Portland Market Action Presented by #HoughTeam October 2016

Page 1

A Publication of RMLS™, The Source for Real Estate Statistics in Your Community Residential Review: Metro Portland, Oregon October Residential Highlights October brought a bit more seasonal cooling to the Portland metro area. New listings, at 2,929 for the month, fell 4.4% short of the 3,063 new listings offered a year prior in October 2015 and were 20.3% under the 3,673 new listings offered last month in September 2016.

October 2016 Reporting Period

same period, inventory stayed put at 2.0 months. There were 5,169 active residential listings in the region in October.

Year to Date Summary Activity has been mixed in 2016 compared to 2015. New listings (37,412) are up 1.2%. Closed sales (27,359) are down 2.6% and pending sales (29,464) are down 3.2% for the Closed sales (2,589) similarly year thus far. decreased 4.7% when compared Average and Median Sale Prices to October 2015 (2,717) and 8.3% Prices continue to rise in the compared to September 2016. Portland metro area. Comparing Pending sales, at 2,841, only 2016 to 2015 through October, fell 0.6% short of the 2,857 offers the average sale price rose 11.5% accepted last month in September from $353,400 to $393,900. In the 2016, but ended 5.2% under the same comparison, the median sale 2,996 offers accepted last year in price rose 13.1% from $305,000 to October 2015. $345,000. Total market time in the Portland metro area increased by six days in October to end at 41 days. In the

2016

Portland Metro Residential Highlights

2015

Pending Sales

Closed Sales

Average Sale Price

*Inventory in Months is calculated by dividing the Active Residential Listings at the end of the month in question by the number of closed sales for that month. This includes proposed and under construction homes. Percent Change of 12-Month Sale Price Compared With The Previous 12 Months Average Sale Price % Change: +10.9% ($388,600 v. $350,300) Median Sale Price % Change: +12.4% ($340,000 v. $302,600)

For further explanation of this measure, see the second footnote on page 2.

Median Sale Price

Total Market Time

October

2,929

2,841

2,589

405,900

350,000

41

September

3,673

2,857

2,823

392,200

350,300

35

37,412

29,464

27,359

393,900

345,000

41

3,063

2,996

2,717

360,000

309,000

46

36,966

30,453

28,096

353,400

305,000

54

-4.4%

-5.2%

-4.7%

12.8%

13.3%

-12.5%

-20.3%

-0.6%

-8.3%

3.5%

-0.1%

17.1%

1.2%

-3.2%

-2.6%

11.5%

13.1%

-25.5%

Year-to-date

Change

New Listings

Inventory in Months* 2014 2015 2016 January 4.1 3.4 1.8 February 3.9 3.0 1.8 March 3.1 1.9 1.3 April 2.8 1.8 1.4 May 2.8 1.7 1.4 June 2.8 1.6 1.5 July 2.9 1.7 1.9 August 3.0 1.9 1.9 September 3.1 1.9 2.0 October 2.8 1.8 2.0 November 3.2 2.0 December 2.3 1.2

October Year-to-date October Prev Mo 2016 Year-to-date

© Copyright RMLS™ 2016. All Rights Reserved.


AREA REPORT • 10/2016

Portland Metropolitan Area, Oregon

-12.3%

1,057

380,300

365,000

14.6%

15

666,100

22

237,200

27

559,600

NE Portland

367

281

76

267

3.5%

212

423,700

29

3,255

2,565

-3.9%

2,363

417,600

375,000

11.6%

26

588,100

33

326,300

74

555,900

SE Portland

544

381

92

354

-12.4%

309

384,600

39

4,406

3,466

-3.9%

3,237

364,700

321,800

11.7%

27

411,500

84

188,800

141

557,600

144

Gresham/ Troutdale

333

182

44

208

-1.0%

191

309,900

36

2,504

2,100

2.7%

1,950

295,500

280,000

12.7%

16

393,400

50

193,200

61

356,700

145

Milwaukie/ Clackamas

427

239

77

235

-6.0%

200

372,400

40

3,081

2,435

-2.2%

2,283

373,300

349,300

11.1%

10

548,300

123

173,700

22

439,800

146

Oregon City/ Canby

335

126

42

149

-8.0%

169

370,500

44

2,055

1,687

6.5%

1,552

365,000

339,700

12.7%

10

283,200

94

217,400

24

397,000

Lake Oswego/ West Linn

372

143

73

119

-16.2%

131

637,400

66

2,135

1,488

-8.6%

1,404

617,400

525,500

13.2%

3

446,700

48

449,500

10

585,300

W Portland

619

291

105

258

-10.1%

244

606,900

48

3,924

2,799

-11.1%

2,638

556,900

470,000

11.5%

5

723,000

57

291,600

34

671,000

NW Wash Co.

238

174

38

152

18.8%

138

508,000

44

1,835

1,431

5.0%

1,341

484,600

474,900

9.0%

6

104,300

22

933,000

1

425,000

Beaverton/ Aloha

322

253

68

265

-6.4%

242

322,900

26

3,338

2,795

-10.7%

2,676

331,700

315,000

10.7%

10

446,300

28

207,100

22

530,900

Tigard/ Wilsonville

457

272

85

252

8.6%

241

404,000

38

3,566

2,825

7.8%

2,572

404,200

381,000

10.5%

6

310,300

55

427,100

13

349,200

Hillsboro/ Forest Grove

323

226

54

211

1.4%

198

344,200

24

2,510

2,060

-7.6%

1,910

334,400

310,000

14.5%

9

272,600

50

400,800

40

351,200

60

18

12

27

8.0%

20

326,700

115

258

204

14.0%

171

260,700

245,000

8.5%

27

92,300

Columbia Co.

178

71

18

84

-20.0%

68

242,400

52

1,069

878

4.8%

775

254,100

238,800

10.8%

20

244,100

77

98,100

17

248,900

Yamhill Co.

428

149

51

150

-6.8%

139

320,500

68

1,993

1,575

-2.1%

1,430

293,000

265,000

9.9%

18

615,500

110

215,200

41

271,400

142 143 148 149 153 155 156

-

-

Closed Sales

1,156

Closed Sales

Average Sale Price

1,483

Closed Sales

Closed Sales

34

Median Sale Price

Pending Sales

380,400

147

Avg. Sale Price % Change2

Pending Sales 2016 v. 20151

New Listings

87

150

3

-22.0%

Total Market Time

110

1

Average Sale Price

41

Closed Sales

New Listings 123

Pending Sales

Active Listings 166

141

N Portland

Mt. Hood

Average Sale Price

Year-To-Date

Average Sale Price

MULTIFAMILY

Year-To-Date

151

Pending Sales 2016 v. 20151

LAND

Year-To-Date

152

Expired.Canceled Listings

COMMERCIAL Year-To-Date

Average Sale Price

RESIDENTIAL Current Month

-

-

Percent change in number of pending sales this year compared to last year. The Current Month section compares October 2016 with October 2015. The Year-To-Date section compares 2016 year-to-date statistics through October with 2015 year-to-date statistics through October.

2

% Change is based on a comparison of the rolling average sale price for the last 12 months (11/1/15-10/31/16) with 12 months before (11/1/14-10/31/15).

3

Total Market Time is the number of days from when a property is listed to when an offer is accepted on that same property. If a property is re-listed within 31 days, Total Market Time continues to accrue; however, it does not include the time that it was off the market.

2

© Copyright RMLS™ 2016. All Rights Reserved.


8,500

ACTIVE RESIDENTIAL LISTINGS

7,500

PORTLAND, OR

6,500

This graph shows the active

5,500

residential listings over the

4,500

past three calendar years in

3,500

the greater Portland,

2,500

Oregon metropolitan area.

Active Residential Listings

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2014 5,671 5,752 5,811 6,093 6,858 7,250 7,727 7,784 7,438 6,963 6,131 5,146 2015 4,996 4,947 4,767 4,853 5,125 5,388 5,708 5,837 5,657 5,021 4,252 3,381 2016 3,305 3,226 3,318 3,721 4,003 4,762 5,360 5,645 5,614 5,169

TOTAL ACTIVE LISTINGS PORTLAND, OR

Total Active Listings 11,000 10,000

This graph shows the

9,000

total active listings over

8,000

the past three calendar

7,000

years in the greater

6,000

Portland, Oregon

5,000

metropolitan area.

4,000

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2014 7,606 7,731 7,702 8,066 8,928 9,290 9,829 9,872 9,483 8,959 8,098 6,839 2015 6,764 6,718 6,518 6,622 6,934 7,175 7,549 7,665 7,417 6,737 5,905 4,785 2016 4,743 4,674 4,754 5,140 5,438 6,279 6,917 7,220 7,132 6,647

NEW LISTINGS

New Listings

PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

5,000 4,500

new residential listings

4,000 3,500

over the past three

3,000

calendar years in the

2,500 2,000

greater Portland, Oregon

1,500 1,000

metropolitan area.

2014

2015

2016

3

© Copyright RMLS™ 2016. All Rights Reserved.


PENDING LISTINGS

Pending Sales

PORTLAND, OR

4,000

This graph represents

3,500

monthly accepted offers

3,000

in the Portland, Oregon

2,500

metropolitan area over

2,000

the past three calendar

1,500

years.

1,000

2014

2015

2016

CLOSED SALES

Closed Sales

PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

3,500

closed sales over the past

3,000

five calendar years in the greater Portland, Oregon metropolitan area.

2,500 2012

2,000

2013

1,500

2014

1,000

2015

500

2016

0

DAYS ON MARKET

Average Total Market Time

PORTLAND, OR

110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20

This graph shows the average market time for sales in the Portland, Oregon metropolitan area over the past three calendar years. 2014 TMT

2015 TMT

2016 TMT

4

© Copyright RMLS™ 2016. All Rights Reserved.


SALE PRICE

This graph represents the average and median sale price for all homes sold in

PORTLAND, OR

the Portland, Oregon metropolitan area.

Average and Median Sale Price $425,000 $375,000

$325,000 $275,000

Average Sale Price

Jul-16

Oct-16

Apr-16

Oct-15

Jan-16

Jul-15

Apr-15

Median Sale Price

MEDIAN SALE PRICE

Median Sale Price: Portland, OR & Clark Co., WA

PORTLAND, OR

$400,000 $350,000

This graph shows the

$300,000

median sale price over

$250,000

the past 12 months in

$200,000

the greater Portland,

$150,000 $100,000

Jan-15

Jul-14

Oct-14

Apr-14

Oct-13

Jan-14

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Oct-11

Jan-12

Jul-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Oct-09

Jan-10

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

$175,000

Oct-08

$225,000

Oregon, metropolitan OCT

NOV

DEC

JAN

FEB

MAR

Clark County

APR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AUG

Metro Portland, OR

5

© Copyright RMLS™ 2016. All Rights Reserved.

SEP

OCT

area and Clark County.


MEDIAN SALE PRICE October 2016

SW WASHINGTON

$290,000

$334,500

Woodland

N/NE Clark County

PORTLAND

$287,500 $382,900

Battle Ground

Ridgefield/La Center

METRO

$ 242,500 Columbia County $338,700 Salmon Creek $347,000 Felida

$ 486,600 North Washington County Sauvie Island

Brush Prairie Hockinson

$285,000 Hazel Dell Minnehaha

$255,500 5 Corners Orch.

$229,000 Cent. Vancouver

$ 310,000 Beaverton

$ 483,000 West Portland

Aloha

$ 393,500 Tigard/Tualatin Sherwood Wilsonville

$401,200 Camas/Washougal $ 371,300 NE Portland $ 342,500 SE Portland $ 346,600

$ 525,000

Milwaukie/Gladstone/ Boring/Clackamas Estacada

Lake Oswego West Linn

$ 270,100 $ 340,000 Oregon City Canby Molalla Beavercreek

Yamhill County

6

$275,000 Cascade Park

$312,000 Heights

$ 375,000 N Portland

$ 317,300 Hillsboro Forest Grove

$369,000

© Copyright RMLS™ 2016. All Rights Reserved.

$ 285,000 Gresham Troutdale Sandy Corbett Fairview

$ 309,900 Mt. Hood: Zigzag Welches Rhododendron Wemme Brightwood Government Camp


MULTIPLE LISTING SERVICE

ACTIVE & CLOSED CONDOS PORTLAND, OR

Contact RMLS™ 8338 NE Alderwood Rd Suite 230 Portland, OR 97220 (503) 236-7657

This graph shows the number of active and closed condos in the Portland, Oregon, metropolitan area.

Active & Closed Condos 500 450

400

communications@rmls.com

350 300

250 200

The statistics presented in Market Action are compiled monthly based on figures generated by RMLS™.

150 100 50

0

Active Listings

RMLS™ was formed by area Boards and Associations of REALTORS® in 1991. E-mail subscriptions are available for $45 per year by contacting RMLS™. Reproduction of any portion of this copyrighted material is prohibited without prior approval of RMLS™.

AFFORDABILITY PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the affordability for housing in Portland, Oregon in September 2016.

Affordability Index 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0

Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16

Market Action Reports are compiled for the following areas: Portland metropolitan area, Southwest Washington, Mid-Columbia, Columbia Basin, Baker County, Coos County, Curry County, Douglas County, Grant County, Josephine County, Lane County, North Coastal Counties, Polk & Marion Counties, Union County, and Wallowa County.

Closed Sales

AFFORDABILITY - According to a formula from the National Association of Realtors®, buying a house in the Portland metro area is affordable for a family earning the median income. A family earning the median income ($73,300 in 2016, per HUD) can afford 122% of a monthly mortgage payment on a median priced home ($350,300 in September). The formula assumes that the buyer has a 20% down payment and a 30 year fixed rate of 3.46% (per Freddie Mac).

Craig Fahner, Chairman of the Board Kurt von Wasmuth, President/CEO Tyler Chaudhary, Editor © Copyright RMLS™ 2016. All Rights Reserved.


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