Smart Black - Reduced concern for the environment but high ambitions to develop ”smart solutions”, driven by export potential. Political environmental targets are reduced and tax schemes to stimulate flexible consumption are limited (in DK/EU). Only large DERs trade standardised flexibility services on the existing energy markets (in DK). TSO primarily uses energy exchange for balancing. DSOs have limited bottleneck problems and rely on minor grid reinforcements. Aggregators are only active for large DERs . Industrial consumers go ”smart” for work efficiency. Domestic consumers go ”smart” for comfort purposes
Smart green - High concern for an environmentally benign and secure energy supply and ambitions to develop and integrate smart solutions. Political environmental targets remain ambitious and variable tariffs and other tax schemes to stimulate flexible consumption are introduced (in DK/EU). A market of flexibility services is in operation with large and small DERs, all ”smart grid standardized”. TSO utilizes flexibility services for balancing purposes. DSOs trade with flexibility services and avoid grid reinforcements. Aggregators are active for large and small DERs. Domestic and industrial consumers are ”smart by default”.
Green Transition & Increased Electrification Conventional black - Reduced concern for the environment and reduced ambitions for integration of ”smart solutions”. Political environmental targets are reduced and tax schemes to stimulate flexible consumption are absent (in DK/EU). Only the largest DERs trade standardised flexibility services on the existing energy markets (in DK). TSO primarily exchange energy and use central power plants for balancing. DSOs have limited need for flexibility (and avoids grid reinforcements). Aggregators are primarily active for selected large DERs. Domestic and industrial consumers are conventionally energy efficient.
Conventional green - High concern for an environmentally benign and secure energy supply but ambitions for integration of ”smart solutions” subsides. Political environmental targets remain ambitious but tax schemes to stimulate flexible consumption are limited (in DK/EU). Only large DERs trade standardised flexibility services on the existing energy markets (in DK). TSO uses energy exchange and large DERs for balancing. DSOs reinforce the grid to increase capacity for EVs and HPs. Aggregators are only active for large DERs. Domestic and industrial consumers are increasingly energy efficient.
Discuss the following questions: 1. Which future holds the best (business) opportunities for yourtechnologies/products/services – what are those opportunities? 2. Which future holds the greatest challenges for your technologies / products / services – what are those challenges? 3. Which future do you believe in? –selectthat future as a starting point for business modeling.