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Saudi non-oil sector to grow 4.7%

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According to the World Bank, Saudi Arabia's non-oil sector is expected to grow 4.7% in 2023 as the Kingdom's Vision 2030 goal of diversifying the economy away from oil gains strength. This forecast comes despite an expected slowdown in the Gulf Cooperation Council economy due to lower oil and gas yields and sluggish global economic growth. The gross domestic product of the GCC countries is expected to grow by 2.5% in 2023 and by 7.2% in 2024, up from 4.3%. This figure was observed in 2022.

A projected 1.3% contraction in hydrocarbon GDP will be the main reason behind the slowdown in the Gulf region, the report said. This is largely due to the announcement of production cuts by the organization of petroleum exporting countries and their allies, known as OPEC+, last month, as well as the global economic slowdown. Still, GCC non-oil sector growth is expected to reach 4.6% in 2023, supported by private consumption, fixed investment and loose fiscal policies, which will moderate the decline in oil activity.

"Improvement to the business climate and competitiveness, and the overall improvements in female labour force participation in the GCC countries, especially in Saudi Arabia, have all paid off, though further diversification efforts are still needed and are underway," the World Bank said.

After growing 8.7% in 2022, Saudi Arabia's GDP is set to reach 2.2% by the end of this year as the oil sector's contribution to GDP is expected to fall by 2%.

In March, the regional director of the Gulf Cooperation Council at the World Bank noted that the Gulf countries will see global economic growth double this year, with Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates taking the lead.

Issam Abu Suleiman explained that the Gulf countries are expected to grow by 3.7% in 2023, higher than the World Bank's estimate of 2.5%. He pointed out that the GCC region has generally performed very well after the pandemic and that the main challenge is the vaccination efforts, which have been completed quickly compared to other countries in the region.

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