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1.Risk 2.Risk Cost 3.Risk Types Khawar Shahzad Jaffar ACCA, CPA


What is Risk? 

Risk is a concept. It is a measure of uncertainty (probabilities). In the business process, the uncertainty involves the achievement of organizational objectives. Risk may involve positive or negative consequences, although most positive consequences are known as opportunities, and most negative consequences are called threats or risk.


What is Risk? 

Risk is the potential that a chosen action or activity (including the choice of inaction) will lead to a loss (an undesirable outcome).

Risk is based on two factors;  Probability  Expected

of occurrence

loss


What is Risk? 

The effects of risk and uncertainty can result in good or bad consequences. Consequences can vary in sensitivity depending on a number of factors:  The

assets at risk (Exposure)

 The

type of threat

 The

duration of consequences

 The

effectiveness of controls in place


Cost of Risk 

Greater risk usually implies greater cost.

Cost of risk can be divided into five components which are given below; 

Expected Losses

Direct losses

Indirect losses 

Loss of normal profit

Extra operating expenses

Higher cost of funds and foregone investment

Legal costs


Cost of Risk 

Cost of Loss Control

Increase precautions

Reduced activity

Cost of Loss Financing

Retention and self-insurance

Insurance

Hedging

Other risk transfers

Cost of internal Risk Reduction

Diversification

Investment in information


Cost of Risk  Cost

of Residual Uncertainty

Effects on shareholders

Effects on other stake holders


Cost Tradeoffs 

The expected cost of direct/indirect losses and loss control cost

The cost of loss financing/internal risk reduction and the expected cost of indirect losses

The cost of loss financing/internal risk reduction and the cost of residual uncertainty


Risk Types 

Risk types can broadly be categorized into;  Macro  Micro

Risk Levels, and

Risk Levels


Risk Types – Macro Level Systematic Risk 

Systematic risk is the risk that cannot be reduced or predicted in any manner and it is almost impossible to predict or protect yourself against this type of risk. Examples of this type of risk include interest rate increases or government legislation changes. The smartest way to account for this risk, is to simply acknowledge that this type of risk will occur and plan for your business to be affected by it.


Risk Types – Macro Level Unsystematic Risk 

Unsystematic risk is risk that is specific to an assets features and can usually be eliminated through a process called diversification . Examples of this type of risk include employee strikes or management decision changes.


Risk Types – Micro Level 

Business / Income Risk

Liquidity Risk

Financial Risk

Exchange Rate Risk

Political / Country Risk

Market Risk / Portfolio Risk


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