A quality report by JainMatrix Investments
Britannia Industries – Ready to Eat Investment
03 Feb’14 CMP: 880
Medium Cap – Mkt Cap 10,500 crores Advice: Buy Britannia Industries is a leading Indian food processing firm, with products like biscuits, dairy products and other bakery products like cakes, rusks and breads. This firm has seen a turnaround since 2010, with fair revenue growth, but excellent margin improvements. The ongoing initiatives in manufacturing capacity addition, sales team synergies and ‘nutrition’ oriented product launches should see BIL emerge as a premium food giant. Buy. JainMatrix Investments has published an equity report on Britannia Industries for its Subscribers. A partial report is available below. Not available from this are Product Overview, Risk factors, Bench-marking, Financial Projections and 2 year target prices for BIL stock. The JainMatrix Investment service is available for a subscription fee.
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Britannia Industries – Description and Profile
Britannia Industries (BIL) is a Bangalore based firm selling bakery and dairy products. Started in 1892, it is one of the largest food processing firms in India. Sales turnover in FY13 was Rs 5,615 crores and PAT is 233.9 cr. Sales have grown 7.5% (CAGR) over the last 5 years. Market Cap is 10,839.49 cr., ranked 3rd in India in the food processing industry.
Fig 1 - Business Segments of BIL
BIL has 30-33% biscuit market share in India, and a reach of 36 lakh retail outlets across the country. It has about 2190 employees.
Britannia Industries Ltd.
Feb 2014
The shareholding pattern is: Promoters-50.8%, FII’s-19.1%, Individuals/HNI-17.2%, FIs/Insurance5.6%, MFs-4% and Bodies Corporate 3.3%. Key executives are: Chairman Nusli Wadia, MD Vinita Bali, and COO Varun Berry.
Brands and Industry Notes
Fig 2 – Key Brands
BIL’s products are high volume food products. It has a large distribution network reaching ~35 lakh outlets, with more than 40% of the consumption in in rural India. Economic Times Brand Equity placed BIL among the top 10 trusted brands of India.
Recent Events and Strategies
BIL is adding production capacities, and also reducing the dependence on contract manufacturing. To manufacture its own products, BIL has spent nearly Rs 300 cr for manufacturing, much of which was earlier outsourced. Three new plants have come up in Bihar, Odisha and Gujarat. These plus one in TN will take the total plants owned by BIL to 12. These will take care of 50% of the company's manufacturing needs, with the rest coming from contract manufacturers. BIL is planning to set up another wholly owned subsidiary for baked goods in Tamil Nadu, to serve South Indian markets, at an estimated cost of Rs 100 crores in early 2015. New plants are also planned at states of Bihar and Orissa to cover the eastern region of the country. BIL is also driving innovation across the existing categories and has strengthened its R&D for this. Synergies were created through integration of the bakery and dairy sales and distribution system. Increased distribution of more high priced products in urban areas, at the same time concentrating on rural areas is going to be the company’s primary objective for the FY14, according to company’s COO Varun Barry, which should help BIL grow sales by 15% in FY14. MD Vinita Bali is set to exit the company in March’14 and will be succeeded by COO Mr. Varun Barry. The latter is already head of the India operations. He is also undertaking a management restructuring, to make the top team smaller and more focused.
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Britannia Industries Ltd.
Feb 2014
Stock Evaluation, Performance and Returns
The price and dividend history is detailed in in Fig 3. There was a split in Face Value (10 to 2) in 2010. Post 2010 BIL has started a sharp uptrend. Investors in BIL over the last 5 years have seen a return on 25% CAGR on the share price. In the past 1 year itself, the share has appreciated over 60%. Revenues have grown at 15.7% of CAGR in the past 4 years. The EBITDA and PAT have grown at 7.9% and 6.7% respectively in this period. The all-time high of 972 was hit in Oct 2013. It is at 9.5% below these levels.
Fig 3 - Price History
Fig 4 - Quarterly Fin. The EPS has increased by 6.7% CAGR over the last 5 years – Fig 4. However post the losses of Mar’10, the recovery has been rapid. Dividend too has followed a similar pattern. The reasons for this are a combination of volumes growth and better margins.
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Britannia Industries Ltd.
Feb 2014
Standalone Free Cash Flow has been positive for the last 5 years (Fig 5), this is positive. It allows the firm to reinvest in the business or reward shareholders. Dividend too has increased. Yield is 1%.
Fig 5 Cash Flow & Div.
Fig 6 - Price and PE Chart The P/E post FY11 has been in the 26-40 range, Fig 6. At 31 times today it’s in the low end of this. We can see the recent surge in EPS – Fig 7. The Price of BIL has been tracking EPS growth. The EPS now is in the channel indicated in the Chart.
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Britannia Industries Ltd.
Feb 2014
Fig 7 - Price and EPS Chart
Other relevant consolidated financial parameters – o ROCE and RONW are 44.5% and 46.7%, both excellent numbers o BIL has just 24 cr. of equity capital; there is a good chance of bonus, split, dividend increase or other shareholder reward if performance continues to excel. o Debt equity fell from 0.61 (FY13) to 0.3 (Q1FY14), indicating a fast improving Balance Sheet. o PEG at 0.4 indicates undervalued status.
Recommendation
Buy
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