Market Action August 2015

Page 1

A Publication of RMLS™, The Source for Real Estate Statistics in Your Community Residential Review: Metro Portland, Oregon August Residential Highlights The Portland metro area saw slightly cooler real estate activity in August, but all measures remain strong. Pending sales (3,347) ended 23.8% stronger than the 2,704 offers accepted in August 2014, although 4.2% lower than the 3,494 offers accepted last month in July 2015. The last August there were more pending sales in August for the Portland metro area was in 2005, when there were 3,771 offers accepted for the month. Cl o se d sa le s ( 3 , 0 9 8 ) f a r e d similarly, 19.8% above the 2,586 closings posted in August 2014 but 10.3% under the 3,452 closings posted in July 2015. New listings, at 3,880, were 8.3% stronger than the 3,581 new listings offered last August but 9.2% lower than the 4,273 new listings posted last month in July 2015.

2015

Portland Metro Residential Highlights

2014

Year to Date Summary Activity has been higher in 2015 than in 2014 across the board. Pending sales (24,784) are up 24.4%, closed sales (22,026) are up 21.8%, and new listings (30,314) are up 8.5% for the year thus far. Average and Median Sale Prices Prices continue to rise in 2015 compared to 2014. Comparing each year through August, the average sale price rose 6.2% from $332,600 to $353,200. In the same comparison, the median sale price rose 7.0% from $285,000 to $305,000.

Inventory in Months* 2013 2014 2015 January 4.7 4.1 3.4 February 4.5 3.9 3.0 March 3.2 3.1 1.9 April 3.1 2.8 1.8 May 2.5 2.8 1.7 June 2.9 2.8 1.6 July 2.8 2.9 1.7 August 3.1 3.0 1.9 September 3.7 3.1 October 3.4 2.8 November 3.7 3.2 December 3.2 2.3 *Inventory in Months is calculated by dividing the Active Residential Listings at the end of the month in question by the number of closed sales for that month. This includes proposed and under construction homes. Percent Change of 12-Month Sale Price Compared With The Previous 12 Months Average Sale Price % Change: +6.4% ($347,300 v. $326,300) Median Sale Price % Change: +7.1% ($300,000 v. $280,000)

For further explanation of this measure, see the second footnote on page 2.

New Listings

Pending Sales

Closed Sales

Average Sale Price

Median Sale Price

Total Market Time

August

3,880

3,347

3,098

364,600

316,500

41

July

4,273

3,494

3,452

369,100

318,000

45

30,314

24,784

22,026

353,200

305,000

57

3,581

2,704

2,586

340,000

295,900

63

27,946

19,918

18,083

332,600

285,000

72

8.3%

23.8%

19.8%

7.2%

7.0%

-34.4%

Prev Mo 2015

-9.2%

-4.2%

-10.3%

-1.2%

-0.5%

-8.9%

Year-to-date

8.5%

24.4%

21.8%

6.2%

7.0%

-21.3%

Year-to-date

Change

Inventory rose slightly in August to 1.9 months. Total market time decreased slightly, to 41 days. There are currently a total of 5,837 active residential listings in the Portland metro area.

August 2015 Reporting Period

August Year-to-date August

© Copyright RMLS™ 2015. All Rights Reserved.


AREA REPORT • 8/2015

Portland Metropolitan Area, Oregon RESIDENTIAL

LAND

MULTIFAMILY

Year-To-Date

Year-To-Date

Year-To-Date

Pending Sales

Pending Sales 2015 v. 2014

Average Sale Price

Median Sale Price

Avg. Sale Price % Change

29

1,215

1,049

12.7%

955

334,400

318,000

12.7%

9

487,800

21

246,400

21

419,500

NE Portland

348

336

58

265

-7.0%

260

395,900

24

2,545

2,166

15.5%

2,020

378,100

330,000

7.9%

22

553,900

25

234,400

63

461,100

SE Portland

496

439

78

400

23.1%

367

321,500

25

3,388

2,876

21.1%

2,544

325,600

280,000

8.9%

20

604,200

57

238,800

134

455,600

144

Gresham/ Troutdale

443

268

50

236

28.3%

189

270,200

53

2,031

1,663

33.8%

1,432

257,200

243,700

6.0%

9

866,600

32

190,800

34

278,300

145

Milwaukie/ Clackamas

558

351

70

265

7.7%

253

352,100

41

2,607

2,003

23.6%

1,757

336,400

312,100

9.5%

10

463,500

97

141,000

16

296,500

146

Oregon City/ Canby

403

212

33

170

3.0%

169

330,600

40

1,622

1,295

17.3%

1,133

318,300

290,000

7.4%

12

437,200

81

262,100

12

237,700

147

Lake Oswego/ West Linn

454

228

80

181

22.3%

181

574,800

59

1,879

1,349

23.5%

1,205

535,800

465,000

4.8%

1

333,000

42

501,900

8

2,894,500

W Portland

584

356

94

313

13.4%

335

517,600

48

3,264

2,568

20.3%

2,374

495,700

424,900

5.6%

16

445,000

58

261,200

26

676,900

NW Wash Co.

224

186

28

179

73.8%

115

454,600

34

1,346

1,118

12.5%

954

445,300

420,000

6.4%

2

475,000

37

326,900

2

318,100

150

Beaverton/ Aloha

391

370

51

361

44.4%

289

309,600

25

2,969

2,598

41.7%

2,294

297,700

278,000

7.5%

8

367,400

12

273,400

23

350,100

151

Tigard/ Wilsonville

512

341

58

268

21.3%

262

377,600

36

2,620

2,161

24.9%

1,944

362,500

340,000

9.7%

3

625,000

25

652,100

11

373,800

152

Hillsboro/ Forest Grove

371

301

55

263

45.3%

257

303,400

30

2,175

1,844

33.8%

1,591

289,800

265,000

7.5%

11

426,400

46

221,300

32

258,700

Mt. Hood

104

30

10

31

47.6%

21

191,400

94

226

132

-1.5%

113

228,000

216,500

-7.0%

-

20

94,300

Columbia Co.

283

104

29

76

33.3%

96

216,700

98

812

654

33.5%

585

224,700

224,000

6.7%

10

266,500

61

99,100

7

192,000

Yamhill Co.

499

195

41

197

60.2%

184

276,000

88

1,615

1,308

33.3%

1,125

263,000

236,500

4.5%

15

319,100

65

164,500

37

264,400

141 142 143 148 149 153 155 156

-

Average Sale Price

Closed Sales

Average Sale Price

Closed Sales

Average Sale Price

Closed Sales

Closed Sales

Total Market Time

2

New Listings

341,800

3

120

Average Sale Price

19.3%

Closed Sales

142

Pending Sales

15

Expired.Canceled Listings

163

New Listings

167

Active Listings N Portland

1

Pending Sales 2015 v. 2014

COMMERCIAL

1

Year-To-Date

1

Current Month

-

-

Percent change in number of pending sales this year compared to last year. The Current Month section compares August 2015 with August 2014. The YearTo-Date section compares 2015 year-to-date statistics through August with 2014 year-to-date statistics through August.

2

% Change is based on a comparison of the rolling average sale price for the last 12 months (9/1/14-8/31/15) with 12 months before (9/1/13-8/31/14).

3

Total Market Time is the number of days from when a property is listed to when an offer is accepted on that same property. If a property is re-listed within 31 days, Total Market Time continues to accrue; however, it does not include the time that it was off the market.

2

© Copyright RMLS™ 2015. All Rights Reserved.


ACTIVE RESIDENTIAL LISTINGS

Active Residential Listings 10,000 9,000

PORTLAND, OR

8,000

This graph shows the active

7,000

residential listings over the

6,000

past three calendar years in

5,000

the greater Portland,

4,000

Oregon metropolitan area.

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2013 6,366 6,256 6,207 6,498 6,818 7,348 7,849 8,003 7,903 7,355 6,751 5,707 2014 5,671 5,752 5,811 6,093 6,858 7,250 7,727 7,784 7,438 6,963 6,131 5,146 2015 4,996 4,947 4,767 4,853 5,125 5,388 5,708 5,837

TOTAL ACTIVE LISTINGS PORTLAND, OR

Total Active Listings 13,000 12,000

This graph shows the

11,000

total active listings over

10,000

the past three calendar

9,000

years in the greater

8,000

Portland, Oregon

7,000

metropolitan area.

6,000

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2013 8,519 8,435 8,385 8,673 9,002 9,564 10,138 10,293 10,223 9,573 8,884 7,511 2014 7,606 7,731 7,702 8,066 8,928 9,290 9,829 9,872 9,483 8,959 8,098 6,839 2015 6,764 6,718 6,518 6,622 6,934 7,175 7,549 7,665

NEW LISTINGS

New Listings

PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

4,500 4,000

new residential listings

3,500

over the past three

3,000 2,500

calendar years in the

2,000

greater Portland, Oregon

1,500 1,000

metropolitan area.

2013

2014

2015

3

© Copyright RMLS™ 2015. All Rights Reserved.


PENDING LISTINGS

Pending Sales

PORTLAND, OR

4,000

This graph represents

3,500

monthly accepted offers

3,000

in the Portland, Oregon

2,500

metropolitan area over

2,000

the past three calendar

1,500

years.

1,000

2013

2014

2015

CLOSED SALES

Closed Sales

PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

3,500

closed sales over the past

3,000

five calendar years in the greater Portland, Oregon metropolitan area.

2,500 2011

2,000

2012

1,500

2013

1,000

2014

500

2015

0

DAYS ON MARKET

Average Total Market Time 140

PORTLAND, OR

120

This graph shows the

100

average market time for

80

sales in the Portland,

60

Oregon metropolitan area

40

over the past three calendar

20

years. 2013 TMT

2014 TMT

2015 TMT

4

© Copyright RMLS™ 2015. All Rights Reserved.


SALE PRICE

This graph represents the average and median sale price for all homes sold in

PORTLAND, OR

the Portland, Oregon metropolitan area.

Average and Median Sale Price $425,000 $375,000 $325,000 $275,000

Average Sale Price

Aug-15

Feb-15

May-15

Nov-14

Aug-14

May-14

Feb-14

Nov-13

Aug-13

Feb-13

May-13

Nov-12

Aug-12

Feb-12

May-12

Nov-11

Aug-11

May-11

Feb-11

Nov-10

Aug-10

Feb-10

May-10

Nov-09

Aug-09

Feb-09

May-09

Nov-08

Aug-08

Feb-08

May-08

Nov-07

Aug-07

May-07

Feb-07

$175,000

Nov-06

$225,000

Median Sale Price

Median Sale Price: Portland, OR & Clark Co., WA

MEDIAN SALE PRICE PORTLAND, OR

$350,000

$300,000

This graph shows the

$250,000

median sale price over

$200,000

the past 12 months in the greater Portland,

$150,000 $100,000

Oregon, metropolitan AUG SEPT OCT

NOV

DEC

JAN

Clark County

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY JUNE JULY AUG

Metro Portland, OR

5

© Copyright RMLS™ 2015. All Rights Reserved.

area and Clark County.


MEDIAN SALE PRICE August 2015

SW WASHINGTON

$291,000

$215,000

Woodland

N/NE Clark County

$263,200

PORTLAND

$355,000

Battle Ground

Ridgefield/La Center

METRO

$ 207,500 Columbia County $300,000 Salmon Creek $329,000 Felida

$ 435,000 North Washington County Sauvie Island

Brush Prairie Hockinson

$255,000 Hazel Dell Minnehaha

$224,000 5 Corners Orch.

$217,000 Cent. Vancouver

$ 285,000 Beaverton

$ 449,000 West Portland

Aloha

$ 365,000 Tigard/Tualatin Sherwood Wilsonville

$372,500 Camas/Washougal $ 341,000 NE Portland $ 282,500 SE Portland $ 324,900

$ 480,000

Milwaukie/Gladstone/ Boring/Clackamas Estacada

Lake Oswego West Linn

$ 243,400 $ 313,800 Oregon City Canby Molalla Beavercreek

Yamhill County

6

$249,900 Cascade Park

$211,500 Heights

$ 326,500 N Portland

$ 275,000 Hillsboro Forest Grove

$339,000

© Copyright RMLS™ 2015. All Rights Reserved.

$ 255,000 Gresham Troutdale Sandy Corbett Fairview

$ 194,500 Mt. Hood: Zigzag Welches Rhododendron Wemme Brightwood Government Camp


MULTIPLE LISTING SERVICE

ACTIVE & CLOSED CONDOS

This graph shows the number of active and closed condos in the Portland, Oregon, metropolitan area.

PORTLAND, OR

Contact RMLS™ 8338 NE Alderwood Rd Suite 230 Portland, OR 97220 (503) 236-7657 communications@rmls.com

Active & Closed Condos 700 600 500 400

300

The statistics presented in Market Action are compiled monthly based on figures generated by RMLS™.

200 100 0

Active Listings

Market Action Reports are compiled for the following areas: Portland metropolitan area, Southwest Washington, Mid-Columbia, Columbia Basin, Baker County, Coos County, Curry County, Douglas County, Grant County, Josephine County, Lane County, North Coastal Counties, Polk & Marion Counties, Union County, and Wallowa County. RMLS™ was formed by area Boards and Associations of REALTORS® in 1991. E-mail subscriptions are available for $45 per year by contacting RMLS™. Reproduction of any portion of this copyrighted material is prohibited without prior approval of RMLS™.

MEDIAN SALE PRICE CONDOS PORTLAND, OR

Closed Sales

This graph represents the median sale price for all condos sold in the last three calendar years in the Portland, Oregon metropolitan area. Median Condo Sale Price

$225,000 $200,000 $175,000 $150,000 $125,000

$100,000

2013

2014

2015

Randy Hunzeker, Chairman of the Board Kurt von Wasmuth, President/CEO Heather Andrews, Editor © Copyright RMLS™ 2015. All Rights Reserved.


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