REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT
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Sunday, June 2
2019
TABLE OF CONTENTS Charts and Commentary ……………………………………………….. Market Summary Table ……………………………………………….. Glossary ………………………………………………………………...
Windermere Real Estate/Orcas Island PO Box Box 310 217 Main Street, Suite A, Eastsound WA 98245 www.orcas-island.com orcas@windermere.com 360.376.8000
@WindermereOrcas @windermereorcas
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REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT
RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY Sunday, June 2, 2019
Windermere Real Estate/Orcas Island
Let's take a look
The pending ratio indicates the supply & demand of the market. Specifically, a high ratio means that listings are in demand and quickly going to contract. Alternatively, a low ratio means there are not enough qualified buyers for the existing supply.
at the real estate market. Currently there are 16 sales pending in the market overall, leaving 76 listings still for sale. The resulting pending ratio is 17.4% (16 divided by 92). So you might be asking yourself, that's great... but what exactly does it mean? I'm glad you asked!
"Current inventory is described as somewhat slow."
Taking a closer look, we notice that the $800K - $1,000K price range has a relatively large number of contracts pending sale. We also notice that the $400K - $600K price range has a relatively large inventory of properties for sale at 17 listings. The median list price (or asking price) for all properties in this market is $962,250.
Number of Listings For Sale vs. Pending Contract
Properties For Sale Contracts Pending
Residential Property
18
Updated 6/2/2019, RealMarketReports.com Copyright Š Windermere Real Estate/Orcas Island
16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2
Num Sold vs. Off-Market (Last 6 mos.)
Sold Off-Market
Residential Property
7
Updated 6/2/2019, RealMarketReports.com Copyright Š Windermere Real Estate/Orcas Island
6
$2.8M
$2.6M
$2.4M
$2.2M
$2.0M
$1.8M
$1.6M
$1.4M
$1.2M
$1.0M
$800K
$600K
$400K
$0K
$200K
0
A total of 38 contracts have closed in the last 6 months with a median sold price of $760,000. Breaking it down, we notice that the $400K - $600K price range contains a high number of sold listings.
5 4 3 2 1
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1
$2.8M
$2.6M
$2.4M
$2.2M
$2.0M
$1.8M
$1.6M
$1.4M
$1.2M
$1.0M
$800K
$600K
$400K
$200K
$0K
0
Alternatively, a total of 25 listings have failed to sell in that same period of time. Listings may fail to sell for many reasons such as being priced too high, having been inadequately marketed, the property was in poor condition, or perhaps the owner had second thoughts about selling at this particular time. The $800K - $1,000K price range has the highest number of offmarket listings at 6 properties.
Market Dashboard
REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT
RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY Sunday, June 2, 2019
Windermere Real Estate/Orcas Island
Looking at the chart to the right, you might be wondering why average days on market (DOM) is important. This is a useful measurement because it can help us to determine whether we are in a buyer's market (indicated by high DOM), or a seller's market (indicated by low DOM). Active listings (properties for sale) have been on the market for a median time of 76 days.
Median Days on Market (DOM)
Sold For Sale
Residential Property
1000
Updated 6/2/2019, RealMarketReports.com Copyright © Windermere Real Estate/Orcas Island
900 800 700 600 500 400 300
Analysis of sold properties for the last six months reveals a median sold price of $760,000 and 80 days on market. Notice that properties in the $2.2M - $2.4M price range have sold quickest over the last six months.
200 100
The recent history of sales can be seen in the two charts below. The median sold price for the last 30 days was $898,000 with a DOM of 6 days.
"The median list-to-sales ratio for this area is 93.8%."
Since the recent DOM is less than the median DOM for the last 6 months, it is a positive indicator for demand. It is always important to realize that real estate markets can fluctuate due to many factors, including shifting interest rates, the economy, or seasonal changes.
Ratios are simple ways to express the difference between two values such as list price and sold price. In our case, we typically use the list-to-sale ratio to determine the percentage of the final list price that the buyer ultimately paid. It is a very common method to help buyers decide how much to offer on a property.
Median Sold Prices
$2.8M
$2.6M
$2.4M
$2.2M
$2.0M
$1.8M
$1.6M
$1.4M
$1.2M
$1.0M
$800K
$600K
$400K
$200K
$0K
0
Analysis of the absorption rate indicates an inventory of 12.0 months based on the last 6 months of sales. This estimate is often used to determine how long it would take to sell off the current inventory of properties if all conditions remained the same. It is significant to mention that this estimate does not take into consideration any additional properties that will come onto the market in the future.
Median Days on Market (Sold)
Residential Property
Residential Property
$1000K
300
$800K
250 200
$600K
150 $400K $200K $0K Jan
100 50
Copyright © Windermere Real Estate/Orcas Island Updated 6/2/2019, RealMarketReports.com
Feb
Mar
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Apr
May
Copyright © Windermere Real Estate/Orcas Island Updated 6/2/2019, RealMarketReports.com
0
Jun
2
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Market Dashboard
REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT
RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY Sunday, June 2, 2019
Windermere Real Estate/Orcas Island
16
MARKET SUMMARY TABLE A = Average Value M = Median Value N/A = Not Available
Price Range
76
Low
High
Num #
$0
$199,999
0
$200,000
$399,999
5
$400,000
$599,999
17
$600,000
$799,999
10
$800,000
$999,999
14
$1,000,000
$1,199,999
6
$1,200,000
$1,399,999
4
$1,400,000
$1,599,999
2
$1,600,000
$1,799,999
5
$1,800,000
$1,999,999
4
$2,000,000
$2,199,999
1
$2,200,000
$2,399,999
2
$2,400,000
$2,599,999
1
$2,600,000
$2,799,999
0
$2,800,000
+
5
Market Totals
76
Market Averages Market Medians
25
PENDING [2]
38
ACTIVE [1]
Days on Market
Current List Price
Num #
Pend Ratio
Num #
Num #
0
3
1
3
4
7
3
7
6
7
0
0
4
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2
3
25
38
0 A
137
$ 376,800
M
68
$ 375,000
A
157
$ 495,765
M
66
$ 496,000
A
141
$ 668,701
M
42
$ 644,000
A
167
$ 951,536
M
55
$ 985,000
A
194
$ 1,134,500
M
58
$ 1,147,500
A
146
$ 1,237,500
M
107
$ 1,227,500
A
883
$ 1,522,500
M
883
$ 1,522,500
A
311
$ 1,703,800
M
363
$ 1,699,000
A
962
$ 1,925,000
M
927
$ 1,922,500
A
15
$ 2,100,000
M
15
$ 2,100,000
A
87
$ 2,367,500
M
87
$ 2,367,500
A
1
$ 2,490,000
M
1
$ 2,490,000
A
271
$ 6,110,000
M
37
$ 3,600,000
OFF-MARKET (last 6 mos) [3]
3
38%
4
19%
2
17%
5
26%
2
16
67%
17%
ABSORPTION RATE (months of inventory)
SOLD/CLOSED (last 6 months) [4]
Days on Market
Original List Price
Final List Price
Sold/ Closed Price
ListSale Ratio
A
114
$ 213,667
$ 207,000
$ 187,333
90%
M
23
$ 219,000
$ 199,000
$ 195,000
98%
A
246
$ 352,333
$ 336,000
$ 319,667
95%
M
357
$ 369,000
$ 369,000
$ 350,000
95%
A
117
$ 522,357
$ 516,571
$ 489,322
95%
M
110
$ 539,000
$ 525,000
$ 510,000
97%
A
240
$ 814,143
$ 720,571
$ 703,786
98%
M
85
$ 795,000
$ 699,000
$ 699,000 100%
A
365
$ 1,104,000
$ 936,786
$ 908,357
97%
M
138
$ 990,000
$ 949,000
$ 925,000
97%
A
290
$ 1,480,000
$ 1,267,500
$ 1,095,309
86%
M
257
$ 1,237,500
$ 1,237,500
$ 1,110,000
90%
A
56
$ 1,295,000
$ 1,295,000
$ 1,275,000
98%
M
56
$ 1,295,000
$ 1,295,000
$ 1,275,000
98%
A
75
$ 2,100,000
$ 2,100,000
$ 1,850,000
88%
M
75
$ 2,100,000
$ 2,100,000
$ 1,850,000
88%
A
7
$ 2,500,000
$ 2,500,000
$ 2,312,500
93%
M
7
$ 2,500,000
$ 2,500,000
$ 2,312,500
93%
A
201
$ 6,660,000
$ 6,460,000
$ 5,758,333
89%
M
60
$ 5,500,000
$ 4,900,000
$ 4,600,000
94%
212 $1,396,750 $1,307,671 $1,200,987 92%
76
80
Date Range (Off-Market & Sold) = 12/02/2018 to 06/02/2019 Data believed to be accurate but not guaranteed.
N/A 10 14.6 8.6 12 9 24
24
6
10 12
231 $1,331,796 $ 962,250
Est. Mos.
$ 896,500
Favors Sellers
$ 810,000
$ 760,000 94% Favors Buyers
Status = [1] Active; [2] Contingent, Pending, Pending Feasibility, Pending Inspection, Pending Short Sale, Pending BU Requested; [3] Cancelled, Temp. Off Mrkt., Expired, Sale Fail Release; [4] Sold Area = 901 - Orcas PropertyType = Single Family PropertySubType = Residential
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Market Summary Table
REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT
RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY Sunday, June 2, 2019
Windermere Real Estate/Orcas Island
1. PROPERTIES FOR SALE (ACTIVE) a. Number Active: The number of listings for sale which are currently being marketed but do not yet have a purchase agreement. b. Days on Market (DOM): The marketing period of currently active listings. This does not account for some listings which have had a previous listing period, but were re-entered as a new listing. c. Current List Price: The price that a property seller is currently asking. 2. CONTRACTS PENDING a. Number Pending: The number of current listings for which a contract has been signed but has not yet closed. b. Pending Ratio: Sometimes called a “list-to-pending ratio�. This is a measure of how fast properties are going under contract vs. how fast they are being listed. Pending Ratio =
P (Number of Pending Listings) A+P (Number of Active + Pending)
(P) represents properties that buyers have chosen (A+P) represents the entire pool from which they have chosen 3. OFF-MARKET a. Number Off-Market: The number of listing agreements that have failed to close in the last 6 months. Some owners may choose to re-offer their property for sale. 4. PROPERTIES SOLD (CLOSED CONTRACT) a. Number Sold: The number of properties that have gone to a closing in the last 6 months. b. Days on Market (DOM): The marketing time it has taken properties to sell in the last 6 months. c. Original List Price: The price at which a sold property was originally marketed. d. Final List Price: The price at which a sold property was marketed just prior to selling. e. Sold/Closed Price: The price for which a property sold. f.
List to Sales Ratio: The percentage of the list price that the buyer ultimately paid for the property. List to Sales Ratio =
Sold Price Final List Price
5. ABSORPTION RATE / MONTHS OF INVENTORY a. Absorption Rate / Months of Inventory: An estimate of how fast listings are currently selling measured in months. For example, if 100 properties sell per month and there are 800 properties for sale - there is an 8 month supply of inventory before counting the additional properties that will come on the market.
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Glossary