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Editorial, Hartmut Bühl

Europe at a crossroads

How could it have come to this? For the first time an anti-system and anti-European government has been formed in a founding Member State of the European Union (EU). Like previous elections in Europe, the Italian election has demonstrated once again that voter rejection of Europe is largely driven by a sometimes vicious campaign rhetoric against incumbent politicians and the EU’s failures, but also by the death of information about what the Union does in fact accomplish. Brussels simply leaves the average citizen cold. In a modern Europe and a globalised world, it is regrettable and alarming that nationalist populist movements are gaining ground in nearly all Member States. Those of us who support Europe should not lose heart, but we must not bury our heads in the sand and hope the problem will go away. After all, populist parliamentarians have been democratically elected and the reason they excoriate Brussels is that the EU has failed to come up with practical ways to address deep-seated voter apprehensions about border security and migration and Europe’s cultural identity. For decades, the EU has done much to ensure that Europeans can live together in peace. If it does not now demonstrate that it can bestir itself and take visible and decisive action instead of sticking to its usual bureaucratic routine, the gap between the institutions and citizens will further widen. Business as usual is a recipe for disaster. But how can the EU strike the right balance among the different interests of European states? Practical solutions are urgently needed and must be spelled out to the public, but there is also a need for trailblazing ideas. It doesn’t help that Brussels and the Member States are having to take their fate into their own hands at a time when they are largely unprepared to cope with the incipient collapse of the current international order – especially following the G7 meeting in Canada on

9 May 2018, which the US president torpedoed with his trademark tweets, bringing into sharp focus once again his determined efforts to undermine the rules-based international order and destabilise the EU. Shifts in the global trade and security framework call for European realpolitik. They also call for a realistic assessment of US economic and military power in light of the fact that the current occupant of the White House will have to pack his bags in just under seven years at the latest. Another seven years is not much more than one legislative period of the European Parliament. That is not a reassuring prospect, but it does set a time limit. In the face of these global upheavals and crises at home, it is important for Europe to address two crucial issues that could, if solved, give it fresh momentum and pull the rug from under nationalist populist movements across the continent: security and defence. These are enshrined in Europe’s Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP) and it is high time to flesh it out and give it real substance, particularly against the background of a possible paradigm shift in US security policy and the US attitude towards NATO. A decisive factor for Europe’s security, and the way electorates perceive it, would be a common guarantee of Europe’s external borders. How else can Europe be perceived as a strong player if it cannot protect its own borders with respect to human rights and migration policies based on burden sharing? A moral condemnation of populism is not enough. Instead, we must combat its causes. 2019 may be a decisive year for Europe. If Europe is to survive, it must virtually re-invent itself! Hartmut Bühl

Impressum The European − Security and Defence Union ProPress Publishing Group Bonn/Berlin

Headquarters Berlin: Kaskelstr. 41, D-10317 Berlin Phone: +49/30/557 412-0, Fax: +49/30/557 412-33 Brussels Office: Hartmut Bühl Phone: +49/172 3282 319, Fax: +33/684806655 E-Mail: hartmut.buehl@orange.fr Bonn Office: Friedrich-Ebert-Allee 57, D-53113 Bonn Phone: +49/228/970 97-0, Fax: +49/228/970 97-75 Executive Media & Content: Andy Francis Stirnal Phone: +49/176 6686 1543 E-Mail: andy.stirnal@magazine-the-european.com Publisher and Editor-in-Chief: Hartmut Bühl, Brussels Deputy Editor-in-Chief: Nannette Cazaubon, Paris; E-Mail: nannette.cazaubon@magazine-the-european.com Editor: Alexa Keinert, Berlin; E-mail: editor.esdu@gmail.com Publishing House: ProPress Verlagsgesellschaft mbH President ProPress Publishing Group: R. Uwe Proll Layout: Beate Dach, SpreeService- und Beratungsgesellschaft mbH, Berlin Print: WIRmachenDRUCK GmbH, Backnang The European − Security and Defence Union Magazine is published by the ProPress Publishing Group. The ProPress Publishing Group is the organiser of the congress on European Security and Defence (Berlin Security Conference), the European Police Congress and the European Congress on Disaster Management. For further information about the magazine and the congresses please visit www.magazine-the-european.com Subscription: This magazine is published in Brussels and Berlin. The copy price is 16 Euro: 3 copies for one year: 42 Euro (EU subscription) 3 copies for one year: 66 Euro (International subscription) including postage and dispatch (3 issues)

THE EUROPEAN – SECURITY AND DEFENCE UNION Vol. No. 30

Content

3 6

Editorial, Hartmut Bühl News, Nannette Cazaubon

17–50

MAIN TOPIC Climate change A global security challenge

8–16 In the Spotlight The European Union at a crossroads

8

Mauro Petriccione, Brussels The European Union’s action on climate protection 2018 is a crucial year

10

Federico Fabbrini, Dublin EU-UK security cooperation after Brexit: opportunities but challenges A double paradox

11 Mete Coban and Stephen Kinnock MP, London Let young people have a say Europe and the UK after Brexit

14

Rachel Suissa, Haifa Israel’s perceptions of threat in an unstable geostrategic environment The Iran deal is only one solution

16

Short interview with Michael Singh, Washington D.C. Trump’s uppercut to transatlantic relations The Alliance has always survived

GLOBAL CHALLENGES

18 Documentation UN Climate Change Annual Report 2017

19

Interview with Louise van Schaik, The Hague The Planetary Security Initiative Reducing impacts emanating from environmental stresses

23 Janani Vivekananda, Berlin Climate change, conflict and crisis in Lake Chad Climate change is a risk multiplier

26

Marcus DuBois King, Washington, D.C. Violent extremism and the weaponization of water in a changing climate The footprint of water stress is expanding

28 Sinéad O’Sullivan, Washington, D.C. We must prepare and react to climate and security risks through space technologies Earth observation: a tool for security

30

Greta Nielsen, Bonn Armed forces and the challenges of climate change Climate change in military strategies

32

Documentation High-level event ”Climate, Peace and Security: The Time for Action”

ENERGY

34 Interview with Franz Untersteller MdL, Stuttgart The Under2 Coalition: how climate protection should work

Achieving the climate targets

Maroš Šefčovič, Brussels The Energy Union: boosting resilience, supporting innovation, empowering people Energy transition becomes a reality

Martin Schuster, Winterbach How to adapt energy solutions to the needs of each country The decentralisation of energy supply

Andreas Renner, Karlsruhe The energy providers’ commitment to climate protection Energy goals need to be more stringent

44 Bärbel Dieckmann, Bonn Reducing the impact of climate damage DEVELOPMENT

Judith Helfmann-Hundack / Peggy Schulz, Hamburg A new compact for a better life and peace in Africa Global-solutions-to-global-challenges

Gisbert Dreyer, Berlin Perspectives for climate-change stricken Africa The way ahead together with Europe

51–62 Security & defence Cooperation in unpredictable times

52 Jürgen Weigt, Strasbourg The foundation of interoperability is mutual confidence Human factors are key

56 Interview with Gerald Knaus, Berlin Did NATO’s intervention in the Balkans work? What are the lessons for today?

61

Ioan Mircea Pas cu MEP, Brussels/Strasbourg European Defence: the time to act Guest Commentary

62 Publication “Defence: Europe’s Awakening”, Policy Paper, Robert Schuman Foundation

“The European − Security and Defence Union” is the winner of the 2011 European Award for Citizenship, Security and Defence

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