Photo: Fast Company
Hernรกn Maestre - Summer 2016 - DMGT 783
Photo: Fast Company
Scenario Planning
Scenario Planning lets you see into the future, arrange a wide variety of trends and ultimately plan considerations and actions to be taken in the future. It requires constant excersice to refine the “long view� and spot what are the events that could shape the future.
“Nothing can equal seeing the astronauts land and walk on the moon as it happened live on TV.� http://pewrsr.ch/1rm7ZSK via @pewresearch
Photo: Fast Company
Brand Myth
“Nothing can equal seeing the astronauts land and walk on the moon as it happened live on TV.�
emotional Atributes Passion for the human accomplishment that reinforce the sense of nationalism
Photo: Fast Company
Sense of discovery and excitement for what is unknown.
Mysterious but highly . intriguing.
emotional Atributes
Public support driven. If NASA looses the peopleÕs support the funding would be compromised.
Design and Engineering on the core. From high precision equipments to data visualization. Photo: Fast Company
Photo: Fast Company
Challenge Question
With Earth facing a crisis to human survival, how might NASA provide solutions not only for intra-planetary living but for live on Earth?
5 year scenario Photo: Fast Company
Driving Forces
Photo: Fast Company
Social Automation of Jobs
-Automation of jobs will be both a tread and an opportunity for new professions to arise. The boom of technology has arisen the question of human sense of work and leisure.
Human Augmentations -Human augmentations will arise as a clear path of human to combat disease, human genetic malfunctions and accidents that have repercussion in human bodies.
Life Expectancy Increase -Increasing life expectancy redeĂžnes the retirement age as well as new leisure and work activities to senior citizens.
Photo: Fast Company
Technological Self Learning A.I. -ArtiĂžcial Intelligence is aiming to achieve the ultimate learning system, ultimately aiming to self-teach itself. Learning the choices, behaviors and preferences of the people will revolutionize our living.
GB Internet Connections -Exuberant amounts of data sharing and storage will redeĂžne sharing, learning and connectivity between people. In 5 years the people will connect at speeds of Gigabytes.
Leap in Human Knowledge -With the vast amount of data and information there will be a signiĂžcant leap in human knowledge and also a risk in the evolution of human memory since technology has overthrown it.
Phtoto: Fast Company
Economical Union Breakups -Unions breaking apart and political crises arises the need to reinforce local economies that will result into further segmentation inside the countries. For example China will face segmentation into regions.
Vertical Crop Production
Bit-coin Era
-The vast amount of population versus the limitation in lands will raise further need to invest in new ways of growing crops and a direct impact in the value of the goods.
-E-commerce and Ăžghting cybercrime will be the new ways trade between companies. The notion of cash will start to grow unpopular whereas Bit-coin will establish as a global currency.
Phtoto: Fast Company
Environmental Solar Energy ReĂžnement -Clean energies had been on the Boom. Portugal 4 days on row on clean energy set new high standards into combating global warming by challenging the oil industry.
Hydroponic Harvested production in food and crops, with the limitation of space; hydroponic incentives will let the people harvest part of their foods in their gardens.
3D print Industry -3D printing incentives will help reduce waste by manufacturing local objects and in 5 years will see trade of 3D archives to manufacture locally objects.
Photo: Fast Company
Political Robotic Cold War -ÒRobotic Cold WarÓ challenge between countries to compete using robots. It will be centered on who can destroy the other automated army Þrst instead of killing people.
German Superpower -Germany will have several repercussions on an on-growing tension in the European union. It has to sustain a decreasing economy, several economic crises and an economy based on exporting goods. Several politic decisions will create tension on the region.
China Revolution -China population with growing discontent towards the political communist party, which will help to develop other regional economies. It will force an economic down growth and will let other powers in the region to arise.
5 year scenario Photo: Fast Company
Trend Matrix
+ Impact Increment in Space Travel
Robotic Cold war
Self Learning AI Leap in Human Knowledge
Human Augmentations
Increase of Life expectancy
Hydroponic Harvested
+ Certainty Vertical Crop Production
Union Breakups
German Superpower
3D print Industry
Automation of Jobs
China Revolution against gov.
Bit-coin Era GB Internet Connections
5 Year Matrix
Social Economical Coding
Environmental Technological Political Health
Photo: Fast Company
CAUSE AND EFFECT
Photos: Fast Company
c e T o n h l a i c o S y g o l
5y
Automation of Jobs Automation of jobs will be both a treat and an opportunity for new professions to arise. The boom of technology has arisen the question of human sense of work and leisure.
Photo: Fast Company
5y
Automation of Jobs Social protest will be frequent. The industry will need a sense of “Adapt or Die� in the close future but also create the opportunity to automate certain tasks form the daily basis to improve the leisure and time spent with the loved ones. The impact affects essentially 2 areas: Social and Technological. Photo: Fast Company
Effect on NASA The scientific method of “trial and error� will be redefined. NASA will only need to plan all the possible scenarios and fill them with data and the automated machines will recreate the circumstances. This procedure will unlock new possibilities and innovations. This innovative experimentations of materials and circumstances can have a positive impact on society if applied to consumer products.
5y
Human Augmentations
Photo: Fast Company
Human augmentations will arise as a clear path of human to combat disease, human genetic malfunctions and accidents that have repercussion in human bodies. But will arise the question whether human augmentations will replace the natural body. 3D scanning and prototyping has leverage the accessibility to this alternative.
5y
Human Augmentations With the increase of human augmentation the direct consequence is equal opportunities for all. There will be competitions like the Olympics that will let athletes with disabilities compete on the same level as fully capable athletes. Thus this allowance debates that the augmentation creates a head start, the social paradigm will be broken and people with full disabilities will be able to work on same conditions as fully able people. A positive impact on companies that allow this new talent will create chances for disruptive innovations and a sense of inclusion.
Photo: Fast Company
Effect on NASA Human augmentations and experimentation will be crucial to assist in NASA. We could have cyborg spaceman that have even more capabilities that actual spacemen. There could be a boom on the spacesuits, redefined technology that is incorporated on the artificial limbs and new considerations that will make space travel inclusive for all.
5y
Life Expectancy Increase Increasing life expectancy redefines the retirement age as well as new leisure and work activities to senior citizens.
Photo: Fast Company
5y
Life Expectancy Increase One of the trends that we can be sure about is the increase of life expectancy. With 3 essential impacts: On the political side, there will be an incremental raise in the age retirement. Creating opportunities for new business to focus on this segment of the population and offer both work and leisure specific conditions. But implications regarding health and learning skills will affect how socially we accept this new working class.
Photo: Fast Company
Effect on NASA This will be essential to NASA to retain the talent that have been throughout decades to train and inspire new generations. There will be a interesting contrast between the classic and traditional perspective of space travel and the new generation that will ask constantly “what if�.
5y
Space Travel Increment Increment in the length of space travel exponentially proves the human resilience into adaptation in space.
Photo: Fast Company
5y
Since the space travel and duration can be longer. The experimentation and training techniques for spaceman will be reproduced by private owned companies to be sold to regular people and maybe be adopted as a new way of training and fitness.
Photo: OKGO
Space Travel Increment
Effect on NASA The growing resilience of the human body to space travel have 2 consequences: Economically more feasibility, by saving costs on the frequency of space travel. And Socially, the effect of dreaming that space travel can be for all and not only trained people that resist certain circumstances.
5y
Self Learning A.I. Artificial Intelligence is aiming to achieve the ultimate learning system, ultimately aiming to self-teach itself. Learning the choices, behaviors and preferences of the people will revolutionize our living.
Photo: Fast Company
5y
Self Learning A.I. Technologically we will have the opportunity to solve mysteries and complex problems by applying vast amounts of data and finding unknown things and solutions. Similarly, we can solve problems with pollution and waste or contamination by applying controlled experiments. Finally, on the worst case scenario, Self Learning AI can determine that the human existence represent a problem for both, The Earth and the existence of the Machines and terminate us.
Photo: Fast Company
Effect on NASA Self Learning AI can be a game changer for NASA. Essentially if the AI can be compressed and sent to Rovers like curiosity, we could have robots and analysis data, learn form it and start building conditions for human survival on different planets.
Photo: Fast Company
5 year scenario Plot
turn Point
Needing specialized personnel that could resist the conditions of space travel, NASA partners with MIT professor Hugh Herr to fabricate specialized prosthetics and exoskeletons for a new kind of astronaut.
Risin action
Falling Action
With the growing popularity of automation in the institution, several employees of NASA start to feel the effect of opposition against automation and set apart their journeys. Although the decrease in human talent affects NASA, it is compensated by the endless work of the machines and the A.I
Set Up
With the refinement and accessibility to robotic arms, the leadership of NASA studies economic feasibility to acquire several of these breakthrough technologies and partner with companies that are developing A.I to implement them in the different experiments to recompile data.
The combination of exoskeletons and breakthroughs in space technology let people live twice as much in space. Although this is a significant leap to space travel, the A.I induce the company to support the theory of the digital self on Mars.
Conclusion
NASA decides to create a DNA-Memory base for their prominent Spacemen to be recreated by an Artificial Intelligence Alter-Ego and a humanoidstyle robot set to be the first explorer in Mars. With this new robot, they implement all the technologies invested in to monitor the possible errors without sacrificing human live. However, the results questioned if the true sense of space travel should involve humans that can commit errors instead of perfectly programmed for success machines.
5 year scenario Photo: Fast Company
The Scenario
Genesis In 2021 the world has tripled the speed of consumption induced by the new players in the digital world. People don’t need to go to a store, since a sensor detect a downfall in the stock, notifies directly to the user, gets an approval, and order the goods. Looking back, this phenomenon is marked by fast consumption markets that promoted consumerism as an innovation of service.
NASA identifies that the reproduction of experimental conditions, manufacturing and disposition of products done with the robotic arms has a conceptual problem: It requires massive understanding of the process for it to be decoded and programmed into the machines and new, or different experimentations needed to be programmed from scratch to solve the diverse challenges. Therefore, with the acquisition of the robotic arm systems, NASA partners and collaborates with several companies that had created artificial intelligence. In these 5 years of experimentation with other A.I’s such as IBM Watson, NASA understands the importance on its fully adoption and integration.
Photo: Andre Larcev
This speed of consumption has produced a new need for automation to harvest, build and deliver. Robotic arms that can manufacture and also recycle materials are now accessible to everyone despite the skepticism. The new economy is driven by these new technologies that are adopted by many other companies not only to reduce their post consumer waste and comply with the strict laws and penalties, but also to maximize the production time and efficiency. NASA approach towards this complex system of robots was different. It uses this technology to recreate the space conditions and suppositions, without the need to risk the human factor.
Rage Automation imposes a serious menace to the traditional jobs. Worker associations are the first ones to strike in this enduring battle and NASA is not left behind. In this conflict against automation, a division is marked between traditional and progressive scientists in the core of the company. Many of the traditional astronomers consider that the artificial intelligence adopted and automation of processes limits human creativity and exploration narrowing the possibilities behind the secrets of space. NASA can’t afford to keep losing young talent to private companies like Space X that have bloomed in the past years and that provides the transportation method that NASA implements now to go to space, so it takes parts in the support of the progressive model.
Anticipating that the political landscape could significantly cut the resources of the company, the board directives push marketing campaigns to increase their digital presence and engage with new audiences that have been historically overlooked. Hoping that it gets to the top of heart of the younger American population and revives the admiring nostalgia that has aged since the Moon’s landing.
Photo: Andre Larcev
This decision is not taken well by many of the traditionalist scientist that had worked for NASA over the years and many of them part ways to find new horizons. This event creates public tension and uncertainty of the company’s future. Without several of their most experienced scientists, big debt over the equipment purchased for automation and the dependability of transportation from private companies or rival countries, compromises the future of the company. If companies like Space X achieve more than NASA in the following years to come, the government won’t need the services of the agency. Although these companies are private, they are US based and the government can persuade the public that they are crucial to the forging of such companies while, cutting the funding to the government agency.
Hunt Searching for new ways to revive the sense of nostalgia left by the Moon’s Landing, NASA partners with several private agencies and consultancies to uncover the true sense behind that special moment that marked the lives of the American society and remained in the collective conscience hoping it can be recreated. In this deep analysis, many of the consultants fail to uncover deep insights that are useful for the company. Many of the reports suggest recreating the same conditions of the Apollo 11, commemorating the half-century since the achievement of the landing by using all the new technologies to live stream the process. At the same time others suggest to do the same but with Mars, assuring that NASA has the resources to craft the mission and strike audiences with an event as big as the one in 1969.
Tied by the hopeful but unrealistic projections of the consultancies contacted. NASA looks to the market in search of the success of companies that had a similar history as them. One example was IBM and the breakdown of their empire but with a rebirth achieved through design, this leads into a neglected field by the traditional engineering.
Photo: Andre Larcev
Both of the proposals show the desperation of the company to stay relevant, if the government didn’t create a push like the one president Kennedy had created, the project would miscue the objective of bringing the passion for new horizons and the plans for Mars would be inflicted by the expenditures of the revamp. At the same time Mars projections are far to be perfect even with the incorporation of the AI, so pushing a spaceship launch before 2030 seems unrealistic.
Hunt Continued The report by design agencies assures that revamping the conditions of the success of Apollo 11 are almost impossible to recreate and that the new audiences would not be as impacted as the America of 1969. However, it indicates that the original promise of that day was the conquest of the human boundaries and limitations. Similarly, the social landscape has seen a similar tendency with the human limitations and the inclusion of highly talented handicapped individuals. The suggestion is to incorporate both and announce a new inclusive and for all astronaut that pushes further out of the traditional and highly selective way to incorporate human talent. To this addition NASA invests into the development of artificial limbs that powers up even better this new talent. Inviting new and old MIT professors as partners into action.
The campaign is a success raising the quality of an all inclusive government agency. It had engaged new audiences that never taught it was possible to travel to space as well as the general public that highlighted the human quality of the company. It also forces the government to stop any contingent plans to stop the funding since it would create a bad image.
Photo: Andre Larcev
The advances made in prosthetic limbs for space also opened up new possibilities for its counterpart in Earth. As well as the incorporation of spacesuits that integrate exoskeletons to both enhance and preserve the human body in space.
Camouflage Despite the campaign, the advancements in the artificial intelligence reveals that the best way to create a significant leap is to integrate the AI system into rovers like curiosity so that the analysis could be made in a fraction of the time that it has been done until now. What “Stephen” the AI named after the theoretical physicist, suggest is that in order to accomplish a successful mission to Mars, it would be required to have artificial conditions already set up in the planet for the astronauts to arrive.
Although “Stephen” has compiled all the archives from the notes, books and computer generated speeches of his human alter-ego produced in his past years, creating the same line of thought of the physicist and correcting minimal miscalculations it remains to be a digital portrait of the physicist. That sets the possibility to reconcile a notion of self and recreate it into a digital space and by acquiring several other characteristics of influential people in the history of humanity and analyzing the modus vivendi, modus operandi and other patterns of action stored in the vast libraries of digital information. Nevertheless “Stephen” kept on being a digital copy the programmed AI, it gives hints of a new possibility for human beings.
Photo: Andre Larcev
This implications pushes down the campaigns made and sets a new spacecraft to its journey towards Mars with a new rover implemented with the AI system so that it could perform other set of tasks and a adaptation pack for Curiosity but with no new astronauts.
Clones Using the prototypes developed for the international space station: Robonaut 5 is the first truly humanoid style robot that is maneuvered by “Stephen� and assisted by astronauts in Earth and that was set to assist the Curiosity duo. The solution to real time control of the robot needed that the controllers were as close to mars as possible creating an amplifier of remote control as well as a zero gravity zone in which the accompanying astronauts could move freely the robot. Not giving up with the campaign and the investment made for the new type of astronauts and despite the considerations made by Stephen; the accompanying crew for the hover is human augmented astronauts.
Photo: Andre Larcev
With the Robonaut 5, NASA connects all technologies invested in the past 5 years to monitor the Martian planet without possible errors that compromises human lives while remaining inclusive to the general public. This results questions if the true sense of space travel should involve humans instead of perfectly programmed for success machines.
5 year implications
-NASA can’t rely solely on the human talent to make a leap in space travel. It must integrate technological advancements to automate certain aspects of the company. -Investment is needed to acquire its own Artificial Intelligence so that the calculations can be matched and corrected if needed. -NASA needs to show that it can be inclusive and that anyone, even with limitations can go to space. -NASA will be crucial for the definition of cyborg since technology can surpass the human boundaries. -NASA needs the support of the people more than ever to remain competitive in a landscape were new companies for space travel bloom and were countries center their attention to other aspects rather than a race to space. -Technologies could prove that the best way to travel space is without humans, but NASA must push forward to develop the conditions for space survival since the settings in Earth will progressively decay.
10 year scenario Photo: Fast Company
Driving Forces
Photos: Fast Company
The Raise of Creative Class Creative class and jobs related to emotional intelligence dictate the future of human development, as other jobs will grow fully automated.
Social Shorter Workday
As productivity tools and technology advances the notion of work will be changed to become more casual and even shorter. This phenomenon will increase the time people spend on play and on Ăžtness.
Universal Language No language barriers. The language will be translated with full time and precision in real time which will led to a cultural revolution.
Photos: Fast Company
Curation of Goods The notion of luxury goods will change. It will no longer be tied to the company brand but to the user sense of ÒCurationÓ. In this regards people will have the power to construct or destroy a company.
Economical Equality of Opportunities
Healthier Food
In a world interconnected, there will be equality to people to become rich as well as the opportunity of even bigger scams to ßourish.
Food will be healthier and will become a commodity. Business models as Wholefoods that prove that people spend more on ÒHealthier foodÓ will soon established as basic commodity which will propose a interesting panorama for ÒartiÞcialÓ foods.
Photos: Fast Company
DNA Database In 10 years we will have an extensive database of all the DNA of the living things in the world of both present and extinguished animals to recreate them.
Environmental Climate Balance
Global warming will not pose a warning. With the clean energies on the rise, the bet of producing more energy that we need will derive in the start of breakthrough solutions towards warming.
Bioengineering
Biomimicry and Bioengineering will be on the center of the natural sciences as a way to solve complex problems with natural solutions. The uncovering of mysteries will bring new approaches to applied sciences.
Photos: Fast Company
Impossible Architecture Impossible Architecture will be accomplished with a huge plus: buildings. It will redeďŹ ne essential aspects of living.
Technological Internet of Things
Internet of things at its full extent will create a signiĂžcant change of paradigm towards business and their relationships. We will see big companies forming alliances and users choosing the ones tat relate closer to them.
Smart Wearables Smart clothing. Long lasting clothes, more comfortable with the ability of produce heat or energy or be completely hydrophobic.
Photos: Fast Company
Opposition Against Automation
Opposition against automation will impose a big debate and political regulations will keep proving a barrier against disruptive innovations. Cases like Uber are the best prove.
Political Digital Security
Cyber security will be perhaps one of the promises for candidates in the future, which gives the possibility that other important aspects like nutrition, education and poverty could be radically transformed.
Digital Democracy
Democracy will be digital. Research has found that the voting process will soon be conceptualize for people to vote from their homes, reaching a higher participation on democratic processes.
Photos: Fast Company
3D printed Organs 3D printing of cells and organs will revolutionize health implications including Ethical conceptions.
Health Bacteria Resistance
Regenerative Medicine
On-growing resistance of bacteria and viruses will force a technological breakthrough in science and medicine.
Regenerative medicine not only implies that we can combat degenerative diseases but it will increase the life expectancy exponentially.
10 year scenario Photo: Fast Company
Matrix
+ Impact
+ Certainty
Movement of from 5 to 10 year.
Social Economical Coding
Environmental Technological Political Health
+ Impact Digital Security
DNA Database Smart Wearables Equality of Opportunities Internet of Things
Digital Democracy
Regenerative Medicine
Climate Balance
Universal Language The Raise of Creative Class Bioengineering
+ Certainty
Opposition Against Automation Bacteria Resistance Healthier Food
Curation of Goods
Short Workday
3D Printed Organs
Impossible Architecture
10 Year Matrix
Social Economical Coding
Environmental Technological Political Health
+ Impact
+ Certainty
Comparison between driving forces in 10 years.
Social Economical Coding
Environmental Technological Political Health
10 year scenario Photo: Fast Company
Cause and Effect
Photos: Fast Company
m n o
r i v n Eh t l a e H t n e
10y
Photo: Fast Company
DNA Database In 10 years we will have an extensive database of all the DNA of the living things in the world of both present and extinguished animals to recreate them.
10y
Having a extensive DNA database can secure the reproduction of artificial living things by applying clonation methods. Thus, widely opposed by conservationist this new possibility can be the hope for species that are in danger of extinction. The mayor impact on society will be opposition to the use of cloned recreations.
Photo: Fast Company
DNA Database
Effect on NASA For NASA it’s a opportunity to have an extensive living thing DNA database since it can represent the recreation of life in other planets to achieve similar balance as we have on Earth.
10y
Photo: Fast Company
Climate Balance Global warming will not pose a warning. With the clean energies on the rise, the bet of producing more energy that we need will derive in the start of breakthrough solutions towards warming.
10y
Although the predictions of climate change to persist, clean energies and disruptions will have a direct impact on the economy by creating big companies that will new the drivers of tomorrow. Companies like Tesla will continue to convince people to leave unsustainable methods, the impact on the industry if the consumers transform quickly form oil to clean energy will be massive, and the people that don’t have resources will continue to struggle an more.
Photo: Fast Company
Climate Balance
Effect on NASA Clean energies are crucial for the future of space travel and breakthroughs of disruptive innovation will be crucial for NASA to achieve their goal of Mars Colony in 2030. But at the same time NASA could be a pioneer of this technologies.
10y
Photo: Fast Company
Bio-engineering Bio-mimicry will be on the center of the natural sciences as a way to solve complex problems with natural solutions. The uncovering of mysteries will bring new approaches to applied sciences.
10y
Biomimicry has shown that nature is the key to create powerful solutions. The growing trend to take a look closely to solutions that already exist in nature to solve complex problems only have a better impact on the social, technological and economical category. To support this, the application of nature concepts to architecture has provided new energy efficient solutions.
Photo: Fast Company
Bio-engineering
Effect on NASA NASA has been keen that the new shift on their industry is the inclusion of designers that are able to take analogies not only from the Bio world but also from existing artifacts. If they want to keep being relevant, the acquisition of all types of designers is crucial.
10y
Regenerative Medicine
Photo: Fast Company
Regenerative medicine not only implies that we can combat degenerative diseases but it will increase the life expectancy exponentially.
10y
Regenerative medicine can have huge impacts on the economical industry (by challenging the pharmaceuticals) as well as the social category. If regenerative medicine is achieved, it will represent a significant change towards the traditional medical field. The probable effect is that is will be monopolized, charging exuberant amounts of money for it.
Photo: Fast Company
Regenerative Medicine
Effect on NASA The impact on NASA is economical. If NASA can acquire this type of medicine it can mean the achievement of perpetuity in space. Resulting in an ideal solution to space travel of considerable distances.
10 year scenario Photo: Fast Company
Plot
turn Point
With this new talent on board, NASA discovers a way to regenerate tissue by using mother cells and synthetic composition that would work in the same way as 3d printing. Although regenerative medicine is a massive discovery in health, the US government restraints its use and censors any type of information to the public.
Risin action
With this panorama, NASA creates a test that reaches to acquire the best talent towards space exploration; their focus is to bring new ideas to revolutionize the traditional approach of space travel.
Set Up
In 2026 it is expected that every 5 out of 6 persons have access to a phone or a computer and has access to the Internet. With this increase of technological access to information, talent starts to stand out. The criterion to join companies is not based on a degree anymore, leading to a cultural revolution towards equality of opportunities.
Falling Action
With the possibility that the regenerative medicine discovery offered, NASA pushed forward a program to collect all living things DNA to have it as a digital database so that they could recreate the living conditions on the Martian planet.
Conclusion
After a period of essential technological discoveries to achieve the first Earth colony on Mars, NASA has identified that bringing fresh talent from all the fields of study is the key to space discovery.
10 year scenario Photo: Fast Company
Scenario
Ground zero In 2026 the vast majority of people have access to technology because incentives for countries to grant access for everyone to the Internet has paid off, shifting the pyramid of the value of the Internet from a luxury to a commodity. The new education system is built around technology, encouraging coding as a second language and bridging the physical and the real world. This new way of teaching proposes a novel way to learn and facilitates online resources for everyone in real time, making it even harder for universities to retain students since the quality of online resources has increased in the past few years facilitated by companies like Acumen and Lynda.
Photo: Serial Cut
New careers overlap knowledge from several fields blurring the boundaries of traditional academia. In this mix of knowledge, design takes over the traditional role of psychology in the field of human resources. With a focus oriented towards unique experiences, companies change their traditional process of hiring, making it easier for both parties to connect. Now a new working force that does not necessarily have a degree is more attractive to companies that have struggled to acquire the best talent for ages. Culturally this marks a revolution, because anyone that doesn’t have the resources to go to a university can now learn online and refine their skills from home. Equal opportunities for anyone sounds promising but at the same time imposes a challenge to governments that historically had limited the number of external citizens to promote local growth. This globalization paradigm creates tension between multinational companies and local governments about the acquisition and regulation of new talent.
A new class Under the premise of an all-inclusive government agency, NASA sees this cultural revolution with good eyes; they have a special trait in the general regulations imposed by the government towards prospective talent. They have the upper hand in the signing of the new talent and this opportunity arrives at a crucial time since in the next five years they are set to achieve their journey to Mars.
Photo: Future Deluxe
Consequently, NASA crafts an exam to spot this new talent. This exam seeks to find human talent globally and revolutionize space travel. The exam combines technologies like next generation virtual reality where users can fully interact with their body in a digital landscape. NASA’s test proposes several considered scenarios in the journey to Mars that had been created by the information gathered by the AI and the Curiosity Rovers. In order to solve the challenges, the prospective talent must propose actions that guarantee their survival and that of their crew. With this test NASA aims to get the best talent possible that can naturally act in high-pressure environments but also gather all the possible actions taken.
Metetamorphosis Finding and bringing new talent to NASA sets the stage for a significant leap in the company. With this fresh talent, a novel era of advanced discoveries is expected and NASA once again gets the stoplight of interest. The talent helps to refine and to redefine areas of space travel that were narrowed in the traditionalist way of doing things. With a vast knowledge of coding the new talent helps the AI to grow exponentially by unlocking dead ends that limited the learning power of it. Parallel to many refinements made to the technological side of NASA, a new way to conceive medicine for space is coined by the company. This new medicine creates a perfectly conditioned environment using synthetic compositions that trigger the alignment of intracellular tissue where mother cells can grow up to three times faster. This discovery is made by looking at how to harvest animal food from scratch on the Martian planet.
Photo: Rik Oostenbroek
Although this is a massive achievement for science and health, the US government forces total silence of the new discovery to avoid losing it to any of its rival countries. Many of the discoveries made by NASA have been censored to the public and the new talent that now governs the interior of the agency resents it.
efflorescence Tied down by the censorship of its new discovery, NASA studies new possibilities towards the reproduction of animal and vegetal life forms with the same technology implemented to regenerate human tissue. Vegetal life forms are less complex than human cellular infrastructures and are essential to human survival on Mars since they provide the oxygen needed for the colony. At the same time, nutrition and feeding for the colony is a big concern to NASA and the company sees the possibility of producing food by using the DNA profile of the animal and cloning it at a distant space.
Photo: Peter Tarka
These new possibilities excite the new leadership of the company and the assumption is that in order to create a second earth on other planet, the same conditions of life must be present on the transforming planet. Therefore, a team of members is arranged to collect the DNA database of all the possible living things on Earth that they will call “Noah’s Ark�.
new dimension
Photo: Future Delux
In this globally connected world where digital and tangible realities collide and blur the physical boundaries, NASA sees that the key to human survival outside Earth relies on the capacity and creativity of the individual talent. Bringing people from all the fields of expertise to collaborate inside the company is a little step for the humans to begin a journey into space and make colonies over the galaxies that are so far from each other that they could be the start of a new evolutionary cycle.
10 year implications -In an interconnected world, NASA must be proactive to acquire the new talent by combining novel approaches of HR. -A holistic exam or game can unlock considerations not made for space travel and the possibility to get exceptional talent on board. -If NASA invests on getting a DNA database, it can engage more with new generations as well as securing a treasury for the future. -The key to remain relevant is to collaborate with different fields of work as well as working on the AI, with a right mix of them.
15 year scenario Photo: Fast Company
Driving Forces
Photos: Fast Company
Poverty will Shrink Reports indicate that the levels of poverty have been decreased from 30% of the world’s population in 2000 to 15% in 2015. And that the trend will mark the raise of the middle class, but rich will become richer and poor will become poorer.
Social Universal Time
Integrated and holistic time frame. The necessity for communications challenge the notion of time to produce a modern clock.
Universal Digital Language Universal digital languages. We are seeing a technological era rise up since the appearance of the computer; this trend will lead into universal coding languages. It will be essential for kids not only to learn communication languages but also ways to relate to technology.
Photos: Fast Company
Strong Regional Economies Regions in developing countries or 1rst world countries will have the same GDP than whole countries will mark the raise of new powers. The expectations are that China will recover as the powerhouse as it was before 1500.
Economical Raise of Share Economy
The raise of the sharing economy. Research made by PwC have shown that an industry of sharing economy that today generates $15billion in revenue could produce in 2030 nearly $400billion. Proving that the ourish of companies like Uber and Airbnb is imminent.
Innovation Era
We are exiting the era of production and optimization into the era of innovation. Changing the paradigms and re-scheming will prove to be essential to compete, essentially since the companies that are now startups and that impose a treat to NASA in terms of economic capabilities will have several years of experience.
Photos: Fast Company
Resource Scarcity The increase of water and food is expected to raise a 37%. This factor represents a challenge to optimize crop production and water reclaim.
Environmental Urgency for Experimentation
Urgency for experimental solutions to solve global warming by reducing the amount of CO2.
Geo-Engineering
Key to human survival. ArtiďŹ cial regeneration of forests and ecosystems as well as artiĂžcial recovery of ozone layer will be a crucial career.
Photos: Fast Company
Earth Independent Colony In 2030 there will be the Ăžrst Earth independent colony in Mars. Success marked by the reĂžnement of solar energy for space travel and modular-self-replicating 3D architectural structures.
Technological Ubiquitous Internet
Ubiquitous Internet: Anytime, Anywhere, Anytime. This implies that there will we world wide coverage access to the internet which will change the way people commute, travel and explore in the out-bounds.
A.I Capable of Inferences Ubiquitous Internet: Anytime, Anywhere, Anytime. This implies that there will we world wide coverage access to the internet which will change the way people commute, travel and explore in the out-bounds.
Photos: Fast Company
Data Censorship
Concern over the wrong use of disruptive innovations due to the vast amount on data available. Terrorist attacks both digitally and physically could impose restrictions and censorship of information.
Political Information About Space
Political pressure on countries that manage information about outer space. Having private companies that will do their own research about space might uncover top-secret information hidden to the public.
Child Conception Restrictions
Same policy as China towards child conception. But we are spotting a current trend of people having animals as their “childs� and a general knowledge of how population rises up each time which might imply a psychological response to stop children conception in several individuals.
15 year scenario Photo: Fast Company
Matrix
+ Impact
+ Certainty
Movement of from 10 to 15 year.
Social Economical Coding
Environmental Technological Political Health
+ Impact
+ Certainty
Comparison between driving forces in 15 years.
Social Economical Coding
Environmental Technological Political Health
+ Impact
Resource Scarcity
Earth Independent Colony A.I capable of Inferences Geo-Engineering Innovation Era Information About Space
Universal Digital Language Strong Regional Economies
+ Certainty
Universal Time Poverty will Shrink
Data Censorship
Urgency for Experimentation Ubiquitous Internet Rise of Share Economy
15 Year Matrix
Child Conception Restrictions
Social Economical Coding Environmental Technological Political
15 year scenario Photo: Fast Company
Cause and Effect
Photos: Fast Company
t n e
T
m n o r i v y n g E olo n h c e
15y
Resource Scarcity
Photo: Fast Company
The increase of water and food is expected to raise a 37%. This factor represents a challenge to optimize crop production and water reclaim.
15y
Socially the impact expected by the scarcity of resources will signify a reduction in human population able to survive. But also an alternative of the use of space. Buildings that incorporate all the usual amenities will also grow their own crops. Which can also result in the social paradigm, towards the people that work the land as agricultural engineers.
Photo: Fast Company
Resource Scarcity
Effect on NASA The need to reclaim land and water sources imposes a challenge to all the industry experts. If NASA adopts a growing positive attitude towards solving problems in the Earth with the knowledge they have acquired throughout the years, they could implement the same technology and projection for other planets towards earth creating commercial products. And fomenting another kind of respect from the people.
15y
Photo: Fast Company
Geo-engineering Geo-engineering key to human survival. Artificial regeneration of forests and ecosystems as well as artificial recovery of ozone layer will be a crucial career.
15y
A new working class will emerge to solve this complex problem. It will be a combination of highly creative professionals with vast amount of knowledge on engineering and agriculture. On a decaying panorama of human Earth, bio-engineering will be the next big bubble, surpassing Silicon Valley.
Photo: Fast Company
Geo-engineering
Effect on NASA With this boom on bio-engineering there are 2 possible panoramas for NASA. The first one to be part of the leadership and create solutions from bacteria that devours landfills to high complexity machines that inhales pollution and produces organic compost. Or the other were new companies with big economic support form the countries are in the leadership position which result in the lack of funding for diverse projects.
15y
Photo: Fast Company
Earth Independent Colony In 2030 there will be the first Earth independent colony in Mars. Success marked by the refinement of solar energy for space travel and modular-self-replicating 3D architectural structures.
15y
The effect of having a successful mars colony can push forward humanity to consider different and new reaches. There will be several volunteers that will like to scape their living conditions to pursue new horizons on Mars and build a new and promising future in other planets. By the time that we can live in Mars there will be new reaches in the Galaxy which hints the discovery of habitable planets. The refinement of 3D technologies with the incorporation of the automation of the construction industry will have a significant impact on the culture.
Photo: Fast Company
Earth Independent Colony
Effect on NASA By using self replicating machines and 3D printing the bet on the space colony can be achieved. Rovers like curiosity can construct the modules of the colony while humans can focus on other essential considerations. Essentially having 3D printing techniques minimizes the gap of error.
15y
Inference Capable A.I
Photo: Fast Company
AI capable of inferences and suggestions of networks to decode the big mysteries present in Science.
15y
If we are able to make an Artificial Intelligence that makes inferences, we can predict certain outcomes. It will develop the path to predict certain market drops as well as environmental catastrophes. It will be monopolized until similar A.I. are developed.
Photo: Fast Company
Inference Capable A.I
Effect on NASA Rockets equipped with this kind of technologies can predict the conditions present in space and formulate solutions towards problems in a proactive way instead of reactive. Also the implementation of this type of intelligence in humanoid robots will create realities for the cartooned movie Wall-e.
15 year scenario Photo: Fast Company
Plot
turn Point
Using refined A.I from partnerships with leading innovation and technology companies, NASA achieves to calculate the perfect conditions to launch the Ares 1 into space. But the results of the study not only reveal the true extension of space debris but also the difficulties to launch produced by pollution and global warming. If space travel must survive we will need to start implementing terra-formation technologies to secure conditions in Earth for survival.
Falling Action
Risin action
In the quest to develop an Earth independent colony on Mars, NASA is set to launch “Ares 1” in the upcoming year but new concerns over space waste are revealed by the data behind the Kessler effect. To achieve success NASA needs to calculate the perfect conditions on both Earth and Space to launch the spacecraft with the maximum momentum and alignment to reach Mars in the shortest time period.
Set Up
It is the year 2031 and there had been significant advances in technology such as the quantum computer. Artificial intelligence, powered with such advancements has had significant progress but is still copies of their human creator or re-creator. The world’s population still keeps rising and the scarcity of resources is almost assured.
It has been 150 days since the launching of Ares 1. The spaceship implements solar energy to recreate the impulse provided by traditional fuels by magnetic pulses, this signifies a breakthrough discovery by the application of technologies like Hyperloop to space. Although the mission is going great, there have been several wiki-leaks filtered over government confidential files about space. As being one of the primarily involved, NASA loses credibility and popularity. Resulting in a cut-off capital budget, to survive they have to commercialize the patents for the geoengineering discoveries.
Conclusion
Having an enormous responsibility with the survival of Earth, NASA must test new technologies that serve the purpose of space travel and then re-engineer them to fit the Earth’s needs. As telescope and microscope exist and compliment, NASA must start paying attention to what happens on Earth and provide solutions to avoid an obscure future for human race.
15 year scenario Photo: Fast Company
Scenario
a new specie It’s 2031 and the next generation of wearable technology makes any accessory the gate to the Internet. The high-speed connections facilitated by the government as a “new era right” lets you retrieve any archive stored in the web. At the same time, optimization of servers is achieved by quantum computing that stores an impressive amount of data at the molecular level creating the next generation of personal computers that charge wirelessly. These new technologies are powered by stations that use human movement and kinetic synergies to charge devices. This level of intimacy with technology creates tight bonds between users and companies that protect user’s data with RFIDs implanted in the skin and next level biometric scanners that activate with the combination of different DNA fingerprints. Governments fragment into regional economies since different productive sectors specialize as individual consumption markets in a world were scarcity prevails. With this fragmentation, there is growing concern and paranoia as to the extent of government control. There are speculations of digital monitoring and suppression of individuals that exert certain behavioral patterns or represent a downfall on the resources of the society.
Commercial AIs have made several advancements and have recompiled detailed profiles of their target consumers, but they still remain copies of their human re-creators. NASA’s “Stephen” differs from this path by making inferences from incomplete data resulting in calculations that are centered on space travel.
Photo: Serial Cut
NASA prides itself on the fact that wearable technology was an achievement made years before by adopting individuals that had mobility limitations and crafting high tech prosthetic limbs. In addition, they applied reverse engineering to employ the advancements inside the company.
Particles Seeing that the future of the human race will be compromised by the existing conditions on Earth, NASA assures the colony on Mars will be available the next year, but a chain reaction of colliding space debris, described as the Kessler effect, increases the amount of “space junk”. Therefore, the probabilities and chances are reduced for a successful mission. The chain reaction effect concerns all countries that have satellites in space as well as the International Space Station that has to relocate according to the spotting and trajectories of the waste. If the chain effect gets worse and the satellites collide, the world that was built around technology could collapse and chaos will take over.
Photo: Mark Lindner
To calculate the best conditions for the launch of the mission named “Ares 1”, NASA relies on the calculations made by the AI to give them the maximum momentum for the space ship to exit Earth and get to Mars as fast as possible.
Invisible net Trying to backup their calculations with other AI reports, NASA once again partners with companies that have developed their own. With time running out the conclusions of their partnerships corroborate that the calculations made by Stephen were correct and gives the green light for launching Ares 1. However, results of the study also indicate an unforeseen result: the high levels of pollution, global warming, and contamination of water affects more than space waste and the probabilities and effectiveness of future missions and creates an invisible web that tightens each time.
Photo: Jon Noorlander
If the conditions on Earth keep getting worse, the existing technology becomes obsolete and the chance of travel to other habitable planet closes; the future of all living things will have a tragic end. The solution to this dark situation must include approaches to solving the contamination both inside and outside the planet. Fortunately not all technologies depend on the Internet and connections with the failing satellites so this panorama leads into a new type of technological revolution.
Secrets NASA quickly approaches the government and expresses their concerns over the results of the study. In order to avoid panic in society, the US government decides to censor the information and communicate positive advancements of Ares 1. Arguing that exploration of clean energies was the foundation of the spaceship technology, these breakthroughs are being used by the society as a means of transportation. Nevertheless, in 2031 with the paranoia of secretiveness managed by governments, new generations of hackers that have vast knowledge of digital language find a way to breach the security systems of companies and entire governments. With these breaches, leaks start to flourish and the independent media hurry to create scandal. Several secrets of the US government are exposed regarding space discoveries. As the issue involved NASA, they lose credibility and the affection of the people. The government acts quickly and saves itself from the scandal by using part of the funding for the company to bury the scandal. With this event, NASA gets put in a difficult position and sells some of its patents to privately held companies since it needs the capital to complete the Mars mission.
Scale
Photo: Future Deluxe
Having a big responsibility to the planet, NASA re-engineers top technology destined for the colony to generate the conditions for living on Mars and achieves terra-formation equipment that could regenerate the Earth and put a stop to this tragedy. As telescopes and microscopes exist, NASA must change lenses and center on both space exploration and Earth solutions to be the leader in providing conditions for human survival. Allied with the UN, NASA can now exit the boundaries that historically tied it to a country by becoming a global company that fights for the future of living things.
15 year implications -Human desire to acquire better technologies and depend solely on internet can be costly. -With an increasing amount of information online, security breaches will be ever more present. -NASA needs to have strong patents behind them if crisis presents and budget is cut out. -NASA must invest in terra-formation technologies to secure the living conditions in both Earth and other planets.
“The single most frequent failure in history of forecasting has been grossly underestimating the impact of technologies.�