SAN DIEGO
LOCAL
DISRUPTIVE MOBILITY IN THE 21ST CENTURY
“As we are looking to develop workplaces moving forward, mobility is a hurdle. It’s a hurdle we need to overcome in many different ways, and the reality is that the hurdle will continue to get a little high each year – if we let it.” – Nelson Ackerly, Kilroy Realty Corporation
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Design Forecast Local
INTRODUCTION
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At the end of 2019, Gensler hosted a breakfast for top City influencers in San Diego to spark a dialogue on the impact disruptive mobility is having and is likely to have on urban development and communities. This book recaps key highlights from our panel discussion covering micro-mobility and density, and how this plays a role in the future of San Diego’s transportation.
Design Forecast Local
SPEAKERS
K I R BY B R A DY Di re c tor of Resea rch Economic Development Cor por at ion 4
M E L I S S A P L A S KO N O S A ssoci ate Direc t or, Pla nning G loba l Rea l Est ate & Co n s tr u c tio n Il l umi na, Inc .
MARISA MANGAN A ssoci ate Regiona l Pla nner S A NDAG
N E L S O N AC K E R LY S e ni or V P/S an Di ego Ki l roy Re al ty Corp or at ion 5
R A J N I RO S H A N Prog ram and Par tn er ship Development Ma nager UCSD
DY L A N J O N E S , M O D E R AT O R S e ni or A ssoc i ate/Direc t or Mobilit y L a b Ge nsl e r
Design Forecast Local
MOBILITY DEFINED
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Micro-Mobility refers to a brand new category of vehicles that are thought to become an alternative to traditional modes of transportation. There are currently two main types of vehicles: personal transportation solutions, such as E-scooters, E-bikes etc. and small electric cars with one or two seats, NEVs.
Disruptive Mobility - Personal mobility is facing three major innovations that have disruptive potential: electrification, shared mobility and automation. The largest disruptive potential lies in the combination of these three innovations.
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Access Sheds are defined by the distance people travel in a set duration of time, the duration of time being limited to a generalized idea on how long people are willing to travel. In transportation planning it has been found that pedestrians are generally willing to walk 15 minutes, or .5 miles, to access public transportation.
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KEY TAKEAWAYS
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MOBILITY IS: • • • • •
Changing rapidly due to technology and choices Impacting personal choice Bringing industry, governments, and academia together Changing street design Interwoven with strong neighborhoods with places where we live, work, play, and learn
“Our transportation system here in San Diego and the infrastructure we have in place is by far one of our biggest assets and it’s what enables us to do business as a region.” – Kirby Brady, Economic Development Corporation
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Design Forecast Local
MOBILITY IS...
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CHANGING RAPIDLY DUE TO TECHNOLOGY AND CHOICES From scooters, rideshare, and Uber elevate, to driverless cars, Uber, iPhones, and everything in between technology is changing the way we navigate throughout our cities, and will only continue to evolve.
SIX LEVELS OF VEHICLE AUTONOMY
WE ARE HERE!
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Level 0
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Level 4
Level 5
Level 6
No automation: The driver is in complete control of the vehicle at all times.
Driver assistance: The vehicle can assist the driver or take control of either the vehicle’s speed, through cruise control, or its lane position, through lane guidance.
Occasional self-driving: The vehicle can take control of both the vehicle’s speed and lane position in some situations, for example on limitedaccess freeways.
Limited self-driving: The vehicle is in full control in some situations, monitors the road and traffic, and will inform the driver when he or she must take control.
Full self-driving under certain conditions: The vehicle is in full control for the entire trip in these conditions, such as urban ride-sharing
Full self-driving under all conditions: The vehicle can operate without a human driver or occupants.
Flying Taxis: Uber expected to commence services in Los Angeles and Dallas in 2023
“We need to start thinking about how we can transform our transportation system. For example, reconsidering highways as complete corridors where we better allocate space to move people and goods more efficiently. Additionally, we can re-envision how local streets can be shared and enjoyed by pedestrians, cyclists, mopeds, transit, carpool vehicles, driverless shuttles, and more.� - Marisa Mangan, SANDAG
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Design Forecast Local
MOBILITY IS...
IMPACTING PERSONAL CHOICE The way we design our cities has a direct impact on mobility. From public transportation, biking, carpooling, van sharing, to electric scooters, the choices for mobility are continuing to evolve, and will continue to change in the future.
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Design Forecast Local
MOBILITY IS...
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BRINGING INDUSTRY, GOVERNMENTS, AND ACADEMIA TOGETHER Mobility effects everyone, and continues to be a topic of conversation throughout our daily lives. In order to make an impact, industries, governments, and academia are collaborating to discuss the issues facing mobility in our city. Together, we can all make an impact.
• • • •
Policies Infrastructure Service Funds
SERVICE (GOVERNMENT)
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RESEARCH (ACADEMIA)
• • •
Research Problem Solving Entrepreneurship
AMENITIES (INDUSTRY)
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Data Driven Innovation Amenities Productivity
HIGH-SPEED MOBILITY
PEDESTRIAN MOBILITY
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PEDESTRIAN MOBILITY
BICYCLE MOBILITY
PEDESTRIAN MOBILITY
LOW - SPEED MOBILITY
HIGH-SPEED MOBILITY
HIGH-SPEED MOBILITY
“We are beginning to see this incredible innovation of micro-mobility, and that’s an exciting thing for the future of our cities.” – Dylan Jones, Gensler
Design Forecast Local
MOBILITY IS...
CHANGING STREET DESIGN In the past year alone, hundreds of thousands of electric scooters were deployed in more than 150 cities. The adoption rate of scooters eclipsed the early adoption of ride share and bike share services.
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Design Forecast Local
MOBILITY IS...
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INTERWOVEN WITH STRONG NEIGHBORHOODS WITH PLACES WHERE WE LIVE, WORK, PLAY, AND LEARN Mobility and density are dependent on one another. In order to make an impact on the infrastructure of our cities, we need to consider density as a critical factor of success. Density needs to expand around transit hubs.
“While we do have public transportation options, the reality is that 76% of San Diegans commute in a single-occupancy vehicle to work. That is something we are working on and really need to change.� - Rajni Roshan, UCSD
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“Looking ahead we need to make sure we are thinking about the placement of affordable housing, so that people are able to live closer to where they work -shortening long distance commutes.” – Melissa Plaskonos, Illumina
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Design Forecast Local
GENSLER
Design is about people. Every day, millions of people around the world experience the spaces and places that Gensler creates. With that impact comes great responsibility. That's why using design to improve the human experience is the highest calling of our work.
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THIS ST JUST BEG
TORY IS GINNING. Gensler is committed to continuing the conversation...
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SAN DIEGO
LOCAL 26
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Contact Us: Principal/Managing Director Tom Heffernan tom_heffernan@gensler.com
Principal/Managing Director Kevin Heinly kevin_heinly@gensler.com
Design Forecast Local is a Gensler publication, Š 2020 Gensler, all rights reserved.