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La SocietĂ del Marketing Lab
Marketing Spotlights Ricerche rielaborate dal Centro Ricerche La SocietĂ del Marketing Lab
Input for Lab
26 Febbraio 2014 Gli USA trainano l’economia mondiale. E noi? 1
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ITALIA
€ AREA
UK
USA
CINA
GIAPPONE
RUSSIA
INDIA
BRASILE
PIL
-1,8
-0,4
1,5
1,8
7,7
1,7
1,5
4,9
2,2
Inflazione
1,3
1,4
2,6
1,5
2,6
0,2
-1
-2,1
0,4
Disoccupazione
12,7 12,1
7,1
6,7
4,0
4,0
5,4
9,9
4,6
Saldo primario
0,5
2
-3,7
-2,5
1,9
0,9
2,3
-3,1
-3,7
Deficit di bilancio
-3,3
-2,9
-6,7
-4,1
-2,0
-8,2
-0,5
-5,1
-2,7
Gov’t bond 10 anni
3,84 1,77 3,04 2,86 4,38 0,68
8,1
8,61 13,08
2013 var %
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“We don’t drill dry holes here”
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America has soared from 600,000 to 3.5m barrels per day of tight oil.
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The International Energy Agency reckons that by 2020 America will have displaced Saudi Arabia as the world’s biggest producer, pumping 11.6m barrels a day.
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…BUT… Unconventional well means tapping a much smaller area, rapid delcine of production (30% a year) and maintaining a field’s production level means constant drilling.
1m barrels per day
2,500 NEW WELLS x YEAR 10
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1. Crollano i nuovi occupati Usa. 10/1 –
2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
“Forse gli Stati Uniti non andranno incontro a quell'anno di solidità che tutti si aspettano". Kenneth Rogoff, Harvard
Il governo argentino svaluta il peso sul dollaro. 23/1 Produzione manifatturiera cinese in contrazione. 23/1 La Banca Centrale della Turchia alza i tassi. 28/1 Rischio deflazione in Eurozona. 31/1 Crolla a Tokyo l'indice Nikkei. 4/2 13
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PIL
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Produzione industriale
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Vendite al dettaglio
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Prezzi alla produzione
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Inflazione
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Il problema si chiama INFLAZIONE
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3
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Import materie prime
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Trade Export beni/servizi
Difesa Debiti sovrani Paesi ricchi
Energia Welfare Liquid. Beni Chiesa 1867
Rif. Agraria 1950 Rendita
Difesa Debiti sovrani Paesi emergenti
Profitti
Salari
Investimenti Rendite nascoste
CUNEO FISCALE? 24
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Chi pensa che la sfida sia la globalizzazione … è rimasto indietro. Quella era l’ultima. Davanti c’è ben altro.
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