.8455
INDICES
R2
R1
PIVOT
S1
S2
NIFTY
11101
11077
11038
11013
10974
BANKNIFTY
27789
27707
27599
27517
27410
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
07–MAR-2019
RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD TRADING STRATEGY: GOLD BUY ABOVE 31970 Target 32000/32050 Sl 31920 GOLD SELL BELOW 31920 Target 31890 /31850 Sl 31970
SILVER TRADING STRATEGY: Silver Buy Above 38190 Target 38230/38260 Sl 38140 Silver Sell Below 38100 Target 38050/38000 Sl 38200
COMMODITY ROUNDUP Oil fell towards $65 a barrel on Tuesday, pressured by the restart of Libya's biggest oilfield and on expectations for an increase in U.S. crude inventories.Some wells at Libya's El Sharara oilfield have restarted and the aim is to reach initial output of 80,000 barrels per day, a field engineer said on Tuesday. The field had been closed since December. crude LCOc1 , the international benchmark, fell 62 cents to $65.05 a barrel as of 0930 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 slipped 44 cents to $56.15."The main development has been the restart of El Sharara," said Olivier Jakob, analyst at Petromatrix. "It's a new input which is on the bearish side."Oil also slipped on forecasts that the latest round of U.S. inventory reports will show rising crude stockpiles. Six analysts polled by Reuters estimated, on average, that crude stocks rose 400,000 barrels in the week to March 1.The first supply report is due at 2130 GMT from the American Petroleum Institute (API), an industry group, followed by the government's official figures on Wednesday. API/SConcern about a slowdown in oil demand growth, especially in Europe and Asia, has weighed on prices. Still, Brent has risen 20 percent this year due to supply curbs led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.China's government said it is targeting economic growth of 6.0 to 6.5 percent in 2019, less than 6.6 percent growth reported last year. That raises the prospect of slowing fuel demand in the world's second-largest consumer. Gold prices were steady on Tuesday, trading near five-week lows touched in the previous session, as a firmer dollar and optimism over a likely U.S.-China trade deal dented safehaven appeal of the precious metal.Spot gold XAU= was down 0.1 percent to $1,285.51 per ounce as of 0719 GMT, after slipping to $1,282.50 in the previous session, its lowest since Jan. 25.U.S. gold futures GCv1 were flat at $1,287.50 per ounce.The dollar, against a group of six major currencies .DXY , was trading close to its two-week high of 96.816 posted in the previous session. USD/"People are more comfortable in moving out of safe-haven assets and gold is coming under pressure from that," said Jeffrey Halley, Senior Market Analyst at OANDA."A lot of money was parked in gold at the start of the year, waiting for clarity on tariffs. Now that we are seeing little bit of optimism on the tariffs that is sort of undermining pillars for buying gold," Halley said, adding that if yields continued to rise, that would further pressure gold.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
07–MAR-2019
RECOMMENDATIONS GUARGUM5 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GUARGUM MARCH ABOVE 8400 TGT 8415/8440/8460 SL BELOW 8340 SELL GUARGUM MARCH BELOW 8280 TGT 8265/8250/8220 SL ABOVE 8340
NCDEX INDICES Index
Value
% Change
Castor Seed Chana Coriander Cotton Seed Oilcake Guar Seed 10 MT
5248 4107 6201 1937 4175
-0.99 -0.15 -0.5 1.42 -0.79
15565
0.26
3842 3649 6314
-0.86 0.93 0.48
Jeera Mustardseed Soy Bean Turmeric
DHANIYA TRADING STRATEGY: BUY DHANIYA APRIL ABOVE 6190 TGT 6205/6225/6250 SL BELOW 6140 SELL DHANIYA APRIL BELOW 6150 TGT 6135/6120/6090 SL ABOVE 6210
Global demand for platinum is set to increase by 5% to 7,740koz in 2019, the World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC) said in its latest research report.The increase is due to the expected significant rise in investment demand, which offsets weaker forecast demand in automotive, jewellery and industrial segments. Supply growth of 5% exceeds demand growth resulting in the market balance rising from a surplus of 645koz last year to 680koz, the report said.Total investment demand in 2019 is forecast to be 530koz, as strong growth in ETF holdings reverses the net reduction in 2018 and adds another year of strong bar and coin demand. Despite a fall in ETF holdings towards the end of 2018, investors rapidly increased their ETF holdings in the first few weeks of 2019 across western markets and South Africa, the council said.Chemical demand is estimated to rise by 35koz in 2019, which will offset declines in the glass and other industrial segments. This will see overall industrial demand come close to the high level in 2018 at 1,885koz. The world’s top producers of natural rubber will curb exports by 240,000 tonnes for four months from April, they said, in a bid to prop up global prices for the commodity.The move was first announced in late February, following a meeting of the International Tripartite Rubber Council (ITRC), which comprises Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia. However, the exact volume, start date and timeframe were not announced at that time. Formally known as the Agreed Export Tonnage Scheme (AETS), the export cuts will start in April and last for four months, the group said in a joint statement, Reuters reported.“Under the sixth AETS implementation, the three countries agreed for export cutbacks of 240,000 metric tonnes of natural rubber,” the group said in a statement.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
07–MAR-2019
RBI Reference Rate Currency
Rate Currency
Rate
Rupee- $
70.4650 Yen
63.1325
Euro
79.8250 GBP
92.79
USD/INR TRADING STRATEGY: USD/INR BUY USDINR ABOVE 70.6 TGT 70.7/70.8 SL BELOW 70.4 SELL USDINR BELOW 70.4 TGT 70.3/70.2 SL ABOVE 70.6
GBP/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GBPINR ABOVE 93 TGT 93.10/93.2 SL BELOW 92.8 SELL GBPINR BELOW 92.7 TGT 92.6/92.5 SL ABOVE 92.9
The U.S. dollar held steady near a two-week high against its major peers in early European hours on Wednesday, while the Australian dollar sank to its lowest level of the year after data showed the economy slowed to a near standstill in the fourth quarter.The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, was at 96.80 by 4:15AM ET (09:15 GMT), after going as high as 96.95 the previous day, its best level since Feb. 15.Robust U.S. economic data supported the dollar after reports on Tuesday showed a rebound in housing and services activity, which eased concerns over a slowdown in the world’s biggest economy.The dollar was a tad lower against the yen at 111.85 (USD/JPY), after hitting a high of 112.13 a day earlier, its strongest since Dec. 20. The Australian dollar skidded to a two-month low on Wednesday after evidence of an economic slowdown supported market expectations for an interest rate cut later this year.Foreign exchange markets were mostly quiet elsewhere, with the U.S. dollar holding near a two-week high after Tuesday's strong service industries and new home sales data, and the euro pausing before Thursday's European Central Bank meeting.Australian economic growth came in at 0.2 percent in the fourth quarter, below an expected 0.3 percent. the Reserve Bank of Australia, which has kept rates at a record-low of 1.50 percent, shifts to a more dovish tilt it would be following other central banks in growing more cautious about the economic outlook. (nRBA)The Aussie dollar slid 0.8 percent to $0.7028 AUD-D3 , its lowest since Jan. 4.Against the yen the Aussie also fell sharply AUDJPY=D3 , while New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 weakened as worries about the Australian economy spread."The key domestic demand components were all weak and our economists suggest the door for rate cuts has opened further," said Adam Cole, currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets.The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies .DXY, was unchanged at 96.898 after hitting a two-week high of 97.008 on Tuesday.The dollar rose overnight as unexpectedly strong data helped soothe some fears about the state of the world's biggest economy.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
07–MAR-2019
Date
Commodity/ Currency Pairs
06/03/19
NCDEX DHANIYA
APR
BUY
6190
06/03/19
NCDEX DHANIYA
APR
Sell
06/03/19
NCDEX GUARGUM5
MAR
06/03/19
NCDEX GUARGUM5
06/03/19
Contract Strategy
Entry Level
Stop Loss
Remark
6205/6225/62 50
6280
NOT EXECUTED
6150
6135/6120/60 90
6210
TARGET
BUY
8400
8415/8440/84 60
8340
TARGET
MAR
SELL
8280
8265/8250/82 20
8340
TARGET
MCX GOLD
MAR
BUY
33350
33400/33475
33250
NOT EXECUTED
06/03/19
MCX GOLD
MAR
SELL
32900
32800/32800
33
TARGET
06/03/19
MCX SILVER
MAR
BUY
40700
40750/40800
40500
NOT EXECUTED
06/03/19
MCX SILVER
MAR
SELL
40400
40300/40200
40600
NOT EXECUTED
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
Target
Date
Scrip
CASH/ FUTURE/ Strategy OPTION
06/03/19
NIFTY
FUTURE
SELL
10800
10750/10700
10900
TARGET
06/03/19
Vedanta
FUTURE
BUY
175-178
180
172
Open
06/03/19
AXIS BANK
FUTURE
BUY
735-737
740
728
SL HIT
06/03/19
REPOHOME
CASH
BUY
450
455/460
440
TARGET
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
07–MAR-2019
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
PERI ACTUAL OD
TIME (ET) REPORT
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN WILL DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK. MONDAY, MARCH 4 10 am
Construction spending* (new date)
Dec.
0.3%
0.8%
TUESDAY, MARCH 5 9:45 am
Markit services PMI (final)
Feb.
--
56.2
10 am
New home sales* (new date)
Dec.
576,000
657,000
10 am
ISM nonmanufacturing index
Feb.
57.4%
56.7%
2 pm
Federal budget* (new date)
Jan.
--
$49 bln
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 6 8:15 am
ADP employment
Feb.
--
213,000
8:30 am
Trade balance* (new date)
Dec.
-$57.8 bln
-$49.3bln
10 am
Factory orders*
Jan.
2 pm
Beige Book
DELAYED
THURSDAY, MARCH 7 9:45 am
Markit manufacturing index flash
Nov.
9:45 am
Markit services index flash
Nov.
3/2
--
Weekly jobless claims
8:30 am
Productivity* (full report)
Q4
1.7%
2.2% (Q3)
8:30 am
Unit labor costs* (full report)
Q4
1.6%
0.9% (Q3)
8:30 am
Trade balance*
Jan.
3 pm
Consumer credit
Jan.
--
$17 bln
--
224,000
55.7
8:30 am
54.8
225,000
DELAYED
FRIDAY, MARCH 8 8:30 am
Nonfarm payrolls
Feb.
180,000
304,000
8:30 am
Unemployment rate
Feb.
3.9%
4.0%
8:30 am
Average hourly earnings
Feb.
0.3%
0.1%
8:30 am
Housing starts* (new date)
Jan.
1.222mln
1.078mln
10 am
Wholesale inventories*
Jan.
DELAYED
*DELAYED BY GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
07–MAR-2019
Disclaimer The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility. The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. We are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid or Unpaid), any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.
Sachin Yadav
Digitally signed by Sachin Yadav DN: cn=Sachin Yadav c=IN o=Personal Reason: I am the author of this document Location: Date: 2019-03-07 09:15+05:30
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________