FinXpress - March 1, 2015

Page 1

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MARCH 1, 2015 | A FINNICHE INITIATIVE

In Focus

Opinion

Indian Railway Budget— Positive intent but execution is the key | 2

Union Budget 2015 | 4

Term of Week Swaps | 6

Personality Arvind Panagriya |11

Tech World TV innovation beyond

bend and curve |12

Do write to us at: finniche.imt@gmail.com


March, 1 | 2015 | Volume 36

The farewell party for the batch 2013-2015 was organized

amidst much delight at

completing their PGDM and with optimism looking at the future. We wish them good luck in their future endeavors. Our students participated in the NDTV budget show in Delhi for a discussion on the post budget analysis covering aspects related to personal finance. Indian Railway Budget— Positive intent but execu-

Club FinNiche releases its weekly magazine FinXpress, with the In Focus talking about

tion is the key

the ‘Indian Rail Budget—Positive Intent but execution is the key’. The Opinion gives an overview of ‘Union Budget 2015’’.

Union Budget 2015

The term of the week is ‘Swap’, which is a derivative in which two counterparties exchange cash flows of one party's financial instrument for those of the other party's

financial instrument . Do have a look at the market section, Tech world which brings to Swaps

you about ‘TV Innovation Beyond Bend and Curve’ and Personality of the week, Arvind Panagriya. Club FinNiche welcomes any comments, suggestions or criticism regarding the magazine. Please do write to us and share your ideas.

Arvind Panagriya

TV innovation beyond the

Happy Reading! Regards The Editorial Team Club FinNiche

bend and curve

Disclaimer: FinXpress takes no responsibility for the opinions expressed in the magazine.


- By Shreyans Dhariwal

Every Rail Budget comes with a revelation of

network and improving the efficiency. Most

dozens of new trains,

increased ticketing

of this investment will be funded by long term

price, laying of new tracks. But this time the

loans from various financial institutions and

picture was different, with Railway Minister

multilateral agencies.

Suresh Prabhu diverging from the vogue of  8.5 lakh crore Investment to be done for next five years out of which 85% is for decongestion of network and improving efficiency.

 ‘Operation

such

announcements

and

focussing

on

Some of the key points of the Budget are—

execution of strategies and long term goals for

No increase in Passenger fares

improving

Freight rates for coal increased by

the

existing

track

network,

redevelopment of stations and improving the

6.3%, cement by 2.7%, urea by 10% 

overall efficiency of railway management.

Trillion for 2016 

5

Plan Budget goes up by 52%to Rs 1.1

Minutes’

Passengers can now book tickets 4 months in advance from a previous of

launched to book tickets in 5

2 months 

mins.

‘Operation

5

Minutes’

is

being

launched to book tickets in 5 mins.  77 projects worth 96,182

Open Wi-fi to be available in around 400 stations

crore for capacity expansion

are planned.

CCTVs to be installed in special women coaches for safety

Ordering of food from IRCTC site while booking tickets

Mr. Prabhu emphasised on the chronic under-

investment in railways for several years

for railway related queries and 182 for

which has led to congestion and overutilisation. This cycle needs to come to an end. The

budget

has

the

potential

to

security issues 

be

transformational - by increasing capacity and

85%

was allocated

for

decongestion of

Policies for

station redevelopment

needs to rebuilt and worked upon 

budget was the 8.5 lakh crore investment in Railways for the next five years, out of which

6608km of track to be electrified and track capacity to be increased by 10%

and focusing on transparency and efficiency on operational side. The major highlight of the

77 Projects worth Rs 96,182 crore for capacity expansion

improving technology on the supply side, improving quality of service on demand side

138 to be nationwide helpline number

All railway projects to be moved to EPC model

Incredible Rail for Incredible India to be launched


Successive reduction in oil prices last year is

key drivers of

adopting medium term

one of the main reasons behind keeping the

strategy, building partnerships, leveraging

passenger fare stable, but this may change in

additional resources, setting standards and

future, so the government has to do the

revamping management practises. Along with

planning and speculation in a manner to keep

these goals and drivers he also picked 11

positive

the fiscal deficit at minimum level. Due to

thrust

budget

increase in freight charges for coal and cement

operational capability of Indian Railways.

wherein shares of domestic

an increase of cement manufacturing cost by

railway companies surged

Rs 7-10 per bag of 50 kg is expected, also rise

Prabhu’s speech did not elaborated on the

up to 11%.

in electricity tariff throughout the country can

contingency plans for mitigating the risks

be seen because 70% of the energy demand is

evolving from the heavy investment for 5

met by Thermal power plants and for these

years. He needs to implement the long term

plants coal is the prime fuel for generating

strategies in effective and planned manner to

electricity.

avoid risks and uncertainties of failure. Also

 Market

showed

response

to

the

 With no increase in passenger fares, budget is looked upon as populist in nature.

 Increase in freight charges for cement and coal may

areas

to

empower

the

overall

with a massive investment strategy, they With major bulk commodities largely being

should bring in technologies from foreign

transported by railways in India and track

players in the Indian market to provide a

already has capacity utilisation in excess of

digital facelift and provide a modern, fast,

lead to rise in cement cost

100%,

and

secure and consumer friendly environment to

and electricity tariff.

expansion

utmost

the Indian users. Around 5000 crore has been

improvement of

in

capacity

efficiency became

important strategies for implementation.  Shifting gears towards IT

allotted for IT and research. Among one of its strategies, government has built up an

support for innovation and re

In his speech Mr. Prabhu also talked about

innovation council called Kayakalp for the

-engineering.

setting

customer

purpose of innovation and re-engineering in

travellers,

the existing business models of Indian

goals

experience,  Set major goals, drivers and thrust areas for operational

excellence of Indian Railways.

expansion

for

safer of

improving journey

infrastructure

for

and

making

Indian rail financially self-sustainable. With

Railways.


- By Mohammed Zakir Ahmed

Finance Minister Arun Jaitley on Saturday 

Wealth tax replaced by 2% additional

announced the Union Budget 2015 that put

surcharge.

forth boosting growth before painful reforms, 

Rs 246,727 crore allotted to defence.

Corporate Tax cut from 30% to

slowing the rate of fiscal deficit cuts and also 

Investments in infrastructure to go up by

25%. Service tax increased to

seeking to put domestic and foreign capital

Rs 70,000 crore

14% from 12.36%

into action. In his first full year budget, Jaitley 

Rs 33,152 crore allocated to health sector

said India’s economy was about to take off. 

Mudra Bank, with Rs 20,000 crore capital,

Modi backed Finance Minister by tweeting that

to

the budget would further reignite their growth

promoted by SC/ST 

engine.

be

set

up

for

promoting

SME’s

Deduction on pension hiked to Rs 150,000 from Rs 100,000

Fiscat deficit to be decreased to 3.9%. 3% target in next 3

The budget was expected to be a test of 

Service tax rate hikes to 14% from 12.36%

years.

nationalist willingness to reform a $2 trillion 

10 years imprisonment for concealment of

economy with bloated public sector and weak

income and assets

private investment, the budget fell short on 

AIIMS, IIT’s and IIM’s to be established in

structural reforms and contained target which

different states

for few sounded unrealistic. It drew a mixed 

Visa on arrival to be increased to 150

from economists. Some feel it is a path to an

countries in various stages.

investor friendly India, whereas others see a lost

opportunity

in

tackling

structural Jaitley promised higher investment in India’s

problems.

roads and railways, offering tax cut to global companies and tighter rules to get Indian

Here are few features from the budget:

businessmen to invest at home rather than

Corporate tax cut from 30% to 25 %.

stash wealth abroad. Jail sentences of upto 10

Fiscal Deficit decreased to 3.9% this year. years warning was given to tax evaders. Jaitley targets 3% in next 3 years.

MNREGA allocation to be increased by Rs He forecasted growth acceleration 8-8.5% in 5000 crore, its highest ever.

Rs 1000 crore allotted to Nirbhaya fund for with Modi’s call to” Make in India”. The tax womens safety.

fiscal year, up from 7.4% this year on terms changes and tougher enforcement would raise

5 ultra-mega power projects with capacity by $2.5 billion next year. of 4000MW to be established.


Jaitley forecasted inflation at 5% by end of Rating agency Moody’s gave budget a cool March much against RBI’s 6% target and create reception, saying it was cool for India’s credit a room to cut interest rates. He also pushed and left stabilising government finances at Visa on Arrival to be provided

deadline by a year to 2017/18 for cutting fiscal mercy of economic growth. Moody’s rates

for 150 different countries in

deficit to 3%.

India at lowest notch of investment grade.

future

The

budget concentrates on a

years of "My proposals... lay down the roadmap for

economic policy making including monetary accelerating growth, enhancing investment, AIIMS, IITS and IIMS to be

policy overhaul, a bankruptcy code and the passing on the benefit of growth process to the

established in new states to

creation of a public debt management agency. common man, woman, youth and child. People

promote education

He scrapped the distinction between direct and who urged us to undertake 'big bang' reforms portfolio

investors

to

encourage

foreign also say the Indian economy is a super giant,

investor. He also simplified regulation of which moves slowly but surely," Jaitley told financial markets.

parliament as he wrapped up a 90-minute speech.


- By Arihant Jain

Interest Rate Swap Plain Vanilla Interest Rate Swap is the most

a market rate and the contract rate specified

common interest rate swap. In this swap,

valued by using expected forward rates to

Company X agrees to pay Company Y a

forecast

periodic fixed rate on a notional principal

discounting these expected cash flows at the

A swap is a derivative in which

over the tenor of the swap. In return,

corresponding spot rates, consistent with

two counterparties exchange

Company Y agrees to pay Company X a

forward rate expectations.

cash

party's

periodic floating rate on the same notional

financial instrument for those of

principal. Both payments are in the same

the

financial

currency. Therefore, only the net payment is

Currency Swap A currency swap exchanges both principal

instrument. The benefits in

exchanges. Most exchange rate swaps use the

and interest rate payments with payments in

question depend on the type of

London

the

different currencies. The exchange rate used

financial instruments involved.

reference rate for the floating leg of the swap.

in currency swaps is the spot exchange rate.

Finally, since the payments are based in the

The valuation and application of currency

same currency, there is no need for the

swaps is similar to the interest rate swap.

exchange of principal at the inception of the

However, since the principles in a currency

swap. This is why it is called notional

swap are not the same currency, they are

principal.

exchanges at the inception of the currency

flows

other

of

one

party's

Interest Rate Swap

Interbank

Offered

Rate

as

Volatility Swap

the

net

cash

flows

and

then

swap so that they have equal value using the

Currency Swap Commodity Swap

in the forward rate agreement. So swap can be

Valuing Interest Rate Swaps There are two basic ways of valuing interest

spot exchange rate. Also, the periodic cash

rate swaps:

they are in the interest rate swap.

flows throughout the swap are not netted as

1. Valuing an Interest Rate Swap with Bonds Valuing an interest rate swap in terms of bond positions involves understanding that

Commodity Swap Firms may enter into commodity swap when

the value of a floating rate bond will be equal

they agree to pay a fixed rate for the multi-

to the notional amount of any of its specific

period delivery of a commodity and receive a

settlement dated when the next payment is

corresponding floating rate based on the

set to the market (floating) rate. With this the

average commodity swap rates at the time of

value of interest rate swap can be determined

delivery.

as the difference between present value of the fixed leg payments and the present value of the floating leg payments.

Volatility Swap A volatility swap involves the exchanging of

2. Valuing an Interest Rate Swap with FRAs

volatility based on a notional principal. One

At settlement, the payment made on a

side of the swap pays based on a per specified

forward rate agreement is the notional

volatility while the other side pays on

amount multiplied by the difference between

historical volatility.


INDIAN MARKETS

The Market was muted in the

The Indian Budget revealed by the Fin. Minister Arun Jaitley was a mixed bag. The core objective was to cut the fiscal deficit to 3.9% of the GDP, and to keep inflation below 6%. Some of the major reforms that were listed are bringing a new bankruptcy code, setting up a public debt management agency, public contract resolution of disputes bill, autonomous bank board bureau to improve management of public sector banks. The market reaction was somewhat muted in the beginning but picked up .

start but responded positively during the close of the day .

BSE rose by 141.38 with Nifty

Open

High

Low

Close

SENSEX

29411.23

29560.32

28882.02

29361.50

NIFTY

8913.05

8,930.25

8,753.30

8901.85

rising by 57.25 points.

Top gainers were

Talbros

BSE SENSEX

Automotive, Lokesh Machines,

and SIPROJECTS

CNX NIFTY


COMMODITIES Commodity

Unit

Rs / Unit

% Change

Gold

10 grams

26477.00

0.95

Silver

1 kg

36736.00

0.94

Crude Oil

1 bbl

3067.00

1.09

EXCHANGE RATES INR/ 1 USD

61.6440

INR /1 EURO

69.0917

INR/ 100 JAPAN YEN

51.5085

INR / 1 POUND STERLING

95.4593

INTERNATIONAL MARKETS

Open

High

Low

Close

NYSE Comp

11,078.54

11,100.24

11,062.12

11,062.79

NASDAQ

4,985.03

4989.25

4960.88

4963.53

S&P 500

2,110.88

2,112.74

2,103.75

2,104.50

FTSE 100

6,949.73

6967.24

6929.84

6946.66

CAC

4,905.77

4951.48

4903.09

4951.48

DAX

11,337.11

11,401.66

11,301.34

11,401.66

NIKKEI 225

18,844.28

18,865.39

18,714.64

18,797.94

SSE 50

2,476.42

2498.72

2466.83

2474.56

Hang Seng

24,902.61

25,101.96

24,815.03

24,823.29


Budget 2015: Coal auction to bring revenue windfall for states, says FM Jaitley Finance minister Arun Jaitley said that auction of coal mines is one of the top three achievements of the government in its nine months’ period, it would bring several lakhs of crores of rupees to the kitty of coal-bearing states. 19 coal blocks are recently auctioned in the

first lot by the government. The money from e-auction proceeds, he said, could be used for creation of long-awaited community assets and for the welfare of the people. The companies that had bagged the 19 blocks on offer include Reliance Cement, GMR Chhattisgarh, Hindalco, Sunflag Iron and Steel, Jaiprakash Associates, Jaiprakash Power Ventures, OCL Iron and Steel, Bharat Aluminium, Essar Power MP, Jindal Power and UltraTech Cement. Arvind Kejriwal-led Delhi govt. slashes power charges by half, waives water tariffs beginning March 1 Less than two weeks into office power charges were slashed by half and waived water tariffs by, the Arvind Kejriwal-led Delhi government. This begins from March 1 for a majority of

consumers. Manish Sisodia, deputy chief minister told reporters that, every household with a metered connection consuming 400 units of power will be charged half the existing tariff, and water consumption up to 20,000 litres will be free. Swine flu affects over 19,000 lives The total number of deaths due to swine flu was 1041 and the total number of people affected were 19046, according to the data collected by the health minister. HP Nadda, health minister, on Friday admitted that the country is facing a shortage of laboratories for testing swine flu and had assured that efforts were being made to set up such facilities in all states.

Cafe Coffee Day IPO likely to fetch $1 billion India’s biggest home-grown coffee chain, Café Coffee Day is al set for a market debut that could value it at almost $1 billion. It aims to list 20% stake, roughly raising $200 million, within the next quarter. Café coffee day hired investment banks Kotak Mahindra capital and Citi group and plans for IPO at the end of April.


TRAI proposes significant slash in roaming charges for SMS and calls In an amendment released by Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) to Telecommunication Tariff Order, 1999 to cut short the roaming charges of SMS and voice calls for the subscribers in the country. The draft submitted by TRAI is looking at a 35%

decline in the voice call charges and 80% drop in the SMS tariff. In view of the lack of competition witnessed in the present national roaming services market, the Authority is of the opinion that the best way forward is to prescribe cost based ceiling tariffs for voice calls while on national roaming,” TRAI said in a draft amendment to its Tariff Order of 1999. “Through the Amendment Order, the Authority intends to reduce the ceiling tariffs for national roaming services Apart from this, TRAI now also allows the subscribers to port their existing number from one state to another, which will help the customers to retain their current mobile number. Researchers break internet speed record, hit 1Tbps

A record breaking speed of 1Tbps during the tests of 5G data connections, was achieved by UK researchers. University of Surrey's 5G Innovation Centre (5GIC) researchers say that it is thousand times faster than the current data connections. BBC news reported that “At 1Tbps, it would be theoretically possible to download a file 100 times the size of a feature film in about three seconds. The speed is more than 65,000 times faster than average 4G download speeds ”. Another temple attack in US spreads concern among Hindus A Sanatan Dharam temple was vandalized in Washington state with windows broken and the word "Fear" painted on it, less than a fortnight after another temple was attacked. It is

the second attach and Hindus nationwide are highly concerned. The first attack was on February 15, the Hindu Temple Cultural Centre in Bothell city, about 35 km from Seattle, found a swastika painted on it and "Get Out" scrawled in large letters with spray paint. In the US, white supremacists have adopted the Nazi swastika as an ideological symbol. It was shocking for the hard-working, harmonious and peaceful US Hindu community numbering about three million, who had made (a) lot of contribution to the nation and society, to receive such signals of hatred and anger.


Sep 30,1952.

Rajasthan University Ph.D– Princeton University.

Arvind Panagriya, a native of Jaipur, is an Indian-American Economist and the current Vice-Chairman of NITI AYOG. He did his Ph.D degree from the Princeton University. Panagriya is an editor of India Policy Forum, a jounal that is modelled on Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. He has written both technical and policy papers. His technical papers have appeared in American Economic Review, Journal of International Economics. His policy papers have appeared in Foreign Policy, Foreign Affairs , World Economy. He writes weekly column for Economic Times and also features on a show called “Transforming India with Arvind Panagriya”. He has written/edited ten books. His last book was “India-An Emerging Giant” was published in 2008. Some of his previous

books include-” The Economics of preferential trade agreement” and “Lectures on International Trade” . In the past he has been a Chief Economist of Asian Development bank. He has also served in the capacity of professor of Economics and CO-Director, Center For International Economics, University of Maryland. He has also worked for World Bank, IMF, UNCTAD and WTO in various capacities. Arvind Panagriya is known to be a free market economist and a supporter of Gujarat model. He is also perceived to be close to economist Jagdish Bhagwati. Together they have coined the term “Gujarat Model” and “Kerala Model, in their book India’s Trust with destiny , to be used as metaphor for growth by private entrepreneurship and state driven development. In News Recently Arvind Panagriya, came in the news when he said that India would like to switch to strategic planning to achieve long term goals. While giving an interview to Doordarshan, he said that the planning horizon should be of 7-8 years instead of 5 years. In an interview given to Indian Express,soon after taking charge of Niti Ayog as ViceChairman, he also said that Niti Ayog would focus on labour reforms and Small and Medium Size Enterprises.


- By

Shikha Sharma

TV innovation beyond the bend and curve

Curved

and

bendable

screens, giant sets, and attempts to improve smart TVs



Major television manufacturers are hoping new flashy features

will

help

revive

sales

Samsung at CES presented another bended sources at fresh 4K determination, it even "SUHD" TV lineup for 2015, which are Smart changes over lower determination substance to

TVs controlled by the organization's own a level of clarity that is very nearly like Ultra particular Tizen OS. However no evaluating or High Definition. View the whole screen at the accessibility points of interest were uncovered. same separation from your eyes, considering The organization did notice that the Tizen- clearer review of pictures on the corners of the based brilliant TVs will emphasize more than screen also. 700 applications.

Samsung's most astounding and ideal curve

The "S" is said to speak to the top-end savvy (4200R*) gives the best survey experience from TV models from the company.Samsung's an ordinary review separation of 3~4 meters. progressive Curved TV takes you into the new Equivalent survey points on the whole screen universe of immersive review and makes you gives preferred

differentiation over

level

feel just as you are right amidst the activity. screen TVs. Decreased light reflection and The TV screen is bended at the right points to obstruction gives clearer and undistracted give you the ideal survey distance.The Curved survey. Clubbing the new environment with Screen encompasses the viewer's faculties, competitive touch experience made it feel like giving an upgraded feeling of profundity and using two different operating system on the a hoisted immersive experience.Auto Depth same screen. Samsung is opening another time Enhancer parts every casing into numerous of Curved TV with a definitive immersive regions and after that naturally advances the review experience. With the dispatch of differences for every zone to add more world's initially Curved UHD TV, Samsung is noteworthy profundity to the scenes.

mixing its inventive Curved structure element

Samsung's creative UHD Up-scaling preparing with its UHD TV innovation. With this upgrades telecast TV shows and films and in dispatch,

we

addition feature on interest and then some. powerful

item

are

further

portfolio

That implies not just does it handle UHD stimulation section.

increasing in

the

our home


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