4th QTR 2019 Luxury Real Estate Update

Page 1

Aloha

and welcome to The Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report from List Sotheby’s International Realty, where we take a closer look at the most recent real estate activity here on Oahu.

The thirteen single-family home sales priced from $3 to $5 million was a decrease of 7.1% compared to last year’s fourteen homes sold. Months’ supply of inventory had a year-over-year increase of 16.6% to 18.8 months.

Our report breaks the Oahu luxury home market into four singlefamily home and two condominium price segments.

Five single family homes sold at or above $5 million in Q4 including three East Oahu homes, one Windward Oahu home and one home in Mililani. The top sale was at $17,900,000 for a home in Beachside.

Single-family home sales for Q4 2019 priced from $1 to $2 million increased 6.8% compared to Q4 2018, with 219 homes sold in the quarter. Months’ supply of inventory decreased 3.9% compared to last year at this time to 5.6 months. For single-family homes in the $2 to $3 million range, sales were up 4 sales to a total of 26 sales for the quarter, an increase of 18.2% from the year prior. Months’ supply of inventory increased 1.2% to 12.8 months for the quarter.

As for condominiums, two units closed in Q4 at or above $5 million. The top sale was at $6,550,000 for a unit at Park Lane. Sales in the $800 thousand to $1 million range for Q4 2019 were even with the activity seen in Q4 2018 at 49 sales for the quarter. Months’ supply of inventory was up 18.8% to 8.1 months.

Continued on Page 3

FOREIGN INVESTMENT $1 - $2 MILLION

Source: Title Guaranty Hawaii, through December 2019.

2019

#

$

JAPAN

68

$98,359,775

KOREA

10

$14,187,000

HONG KONG

5

CANADA

4

TAIWAN

2

2018

#

$

JAPAN

133

KOREA

9

$8,809,000

TAIWAN

$6,106,000

CANADA

$2,443,000

2017

#

$

2016

#

$

$188,796,404

JAPAN

82

$111,518,829

JAPAN

$13,176,500

CHINA

10

$14,214,165

CANADA

135

$203,375,491

8

$10,419,000

8

$10,728,600

KOREA

3

$4,430,000

8

$10,575,100

TAIWAN

3

$3,466,758

CHINA

6

$8,275,100

KOREA

3

$6,118,900

CHINA

5

$6,057,400

CANADA

2

$2,875,000

HONG KONG

4

$5,241,800

2018

#

$

2017

#

$

2016

#

$

JAPAN

57

$220,699,504

JAPAN

63

$268,891,006

JAPAN

78

$333,303,959

$2 MILLION + 2019

#

$

JAPAN

33

$116,429,433

KOREA

4

$10,220,900

SINGAPORE

2

$6,802,000

KOREA

5

$24,808,800

HONG KONG

11

$66,957,353

HONG KONG

6

$22,209,744

CANADA

1

$3,635,000

HONG KONG

3

$12,145,800

SINGAPORE

7

$33,980,786

CHINA

5

$20,949,835

MALAYSIA

1

$2,400,000

SINGAPORE

2

$18,403,800

CHINA

4

$16,244,754

SINGAPORE

4

$14,649,871

MARIANA ISLANDS

1

$2,500,000

CANADA

2

$5,848,800

KOREA

5

$15,740,000

AUSTRALIA

2

$11,627,100

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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SALES ACTIVITY SINGLE-FAMILY

CONDO

Year

$1 - 2 Million

$2 - 3 Million

$3 - 5 Million

$5 Million +

$800,000 $1 Million

$1 Million +

2014

496

100

46

16

165

182

2015

608

84

43

18

213

164

2016

710

99

37

16

242

336

2017

795

111

51

14

319

662

2018

848

96

46

28

285

352

2019 YTD

830

98

40

23

260

310

2014

$1.26

$2.30

$3.86

$6.40

$0.88

$1.43

2015

$1.28

$2.37

$3.50

$7.95

$0.88

$1.32

2016

$1.25

$2.30

$3.65

$6.57

$0.87

$1.70

2017

$1.25

$2.37

$3.55

$6.59

$0.88

$1.78

2018

$1.26

$2.36

$3.66

$7.35

$0.89

$1.55

2019 YTD

$1.25

$2.30

$3.70

$5.8

$0.89

$1.49

Q4 2014

6.4

9.4

17.0

33.2

7.5

13.8

Q4 2015

6.3

17.6

22.3

37.2

8.2

17.5

Q4 2016

5.4

10.3

22.2

26.6

5.8

10.1

Q4 2017

4.8

10.1

14.1

39.2

5.1

5.9

Q4 2018

5.8

12.6

16.1

23.8

6.9

11.8

Q4 2019

5.6

12.7

19.1

42.4

8.0

11.8

Metric

CLOSED SALES

MEDIAN SALES PRICE (in millions)

MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY

SINGLE FAMILY & CONDO $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q4 2016

Q4 2017

Q4 2018

Q4 2019

Q4 2017

Q4 2018

Q4 2019

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

CONDOMINIUM $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q4 2016

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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Continued from Page 1

Sales for condos priced at $1 million and higher increased by 27.7% compared to last year at this time, representing a climb from 65 sales during Q4 2018 to 83 during Q4 2019. Months’ supply of inventory decreased by a slight 0.5% compared to Q4 2018, to 11.7 months. Remember that every home and situation is unique. For guidance with your current or future home, visit listsothebysrealty.com and contact one of our experienced agents. That’s the Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report for this quarter. Check back soon for the latest. Sign up for our monthly market newsletter and more at: www.ListSothebysRealty.com or www.ListHawaii-mls.com

OAHU LUXURY NEIGHBORHOOD DETAIL 2019 YTD Median Sales Price

2018 Median Sales Price

Aina Haina Beach

$1,222,000

Beachside

$2,000,000

Black Point Diamond Head

Neighborhoods

THROUGH FOURTH QUARTER 2019

2017 Median Sales Price

2016 Median Sales Price

2015 Median Sales Price

2014 Median Sales Price

$10,772,500

$1,400,000

$1,200,000

$1,395,000

$2,700,000

$2,800,000

$2,094,000

$2,537,500

$2,217,500

$1,922,500

$4,025,000

$2,500,000

$2,175,000

$3,350,000

$1,800,000

$2,530,000

$2,990,000

$2,375,000

$3,200,000

$2,875,000

$2,288,888

Dowsett

$1,134,000

$1,745,000

$1,622,500

$1,350,000

$1,255,000

$1,333,000

Hawaii Loa Ridge

$2,100,000

$2,175,000

$2,430,000

$2,200,000

$2,100,000

$2,540,000

Hillcrest

$1,236,250

$1,272,500

$1,269,000

$1,050,000

$1,061,000

$1,000,000

Kahala Area

$2,617,500

$2,600,000

$2,435,000

$2,648,050

$2,200,000

$2,200,000

$1,437,500

$1,050,000

Kakaako Kamehame Ridge

$1,495,000

$1,750,000

$1,114,000

$1,587,500

$1,152,500

$830,000

Koko Kai

$2,392,500

$2,025,000

$2,660,000

$2,041,500

$2,425,000

$2,520,000

Lanikai

$2,200,000

$3,200,000

$2,297,826

$2,272,500

$1,807,500

$2,745,750

Makiki Heights

$1,300,000

$1,125,000

$1,393,000

$1,360,000

$1,575,000

$1,590,000

Manoa Area

$1,249,000

$1,262,500

$1,279,500

$1,180,000

$1,214,617

$999,000

Manoa-Woodlawn

$1,093,750

$1,312,500

$1,288,000

$1,245,500

$1,134,750

$1,126,500

Maunalani Heights

$1,275,300

$1,276,500

$1,295,000

$1,282,000

$1,100,000

$981,500

Napali Haweo

$1,414,500

$1,710,000

$1,900,000

$1,445,000

$1,650,000

$1,660,000

Niu Beach

$3,770,000

$1,325,000

$4,300,000

$2,200,000

$3,420,000

$2,408,000

$785,000

$889,500

$755,000

$750,000

$747,500

$637,000

Pacific Heights

North Shore

$1,060,000

$1,140,000

$968,000

$1,002,260

$999,000

$1,499,000

Paiko Lagoon

$1,075,000

$3,344,000

$3,327,500

$1,000,000

$1,155,000

$2,400,000

Portlock

$2,500,000

$1,525,000

$2,650,000

$2,332,500

$2,700,000

Puupanini

$1,075,000

$1,487,500

$3,889,000

$1,025,000

$998,500

$1,299,000

Tantalus

$1,020,000

$1,326,000

$1,110,000

$1,262,500

$1,700,000

$1,050,000

Triangle

$1,457,625

$1,400,000

$835,000

$1,465,000

$1,312,500

$1,225,000

Waialae Golf Course

$1,950,000

$3,197,500

$2,510,000

$1,999,999

$2,410,000

$2,125,000

Waialae Iki

$1,650,000

$1,725,000

$1,662,500

$1,667,500

$1,630,000

$1,625,000

Waialae Nui Ridge

$1,347,000

$1,525,000

$1,400,000

$1,525,000

$1,362,500

$1,248,888

Wailupe Area

$1,582,500

$2,775,000

$2,500,000

$2,100,000

$1,770,000

$2,200,000

dash = no sales in the time period

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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List Sotheby’s International Realty 4211 Waialae Avenue, Suite 100 | Honolulu, HI 96816 (808) 735-2411

ARTFULLY UNITING EXCEPTIONAL HAWAII HOMES WITH EXTRAORDINARY LIVES

SALES ACTIVITY CONDOMINIUM

SINGLE FAMILY $1 - $2 MILLION

$2 - $3 MILLION

$800 THOUSAND - $1 MILLION

$3 - $5 MILLION

$5 MILLION +

$1 MILLION +

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

Visit www.ListSothebysRealty.com | 4


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