SETLabs Briefings VOL 5 NO 3 Jul-Sept 2007
Creating Supply Chain Flexibility in the Flattening World By Sandeep Kumar and Ashish Kumar Tewary
Counter supply chain disruptions by building solid ‘sense and respond’ capabilities
M
odern day business is beset with
quality of supply chain collaboration, as also
changing governance paradigms. The
the process and functional modularization of
recent surge in business literature has veered the
supply chains.
way corporations are getting flatter and flatter.
Cost pressures, dearth of talent pools
Flat world has emerged as the mantra by which
and emerging markets were some of the reasons
businesses are getting redefined.
why supply chains assumed global dispersion.
Flat world encompasses an environment
Following Thomas Friedmanâ€&#x;s expostulation of
where traditional barriers to trade are breaking
flat world, researchers at Infosys have identified
down; hierarchies - both organizational and
four operational shifts that are driving mega
customer are being flattened; information and
transformation in the way demand is being
knowledge asymmetries across competition,
created for products and services globally and
customers and within the enterprise are being
the way it is being fulfilled [1]. We try to probe
eliminated. The competitive playing field is
these shifts in the supply chain context and look
being leveled.
at how flexibility can be achieved in supply chains in this flattening world. First and foremost, companies in their
EMERGENCE OF FLAT SUPPLY CHAINS The forces of globalization and the ever
journey to being the China price, are continually
flattening world are exerting renewed pressure
looking to refine their cost structures. This
on global supply chains. Supply chain flexibility
journey has taken many a company eastward
has moved beyond managing quality, cost and
with their sourcing strategies. However it is not
on-time delivery for a variety of norms and
only about reducing costs but also about entering
tolerances. It has come to include new product
new market segments by virtue of being able to
introduction cycle, partner integration and
sell at lower prices, while making money.
1
As an example, GE Medical Systems
Change at a rudimentary level can be
(GEMS) redesigned its product offerings to
observed today, in that, the demand and the
offer 80% functionalities at 50% the US price.
supply chain are so tightly linked that the product
This redesign was done at its China R&D
or service design concept is well integrated with
centers. GE Medical Systems is now the market
the supply chain. As an example of companies
leader in China for these products and it is also
leveraging global talent and co-creation models
selling these products in price-sensitive market
for rapid product innovation, Eli Lilly launched
segments in the US. Another example is that of
“InnoCentive”, an online community based
Cisco which funded its investment in R&D and
business model to access global talent pool [3].
sales expansion by releasing over $2bn from
Eli Lily and other pharmaceuticals/chemicals
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses
companies can “post” R&D problems on the
(SG&A) globalization by reducing SG&A as
portal “InnoCentive” (with associated award
a percent of sales from 44.8% in FY01 to 36.3%
amounts) that can be solved by any of their
Companies stand to win the innovation game by exploiting their global talent pools in co-creating revenue-influencing innovation models
in FY05. For any new initiative, globalization is
scientists around the globe. P&G‟s strategy of
always in consideration, and Asia is always on
open innovation __with customers, partners and
the table [2].
other outside sources - now produces over 35%
A second operational shift is in the
of the company‟s innovation, thereby influencing
way companies are looking at the problem
billions of dollars in revenue. With over 35% of
of customer loyalty creation and retention. It
new products having co-creation elements from
is the product and service innovation cycles
outside P&G, R&D productivity has increased by
today that are determinants of better customer
nearly 60% in 2006 and has helped launch more
experience.
than 100 new products with significant outside
Today‟s supply chains need to have the
participation in the last 2 years. Significantly,
required integration to help manage demand
R&D costs have decreased to 3.4% of sales from
percolation seamlessly across supply chain
4.8% in 2006 [4].
partners. With customers being more and more
Making money from information - the
integrated into the product and service creation
third operational shift - has always been intrinsic
process, customer experience calls for greater
to supply chain management. At the core of all
transparency and visibility into the entire order
successful supply chains over the years, has
fulfillment cycle.
been, excellence in information management __
2
both in terms of creating a robust information
example, Intel timed its asset acquisitions during
backbone underlying all physical and financial
business downturns to manage rapid up-scaling
flows as well as monetizing this information
in the boom years. By sharply accelerating
for decision support and business intelligence.
spending during the 2001 recession, Intel built
As an example, using a sophisticated demand
up additional manufacturing capacity. During
driven supply networks (DDSN) strategy while
2002-2003 recovery, Intel was able to quickly
leveraging an information architecture that
and successfully launch new products, months
marries sophisticated planning, fulfillment, event
ahead of schedule. In 2003, Intel reported its
management and supply chain integration, Dell
highest rate of growth since 1996 and increase in
pioneered its famous direct distribution model
net income by 81% [7].
that enabled it to grow its global PC market
From the discussion above, we
share from less than 3% in 1995 to over 18%
understand that the forces of globalization are
in 2005 [5]. Likewise, Amazon.com embodies
leading to a mutation of the supply chain models
In today’s dynamic business environment, only mutated supply chain models stand to absorb global supply chain risks
the use of advanced multi channel commerce
in the rapidly changing world. Supply chains are
capabilities to efficiently fulfill millions of multi-
becoming increasingly global and flatter. While
item orders through seamless information flow
global sourcing and targeting emerging markets
and automation __ a feat that requires very
has become fundamental to every corporate
sophisticated coordination and timing [6].
strategy, it is also leading to emergence of virtual
The operational shift on “winning in the
supply chains with complete supply chain
turns” underlines the importance of being able to
functions being outsourced. The bottom-line is a
manage business cycles through business‟ crests
greater propensity of risk in terms of supply
and troughs. These business cycles typically
chain management globally.
call for a close look at existing business models and predicate disruptive changes. Supply chain
SO HOW ARE SUPPLY CHAINS REACTING
risk management has become a key theme in
TO THESE FLAT WORLD FORCES?
managing such disruptions successfully. Both
Empirical evidence suggests that supply chains
operational risk as well as event risk need
are morphing to help deliver to these flattening
to be addressed squarely through predictive
forces. Multiple supply chain structures are
mechanisms as well as through business proofing
emerging to successfully address changes
for managing scale and scope flexibility. As an
caused by flattening forces. Emergence of
3
loosely
coupled
global
supply
chains,
final assembly in Everett, Washington [10]. A
redefinition of “core”, and increasing use of
thought here is that globalization and JIT do not
counter-trade in cross-country businesses are
seem to go well together as we are gravitating
some of the key changes.
towards stronger and centralized planning functions.
Value chain complexity is on the rise with supply chains becoming lengthier. As more links
Demise of “core”-
There is nothing called
get added and niche players emerge, the moot
“core” anymore. The term “core” is relative
question is on the need for command and control
and it‟s about supply chain modularization
capabilities that allow companies like Cisco, a
today. There are companies that are outsourcing
strong proponent of outsourcing, to manage a
complete functions that used to be called core in
supply network that has more than 300 suppliers
the yesteryears.
[8]. While companies have effected supplier consolidation and rationalization to manage the
Emergence of intricate supply chain networks -
expanding supplier base, the move towards third
Companies are moving away from the
party sourcing is making the average length of
integrated supply chain concept and today we
supply chains longer.
see loosely coupled supply networks. SLAbased transactional relationships rule. Long
Emergence of niche supply chain entities - As
term contracts between partners do not always
roles within the value chain get blurred, new
work. Take a look at the high technology
entities are emerging that help manage global
contract manufacturers who are trying to work
dispersion and spread of business operations
themselves into shorter and more flexible
as a core competency. In the process they also
contracts to help maintain their profitability.
expand their role in the value chain. An example
Another interesting aside is that companies
in the automotive industry is that of Magna,
today collaborate in one geography and
which aims to provide complete vehicle, design,
compete in another. Hutch Essar and Bharti
engineering and assembly services to its OEM
compete independently, but they both have
customers [9].
entered into an MOU relating to a comprehensive range of infrastructure sharing options in
Globalized supply chains - Supply chains are
India [11].
becoming more and more global with supply chain functions being physically distributed and
Technology is no longer the bottleneck - The
dispersed. For example, Boeing 787 program
single biggest disruptive influence on business
transforms its global supply base spread across
has been technology. As communication costs
countries as dispersed as the US, Japan, Italy and
go down to virtually nothing, processing
Taipei into design and manufacturing partners.
power keeps following Moore‟s Law and
To beat Airbus, Boeing has deployed a radical
use
strategy where more than 100 design partners
many companies and economies are doing
collaborate on the design and engineering
leapfrogs skipping many an evolutionary step.
and more than 130 structural and systems
Retailers used to models such as re-order point
suppliers synchronize their operations to achieve
based supply chain planning (primarily as a
4
of
technology
becomes
ubiquitous,
consequence of the number of stock keeping
fires, wide-spread electrical blackouts and
units as well as the shorter planning buckets) are
operational challenges such as shipping
switching to time-phased planning techniques,
ports too small to handle the flow of goods
as earlier constraints around processing power
coming into a country. Today‟s leaner, just-
and processor costs have been sorted out.
in-time globalized supply chains are more
Technology has also made possible the concept
vulnerable than ever before to natural and
of work modularization in the connected world
man-made disasters __ a reality that creates
where work packets can be delivered virtually
greater demands on companies to keep supply
out of anywhere and at any time.
chains flexible and integrate disruption risk management into every facet of supply chain
The G Factor - As global trade barriers keep
operations. The reason is undoubtedly that,
falling down, governments everywhere are
with longer paths and shorter clock speeds,
putting in counter trade agreements to stimulate
there are more opportunities for disruption
local industry further fuelling globalization
and a smaller margin for error if a disruption
of trade. Another aspect of the governmental
takes place.
factor is the regulatory norms that governments prescribe and the impact that it has on the
We identify two main sources of supply chain
way
disruption risk:
businesses
operate.
Protocols
and
•
regulations such as the Kyoto protocol and the
Operational supply chain risk : Abrupt
ROHS (Reduction of Hazardous Substances)
discontinuity of supply (when a main
significantly impact certain businesses in certain
supplier goes out of business), people
regions.
(labor strikes, talent shortages), process (internal
process
changes
initiated
HOW DO WE QUALIFY THE NATURE OF
through external factors or through
SUPPLY CHAIN RISK?
internal process improvement measures),
The forces that are flattening the world have
systems (system failures, data security) and procedures fraud
created many supply chain risks in addition to the
• Business risk: Macro business risks
oft spoken benefits. With supply chains literally disintegrating, product designers, marketers
such as market risks, financial risks,
and manufacturers that were previously housed
regulatory risks (stringent emission norms
in a single facility are now spread over several
driving new
continents
process
in organizations
with different
engine/ manufacturing
technology),
socio-political
cultures, languages and business objectives.
environmental risks, natural hazards
These changes have brought new risks and
such as earthquakes, hurricanes, storms
challenges. Long-standing challenges, such as
and risks emerging from terrorism and
short product lives and uncertain demand, have
political insurgencies.
become even more vexing. When it comes to global supply
The essence of risk management boils down to
chains, the potential for disruption comes in
adequately appreciating the risks that a company
many forms, from large-scale natural disasters
is exposed to for different areas of business;
and terrorist attacks to plant manufacturing
identifying the „choke points‟ along the supply
5
chain that would completely harm a business if
gains flexibility to quickly realign the supply/
disruption occurred; and then taking the right
demand mix to satisfy the changing global
set of preventive measures to allow for some
demand.
protection, remembering to periodically review
However, early detection of changes,
your supply chain plans and risk assessment
demands a well structured global planning
priorities.
and event monitoring mechanism for global coordination across functions and partners.
ARE COMPANIES BUILDING THE
Globally integrated information systems are
FLEXIBILITY TO MANAGE FLAT WORLD
critical to reduce the cost of communications and
SUPPLY CHAIN RISKS?
to make relevant information readily accessible.
We define supply chain flexibility as the ability to
Global supply chain flexibility is then
reconfigure the supply chain, altering the supply
all about connectivity and global business
of product in line with customer demand. Flat
optimality - source resources and manufacture/
world forces are changing the face of the global
deliver from where it is most cost optimal and
supply chain along with the flexibility that is
sell where it is most profitable. Downside of this
needed to reap the benefit from globalization.
is increasing interdependency and much more
In the flat world, companies that have solid ‘sense and respond’ capabilities tend to amass flexibility in their supply chains
Companies‟ contingency planning to deal with
risk. Managers of global supply chains should
eventualities and ability to reconfigure the
realize that they are coordinating three types of
supply network and product design at low cost
flows __ material, information and cash flows.
to meet newer market needs are having larger
Political, technological or natural events could
impact than ever before on the supply chain
leave organizations isolated and exposed to
flexibility.
shortages of material. Companies that sell in the
In this context of flat world forces,
United States, but have substantial portions of
supply chain flexibility is about having the
their supply chains in China or in other countries
“sense and respond” capabilities to detect the
with currencies likely to appreciate against
changes early on and having the right supply
the dollar, face a significant risk of mismatch
chain structure, processes and product design in
in their expected U.S. revenues and non-U.S.
place to respond in a timely and efficient manner
costs. Bankruptcy of a key supplier without
to the changes. By making it easier and less
any prior notification can stop assembly lines
expensive to change the source of supply, firm
of an OEM.
6
Problems can range from dock strike in
detrimental to functioning of supply chain
California, a tsunami in Asia, hurricane in New
connections. Companies should act on two
Orleans to physical damage at a supplier that can
overarching strategies of (i) building supply
result in catastrophic impact for a company. One
chain responsiveness, and (ii) building visibility
example is a fire at a single-source supplier for
to supply chain information.
Ericsson, which led to lost sales of $400 million dollars accompanied by a drop in the stock price
Action 1: Build Supply Chain Responsiveness
by 1%, culminating in Ericssonâ€&#x;s exit from that
through design for desired flexibility in the
part of the business [11]. Even political problems
supply chain structure, supply chain processes
can bring about supply chain disruptions. Take
and product design.
the case where new agreement between the European Union and China caused a limit on
I) Supply chain structure:
annual imports. This in turn caused 80mn packs
Supply chain structure is the network
of clothing impounded at EU ports and borders
of organizations that manufacture and
even though retailers had ordered their autumn
deliver products or services from the
stock well before this agreement was enforced.
source to the customers. It deals with
Flexibility coupled with visibility to information helps companies negotiate supply chain issues with utmost ease
The
leverage
on globalization
is
supply network structure, the human
tempered by the management overheads of
resource
practices
and
workforce
supply chain connections. It is important to
capabilities.
ensure that all the connections are working
1) Supply network should have the
uninterrupted to eliminate any risk to the
ability to add and remove suppliers,
stable functioning of the supply chain.
select suppliers who can add new
However, companies need to do much more as
products
Aberdeen Global supply chain benchmark
relationships and have suppliers make
report
in 2006
found
that
only 11%
quickly,
vary
supplier
are
volume
changes.
Also
supply
actively managing the supply chain disruption
network
should
be
flexible
risk [12].
to adapt to new security requirements Availability of information at right
and provide guidance to its partners
time in combination with flexibility can
in order to comply with new
enable organizations to respond to changes
regulations.
7
2) Supply network should provide the
the ability to change processes as
ability to companies in transferring
demand changes, and also the ability
production from one plant to another
to adjust capacity. 2) Distribution flexibility: Logistics
when capacity is constrained. 3) Companiesâ€&#x; culture should allow
processes should have the ability
building integral cross functional
to adjust to global requirements,
teams to prevent decisions based
serve
on local optimization.
requirements, vary warehouse space,
Hewlett
vary
Packard has adopted this concept
distinct
customer
transportation
shipping
carriers,
and
for many of its products such as the
introduce product postponement.
Desk Jet printer, even going to the
3) Ensure alternate sourcing strategies:
lengths of re-designing it so that a
Alternate suppliers should be truly
generic semi-finished global version
divorced from the risks borne by the
could be built
preferred counterparts. This portfolio
localization
centrally with
being
performed
of suppliers should also include
by
transportation
regional partners[13]. 4) Workforce
capabilities
providers.
During
the launch of the highly anticipated
should
be looked from a holistic perspective
Fusion, Ford manufacturing in Mexico
to
of
was hamstrung by the bankruptcy of
specialists. By working closely with
Collins & Aikman, a primary parts
specialist providers, greater levels of
supplier. Ford, along with other
customer
be
automobile
achieved at lesser cost. Auto makers
compelled
use 3PL specialist logistics providers,
backing to the floundering parts
where a 3PL runs the warehouse
supplier to ensure continuity in
and
manufacturing
encourage
involvement
value
can
OEM takes
often
ownership of
manufacturers, to
provide
operations
was
financial
[13].
inventory only when a production
Companies such as Dell and Cisco
line calls for it.
have suppliers in different continents for added flexibility. 4) Combine operational and financial
II) Supply Chain Processes Supply chain practices should have
hedging: BMW after frequently
contingency plans to deal with all kinds
suffering
of eventualities. It is almost impossible to
appreciation in its heavily European
predict all the eventualities in a global
based production operations, has
business
employed
environment.
Elements
of
from
strong
a combined
supply chain should have flexibility to quickly respond to unexpected changes.
expansion of production and sourcing
1) Systems and process design for
facilities in the North American and
Operations
has
hedging
strategy[14].
flexibility:
It
Euro
announced
Asian continents in an effort to create
systems
should have the ability to reconfigure
a more globally diversified supply
assets in line with customer needs;
chain, thus adopting more integrated
8
risk management approach in its
Action 2: Build Visibility to supply chain
handling of global risks.
information as this is the key to detect
5) Ensuring Business
business continuity
continuity: plan
and manage change. The company and its
should
trading partners and their partners need to
include a wide range of contingencies,
be very much a part of the risk-management
disaster recovery, the safety of
process.
employees, the retrieval of backup
of the environment in which supply chain
business
data
Visibility helps in getting a pulse
emergency
is functioning. This way it not only helps in
communication, possible relocation
early detection of changes but also enables
of business operations
collaboration amongst partners.
and the
sourcing of goods from alternate
I) Ensure visibility to manage change:
suppliers.
Integrated systems to coordinate activities
III) Product Design
throughout the entire supply chain from
Product design should be modular so as
raw materials and components to the
to reconfigure the products to minimize
end-consumer.
the risks in meeting market demands at
1) Improve visibility of in-transit
lowest cost. This can be achieved by
activity: Incorporate visibility tools
product design that enables component
to both track product movements
commonality
and also obtain information with
postponement
across of
products final
and
product
which to make financial decisions,
configuration.
serve customers, respond quickly to
1) Commonality is a big focus in Ford.
competitive threats, cut costs and speed delivery.
Commonality of parts across existing and proposed vehicle lines reduces
2) Improve visibility of supplier
costs and leverages economics of scale.
activity: Global supply chains are
This allows aggregation of demand
characterized by interdependencies.
and minimizes the inventory buffer
It is important to be signaled about
to address a particular risk level.
partnersâ€&#x; delivery performance and
2) Postponement
is about
delaying
their compliance with regulations.
final configuration of an item for as
Lead indicators should be agreed
much duration as possible. The aim
upon
of the global supply chain should
monitored
to
have
visibility into supplier activities. 3) Improve end-to-end automation:
be to carry inventory in a generic form,
and
i.e., standard semi-finished
Provide enhanced insight into current
products that are awaiting final
and time-phased end-to-end inventory
assembly or localization for enhanced
positions - in motion and at rest,
responsiveness. For example, Dell
including vendor managed inventory
assembles
- as well as mobile assets such as
different
configurations
based
computer on
market
containers and equipment. A key
demands. HP also uses the same
future enabler for this is RFID
concept for its Desk Jet printers [15].
technology.
9
in
4) Create visibility into lead indicators: Business
intelligence
(BI)
and
an
outsourced
business
model.
This cultural buy-in and visibility
affiliated data warehouses and event-
on both sides must be demonstrated
management tools track events and
in day-to-day behavior at all levels,
exceptions
or there will be cultural polarization
in
supply
chain
performance by constantly monitoring
between the business and the outsourced
leading indicators to supply chain
delivery function.
problems before they occur. BI has
Toyota was able to manage the risk
the sifting and sorting capability to
caused by bankruptcy of one of its
identify suppliers, routes, carriers and
key supplier. It applies weekly get-
ports
together for managers over videocon-
that
threaten
business
continuity. 5) Improve
ference to discuss any new rumors visibility
of
trade
and potential risks to work out a recovery
agreements for origin management:
plan just in case.
Companies can bring down the cost of
Enterprise solution providers such as
their products by better automation
SAP have a number of products in the market
of origin management programs and
that are helping companies in developing
understanding on how to use
sense and respond capabilities - in automatic
preferential
in
data acquisition and transaction processing
their
trade
product
agreements
sourcing
for supply chain automation through Auto-id
and distribution decisions. Renault
infrastructure (AII); in setting and monitoring
has
used
design,
management
lead indicators through Event management
information housed in its centralized
origin
(EM); in identifying links, products, partners
trade compliance database to drive a
in the supply chain that are prone to higher
whole new low-cost car.
risk through BI/BW; in having a flexible IT
6) Improve visibility of regulation
architecture to have plug and play capabilities
compliance: Globally spread supply
and seamless data exchange with partners
chain
is
highly
penalties
caused
vulnerable by
to
through service oriented architecture. These
violation
application scenarios are supported by having
regulations
a “single version of truth” achieved through
regarding environment, safety, labor
common data definition across the supply chain
etc. SOX compliance is one way that
enabled by master data management (MDM).
of
country
specific
can help top management in managing this risk.
CONCLUSION
II) Ensure collaboration to manage changes
Globalization and the forces of the flattening
Automakers try to give supplier advance
world are creating huge supply chain risks and
notification of production changes. GM
it is unlikely that these would fade in the
uses its portal “GMP SupplyPower” web
near future. Cost considerations are driving
site to post updates for its 360oglobal
companies to explore innovative sourcing
suppliers.
strategies for physical goods as well as services.
It
is
also
important
The pressure on refining costs of doing business
to achieve cultural alignment especially
10
and the consequent move to tap resources
audit process is essential to providing on-going
globally is exposing companies to greater
feedback to management and supply chain
supply chain risk. An effective risk management
participants on the performance of their facilities
framework ensures that companies not only
and their compliance with agreed, supply-chain
manage their supply chain disruptions better
wide standards. Organizations can build a solid
in these scenarios but also put in early warning
sense and respond capabilities in their global
systems that help identify these upfront.
supply chain using enterprise products. How
There will always be natural disasters,
organizations manage their enterprise risk will
as well as corporate mistakes. In order to insulate
predicate success and failure and determine
themselves from the consequences, companies
whether they are able to win in the turns when
may have to spread their risks more widely.
supply chain disruptions occur.
The cost quantification of supply chain disruption risk could potentially change the significance of
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11
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12
Author profile SANDEEP KUMAR Sandeep Kumar leads the Manufacturing and Supply Chain group at the Domain Competency Group in Infosys. He can be reached at Sandeep_kumar@infosys.com. ASHISH KUMAR TEWARY Ashish Kumar Tewary PhD, is Principal Consultant with Infosys ’ SAP Practice. He manages Infosys’ portfolio of solutions on SAP technology platform for RFID and Service-Oriented Architecture. He can be reached at ashish_ tewary@infosys.com.
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