Teton Valley Real Estate Market Report | Q3 2022

Page 1

WEST SIDE OF THE TETONS

Market

Quarter

Report 2022
Third

While the summer of 2021 would be a tough act to follow, the Teton Valley real estate market has kept relative pace this year despite increasing inventory, rising mortgage interest rates and a return to normalcy following the global pandemic.

Year-to-date transactions on the quiet side of the Tetons are down 32.9% (611 sales this year compared to 910 closings for the same period in 2021) yet dollar volume has only slipped a modest 13.1% ($459.6M last year vs. $399.6M this year). It’s interesting to note, however, the valley real estate market at the end of summer 2020 (a record at the time with 656 closings for $230.1M) was only 45 more transactions and $169.5M less in dollar volume for the same period this year.

The Teton Valley market ended the summer on a strong

Volume By Area

note. September was the second biggest month of 2022 with 63 transactions accounting for $52.8M in dollar volume (only March had a higher monthly dollar volume with $59.7M in sales).

Price adjustments and an increase of homes for sale in Teton Valley, Idaho and Alta, Wyoming, led to the uptick in September’s sales activity.

It seems unlikely the year-end 2022 totals will eclipse the record-breaking year of 2021 with 1,154 transactions for more than $629M in dollar volume. At present, however, the year-to-date dollar volume for the first nine months of 2022 ($399.6M) has already eclipsed the valley’s 2020 year-end total of $364.4M (which was a record at the time two years ago).

Sales Volume By Price Category

$40M $80M $120M $160M $200M $240M Teton County, Idaho — Q3 2022 YTD 2021 VS. 2022
< $500K >$1M $40M $80M $120M $160M $200M $240M YTD 2021 VS. 2022 Sales
YTD 2022YTD 2021 UNITS SOLD ALTA 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 $50M $100M $150M $200M $250M $300M $350M $400M 100 200 300 400 500 600 UNITS SOLD UNITS SOLDSALES VOLUME 2009-2021 700 201120102009 $450M $500M $550M $600M $650M Sales Volume Vs. Units Sold Cover Property: #H6R93Z $500K-$1M 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 646 VICTOR DRIGGS TETONIA 346 163 101 163 102 25 9 354 244 316 252 215 106 YTD 2022YTD 2021 UNITS SOLD

Sales Volume

Area

Nearly 1,500 parcels of land have sold in Teton Valley within the last 24 months, including 365 transactions thus far in 2022. Like the overall market, transactions have lost steam for the last nine months, yet six out of ten transactions in Alta, Wyoming and Teton Valley, Idaho involve raw land.

Despite the slow down, the average sale price for undeveloped property grew 20.3% by the end of Q3 ($412,455 for this year vs. $342,873 last year). The median sale on the year-to-date (a 2.5-acre parcel in Driggs that sold in January for $210,000) is a 24.3% increase over the median transaction last year (a 1-acre parcel in Driggs that sold in March, 2021 for $169,000).

Would-be land buyers currently have more inventory to choose from, helping to shift the current climate from a “seller’s market” in early 2021 to a “buyer’s market” by the end of Q3. This time last year, 268 vacant parcels of land were being offered for sale. Twelve months later, the active listings on the market are up 15.3% to 309 properties for sale.

Land & Ranches
Featured Property:
#5GL45H
By
YTD 2021 VS. 2022 $5M $10M $15M $20M $30M $35M $40M $45M $50M $60M $80M $70M $25M ALTA 216 136 VICTOR 209 136 DRIGGS 172 88 TETONIA Average Days on Market 141 % Change in Average Sales Price from Q3 2021 +20.3%CURRENT AREA STATS Number of Land & Ranch Sites Sold Q3 2022 365 Q3 2022 Average Land & Ranch Sites Sale Price $412,455 16 5 At A Glance YTD 2022YTD 2021 UNITS SOLD

In an otherwise downward-trending market in Q3 2022, condos and townhomes in Teton Valley were the lone statistical outlier. Both transactions and complementing dollar volume enjoyed year-over-year increases of 39% and 107.9% respectively, thanks to new construction projects in the Town of Driggs.

Of the 82 transactions thus far in 2022, 46 of the sales occurred in the new neighborhoods of Moraine Square and Valley Centre, and generated $28.9M of the $48.3M on the year to date.

In 2021, the median transaction through Q3 was a 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,500 sq.ft. townhome in Driggs that sold for $385,000 (or about $250/sq.ft.) in May. So far this year, the median price grew 36.4% to $525,000, or about $340/sq.ft. (also for a 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,500 sq.ft. townhome in Driggs).

Sales Volume By Area

$5M $10M $15M $20M $30M $35M $40M $45M $50M $25M
*excludes fractional units YTD 2021 VS. 2022 TETONIA 0 1 DRIGGS 54 27 VICTOR 27 32 ALTA 00 Average Days on Market 81 % Change in Average Sales Price from Q3 2021 +34.4%CURRENT AREA STATS Number of Condominiums Sold Q3 2022 82 Q3 2022 Average Condominiums Sale Price $589,295At A Glance Condominiums/Townhomes
Featured Property: #DV5C34
YTD 2022YTD 2021 UNITS SOLD

Volume

Area

Despite a 30.9% drop in sales for the first nine months of 2022, the average home price in Teton Valley increased 14.4% in the last 12 months to $1.24M. Just two years ago, the average home price in the valley was $708,000 (or a 76% increase from 2020).

An increase in inventory and motivated sellers helped home sales keep tempo, despite rising mortgage interest rates. On October 1, 2021, only 47 homes were on the market. One year later, that number has grown 145% to 115 homes for sale.

The median home sale through Q3 2021 was $750,000 (for a 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 2,200 sq.ft. home in Driggs on 2.5 acres). Twelve months later, the midpoint sale escalated to more than $1.05M (for a 5-bedroom, 5-bath, newly-constructed 2,400 sq.ft. home in Driggs on 2.5 acres).

In 2019, only 15 homes sold for more than $1M. By the end of September, 2022, 71 homes of $1M or more had closed (which was on par with 2021’s total of 76 homes in the same price range).

$10M $20M $30M $40M $50M $80M $70M $90M $100M $60M Sales
By
YTD 2021 VS. 2022 TETONIA 41 17 DRIGGS 56 69 VICTOR 73 98 ALTA 4 9 Single Family Homes Average Days on Market 108 % Change in Average Sales Price from Q3 2021 +14.4%CURRENT AREA STATS Number of Single Family Homes Sold Q3 2022 150 Q3 2022 Average Single Family Home Sale Price $1,246,546At A Glance
Featured Property:
#YKBJZW YTD 2022YTD 2021 UNITS SOLD

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Although the foregoing data has been compiled from sources deemed reliable, Jackson Hole Sotheby’s International Realty does not guarantee its authenticity. It is intended for informational purposes only, is subject to prior sale, error, revision, and cancellation without notice, and should be independently verified with the source of such information. Source data is provided by Teton Board of Realtors MLS for areas one through ten, and supplemented with proprietary sales data for $0 sales. ®,™ and SM are licensed trademarks to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. An Equal Opportunity Company. Equal Housing Opportunity. Jackson Hole Sotheby’s International Realty is Independently Owned and Operated.

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