Okaloosa County Jan 2019 by Michele Bailey

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Single Family Homes Okaloosa County Q4 2018

Q4 2017

Percent Change Year-over-Year

911

925

-1.5%

117

139

-15.8%

Median Sale Price

$225,220

$218,900

2.9%

Average Sale Price

$288,983

$269,643

7.2%

$263.3 Million

$249.4 Million

5.6%

97.5%

97.4%

0.1%

Median Time to Contract

45 Days

39 Days

15.4%

Median Time to Sale

87 Days

84 Days

3.6%

New Pending Sales

901

897

0.4%

New Listings

926

944

-1.9%

Pending Inventory

376

419

-10.3%

Inventory (Active Listings)

1,015

1,061

-4.3%

Months Supply of Inventory

2.8

3.1

-9.7%

Closed Sales

Percent Change Year-over-Year

4,305 911 1,137 1,345 912 925 1,102 1,248 829 886 1,077 1,111 743 766

4.9% -1.5% 3.2% 7.8% 10.0% 4.4% 2.3% 12.3% 11.6% 15.7% 7.6% 3.3% -2.2% -3.8%

Summary Statistics Closed Sales Paid in Cash

Dollar Volume Median Percent of Original List Price Received

Closed Sales

Quarter Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The number of sales transactions which closed during the quarter Economists' note : Closed Sales are one of the simplest—yet most important—indicators for the residential real estate market. When comparing Closed Sales across markets of different sizes, we recommend comparing the percent changes in sales rather than the number of sales. Closed Sales (and many other market metrics) are affected by seasonal cycles, so actual trends are more accurately represented by year-over-year changes (i.e. comparing a quarter's sales to the amount of sales in the same quarter in the previous year), rather than changes from one quarter to the next. 2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Closed Sales

1,500

1,000

500

Produced by Florida Realtors® with data provided by Florida's multiple listing services. Statistics for each month compiled from MLS feeds on the 15th day of the following month. Data released on Tuesday, February 12, 2019. Next data release is Tuesday, May 14, 2019.

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Single Family Homes Okaloosa County Quarter

Cash Sales

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The number of Closed Sales during the quarter in which buyers exclusively paid in cash Economists' note : Cash Sales can be a useful indicator of the extent to which investors are participating in the market. Why? Investors are far more likely to have the funds to purchase a home available up front, whereas the typical homebuyer requires a mortgage or some other form of financing. There are, of course, many possible exceptions, so this statistic should be interpreted with care.

2014

2015

2016

Cash Sales

Percent Change Year-over-Year

553 117 151 161 124 139 146 175 135 113 164 188 157 167

-7.1% -15.8% 3.4% -8.0% -8.1% 23.0% -11.0% -6.9% -14.0% -32.3% -7.3% -6.0% -22.3% -4.0%

2017

2018

250

Cash Sales

200 150 100 50 0

Economists' note : This statistic is simply another way of viewing Cash Sales. The remaining percentages of Closed Sales (i.e. those not paid fully in cash) each quarter involved some sort of financing, such as mortgages, owner/seller financing, assumed loans, etc.

Pct. of Closed Sales Paid in Cash

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The percentage of Closed Sales during the quarter which were Cash Sales

2015

Quarter

Cash Sales as a Percentage of Closed Sales

2014

2016

Percent of Closed Sales Paid in Cash

Percent Change Year-over-Year

12.8% 12.8% 13.3% 12.0% 13.6% 15.0% 13.2% 14.0% 16.3% 12.8% 15.2% 16.9% 21.1% 21.8%

-11.7% -14.7% 0.8% -14.3% -16.6% 17.2% -13.2% -17.2% -22.7% -41.3% -14.1% -9.1% -20.7% -0.5%

2017

2018

30% 25% 20% 15%

10% 5% 0%

Produced by Florida RealtorsÂŽ with data provided by Florida's multiple listing services. Statistics for each month compiled from MLS feeds on the 15th day of the following month. Data released on Tuesday, February 12, 2019. Next data release is Tuesday, May 14, 2019.

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Single Family Homes Okaloosa County Quarter

Median Sale Price

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The median sale price reported for the quarter (i.e. 50% of sales were above and 50% of sales were below) Economists' note : Median Sale Price is our preferred summary statistic for price activity because, unlike Average Sale Price, Median Sale Price is not sensitive to high sale prices for small numbers of homes that may not be characteristic of the market area. Keep in mind that median price trends over time are not always solely caused by changes in the general value of local real estate. Median sale price only reflects the values of the homes that sold each quarter, and the mix of the types of homes that sell can change over time.

Median Sale Price

2014

2015

2016

Percent Change Year-over-Year

$232,000 $225,220 $230,000 $245,000 $223,000 $218,900 $215,000 $224,900 $200,000 $203,375 $210,000 $213,000 $194,900 $183,500

7.9% 2.9% 7.0% 8.9% 11.5% 7.6% 2.4% 5.6% 2.6% 10.8% 7.7% 10.9% 7.5% 5.2%

2017

2018

$300K $250K $200K $150K $100K $50K $0K

Quarter

Average Sale Price

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The average sale price reported for the quarter (i.e. total sales in dollars divided by the number of sales) Economists' note : Usually, we prefer Median Sale Price over Average Sale Price as a summary statistic for home prices. However, Average Sale Price does have its usesâ&#x20AC;&#x201D;particularly when it is analyzed alongside the Median Sale Price. For one, the relative difference between the two statistics can provide some insight into the market for higher-end homes in an area.

2014

Average Sale Price

Median Sale Price

2015

2016

Average Sale Price

Percent Change Year-over-Year

$297,471 $288,983 $298,578 $309,062 $287,477 $269,643 $266,460 $290,297 $264,750 $264,926 $261,719 $264,109 $255,607 $235,650

8.5% 7.2% 12.1% 6.5% 8.6% 1.8% 1.8% 9.9% 3.6% 12.4% 7.9% 11.5% 8.2% 4.4%

2017

2018

$350K $300K $250K $200K $150K $100K $50K $0K

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Single Family Homes Okaloosa County Quarter

Dollar Volume

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The sum of the sale prices for all sales which closed during the quarter Economists' note : Dollar Volume is simply the sum of all sale prices in a given time period, and can quickly be calculated by multiplying Closed Sales by Average Sale Price. It is a strong indicator of the health of the real estate industry in a market, and is of particular interest to real estate professionals, investors, analysts, and government agencies. Potential home sellers and home buyers, on the other hand, will likely be better served by paying attention to trends in the two components of Dollar Volume (i.e. sales and prices) individually. 2014

2015

2016

Dollar Volume

Percent Change Year-over-Year

$1.3 Billion $263.3 Million $339.5 Million $415.7 Million $262.2 Million $249.4 Million $293.6 Million $362.3 Million $219.5 Million $234.7 Million $281.9 Million $293.4 Million $189.9 Million $180.5 Million

13.8% 5.6% 15.6% 14.7% 19.5% 6.3% 4.2% 23.5% 15.6% 30.0% 16.1% 15.1% 5.7% 0.5%

2017

2018

$500 M

Dollar Volume

$400 M $300 M $200 M $100 M $0

Economists' note : The Median Percent of Original List Price Received is useful as an indicator of market recovery, since it typically rises as buyers realize that the market may be moving away from them and they need to match the selling price (or better it) in order to get a contract on the house. This is usually the last measure to indicate a market has shifted from down to up, so it is what we would call a lagging indicator.

Med. Pct. of Orig. List Price Received

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The median of the sale price (as a percentage of the original list price) across all properties selling during the quarter

2015

Quarter

Median Percent of Original List Price Received

2014

2016

Med. Pct. of Orig. List Price Received

Percent Change Year-over-Year

98.2% 97.5% 98.1% 98.6% 98.1% 97.4% 98.1% 98.5% 97.0% 97.1% 97.2% 97.4% 96.0% 95.7%

0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.3% 1.4% -0.2% 0.3%

2017

2018

120% 100% 80% 60%

40% 20% 0%

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Single Family Homes Okaloosa County Quarter

Median Time to Contract

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The median number of days between the listing date and contract date for all Closed Sales during the quarter Economists' note : Like Time to Sale, Time to Contract is a measure of the length of the home selling process calculated for sales which closed during the quarter. The difference is that Time to Contract measures the number of days between the initial listing of a property and the signing of the contract which eventually led to the closing of the sale. When the gap between Median Time to Contract and Median Time to Sale grows, it is usually a sign of longer closing times and/or declining numbers of cash sales. 2014

2015

2016

Median Time to Contract

Percent Change Year-over-Year

32 Days 45 Days 29 Days 24 Days 44 Days 39 Days 35 Days 29 Days 61 Days 55 Days 44 Days 44 Days 72 Days 64 Days

-15.8% 15.4% -17.1% -17.2% -27.9% -29.1% -20.5% -34.1% -15.3% -14.1% -18.5% -12.0% 0.0% -7.2%

2017

2018

Median Time to Contract

100 80 60 40 20 0

Quarter

Median Time to Sale Economists' note : Time to Sale is a measure of the length of the home selling process, calculated as the number of days between the initial listing of a property and the closing of the sale. Median Time to Sale is the amount of time the "middle" property selling this month was on the market. That is, 50% of homes selling this month took less time to sell, and 50% of homes took more time to sell. Median Time to Sale gives a more accurate picture than Average Time to Sale, which can be skewed upward by small numbers of properties taking an abnormally long time to sell. 2014

2015

2016

Median Time to Sale

Percent Change Year-over-Year

75 Days 87 Days 72 Days 68 Days 91 Days 84 Days 86 Days 77 Days 109 Days 111 Days 98 Days 96 Days 122 Days 115 Days

-12.8% 3.6% -16.3% -11.7% -16.5% -24.3% -12.2% -19.8% -10.7% -3.5% -5.8% -5.0% -2.4% -2.5%

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The median number of days between the listing date and closing date for all Closed Sales during the quarter

Median Time to Sale

2017

2018

140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Single Family Homes Okaloosa County Quarter

New Pending Sales

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The number of listed properties that went under contract during the quarter Economists' note : Because of the typical length of time it takes for a sale to close, economists consider Pending Sales to be a decent indicator of potential future Closed Sales. It is important to bear in mind, however, that not all Pending Sales will be closed successfully. So, the effectiveness of Pending Sales as a future indicator of Closed Sales is susceptible to changes in market conditions such as the availability of financing for homebuyers and the inventory of distressed properties for sale. 2014

2015

2016

New Pending Sales

Percent Change Year-over-Year

4,533 901 1,092 1,341 1,199 897 1,102 1,364 1,121 751 1,097 1,184 1,082 786

1.1% 0.4% -0.9% -1.7% 7.0% 19.4% 0.5% 15.2% 3.6% -4.5% 8.5% 3.0% -2.5% 1.3%

2017

2018

Pending Sales

1,500

1,000

500

Quarter

New Listings

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The number of properties put onto the market during the quarter Economists' note : New Listings tend to rise in delayed response to increasing prices, so they are often seen as a lagging indicator of market health. As prices rise, potential sellers raise their estimations of valueâ&#x20AC;&#x201D;and in the most recent cycle, rising prices have freed up many potential sellers who were previously underwater on their mortgages. Note that in our calculations, we take care to not include properties that were recently taken off the market and quickly relisted, since these are not really new listings. 2014

2015

2016

New Listings

Percent Change Year-over-Year

4,900 926 1,212 1,478 1,284 944 1,121 1,419 1,230 872 1,090 1,341 1,179 783

3.9% -1.9% 8.1% 4.2% 4.4% 8.3% 2.8% 5.8% 4.3% 11.4% -4.4% 0.8% -0.4% -9.7%

2017

2018

New Listings

2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Single Family Homes Okaloosa County Quarter

Inventory (Active Listings)

YTD (Monthly Avg) Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The number of property listings active at the end of the quarter Economists' note : There are a number of ways to define and calculate Inventory. Our method is to simply count the number of active listings on the last day of the quarter, and hold this number to compare with the same quarter the following year. Inventory rises when New Listings are outpacing the number of listings that go off-market (regardless of whether they actually sell). Likewise, it falls when New Listings aren't keeping up with the rate at which homes are going offmarket. 2014

2015

2016

Inventory

Percent Change Year-over-Year

1,111 1,015 1,134 1,154 1,085 1,061 1,135 1,218 1,232 1,142 1,259 1,440 1,397 1,370

-3.6% -4.3% -0.1% -5.3% -11.9% -7.1% -9.8% -15.4% -11.8% -16.6% -19.7% -10.8% -9.3% -11.9%

2017

2018

2,000

Inventory

1,500 1,000 500 0

YTD (Monthly Avg) Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

An estimate of the number of months it will take to deplete the current Inventory given recent sales rates Economists' note : MSI is a useful indicator of market conditions. The benchmark for a balanced market (favoring neither buyer nor seller) is 5.5 months of inventory. Anything higher is traditionally a buyers' market, and anything lower is a sellers' market. There is no single accepted way of calculating MSI. A common method is to divide current Inventory by the most recent month's Closed Sales count, but this count is a usually poor predictor of future Closed Sales due to seasonal cycles. To eliminate seasonal effects, we use the 12-month average of monthly Closed Sales instead.

Months Supply of Inventory

Quarter

Months Supply of Inventory

2014

2015

2016

Months Supply

Percent Change Year-over-Year

3.1 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.6 4.1 4.8 4.7 4.6

-11.4% -9.7% -5.9% -11.1% -18.4% -13.9% -17.1% -25.0% -19.1% -21.7% -21.2% -14.3% -17.5% -24.6%

2017

2018

8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Single Family Homes Okaloosa County

Closed Sales by Sale Price The number of sales transactions which closed during the quarter Economists' note: Closed Sales are one of the simplest—yet most important—indicators for the residential real estate market. When comparing Closed Sales across markets of different sizes, we recommend comparing the percent changes in sales rather than the number of sales. Closed Sales (and many other market metrics) are affected by seasonal cycles, so actual trends are more accurately represented by year-over-year changes (i.e. comparing a quarter's sales to the amount of sales in the same quarter in the previous year), rather than changes from one quarter to the next. Q4 2017

Closed Sales

250

Closed Sales

Percent Change Year-over-Year

Less than $50,000

-28.6%

$50,000 - $99,999

-25.0%

$100,000 - $149,999

107

-26.2%

$150,000 - $199,999

183

-1.1%

$200,000 - $249,999

198

10.6%

$250,000 - $299,999

118

-1.7%

$300,000 - $399,999

131

28.4%

$400,000 - $599,999

2.7%

$600,000 - $999,999

-16.7%

$1,000,000 or more

6.3%

Sale Price

Q4 2018

250

200

150

100

0 Less than $50,000

$50,000 $99,999

$100,000 $149,999

$150,000 $199,999

$200,000 $249,999

$250,000 $299,999

The median number of days between the listing date and contract date for all Closed Sales during the quarter

Median Time to Contract

Economists' note : Like Time to Sale, Time to Contract is a measure of the length of the home selling process calculated for sales which closed during the quarter. The difference is that Time to Contract measures the number of days between the initial listing of a property and the signing of the contract which eventually led to the closing of the sale. When the gap between Median Time to Contract and Median Time to Sale grows, it is usually a sign of longer closing times and/or declining numbers of cash sales. Q4 2017

Less than $50,000

$50,000 $99,999

$400,000 $599,999

$600,000 - $1,000,000 or $999,999 more Median Time to Contract

Percent Change Year-over-Year

Less than $50,000

20 Days

-79.4%

$50,000 - $99,999

41 Days

46.4%

$100,000 - $149,999

24 Days

-22.6%

$150,000 - $199,999

32 Days

6.7%

$200,000 - $249,999

59 Days

43.9%

$250,000 - $299,999

31 Days

-32.6%

$300,000 - $399,999

67 Days

116.1%

$400,000 - $599,999

79 Days

41.1%

$600,000 - $999,999

77 Days

-38.4%

$1,000,000 or more

139 Days

20.9%

Sale Price

Median Time to Contract by Sale Price

160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0

$300,000 $399,999

Q4 2018

$100,000 $149,999

$150,000 $199,999

160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 $200,000 $249,999

$250,000 $299,999

$300,000 $399,999

$400,000 $599,999

$600,000 - $1,000,000 or $999,999 more

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Single Family Homes Okaloosa County

New Listings by Initial Listing Price The number of properties put onto the market during the quarter Economists' note: New Listings tend to rise in delayed response to increasing prices, so they are often seen as a lagging indicator of market health. As prices rise, potential sellers raise their estimations of valueâ&#x20AC;&#x201D;and in the most recent cycle, rising prices have freed up many potential sellers who were previously underwater on their mortgages. Note that in our calculations, we take care to not include properties that were recently taken off the market and quickly relisted, since these are not really new listings.

New Listings

Q4 2017

Initial Listing Price

New Listings

Percent Change Year-over-Year

Less than $50,000

66.7%

$50,000 - $99,999

-41.4%

$100,000 - $149,999

124

4.2%

$150,000 - $199,999

186

-7.9%

$200,000 - $249,999

170

0.6%

$250,000 - $299,999

134

-6.3%

$300,000 - $399,999

132

30.7%

$400,000 - $599,999

-18.1%

$600,000 - $999,999

36.4%

$1,000,000 or more

-15.2%

Q4 2018

250

200

150

100

0 Less than $50,000

$50,000 $99,999

$100,000 $149,999

$150,000 $199,999

$200,000 $249,999

$250,000 $299,999

Inventory

$400,000 $599,999

$600,000 - $1,000,000 or $999,999 more

Inventory

Percent Change Year-over-Year

Less than $50,000

-50.0%

$50,000 - $99,999

-22.2%

$100,000 - $149,999

1.3%

$150,000 - $199,999

136

-11.7%

$200,000 - $249,999

162

-1.8%

$250,000 - $299,999

118

-17.5%

$300,000 - $399,999

167

21.9%

$400,000 - $599,999

115

-17.3%

$600,000 - $999,999

2.2%

$1,000,000 or more

113

1.8%

Current Listing Price

Inventory by Current Listing Price

Q4 2017

$300,000 $399,999

Q4 2018

180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0

180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Less than $50,000

$50,000 $99,999

$100,000 $149,999

$150,000 $199,999

$200,000 $249,999

$250,000 $299,999

$300,000 $399,999

$400,000 $599,999

$600,000 - $1,000,000 or $999,999 more

Quarterly Distressed Market - Q4 2018 Single Family Homes Okaloosa County Q4 2018

Q4 2017

Percent Change Year-over-Year

864

841

2.7%

$230,000

$227,000

1.3%

-39.3%

$135,000

$117,500

14.9%

-56.5%

$169,450

$186,975

-9.4%

Closed Sales Traditional Median Sale Price Closed Sales Foreclosure/REO Median Sale Price Closed Sales Short Sale Median Sale Price

2014

2015

2016

Traditional

Foreclosure/REO

2017

2018

Short Sale

100% 90%

Closed Sales

80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Q1

$300,000

Median Sale Price

$250,000

$200,000

$150,000

$100,000

$50,000

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Townhouses and Condos Okaloosa County Q4 2018

Q4 2017

Percent Change Year-over-Year

189

197

-4.1%

9.7%

Median Sale Price

$304,500

$267,700

13.7%

Average Sale Price

$359,030

$372,866

-3.7%

$67.9 Million

$73.5 Million

-7.6%

96.0%

95.8%

0.2%

Median Time to Contract

65 Days

57 Days

14.0%

Median Time to Sale

100 Days

105 Days

-4.8%

New Pending Sales

169

182

-7.1%

New Listings

250

216

15.7%

Pending Inventory

123

-50.4%

Inventory (Active Listings)

436

448

-2.7%

Months Supply of Inventory

5.2

5.5

-5.5%

Closed Sales

Percent Change Year-over-Year

1,009 189 264 283 273 197 251 293 228 216 222 228 188 189

4.1% -4.1% 5.2% -3.4% 19.7% -8.8% 13.1% 28.5% 21.3% 14.3% 2.8% 0.4% -5.1% -5.5%

Summary Statistics Closed Sales Paid in Cash

Dollar Volume Median Percent of Original List Price Received

Closed Sales

Quarter Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

2015

2016

2017

2018

350

Closed Sales

300 250 200 150 100 50 0

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Townhouses and Condos Okaloosa County Quarter

Cash Sales

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

2014

2015

2016

Cash Sales

Percent Change Year-over-Year

429 79 113 117 120 72 106 131 113 80 92 115 84 96

1.7% 9.7% 6.6% -10.7% 6.2% -10.0% 15.2% 13.9% 34.5% -16.7% -13.2% 1.8% -16.0% -8.6%

2017

2018

140

Cash Sales

120 100 80 60 40 20 0

Pct. of Closed Sales Paid in Cash

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The percentage of Closed Sales during the quarter which were Cash Sales

2015

Quarter

Cash Sales as a Percentage of Closed Sales

2014

2016

Percent of Closed Sales Paid in Cash

Percent Change Year-over-Year

42.5% 41.8% 42.8% 41.3% 44.0% 36.5% 42.2% 44.7% 49.6% 37.0% 41.4% 50.4% 44.7% 50.8%

-2.5% 14.5% 1.4% -7.6% -11.3% -1.4% 1.9% -11.3% 11.0% -27.2% -15.7% 1.2% -11.5% -3.2%

2017

2018

70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Townhouses and Condos Okaloosa County Quarter

Median Sale Price

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

Median Sale Price

2014

2015

2016

Percent Change Year-over-Year

$296,950 $304,500 $265,000 $310,000 $292,750 $267,700 $250,000 $275,000 $276,000 $279,500 $300,000 $256,500 $237,750 $223,500

10.0% 13.7% 6.0% 12.7% 6.1% -4.2% -16.7% 7.2% 16.1% 25.1% 33.3% 11.5% -10.3% -12.0%

2017

2018

$350K $300K $250K $200K $150K $100K $50K $0K

Quarter

Average Sale Price

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

2014

Average Sale Price

Median Sale Price

2015

2016

Average Sale Price

Percent Change Year-over-Year

$353,851 $359,030 $331,209 $388,973 $335,751 $372,866 $379,874 $340,968 $333,686 $320,479 $352,344 $331,278 $295,087 $263,472

-0.6% -3.7% -12.8% 14.1% 0.6% 16.3% 7.8% 2.9% 13.1% 21.6% 23.9% 5.8% 0.8% -19.7%

2017

2018

$500K $400K $300K $200K $100K $0K

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Townhouses and Condos Okaloosa County Quarter

Dollar Volume

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

2015

2016

Dollar Volume

Percent Change Year-over-Year

$357.0 Million $67.9 Million $87.4 Million $110.1 Million $91.7 Million $73.5 Million $95.3 Million $99.9 Million $76.1 Million $69.2 Million $78.2 Million $75.5 Million $55.5 Million $49.8 Million

3.6% -7.6% -8.3% 10.2% 20.5% 6.1% 21.9% 32.3% 37.1% 39.0% 27.3% 6.3% -4.2% -24.1%

2017

2018

$120 M

Dollar Volume

$100 M $80 M $60 M $40 M $20 M $0

Med. Pct. of Orig. List Price Received

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The median of the sale price (as a percentage of the original list price) across all properties selling during the quarter

2015

Quarter

Median Percent of Original List Price Received

2014

2016

Med. Pct. of Orig. List Price Received

Percent Change Year-over-Year

96.1% 96.0% 95.9% 95.9% 96.5% 95.8% 94.9% 95.2% 94.9% 94.9% 94.1% 95.9% 93.4% 93.1%

0.9% 0.2% 1.1% 0.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.9% -0.7% 1.6% 1.9% 0.9% 2.3% 0.0% 0.5%

2017

2018

120% 100% 80% 60%

40% 20% 0%

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Townhouses and Condos Okaloosa County Quarter

Median Time to Contract

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

2015

2016

Median Time to Contract

Percent Change Year-over-Year

65 Days 65 Days 59 Days 45 Days 101 Days 57 Days 76 Days 65 Days 84 Days 99 Days 99 Days 64 Days 131 Days 127 Days

-8.5% 14.0% -22.4% -30.8% 20.2% -42.4% -23.2% 1.6% -35.9% -22.0% 11.2% -37.9% -3.0% 4.1%

2017

2018

Median Time to Contract

150

100

Quarter

2015

2016

Median Time to Sale

Percent Change Year-over-Year

99 Days 100 Days 91 Days 83 Days 148 Days 105 Days 119 Days 107 Days 121 Days 135 Days 128 Days 102 Days 169 Days 163 Days

-12.4% -4.8% -23.5% -22.4% 22.3% -22.2% -7.0% 4.9% -28.4% -17.2% 8.5% -27.7% -5.6% 1.2%

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

The median number of days between the listing date and closing date for all Closed Sales during the quarter

Median Time to Sale

2017

2018

200 150 100 50 0

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Townhouses and Condos Okaloosa County Quarter

New Pending Sales

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

2015

2016

New Pending Sales

Percent Change Year-over-Year

1,004 169 277 272 286 182 265 299 281 203 240 271 233 209

-2.2% -7.1% 4.5% -9.0% 1.8% -10.3% 10.4% 10.3% 20.6% -2.9% -5.1% 13.4% -1.7% 8.3%

2017

2018

350

Pending Sales

300 250 200 150 100 50 0

Quarter

New Listings

Year-to-Date Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

2015

2016

New Listings

Percent Change Year-over-Year

1,185 250 282 327 326 216 248 313 332 232 241 306 272 193

6.9% 15.7% 13.7% 4.5% -1.8% -6.9% 2.9% 2.3% 22.1% 20.2% -17.7% -8.1% -11.4% -11.9%

2017

2018

350

New Listings

300 250 200 150 100 50 0

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Townhouses and Condos Okaloosa County Quarter

Inventory (Active Listings)

YTD (Monthly Avg) Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

2015

2016

Inventory

Percent Change Year-over-Year

442 436 410 455 435 448 470 538 538 496 622 677 670 670

-13.0% -2.7% -12.8% -15.4% -19.1% -9.7% -24.4% -20.5% -19.7% -26.0% -21.3% -13.1% -10.2% -5.1%

2017

2018

1,000

Inventory

800 600 400 200 0

YTD (Monthly Avg) Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 Q4 2017 Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017 Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2015

Months Supply of Inventory

Quarter

Months Supply of Inventory

2014

2015

2016

Months Supply

Percent Change Year-over-Year

5.3 5.2 4.8 5.4 5.1 5.5 5.7 6.7 7.2 7.0 9.0 9.9 9.8 9.7

-18.5% -5.5% -15.8% -19.4% -29.2% -21.4% -36.7% -32.3% -26.5% -27.8% -20.4% -10.8% -8.4% -7.6%

2017

2018

12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0

4.0 2.0 0.0

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Townhouses and Condos Okaloosa County

Closed Sales by Sale Price The number of sales transactions which closed during the quarter

Closed Sales

Economists' note: Closed Sales are one of the simplest—yet most important—indicators for the residential real estate market. When comparing Closed Sales across markets of different sizes, we recommend comparing the percent changes in sales rather than the number of sales. Closed Sales (and many other market metrics) are affected by seasonal cycles, so actual trends are more accurately represented by year-over-year changes (i.e. comparing a quarter's sales to the amount of sales in the same quarter in the previous year), rather than changes from one quarter to the next. Q4 2017

40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Less than $50,000

$50,000 $99,999

$100,000 $149,999

$150,000 $199,999

$200,000 $249,999

$250,000 $299,999

Median Time to Contract

-100.0%

$50,000 - $99,999

-47.1%

$100,000 - $149,999

26.1%

$150,000 - $199,999

-32.0%

$200,000 - $249,999

-33.3%

$250,000 - $299,999

26.7%

$300,000 - $399,999

28.6%

$400,000 - $599,999

10.3%

$600,000 - $999,999

-4.2%

$1,000,000 or more

-25.0%

Q4 2017

$300,000 $399,999

$400,000 $599,999

$600,000 - $1,000,000 or $999,999 more Median Time to Contract

Percent Change Year-over-Year

Less than $50,000

(No Sales)

N/A

$50,000 - $99,999

66 Days

13.8%

$100,000 - $149,999

14 Days

-17.6%

$150,000 - $199,999

28 Days

-46.2%

$200,000 - $249,999

52 Days

2.0%

$250,000 - $299,999

59 Days

96.7%

$300,000 - $399,999

65 Days

4.8%

$400,000 - $599,999

85 Days

60.4%

$600,000 - $999,999

82 Days

-43.4%

$1,000,000 or more

145 Days

90.8%

Sale Price

$50,000 $99,999

Less than $50,000

40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

The median number of days between the listing date and contract date for all Closed Sales during the quarter

Less than $50,000

Percent Change Year-over-Year

Q4 2018

Median Time to Contract by Sale Price

160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0

Closed Sales

Sale Price

Q4 2018

$100,000 $149,999

$150,000 $199,999

160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 $200,000 $249,999

$250,000 $299,999

$300,000 $399,999

$400,000 $599,999

$600,000 - $1,000,000 or $999,999 more

Quarterly Market Detail - Q4 2018 Townhouses and Condos Okaloosa County

New Listings

Q4 2017

New Listings

Percent Change Year-over-Year

Less than $50,000

100.0%

$50,000 - $99,999

-57.1%

$100,000 - $149,999

-2.8%

$150,000 - $199,999

-30.8%

$200,000 - $249,999

36.8%

$250,000 - $299,999

26.3%

$300,000 - $399,999

2.5%

$400,000 - $599,999

32.3%

$600,000 - $999,999

122.2%

$1,000,000 or more

41.7%

Q4 2018

45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Less than $50,000

$50,000 $99,999

$100,000 $149,999

$150,000 $199,999

$200,000 $249,999

$250,000 $299,999

$300,000 $399,999

$400,000 $599,999

$600,000 - $1,000,000 or $999,999 more

Inventory

Percent Change Year-over-Year

Less than $50,000

N/A

$50,000 - $99,999

-25.0%

$100,000 - $149,999

-5.3%

$150,000 - $199,999

-26.7%

$200,000 - $249,999

-7.4%

$250,000 - $299,999

18.8%

$300,000 - $399,999

-5.7%

$400,000 - $599,999

0.0%

$600,000 - $999,999

4.2%

$1,000,000 or more

-4.9%

Current Listing Price

Inventory by Current Listing Price

Inventory

Initial Listing Price

Q4 2018

120

100

0 Less than $50,000

$50,000 $99,999

$100,000 $149,999

$150,000 $199,999

$200,000 $249,999

$250,000 $299,999

$300,000 $399,999

$400,000 $599,999

$600,000 - $1,000,000 or $999,999 more

Quarterly Distressed Market - Q4 2018 Townhouses and Condos Okaloosa County Q4 2018

Q4 2017

Percent Change Year-over-Year

184

190

-3.2%

$310,000

$260,000

19.2%

-20.0%

$101,500

$447,500

-77.3%

-50.0%

$100,000

$426,250

-76.5%

Closed Sales Traditional Median Sale Price Closed Sales Foreclosure/REO Median Sale Price Closed Sales Short Sale Median Sale Price

2014

2015

2016

Traditional

Foreclosure/REO

2017

2018

Short Sale

100% 90%

Closed Sales

80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Q1

$500,000 $450,000

Median Sale Price

$400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018