Sample Report On Strategic Finance for Managers
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Table of Contents TASK 1................................................................................................................................................. 3 PART A ................................................................................................................................................ 3 Brief description of the two companies involved in the merger ...................................................... 3 Initial offer and any subsequent offer ............................................................................................... 4 Reaction of the target by management ............................................................................................. 6 Defence mechanism ......................................................................................................................... 6 Role of takeover panel ...................................................................................................................... 7 SHARE ANALYSIS ............................................................................................................................ 7 AR calculations ................................................................................................................................ 7 Value of beta ................................................................................................................................... 10 CAR calculations............................................................................................................................ 10 AR and CAR Graphs ...................................................................................................................... 11 Relationship with research ............................................................................................................. 15 PART B .............................................................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. CONCLUSION .................................................................................................................................. 16 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................... 18
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TASK 1 PART A Brief description of the two companies involved in the merger Microsoft Corporation is a multinational technology company, listed on NASDAQ and headquartered in Redmond, Washington. Company design and manufacture computer software, personal computers, consumer electronics products and devices. It is one of the leading software developing company that have a strong product portfolio such as Windows, Offices, Skype, Dynamics, Visual Audio and Servers etc. The aim of the company is to empower each and every person
on
the
improvements.
plant
On
the
to other
achieve hand,
LinkedIn is a social networking sites traded on
NYSE
and
operates
worldwide.
Company renders professional networking services especially to the recruiters and sales professionals to create their profiles to interact
with
each
other
via
social
networking. So that, users can interact each other
without
the
need
of
website
development. It is the world’s biggest professional networking company which aimed at building a strong and growing business (McNeil, Frey & Embrechts, 2015). As a strategic and savvy move, Microsoft acquired LinkedIn Corporation worth $26.2 billion dollar. The main purpose of this merger is to jump towards software packages by having vast network of LikedIn Corporation. It proves as one of the largest and riskiest acquisition in the corporate history. One main reason behind such behind such merger is to use LinkedIn wide network to deliver best value to the customers in return for their money invested. There are number of parties involved in this merger as, Microsoft Corporation’s Certified Executive Officer (CEO), named Satya Nadella announced a definitive agreement in 2016 to acquire LinkedIn valued at $196 each share while the total value of acquisition valued at $26.2
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billion. While, in the agreement, it has been decided that LikedIn Corp’s CEO, Jeff Weiner will remain in this position and report to the Satya Nadella (Gara, 2016.). Moreover, board members such as Reid Hoffman, Board Chairman and Co-founder of LikedIn group are also involved in this acquisition and give their acceptance for approval of merger. This merger gives an opportunity to the Microsoft to bring significant level of changes to connect entire world (Lind & et.al., 2012). Moreover all the investors are also considered as important stakeholder involved in the merger because without their approval, it is not possible to acquire LinkedIn by Microsoft Corp (4 Reasons why Microsoft wasted $26.2 billion to buy LikedIn, 2016). In addition to this, Chief Financial Officer (CFO) named Amy Hood, Chief Legal Officer (CLO) Brad Smith, Co-founder Bill Gates. Microsoft’s President, financial advisor Morgan Stanley, legal advisor Simpson Thacher and Barlett, LikedIn’s financial advisor and Qatalyst Partners, Allen & Company and legal advisor Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati, are the parties who are involved in this acquisition (Microsoft News Center, 2016). LikedIn’s BOD and associated members given their consent on the offer presented by Microsoft and deal is expected to close down at the end of the year. Initial offer and any subsequent offer On 13 June, 2016 at 8:30 AM, Microsoft and LinkedIn organized a joint conference call with the investors to present initial acquisition offer via web telecast at Microsoft’s official website. The web
telecast
hosted
by
the
company’s
CEO, Amy Hood,
President,
Brad
Smith
Microsoft News Center.
on
In the
press release, a forward-looking statement
has
been
released
containing the information about potential impact of the offer such as result, inherent risk, legal proceeding, effect on business relationship and result in the forthcoming period (Green, 2016). Initially, MSFT announced to takeover LinkedIn at lower price, but due to bidding from sales force, it pushed deal prices by 22%
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or roughly by $5 billion during a period of two months. It increased acquisition price per share to $196 (Green. 2016). Although, LI’s share price has been declined by 40% and generate lower yield than expected resulted in net loss of $165 billion. But still, health premium offered by MSFT to 50% over the trading price $133/share is a beneficial deal for LI, as a result, LI agreed to merge with Microsoft (Green. 2016). As per the graph, it can be seen that offer
value
of
$26.2
billion
is
approximately 91 times of its EBITDA (Earnings
before
interest,
taxes,
depreciation and amortization), however, excluding net cash, it is about 84 times to EBITDA. Moreover, Microsoft also held decisions to acquire Likedin at $250 million as venture capitalists and deal has been finalised. M&A offer that Microsfot Corp presented to LikedIn indicates that it will result in 19% year by year (YOY) growth by having more than 433 million across world, 9% YOY growth by having more than 105 million members each month, 49% YOY by increasing mobile usage to 60%, 49% YOY growth by maximizing mobile usage to 60%, 34% growth YOY by increasing member page views to 45 billion and increasing 101% growth by having more than 7 million active job listing. This M&A offer has been presented by MSFT so as to boost its overall productivity via maximizing the viral growth of social media. However, it will be beneficial for the LI because although company has strong social network revenue base, but still, recently its turnover growth rate slowed down. Henceforth, it becomes essential for the board of directors and CEO Weinner to rethink and redesign its business strategies to make it easier for the users to use their products and services (Gordić & et.al., 2010). This
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acquisition will enable LikedIn Corp to enlarge their customer base and make it useful for the people to share their updates. This skepticism will jeopardy rival bidders and bring huge market opportunity to maximize target consumer base and maximize profitability to a great extent.
Reaction of the target by management
With regards to planned M&A, both MSFT and LI’s CEO Satya Nadella and Jeff Weinger were excited and tell their staff member about the deal. They assumed that this deal will bring together world’s largest professional cloud company and leading professional networking company. It will bring fantastic and excellent network by having more than 433 million professionals. Moreover, potential increase in number of commercial and dynamic offices to 365 will assist business to reinvent its productivity and operational processes (McKinney, 2015). Henceforth, it is a profound opportunity for both the companies to reinvent business functions like selling, marketing and talent managerial functioning. Linkedin’s mission is to connect whole world’s professional to increase their productivity. Henceforth, merger with Microsoft is an opportunity exists to LinkedIn to accomplish the business target. Thus, it will accelerate business growth and build-up a strong corporate image in the market. Defence mechanism In order to manage high cost of acquisition, MSFT decided to finance first by issuance of new indebtedness. Moreover, for proper reporting, it has been agreed to report LI’s finance as MSFT’s Productivity and Business segment. In order to get acquisition rights, MSFT expects minimal
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dilution of 1% to non-GAAP earnings per share consists of reporting practices, integration, transaction-based expenses (Aula, 2010). Implementing post-acquisition integration strategy works as a keystone of a successful acquisition with LikedIn Corporation. Role of takeover panel Takeover panel, shortened to PTM is a regulatory body situated in London, England. The body is responsible and accountable to regulate and monitor takeovers and mergers undertaken by the company. This panel has been established under the 171 section of ASIC act (Australian Securities and Investment Commission Act). It plays an essential role to make sure that all the shareholders are treated equally and well during the period of takeover bids (Ugboro, beng & Spann, 2010). PTM has wider authority and power to declare such circumstances that are unacceptable. Moreover, it also plays an inevitable role in mitigating issues and resolve complexities associated with the acquisition of LinkedIn with Microsoft Corporation. Both the companies are liable to follow PTM’s rules, regulations and principles to have successful merger plan.
SHARE ANALYSIS AR calculations Abnormal return, shortened to AR represents the surplus or shortage of estimated return on share over actual return. In other words, it can be stated that abnormal return indicates differences between expected or actual return on an event date. In such respect, actual return is computed by identifying the percentage changes in share prices through comparing the prices with earlier date, whilst, expected return is computed by taking into account industrial benchmark and market volatility through beta (Frigo & Anderson, 2011). With the help of this, both the companies MSFT and LI can compare their stock performance with the investors’ expectations. Regarding to current scenario; Microsoft Corporation announced acquisition with LinkedIn on 13 June, 2013. Its share performance by measuring expected and actual return before the period of announcement date and post-announcement are done below:
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Date
Microso ft
Actual return(% change)
LinkedI n
Actual return(% change)
NYSE prices
29-Jul16 28-Jul16 27-Jul16 26-Jul16 25-Jul16 22-Jul16 21-Jul16 20-Jul16 19-Jul16 18-Jul16 15-Jul16 14-Jul16 13-Jul16 12-Jul16 11-Jul16 8-Jul-16
56.68
0.008362
192.73
-0.00279
10785.51
56.21
0.000356
193.27
0.005044
56.19
-0.01004
192.3
56.76
0.000529
56.73
Actual return(% change)
E[R] of Microsof t
Abnorma l return (MSFT)
0.003849
1.066095
-1.05773
10744.16
0.000409
1.062655
-1.0623
-0.0013
10739.77
-0.00308
1.059163
-1.06921
192.55
0.003178
10772.99
0.001912
1.064159
-1.06363
0.002828
191.94
0.010476
10752.43
-0.00487
1.057377
-1.05455
56.57
0.013799
189.95
0.002005
10805.04
0.004315
1.066561
-1.05276
55.8
-0.00197
189.57
0.000106
10758.62
-0.00319
1.059052
-1.06102
55.91
0.053117
189.55
-0.00163
10793.1
0.003212
1.065459
-1.01234
53.09
-0.01612
189.86
0.001371
10758.54
-0.00321
1.059038
-1.07516
53.96
0.004842
189.6
0.000158
10793.17
0.001861
1.064108
-1.05927
53.7
-0.00074
189.57
0.001373
10773.12
-0.00125
1.060994
-1.06174
53.74
0.004298
189.31
-0.0029
10786.63
0.004884
1.067131
-1.06283
53.51
0.005638
189.86
-0.00231
10734.2
0.000691
1.062937
-1.0573
53.21
0.011789
190.3
0.000158
10726.79
0.009371
1.071618
-1.05983
52.59
0.005545
190.27
-0.00089
10627.2
0.005242
1.067489
-1.06194
52.3
0.017906
190.44
0.001262
10571.78
0.015154
1.0774
-1.05949
7-Jul-16
51.38
0
190.2
-0.00131
10413.97
-0.00264
1.059602
-1.0596
6-Jul-16
51.38
0.004104
190.45
0.002316
10441.58
0.003078
1.065324
-1.06122
5-Jul-16
51.17
0.000195
190.01
0.002691
10409.54
-0.0101
1.052145
-1.05195
1-Jul-16
51.16
-0.0002
189.5
0.001321
10515.76
0.002479
1.064725
-1.06492
E[R] of LI
0.90057 0.90401 -0.9075 0.90251 0.90929 -0.9001 0.90761 -0.9012 0.90763 0.90256 0.90567 0.89953 0.90373 0.89505 0.89918 0.88926 0.90706 0.90134 0.91452 -
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Abnor mal return of Linke din 0.897 775 0.909 053 0.906 203 0.905 683 0.919 763 0.902 107 0.907 717 0.899 572 0.908 997 0.902 714 0.907 043 0.896 636 0.901 414 0.895 204 0.898 282 0.890 525 0.905 749 0.903 655 0.917 21 0.903
30-Jun16 29-Jun16 28-Jun16 27-Jun16 24-Jun16 23-Jun16 22-Jun16 21-Jun16 20-Jun16 17-Jun16 16-Jun16 15-Jun16 14-Jun16 13-Jun16 10-Jun16 9-Jun-16
51.17
0.012465
189.25
-0.00179
10489.76
0.013451
1.075698
-1.06323
50.54
0.022249
189.59
0.000475
10350.53
0.018637
1.080883
-1.05863
49.44
0.020855
189.5
0.000317
10161.16
0.018812
1.081058
-1.0602
48.43
-0.0281
189.44
-0.00352
9973.54
-0.02062
1.041628
-1.06972
49.83
-0.04007
190.11
-0.00179
10183.51
-0.04301
1.019238
-1.05931
51.91
0.018043
190.45
0.000683
10641.17
0.016052
1.078298
-1.06026
50.99
-0.00391
190.32
-0.00246
10473.06
-0.00169
1.060557
-1.06446
51.19
0.022369
190.79
-0.0001
10490.78
0.0039
1.066146
-1.04378
50.07
-0.0012
190.81
5.24E-05
10450.03
0.009866
1.072112
-1.07331
50.13
-0.00516
190.8
-0.00277
10347.94
0.002432
1.064678
-1.06984
50.39
0.014087
191.33
0.000209
10322.84
0.002494
1.06474
-1.05065
49.69
-0.00281
191.29
-0.00177
10297.16
0.00025
1.062496
-1.06531
49.83
-0.00618
191.63
-0.00302
10294.59
-0.00527
1.056972
-1.06315
50.14
-0.02603
192.21
0.466356
10349.18
-0.00928
1.052968
-1.079
51.48
-0.00271
131.08
-0.03985
10446.1
-0.01357
1.048675
-1.05139
51.62
-0.00807
136.52
0.019948
10589.82
-0.00456
1.057684
-1.06575
8-Jun-16
52.04
-0.00115
133.85
0.001122
10638.36
0.003693
1.065939
-1.06709
7-Jun-16
52.1
-0.00058
133.7
-0.01474
10599.22
0.004207
1.066453
-1.06703
6-Jun-16
52.13
0.006565
135.7
0.004664
10554.82
0.006377
1.068623
-1.06206
3-Jun-16
51.79
-0.01315
135.07
-0.01048
10487.94
3.43E-05
1.062281
-1.07543
2-Jun-16
52.48
136.5
10487.58
0.90194 0.89097 0.88578 0.88561 0.92504 0.94743 0.88837 0.90611 0.90052 0.89455 0.90199 0.90192 0.90417 0.90969 -0.9137 0.91799 0.90898 0.90072 0.90021 0.89804 0.90438 0.90057
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26 0.889 172 0.886 256 0.885 922 0.921 512 0.945 64 0.889 049 0.903 643 0.900 413 0.894 604 0.899 216 0.902 132 0.902 393 0.906 675 1.380 052 0.878 141 0.928 928 0.901 846 0.885 472 0.902 705 0.893 907 0.897 775
Value of beta It indicates volatility in portfolio in comparison to the overall market and helps to compute expected return of an individual company’s stock and assets. With reference to both the MSFT and LinkedIn, it beta value by taking into account volatility in NYSE index is calculated here as under: Value Beta Alpha
MSFT 1.061083 0.001164
LinkedIn -0.91613 0.01171
CAR calculations CAR is just the cumulative values of abnormal return for the event, in other words, it refers to sum of abnormal returns (Green. 2016). With reference to the given scenario, cumulative abnormal return for pre and post-announcement of MSFT and LinkedIn are computed below: Date 29-Jul-16 28-Jul-16 27-Jul-16 26-Jul-16 25-Jul-16 22-Jul-16 21-Jul-16 20-Jul-16 19-Jul-16 18-Jul-16 15-Jul-16 14-Jul-16 13-Jul-16 12-Jul-16 11-Jul-16 8-Jul-16 7-Jul-16 6-Jul-16 5-Jul-16 1-Jul-16 30-Jun-16 29-Jun-16 28-Jun-16
AR (Microsoft) -1.05773 -1.0623 -1.06921 -1.06363 -1.05455 -1.05276 -1.06102 -1.01234 -1.07516 -1.05927 -1.06174 -1.06283 -1.0573 -1.05983 -1.06194 -1.05949 -1.0596 -1.06122 -1.05195 -1.06492 -1.06323 -1.05863 -1.0602
CAR (Microsoft)
AR (LikedIn)
-1.05773 -2.12003 -1.06921 -2.13283 -1.05455 -2.10731 -1.06102 -2.07336 -1.07516 -2.13443 -1.06174 -2.12457 -1.0573 -2.11713 -1.06194 -2.12144 -1.0596 -2.12082 -1.05195 -2.11687 -1.06323 -2.12187 -1.0602
0.897775 0.909053 0.906203 0.905683 0.919763 0.902107 0.907717 0.899572 0.908997 0.902714 0.907043 0.896636 0.901414 0.895204 0.898282 0.890525 0.905749 0.903655 0.91721 0.90326 0.889172 0.886256 0.885922
CAR (LikedIn) 0.897775 1.806827 2.71303 3.618713 4.538476 5.440583 6.3483 7.247873 8.15687 9.059584 9.966627 10.86326 11.76468 12.65988 13.55816 14.44869 15.35444 16.25809 17.1753 18.07856 18.96773 19.85399 20.73991
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27-Jun-16 24-Jun-16 23-Jun-16 22-Jun-16 21-Jun-16 20-Jun-16 17-Jun-16 16-Jun-16 15-Jun-16 14-Jun-16 13-Jun-16 10-Jun-16 9-Jun-16 8-Jun-16 7-Jun-16 6-Jun-16 3-Jun-16 2-Jun-16
-1.06972 -1.05931 -1.06026 -1.06446 -1.04378 -1.07331 -1.06984 -1.05065 -1.06531 -1.06315 -1.079 -1.05139 -1.06575 -1.06709 -1.06703 -1.06206 -1.07543
-2.12993 -1.05931 -2.11956 -1.06446 -2.10824 -1.07331 -2.14315 -1.05065 -2.11596 -1.06315 -2.14215 -1.05139 -2.11714 -1.06709 -2.13412 -1.06206 -2.13749
0.921512 0.94564 0.889049 0.903643 0.900413 0.894604 0.899216 0.902132 0.902393 0.906675 1.380052 0.878141 0.928928 0.901846 0.885472 0.902705 0.893907
21.66142 22.60706 23.49611 24.39976 25.30017 26.19477 27.09399 27.99612 28.89851 29.80519 31.18524 32.06338 32.99231 33.89416 34.77963 35.68233 36.57624
AR and CAR Graphs
Figure 1 Pre-announcement abnormal return of Microsoft
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Figure 2Pre-announcement abnormal return of LinkedIn
Figure 3 Pre-announcement cumulative abnormal return of Microsoft
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Figure 4 Post-announcement abnormal return of Microsoft
Figure 5 Pre-announcement cumulative abnormal return of LinkedIn
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Figure 6 Post-announcement abnormal return of LikedIn
Figure 7 Post-annoucement cumulative abnormal return of Microsoft
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Figure 8 LinkedIn's post-announcement cumulative abnormal return Relationship with research As per the calculation, it can be seen that before the announcement of acquisition, in the initial period, MSFT’s stock performance tends to increase, but at the closure of announcement, it goes decrease. However, on the other hand, after the announcement, suddenly its stock price moves upward while, thereafter, it dropped down and then fluctuations continuously. Volatile trends in actual and expected return are the reasons for the movement in share’s abnormal return (Sofat & Hiro, 2015). However, its CAR shows a constant movement whether before and after the announcement of acquisition. From the presented graph, it can be seen that actual return of the MSFT Corporation got increased from negative 0.01315 to positive return of 0.0065, while, thereafter, it is showing volatile trend till acquisition. Moreover, on 21st June 2016, actual return suddenly goes to peak level of 0.022369 as stock prices got changed from 50.07 to 51.19. However, after the period, it is continuously decreased to 50.54 on 29 June 2016 (Warren, 2016). During the period of 1st July to 29th July, stock price got improved from 51.16 to 56.58 which show that MSFT’s share price got improved, but still, the rate of growth in the stock prices is fluctuating. Fluctuations in beta value are the main reason behind volatile return as it measures the volatility or systematic risk of a portfolio comparison to the market as a whole. In relation to Microsoft
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Corporation, volatility in NYSE index and its movement is the reason for fluctuating return in the MSFT. Moreover, in comparison to actual return, expected return is increasing or decreasing at lower rate, resulted in fluctuating abnormal and cumulative abnormal return after announcement. However, in context to LinkedIn Corporation, it has been found that cumulative abnormal return (CAR) of LinkedIn was higher. For example, on 3rd June CAR was 36.57 which is continuously decreasing till 13th June. At the same time, abnormal return (AR) is also fluctuating with the passage of time. According to the table, AR on 3 June was .89 which increased on 6 th till .90 but on next day again it decreased and reached to 88. Furthermore, the period post merger is showing that AR has been decreased on 14th June to .9066 and on next day minor changes were observed as .9023. This is showing that merger does not have significant impact on magnitude of expected and actual return generated by the corporation. Linkedin already was already having variation in its return which tends to affect overall performance of the business in the marketplace. Apart from this, CAR has been reduced to a great extent after the announcement of merger. This affected performance of the corporation to a great extent. It is because on 14th June CAR was 29.80 but on 1 July it reached to 18.07. Moreover, till the end of July month CAR reduced to .89. Therefore, on the basis of AR and CAR, it can be said that announcement of company has significant impact because initially return was decreasing the amount of variation was less. It can be critically evaluated, that prior announcement of merger both AR and CAR were reducing continuously (Li & Zhang, 2015). However, difference was greater in the reduction of CAR whereas AR was having fluctuating trend. Owing to this, CAR can be considered as the imperative aspect in assessing the impact of merger announcement on overall performance of the firm. Thus, CAR indicates that performance of company is going down which and cumulative abnormal return generated by the firm is showing continuous downward trend.
CONCLUSION After examining the fluctuations in stock performance of both the MSFT and LikedIn, it has been examined that after announcement, MSFT’s AR shows a sudden increase in the positive
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abnormal return immediately after announcement and thereafter shows a volatile trend. However, LinkedIn’s share prices is increased after some days of announcement adversely due to higher investors return expectation as compare to actual return. However, on the other hand, both the company’s pre and post announcement shows a constant movement, but still, MSFT’s share price is increasing or decreasing at same rate, whilst, LI’s stock price shows a continuous upward trend.
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REFERENCES Books and Journals Aula, P., 2010. Social media, reputation risk and ambient publicity management. Strategy & Leadership.
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