Finxpress dec06

Page 1

December 6th, 2015 | A FinNiche Initiative


EDITORIAL I S S U E

1 0

D E C E M B E R

0 6 ,

2 0 1 5

Kudos to Placement Committee for a successful Final Placement Week !!! This past week has been anything but ordinary. The campus has been abuzz with Companies

CONTENT

looking for prospective suitors and students trying to land their dream jobs. With 400+ of our

India’s GDP

batch-mates already placed by the end of this years’ final placement week Club FinNiche would

accelerates in Sept Quarter | 2

like to extend a round of applause to the Junior Placecommers for the dedication and hard

Rupee hits 67 to the dollar: Why is it sliding? | 4

work they’ve put in. It’s not an easy task to perform but they have pulled it off effortlessly. We congratulate all those who got placed this week and extend our warm wishes to those still in the process. May the odds ever be in your favor.

Paris attacks cause more trouble for Eurozone economy| 5

Just as the campus was buzzing with placements so was the world buzzing with tons of issues

In the Goldilocks Zone - Japan ! | 6

hit a two-year low or the curious case of India’s GDP that accelerated to the tune of 7.4%. for

ranging from business to societal. This issue of Finxpress covers a plethora of such events that took place this week like the issue of Indian rupee that depreciated further against dollar and the quarter ended September as opposed to 7%. last year for the same period.

TRENDING NEWS | 9

We invite you to hop on, for the journey through the National and International happenings and do remember to save a glance for the markets and for our finance geeks the topic of

MARKET | 11

discussion this fortnight is ‘Poison pills’ under our Finword section and our personality section

FIN-WORD | 12

covers Mallika Srinivasan aka ‘The Tractor Queen of India’ who is not only a successful

PERSONALITY | 13

entrepreneur but the first lady to ever to assume the role of the President of the Madras

STARTUP TRACKER | 14

Chamber of Commerce and Industry.

SPONSORS | 15

Feel free to write to us and share your ideas.

And as always, we welcome any comments, suggestions or criticism regarding the magazine.

Happy Reading!

Regards The Editorial Team Club FinNiche

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1


NATIONAL B Y

J A N A

India’s GDP accelerates in Sept Quarter

SNIPPETS

A R N A B

Latest Growth rate stands at 7.4% Q-to-Q

The Central Statistical Office or CSO on

transport and communication and

Highlights

30 November 2015 announced that India’s

services related to broadcasting,

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by

financial, insurance, real estate and

International

7.4

quarter

professional

(July-September) of 2015-16 financial year

manufacturing.

outlook

RBI policy

GST

percent

in

the

second

compared to the same period during 2014-

Area wise growth: Agriculture, forestry and fishing (2.2), mining

GDP grew at a rate of 7%.

and quarrying (3.2), electricity, gas,

The high growth rate of the economy has

water supply and other utility

been primarily attributed to a 10.6 percent

services (6.7), construction (2.6)

growth registered by Trade, hotels and

and public administration, defense

Transport and communication and services

and other services (4.7).

Gross Fixed Capital Formation

The manufacturing sector also showed a

(GFCF): In terms of GDP, the rates

spike of 9.3 percent compared to 7.9

of GFCF at current and constant

percent in Q2 of FY 2014-15.

(2011-2012) prices during Q2 of

Highlights

2015-16 are estimated at 28.3 per

Real GDP or GDP at constant

cent and 30.1 per cent, respectively,

(2011-12) prices in Q2 of 2015-16

as against the corresponding rates

is estimated at 27.57 lakh crore, as

of 28.9 per cent and 30.3 per cent,

against 25.66 lakh crore in Q2 of

respectively in Q2 of 2014-15.

2014-15, showing a growth rate of

Registering a 7.4 percent growth, India

7.4 percent.

continues be the fastest growing large

The which

other

economic

activities

economy in the world in 2015. In early

registered growth of over

2015, India had overtaken China as the

7.0 percent are trade, hotels and

2

and

15. In the last quarter ended July’15 the

related to broadcasting sectors.

PAGE

services

fastest


fastest growing major economy in the

to accelerate economic growth was on

January-March quarter, growing 7.5 per

the right track.

cent against China’s 7 per cent. India

Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor

furthered it’s the growth momentum in

Raghuram Rajan kept the key repurchase

the April-June quarter with 7 percent.

rate unchanged at 6.75% in the year’s last

As

PAGE

3

per

a

recent

forecast

of

the

monetary policy review on 1 December.

International Monetary Fund (IMF), India

This will keep under check any sense of

will remain as the fastest growing major

exubernence; and also shows that the

economy during 2015. It will grow at 7.5

economy is still on the way of recovery.

per cent in 2015 as against China’s 6.8

A key reform in the waiting, the goods

per cent and 3.3 per cent of developed

and services tax (GST), which is aimed at

nations during the same period.

dismantling inter-state barriers to trade

Volatility in China’s stock markets in

in goods and services and economically

recent times coupled with its dwindling

unify India, has been held up by political

economic activities especially in the

wrangling between the government and

manufacturing sector are expected to

the opposition. According to some

result in India’s predominance over China

economists, it would boost India’s GDP

in terms of growth rates.

growth by 1-2 percentage points.

The accelerated GDP growth rate also

One would expect the logjam to break

provides evidence that the government’s

this winter session of the parliament, to

strategy of kick-starting stalled projects

give way to a comprehensive tax regime

and reinforcing India’s manufacturing base

in the country.


NATIONAL B Y

A B H I N E E T

A U G U S T I N E

Rupee hits 67 to the dollar: Why is it sliding? SNIPPETS

Rupee-euro carry trade

While a slide in the dollar following a

The euro has around 58 per cent weight in

less-than-expected

the

the dollar index, while the Japanese yen has

European Central Bank (ECB) spelt some

about 14 per cent weight. The dollar index

stimulus

by

relief to Asian currencies, the rupee hit a

tracks the movement of the dollar against a

RBI's liquidity

fresh two-year low and hit the 67 mark on

basket of six major world currencies A

infusion

Friday.

weakness in these economies can push the dollar index higher, which can in turn

Impending Fed The domestic currency hit a low of 67.01

rate hike

influence

emerging

market

currencies.

against the greenback on Friday, the lowest since September 4, before recouping some

The index, which was at around 70 level in

of the lost ground. The domestic currency

March 2008, was hovering at around 80

though recouped some losses and settled

level in June 2014. It recently breached the

at 66.70, down 4 paise over previous close

100 mark and is now ruling at the 98 level.

of 66.66. Analysts said there might have been Rupee-euro carry trade

winding up of carry trade between the

The ECB played spoilsport on Thursday by

rupee and the euro, which may have been

announcing a less-than-expected stimulus

weighing on the domestic currency.

for the slowing economy of the region.

PAGE

4

The move triggered selling across equity

RBI's liquidity infusion

markets globally. However, the euro and

The Reserve Bank of India will conduct

different Asian currencies, barring the ru-

bond purchases of up to Rs 10,000 crore

pee, were trading firm against the US dol-

via open market operations (OMO) on

lar on hope that a rise in the euro will put

Monday. The central bank will also conduct

a halt to the dollar rally, at least for the

a 28-day variable term repo for Rs 25,000

time being.

crore to inject funds into the banking

The ECB on Thursday cut deposit rate by

system. Rating agency India Ratings in a

0.10 per cent to minus 0.30 per cent (from

note said, "RBI's decision to infuse liquidity

minus 0.20 per cent) and said it would

via both term repo and open market

extend its 60 billion euro, or $63.5 billion a

operations (OMO) routes will have a

month, bond-buying scheme to at least

salutary and sentiment impact on money

March 2017.

market rates as well as bond yields."


"Theoretically, RBI's intention to open

quickly. It is most likely that the US fed

the OMO window to infuse rupee

will raise interest rates in December

liquidity may be negative for the rupee.

15-16 policy.

However, losses in the rupee may be contained to a large extent by exporters'

Some experts believe Fed rate hikes

dollar sales and positional unwinding of

would be gradual. "I think there has

the dollar as we near the December

always been two ways to look at the Fed

15-16 FOMC meeting," the rating agency

increase. It is very clear that even if there

added.

is an increase, the pace of rate hikes is going

PAGE

5

to

be

quite

calibrated

and

Impending Fed rate hike:

measured and slow and slower than it

The real culprit behind the recent slide in

was the last time the US raised interest

the rupee and other currencies globally is

rates. The second thing is a liftoff means

the impending Fed rate hike. Fed chair

two things - one is that yes, capital costs

Janet Yellen on Thursday warned that

are going to be higher but, two, its

waiting too long to wind up the

growth is now stabilizing and even

near-zero interest rate regime could

firming up, which should be good news

propel the central bank to tighten too

for most emerging markets.


INTERNATIONAL B Y

B H A G I R A D H

S I S T A

In the Goldilocks Zone - Japan ! 

Japan

Japan’s infra exports got a fresh fillip in March

strengthens its

2013 when Prime Minister Shinzo Abe held a

financing arms and India seems

meeting with his key planners. Since then, 21

just right to benefit from it

Human Resources Department, Prevention of Disasters and country/region specific themes.

The Japanese

Needless to say, India is invariably there on

economic engine. The question is why Japan

government targeted ¥30

this body’s agenda. The reasons are not too

didn't look on other South Asian allies as its

hard to find.

option.?

trillion worth exports by 2020. 

Since 2003, Japan has begun to look at

True, Japan did look to Vietnam and other

India as its long term strategic view point for

South Asian allies. But they are too small for

business development. By 2007, then then

its appetite. The market potential of those

PMs of Japan and India - Abe and Manmohan

countries is too small to rely with. India

Singh

landmark

seems just right - often called as the

What’s in the

document for setting up the Dedicated

Goldilocks condition. India was extremely

store for India!?

Freight Corridor (DFC) and Delhi Mumbai

large

Industrial Corridor.

infrastructure

The financial arms of Japan Explained

meetings have been held discussing Railways,

respectively,

signed

the

6

terms

of

spending,

its

appetite

for

technology

and

The xenophobic riots in China against

growth. Its economic policies had moved

Japanese establishments made many believe

unerringly towards greater liberalization. It

that China was not too safe destination to

had tasted excellent rates of return from its

invest. This became a fruitful opportunity to

investments in India’s automobile sector. And

India as Japan began to look towards India.

it was also aware how, over the years, Maruti

Also, there were disputes on sharing of sea

-Suzuki had become a bigger contributor to

routes between China and Japan made India

Suzuki’s bottom line than other Suzuki

as a right choice as a business partner. Japan

investments worldwide.

currently has two barriers for the growth of

PAGE

in

Hitherto, most of the investments were

its economy. Its exports to the US and the

done

by

JICA

EU and rest of the developed world is

Cooperation Agency). In 2013-14 alone,

flagging. Second barrier is that the population

Japan’s

is rapidly ageing. Japan strongly needed a base

Assistance) loans commitment to India had

which could finance the growth of its own

exceeded ¥312 billion ~ R156 billion.

ODA

(Japan

(Overseas

International Development


This has made India the largest recipient

project is expected to start in Jan 2016 and

countries

could

for

OFDA

from

Japan.

7

completed

ongoing

Treatment Plant (STP), an intermediate

projects amounted to 66. ODA loans come

pumping station, a centralised SCADA for

at concessional rates of interest, normally of

STP, a main/sub branch sewers, community

1-2

toilet facility, public participation, institutional

percent.

At

number

other

of

end

of

the

include

a

2023.

billion

total

will

Mar

The

and

project

by

Disbursement for the year stood at ¥1456

Sewerage

spectrum JICA also offers grant aid (which

capacity

need not be repaid), technical cooperation

management, along with consulting services.

and citizen participation. Grants accounted

Financial Arms

for ¥1.49 billion, technical cooperation ¥348

Japan has financing arms such as JICA, JBIC

billion. 234 Indians visited Japan in 2013-14,

(Japan Bank for International Cooperation),

while 659 Japanese experts came to train the

NEXI

people and oversee the projects. India was

Insurance),

other

9th largest recipient of this type of aid under

commercial

borrowings

this category. But, the older modes of

Mizuho,

financing required a relook especially after

Infrastructure Investment Corporation for

the March 2013 meeting. As against ¥10

Transport and Urban Development).

development and environmental

(Nippon

and

Export

and

Japanese

JOIN

Investment banks

for

like

Sumitomo,

(Japan

Overseas

trillion of infrastructure related exports from

JOIN is the latest entrant to this team,

Japan to the world in 2010, and about ¥16

established in October 2014. It’s the 1st and

trillion in 2013 (figures for 2014 will be ready

only government-private sponsored fund in

only by mid-2016 and for 2015 a year after

Japan that specialises in overseas infra

that), the government worked out a target of

investment.

¥30 trillion worth infra exports by 2020.

countries with safe and reliable infra through

Once again it’s possible that India will play a

PPP projects. This also takes up the equity

major part in such exports.

investment and focuses on HR development.

What’s in Store !?

The variety of projects in India include

One of the latest recipients if JICA assistance

trans-harbour link between Sewree and

is the Pune Sewerage project, which involves

Panvel in Maharashtra, High Speed Metro and

11 sites with a combined capacity of 396mld

projects on skill development is already

(million litres daily). The total cost is ¥22

underway in Chennai.

billion and the loan amount is ¥19 billion. The

PAGE

get

It

supports

many

recipient


INTERNATIONAL B Y

A L A N K R I T A

Cameron - Modi Meet Amid all the current controversies surrounding second largest investor in the UK. There are

SNIPPETS

the prime minister and its party in the foreign significant historical, linguistic and cultural ties

Highlights of

media after the electoral defeat in Bihar and that remain untapped. Indian students are the

Modi's UK trip was the

increasing chorus revolving around religious second-largest

group

in

Britain.

fundamentalism comes the most refreshing education, health, culture,

much-touted rupee-

UK - India meet.

denominated 'masala bonds' that will raise

From

infrastructure,

science and high-technology to areas such as policing and intelligence, Britain is still a global

This is also of significance as the doubts leader. Modi would surely like increased

capital in London for India's

regarding the seriousness of India towards the investment in his Make in India initiative. UK has started originating in the UK media. In Delhi needs to be more receptive as Britain is

modernization of railways,

spite of Cameron efforts in his First term, he keen to share its expertise at this point of

housing, green energy etc.

one of the reason why in his second term China

was snubbed by then UPA government. This is time. has got the pride of place.

Outcome of the meet Maximum

out

£40 billion worth of contracts, including for the b e t w e e n

a

of

the

complementarity

services-dominated

project to build a nuclear power station in British economy and a consumption-oriented Britain were signed in the last month successful and manufacturing-embarked Indian economy visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping's to the have been extracted by Prime ministers UK . In one of the most significant shifts in Cameron and Modi. British foreign policy in decades, the UK is trying to position itself as a key partner of China in Win—Win deal occurred in the field of Europe. Therefore, PM’s diplomacy comes at the Information Technology, where TCS will train right time. Brand India got reestablished when

1,000 British university graduates in business Modi and commercial skills and UK will help

declared with self-confidence at Guild Hall in establish a new institution to train one million London that, "at this point of time it is wiser to Indian be in India" than anywhere else.

cyber-security

Coordination

professionals.

between Indian and British

forces in the Indian Ocean and the Asia

PAGE

8

Investments

Pacific were declared , symbolizing a changed

Numbers shows that UK is the largest

historical reality . Overall this visit came as a

European investor in India, and India is the

slap on Modi denouncers.


TRENDING NEWS I S S U E

COMMODITIES GOLD 25715 INR/10 G SILVER 35198 INR/ KG

1 0

0 6

2 0 1 5

Japan’s Economy Recovering Slowly

Free-trade agreement talks between

Economic Minister Akira Amari hopes that

India-EU to resume

discussions between public and private

Talks on India and European Union

sector would encourage more corporate

free-trade

capital

January,

spending

and

help

sustain

a

agreement raising

hopes

will of

resume a

in

speedy

moderate economic recovery inspite of

completion to the long drawn process. EU

weaknesses seen in the economy.

is one of the largest sources of overseas investment

CRUDE OIL 2684 INR/BARREL

D E C

in

India

and

with

the

Govt. to push for GST and Real

recommencement of free-trade talks, value

Estate bills next week

added exports of products like gems,

Hard as the week is for the government,

textiles, pharmaceuticals , etc. would get a

EXCHANGE RATES

still it has proposed heavy business in both

boost.

66.65 INR/ 1 USD

six bills in Lok Sabha and seven in Rajya

Q2 FY16 saw a dip in private sector

Sabha. However the main focus would be

firms’ PAT: RBI

on passage of

According to the data based on the

the houses next week. It has plans to pass

72.54 INR/ 1 EURO 0.54 INR/ 1YEN

the key GST Bill in Lok

Sabha.

100.72 INR/ 1 STERLING

abridged financial results of 2,711 listed non-government non-financial companies,

Indian Eco. can grow at 9% for a

country’s private sector firms’ have seen a

decade: Prof. Summers

depression in PAT as compared to 25.6%

Eminent Harvard University

Professor

growth rate in the year ago period, RBI

Lawrence Summers is very optimistic

data showed. Expenditure contracted at a

about the potential of India to grow at 9%

higher rate than sales . However, IT sector

for a decade and at 8% in subsequent years

showed an improvement in both EBITDA

if it takes bold reform measures and

and Net Profit Margins.

maximizes its potential. Summers also believes that India should not follow blindly

Gold Monetization Policy Voluntary

the Tiger’s economic growth model and

The finance Ministry has today clarified

should give more stress to developing

that the decision to monetize idle gold is

services sector and taking speedier and

purely voluntary. The main objective of the

predictable decisions.

scheme is to promote financial savings. A good part of monetized gold can be used

PAGE

9


to meet domestic requirement and hence

banks, SBI would adopt an aggressive

can help in reducing gold imports and

strategy by ramping up the business

saving foreign exchange thereby solving

correspondents model by offering a wide

problem of current account deficit.

variety of digital products. SBI however did not require any capital immediately

Green light for Fed Reserve rate

to meet Basel III norms.

hike US employment rose exponentially in a

US

show of the economy’s resilience which

revised higher but weaker

most likely paves the way for Fed

Nonfarm productivity in US grew at a

Reserve to raise interest rates for the

faster pace than previously thought in the

first time since a decade. The clear

third quarter, though at a weaker trend.

message from the labor market to the

The economy grew at a rate of 2.1% rate

Fed is “Just Do It”.

in July-September period. This was in line with

10

quarter

economists’

productivity

expectations

and

SBI: Aggressive rather than Passive

reflected upward adjustments to third

As the country goes from being under

quarter

banked to properly banked, competition

estimate last week.

will increase due to a host of several

PAGE

third

Gross

Domestic

Product


MARKETS The BSE index ended up with 0.8 percent decrease, while the NSE index closed 0.88 percent lower. Both indexes ended the week largely flat. For the month, the BSE index lost 3.10 percent,

NSE NIFTY

while the NSE index lost 3.30 percent as losses in Metals, FMCG and Public Sector Undertakings sectors led the lower.

TOP GAINERS  SUNPHARMA  CAIRN  BHARTIARTL

Open

High

Low

Close

SENSEX

25868.49

26235.2

25628.44

25638.11

NIFTY

7851.6

7970.7

7779.2

7781.9

BSE SENSEX

 SBIN  TATASTEEL

TOP LOSERS  ZEEL  TATAPOWER  POWERGRID  M&M  HDFC

PAGE

11

CNX NIFTY


FIN-WORD B Y

R I S H A V

S I D D H A R T H

Poison Pills Poison Pills is the most effective defense tactics used by most of the companies to discourage hostile takeovers. A poison pill makes the transaction being pursued by a hostile bidder totally

unattractive

from

an

economic

perspective, compelling the bidder to negotiate with the target’s board of directors. This is achieved by making the target company’s stock

Ownership Flip-in: The company buys a

more expensive. The goal is to force the bidder

number of smaller companies using a

to negotiate with target’s board and not

stock swap,

directly with the shareholders.

target's stock.

There are several methods of implementing a

diluting the value of the

Creating an employee stock option plan

poison pill.

which vests only if the company is

One strategy is to give shares to the

acquired in a takeover. This makes it

existing shareholders at a discounted

more

price. This increases the number of

employees

shares the acquirer has to buy. Another

difficult

to

retain

the

key

One non stock related method is to

variant of this is to provide highly

create key management incentive plan

advantageous

called

preferred shares that is

“golden

parachutes”

which

convertible to common shares, should

provides for expensive compensation

the

payments

company

be

acquired.

This

immediately dilutes the percentage of

if

acquired

by

another

company and fire all the key executives.

the target owned by the acquirer, and

PAGE

12

makes it more expensive to acquire 50%

Poison pills are often controversial as they

of the target’s stock.

increase cost of the company if the poison pills

Flip-over: the target takes on large debts

are implemented. Also, they interfere with

to make the debt load to be too high to

market efficiencies that encourage takeovers

be attractive.

when there are favorable economic conditions.


PERSONALITY B Y

A L A N K R I T A

The Tractor Queen SNIPPETS 

By betting on farm mechanism, Mallika Srinivasan is linking tractor

The well known entrepreneur of India , pride

joined the group as the General manager, at

of

rooted, Strong

that time the turnover of the company was

headed , the eldest daughter of industrialist A

Rs 85 crore. She grew up learning by her

Sivasailam,

CEO

fathers passion for a larger passion—both in

TAFE - Tractors and Farm Equipment

life and in business. Under the expert

of

her parents, deeply present

chairman

Limited, Mallika Srinivasan

and

was born on

November 19, 1959

guidance of her father and the whole hearted support of the team, She transformed the

maker Tafe’s future to farmer

business to become a hi technology-oriented

prosperity and India’s food

company, the initial choice of the farmers.

company It has now become a Rs 9300 crore Today this unlisted company with a market

security

share of 24 percent is the second largest tractor maker in the country, selling 1.5 lakh units. Mahindra and Mahindra is market leader with 42 percent share. Tafe is also the third largest tractor maker in the world in volume terms after Mahindra & Mahindra and John Deere. Always brilliant in academics , she did her MA (econometrics)

from

Madras

University.

The Company, which has witnessed many ups

Thereafter, She did her MBA from the

and

Wharton

of

determination of this courageous woman that

Pennsylvania. Married to Venu Srinivasan, the

slowly and steadily made the firm climb the

CMD of TVS Motor, she is living happily with

ladders of success. She is the first lady to have

their two children.

assumed the role of a president of the Madras

School

of

the

University

downs.

But,

it

was

the

strong

Chamber of Commerce and Industry. She is

PAGE

13

In 1986 , proud Mallika Srinivasan returned to

also a prominent member of the governing

India with business management degree from

board of the Indian School of Business,

Wharton for joining her fathers business. She

Hyderabad.


START-UP TRACKER B Y

H E R S H

B H A N U

1concern one concern believe that this system can effectively predict how buildings will react to Revolutionizing Emergency Management

the shock waves.

About: Oneconcern.inc is a disaster solutions

The focus is to improve the efficiency of

company that provides rapid damage estimates

disaster management or save

across all natural disasters using artificial

alternatively build cumulative data to go on to

intelligence on natural phenomena sciences. It

serve analytics in the Insurance sector.

lives. And

aims to optimize the chaos ridden disaster reaction

routine

information

for

by

providing

resource

actionable

allocation

and

response recommendation. For

instance

to

track

Personnel: One Concern based in Palo Alto, California is a team of three Stanford founders all of whom have a common mission of making

earthquakes,

homes and cities safer by helping the city and

oneconcern’s founders believe that algorithms

the disaster relief leaders make more informed

can use seismic data and structural knowledge

decisions rapidly during any incident.

of buildings to judge which parts of a city will be

The team has been toiling for the past 4

most at risk and prioritize rescue efforts. They

months, coding the idea.

have developed an algorithm, loaded it with

PAGE

14

public data including the age, type and

Investors: Include affluent investors who

construction materials of individual buildings in

entered at seed stage in case of Dropbox and

a town. It was then trained to understand the

zoosk.

ways

damage

Pejman Mar Ventures, Knight Foundation,

buildings. By combining this knowledge with

Urban. Us, Deep Fork Capital, Sandy Kory,

seismic data following a quake, developers of

Crunch Fund, and 5 others.

in

which

earthquakes

can

Namely

Pejman

Nozad,

Haystack,


OUR SPONSORS

PAGE

15


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