Healthy and sustainable: why walking and cycling are central to public health policy Philip Insall Director, Active Travel, Sustrans
Transport policy has damaged public health • climate change emissions • local air pollution • obesity epidemic • road danger • difficulties of access • quality of life
Global climate change Climate change is also a public health issue , 6 0 0 2 n i e l p * o n e o p i t 0 a 0 s i 0 , n 0 a 5 g 1 r d O lle th i l k a e e H g n d l a r h o c W e t e a Clim ing to th d r o c ac *www.who.int/globalchange/climate
Polluted urban air EU urban population exposed to air pollution above EC limits, %, 1999
100 80 60 40 20 0
ozone
nitrogen oxides
Source: European Environment Agency
PM10 particulates
Road casualties Europe, 2005: 41,000 dead 1.9 million injured
The roads ARE dangerous
Inactive lifestyles • obesity • cardio-vascular disease • type II diabetes • many cancers • mental ill-health…. • cost over €15 billion in UK alone
Physical inactivity is a big problem “Besides the human costs of inactivity in terms of mortality, morbidity and quality of life, the report highlighted an estimate for the cost of inactivity in England to be £8.2 billion annually. This excludes the contribution of physical inactivity to overweight and obesity, whose overall cost might run to £6.6 - £7.4 billion per year according to recent estimates.” Choosing Activity: a physical activity action plan (DH, 2005)
A worldwide epidemic of obesity
We eat too much, and choose unhealthy foods
We are not active enough, including in our travel choices
Who leads the world in obesity? Who do you think?
‌.. the following slides are courtesy of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, USA‌..
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1985
No Data
<10%
10%â&#x20AC;&#x201C;14%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1986
No Data
<10%
10%â&#x20AC;&#x201C;14%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1987
No Data
<10%
10%â&#x20AC;&#x201C;14%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1988
No Data
<10%
10%â&#x20AC;&#x201C;14%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1989
No Data
<10%
10%â&#x20AC;&#x201C;14%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1990
No Data
<10%
10%â&#x20AC;&#x201C;14%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1991
No Data
<10%
10%–14%
15%–19%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1992
No Data
<10%
10%–14%
15%–19%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1993
No Data
<10%
10%–14%
15%–19%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1994
No Data
<10%
10%–14%
15%–19%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1995
No Data
<10%
10%–14%
15%–19%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1996
No Data
<10%
10%–14%
15%–19%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1997
No Data
<10%
10%–14%
15%–19%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
20%-24%
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1998
No Data
<10%
10%–14%
15%–19%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
20%-24%
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 1999
No Data
<10%
10%–14%
15%–19%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
20%-24%
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 2000
No Data
<10%
10%–14%
15%–19%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
20%-24%
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 2001
No Data
<10%
10%–14%
15%–19%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
20%-24%
≥25%
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 2002 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’4” person)
No Data
<10%
10%–14%
15%–19%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
20%-24%
≥25%
Obesity Trends Among U.S. Adults 2003
No Data
<10%
10%–14%
15%–19%
Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC
20%-24%
≥25%
Predicted UK growth in obesityrelated disease by 2030 From â&#x20AC;&#x153;Our health, our care, our sayâ&#x20AC;? white paper 60%
+54%
50% 40% +28%
30% +18%
20% 10%
+12% +5%
0% Stroke
Angina
Heart Attack
Hypertension
Source: Living in Britain 2004: Results from the 2002 General Household Survey; National Food Survey 2000 Table B1
Type 2 diabetes
The UK obesity epidemicâ&#x20AC;Ś.. â&#x20AC;Ś.. is explained by <1.5 kg per annum weight gain
Source: Fox / Hillsdon presentation to UK government Foresight policy development programme on obesity
The UK obesity epidemic….. ….. is explained by <1.5 kg per annum weight gain Distance walked per person per annum….. ….. fell 110km over 20 years…..
….. equivalent to 1kg of fat gain, per annum 600 500 400 300 200 100
Walk miles
0 1975/6
1989/91
1995/7
Source: Fox / Hillsdon presentation to UK government Foresight policy development programme on obesity
Car miles x 10
We have made our environments â&#x20AC;&#x153;obesogenicâ&#x20AC;?
Prevalence of overweight children (IOTF 2002)
15% 18% 11%
Sweden
Germany
UK
10%
Levels of cycling (DfT 1996)
Switzerland
15%
22%
2%
16%
Environments condition behaviour Modification of social, economic, and environmental factors may yield greater health dividends than individual lifestyle approaches. Indeed such interventions may be necessary before individual lifestyle approaches can be effective. Lawlor et al, Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health
A cross-sector issue With cross-sector solutions
Transport policy can now contribute to healthy, low-carbon lifestyles
Restrain private motor traffic â&#x20AC;&#x153;we recommend that the government develops and strengthens requirements for Local Transport Plans, such that by the end of 2008 they can include statutory targets for reduction in urban trafficâ&#x20AC;? Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution Report on the Urban Environment, 2007
Changes people can really make “For most people, the easiest and most acceptable forms of physical activity are those that can be incorporated into everyday life. Examples include walking or cycling instead of travelling by car….. At least five a week; the Chief Medical Officer’s report on physical activity, 2004
Urban transport and healthy living “Urban planners .…. need to integrate health and active living considerations fully into their work… … transport officials can provide a balanced transport system that enables residents to walk or cycle to shops, school and work.” Promoting physical activity and active living in urban environments, World Health Organisation, 2006
Mobilityâ&#x20AC;Ś.. or accessibility?
Mobilityâ&#x20AC;Ś.. or accessibility? â&#x20AC;˘ Transport policy has prioritised mobility : the ability to travel â&#x20AC;&#x201C; sometimes long distances
Mobility….. or accessibility? • Accessibility : access to the goods and services people need • the ideal is maximum accessibility with minimum mobility
Potential for change Analysis of travel behaviour shows very significant potential for change to more active modes
Constants in travel behaviour Daily mobility
On average, people make three trips per day, spending one hour travelling
Activities
Only one in five trips is work-related
Spatial orientation
Five out of six trips begin or end at home
Car trips
10% are not further than 1km, 30% are not further than 3km and 50% are not further than 5km
Potential for change What scale of travel behaviour change is possible?
Potential for sustainable travel modes % trips per person: Sustainable Travel Demonstration Towns Circumstances enforce car use
Actual usage (walking, bicycle, public transport)
9 35
Potential for sustainable travel modes % trips per person: Sustainable Travel Demonstration Towns Circumstances enforce car use
Actual usage (walking, bicycle, public transport)
9
No adequate alternative
35 27
Potential for sustainable travel modes % trips per person: Sustainable Travel Demonstration Towns Circumstances enforce car use
Actual usage (walking, bicycle, public transport)
9
No adequate alternative
35 27 29
Only subjective reasons against STM
Potential for sustainable travel modes without significant environmental modification
Environmental factors â&#x20AC;&#x153;enforceâ&#x20AC;? private motorised modes
36 64 Immediate potential for walking, cycling & public transport
Potential for sustainable travel modes with environmental intervention
Motorised private modes
25
i t s i l a e d “I
t s i l a e r n u , c
d a r ic, 75
” . . … l a c i Walking, cycling & public transport
Idealistic, unrealistic, radical?
Mode choice in Basel, Switzerland % trips per person
Motorised private modes
25 75
Walking, cycling & public transport
Examples of intervention What should we do to make urban transport systems better?
Re-allocate road space Take space from motor traffic and return it to walking and cycling Bristol, UK
Keep motor traffic out
Wien, Austria
Design for healthy, sustainable travel
Nordrhein-Westfalen, Germany
• Target: cycling up from 12 to 25% of urban trips • Investment: €1.4 billion, 1978 - 2006 • Some cities now achieve 35% of trips by bike
Significant, incremental, long-term London Congestion Charge
Show leadership
Case study: Odense
Odense – Denmark’s “cycling city” • 185,000 citizens (typical Scandinavian city) • • • • • • •
multi-year programme – main intervention 1999 – 2002 central government funding at €11 per capita per annum main focus on cycling very wide range of measures physical measures – bus and cycle priority promotion and marketing – many initiatives monitoring
Odense – results (1999 – 2002) • cycling up 20%, still growing • • • • • • • •
car traffic down 15% shift to shorter local journeys increase in walking public transport travel fell too improved road safety raised physical activity levels significant reduction in cost of ill-health Odense continues to innovate…..
Case study: National Cycle Network
Composition of the Network Traffic-calmed urban roads
Composition of the Network
Quiet rural roads and lanes
Composition of the Network
Traffic-free greenways (30% of total)
Designed for multiple trip purposes
leisure and recreationâ&#x20AC;Ś
…shopping and personal business...
â&#x20AC;Ścommuting to work...
…school travel
â&#x20AC;Ś attractive traffic-free routes...
…without gaps or obstacles...
…with iconic, memorable structures...
Art and the travelling landscape
Development of the Network
National Cycle Network 1995: plans for 2,500 miles (4,000km)
National Cycle Network 5,000 miles (8,000km) open in 2000
National Cycle Network 10,000 miles (16,000km) in 2005
….. and construction continues…..
The National Cycle Network: changing people’s travel behaviour • • • •
338 million active trips in 2006 50:50 walking and cycling 91 million replaced a car trip 78% “more active thanks to the Network” • focused on deprived neighbourhoods • used for all trip purposes
Walking and cycling investment is excellent value for money cost : benefit analysis of three UK construction projects • average benefit : cost ratio 20:1 • motor transport projects, ratio 3:1 • many road transport projects have negative value