Special Report
26 -FEB-2019
Global markets at a glance
World Indices
Wall Street’s three major indexes ended higher on Monday but well below the session’s highs after President Donald Trump said he would delay a planned hike in tariffs on Chinese imports.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 60.14 points, or 0.23 percent, to 26,091.95, the S&P 500 gained 3.44 points, or 0.12 percent, to 2,796.11 and the Nasdaq Composite added 26.92 points, or 0.36 percent, to 7,554.46.
Index
Value
% Change
DJI
26001
-0.37
S&P500
2796
+0.12
NASDAQ
7554
+0.36
FTSE100
7183
+0.07
21403 28837
-0.46 -0.42
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan held near its highest since mid-September as US and Chinese negotiators work to hammer out a deal that would end a tit-for-tat tariff battle that began in mid2018.Monday’s losses in the MSCI Asia-Pacific index was led by Australian shares which slipped 0.7 percent, weighed by energy stocks as oil prices tumbledovernight. South Korea’s KOSPI was flat while Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.2 percent
Top Gainers
Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a flat to negative opening for the broader index in India, a fall of 6.5 points or 0.06 percent. Nifty futures were trading around 10,886-level on the Singaporean Exchange. PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF Bulls took the control on the Dalal Street on Monday with the Nifty and Sensex finished nearly 1 percent higher.The Sensex was up 341.90 points at 36213.38, while Nifty was up 88.40 points at 10,880.10. About 1515 shares have advanced, 1072 shares declined, and 147 shares are unchanged. TCS, Grasim Industries, Yes Bank, Infosys and UltraTech Cement were among top gainers on the Nifty, while losers were Adani Ports, Bharti Infratel, BPCL, HPCL and Zee Entertainment.Among the sectors, except infra, energy and PSU banks all other sectoral indices ended in green led by IT index (up 2%) followed by auto, pharma, metal and FMCG. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in dices performed as follow; Commodities[+16.55pts], Consumption[+15.7pts],PSE[-6.90pts],CPSE [+2.60pts],Energy[-14.10pts],FMCG[+85.85pts],Auto [+92.50pts],Pharma[+43.60pts],IT[+319pts],Metal [+9.90pts],Realty[-1.70pts], Fin Serv sector[+86.95pts].
NIKKEI HANG SENG Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
Yes Bank
229.1
7.1
3.2
1,985.15
59.5
3.09
Infosys
754.9
19.95
2.71
Grasim
778.65
19.95
2.63
3,716.60
90.9
2.51
CMP
Change
% Chg
324.55 303.95 336.05 228.15 445.15
-29.75 -9.65 -8.15 -2.8 -3.1
-8.4 -3.08 -2.37 -1.21 -0.69
TCS
UltraTechCement
Top Losers Company
Adani Ports Bharti Infratel BPCL HPCL Zee Entertain
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
AAVAS
1,023.00
-14.3
-1.43
ABFRL
229.7
5.3
2.41
134.35
3.15
2.5
BATAINDIA
1,329.90
-2.5
-0.19
BILENERGY
1.5
0.05
3.45
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
17.95
0
0
1.35
0.05
3.57
2.6 0.05 200.8
0.1 0 -2.45
3.7 0 -1.17
BALRAMCHIN
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol
21STCENMGM ADHUNIK AMTEKAUTO ATNINTER BIL
Indian Indices Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
NIFTY
10880
+88.4
+0.82
SENSEX
36213
+341.9
+0.95
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Special Report
26 -FEB-2019
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. Titan [FUTURE ]
REPCOHOME
TITAN -Titan is trading above its 100 DEMA .Our view is that stock may bounce back from lower level , recommendation is to Buy 1050 stock target will be 1055/1060 SL below 1040
Stock showing strength in last day & it is going to be continued beacuse after analysis of derivate date we have seen the increase in open interest along with the price of stock rise . Our recommendation is to buy the stock below 325 target 330/335 Sl 315 .
2. KSCL [FUTURE]
MACRO NEWS
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un arrived in Vietnam on Tuesday for a summit with US President Donald Trump where they will try to reach an agreement on a North’s Korean pledge to give up its nuclear weapons programme.Trump is due to arrive in the Vietnamese capital, Hanoi, on Tuesday evening. Trump will meet Kim for a brief one-on-one conversation on Wednesday evening, followed by a social dinner, at which they will each be accompanied by two guests and interpreters, White House spokeswoman Sarah Sanders told reporters on Air Force One.
Oil prices edged higher on Tuesday, finding steady ground after tumbling more than 3 percent in the previous session when US President Donald Trump called on OPEC to ease its efforts to boost the market.International Brent futures were at $64.95 a barrel at 0108 GMT, up 20 cents, or 0.3 percent, from their last close. Brent fell 3.5 percent on Monday when prices hit $64.54 a barrel - the lowest since February 15.
KSCL— In KSCL we have seen sharp selling in this week , we may expect that it will be continue in upcoming week also. On Technical point of view seen trend line breakdown & also stock not able to sustain at upper level. RSI & MACD also indicate downtrend in this stock with strong volume.Our recommendation is sell stock future in the range of 410 Target 405/400 Sl 420
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Special Report
26 -FEB-2019
STOCKS IN NEWS
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol
Optio Strike n Price Type
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
BANKNIFTY
CE
27,200
110
3,93,066
BANKNIFTY
CE
27,100 162.75
3,61,157
BANKNIFTY
CE
27,300
71.1
3,55,463
RELIANCE
CE
1,240
9.9
13,441
RELIANCE
CE
1,260
3.9
11,932
YESBANK
CE
230
4.15
10,876
TCS
CE
2,000
15
8,135
MARUTI
CE
7,000
50
7,010
MARUTIACTIVE PUT CE OPTION 9,000 111.5 5,823 MOST Symbol
Optio Strike n Price Type
BANKNIFTY
PE
BANKNIFTY
Open Interest
NTPC: Nabinagar Thermal Power Project has been declared running commercial operation.
3,44,000 Wipro gets approval to issue of bonus shares and increase in authorised share capital 2,42,920 4,09,460 NIFTY FUTURE NIFTY -On daily weekly chart we have identify that Head & Shoulder pattern is forming at the 17,60,500 top . Head & shoulder & for a short term forming 19,67,000 Raising wedge pattern in technical term bearish reversal pattern .Nifty breach the important level of 11000 in this 42,50,750 week ,but closing below 11000 .On technical point of 4,51,000 view still our recommendation is to sell nifty future in the range of 10800 Target 10750/10700 SL 10900 Our 1,77,000 strategy is to sell on rise . 2,83,500
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
27,000
72
3,18,387
8,78,440
PE
26,800
36
3,11,820
4,74,140
NIFTY
PE
10,800
23.3
3,05,731
35,63,100
RELIANCE
PE
1,220
7.95
9,673
9,09,500
RELIANCE
PE
1,200
3.5
6,353
10,52,500
TATASTEEL
PE
500
4.95
6,021
9,57,022
YESBANK
PE
220
2.2
5,290
24,18,500
RELIANCE
PE
1,240
16.7
4,465
7,12,500
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY No. of Contracts
SELL Amount in Crores
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts
INDEX FUTURES
37545
2756.76
43545
INDEX OPTIONS
2680011
160200.01
STOCK FUTURES
211707
12008.66
205050
STOCK OPTIONS
132345
7753.07
135332
Amount in Crores
NET AMOUNT
3229.13
390236
30866.05
-472.3721
2653905 158636.77
836328
63659.42
1563.2382
11707.78
1540823
91189.66
300.8824
7913.80
191108
10976.46
-160.7386 1231.0099
INDICES
R2
R1
PIVOT
S1
S2
NIFTY
10950
10915
10851
10816
10752
BANKNIFTY
27360
27259
27096
26995
26381
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Special Report
26 -FEB-2019
RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD TRADING STRATEGY: GOLD BUY ABOVE 33410 Target 33450 /33470 Sl 33350 GOLD SELL BELOW 33350 Target 33310 /33280 Sl 33420
SILVER TRADING STRATEGY: Silver Buy Above 40300 Target 40340 /40380 Sl 40260 Silver Sell Below 40200 Target 40150 /40100 Sl 40300
COMMODITY ROUNDUP Gold prices edged up on Monday as the dollar fell against the yuan after U.S. President Donald Trump said he would delay an increase in tariffs on Chinese goods, while palladium surged to a record high.A strong yuan makes bullion cheaper for world's leading consumer- China.The offshore yuan strengthened 0.2 percent to 6.689 yuan CNH= against the dollar, after hitting its highest level since midJuly. USD/Trump said on Sunday that he would delay an increase in tariffs on Chinese goods that had been scheduled for later this week, citing "substantial progress" in Sino-U.S. trade talks over the weekend, and that he and his Chinese counterpart would meet to seal a deal if progress continued. gold XAU= rose 0.2 percent to $1,330.26 per ounce at 0655 GMT. U.S. gold futures GCv1 were steady at $1,332.70.Trump's extension of tariff deadline has weakened the dollar, driving gold up, said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst, OANDA."Gold, as it moves into the European and New York trading session, might come under pressure from the stock market," Halley said, adding that there won't be any sustained downward pressure until there is more information on the trade deal. Indonesia's palm oil output likely eased in January from a month earlier, in line with the vegetable oil's production cycle, while exports were expected to have picked up slightly, according to a Reuters survey.Palm oil output in top producer Indonesia declined 7.7 percent to 3.60 million tonnes from 3.90 million tonnes a month earlier, according to the median results of a survey of two palm oil groups and a state palm research firm.Production of the tropical oil typically falls during the first quarter of the year.Exports were estimated at 3.04 million tonnes in January, compared with 2.90 million tonnes in December.India, Indonesia's top palm buyer, cut import taxes on crude and refined palm oil from January, easing pressure on shipments. However, Indonesian palm oil is still taxed at a higher rate compared to Malaysian oil.Indonesia on Saturday offered to open up its market for India's sugar in exchange for a lower palm oil tax. the domestic use of palm oil was estimated at 1.18 million tonnes in January, compared with 1.38 million tonnes a month earlier. By the end of January, palm oil stocks were estimated to have eased to 2.85 million tonnes from 3.43 million tonnes a month ago, according to the survey.
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Special Report
26 -FEB-2019
RECOMMENDATIONS GUARGUM5 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GUARGUM MARCH ABOVE 8400 TGT 8500/8600 SL BELOW 8270 SELL GUARGUM MARCH BELOW 8250 TGT 8150/8050 SL ABOVE 8370
NCDEX INDICES Index
Value
% Change
Castor Seed Chana Coriander Cotton Seed Oilcake Guar Seed 10 MT
5352 4256 6214 2001 4242
-2.47 0.02 0.74 -1.65 0.17
15560
0.77
3843 3726 6306
0.57 -0.13 -0.57
Jeera Mustardseed Soy Bean Turmeric
Indonesia has asked India for a 5 percentage point cut on import of refined Palm Oil to 45 percent matching the levy faced by rival producer Malaysia.In return, Indonesia is willing to open up market access for raw Sugar from India that is needed by our national industry.Indonesia and Malaysia are the world’s biggest producers of Palm Oil and India, the world’s largest importer of Edible Oils, is an important market for both.According to Palm Oil producers association of Indonesia, they have shipped 6.7 million tonnes of Palm Oil to India in 2018.
DHANIYA TRADING STRATEGY: BUY DHANIYA APRIL ABOVE 6220 TGT 6260/6310 SL BELOW 6170 SELL DHANIYA APRIL BELOW 6130 TGT 6080/6030 SL ABOVE 6200
Saudi Arabia the world's biggest Oil exporter, is looking at making India as a regional hub for supply of Crude Oil and will invest billions of dollars in the country to build storage facilities and strengthen refineries, Saudi Foreign Minister said.Saudi Arabia, will also invest in downstream assets in India besides helping the country boost its infrastructure in the petrochemical sector.Reflecting growing energy ties, it was announced recently that Saudi Aramco, the world's top Oil exporter, will be part of a joint venture project to set up a refinery in Maharashtra at a cost of USD 44 bn.The energy ties between the two countries are on an upswing in the last few year. It will be the largest greenfield refinery in the world to be implemented in one phase.The Saudi foreign minister said his country was committed to meeting India's Oil demand and ready to sell more Crude Oil to India. Saudi Arabia is also a key pillar of India's energy security, being a source of 17 per cent or more of Crude Oil and 32 per cent of LPG requirements of India. Oil prices declined on Monday, squeezed by plentiful supply and U.S. firms in particular increasing exports in competition with traditional producers from the Middle East in key markets like Asia.
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Special Report
26 -FEB-2019
RBI Reference Rate Currency Rupee- $ Euro
Rate Currency
Rate
70.9950 Yen
64.1475
80.75 GBP
92.8650
USD/INR TRADING STRATEGY: USD/INR BUY USDINR ABOVE 71.15 TGT 71.25/71.35 SL BELOW 70.85 SELL USDINR BELOW 70.90 TGT 70.8 /70.7 SL ABOVE 71.15
GBP/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GBPINR ABOVE 92.85 TGT 92.95 93.05 SL BELOW 92.65 SELL GBPINR BELOW 92.65 TGT 92.55 92.45 SL ABOVE 92.85
China's yuan touched a seven-month high and commoditylinked currencies like the Australian and New Zealand dollars gained on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed he would delay a planned hike in tariffs on Chinese imports.Trump said on Sunday that he would push back the March 1 deadline as talks between Washington and Beijing to end their months-long trade war made "substantial progress". equities surged as investors piled into riskier assets, and European shares also opened higher.The offshore yuan rose to as high as 6.6737 per dollar and was up 0.1 percent at 6.6972 CNH=EBS by 0805 GMT."There was a huge risk premium in the renminbi that is being priced out," said Esther Reichelt, Frankfurtbased FX strategist at Commerzbank (DE:CBKG). News of the postponement was "not that much of a surprise" as the market had already been factoring in reduced ChinaU.S. trade tensions. Emerging markets are becoming more sensitive to the slings and arrows of the U.S.-China trade dispute just as talks between the two sides enter their most crucial phase.President Donald Trump said Sunday he’ll extend a deadline to raise tariffs on Chinese goods until he can meet Chinese President Xi Jinping, spurring gains in the offshore yuan in early Asia trading. With representatives of the two governments still haggling over a deal that would ensure Beijing lives up to its promise not to depreciate the yuan, the tendency of developing-nation currencies to shadow the dollar-yuan exchange rate is back near its highest since July.Trump said the U.S. and China have made “substantial progress” in the latest round of talks in Washington, which will help appease investors worried that an escalation of the trade war will derail global growth. This week is also due to serve up a second meeting between the U.S. President and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, a rate decision in South Korea and gross-domestic-product reports from Brazil, India and Mexico. Not forgetting, of course, the result of the delayed election in Nigeria. “It appears that progress is being made and in this respect it ought to buoy EM assets into this week,” said Mitul Kotecha, a senior emerging-markets strategist at TD Securities in Singapore. “Markets have been anticipating some sort of a deal though there has been concern about structural issues
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Special Report
26 -FEB-2019
Date
Commodity/ Currency Pairs
25/2/19
NCDEX DHANIYA
APR
BUY
6340
25/2/19
NCDEX DHANIYA
APR
Sell
25/2/19
NCDEX GUARGUM5
MAR
25/2/19
NCDEX GUARGUM5
25/2/19
Contract Strategy
Entry Level
Stop Loss
Remark
6355/6370/64 00
6280
NOT EXECUTED
6250
6235/6220/61 90
6310
TARGET
BUY
8200
8215/8240/82 60
8260
TARGET
MAR
SELL
8150
8135/8120/80 80
8210
TARGET
MCX GOLD
MAR
BUY
33350
33400/33475
33250
NOT EXECUTED
25/2/19
MCX GOLD
MAR
SELL
32900
32800/32800
33
TARGET
25/2/19
MCX SILVER
MAR
BUY
40700
40750/40800
40500
NOT EXECUTED
25/2/19
MCX SILVER
MAR
SELL
40400
40300/40200
40600
NOT EXECUTED
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
Target
Date
Scrip
CASH/ FUTURE/ Strategy OPTION
25/2/19
NIFTY
FUTURE
SELL
10800
10750/10700
10900
NOT EXECUTED
25/2/19
TITAN
FUTURE
BUY
1040
1045/1050
1030
TARGET
25/2/19
KSCL
FUTURE
SELL
410
405/400
420
NOT EXECUTED
25/2/19
REPOHOME
CASH
SELL
310
305/300
318
NOT EXECUTED
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Special Report
26 -FEB-2019
TIME (ET)
REPORT
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS PERIO ACTUAL
D
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN WILL DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK. MONDAY, FEB. 25 8:30 am
Chicago Fed national activity index
Jan.
--
0.27
10 am
Wholesale inventories* (new date)
Dec.
--
0.3%
TUESDAY, FEB. 26 8:30 am
Housing starts* (new date)
Dec.
1.255mln
1.256mln
8:30 am
Building permits* (new date)
Dec.
--
1.322mln
9 am
Case-Shiller home price index
Dec.
--
5.2%
10 am
Consumer confidence index
Feb.
124.0
120.2
10 am
New home sales*
Jan.
-$74.0 bln
-$71.6bln
DELAYED
WEDNESDAY, FEB. 27 8:30 am
Advance trade in goods* (new date)
Dec.
8:30 am
Durable goods orders*
Jan.
10 am
Pending home sales index
Jan.
--
-2.2%
10 am
Factory orders* (new date)
Dec.
0.6%
-0.6%
DELAYED
THURSDAY, FEB. 28 8:30 am
Weekly jobless claims
2/23
223,000
216,000
8:30 am
GDP* (first & second estimates)
Q4
2.0%
3.4% (Q3)
9:45 am
Chicago PMI
Feb.
--
56.7
10 am
Housing vacancies* (new date)
Q4
9:45 am
Markit manufacturing index flash
Nov.
--
55.7
9:45 am
Markit services index flash
Nov.
--
54.8
10 am
Jerome Powell testimony
FRIDAY, MARCH 1 8:30 am
Personal income* (new date)
Dec.
0.4%
0.2%
8:30 am
Personal income
Jan.
0.3%
N/A
8:30 am
Consumer spending* (new date)
Dec.
-0.3%
0.4%
8:30 am
Consumer spending*
Jan.
8:30 am
Core inflation* (new date)
Dec.
0.2%
0.1%
8:30 am
Core inflation*
Jan.
9:45 am
Markit manufacturing PMI
Feb.
10 am
ISM manufacturing index
Feb.
10 am
Construction spending*
Jan.
10 am
Consumer sentiment index
10 am
Jerome Powell testimony
Varies
Motor vehicle sales
DELAYED DELAYED 53.7 55.3%
56.6%
Feb.
95.5
95.5
Feb.
16.8 mln
16.6 mln
DELAYED
*DELAYED BY GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
26 -FEB-2019
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Sachin Yadav
Digitally signed by Sachin Yadav DN: cn=Sachin Yadav c=IN o=Personal Reason: I am the author of this document Location: Date: 2019-02-26 09:28+05:30
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