Special report by epic research 29 november 2013

Page 1

DAILY REPORT 29th NOVEMBER. 2013

Global markets at a glance European stocks gained ground on Thursday in light trade, with Italian shares outperforming after the country's Senate expelled former prime minister . The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares gained 0.4 percent at 1,305.02 points, hitting its highest closing level since 2008 Volumes were thin however. Around Europe on Thursday, the euro zone's blue-chip Euro STOXX 50 index gained 0.3 percent, to 3,092.42 points, the UK's FTSE 100 index added 0.1 percent, France's CAC 40 gained 0.2 percent and Germany's DAX index rose 0.4 percent. Japanese stocks paused for breath on Friday after hitting their highest closing level in nearly six years on Thursday, though they are still on track for their best November gain since 1998 as the yen tumbled. Nikkei .N225 slipped 0.3 percent, though it is still up 9.4 percent this month as the yen slump against the euro and dollar. Wall Street Update Wall Street was closed for the Thanksgiving holiday. Previous day Roundup Indian shares rose on Thursday, recovering from two sessions of falls. The market sees a solid closing of the November series expiry. The Nifty ends at 6091.85, up 34.75 points. The Sensex closes up 114.65 points at 20534.91. About 1432 shares have advanced, 1024 shares declined, and 186 shares are unchanged. Index stats The Bankex and Bank Nifty both advanced 0.10% & 0.07% respectively. Among the sartorial indices all the sectors were up; Capital Goods [up 181.34pts], Oil & Gas [up 75.02pts], AUTO [up 43.93pts], PSU [up 42.09pts], Consumer Durables [up 27.26pts], Metals [up 86.95pts]Realty [up 18.44pts], TECK [up 24.64pts], IT [up 40.01 pts], Power [up 21.75pts], and Healthcare [up 30.89pts], the index slipped was FMCG [down 6.54pts].

World Indices Index

Value

% Change

16,097.23

+0.15

S&P 500

1,807.23

+0.25

NASDAQ EURO STO FTSE 100

4,044,75 3,092.42 6,654.47

+0.67 +0.32 +0.08

Nikkei 225 Hong Kong

15,716.51 23,848.84

-0.07 +0.25

DJl

Top Gainers Company

CMP

Change

% Chg

JPASSOCIAT

49.80

3.65

+7.91

151.20

5.05

+3.46

2637.00

67.85

+2.64

94.50

2.35

+2.55

420.40

10.35

+2.52

CMP

Change

% Chg

318.65 381.00 399.00 125.10

5.10 0.95 0.20 0.05

-1.58 -0.25 -0.05 -0.04

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

292.30

3.10

+1.07

1,075.00

1.80

+0.17

BIOCON

390.00

5.35

+1.39

CROMPTONGREAV

124.80

4.95

+4.13

4,620.00

129.45

+2.88

BHEL GRASIM POWERGRID INDUSINDBANK

Top Losers Company

CAIRN CIPLA TATAMOTORS NMDC

Stocks at 52 Week’s high Symbol

AUROPHARMA BATAINDIA

EICHERMOT

Stocks at 52 Week’s Low Symbol

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

JBFIND -

72.10

0.00

0.00

CMP

Change

% Chg

6,091.85 20,534.91

+34.75 +114.65

+0.57 +0.56

Indian Indices Company NIFTY SENSEX

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 29th NOVEMBER. 2013

EQUITY CASH & FUTURE

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. TATA STEEL

STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] 1. VOLTAS

TATA STEEL FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it continues to sustain above 405, We advise buying around 405 levels with strict stop loss of 396 for the targets of 415-425 levels.

VOLTAS LTD is looking strong on charts. We advice buying around 108-110 levels with strict stop loss of 104 for the targets of 115-120 levels.

2. TATA COMMUNICATION

MACRO NEWS  Nevyeli Lignite Corporation has spent just about Rs 795.93 crore on capex during the July-September quarter, as against the target of Rs 1,106.57 crore. Last fiscal, it had spent Rs 1,827.91 crore on capex, as against the target of Rs 1,687 crore. NLC's capex target for the 2014-15 is Rs 3,837.95 crore.

TATA COMM FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it continues to sustain above 285, We advise buying above 285 levels with strict stop loss of 280 for the targets of 290-295. YOUR MINTVISORY

GDP DATA is to be announced today 29 November Friday. India's economy appears to be stuck in neutral, with GDP growth forecast to remain below 5% for the fourth consecutive quarter in the July-Sep period.

The United Progressive Alliance government has drawn up a Rs 75,000-crore action plan that seeks to provide self-employment opportunities to seven crore households in rural India over the next 10 years.

India to release September-quarter GDP data at 1200 GMT. India April-October fiscal deficit data. (0630GMT]. Infrastructure data for September. RBI to release bank reserves, forex data at 1130GMT. Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT FUTURE & OPTION

29th NOVEMBER. 2013

STOCKS IN NEWS  Cadbury India signs MoU with Andhra Pradesh govt for chocolate facility.  Suzlon arm REpower Systems bags order from Australian firm.  BHEL, L&T, in race to bag NTPC turnkey contract.  CCI rejects plea to remove 'joint control' view on Jet -Etihad deal.

MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION Symbol

Option Type

Strike Price

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

NIFTY

PE

6,100

7.90

13,16,521

26,01,500

NIFTY

PE

6,050

0.05

4,85,130

40,91,750

NIFTY

PE

6,000

0.05

4,36,790

67,73,500

BANK NIFTY

PE

10,900

0.05

1,21,141

2,58,650

SBIN

PE

1,750

0.05

8,398

6,62,500

MCDOWELL-N

PE

2,600

+0.10

5,151

2,31,750

RELIANCE

PE

860

11.50

1,993

3,25,250

TATAMOTORS

PE

400

1.90

3,941

4,00,000

Strike Price

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

NIFTY FUTURE

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol

Option Type

NIFTY

CE

6,100

0.05

16,86,926

80,23,100

NIFTY

CE

6,150

0.05

4,32,111

42,48,550

NIFTY

CE

6,200

0.05

3,86,294

66,03,950

BANKNIFTY

CE

11,000

0.10

1,08,948

3,82,375

SBIN

CE

1,800

0.05

11,221

7,80,500

MCDOWELL-N

CE

2,700

0.05

7,786

3,52,375

JPASSOCIAT

CE

150

0.05

7,288

72,72,000

DLF

CE

150

0.05

4,768

7,23,000

TATASTEEL

CE

400

0.80

6,039

10,92,00

Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session. We advise buying only above 6150 which is major resistance in short term. Alternatively one can also short at higher levels 6130-6145 till index closes below 6150 levels. Above 6150 more upside is expected.

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY

SELL

OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY

No. of Amount in No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts Crores Contracts

Amount in Crores

NET AMOUNT

INDEX FUTURES

134714

4104.58

101330

3072.23

388898

11829.35

1032.35

INDEX OPTIONS

595203

17926.42

561030

16953.03

1283832

39069.85

973.39

STOCK FUTURES

231236

6288.16

228808

6267.46

1038576

28347.20

20.71

STOCK OPTIONS

20497

565.51

19573

544.18

3985

105.57

21.34

TOTAL

2047.79

INDICES NIFTY

S2

S1

PIVOT

R1

R2

6046.38

6069.11

6091.03

6113.76

6135.68

NIFTYJUNIOR

12141.63

12176.16

12214.78

12249.31

12287.93

BANK NIFTY

10718.15

10812.45

10937.3

11031.6

11156.45

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 29th NOVEMBER. 2013

COMMODITY MCX

RECOMMENDATIONS SILVER

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 45200 TGTS 45400/45800 SL 45000 SELL SILVER BELOW 43950 TGTS 43750/43500 SL 44100 GOLD

COMMODITY ROUNDUP India gold futures recorded a down trend on Thursday due to profit booking and was seen trading bearish amid weak international cues. Gold futures for December delivery on India's Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) was seen trading with a loss of 0.19% at Rs.29937 per 10 grams as of 16.40 IST on Thursday. Upcoming wedding season demand is expected to support the yellow metal futures in the domestic market to certain extent. In the global market, the yellow metal remained almost steady as US markets will remain closed for the day. Gold prices failed to find support from the October FOMC minutes and dipped below $1250 an ounce and is at risk of falling to $1180, $1210 per ounce. External markets continue to create an unfavorable backdrop for gold, as the physical market lends little support during the seasonally strong period for consumption. MCX GOLD December contract was closed at Rs 30210 up Rs 164, or 0.55 percent. The GOLD rate touched an intraday high of Rs 30210 and an intraday low of Rs 29911. So far 9890 contracts have been traded. Gold Price is taking support at 29850 and trade in narrow range all day. In evening session gold price break the nearest resistance of 30050 and made new high of 30210. MCX SILVER December contract was closed at Rs 44189 down Rs 51, or 0.12 percent. The SILVER rate touched an intraday high of Rs 44189 and an intraday low of Rs 43950. So far 7481 contracts have been traded. Silver opened at morning with gap down and made day low. In mid session silver trade in narrow range and made day high. After 11 p.m. Have seen some buying pressure in silver, but it will not helpful to break the nearest resistance of 44250. MCX COPPER November contract was closed at Rs 444.50 up Rs 1.80, or 0.41 percent. The COPPER rate touched an intraday high of Rs 445.30 and an intraday low of Rs 441.90. So far 16077 contracts have been traded. From past 3-4 days copper trading in very narrow range (446-440) fresh buying and selling will decide the trend.

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 30250 TGTS 30300/30380 SL 30170 SELL GOLD BELOW 29835 TGTS 29785/29720 SL 29915 YOUR MINTVISORY

MCX CRUDEOIL December contract was closed at Rs 5782 down Rs 1, or 0.02 percent. The CRUDEOIL rate touched an intraday high of Rs 5808 and an intraday low of Rs 5772. So far 29529 contracts have been traded. At morning crudeoil price have fresh buying and it made day high and in mid session to market closed crude oil moved sideways.

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 29th NOVEMBER. 2013

NCDEX

RECOMMENDATIONS CASTORSEED

NCDEX INDICES Index

Value

% Change

Barley

1358

-1.06

Castor Seed

4413

+0.75

Chana

3044

-0.13

Chilli

7348

-3.29

Coriander

7682

+1.25

Cotton Seed Oilcake

1389

-1.14

12730

+0.53

Mustard seed

3785

-0.24

Ref Soya Oil

721.5

-0.35

BUY CASTORSEED(JAN) ABOVE 4430 TG 4460,4500 SL 4380 SELL CASTORSEED(JAN) BELOW 4360 TG 4330,4290 SL 4410

Turmeric

5402

+2.35

DHANIYA

NCDEX ROUNDUP

Jeera

The country's sugar production is likely to drop by nearly three per cent to 24.4 million tonnes this year, but sufficient to meet the domestic demand.

BUY DHANIYA(DEC) ABOVE 7720 TG 7750,7790 SL 7670 SELL DHANIYA(DEC) BELOW 7580 TG 7550,7510 SL 7630

YOUR MINTVISORY

Potato prices fell by 0.48% to Rs 877 per quintal in futures trade yesterday as traders offloaded their positions due to low demand in the domestic market amid adequate stocks. The trading sentiment weakened further as a result of easy availability of potato in the spot markets following fresh arrivals from producing regions. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, potato for the March contract fell by Rs 4.30, or 0.48%, to Rs 877 per quintal with a business volume of 9 lots. The potato for delivery in April declined by Rs 2.90 or 0.33%, to Rs 858.90 per quintal with trading volume of 2 lots. Traders offloaded their holdings at existing higher levels tracking a decline in spot market against fresh supply mainly pulled down potato prices.

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 29th NOVEMBER. 2013

CURRENCY

RBI Reference Rate Currency

Rate Currency

Rupee- $

62.3896 Yen-100

Euro

84.7547 GBP

JPY/INR

SELL JPY/INR BELOW 61.30 TGTS 61.15, 61.00 SL 61.90. BUY JPY/INR ABOVE 62.03 TGTS 62.17, 62.33 SL 61.45.

EUR/INR

BUY EUR/INR ABOVE 85.70 TGTS 85.84, 86.02 SL 85.10. SELL EUR/INR BELOW 84.90 TGTS 84.75, 84.55 SL 85.55.

YOUR MINTVISORY

Rate

61.1000 101.8011

CURRENCY ROUNDUP The Indian rupee weakened for the first time in five sessions on Thursday as heavy month-end dollar demand from oil refiners and losses in other Asian currencies hurt, but gains in domestic shares prevented a sharper fall. Rupee ends at 62.41/42 per dlr vs 62.14/15 Wed close. Losses in other Asian peers also hurts rupee sentiment. Gains in local shares limits further fall. The yen was pinned at a four-year trough against the euro and a six-month low on the dollar early in Asia on Friday, having suffered a bruising week as investors used the lowyielding currency to buy riskier assets. The Japanese currency has taken on the status as the funding currency of choice as the Bank of Japan is committed to maintaining an ultra-loose monetary policy. The euro last traded at 139.10 yen, having risen as far as 139.25 as the market attempted to test the June 2009 peak of 139.26. A break there will take it to highs not seen since October 2008. The dollar bought 102.28 yen, not far from a six-month high of 102.375 set overnight. It is moving ever closer to its 2013 peak of 103.74 reached back in May. The euro rose to a five year high against the yen on Friday, as the Japanese currency faced heavy pressure on expectations it will be used as the funding currency of choice for carry trades given Japan's commitment to easy monetary policy. U.S. Treasuries prices added to losses on Wednesday after the Treasury sold $29 billion in seven-year notes to relatively low demand in the government's final sale of $96 billion in new coupon-bearing debt this week. The Reserve Bank of India said on Thursday it accepted all 14 bids for 61.76 billion rupees at its one-day reverse repo auction through which it absorbs excess liquidity from the banking system. It had accepted all 66 bids for 412.42 billion rupees at its one-day repo auction through which it injects liquidity into the banking system. Indian banks' refinancing with RBI unchanged at 419.61 billion rupees. Indian banks' cash balances with RBI fall to 3.16 trillion rupees.

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 29th NOVEMBER. 2013

CALL REPORT PERFORMANCE UPDATES

Date

Commodity/ Currency Pairs

Contract

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

28/11/13

MCX GOLD

DEC

BUY

30250

30300-30380

30170

NOT EXECUTED

28/11/13

MCX GOLD

DEC.

SELL

29835

29785-29720

29915

NOT EXECUTED

28/11/13

MCX SILVER

DEC

BUY

45200

45400-45800

45000

NOT EXECUTED

28/11/13

MCX SILVER

DEC

SELL

43950

43750-43500

44100

NOT EXECUTED

28/11/13

NCDEX CASTOR SEED

JAN.

SELL

4320

4290-4250

4370

NOT EXECUTED

28/11/13

NCDEX CASTOR SEED

JAN.

BUY

4410

4440-4490

4360

BOOKED PROFIT

28/11/13

NCDEX DHANIYA

DEC.

BUY

7690

7720-7760

7640

BOOKED FULL PROFIT

28/11/13

NCDEX DHANIYA

DEC.

SELL

7480

7450-7410

7530

NOT EXECUTED

28/11/13

USD/INR

DEC.

SELL

62.60

62.51-62.36

63.24

NOT EXECUTED

28/11/13

USD/INR

DEC.

BUY

63.25

63.40-63.64

62.61

NOT EXECUTED

28/11/13

EUR/INR

DEC.

SELL

85.20

85.03-84.84

85.80

NOT EXECUTED

28/11/13

EURINR

DEC.

BUY

85.68

85.84-86.12

84.90

NOT EXECUTED

Date

Scrip

CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

28/11/13

NIFTY

FUTURE

BUY

6040-6060

6090-6125

6020

NOT EXECUTED

28/11/13

UPL LTD.

FUTURE

BUY

170

175-180

165

CALL OPEN

28/11/13

VOLTAS

FUTURE

BUY

100

103-105

97

BOOKED FULL PROFIT

28/11/13

CEAT LTD

CASH

BUY

281

287-292

275

BOOKED FULL PROFIT

26/11/13

NIFTY

FUTURE

BUY

6060-6080

6125-6150

6020

CALL OPEN

US ECONOMIC REPORT TIME (ET)

REPORT

PERIOD

ACTUAL

CONSENSUSFORECAST

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THURSDAY, NOV. 28 THANKSGIVING DAY NONE SCHEDULED

FRIDAY, NOV. 29 NONE SCHEDULED

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YOUR MINTVISORY

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