Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
Global markets at a glance Wall Street see-sawed on Monday, rarely straying far from opening levels as investors eyed ongoing US-China trade talks, potential congressional gridlock and a diminished 2019 earnings outlook. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq eked out nominal gains while the blue chip Dow edged lower.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 53.22 points, or 0.21 percent, to 25,053.11, the S&P 500 gained 1.92 points, or 0.07 percent, to 2,709.8 and the Nasdaq Composite added 9.71 points, or 0.13 percent, to 7,307.91. Asian shares barely budged on Tuesday with investors looking to a new round of Sino-US trade talks as the world’s two largest economies try to resolve a tariff dispute that has put a dent on global growth and corporate earnings.MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was unchanged in early trade. Japan’s Nikkei was up 1.1 percent after a market holiday on Monday. Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a negative opening for the broader index in India, a fall of 23.5 points or 0.21 percent. Nifty futures were trading around 10,907-level on the Singaporean Exchange. According to Pivot charts, the key support level is placed at 10,853.63, followed by 10,818.47. If the index starts moving upward, key resistance levels to watch out are 10,927.43 and then 10,966.07. PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF Indian equity markets ended in the red for the second consecutive session with selling pressure witnessed across the board.Nifty ended the session 54 points lower at 10,888, while Bank Nifty settled 66 points lower at 27,227, with both indices recovering marginally from their respective low points of the day.The selling pressure was more severe in the broader markets with Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 indices closing 1.67% and 1.8% lower, respectively. Nifty PSU Bank was the worstperforming sectoral index of the day and fell 1.74% led by a sharp correction in stocks of SBI and Canara Bank. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in dices performed as follow; Commodities[-41.45pts], Consumption[-38pts],PSE[-29.7pts],CPSE[-21.75pts],Energy [-250.75pts],FMCG[-40.55pts],Auto[-100.05pts],Pharma[146.85ts],IT[+79.25pts],Metal[ -15.30pts],Realty[ 2.30pts], Fin Serv sector[-51.5pts].
World Indices Index
Value
% Change
DJI
25162
+0.58
S&P500
2709
+0.07
NASDAQ
7307
+0.13
FTSE100
7129
+0.82
20333 27968
-2.01 +0.08
NIKKEI HANG SENG
Top Gainers Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
Tata Steel
480.7
11.95
2.55
Cipla
543.3
9.05
1.69
IOC
135.85
2.05
1.53
Tata Motors
152.65
1.95
1.29
1,079.35
10.9
1.02
CMP
Change
% Chg
2,615.35 647.55 138.2 199.45 3,449.40
-154.35 -34.55 -5.95 -6.45 -108.4
-5.57 -5.07 -4.13 -3.13 -3.05
HCL Tech
Top Losers Company
Dr Reddys Labs M&M ONGC Hindalco UltraTechCement
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
AAVAS
869.9
6.2
0.72
1,000.01
0.01
0
136.8
8.6
6.73
1,793.00
-76.15
-4.31
377.4
1.3
0.35
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
20MICRONS
32.3
-3.2
-8.91
21STCENMGM
19.5
-0.35
-1.76
3PLAND ABAN ABCAPITAL
9.9 48.5 79
0.5 -2.5 -2.45
4.55 -4.84 -3
LIQUIDETF MAHASTEEL NAUKRI WIPRO
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol
Indian Indices Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
NIFTY
10888
-54.8
-0.50
SENSEX
36395
-151
-0.41
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. Titan [FUTURE ] TITAN -In Titan on daily chart as well as weekly we have seen that Buying in this stock by traders as well as investors in last week .Reason behind that quarterly result awaited in this week & also from technical aspect stock now moving towards to break its previous highs.Our recommendation is to Buy 1070 stock target will be 1075/1085 SL below 1060
REPCOHOME Stock has given the breakout of the neckline of the double bottom pattern but can not sustain at upper level .we have seen the weakness on chart We recommend sell below 375 for the target of 370/365 with the stop loss of 385
2. KSCL [FUTURE] KSCL— In KSCL we have seen sharp selling in this week , we may expect that it will be continue in upcoming week also. On Technical point of view seen trend line breakdown & also MACRO NEWS stock not able to sustain at upper level. RSI & MACD also indicate downtrend in this stock with strong volume.Our Oil prices rose on Tuesday amid OPEC-led supply cuts and US sanctions against Iran and Venezuela, although recommendation is sell stock future in the range of 525 surging US production and concerns over economic Target 518 /500/490 Sl 535 growth kept markets in check.US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were at $52.50 per barrel at 0102 GMT, up 9 cents, or 0.2 percent, from their last close. International Brent crude futures were up 18 cents, or 0.3 percent, at $61.69 per barrel.
To check excessive price movements, capital markets regulator Sebi Monday proposed a slew of measures including capping the maximum daily movement of up to 20 per cent for all stocks including that are part of the future and options (F&O) segment. There have been concerns that investors' wealth is getting wiped out in a single day by recent falls in stocks on which derivative products are available, as no price band are applicable on them.
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Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
STOCKS IN NEWS
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol
Optio Strike n Price Type
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
BANKNIFTY
CE
27,500
59.4
4,15,067
BANKNIFTY
CE
27,400 88.05
3,94,808
BANKNIFTY
CE
27,300 130.55
3,37,495
TATASTEEL
CE
500
6.15
10,328
TATASTEEL
CE
480 14.05
8,371
RELIANCE
CE
1,300 15.25
7,117
TATASTEEL
CE
490
9.6
6,436
TATAMOTORS CE
170
1.4
6,061
MARUTIACTIVE PUT CE OPTION 9,000 111.5 5,823 MOST Symbol
Optio Strike n Price Type
BANKNIFTY
PE
BANKNIFTY
Open Interest
Bharti Airtel: Airtel Kenya Signs an agreement with Telkom Kenya to combine operations.
7,36,200 Tata Steel Q3: Profit surges 53 percent YoY to Rs 1,751 crore; India biz revenue up 10 percent 4,55,980 3,87,460 Reliance Industries: RRVL acquired a further stake of 9.44 percent in Genesis Colors for Rs 45 crore 16,96,539 12,15,906 NIFTY FUTURE NIFTY -On daily weekly chart we have 15,88,500 identify that Head & Shoulder pattern is forming at the top . Head & shoulder & for a short term forming 11,68,161 Raising wedge pattern in technical term bearish reversal 43,98,000 pattern .Nifty breach the important level of 11000 in this week ,but closing below 11000 .On technical point of 2,83,500 view still our recommendation is to sell nifty future in Open the range of 10950-10900 Target 10850/10800 SL 11000 Interest Our strategy is to sell on rise .
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
27,000
48
4,68,202
7,23,980
PE
27,100
70
3,10,072
3,85,540
BANKNIFTY
PE
27,200
104
3,10,052
3,24,340
TATASTEEL
PE
460
6.45
7,344
11,36,331
RELIANCE
PE
1,260
29.1
6,134
7,51,000
TATASTEEL
PE
450
4.45
6,083
9,85,669
MARUTI
PE
7,000
77.4
5,844
1,00,875
TATASTEEL
PE
470
9.1
5,736
7,74,530
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY No. of Contracts
SELL Amount in Crores
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts
Amount in Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
34760
2564.07
30704
2289.54
367245
29192.17
274.5322
INDEX OPTIONS
1181619
70662.57
1160830
69318.25
806614
61136.45
1344.3119
STOCK FUTURES
201029
11014.68
209951
11566.60
1499223
88279.69
-551.9263
STOCK OPTIONS
145246
8360.15
144781
8309.23
143917
8409.73
50.9214 1117.8392
INDICES
R2
R1
PIVOT
S1
S2
NIFTY
10966
10927
10892
10853
10818
BANKNIFTY
27382
27305
27228
27150
27074
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Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 33100 TGT 33150/33200 SL BELOW 32900 SELL GOLD BELOW 32900 TGT 32800/32800 SL ABOVE 33200
SILVER TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 40700 TGT 40750/40800 SL BELOW 40550 SELL SILVER BELOW 40400 TGT 40300/40200 SL ABOVE 40600
COMMODITY ROUNDUP Gold held steady on Friday en route to its first weekly loss in three, pressured by gains in the dollar, but kept above the $1,300 level by concerns over economic growth in Europe and elsewhere.Spot gold XAU= was steady at $1,310.46 per ounce, as of 1029 GMT, after hitting its lowest since Jan. 29 at $1,302.11 on Thursday.U.S. gold futures GCv1 were up about 0.1 percent at $1,314.70."The major headwind is the pretty resilient dollar at the moment," said Philip Newman, director at Metals Focus."There are quite a few concerns economically, financially and politically - and yesterday, there was a downgrade in European growth (forecast)."The dollar index .DXY , which tracks the greenback against major currencies, was on course for its first weekly gain in three and was trading close to a twoweek high, taking some shine off gold. USD/While bullion has risen about 13 percent since touching over 1-1/2-year lows in August, mostly due to volatile stock markets and a dovish U.S. Federal Reserve, a strong dollar has driven gold down about 0.6 percent so far this week. Gold denominated in euros XAUEUR=R climbed to its highest since early May 2017, at 1,157.37 euros per ounce, in the previous session after the European Commission cut its forecasts for euro zone economic growth this year and next.The Commission cited global trade tensions and China's slowdown as the main drags on the European Union's economy. about a global slowdown and the lack of any sign of a resolution to the U.S.-China trade row dragged global shares down for a third day. MKTS/GLOB Oil markets inched down on Friday and were heading for a weekly loss, pulled down by worries about a global economic slowdown, although OPEC-led supply cuts and U.S. sanctions against Venezuela provided crude with some support.Weighing on financial markets were concerns that a trade dispute between the United States and China would remain unresolved, denting global economic prospects. Brent crude futures LCOc1 were down 14 cents at $61.49 per barrel at 0855 GMT. On the week, they are set for a loss of around 2 percent, the steepest weekly fall this year.U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures CLc1 stood at $52.46 per barrel, down 18 cents, and looking at a 5 percent weekly slump.
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Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
RECOMMENDATIONS GUARGUM5 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GUARGUM MAR 8365/8390/8410 SL 8290 SELL GUARGUM MAR 8245/8220/8200 SL 8320
ABOVE
8350
TARGET
BELOW
8260
TARGET
NCDEX INDICES Index
Value
% Change
Barley
1580
0.39
Castor Seed
5096
0.39
Chana Coriander Cotton Seed Oilcake Guar Seed 10 MT
4229 6609 2049 4336
-1.18 -0.05 0.59 -0.09
15910
-0.38
3952 3826 6398
1.24 0.86 0.13
Jeera Mustardseed Soy Bean Turmeric
DHANIYA TRADING STRATEGY: BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 6220 TARGET 6235/6260/6280 SL 6160 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 6200 TARGET 6185/6160/6140 SL 6260
India's Cotton imports are likely to jump 80 percent from a year ago as production could fall to the lowest level in nine years due to low rainfall in key growing region.Rains in Gujarat and Maharashtra, which account for more than half of India's Cotton production, were nearly a quarter below normal during the June-September monsoon season in 2018.India could import 2.7 million bales in 2018/19 marketing year ending on Sept. 30, up from 1.5 million bales a year ago. India imports Cotton mainly from the United States, Brazil and Egypt.Spinning mills have imported 548,000 bales by the end of January out of total contracts of 1 million bales signed so far in the current marketing year.India is likely to produce 33 million bales in the current season, down from earlier estimate of 33.5 million bales and last year's output of 36.5 million bales, CAI estimates. Higher imports by the world's biggest Cotton producer could support global prices, trading near their lowest in more than a year. The drop in Indian supplies could help rivals such as the United States, Brazil and Australia increase cargoes to key Asian buyers such as China, B a n g l a d e s h a n d P a k i s t a n . India's oilmeal exports during April 2018 to January 2019 rose 7% to 2,692,452 tonnes from 2,516,657 tonnes reported in the corresponding period last year, according to latest data compiled by the Solvent Extractors’ Association of India (SEA).Soybean meal exports advanced sharply during the period under review from 23,000 tonnes to 2.8 lakh tonnes with the Iran market opening up. In the wake of economic sanctions by the US, Iran turned to India to meet its soybean meal requirements. To support this, Iran started accepting payments in Indian currency, used it to pay India for imports.
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Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
RBI Reference Rate Currency
Rate Currency
Rupee- $
71.30 Yen
64.8325
Euro
80.10 GBP
92.2175
USD/INR TRADING STRATEGY: USD/INR BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 71.5 TARGET 71.6 71.7 SL 71.3 SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 71.25 TARGET 71.15 71 SL 71.45
GBP/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GBPINR FUTURE ABOVE 92.50 TARGET 92.6 92.7 SL 92.30 SELL GBPINR FUTURE BELOW 92.30 TARGET 92.2 92.1 SL 92.50
Rate
The Pound Euro (GBP/EUR) exchange rate is steady today and is currently trading around €1.1418 on the inter-bank market.Sterling (GBP) remained unmoved against the Euro (EUR) today after the publication of the German trade balance figures for December, which exceeded expectation and increased to €19.4bn.These were also followed by a rise in German exports figures for December, which increased above expectation by 1.5%.This has seen a return of some confidence in the Euro as markets have been becoming increasingly concerned about signs of a slowing Eurozone economy.Some of the gains, however, were clipped by the publication of the Italian industrial output figures for January, which decreased by a worsethan-expected -0.8%.Italy’s economy is an ongoing concern for EUR traders, with the country recently falling into a recession.The UK, meanwhile, will see no significant economic data release today, with Sterling traders instead focusing on Brexit developments.Prime Minister Theresa May has headed for Dublin to meet with her Irish counterpart, Leo Varadkar, and discuss aspects of the Irish backstop.GBP traders, however, are remaining cautious as both Varadkar and the EU have consistently rejected renegotiations on the Northern Irish border issue. The euro held at a two-week low on Friday as traders nursed losses in a week of bad data that indicated an economic slowdown in Europe was spreading as trade tensions between United States and China remain high.The single currency is on course for its biggest weekly loss in more than four months after data that has also pushed down euro zone government bond yields, with benchmark German debt trading at its lowest level in more than two years.But some traders said large buy orders from central banks at around $1.13 levels were nevertheless keeping the euro supported. One analyst pointed to the presence of large currency options amounting to nearly $1 billion around $1.1280 expiring later in the day as another possible prop."We are all scratching our heads on who the mystery buyer is on euro/dollar," said Kenneth Broux, a currency strategist at Societe Generale (PA:SOGN) in London.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
Date
Commodity/ Currency Pairs
11/2/19
NCDEX DHANIYA
APR
BUY
6340
11/2/19
NCDEX DHANIYA
APR
Sell
11/2/19
NCDEX GUARGUM5
MAR
11/2/19
NCDEX GUARGUM5
11/2/19
Contract Strategy
Entry Level
Stop Loss
Remark
6355/6370/64 00
6280
NOT EXECUTED
6250
6235/6220/61 90
6310
TARGET
BUY
8200
8215/8240/82 60
8260
TARGET
MAR
SELL
8150
8135/8120/80 80
8210
TARGET
MCX GOLD
FEB
BUY
33500
33550/33600
33400
NOT EXECUTED
11/2/19
MCX GOLD
FEB
SELL
33300
33250/33200
33500
TARGET
11/2/19
MCX SILVER
MAR
BUY
40700
40750/40800
40500
NOT EXECUTED
11/2/19
MCX SILVER
MAR
SELL
40400
40300/40200
40600
NOT EXECUTED
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
Target
Date
Scrip
CASH/ FUTURE/ Strategy OPTION
11/2/19
NIFTY
FUTURE
SELL
10950-10900
10850/10800
11000
OPEN
11/2/19
TITAN
FUTURE
BUY
1070
1075/1080
1060
NOT EXECUTED
11/2/19
KSCL
FUTURE
SELL
545-540
520
575
NOT EXECUTED
11/2/19
REPOHOME
CASH
SELL
375
370/365
385
TARGET HIT
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Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS TIME (ET)
PERIO D
REPORT
ACTUAL
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN COULD DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK. MONDAY, FEB. 11 None scheduled TUESDAY, FEB. 12 6 am
NFIB small business index
Jan.
--
104.4
10 am
Job openings
Dec.
--
6.9 mln
11 am
Household credit
Q4
--
4.3%
WEDNESDAY, FEB. 13 8:30 am
Consumer price index
Jan.
0.1%
-0.1%
8:30 am
Core CPI
Jan.
0.2%
0.2%
2 pm
Federal budget
Dec.
--
-$23 bln
THURSDAY, FEB. 14 8:30 am
Weekly jobless claims
2./9
227.000
234,000
8:30 am
Retail sales (new date)
Dec.
0.0%
0.2%
8:30 am
Retail sales ex-autos (new date)
Dec.
-0.1%
0.2%
8:30 am
Producer price index
Jan.
0.2%
-0.2%
10 am
Business inventories (new date)
Nov.
--
0.6%
--
N/A N/A
Jan.
DELAYED 54.8 ---
FRIDAY, FEB. 15 8:30 am 9:45 am
Retail sales*
Markit manufacturing index flash
8:30 am Markit Retail sales ex-autos* 9:45 am services index flash 8:30 am Import price index
Nov. Nov.
Jan. Jan
---
DELAYED
55.7
-1.0%
8:30 am
Empire state index
Feb.
--
3.9
9:15 am
Industrial production
Jan.
0.2%
0.3%
9:15 am
Capacity utilization
Jan.
78.8%
78.7%
10 am
Business inventories*
Dec.
--
N/A
10 am
Consumer sentiment index
Feb.
92.8
91.2
DELAYED
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