Financial Investigator 05-2019

Page 72

// THEMA FIXED INCOME

ASSESSING ESG FACTORS WHEN INVESTING IN EM DEBT By Bryan Carter

Investors are increasingly considering environmental, social and governance factors alongside traditional financial risks. Nevertheless, many balk at using ESG criteria for emerging markets, worried this limits opportunities or potential returns.

Photo: Archive BNP Paribas AM

• There are opportunities in ‘long-term improvers‘, as these emerging markets (EMs) need investment for growth, jobs and stronger foundations. • Selectivity is key: EMs include those improving living standards, policy frameworks and democracy, but also those ignoring pollution controls, facing growing social tensions or institutions in crisis. • For investors, an approach oriented on environmental, social and governance

(ESG) criteria fits with ethical investing, a long-term stance and risk mitigation. • Blending alpha potential and an ESG ranking can produce a ESG-tilted portfolio without limiting diversification or the alpha set. Just a decade ago, most EM countries facing fragile political, social or economic situations were low-income. Now, metrics such as human development indices are showing significant progress, enabling many countries to advance to middle-income status. Looking ahead, some of the poorest countries with the lowest ESG scores may in fact record the largest improvements. This could make investing in their debt an attractive opportunity. Without question, many EM countries are departing from a low(er) base. This provides many with ‘low-hanging fruit’ – areas that can be improved relatively easily. These fields include ESG aspects such as greater environmental efficiencies (the ‘E’ of ESG), safeguarding social goods (the ‘S’) and improving institutions of government (the ‘G’). These are precisely the countries that are most in need of long-term responsible investment to stimulate economic growth, create jobs and strengthen their economic foundations.

Bryan Carter

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FINANCIAL INVESTIGATOR

NUMMER 5 / 2019

We believe these countries represent the best set of ‘long-term improvers’, capable of generating outsized growth and asset

Some of the poorest countries with the lowest ESG scores may in fact record the largest improvements.

gains for patient investors. Demographic trends and a growing middle class are generating rising demand for consumer goods, infrastructure, services and agribusiness. This should drive economic growth, as well as prosperity and wellbeing. Why couch these opportunities in an ESG framework? We believe there is a moral imperative for investors and asset managers to concentrate fiduciary assets in sustainable investments. This reflects our belief in ethical investing, in acting as long-term investors, and in mitigating risk, for ourselves and our clients. As said, there is no longer a single EM bracket. From an ESG perspective, there are countries that are improving the standards of living, policy frameworks and democracy, while others are regressing as pollution controls are reversed, social tensions rise or


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