Special Article Why Do Stocks Form a ‘Cup-with-Handle’? “Like the x-rays used by doctors, charts tell you at a knowledgeable glance if an individual stock, or the stock market in general, is healthy or sick. In doing so, they let you know if you should be in or out of the stock or in out of the market. And that, as you will see, makes all the difference.” - William J. O’Neil For long, investing based on patterns made by stock prices have evoked mixed reactions amongst investors. Some historic, baseless allegations include believing stock price patterns as work of black magic! Very few investors have made an effort to understand the psyche behind how a stock price makes recognizable patterns, including our founder William O’Neil. He established set of investing rules, alongside stock price pattern recognition, which has a potential to produce hefty returns.
The cup-with-handle formation occurs frequently before big moves made by stocks and such occurrences are no coincidence. Price patterns are a result of tug of war between buyers and sellers. When an initial rally in a stock begins, Initial investors who are sitting on small profits would get tempted to book their profits, and that’s when the bottom of the cup forms. A cup-with-handle is a key price pattern which helps investors time the market. Some of its characteristics are as follows: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Prior run-up of at least 30% Occurs over at least seven weeks The handle must form in the upper half of the base Volume decreases in the handle Volume on breakout should be at least 40-50% greater than average volume
