ANOTHER 'ABOVE AVERAGE' HURRICANE SEASON EXPECTED IN 2022 BY: STEVE HALLO This news follows two-consecutive years of higherthan-average named storms. When Pacific waters are warmed by El Nino there tends to be fewer hurricanes in the Atlantic, CSU research indicated. Additionally, El Nino generates increased vertical wind shear, which can further reduce hurricane activity in the Atlantic. La Nina has the opposite effect. (Credit: NOAA) Indicators are pointing to a higher-than-average hurricane season for 2022, according to an early forecast from the Colorado State University (CSU) Tropical Meteorology Project.
This year’s storm period has a 40% chance that ocean temperatures in the North Atlantic will be above average, which can lead to a more intense hurricane season, according to CSU researchers. Further, no El Nino will occur this year. When Pacific waters are warmed by El Nino there tend to be fewer hurricanes in the Atlantic, CSU research indicated. Additionally, El Nino generates increased vertical wind shear, which can further reduce hurricane activity in the Atlantic. La Nina has the opposite effect.
The 2022 forecast comes on the heels of the third most active hurricane season on record for named Seasons with above-average activity typically have storms, according to the Insurance Information 13-16 named stores, 6-8 hurricanes and 2-3 major Institute (Triple-I). The 2021 season had 21 hurricanes, the researchers reported. named storms, including seven hurricanes. The