Special report by epic research 10 january 2014

Page 1

DAILY REPORT 10th JANUARY. 2013

Global markets at a glance Asian stocks fell, with the regional benchmark index extending its weekly loss, as investors await reports on Chinese trade and U.S. payrolls The MSCI Asia Pacific Index slipped 0.4 percent to 138.46 as of 10:02 a.m. in Tokyo, on course for a 1.3 percent loss this week. More than two stocks fell for each that rose on the index. A U.S. Labor Department report today is projected to show American employers added more jobs in 2013 than at any point in the past eight years. Growth in Chinese exports and imports probably slowed last month,

World Indices

Wall Street Update U.S. stocks ended little changed on Thursday in a choppy session ahead of Friday's payrolls report, which may provide insights into whether the Federal Reserve will announce another cut in quantitative easing at its meeting this month The S&P telecom services sector index .SPLRCL fell 1.9 percent, pulled lower by AT&T and Verizon Communications,

Company

Index

Value

% Change

DJl

16,1444

-0.11

S&P 500

1838.13

+0.03

NASDAQ EURO STO FTSE 100

4156.19 3090.26 6691.34

-0.23 -0.66 -0.46

Nikkei 225 Hong Kong

15,843.90 22,787.33

-0.23 -0.91

Top Gainers CMP

Change

% Chg

200

8.50

4.44

1285

39.85

3.20

COALINDIA

296.85

8.05

2.79

ONGC

281.00

7.80

2.86

JINDALSTEL

265.20

6.85

2.65

CMP

Change

% Chg

48.80 1053.25 972.25 170.60 112.70

-2.15 -30.10 -26.10 -4.10 -2.55

-4.22 -2.78 -2.61 -2.35 -2.21

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

2532.25

56.75

2.24

640

-10.60

-1.65

HCL TECH

1246.40

39.85

3.20

MASTEK

199.25

2.25

1.13

HEXAWARE

138.25

1.15

083

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

CMP

Change

% Chg

6168.35

-6.25

-0.10

20713.37

-16.01

-0.08

SSLT HCLTECH

Top Losers Company

Previous day Roundup Equity benchmarks closed choppy session on a flat note Thursday as investors remained cautious ahead third quarter earnings expected tomorrow. Other events are November industrial output, December inflation and RBI policy. , the Nifty fell 6.25 points to 6,168.35, but the broader markets underperformed benchmarks. Shares of ONGC , Dr Reddy’s Labs, NTPC and Coal India gained between 2-3 percent. However, banks, auto, capital goods and FMCG stocks were under pressure. Axis Bank , and Larsen and Toubro topped the selling list Index stats The Market was very volatile in yesterday session where Bankex and Bank Nifty both closed almost down (down 0.74% and down-0.75 % respectively). Among the sartorial indices the sectors which were down are; Capital Goods [down-197.91 pts], Consumer Durables [down 28.82 pts], FMCG [down36.69 pts], Realty [down 32.40pts],, AUTO [down 69.06pts], the index advanced were TECK [up11.46 pts] PSU [up 46.66 pts], Oil & Gas up 64.25 pts], Metals [up 101.33 pts], Power [up 2.55 pts], IT [up42.85 pts], Healthcare [up47.00 pts], .

YOUR MINTVISORY

JPASSOCIAT ACC LT AMBUJACEM HINDALCO

Stocks at 52 Week’s high Symbol

DRREDDY BFUTILITIE

Stocks at 52 Week’s Low Symbol

--

Indian Indices Company NIFTY SENSEX

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DAILY REPORT 10th JANUARY. 2013

EQUITY CASH & FUTURE

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. HAVELLS FUTURE

STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] 1. MUTHOOTFIN

HAVELLS FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above 140 levels. We advise buying around 140 levels with strict stop loss 138 for the targets of 142-144 levels.

MUTHOOTFIN is looking strong on charts. We advice buying above 130 levels with strict stop loss of 123 for the targets of 137-145 levels. MACRO NEWS

2.SUNPHARMA FUTURE

SUNPHARMA FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above 610 levels. We advise buying around 610 levels with strict stop loss 600 for the targets of 620-630 levels.

YOUR MINTVISORY

The Cabinet yesterday approved a refund of about Rs 11,258.48 crore for broadband wireless access (BWA) spectrum surrendered by state-run MTNL and BSNL.

Infosys' 3800 strike has largest base with 6,100 contracts, followed by 3700 strike with 5,900 contracts. In the put option, Infosys' 3100 strike has the largest base with 6,800 contracts,

The futures & options (F&O) data bears this out: implied volatility of Infosys has dropped below 40%, which is at its lowest in the past several quarters.

Private sector lender IndusInd Bank will declare its third quarter (October-December) earnings on Friday. analysts expect strong growth in top line as well as bottom line,

the Union Cabinet yesterday approved a much-awaited proposal for bringing out a comprehensive regulatory framework with guidelines for the Television Rating Agencies.

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DAILY REPORT FUTURE & OPTION

10th JANUARY. 2013

STOCKS IN NEWS  Mastek board approves buyback of 14.9% equity at up to Rs 250  FII share purchase limit in Jubilant Foodworks reaches trigger limit:  Apollo Tyres: Promoters released pledge on 49.5 lakh shares  Tata Steel gets 0.2 mt rail steel supply order from French company NIFTY FUTUR

MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION Symbol

Option Type

Strike Price

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

NIFTY

PE

6100

54.15

2,53,445

46,74,400

NIFTY

PE

6,200

92.00

1,99,271

41,99,750

NIFTY

PE

6,000

30.15

1,81,308

54,81,300

BANK NIFTY

PE

11,000 260.15

14,743

1,99,400

SBIN

PE

1650

54.60

2,936

1,55,375

INFY

PE

3,200

35

16,491

8,37,125

SBIN

PE

1600

31.5

4,509

2,31,875

BANKNIFTY

PE

10,500

88.25

18,481

2,39,250

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol

Option Type

Strike Price

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

NIFTY

CE

6,400

73.00

1,63,743

35,33,650

NIFTY

CE

6,500

38.95

1,41,544

44,10,350

NIFTY

CE

6,600

17.95

91,601

27,80,200

BANKNIFTY

CE

12,000

114.75

11,858

2,03,275

SBIN

CE

1,800

43.05

3,897

3,66,250

RELIANCE

CE

900

19.45

3,070

6,59,750

BHEL

CE

180

4.45

1,458

10,40,000

DLF

CE

180

3.50

1,413

19,80,000

TCS

CE

2,200

58.60

1,357

1,70,000

Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session after a choppy session. We buying around 6150 levels with strict stop loss of 6100 for the targets of 6200-6250 levels.

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY

SELL

OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY

No. of Amount in No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts Crores Contracts

Amount in Crores

NET AMOUNT

INDEX FUTURES

27887

842.31

44678

1366.54

434004

13323.59

-524.23

INDEX OPTIONS

231881

7083.99

236446

7243.37

1117084

34345.63

-159.38

STOCK FUTURES

58618

1900.91

58826

1926.94

999498

31531.48

-26.03

STOCK OPTIONS

30235

937.09

30747

959.44

60965

1948.25

-22.35

TOTAL

-731.99

INDICES NIFTY

S2

S1

PIVOT

R1

R2

6143.93

6159.26

6175.68

6191.01

6207.43

NIFTYJUNIOR

12599.66

12655.13

12718.96

12774.43

12838.26

BANK NIFTY

10921.13

10987.41

11055.08

11121.36

11189.03

YOUR MINTVISORY

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DAILY REPORT 10th JANUARY. 2013

COMMODITY MCX

RECOMMENDATIONS SILVER

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 44260 TGTS 44460/44760 SL 43860 SELL SILVER BELOW 43650 TGTS 43450/43150 SL 44050 GOLD

COMMODITY ROUNDUP Gold futures rose on Thursday after bargain hunters snapped up nicely-priced positions in the yellow metal, especially after uncertainty over Friday's jobs report softened the dollar, which trades inversely with the yellow metal. On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold futures for February delivery traded at USD1,228.00 a troy ounce during U.S. trading, up 0.20%, up from a session low of USD1,223.10 and off a high of 1,230.60. The February contract settled down 0.33% at USD1,225.50. Futures were likely to find support at USD1,217.80 a troy ounce, Wednesday's low, and resistance at USD1,247.70, Monday's high Natural Gas has completed the bearish head and shoulders chart pattern, on the daily chart, over a time span of one month. Prices have breached the neckline support, pegged at 260. Moreover, it has violated the primary uptrend line too pegged at 262 levels. Distance of the head from the neckline is of 24 points, subtracting the same from the neckline support gives the price target of 236. Spot Silver prices traded on a flat note yesterday on the back of weakness in the DX. However, gains in the prices was capped due to declining trend in shares silver holdings coupled with downside in the base metals complex. MCX Silver prices gained around 0.1 percent touching an intra-day high of Rs.44218/kg till 4:00pm IST. Base metals pack on the LME traded on a negative note on the back of unfavorable economic data from the biggest consumer, China. Also, heightened fears of further QE taper after the minutes of the FOMC meeting were released yesterday exerted downside pressure on prices. However, decline in LME inventories coupled with weakness in the DX restricted sharp negative movement in prices. In the Indian markets, base metals traded lower owing to Rupee appreciation Gold prices fell this week on solid data, especially after payroll processor ADP reported that U.S. private-sector nonfarm payrolls rose by 238,000 in December.

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 28900 TGTS 28980/29080 SL 28780 SELL GOLD BELOW 28690 TGTS 28610/28510 SL 28800

YOUR MINTVISORY

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DAILY REPORT 10th JANUARY. 2013

NCDEX

RECOMMENDATIONS CASTORSEED

NCDEX INDICES Index

Value

% Change

Castor Seed

4388

-1.13

Chana

2997

0.00

Coriander

7955

-0.10

Cotton Seed Oilcake

1543

1.38

12525

-0.16

Maize– Feed/ Industrial Grade

1194

-2.05

Mustard seed

3589

0.00

Soy Bean

3667.5

0.05

Turmeric

6725

-1.41

Jeera

BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4500 TGTS 4530,4580 SL 4450 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4410 TGTS 4380,4330 SL 4460 DHANIYA

BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8350 TGTS 8380,8430 SL 8300 SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8110 TGTS 8080,8030 SL 8160

YOUR MINTVISORY

NCDEX ROUNDUP weather remains favourable for the crop, due to good moisture in parts of Kerala, TN and South Karnataka which will boost production. The picking operations has already started, weather is conducive for the harvesting. Cardamom is mostly in capsule development to harvesting stages in Kerala, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu and likely rains will boost Jeeral prices are likely to trade sideways in the beginning of the year but could witness gains as there is a possibility of export and domestic demand picking up strongly in MayJune, as situation in other exporting countries is quite bad, according to Commodities Yearly Outlook by Religare Commodities. The trend in NCDEX guar seed and guar gum for February delivery looks positive at current levels and are likely to continue with the trend for near term. Support for guar seed is seen at 4920 while resistance is seen at 5180. Traders may buy guar seed around 5000 with the stop loss of 4920 for the target of 5180. Also, support for guar gum is seen at 13200 while resistance is seen at 14100. Traders may buy around 13500 with the stop loss of 13200 for the target of 14100, according to our analyst at Commodity Online.

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DAILY REPORT 10th JANUARY. 2013

CURRENCY

RBI Reference Rate Currency

Rupee- $ Euro

Rate Currency

Rate

62.07 Yen-100

0.5914

84 GBP

102.170

USD/INR

SELL USD/INR BELOW 62.15 TGTS 62.02, 61.89 SL 62.51. BUY USD/INR ABOVE 62.47 TGTS 62.61, 62.79 SL 62.12. JPY/INR

CURRENCY ROUNDUP The greenback traded largely lower against most major currencies on Thursday after investors sold the greenback for profits ahead of the release of the official December jobs report on Friday, though dovish comments from European Central Bank head Mario Draghi cushioned the greenback's losses. U.S. trading on Thursday, EUR/USD was up 0.21% at 1.3604. Profit takers sent the dollar inching lower on Thursday as investors fled to the sidelines to await the release of the December jobs report on Friday. The dollar gained this week after payroll processor ADP reported that private-sector nonfarm payrolls rose by 238,000 in December, surpassing consensus forecasts for an increase of 200,000, while the Federal Reserve said in the minutes of its December policy report that authorities felt the decision to trim its monthly bond purchases in January was the right one and stressed the need to follow up in "measured" steps. the euro, meanwhile, faced pressures of its own after ECB President Mario Draghi 'strongly' reiterated the bank's forward guidance on interest rates, saying monetary policy will remain accommodative for as long as necessary, which cushioned the dollar's losses. Draghi said the ECB was ready to take "further decisive action" if monetary authorities detected unwarranted short-term tightening in the money markets or if the outlook for inflation worsened in the medium term. The ECB would consider "all possible instruments" to tackle these contingencies, he added.

SELL JPY/INR BELOW 59.21 TGTS 59.08, 58.90 SL 59.56. BUY JPY/INR ABOVE 59.67 TGTS 59.82, 60.01 SL 59.32. YOUR MINTVISORY

Also in Europe, Germany's industrial production rose 1.9% in November, beating market calls for a 1.5% gain, which helped push the single currency higher against the dollar. The greenback was down against the pound, with GBP/USD up 0.20% at 1.6482..The Bank of England earlier left rates on hold at 0.5% and announced no change to the size of its GBP375 billion asset purchase program,

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DAILY REPORT 10th JANUARY. 2013

CALL REPORT PERFORMANCE UPDATES

Date

Commodity/ Currency Pairs

Contract

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

09/01/14

MCX GOLD

FEB.

BUY

28900

28980-29080

28780

COST EXIT

09/01/14

MCX GOLD

FEB.

SELL

28690

28610-28510

28800

NOT EXECUTED

09/01/14

MCX SILVER

MAR.

BUY

44500

44700-45000

44100

NOT EXECUTED

09/01/14

MCX SILVER

MAR.

SELL

43650

43450-43150

44050

NOT EXECUTED

09/01/14

NCDEX CASTOR SEED

FEB.

SELL

4420

4190-4140

4470

SL TRIGGERED

09/01/14

NCDEX CASTOR SEED

FEB.

BUY

4560

4590-4640

4510

NOT EXECUTED

09/01/14

NCDEX DHANIYA

JAN.

SELL

7890

7860-7810

7940

SL TRIGGEDED

09/01/14

NCDEX DHANIYA

JAN.

BUY

8030

8060-8110

7980

NOT EXECUTED

9/01/14

GBP/INR

JAN.

SELL

102.28

102.13-101.98

102.68

BOOKED PROFIT

09/01/14

GBP/INR

JAN.

BUY

102.67

102.84-103.03

102.27

NOT EXECUTED

09/01/14

EUR/INR

JAN.

SELL

84.65

84.53-84.42

85.01

SL TRIGGEDED

09/01/14

EURINR

JAN.

BUY

85.23

85.39-85.54

84.87

NOT EXEXUTED

Date

Scrip

CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

09/01/14

NIFTY

FUTURE

SELL

6170

6140-6120

6200

CALL OPEN

09/01/14

SYNDICATE BANK

FUTURE

BUY

98.50

99.50-101.50

96.50

BOOKED PROFIT

09/01/14

FRL

FUTURE

BUY

89-90

92-94

87

SL TRIGGEDED

09/01/14

GRAVITA

CASH

BUY

46

50-54

41

CALL OPEN

08/01/14

TATASTEEL

FUTURE

SELL

395-400

388-382

408

CALL OPEN

08/01/14

MARUTI

FUTURE

BUY

1850-1860

1880-1900

1830

SL TRIGGEDED

07/01/14

NIFTY

FUTURE

SELL

6200

6150-6110

6250

CALL OPEN

YOUR MINTVISORY

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DAILY REPORT 10th JANUARY. 2013

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS TIME (ET)

REPORT

PERIOD

ACTUAL

CONSENSUS FORECAST

PREVIOUS

54.6%

53.9%

-$39.9 bln

-$40.6 bln

230,000

215,000

--

$18.2 bln

N/A

339,000

MONDAY, JAN6 10 am

ISM nonmanufacturing

Dec. TUESDAY, DEC. 7

8:30 am

Trade deficit

Nov. WEDNESDAY, JAN. 01

8:15 am

ADP employment

Dec.

2 pm

FOMC minutes

12/18

3 pm

Consumer credit

Nov. THURSDAY, JAN. 02

8:30 am

Weekly jobless claims

1/4 FRIDAY, JAN. 03

8:30 am

Nonfarm payrolls

Dec.

190,000

203,000

8:30 am

Unemployment rate

Dec.

7.0%

7.0%

10 am

Wholesale inventories

Nov.

--

1.4%

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