Q1 2022 Atlanta Industrial Market Report

Page 1

Metro Atlanta Industrial

Q1 2022

Rates Rising and Construction Booming despite Atlanta Industrial’s Slow Start to 2022

ABSORPTION, DELIVERIES AND VACANCY RATE

After a record-breaking Q4 and 2021, the Atlanta industrial market got off to a slower start in 2022, with positive absorption of over 2.6 million square feet in Q1. While still a positive indicator for the Atlanta industrial market, this is the lowest quarterly absorption figure the market has posted since Q1 2020. The market’s overall vacancy rate rose 70 basis points (0.7%) in Q1, finishing at 4.0%. Despite the rise, this is still the second-lowest vacancy rate in the past 20 years. Rental rates rose 5.3% to $5.14 in Q1 and have risen 12.2% over the past year.

45,000,000

8%

40,000,000

7%

35,000,000

6%

30,000,000

5%

25,000,000 4% 20,000,000

Atlanta’s industrial construction pipeline has continued its record-setting growth, with 123 buildings totaling over 44 million square feet under construction as of Q1. This is the most under construction square footage that the Atlanta market has ever seen. 16 buildings totaling 7.6 million square feet delivered in Q1, while a further 27 broke ground. The eventual deliveries of these buildings should relieve some of the tight vacancy rates seen in certain submarkets, such as I-20 West/Fulton Industrial, where the vacancy rate is a microscopic 1.9%.

3%

15,000,000

2%

10,000,000

1%

5,000,000 0

2017

2018

2019

Absorption

2020

Deliveries

2021

2022 YTD

0%

Vacancy Rate Source: CoStar

Market Snapshot

4.0%

2,679,898

vacancy rate

33,180,242

net absorp Q1

net absorp last 12 mos

46,934,120 under constr sf

Source: CoStar, LPC Research

LEASING ACTIVITY A robust pipeline of new construction has seen leasing activity continue to skyrocket despite the tight vacancy market, with over 13 million square feet worth of deals signed in Q1. This figure is in line with what the Atlanta market has seen over the past two years, with the typical quarterly total of signed leases between 12-17 million square feet. There have been over 62 million square feet of industrial leases signed over the past 12 months. New builds have continued to be a key leasing driver, as currently about 28% of the record 44 million square feet under construction are leased. The Airport/I-85 South Industrial submarket had the most leasing activity in Q1, with 22% all leased space in Atlanta taking place in the submarket. TOP LEASES Q1 2022

Tenant Owens Corning Spreetail

Property

Submarket

Owner/Developer

SF

Lease Type

8095 McLarin Rd

Airport/I-85 South Ind

Clarion Partners

1,044,288

Renewal

200 Metcalf Rd

Airport/I-85 South Ind

TA Realty

909,509

New Lease

4475 S Fulton Pky - Bldg 6

Airport/I-85 South Ind

Blackstone

634,900

New Lease

400 International Pky

Northwest Atlanta Ind

Ashley Capital

498,144

New Lease

ACE Hardware

1220 Palmour Dr

Northeast Atlanta Ind

Strategic RE Partners

474,680

Renewal

Kenco Group

2420 Old Covington Hwy

Snapfinger/I-20 East Ind

Lincoln Property Co.

288,477

New Lease

Allen Distribution Duluth Trading Company

INVESTMENT SALES The Atlanta industrial market saw over $991 million in sales volume in Q1, averaging $99.21 per square foot. This comes on the heels of the largest single-quarter industrial sales volume in the Atlanta market’s history, as Q4 of 2021 saw over $3.3 billion in sales volume. Atlanta has become increasingly attractive to national institutional investors looking for large assets with tenants secured to long-term leases: 80% of the market’s investment volume has come from firms outside of the stats of Georgia. RECENT INVESTMENT SALES

Property

Submarket

Price

SF

139 Orchard Business Pky - Bldg 200

Airport/I-85 South

$135,000,000

1,514,040

200 Metcalf Rd

Airport/I-85 South

$90,905,900

909,509

650 Broadway Ave

Northeast

$59,600,000

613,440

2520 Riverside Pky

Northeast

$55,400,000

367,060

$/SF

Date

Buyer

$89.17

1/13/2022

Florida SBA

$99.95

12/22/2021

TA Realty

$97.16

10/20/2021

J.W. Mitchell Company

$150.93

12/22/2021

BentallGreenOak

lpcsoutheast.com The information contained herein has been obtained from the owner of the property or from a source deemed reliable. While Lincoln Property Company has no reason to doubt its accuracy, we do not guarantee it.


METRO ATLANTA INDUSTRIAL MARKET Q1 2022

MARKET STATISTICS Total Inventory SF

Vacancy Rate Q1 ‘22

Vacancy Rate Q4 ‘21

Net Absorp Q1 ‘22

Net Absorp Last 12 Mos

Deliveries Q1 ‘22

Under Constr

Avg Rent (NNN)

142,453,999

4.9%

3.6%

1,538,241

9,985,299

3,619,515

5,465,00

$4.42

21,587,834

7.8%

6.8%

(237,128)

(261,750)

-

-

$9.62

I-75 SOUTH IND

69,009,858

5.6%

3.1%

(752,455)

4,056,895

1,001,700

4,966,070

$3.84

I-20 WEST/FULTON IND

110,022,170

1.9%

2.0%

308,911

3,501,510

254,100

6,745,672

$5.18

193,006,659

3.1%

3.3%

1,173,640

9,415,074

837,100

18,253,860

$5.30

NORTHWEST ATLANTA IND

82,265,759

5.1%

2.6%

(187,007)

3,568,032

1,904,493

9,067,501

$5.73

NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTA IND

19,260,582

2.6%

4.7%

407,202

684,448

-

656,365

$8.91

SNAPFINGER/I-20 EAST IND

45,486,033

3.6%

4.4%

350,181

1,692,369

-

1,682,952

$5.24

STONE MOUNTAIN IND

23,745,595

2.5%

2.8%

78,313

535,365

-

96,000

$6.01

706,838,489

4.0%

3.3%

2,679,898

33,180,242

7,616,908

46,934,120

$5.14

557,888,603

4.1%

3.2%

2,289,537

31,486,661

7,616,908

43,318,082

$5.17

80,986,235

4.1%

3.8%

(237,533)

(13,426)

-

2,930,000

$4.01

67,963,651

2.3%

3.2%

627,894

1,707,007

-

686,038

$5.33

706,838,489

4.0%

3.3%

2,679,898

33,180,242

7,616,908

46,934,120

$5.14

BY SUBMARKET AIRPORT/I-85 SOUTH IND

CENTRAL ATL/CHATTAHOOCHE IND

NORTHEAST ATLANTA IND

Total Market

BY PROPERTY TYPE WAREHOUSE & DISTRIBUTION

MANUFACTURING

SHALLOW BAY Total Market Source: CoStar, LPC Research

Lincoln Property Company Atlanta tracks industrial buildings that are 25,000 sf or greater.

Need More Market Intel?

Spencer Papciak Research Manager 678.498.7676 spapciak@lpc.com

Turner Fortin Leasing Associate 404.863.9931 tfortin@lpc.com

Lincoln Property Company Southeast 3405 Piedmont Road, Suite 450 Atlanta, GA 30305 404 266 7600

About LPC SE: Lincoln Property Southeast is a commercial real estate firm offering a comprehensive suite of value-added services for our clients. With our substantial local presence and history in the Southeast region, we are ideally situated to provide a superior service, which comes from knowing the goals and challenges faced by our clientele: tenants, investors, lenders and owners of commercial real estate. Our people and our philosophy are the key ingredients for Lincoln’s solid track record of success. The information contained herein has been obtained from the owner of the property or from a source deemed reliable. While Lincoln Property Company has no reason to doubt its accuracy, we do not guarantee it.

lpcsoutheast.com


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