Special report-20-nov-2018-epic-research

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Special Report 20-Nov-2018

Global markets at a glance The U.S. benchmark S&P 500 stock index dropped 1.7 percent following a decline in shares of Apple and its suppliers. The Wall Street Journal reported Apple had cut production orders in recent weeks for iPhone models it launched in September. tensions between China and the United States also weighed. At an Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperative meeting in Papua New Guinea over the weekend, the issue prevented leaders from agreeing on a communique, the first time such an impasse had occurred in the group's history. Vice President Mike Pence said in a blunt speech on Saturday that there would be no end to U.S. tariffs on $250 billion of Chinese goods until China changed its ways."That APEC was unable to issue a final statement clearly indicates that China versus the rest of the world isn't just about the United States," said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer for Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts. "It's a widening of trade concerns that are already rattling markets." till, New York Fed President John Williams (NYSE:WMB) stated that the U.S. central bank is moving ahead with its plans for gradual rate hikes as it marches toward a more normal policy stance. a widening gap between the Fed and what the markets think is the right course," McMillan said PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF It’s a strong start to the week, with the Sensex ending over 300 points higher, while the Nifty surged past 10,750 on the back of intense buying. Buying counters were buzzing among sectors such as automobiles, consumption, energy, infrastructure, IT, metals and pharmaceuticals as well. In the broader markets, the Nifty Midcap index rose around half a percent. Financials saw a rally as news reports indicated that the central bank was open to tweaking/ review of PSU banks’ prompt corrective action (PCA) plan. At the close of market hours, the Sensex closed up 317.72 points or 0.90% at 35774.88, while the Nifty was higher 81.20 points or 0.76% at 10763.40. The market breadth was narrow as 1,330 shares advanced, against a decline of 1,278 shares, while 160 shares were unchanged. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in dices performed as follow; Commodities[+0.83pts], Consumption[+0.93pts],PSE[-0.14pts],CPSE[0 .1 0 pt s ], E ne r gy [+ 1 .0 7 p ts ] , FM CG [ +1 .7 1 p ts ], A u to [+1.05pts],Pharma[+0.1.05pts],IT[+0.83pts],Metal[ 1.21pts],Realty[+1.71 pts], Fin Serv sector[0.27 pts].

World Indices Index

Value

% Change

DJI

24943

-0.34

2690

-1.66

NASDAQ

7028.48

-3.12

FTSE100

7000.89

-0.19

21821.16 26372

+140.82 +188.47

S&P500

NIKKEI HANG SENG

Top Gainers Company

CMP

Change

% Chg

Yes Bank

204.8

13.8

7.23

ITC

284.5

7.95

2.87

Tata Motors

184.6

4.7

2.61

1,537.95

36.85

2.45

531.55

11.8

2.27

CMP

Change

% Chg

733.8 334.7 2,360.95 362.4 154.55

-32.4 -7.5 -41.15 -5.15 -1.8

-4.23 -2.19 -1.71 -1.4 -1.15

IndusInd Bank Sun Pharma

Top Losers Company

Indiabulls Hsg GAIL Bajaj Finance ICICI Bank ONGC

Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH Symbol

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

AARTIIND

1436.15

17.85

1.24

ATUL

3541.95

-11.9

-0.34

0.9

-0.05

-5.56

1558.7

6.3

0.4

27.3

1.35

4.95

BLUECHIP DIVISLAB ELECTROSL

Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

ABGSHIP

2.85

0

0

ACCELYA

946.2

-1.15

-0.12

ADHUNIK AGRITECH AIFL

2.7 51.75 47.85

0.1 0.1 -2.35

3.7 0.19 -4.91

Indian Indices Company

CMP

Change

% Chg

NIFTY

10763.40

+81.20

+0.76

SENSEX

35774.88

+317.72

+90

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Special Report 20-Nov-2018

RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. CG POWER [FUTURE ] On daily chart we have seen that stock is forming bullish pattern called as three white soldiers. In last trading session a large bullish candle form with strong volume . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that traders view is to Buy the stock . Our recommendation is also sell the stock future from 38 Target 39/41 Sl 36.50 .

2. Siemens [FUTURE] On daily chart we have seen that stock is traded near its resistance level . Profit bboking we have seen in last trading session . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that traders view is to long the stock . Our recommendation is also Buy the stock in the range of 945 target 960/965 Sl 930

STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] CgG power [CASH] On daily chart we have seen that stock is forming bullish pattern called as three white soldiers. In last trading session a large bullish candle form with strong volume . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that traders view is to Buy the stock . Our recommendation is also sell the stock future from 38 Target 39/41 Sl 36.50 .

MACRO NEWS 

The nine-hour marathon meeting of the Reserve Bank of India's central board saw mutual agreement being reached on several issues amid the ongoing rift between the government and the central bank. The government and the central bank have been at loggerheads over various issues, ranging from necessity for a special liquidity window for NBFCs to going easy on banks under Prompt Corrective Action (PCA).



Bitcoin fell below $5,000 on November 19 for the first time in over a year, slumping to a fresh 13-month low on the Bitstamp platform as a broad sell-off in cryptocurrencies sparked last week gathered momentum.As of 0250 GMT, the original cryptocurrency was down to $4,848, after breaching the landmark for the first time since October 12, 2017.Traders said selling was largely sentiment-driven and cited fears that Thursday's "hard fork" in bitcoin cash, where the smaller coin split into two separate currencies, could destabilise others

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Special Report 20-Nov-2018

STOCKS IN NEWS

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol

Optio Strike n Price Type

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

BANKNIFTY

CE

26,500 129.8

4,25,736

6,44,100

BANKNIFTY

CE

26,600 93.85

2,78,565

BANKNIFTY

CE

26,700

67

2,39,687

RELIANCE

CE

1,140

26

12,446

14,03,500

RELIANCE

CE

1,160

16

12,116

15,36,000

YESBANK

CE

210

YESBANK

CE

200

RELIANCE

CE

1,180

MARUTIACTIVE PUT CE OPTION 9,000 MOST

Yes Bank: R Chandrasekhar likely to have resigned from the board of the bank. He would be the third member to resign from the board - CNBC-TV18 Sources.

Jet Airways - National Aviators Guild, the union of Jet 2,43,520 Airways pilots, will meet the airline's senior management 3,36,320 on November 20 to discuss payment of pending salaries. NIFTY FUTURE

33,95,000 Nifty 50 on Tuesday Strong Buying in market . Nifty approch towards 10700 in intra day . Strong in value of 13.8 8,158 45,95,500 rupee is in favaour of indian market . Our recommendation is to Buy the nifty future in range of 9.55 7,664 10,48,500 10720-10730 . Target 10780/10800 /10850 SL 10650 111.5 5,823 2,83,500 8.9

8,511

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

Symbol

Optio Strike n Price Type

BANKNIFTY

PE

26,000 100.95

3,74,676

7,15,680

BANKNIFTY

PE

25,800 61.95

2,53,766

5,94,840

BANKNIFTY

PE

25,900 79.45

2,22,516

4,08,920

RELIANCE

PE

1,100

6

6,570

9,37,000

YESBANK

PE

200

7.4

6,235

32,53,250

RELIANCE

PE

1,120

9.55

5,985

6,33,000

RELIANCE

PE

1,080

3.55

4,057

8,62,500

RELIANCE

PE

1,140 16.15

3,900

4,98,000

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY No. of Contracts

SELL Amount in Crores

OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY

No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts

Amount in Crores

NET AMOUNT

INDEX FUTURES

46526

3257.69

36720

2396.99

453346

34946.50

860.7056

INDEX OPTIONS

940531

56145.68

969633

57891.22

1066507

78536.88

-1745.5468

STOCK FUTURES

204806

11275.75

204054

11241.50

1429002

84408.07

34.2488

STOCK OPTIONS

129829

7210.86

131038

7316.45

168760

10141.53

-105.5867 -956.1791

INDICES

R2

R1

PIVOT

S1

S2

NIFTY

10828.2

10795.8

10742.3

10709.9

10656.4

BANKNIFTY

26469.5

26385.09

26294.7

26210.29

26119.9

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Special Report 20-Nov-2018

RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 30700 TGT 30750 30800 SL BELOW 30500 SELL GOLD BELOW 30900 TGT 30800 30750 SL ABOVE 31100

SILVER TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 36900 TGT 37150 37200 SL BELOW 36700 SELL SILVER BELOW 36900 TGT 36800 36700 SL ABOVE 37180

COMMODITY ROUNDUP Nagpur Soybean, Soyoil, Soymeal Open-November 16, 2018 Nagpur, Nov 16 (Reuters) – The rising trend in Castor oil prices in non-edible section remained unabated for the fourth straight day today in Vidarbha region of Central Maharashtra as prices rise further on increased buying by oil paint industries for the ongoing festival season, amid a firm trend in producing belts. Trading activity in other edible oils reported weak as traders because of good recovery in international edible oils, sources said Tuesday Gold prices rose on Friday, having hit a one-week high earlier in the session, as investors sought safe-haven assets amid fears of a chaotic departure for Britain from the European Union.UK Prime Minister Theresa May's draft Brexit plan ran into dispute after the resignation of key ministers from her government and eurosceptic lawmakers stepped up efforts to topple her, provoking fears the country could crash out of the EU without a divorce deal. issues around Brexit have invigorated a little bit of safehaven buying in the market ... The focus of the market has turned slightly to geopolitical issues at the moment," said ANZ analyst Daniel Hynes.Spot gold XAU= was up 0.2 percent at $1,214.93 per ounce, as of 0720 GMT. Earlier in the session, the bullion hit $1,216.79, its highest since Nov. 9.Prices are expected to end the week higher after declining nearly 2 percent last week.U.S. gold futures GCcv1 were flat at $1,215.3 per ounce.

"Gold should continue to find demand on dips, provided the U.S. dollar remains in check," Stephen Innes, APAC trading head at OANDA in Singapore said in a note.The dollar index .DXY , which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was at 96.91, not far from a 16month high of 97.69 hit at the start of the week. USD/ Investors also kept an eye on the U.S.-China trade tensions as they looked for concrete signs the economic powers were seeking to de-escalate their dispute. may continue to struggle for direction in the near term as conflicting messages out of the White House cast doubt on prospects for de-escalation in the U.S. trade war with China even as markets continue to worry about UK politics," said Ilya Spivak, a currency strategist for DailyFX.

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Special Report 20-Nov-2018

RECOMMENDATIONS GUARGUM5 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GUARGUM DEC ABOVE 9420 TARGET 9460/9500 SL 9360 SELL GUARGUM ABOVE DEC 9400TARGET 9370/9345/9320 SL 9510

NCDEX INDICES Index

Value

% Change

Barley Castor Seed Chana Coriander Cotton Seed Oilcake Guar Seed 10 MT

1943 6020 4449 6458 2006 4620

0 -3.99 -1.08 1.78 -0.95 -2.6

19310

-0.36

4139 3363 6518

-0.05 1.4 -0.46

Jeera Mustardseed Soy Bean Turmeric

DHANIYA TRADING STRATEGY: BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6580 TARGET 6610/6640/6610 SL 6450 SELL DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6550 TARGET 6400/6380 SL 6700

The yield on the benchmark 10-year government security will trade in a relatively wide range of 7.6-8 per cent till December, a report said Thursday. The benchmark g-sec is trading at between 7.7-7.75 per cent at present, domestic rating agency Icra said. It said the yield will be influenced by various factors including crude oil prices, the evolving balance of various fiscal risks, likelihood of revision in governments market borrowing in Q4, magnitude of open market operatiion In the report, the agency said price of the Indian crude oil basket is likely to remain considerably lower in the immediate term than the average of USD 80 per barrel in October 2018. It attributed this expectation to factors like exemptions from US sanctions on Iran for India and seven other jurisdictions. However, factors like supplydemand balances, the evolving scenario related to geopolitical developments, and the extent of concerns regarding the impact of trade wars on on global growth would impart volatility to crude prices . Oil ended slightly firmer after volatile trading on Friday, supported by expectations that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries would agree to cut output next month, though prices fell for the sixth straight week amid global oversupply concerns. OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia is keen for the major producers to cut output by about 1.4 million barrels per day, around 1.5 percent of global supply, to support the market, sources told Reuters this week. But other producers, including Russia, have been reluctant to agree to a cut. LCOc1 settled up 14 cents, or 0.2 percent, at $66.76 a barrel. The global benchmark fell 4.6 percent in the week, the sixth consecutive decline.

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Special Report 20-Nov-2018

RBI Reference Rate Currency

Rate Currency

Rate

Rupee- $

71.89 Yen

63.75

81.9446 GBP

92.2258

Euro USD/INR TRADING STRATEGY: USD/INR

BUY USDINR NOV ABOVE 72 TGT 71.85 71.78 SL 72.20 SELL USDINR NOV BELOW 71.8 TGT 71.7 71.55 SL 72.30

GBP/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GBPINR NOV ABOVE 92.25 TGT 92.35 92.40 SL 92 SELL GBPINR NOV BELOW 92 TGT 91.9 91.8 SL 92.25

Indian rupee recovered from the day's low and trading higher by 27 paise at 71.65 per dollar against Friday's close of 71.92.It touched a intraday low of 72.08 after a flat opening.The dollar-rupee November contract on the NSE was at 71.99 in the previous session. November contract open interest declined 5.66% in the previous session, said ICICIdirect.We expect the USD-INR to find supports at lower levels. Utilise downsides in the pair to initiate long positions, it added. EURUSD appreciated by 0.170 percent yesterday while EURINR depreciated by 0.1 percent during the same time frame. EU commission had asked Italy to revise their budget plans. However, Economy Minister Giovanni Tria said that the growth forecast contained in the budget is the result of technical evaluations and ‘non - negotiable,’ suggesting that the country is ready to f ace the EU Commission's sanctions creating more rifts between the two parties. GDP data from Germany came in at - 0.2 percent against market expectations of - 0.1 percent. Direct tax collection has already crossed Rs 5 lakh crore and will exceed the budgeted target of Rs 11.5 crore set for the current fiscal, CBDT Chairman Sushil Chandra said Wednesday. He further said that so far the I-T department has issued refunds to 2.15 crore assessees amounting to Rs 1.15 lakh crore and from now onwards the net collections will increase .We have already crossed the Rs 5 lakh crore figure that is 44 per cent of the net direct tax collection target. This is despite the fact there is a surge in refund," Chandra said. Speaking to reporters after inaugurating the pavillion of the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) at the India International Trade Fair (IITF), Chandra said the number of people voluntarily filing tax returns has gone up substantially, and 6.85 crore income tax returns . EURUSD appreciated by 1.1 percent last week while EURINR appreciated by 0.36 percent during the same time frame. GDP data from Germany came in at - 0.2 percent against market expectations of - 0.1 percent. Meanwhile, EU commission had asked Italy to revise their budget plans. However, Economy Minister Giovanni Tria said that the growth forecast contained in the budget is the result of technical evaluations and ‘non - negotiable,’ suggesting that the country is ready to face the EU Commission's sanctions creating more rifts between the two parties.

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Special Report 20-Nov-2018

Date

Commodity/ Currency Pairs

19/11/18

NCDEX DHANIYA

DEC

BUY

6580

19/11/18

NCDEX DHANIYA

DEC

Sell

19/11/18

NCDEX GUARGUM5

DEC

19/11/18

NCDEX GUARGUM5

16/11/18

Contract Strategy

Entry Level

Stop Loss

Remark

6610/6640/66 10

6450

NOT EXECUTED

6530

6400/6380

6700

TARGET HIT

BUY

9980

10010/10040

9930

NOT EXECUTED

DEC

SELL

9680

9630/9600

9800

TARGET HIT

MCX GOLD

DEC

BUY

30950

31070/31170

30700

NOT EXECUTED

19/11/18

MCX GOLD

DEC

SELL

31100

30050/30000

31150

FINAL TARGET

19/11/18

MCX SILVER

DEC

BUY

37000

37150/37200

36820

NOT EXECUTED

19/11/18

MCX SILVER

DEC

SELL

36900

36800/36700/ 36800

37180

FINAL TARGET

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

Target

Date

Scrip

CASH/ FUTURE/ Strategy OPTION

19/11/18

NIFTY

FUTURE

BUY

10570-10580

10620/10650

10540

NOT EXECUTED

19/11/18

NMDC

FUTURE

SELL

100

97/95

104

TARGET HIT

19/11/18

Siemens

FUTURE

BUY

970-972

980/985/1000

960

SL HIT

19/11/18

Siemens

CASH

BUY

970-975

980/985/1000

960

TARGET HIT

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Special Report 20-Nov-2018

NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS TIME (ET)

REPORT

PERIOD

ACTUAL

FORECAST

PREVIOUS

MONDAY, NOV. 12 Veterans Day TUESDAY, NOV. 13 6 am

NFIB small-business index

Oct.

2 pm

Federal budget

Oct.

107.9

WEDNESDAY, NOV. 14 8:30 am

Consumer price index

Oct.

0.1%

8:30 am

Core CPI

Oct.

0.1%

THURSDAY, NOV. 15 8:30 am

Weekly jobless claims

11/10

8:30 am

Retail sales

Oct.

0.1%

8:30 am

Retail sales ex-autos

Oct.

-0.1%

8:30 am

Philly Fed

Nov.

22.2

8:30 am

Empire state index

Nov.

21.1

8:30 am

Import price index

Oct.

0.5%

10 am

Business inventories

Sept.

0.5%

FRIDAY, NOV. 16 9:15 am

Industrial production

Oct.

0.3%

9:15 am

Capacity utilization

Oct.

78.1%

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