McGOWANGROUP ASSET MANAGEMENT
NetWorth Radio The CashFlow Revolution™
Table of Contents Market Commentary MGAM Weekly Economic Update …………………………………………………………………………
Page 3
JPMorgan Guide to the Markets Excerpts ………….…………………………………………………
Page 5
Guggenheim – The Core Conundrum…………………………………………………………………….
Page 15
Investment Information Cash Flow Strategies ………………………………………………………………………………………….…
Page 31
Candidate List ………………………………………………………………………………………………………
Page 35
Dividend Report …………………………………………………………………………………………………..
Page 39
Disclosures Disclosures ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………
Page 46
2
200 Crescent Court #657 Dallas, TX 75201 Phone: (214) 720-4400 Fax: (214) 720-4420 info@themcgowangroup.com
WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE February 18, 2013 RETAIL SALES RISE IN JANUARY The increase was minimal – just 0.1% after the 0.5% advance in December – but still welcome in the face of the 2013 payroll tax hike and higher gas prices. Commerce Department data showed core retail sales (which exclude auto, gas and home improvement purchases) up 0.1% for January; they rose 0.7% in December.1 CONSUMERS REGAIN SOME OPTIMISM January’s preliminary consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan showed real improvement – an increase of 2.5 points to a three-month peak of 76.3. Economists polled by Bloomberg had expected a reading of 74.8. The index averaged just 64.2 during the 2007-2009 recession.2 GOLD FALLS $26 IN A DAY The precious metal slipped 1.6% Friday and 3.4% for the week to a Friday close of $1,609.50 on the COMEX, recovering a bit from an intraday dip under $1,600. NYMEX crude futures eked out a 0.1% weekly gain, settling at $95.86 Friday.3 S&P 500 ADVANCES FOR A SEVENTH STRAIGHT WEEK When was the last time the S&P started a year with a seven-week win streak? 1967. That achievement aside, it hasn’t had a winning streak this long in more than two years. The S&P gained 0.12% across five trading days to settle at 1,519.79 Friday, while the Dow saw its second straight weekly retreat (-0.08% to 13,981.76) and the NASDAQ (-0.06% to 3,192.03) also logged a slight weekly decline. The CBOE VIX ended the week at 12.46.3,4 THIS WEEK U.S. financial markets are closed Monday for the Presidents’ Day holiday. A new NAHB housing market index appears Tuesday, plus earnings from Herbalife, Medtronic, Express Scripts, Analog Devices, CF Industries, Dell, Marriott, and Fidelity National. January’s Producer Price Index arrives on Wednesday, along with minutes from last month’s FOMC meeting and Census Bureau reports on January housing starts and building permits; quarterly results come in from Sodastream, Devon Energy, Dish Network, BHP Billiton, Garmin, Toll Brothers, Cheesecake Factory and Tesla Motors. The NAR announces existing home sales for January on Thursday; last month’s Consumer Price Index also appears, along with the Conference Board’s latest index of leading indicators, new initial claims figures and earnings from Hewlett-Packard, Wal-Mart, Hormel, Chesapeake Energy, Safeway, AIG, Cabot Oil & Gas, Newmont Mining and Nordstrom. Friday brings quarterly results from Abercrombie & Fitch.
3
% CHANGE DJIA NASDAQ S&P 500 REAL YIELD 10 YR TIPS
Y-T-D +6.70 +5.71 +6.56 2/15 RATE -0.53%
1-YR CHG +9.40 +9.47 +13.14 1 YR AGO -0.26%
5-YR AVG +2.65 +7.50 +2.52 5 YRS AGO 1.48%
10-YR AVG +7.68 +14.36 +8.20 10 YRS AGO 2.03% 4,5,6,7
Sources: cnbc.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov - 2/15/13 Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends.
Citations. 1 - www.reuters.com/article/2013/02/13/usa-economy-retail-idUSL1N0BCCZM20130213 [2/13/13] 2 - www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-15/u-s-michigan-consumer-sentiment-index-rose-to-76-3-in-february.html [2/15/13] 3 - www.nasdaq.com/article/dow-closes-a-second-week-in-the-red-despite-late-rally-cm218372 [2/15/13] 4 - www.cnbc.com/id/100463705 [2/15/13] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F15%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/15/13] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F15%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/15/13] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F15%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/15/13] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F15%2F08&x=0&y=0 [2/15/13] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F15%2F08&x=0&y=0 [2/15/13] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F15%2F08&x=0&y=0 [2/15/13] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F14%2F03&x=0&y=0 [2/15/13] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F14%2F03&x=0&y=0 [2/15/13] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F14%2F03&x=0&y=0 [2/15/13] 6 - www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [2/15/13] 7 - www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [2/15/13]
This material was prepared by MarketingLibrary.Net Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. Marketing Library.Net Inc. is not affiliated with any broker or brokerage firm that may be providing this information to you. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.
4
Fixed Income Sector Returns 2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
4Q12
High Yield
EMD
EMD
High Yield
TIPS
Treas.
High Yield
High Yield
TIPS
EMD
EMD
EMD
EMD
29.0%
11.9%
12.3%
11.8%
11.6%
13.7%
58.2%
15.1%
13.6%
17.9%
3.3%
200.3%
11.6%
EMD
Treas.
MBS
EMD
EMD
Muni
High Yield
High Yield
High Yield
High Yield
9.0%
8.3%
34.2%
12.8%
10.7%
15.8%
3.3%
174.3%
10.6%
Barclays Agg 7.0%
Barclays Agg 5.2%
Corp.
Corp.
Treas.
Corp.
Corp.
18.7%
9.0%
9.8%
9.8%
1.1%
Asset Alloc. 94.3%
Asset Alloc. 6.9%
Asset Alloc. -1.4%
Asset Alloc. 15.8%
Asset Alloc. 7.6%
Asset Alloc. 8.9%
Asset Alloc. 7.8%
Asset Alloc. 1.0%
TIPS
TIPS
90.4%
6.7%
Corp.
TIPS
TIPS
Corp.
Corp.
8.1%
7.0%
0.7%
84.7%
6.3%
Muni
Muni
Barclays B l Agg 65.8%
Barclays B l Agg 5.2%
EMD
High Yield
26.9%
11.1%
Asset Alloc. 9.7%
Asset Alloc. 3.6%
10.0%
TIPS
Muni
MBS
8.5%
3.5%
5.2%
8.4%
Asset Alloc. 6.3%
Corp.
2.8%
Asset Alloc. 5.1%
Corp.
Treas.
Muni
8.2%
5.4%
2.8%
4.8%
Muni
MBS
High Yield
5.3%
4.7%
2.7%
TIPS
Fixed In ncome
10-yrs '03 - '12 Cum. Ann.
2003
Barclays Agg 4.1%
Muni
TIPS
Barclays B l Agg 4.3%
6.9% Asset Alloc. 6.2%
TIPS
Muni
-2.4%
12.9%
Barclays Agg 6.5%
EMD
Muni
TIPS
TIPS
5.2%
-2.5%
11.4%
6.3%
MBS
Corp.
Corp.
Corp.
4.3%
4.6%
-4.9%
Barclays Agg 5.9%
Treas.
Muni
EMD
3.1%
3.4%
-14.7%
4.5%
2.6%
3.1%
Barclays Agg 4.3%
Barclays Agg 2.4%
Treas.
Treas.
Corp.
TIPS
2.2%
3.5%
1.7%
0.4%
MBS
MBS
High Yield High Yield 1.9%
-26.2%
Barclays B l Agg 7.8%
6.8%
0.7% Barclays Agg 0.2%
Muni
Muni
64.5%
5.1%
Treas.
EMD
5.9%
7.0%
Barclays Agg 4.2%
MBS
MBS
MBS
MBS
Treas.
MBS
MBS
5.9%
5.4%
6.2%
2.6%
-0.1%
64.1%
5.1%
Treas.
Muni
High Yield
Treas.
MBS
Treas.
Treas.
-3.6%
2.4%
5.0%
2.0%
-0.2%
59.0%
4.7%
Source: Barclays Capital, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Fixed income sectors shown above are provided by Barclays Capital and are represented by: Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Index; MBS: Fixed Rate MBS Index; Corporate: U.S. Corporates; Municipals: Muni Bond Index; Emerging Debt: Emerging Markets Index; High Yield: Corporate High Yield Index; Treasuries: Barclays Capital U.S. Treasury; TIPS: Barclays Capital TIPS. The “Asset Allocation” portfolio assumes the following weights: 10% in MBS, 20% in Corporate, 15% in Municipals, 10% in Emerging Debt, 10% in High Yield, 25% in Treasuries, 10% in TIPS. Asset allocation portfolio assumes annual rebalancing. 5
34
Data are as of 12/31/12.
Federal Finances: Outlays and Revenues The 2012 Federal Budget
Federal Outlays and Receipts
1960 – 2012, % of GDP
CBO Baseline forecast, trillions USD
26%
$4.0
T t l Spending: Total S di $3.6tn $3 6t $3.5
Econom my
$3.0
$2.5
$2.0
Other $482bn (14%) Net Int.: $220bn (6%) Non-defense Non defense Discretionary: $620bn (17%) Defense: $669bn (19%)
24%
Borrowing: $1,158bn (32%) 2012: 22.8%
% 22%
Other: $226bn (6%) Average: 20.5%
20%
Social Insurance: $ $841bn (23%)
$1.5
Social Security: $768bn (22%)
Corp.: $237bn (7%)
18%
Average: 17.9%
$1.0
$0.5
Medicare & Medicaid: $804bn (23%)
Income: $1,165bn (32%)
$0.0 Total Government Spending
Sources of Financing
16%
14% 1960
Revenues Outlays
1970
1980
1990
2000
2012: 15.8%
2010
Source: U.S. Treasury, BEA, OMB, CBO, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. 2012 Federal Budget is based on the CBO’s August 2012 Baseline Scenario. Note: Years shown are fiscal years (Oct. 1 through Sep. 30). Revenue breakout is based on 2012 tax revenue estimates from the Office of Management and Budget. Data are as of 12/31/12.
20
6
Economic Growth and the Composition of GDP Components of GDP
Real GDP % chg at annual rate
20-yr avg. 3Q12
10%
Real GDP:
2.5%
3Q12 nominal GDP, billions USD
3.1%
8%
2.5% Housing $16,000
10.7% Investment ex-housing
6%
Econom my
$18,000
$14,000 $625 bn of output p lost
4%
$12 000 $12,000
2%
19.6% Gov’tt Spending Gov
$10,000
0%
$8,000
-2% 2%
$951 bn b off output recovered
-4%
$6,000
71.0% Consumption
$4,000
-6% $2,000
-8% $0
- 3.3% Net Exports
-10% '04
'06
'08
'10
'12
-$2,000
Source: BEA, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. GDP values l shown h iin llegend d are % change h vs. prior i quarter t annualized li d and d reflect fl t 3Q12 GDP. GDP Data are as of 12/31/12.
7
16
Corporate Profits Adjusted After-Tax Corporate Profits (% of GDP)
S&P 500 Earnings Per Share
Operating basis, quarterly
2Q07: $24.06
$26
Equities
3Q12: $24.36
$23
Includes inventory and capital consumption adjustments 3Q12: 9 6% 9.6%
11%
10%
$20
9%
$17 8% $14 7% $11
50-yr. avg.: 6.2% 6%
$8 5%
$5
4%
$2 -$1 '02
'04
'06
'08
'10
'12
3% '65
'70
'75
'80
'85
'90
'95
'00
'05
'10
Source: Standard & Poor’s, Compustat, BEA, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. EPS levels are based on operating earnings per share. Most recently available data is 3Q12. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Data are as of 12/31/12.
9
8
Consumer Finances Consumer Balance Sheet Trillions of dollars outstanding, not seasonally adjusted $80
Econom my
$70
Total Assets: $78.2tn $78 2tn
2Q-’07 Peak: $81.5tn 1Q-’09 Low: $65.2tn
Household Debt Service Ratio Debt payments as % of disposable personal income, seasonally adjusted 15%
3Q07: 14.1%
Homes: 25%
14%
$60
Other Tangible: 7% $50
$40
13%
Deposits: 10%
Pension Funds: 18% 12%
$30
$20
Revolving (e.g.: credit cards): 6% Non-revolving: 14% Other Liabilities: 8% Other Financial Assets: 41%
1Q80: 11.1% 11%
Total Liabilities: $13.4tn
$10
4Q12*: 10.4%
Mortgages: 72% $0
10% '80
'85
'90
'95
'00
'05
'10
Source: (Left) FRB, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data includes households and nonprofit organizations. (Right) BEA, FRB, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. *4Q12 Household Debt Service Ratio is a J.P. Morgan Asset Management estimate. Data are as of 12/31/12.
9
18
The Aftermath of the Housing Bubble Home Prices
Monthly Rent vs. Monthly Mortgage Payment
Indexed to 100, seasonally adjusted 160
$1,100
Vacant properties Case Shiller 20-city FHFA Purchase Only Average Existing Home
150
M thl Monthly Mortgage Payment
$950 $800
4Q12*: $718
Econom my
$650 $500
140
4Q12*: $481
Monthly Rent
$350 $200
130
'88
'90
'92
'94
'96
'98
'00
'02
'04
'06
'08
'10
'12
Home Inventories Milli Millions, annuall rate, t seasonally ll adjusted dj t d
120
4.5 4.0
110
3.5 30 3.0
100
2.5
Nov. 2012: 2.2
2.0
90 '03
24
'04
'05
'06
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
'12
1.5
'94
'96
'98
'00
'02
'04
'06
'08
'10
'12
Sources: (Left) National Association of Realtors, Standard & Poor’s, FHFA, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Top right) Census Bureau, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Monthly mortgage payment assumes a 20% down payment at prevailing 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rates; analysis based on median asking rent and median mortgage payment based on asking price. (Bottom right) Census Bureau, National Association of Realtors, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. *4Q12 rent and mortgage payment values are J.P. Morgan Asset Management estimates. 10 Data are as of 12/31/12.
Domestic Natural Gas U.S. Natural Gas Reserves and Prices
U.S. Natural Gas Production
Trillions of cubic meters, USD
Trillions of cubic feet per year
9
30
EIA forecast
Natural Gas Price
Reserves
$10
8
$9
7
$8 $7
6
25
$6
5
$5
Econom my
4
$4
3
Shale Gas
20
$3
2
$2
1
$1
0
$0 '90
15
'92
'94
'96
'98
'00
'02
'04
'06
'08
'10
Natural Gas Prices by Country USD per mmBTU* BTU* $16 $14
10
$12
Other
$10
China
Japan p
$6 $4 $2
0 1990
$14.10
$10.11
$8 5
$13.70
$4.03
$0 1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
United States
United Kingdom g
Source: EIA, BP, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. *mmBTU represents 10,000 million British thermal units. Data are as of 12/31/12.
32
11
Asset Class Returns 2003 MS CI EME 56.3%
Asset Class
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Ba rc la ys Agg 5.2%
MS CI EME 79.0% MS CI EAFE 32.5%
2010
2011
2012
REITs
REITs
REITs
27.9%
8.3%
19 . 7 %
MS CI EAFE 6.6%
Russe ll 2000 26.9%
Ba rc la ys Agg 7.8%
MS CI EME 18 . 6 %
MS CI EME 5.6%
Ma rke t Ne utra l 4.5%
MS CI EAFE 17 . 9 %
S &P 500 2 . 1%
Russe ll 2000 16 . 3 %
3 1. 6 %
MS CI EME 34.5%
3 5 . 1%
MS CI EME 39.8%
Russe ll 2000 47.3%
MS CI EME 26.0%
DJ UBS Cmdty 2 1. 4 %
MS CI EME 32.6%
DJ UBS Cmdty 16 . 2 %
MS CI EAFE 39.2%
MS CI EAFE 20.7%
MS CI EAFE 14 . 0 %
MS CI EAFE 26.9%
MS CI EAFE 11. 6 %
Ma rke t Ne utra l 1. 1%
28.0%
MS CI EME 19 . 2 %
Ma rke t Ne utra l 9.3%
Asse t Alloc . - 24.0%
Russe ll 2000 27.2%
DJ UBS Cmdty 16 . 8 %
REITs
REITs
Ca sh 1. 8 %
REITs
3 7 . 1%
Russe ll 2000 18 . 3 %
12 . 2 %
Russe ll 2000 18 . 4 %
S &P 500 28.7%
Asse t Alloc . 12 . 5 %
Asse t Alloc . 8.3%
S &P 500 15 . 8 %
Asse t Alloc . 7.4%
Russe ll 2000 - 33.8%
S &P 500 26.5%
S &P 500 15 . 1%
0 . 1%
S &P 500 16 . 0 %
Asse t Alloc . 2 5 . 1%
S &P 500 10 . 9 %
Ma rke t Ne utra l 6 . 1%
Asse t Alloc . 15 . 2 %
Ba rc la ys Agg gg 7.0%
DJ UBS y Cmdty - 35.6%
Asse t Alloc . 22.2%
Asse t Alloc . 12 . 5 %
Asse t Alloc . - 0.6%
Asse t Alloc . 11. 2 %
DJ UBS Cmdty 23.9%
DJ UBS Cmdty 9 . 1%
S &P 500 4.9%
Ma rke t Ne utra l 11. 2 %
S &P 500 5.5%
S &P 500 - 37.0%
DJ UBS Cmdty 18 . 9 %
MS CI EAFE 8.2%
Russe ll 2000 - 4.2%
Ba rc la ys Agg 4.2%
Ma rke t Ne utra l 7 . 1%
Ma rke t Ne utra l 6.5%
Russe ll 2000 4.6%
Ca sh
Ca sh
REITs
4.8%
4.8%
- 37.7%
Russe ll 2000 - 1. 6 %
MS CI EAFE - 4 3 . 1%
REIT REITs
55
2004
Ba rc la ys Ba rc la ys Agg Agg 4 . 1% 4.3%
REIT REITs
3.0%
Ba rc la ys Agg 4.3% DJ UBS Cmdty
REITs
MS CI EME
2 . 1%
- 15 . 7 %
- 53.2%
Ca sh
Ca sh
Ca sh
Ba rc la ys Agg
1. 0 %
1. 2 %
2.4%
Ba rc la ys Ba rc la ys Agg Agg 5.9% 6.5%
Ca sh
MS CI EAFE - 11. 7 %
4Q12
10-yrs '03 - '12 Cum. Ann. MS CI EME 376.0%
MS CI EME 16 . 9 %
REITs
REITs
204.6%
11. 8 %
3 . 1%
Russe ll 2000 15 2 . 8 %
Russe ll 2000 9.7%
Russe ll 2000 1. 9 %
MS CI EAFE 13 0 . 3 %
MS CI EAFE 8.7%
Asse t Alloc . 1. 3 %
Asse t Alloc . 117 . 7 %
Asse t Alloc . 8 . 1%
Ba rc la ys Agg gg 0.2%
S &P 500 98.6%
S &P 500 7 . 1%
0.0%
Ba rc la ys Agg 65.8%
Ba rc la ys Agg 5.2%
Ma rke t Ne utra l 60.2%
Ma rke t Ne utra l 4.8%
REITs
Ca sh
0 . 1%
Ma rke t Ne utra l 0.0%
0 . 1%
DJ UBS Cmdty - 13 . 3 %
Ma rke t Ne utra l 0.0%
S &P 500 - 0.4%
DJ UBS Cmdty 49.3%
DJ UBS Cmdty 4 . 1%
Ca sh
Ma rke t Ne utra l
MS CI EME
DJ UBS Cmdty
DJ UBS Cmdty
Ca sh
Ca sh
0 . 1%
- 0.8%
- 18 . 2 %
- 1. 1%
- 6.3%
18 . 2 %
1. 7 %
Ma rke t Ne utra l 4 . 1%
Ca sh
Ca sh
Source: Russell,, MSCI,, Dow Jones,, Standard & Poor’s,, Credit Suisse,, Barclays y Capital, p , NAREIT,, FactSet,, J.P. Morgan g Asset Management. g The “Asset Allocation” portfolio assumes the following weights: 25% in the S&P 500, 10% in the Russell 2000, 15% in the MSCI EAFE, 5% in the MSCI EMI, 25% in the Barclays Capital Aggregate, 5% in the Barclays 1-3m Treasury, 5% in the CS/Tremont Equity Market Neutral Index, 5% in the DJ UBS Commodity Index and 5% in the NAREIT Equity REIT Index. Balanced portfolio assumes annual rebalancing. All data represents total return for stated period. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Data are as of 12/31/12, except for the CS/Tremont Equity Market Neutral Index, which reflects data through 11/30/12. “10-yrs” returns represent period of 1/1/03 – 12/31/12 showing both cumulative (Cum.) and annualized (Ann.) over the period. Please see disclosure page at end for index definitions. *Market Neutral returns include estimates found in disclosures. Data are as of 12/31/12.
12
Stock Valuation Measures: S&P 500 Index
Equities
S&P 500 Index: Valuation Measures Valuation Measure P/E / P/B P/CF P/S PEG Div. Yield
Description Price to Earnings Price to Book Price to Cash Flow Price to Sales Price/Earnings to Growth Dividend Yield
Historical Averages 3-year 5-year avg. avg.
Latest*
1-year ago
10-year avg.
15-year avg.
12.5x
11.8x
12.6x
12.8x
14.2x
16.7x
2.3
2.1
2.1
2.2
2.5
3.0
8.5
8.1
8.4
8.4
9.7
11.0
1.2
1.1
1.2
1.1
1.3
1.5
1.3
1.2
0.9
1.7
1.5
1.5
2.4%
2.3%
2.2%
2.3%
2.1%
1.9%
S&P 500 Shiller Cyclically Adjusted P/E
S&P 500 Earnings Yield vs. Baa Bond Yield
Adjusted using trailing 10-yr. avg. inflation adjusted earnings
10%
S&P 500 Earnings Yield: ((Inverse of fwd. P/E)) 8.0%
50x 9%
40x
8%
4Q12: 21.1x
30x
6%
Average: 19.0x
20x
7%
5%
10x 0x
Moody’s Baa Yield: 4.6%
4%
'55
'60
'65
'70
'75
'80
'85
'90
'95
'00
'05
'10
3% '94
'96
'98
'00
'02
'04
'06
'08
'10
'12
Source: (Top) Standard & Poor’s, FactSet, Robert Shiller Data, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Price to Earnings is price divided by consensus analyst estimates of earnings per share for the next 12 months. Price to Book is price divided by book value per share. Data post-1992 post 1992 include intangibles and are provided by Standard & Poor’s Poor s. Price to Cash Flow is price divided by consensus analyst estimates of cash flow per share for the next 12 months. Price to Sales is calculated as price divided by consensus analyst estimates of sales per share for the next 12 months. PEG Ratio is calculated as NTM P/E divided by NTM earnings growth. Dividend Yield is calculated as consensus analyst estimates of dividends for the next 12 months divided by price. All consensus analyst estimates are provided by FactSet. (Bottom left) Cyclically adjusted P/E uses as reported earnings throughout. *Latest reflects data as of 12/31/2012. (Bottom right) Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. 13 Data are as of 12/31/12.
7
Mutual Fund Flows Fund Flows Billions, USD
AUM
YTD 2012
2011
2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998
World Equity
4,290 4 290 1,562
(130) 7
(132) 4
(81) 58
(28) 28
Taxable Bond Tax-exempt Bond
2,832 590
244 53
136 (12)
230 11
311 69
22 8
980
46
30
24
10
(26)
2,617
(77)
(124)
Domestic Equity
Hybrid Money Market
(525) (539) 637
Cumulative Flows into Stock & Bond Funds Includes both mutual funds and ETFs, $ billions
(0) 149
18 106
101 71
120 24
(26) (3)
55 (22)
261 53
176 11
149 8
97 11
45 15
26 5
5 (15)
40 (7)
125 17
76 11
(36) (14)
8 (12)
59 15
42
18
37
49
38
9
9
(36)
(14)
10
654
245
62
375
159
194
235
Nov. ’12: 12: $1,390 billion into bond funds and fixed income ETFs since ’07
(157) (263) (46)
Difference Between Flows Into Stock and Bond Funds Billions, USD, U.S. and international funds, monthly $40
$1,600 $ $1,400
(148) (65) (80) 139
Bond flows exceeded equity flows b $47 billion by billi iin November N b 2012
$20
$1,200 $1,000
$0
$800
Nov. ’12: $193 billion into stock funds and equity ETFs since ’07
Asset Class
$600
57
$400 $200 $0
Bonds
-$20 $20
-$40
Stocks -$60 Jun '08 08
Apr '09 09 Feb '10 10 Dec '10 10 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 Source: Investment Company Institute, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data include flows through November 2012 and exclude ETFs. ICI data are subject to periodic revisions. World equity flows are inclusive of emerging market, global equity and regional equity flows. Hybrid flows include asset allocation, balanced fund, flexible portfolio and mixed income flows. Data are as of 12/31/12.
Oct '11 11
Aug '12 12
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
CASH FLOW STRATEGIES Moderate (Cash Flow)
SENIOR LOAN/PREFERRED/TA XABLE BOND FUNDS, 25.00%
CASH AND CD's, 10.00%
GLOBAL DIVIDEND STOCKS, 15.00%
INSURED MUNICIPAL BONDS, 25.00%
GLOBAL/DOMESTIC REAL ESTATE FUNDS, 25.00%
Disclosures: The allocations shown above are hypothetical in nature and for illustrative purposes only. They do not represent the actual account of any particular client. This material has been prepared and is distributed solely for informational purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any trading security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Additional information is available upon request. Market values of both equity and fixed income investments will fluctuate due changes in market condition and other factors. Asset Allocation and diversification cannot eliminate the risk of fluctuating prices and uncertain returns. Stocks of small and mid-cap companies are typically more volatile than stocks of larger companies. They often involve higher risks because they may lack the management expertise, financial resources, product diversification and competitive strengths to endure adverse economic conditions.Global/International investing may involve risks such as currency fluctuations, political instability, uncertain economic conditions, different accounting standards, and other risks that are not typically associated with domestic investments. Fixed income investments are subject to default and interest rate risk. High-yield, non-investment grade bonds are only suitable for aggressive investors willing to take greater risks, which could result in loss of principal and interest payments. Stock dividends are not guaranteed. Please contact us to discuss an appropriate allocation for your situation. 31
CASH FLOW STRATEGIES Aggressive (Growth with Income) SENIOR LOAN/PREFERRED/ TAXABLE BOND FUNDS, 20.00%
MLP'S, ROYALTY TRUSTS, PIPELINES, 10.00%
Cash 10.00%
GLOBAL DIVIDEND STOCKS, 30.00%
GLOBAL/DOMESTIC REAL ESTATE FUNDS, 30.00%
Disclosures: The allocations shown above are hypothetical in nature and for illustrative purposes only. They do not represent the actual account of any particular client. This material has been prepared and is distributed solely for informational purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any trading security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Additional information is available upon request. Market values of both equity and fixed income investments will fluctuate due changes in market condition and other factors. Asset Allocation and diversification cannot eliminate the risk of fluctuating prices and uncertain returns. Stocks of small and mid-cap companies are typically more volatile than stocks of larger companies. They often involve higher risks because they may lack the management expertise, financial resources, product diversification and competitive strengths to endure adverse economic conditions.Global/International investing may involve risks such as currency fluctuations, political instability, uncertain economic conditions, different accounting standards, and other risks that are not typically associated with domestic investments. Fixed income investments are subject to default and interest rate risk. High-yield, non-investment grade bonds are only suitable for aggressive investors willing to take greater risks, which could result in loss of principal and interest payments. Stock dividends are not guaranteed. Please contact us to discuss an appropriate allocation for your situation. 32
CASH FLOW STRATEGIES Conservative
CASH, 25.00%
INSURED MUNICIPAL BONDS, 50.00%
CD'S, MTN'S, MTP'S, 25.00%
Disclosures: The allocations shown above are hypothetical in nature and for illustrative purposes only. They do not represent the actual account of any particular client. This material has been prepared and is distributed solely for informational purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any trading security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Additional information is available upon request. Market values of both equity and fixed income investments will fluctuate due changes in market condition and other factors. Asset Allocation and diversification cannot eliminate the risk of fluctuating prices and uncertain returns. Stocks of small and mid-cap companies are typically more volatile than stocks of larger companies. They often involve higher risks because they may lack the management expertise, financial resources, product diversification and competitive strengths to endure adverse economic conditions.Global/International investing may involve risks such as currency fluctuations, political instability, uncertain economic conditions, different accounting standards, and other risks that are not typically associated with domestic investments. Fixed income investments are subject to default and interest rate risk. High-yield, non-investment grade bonds are only suitable for aggressive investors willing to take greater risks, which could result in loss of principal and interest payments. Stock dividends are not guaranteed. Please contact us to discuss an appropriate allocation for your situation. 33
CASH FLOW STRATEGIES Ultra Conservative
INSURED MUNICIPAL BONDS, 50.00%
CASH, 50.00%
Disclosures: The allocations shown above are hypothetical in nature and for illustrative purposes only. They do not represent the actual account of any particular client. This material has been prepared and is distributed solely for informational purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any trading security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Additional information is available upon request. Market values of both equity and fixed income investments will fluctuate due changes in market condition and other factors. Asset Allocation and diversification cannot eliminate the risk of fluctuating prices and uncertain returns. Stocks of small and mid-cap companies are typically more volatile than stocks of larger companies. They often involve higher risks because they may lack the management expertise, financial resources, product diversification and competitive strengths to endure adverse economic conditions.Global/International investing may involve risks such as currency fluctuations, political instability, uncertain economic conditions, different accounting standards, and other risks that are not typically associated with domestic investments. Fixed income investments are subject to default and interest rate risk. High-yield, non-investment grade bonds are only suitable for aggressive investors willing to take greater risks, which could result in loss of principal and interest payments. Stock dividends are not guaranteed. Please contact us to discuss an appropriate allocation for your situation. 34
Cash Flow Strategy Closed End Funds US Bond Funds
CLOSED END FUND ADVENT CLAYMORE CVT SEC& INCOME NUVEEN PREFERRED INCOME OPPORTUNITY NUVEEN CREDIT STRATEGIES INCOME BLACKROCK CORPORATE HY FD VI BLACKROCK CORPORATE HIGH YIELD FUND 5 INVESCO VAN KAMPEN DYNAMIC C DWS HIGH INCOME OPPORTUNITIE BLACKROCK CREDIT ALLOCATION IV
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
YIELD
MARKET PRICE
NET ASSET VALUE
DISCOUNT/ PREMIUM
NAV YTD RETURN
NAV RETURN INCEPTION ANNUALIZED
SHARE PRICE BEST YEAR %
SHARE PRICE WORST YEAR %
SYMBOL
ASSET CLASS
12/31/12 NAV VALUE
AVK
CONVERTIBLE/HIGH YIELD
$17.67
6.59%
$17.12
$18.51
-7.51%
5.29%
6.16%
55.84%
-47.04%
JPC
CORPORATE/PREFERRED
$10.28
7.67%
$9.93
$10.50
-5.43%
2.76%
5.67%
84.27%
-51.74%
JQC
CORPORATE/PREFERRED
$9.88
8.26%
$10.14
$10.07
0.70%
2.63%
4.82%
78.60%
-49.30%
HYT
CORPORATE-HIGH YIELD
$12.61
8.10%
$12.93
$12.87
0.47%
2.06%
9.50%
92.56%
-38.43%
HYV
CORPORATE-HIGH YIELD
$12.92
8.24%
$13.10
$13.19
-0.68%
2.09%
10.75%
98.15%
-40.19%
VTA
TAXABLE INCOME-SENIOR LOAN
$12.99
6.82%
$13.26
$13.15
0.84%
1.81%
2.27%
91.12%
-49.58%
DHG
TAXABLE INCOME-HIGH YIELD
$16.23
7.95%
$15.79
$16.35
-3.43%
1.38%
-4.48%
65.62%
-65.50%
BTZ
TAXABLE INCOME-INVESTMENT GRADE
$15.27
6.67%
$14.07
$15.31
-8.10%
0.26%
1.50%
57.51%
-43.95%
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
12/31/12 NAV VALUE
YIELD
MARKET PRICE
NET ASSET VALUE
DISCOUNT/ PREMIUM
NAV YTD RETURN
NAV RETURN INCEPTION ANNUALIZED
SHARE PRICE BEST YEAR %
SHARE PRICE WORST YEAR %
$14.69
8.98%
$13.25
$14.95
-11.37%
1.77%
4.92%
22.94%
-8.03%
$15.36
7.16%
$16.68
$15.62
6.79%
1.69%
12.29%
94.90%
-31.02%
$22.42
6.50%
$22.16
$22.16
0.00%
-0.63%
10.37%
53.55%
-20.62%
$15.83
6.49%
$15.71
$15.73
-0.13%
-0.63%
13.70%
67.36%
-26.94%
Global Funds
CLOSED END FUND NUVEEN MULTI-CURRENCY SHORT ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN GLOBAL HIGH INCOME WESTERN ASSET EMERGING MARKET WESTERN ASSET EMERGING MARKET WESTERN ASSET GLOBAL HIGH INCOME MORGAN STANLEY EMERGING MARKET
SYMBOL
JGT AWF ESD EMD
ASSET CLASS GLOBAL HIGH YIELD/INVESTMENT GRADE GLOBAL HIGH YIELD/INVESTMENT GRADE Non-US/Other-Emerging Market Income Non-US/Other-Emerging Market Income
EHI
Non-US/Other-Global Income
$13.93
8.24%
$14.07
$13.98
0.64%
1.05%
8.88%
71.25%
-30.71%
EDD
GLOBAL INVESTMENT GRADE
$18.54
5.67%
$17.40
$18.91
-7.99%
2.00%
8.43%
42.03%
-28.97%
35
Cash Flow Strategy Closed End Funds Municipal Bond Funds
CLOSED END FUND NUVEEN BUILD AMERICAN BOND NUVEEN BUILD AMERICA BOND OP BLACKROCK BUILD AMERICA BOND NUVEEN DIVIDEND ADV MUNI 3 BLACKROCK MUNICIPAL INCOME GUGGENHEIM BUILD AMERICA BOND BLACKROCK MUNI HOLDINGS QU II BLACKROCK MUNI HOLDINGS CA BLACKROCK MUNI YIELD NY
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
SYMBOL
ASSET CLASS
12/31/12 NAV VALUE
YIELD
MARKET PRICE
NET ASSET VALUE
DISCOUNT/ PREMIUM
NAV YTD RETURN
NAV RETURN INCEPTION ANNUALIZED
SHARE SHARE PRICE PRICE BEST WORST YEAR YEAR % %
NBB
MUNICIPAL NATIONAL
$22.28
6.34%
$20.93
$22.13
-5.42%
-0.18%
12.46%
20.32%
9.88%
NBD
MUNICIPAL NATIONAL
$23.44
6.02%
$21.60
$23.22
-6.98%
-0.48%
16.23%
25.08%
6.46%
BBN
MUNICIPAL NATIONAL
$23.41
7.19%
$21.94
$23.17
-5.31%
-1.03%
15.97%
32.81%
14.83%
NZF
MUNICIPAL NATIONAL
$16.03
5.15%
$15.35
$16.09
-4.60%
0.79%
7.50%
44.33%
-21.18%
BAF
MUNICIPAL NATIONAL
$16.65
4.93%
$16.58
$16.73
-0.91%
0.89%
7.35%
47.20%
-21.07%
GBAB
MUNICIPAL NATIONAL
$23.81
7.11%
$22.75
$23.70
-4.01%
0.02%
17.00%
26.43%
14.96%
MUE
MUNICIPAL NATIONAL
$15.27
5.49%
$15.42
$15.37
0.33%
1.12%
6.10%
46.84%
-16.73%
MUC
MUNICIPAL SINGLE STATE
$16.37
5.71%
$16.64
$16.56
0.48%
1.65%
6.60%
46.80%
-24.57%
MYN
MUNICIPAL SINGLE STATE
$14.95
5.62%
$15.12
$15.03
0.60%
1.01%
6.50%
45.39%
-26.21%
36
Cash Flow Strategy Closed End Funds Equity Funds 01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
01/31/13
YIELD
MARKET PRICE
NET ASSET VALUE
DISCOUNT/ PREMIUM
NAV YTD RETURN
01/31/13 NAV RETURN INCEPTION ANNUALIZED
CLOSED END FUND
SYMBOL
ASSET CLASS
12/31/12 NAV VALUE
SHARE PRICE BEST YEAR %
SHARE PRICE WORST YEAR %
KAYNE ANDERSON ENERGY DEVELOPMENT
KED
ENERGY GROWTH/INCOME
$23.90
5.98%
$27.26
$23.74
14.83%
15.48%
8.59%
116.73%
-64.88%
CUSHING MLP TOTAL RETURN FUND
SRV
ENERGY GROWTH/INCOME EQUITY TAX ADVANTAGED
$8.32 $17.80
$7.07 $20.07
-11.31%
13.12% 8.47%
-5.81%
GDV
10.73% 5.39%
17.68%
GABELLI DIVIDEND & INCOME TRUST
$6.25 $18.58
6.99%
120.35% 40.24%
-69.28% -45.75%
EATON VANCE TAX ADV GLOBAL DIVIDEND
ETO
EQUITY TAX ADVANTAGED
$22.74
7.33%
$22.01
$24.15
-8.86%
6.20%
10.03%
49.68%
-53.56%
EATON VANCE TAX-ADV DIVIDEND INCOME
EVT
EQUITY TAX ADVANTAGED
$18.47
7.10%
$18.23
$19.49
-6.46%
5.52%
7.48%
50.42%
-53.43%
JOHN HANCOCK T/A DIVIDEND INCOME
HTD
EQUITY TAX ADVANTAGED
$19.79
6.23%
$18.97
$20.75
-8.58%
5.36%
9.01%
42.82%
-35.26%
EATON VANCE T/A GLOBAL DIVIDEND INCOME
ETG
GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME
$14.98
8.03%
$15.36
$15.99
-3.94%
6.74%
5.90%
44.72%
-55.63%
8.32% 6.22%
$8.90 $20.46
$9.82 $23.03
-9.37% -11.16%
4.69% 6.03%
1.92% 6.73%
53.56% 51.16%
-47.34% -56.67%
CALAMOS GLOBAL DYNAMIC INCOME
CHW
GLOBAL GROWTH & INCOME
MACQUARIE GLOBAL INFR TOTAL RETURN MACQUARIE/FT GLOBAL INT/UT DIVIDEND INCOME NFJ DVD INTEREST & PR STRATEGY
MGU
GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE
$9.38 $21.72
MFD
GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE
$16.11
8.72%
$16.14
$16.82
-4.04%
4.41%
8.76%
36.92%
-55.60%
NFJ
US EQUITY COVERED CALL
FIRST TRUST ENHANCED EQUITY INCOME
FFA
US EQUITY COVERED CALL
$17.26 $13.27
10.69% 7.13%
$16.65 $12.52
$17.97 $14.07
-7.35% -11.02%
4.11% 6.03%
4.45% 4.55%
31.66% 45.22%
-37.77% -37.06%
EATON VANCE TAX MAN GLOBAL BUYRIGHT
ETW
US EQUITY COVERED CALL
$12.37
10.43%
$11.19
$12.64
-11.47%
2.98%
5.03%
59.66%
-33.23%
EATON VANCE TAX-MANAGED GLOBAL ING GLOBAL EQUITY & PROPRETY OPPORTUNITY GUGGENHEIM ENHANCED EQUITY I LIBERTY ALL STAR EQUITY FUND CALAMOS STRAT TOT RETURN FUND
EXG
US EQUITY COVERED CALL
$10.33
10.25%
$9.46
$10.71
-11.67%
4.48%
2.45%
49.28%
-30.87%
IGD
US EQUITY COVERED CALL
$9.61
10.90%
$9.37
$9.92
-5.54%
4.10%
3.31%
48.24%
-32.23%
GPM USA CSQ
US EQUITY COVERED CALL US EQUITY GENERAL EQUITY US EQUITY GROWTH & INCOME
BLACKROCK HEALTH SCIENCES TRUST
BME
US EQUITY-HEALTH/BIOTECH
GABELLI HEALTHCARE&WELLNESS
GRX
US EQUITY-HEALTH/BIOTECH
H & Q HEALTHCARE INVESTORS
HQH
US EQUITY-HEALTH/BIOTECH
H & Q LIFE SCIENCES INVESTORS
HQL
US EQUITY-HEALTH/BIOTECH
COHEN & STEERS INFRASTRUCTURE
UTF
US EQUITY INFRASTRUCTURE US EQUITY INFRASTRUCTURE US EQUITY- UTILITIES
$8.93 $5.35 $10.52 $27.88 $9.55 $18.44 $14.99 $20.58 $17.94
10.81% 6.43% 8.08% 16.68% 3.26% 7.92% 7.96% 7.37% 9.08%
$8.89 $4.98 $10.40 $29.79 $9.19 $19.19 $15.58 $19.58 $17.75
$9.35 $5.66 $11.10 $29.83 $10.16 $20.00 $16.16 $21.55 $18.70
-4.92% -12.01% -6.31% -0.13% -9.57% -4.06% -3.59% -9.14% -5.08%
4.70% 7.31% 5.51% 6.99% 6.91% 8.46% 7.81% 4.71% 4.24%
0.47% 7.63% 4.81% 10.57% 9.79% 10.80% 8.17% 9.17% 8.21%
23.62% 57.28% 56.82% 41.81% 36.80% 59.91% 80.78% 68.53% 17.60%
-39.98% -43.89% -49.28% -20.71% -28.55% -37.59% -36.09% -57.19% -13.67%
$19.79
7.50%
$19.26
$20.67
-6.82%
4.45%
13.71%
-3.50%
-3.50%
$18.56
7.44%
$18.54
$20.12
-7.85%
8.41%
11.40%
0.64%
0.64%
7.70% 6.66% 6.66%
$7.72 $18.01 $10.73
$8.41 $19.09 $11.50
-8.20% -5.66% -6.70%
5.63% 3.92% 5.41%
-4.17% 8.20% 8.72%
78.59% 91.15% 80.59%
-63.64% -60.58% -68.43%
4.86%
$4.92
$5.56
-11.51%
5.49%
1.57%
101.73%
-78.23%
ING INFRASTRUCTURE INDUSTRIAL
IDE
BLACKROCK UTILITY AND INFRASTRUCTURE
BUI
DUFF & PHELPS GLOBAL UTILITY
DPG
ALPINE GLOBAL PREMIER PROPERTY
AWP
GLOBAL REAL ESTATE
US EQUITY- UTILITIES
COHEN & STEERS REIT & PR
RNP
US EQUITY-REAL ESTATE
COHEN & STEERS QUAL INCOME REALTY
RQI
US EQUITY-REAL ESTATE
$8.01 $18.37 $10.91
NEUBERGER BERMAN REAL ESTATE
NRO
US EQUITY-REAL ESTATE
$5.29
Performance data quoted reflects past performance which cannot guarantee future results. Current performance may be lower or higher than quoted. Investment return and principal value is subject to fluctuations with changes in market conditions such that shares may be worth more or less than original cost when sold. Returns are calculated by subtracting the value of a share at the beginning of the period from the value at the end and dividing the difference by the initial value expressing the result as a percentage change. The calculation assumes that all distributions during the period have been reinvested on the payable dates, at NAV or at market price according to how the returns are labeled. The returns do not reflect broker sales charges or commissions. Net asset value (NAV) is total assets less total liabilities divided by the number of shares outstanding. Pease see final page fopr important information on risks of investing in these funds and other important disclosure.
37
Exchange Traded Bonds/Preferreds As of 01/31/2013
MUNIFUND TERM PREFERRED SHARES TICKER SYMBOL
RATING
INDUSTRY
PRICE
PAR VALUE
PERCENT DISCOUNT
% YIELD AS OF 10/31/2012
COUPON RATE
Nuveen Az Dvd Adv Muni 3
NXE2.9
Aaa AAA
Financial
Nuveen Md Premium Inc 2
NMY2.9
Aa2 AAA
Financial
Nuveen Texas Premium Inc
NTX2.3
Aa2 AAA
Financial
Nuveen Ma Dvd Adv Muni
NMB2.6
Aa2 AAA
Financial
Nuveen Oh Div Adv Muni 2
NBJ2.35
Aa2 AAA
Financial
$10.17 $10.21 $10.07 $10.05 $10.05
$10.00 $10.00 $10.00 $10.00 $10.00
1.70% 2.10% 0.70% 0.50% 0.51%
2.85% 2.84% 2.28% 2.59% 2.34%
2.90% 2.90% 2.30% 2.60% 2.35%
TICKER SYMBOL
RATING
INDUSTRY
PRICE
PAR VALUE
PERCENT DISCOUNT
% YIELD AS OF 10/31/2012
COUPON RATE
$25.27
$25.00
-1.08
7.42%
7.50%
$25.21
$25.00
-0.84
7.31%
7.38%
DESCRIPTION
CORPORATE WEBSITE http://www.nuveen.com/CEF/MTPPrices.aspx http://www.nuveen.com/CEF/MTPPrices.aspx http://www.nuveen.com/CEF/MTPPrices.aspx http://www.nuveen.com/CEF/MTPPrices.aspx http://www.nuveen.com/CEF/MTPPrices.aspx
Watch List DESCRIPTION Ford Motor Co Ally Financial Inc
F7.5 ALLY7.375
Baa3 BB+ B1 B+
Consumer Discretionary Financials
CORPORATE WEBSITE http://www.ford.com/ http://www.gmacfs.com
Yields and market value will fluctuate so that your investment, if sold prior to maturity, may be worth more or less than its original cost.
38
EQUITY OPPORTUNITIES as of Jan. 31, 2013 Mining, Materials, and Chemicals Company Natural Resource Partners Lp Penn Virginia Resource Partners Quimica Y Minera Chile-Spain Adr Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Southern Copper Corp United States Steel Corp Aluminum Corp Of China-Adr
Ticker Symbol NRP PVR SQM POT SCCO X ACH
Sector
Price
Mining Mining Chemicals Chemicals Industrial Metals & Mining Industrial Metals & Mining Industrial Metals & Mining
22.77 26.73 56.84 42.50 39.39 22.35 12.00
Sector
Price
Fixed Line Telecommunications Fixed Line Telecommunications Fixed Line Telecommunications Fixed Line Telecommunications Gas, Water & Multiutilities Fixed Line Telecommunications Electricity Fixed Line Telecommunications Fixed Line Telecommunications Fixed Line Telecommunications Fixed Line Telecommunications Electricity Electricity Mobile Telecommunications Gas, Water & Multiutilities Gas, Water & Multiutilities General Industrials Mobile Telecommunications Electricity Fixed Line Telecommunications
4.11 10.13 4.57 40.45 12.70 39.65 20.71 25.18 31.97 34.79 43.61 26.97 42.64 27.32 19.50 27.93 25.68 25.16 40.67 14.36
YTD % Chg 17.58% 2.31% -2.06% 4.74% 5.23% -6.16% 1.76%
Price/ Earnings 11.24 102.23 21.86 15.96 15.81 17.62 n/a
Current Yield 9.66% 8.23% 3.39% 2.64% 2.44% 0.89% 0.00%
Dividend Frequency Quarterly Quarterly Semi-Annual Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Irregular
Annual Dividend 2.20 2.20 1.92 1.12 0.96 0.20 0.00
YTD % Chg 1.75% 10.15% 2.69% 5.19% 5.15% 8.12% 0.38% 5.61% -1.42% 5.34% 2.98% 7.92% 6.02% 8.38% 7.96% 3.36% 11.13% 10.72% 9.42% 5.34%
Price/ Earnings 19.34 13.26 15.70 30.04 34.91 n/a 14.24 12.53 19.58 15.24 19.80 16.44 12.14 10.89 18.51 16.38 16.40 12.76 14.99 9.70
Current Yield 15.14% 8.91% 8.75% 7.17% 6.98% 6.66% 6.31% 5.91% 5.69% 5.17% 4.72% 4.60% 4.27% 3.79% 3.28% 1.45% 1.42% 1.20% 0.78% 0.00%
Dividend Frequency Irregular Semi-Annual Quarterly Quarterly Annual Semi-Annual Semi-Annual Semi-Annual Annual Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Semi-Annual Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Semi-Annual Annual Semi-Annual
Annual Dividend 0.62 0.90 0.40 2.900 0.89 2.64 1.31 1.49 1.82 1.80 2.06 1.24 1.82 1.04 0.64 0.40 0.36 0.30 0.32 0.00
Telecom/Utilities Company Oi Sa-Adr Telecom New Zealand-Sp Adr Frontier Communications Corp Centurylink Inc Veolia Environnement-Adr Telekomunik Indonesia-Sp Adr Cpfl Energia Sa-Adr Telefonica Brasil-Adr Chunghwa Telecom Ltd-Adr At&T Inc Verizon Communications Inc Hawaiian Electric Inds P G & E Corp Vodafone Group Plc-Sp Adr California Water Service Grp Xylem Inc Itt Corp America Movil-Adr Series L Huaneng Power Intl-Spons Adr Telefonica Sa-Spon Adr
Ticker Symbol OIBR NZTCY FTR CTL VE TLK CPL VIV CHT T VZ HE PCG VOD CWT XYL ITT AMX HNP TEF
39
EQUITY OPPORTUNITIES as of Jan. 31, 2013 Business Development Corportations & Financials Company California First Natl Bancor Prospect Capital Corp Ticc Capital Corp Compass Diversified Holdings Apollo Investment Corp Ares Capital Corp Triangle Capital Corp Main Street Capital Corp Westwood Holdings Group Inc Cheviot Financial Corp
Ticker Symbol CFNB PSEC TICC CODI AINV ARCC TCAP MAIN WHG CHEV
Industry
Price
Banks Equity Investment Instruments Equity Investment Instruments Financial Services Equity Investment Instruments Equity Investment Instruments Equity Investment Instruments Equity Investment Instruments Financial Services Banks
16.20 11.28 10.68 15.82 9.00 17.91 27.24 31.83 42.04 10.30
Industry
Price
Oil & Gas Producers Industrial Transportation Oil & Gas Producers Oil & Gas Producers Oil Equipment, Services & Distributors General Retailers Chemicals Oil Equipment, Services & Distributors Oil Equipment, Services & Distributors Oil & Gas Producers Oil & Gas Producers Oil Equipment, Services & Distributors Oil Equipment, Services & Distributors Oil Equipment, Services & Distributors Oil & Gas Producers Oil & Gas Producers Oil Equipment, Services & Distributors Oil Equipment, Services & Distributors Oil & Gas Producers Oil Equipment, Services & Distributors Oil Equipment, Services & Distributors Oil & Gas Producers Oil Equipment, Services & Distributors Oil & Gas Producers
77.61 16.86 25.15 21.21 51.10 42.15 31.70 16.51 46.99 38.89 24.72 23.15 29.98 39.92 50.74 46.85 55.22 88.90 58.80 59.60 56.67 13.70 41.05 52.22
YTD % Chg 8.29% 4.23% 6.13% 8.50% 7.60% 2.46% 8.12% 7.06% 2.69% 9.79%
Price/ Earnings 22.18 8.27 12.07 21.45 27.26 10.93 12.70 16.06 22.58 22.69
Current Yield 13.58% 11.70% 10.86% 9.10% 8.89% 8.49% 7.78% 5.66% 3.81% 3.11%
Dividend Frequency Annual Monthly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Monthly Quarterly Quarterly
Annual Dividend 2.20 1.32 1.16 1.44 0.80 1.52 2.12 1.80 1.60 0.32
YTD % Chg 14.37% 1.62% 6.89% 15.27% 20.69% 4.32% 5.63% 15.12% 9.60% 11.12% 13.79% 9.64% 7.35% 5.74% 4.11% 16.74% 8.59% 11.44% 5.73% 9.91% 12.64% 14.93% 10.66% 13.36%
Price/ Earnings 8.31 10.00 28.58 62.25 26.52 45.55 9.73 n/a 20.11 49.57 85.07 n/a 36.98 21.36 17.17 12.59 51.29 51.10 52.46 16.30 20.82 11.09 24.17 6.99
Current Yield 11.93% 9.25% 9.07% 8.86% 8.57% 8.30% 8.20% 8.00% 7.61% 7.46% 7.44% 7.34% 7.25% 6.76% 6.52% 6.43% 5.94% 5.80% 5.22% 4.77% 4.66% 4.36% 4.14% 1.53%
Dividend Frequency Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Monthly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Monthly Quarterly Quarterly
Annual Dividend 9.26 1.56 2.28 1.88 4.38 3.50 2.60 1.32 3.58 2.90 1.84 1.70 2.17 2.70 3.31 3.01 3.28 5.16 3.07 2.84 2.64 0.60 1.70 0.80
Royalty Trusts, Pipelines, & Transportation Company Bp Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust Ship Finance Intl Ltd Legacy Reserves Lp Breitburn Energy Partners Lp Nustar Energy Lp Suburban Propane Partners Lp Calumet Specialty Products Crosstex Energy Lp Energy Transfer Partners Lp Linn Energy Llc-Units Regency Energy Partners Lp Cheniere Energy Partners Lp Enbridge Energy Partners Lp Teekay Lng Partners Lp Williams Partners Lp Sabine Royalty Trust Markwest Energy Partners Lp Kinder Morgan Energy Prtnrs Ev Energy Partners Lp Oneok Partners Lp Enterprise Products Partners Permian Basin Royalty Trust Golar Lng Ltd Hollyfrontier Corp
Ticker Symbol BPT SFL LGCY BBEP NS SPH CLMT XTEX ETP LINE RGP CQP EEP TGP WPZ SBR MWE KMP EVEP OKS EPD PBT GLNG HFC
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EQUITY OPPORTUNITIES as of Jan. 31, 2013 Medical/Health Care Company Pdl Biopharma Inc Astrazeneca Plc-Spons Adr Omega Healthcare Investors Glaxosmithkline Plc-Spon Adr Health Care Reit Inc Healthcare Realty Trust Inc Universal Health Rlty Income Merck & Co. Inc. Eli Lilly & Co Pfizer Inc Sanofi-Adr Johnson & Johnson Healthcare Services Group Teva Pharmaceutical-Sp Adr St Jude Medical Inc Amgen Inc Quest Diagnostics Inc Steris Corp Stryker Corp Covidien Plc Aetna Inc Unitedhealth Group Inc Humana Inc Atrion Corporation Medicis Pharmaceutical-Cl A Doctor Reddy'S Lab-Adr Dentsply International Inc Perrigo Co Cantel Medical Corp Shire Plc-Adr Cigna Corp Assisted Living Concepts I-A Salix Pharmaceuticals Ltd Actacis Inc. Mylan Inc Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc Regeneron Pharmaceuticals
Ticker Symbol PDLI AZN OHI GSK HCN HR UHT MRK LLY PFE SNY JNJ HCSG TEVA STJ AMGN DGX STE SYK COV AET UNH HUM ATRI MRX RDY XRAY PRGO CMN SHPG CI ALC SLXP ACT MYL ALXN REGN
Sector
Price
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Real Estate Investment Trusts Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Real Estate Investment Trusts Real Estate Investment Trusts Real Estate Investment Trusts Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Health Care Equipment & Services Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Health Care Equipment & Services Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Health Care Equipment & Services Health Care Equipment & Services Health Care Equipment & Services Health Care Equipment & Services Health Care Equipment & Services Health Care Equipment & Services Health Care Equipment & Services Health Care Equipment & Services Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Health Care Equipment & Services Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Health Care Equipment & Services Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Health Care Equipment & Services Health Care Equipment & Services Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology
6.88 48.18 25.56 45.61 62.84 25.48 55.13 43.25 53.69 27.28 48.68 73.92 24.15 37.99 40.70 85.46 57.95 37.73 62.65 62.34 48.23 55.21 74.36 200.51 43.98 35.94 41.76 100.51 31.41 100.14 58.34 9.82 47.90 86.39 28.27 93.99 173.94
YTD % Chg -2.34% 2.43% 8.47% 5.08% 1.88% 7.04% 9.37% 2.17% 9.89% 10.17% 4.03% 5.82% 6.11% 1.10% 13.92% 0.12% -0.27% 9.33% 14.99% 8.50% 4.69% 2.82% 9.79% 2.24% n/a 9.85% 7.22% 1.20% 7.20% 10.25% 10.14% 2.67% 19.71% 2.19% 5.25% 4.41% 1.06%
Price/ Earnings 4.95 8.68 25.36 12.79 75.23 285.56 8.45 10.95 15.99 12.50 12.05 14.52 39.13 7.04 11.28 14.43 13.12 17.74 15.45 14.71 10.21 10.56 9.86 16.83 19.13 19.42 21.89 21.06 25.91 16.73 10.65 12.06 26.92 24.90 16.23 82.94 88.66
Current Yield 8.72% 7.89% 7.04% 5.08% 4.87% 4.71% 4.50% 3.98% 3.65% 3.52% 3.47% 3.30% 2.75% 2.69% 2.26% 2.20% 2.07% 2.01% 1.69% 1.67% 1.66% 1.54% 1.40% 1.12% 0.91% 0.69% 0.53% 0.36% 0.35% 0.16% 0.07% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Dividend Frequency Quarterly Semi-Annual Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Annual Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Annual Quarterly Quarterly Semi-Annual Semi-Annual Annual Quarterly None None Irregular None None
Annual Dividend 0.600 3.800 1.800 2.316 3.060 1.200 2.480 1.720 1.960 0.960 1.689 2.440 0.665 1.021 0.920 1.880 1.200 0.760 1.060 1.040 0.800 0.850 1.040 2.240 0.400 0.248 0.220 0.360 0.110 0.164 0.040 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 41
EQUITY OPPORTUNITIES as of Jan. 31, 2013 Global Growth Leaders & Technology Company Invesco Mortgage Capital Roundy'S Inc Seagate Technology The Southern Co Cedar Fair Lp General Electric Co Mcdonald'S Corp Hewlett-Packard Co Sturm Ruger & Co Inc Procter & Gamble Co Kohls Corp Coca-Cola Co Marvell Technology Group Ltd Lyondellbasell Indu-Cl A Dell Inc 3M Co Apple Inc Caterpillar Inc Dover Corp Home Depot Inc Intl Business Machines Corp Qualcomm Inc Broadcom Corp-Cl A Weight Watchers Intl Inc Altera Corp Joy Global Inc Infosys Ltd-Sp Adr Oracle Corp Visa Inc-Class A Shares Whole Foods Market Inc Arm Holdings Plc-Spons Adr Titan International Inc Cirrus Logic Inc Corelogic Inc Nationstar Mortgage Holdings Zillow Inc-Class A Mwi Veterinary Supply Inc Wageworks Inc Broadsoft Inc Cerner Corp Darling International Inc Netflix Inc Emc Corp/Ma Fossil Inc
Ticker Symbol IVR RNDY STX SO FUN GE MCD HPQ RGR PG KSS KO MRVL LYB DELL MMM AAPL CAT DOV HD IBM QCOM BRCM WTW ALTR JOY INFY ORCL V WFM ARMH TWI CRUS CLGX NSM Z MWIV WAGE BSFT CERN DAR NFLX EMC FOSL
Sector
Price
Real Estate Investment Trusts Food & Drug Retailers Technology Hardware & Equipmentt Electricity Travel & Leisure General Industrials Travel & Leisure Technology Hardware & Equipment Aerospace & Defense Household Goods & Home Construction General Retailers Beverages Technology Hardware & Equipment Chemicals Technology Hardware & Equipment General Industrials Technology Hardware & Equipment Industrial Engineering Industrial Engineering General Retailers Software & Computer Services Technology Hardware & Equipment Technology Hardware & Equipment General Retailers Technology Hardware & Equipment Industrial Engineering Software & Computer Services Software & Computer Services Financial Services Food & Drug Retailers Technology Hardware & Equipment Automobiles & Parts Technology Hardware & Equipment Support Services Real Estate Investment & Services Real Estate Investment & Services Support Services Support Services Software & Computer Services Software & Computer Services Food Producers General Retailers Technology Hardware & Equipment Personal Goods
21.70 5.82 33.98 44.23 37.52 22.28 95.29 16.51 50.77 75.16 46.29 37.24 9.25 63.42 13.24 100.55 455.49 98.39 69.18 66.92 203.07 66.02 32.45 53.47 33.42 63.17 52.72 23.64 157.91 96.25 41.06 24.29 28.23 26.24 36.09 37.84 112.31 19.96 33.97 82.55 16.87 165.24 24.61 105.58
YTD % Chg 9.84% 33.26% 10.68% 2.80% 13.87% 7.77% 8.77% 15.51% 13.24% 11.83% 7.05% 3.56% 30.91% 7.50% 34.42% 9.38% -14.76% 11.03% 7.05% 8.81% 7.12% 7.87% -0.36% 1.70% 0.29% 0.58% 24.87% 8.66% 4.60% 5.55% 12.34% 12.89% -1.69% -0.22% 18.46% 33.33% 5.00% 13.48% -3.72% 8.53% 5.92% 77.99% -1.78% 11.69%
Price/ Earnings 7.79 4.94 4.45 16.55 16.49 14.88 17.90 56.76 16.48 19.17 10.58 19.30 16.39 11.65 8.36 15.99 10.29 11.53 15.36 23.21 13.41 17.38 22.98 12.77 20.17 9.20 19.30 17.60 25.62 35.51 61.17 11.46 11.97 21.32 15.49 176.19 25.67 35.56 72.87 39.13 15.31 568.28 19.72 20.75
Relative Strength 0.12 0.08 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
EPS Growth % -13.49 56.44 494.69 5.06 n/a 13.01 0.56 n/a 43.24 -21.36 17.34 -26.76 -27.34 32.71 39.71 5.79 59.14 14.01 0.88 22.66 9.66 13.77 -25.00 61.87 -27.20 20.63 21.86 17.75 -38.80 30.10 27.92 n/a -55.00 17.07 n/a n/a 23.98 n/a 146.94 26.39 177.36 -92.76 9.17 21.67
50-Day Moving Avg 20.99 4.72 30.80 43.37 34.68 21.35 90.02 14.84 48.98 70.02 44.61 37.27 8.44 56.25 11.08 94.55 523.50 90.92 65.66 64.01 194.44 63.48 33.46 54.49 33.63 62.26 45.68 33.46 153.07 91.18 38.49 22.04 29.10 26.77 32.63 29.83 112.57 18.42 34.05 79.76 16.65 101.38 24.77 94.85
42
Exchange Traded Funds Sectors 1/31/2013
1/31/2013
12/31/12 NAV
Current % Yield
MARKET PRICE
1/31/2013 YTD MARKET RETURN
1/31/2013
1/31/2013
5 YR MKT RETURN
10 YR MKT RETURN
EXP. RATIO
ETF
SYMBOL
ASSET CLASS
FUND INCEPTION DATE
Ishares Msci Mexico Investab
EWW
Emerging Markets
03/12/96
70.53
0.52
73.62
6.27
7.26
21.65
0.52
Powershares Dyn Healthcare Ipath Msci India Index Etn
PTH INP
Health India
10/12/06 12/19/06
32.82 58.85
0.65 0.89
35.47 61.77
9.17 5.11
5.02 -6.33
n/a n/a
0.65 0.89
Ishares Msci Hong Kong Index
EWH
Asia
03/12/96
19.42
0.52
20.29
4.69
3.44
13.39
0.52
Morgan Stanley India Invest
IIF
India
02/25/94
20.79
1.38
18.79
2.21
-5.85
19.85
1.38
Powershares Gld Drg China
PGJ
Asia
12/09/04
19.16
0.69
19.67
3.71
-5.94
n/a
0.69
India Fund Inc Energy Select Sector Spdr
IFN XLE
India Natural Resources
02/23/94 12/16/98
23.79 71.42
1.01 0.18
21.97 77.35
5.88 9.31
-6.43 3.55
18.74 15.29
1.01 0.18
Aberdeen Chile Fund Inc Ishares Msci Brazil
CH EWZ
Chile Emerging Markets
09/27/89 07/10/00
15.06 55.14
1.60 0.59
15.78 56.77
4.71 2.04
6.46 -2.55
21.40 25.18
1.60 0.59
Aberdeen Asset Management Asia Ltd SSGA Funds Management Inc Aberdeen Asset Managers Ltd/United Kingdom BlackRock Fund Advisors
Ishares Msci Germany Index
EWG
Communications
03/12/96
24.43
0.53
25.71
5.63
-0.89
12.36
0.53
BlackRock Fund Advisors
1/31/2013
1/31/2013
1/31/2013
1/31/2013
12/31/12 NAV
Current % Yield
MARKET PRICE
5 YR MKT RETURN
10 YR MKT RETURN
EXP. RATIO
75.48
0.37
80.01
1/31/2013 YTD MARKET RETURN 6.97
5.34
10.30
0.37
BlackRock Fund Advisors
MANAGER NAME
BlackRock Fund Advisors Invesco PowerShares Capital Management LLC Barclays Capital Inc BlackRock Fund Advisors Morgan Stanley Investment Management Inc/USA Invesco PowerShares Capital Management LLC
Indexes ETF
SYMBOL
ASSET CLASS
Ishares Russell 2000 Value
IWN
Small Cap
FUND INCEPTION DATE 07/24/00
Ishares S&P Smallcap 600/Val
IJS
Small Cap
07/24/00
80.91
0.25
85.24
6.56
6.28
10.88
0.25
Powershares Ftse Rafi Us 1K
PRF
Large Cap
12/19/05
62.43
0.39
66.28
7.23
5.60
n/a
0.39
BlackRock Fund Advisors Invesco PowerShares Capital Management LLC
Ishares Core S&P Small-Cap E Ishares Russell 2000 Vanguard Mid-Cap Etf Ishares S&P Midcap 400/Value
IJR IWM VO
Small Cap Small Cap Mid Cap
05/22/00 05/22/00 01/30/04
78.13 84.23 63.35
0.16 0.20 0.10
82.64 89.58 87.86
7.00 7.18 7.47
7.07 6.05 5.60
11.29 10.63 n/a
0.16 0.20 0.10
BlackRock Fund Advisors BlackRock Fund Advisors Vanguard Group Inc/The
IJJ
Mid Cap
07/24/00
88.14
0.27
94.70
8.29
6.47
11.43
0.27
Powershares Dyn L/C Value Ishares Core S&P 500 Etf Powershares Inter Dvd Achiev
PWV IVV
Large Cap Large Cap
03/03/05 05/15/00
21.84 143.14
0.59 0.07
23.18 150.46
6.96 6.21
6.08 3.89
n/a 7.81
0.59 0.07
PID
International
09/15/05
15.83
0.56
16.55
4.99
0.10
n/a
0.56
BlackRock Fund Advisors Invesco PowerShares Capital Management LLC BlackRock Fund Advisors Invesco PowerShares Capital Management LLC
Ishares Msci Emerging Mkt In
EEM
Emerging Markets
04/11/03
44.35
0.67
44.22
0.35
1.00
n/a
0.67
BlackRock Fund Advisors
Ishares Msci Eafe Index Fund Wisdomtree Intl M/C Dvd Fund Ishares Msci Emu
EFA
International
08/14/01
56.86
0.34
58.98
4.56
-1.19
9.07
0.34
BlackRock Fund Advisors
DIM EZU
International International
06/16/06 07/25/00
50.29 33.46
0.58 0.53
52.14 34.72
4.79 5.44
0.19 -4.89
n/a 8.13
0.58 0.53
WisdomTree Asset Management Inc BlackRock Fund Advisors
MANAGER NAME
43
CASH FLOW ALLOCATION STRATEGIES
ALLOCATION %
SAMPLE PORTFOLIO STRATEGIES GUIDED TRADING PORTFOLIO GROWTH WITH INCOME (AGGRESSIVE) CASH GLOBAL DIVIDEND STOCKS GLOBAL/DOMESTIC REAL ESTATE FUNDS MLP'S, ROYALTY TRUSTS, PIPELINES SENIOR LOAN/PREFERRED/TAXABLE BOND FUNDS
10.00% 30.00% 30.00% 10.00% 20.00%
TOTAL
100.00%
************************************************* CASH FLOW (MODERATE) CASH AND CD's GLOBAL DIVIDEND STOCKS GLOBAL/DOMESTIC REAL ESTATE FUNDS INSURED MUNICIPAL BONDS SENIOR LOAN/PREFERRED/TAXABLE BOND FUNDS
10.00% 15.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00%
TOTAL
100.0%
************************************************* CONSERVATIVE CASH CD'S, MTN'S, MTP'S CORPORATE BOND FUNDS GLOBAL BOND FUNDS INSURED MUNICIPAL BONDS
25.00% 25.00% 0.00% 0.00% 50.00%
TOTAL
100.00%
************************************************* ULTRA CONSERVATIVE CASH INSURED MUNICIPAL BONDS
50.00% 50.00%
TOTAL
100.00% McGowanGroup Asset Management, Inc. 01/31/2013 UPDATE 44
Closed End Fund Disclosures This is not a complete list of available closed-end funds. Depending on your needs, objectives, goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance there may be other investment products that are more suitable for your particular situation. The listed funds may not be suitable for all investors. Investors must make their own decisions based on their specific investment objectives and financial circumstances. Additional information is available upon request. Prices and yields are as of the date indicated only and are subject to availability and market fluctuation/change. Closed -end funds, unlike open-end funds, are not continuously offered. After the initial public offering, shares are sold on the open market through a stock exchange. Holding municipal bonds within a closed-end fund could result in taxable capital gains. An insured fund guarantees only the timely payment of interest and principal on the bonds in the fund's portfolio. Insurance or escrow does not guarantee the market value of the municpal's securities or the value of the fund's shares Global/International investing involves risks not typically associated with US investing, including currency fluctuations, political instability, uncertain economic conditions and different accounting standards. Investments in high yield, non-investment grade securities are generally only suitable for aggressive investors willing to take greater risks, which could result in loss of principal and interest payments. Investing in Closed-End Funds may also involve the following risks: Market Risk - General stock market fluctuations and volatile increases and decreases in value as market confidence in and perceptions of the issuers change. Investor perceptions can be based on various and unpredictable factors including expectations regarding government economic, monetary and fiscal policies, inflation and interest rates, economic expansion or contraction and political climates. The value of any security can rise or fall and when liquidated , may be worth more or less than the original investment. Price Risk - Refers to the fact that shares of closed-end funds frequently trade at a discount from their net asset value. Interest rate risk - The risk that arise in interest rates will cause the value of an investment to decline. Credit Risk - Refers to a bond issuer's ability to meet its obligation to make interest and principal payments, or a decline in the market's assessment of the issuer's ability to pay. Generally, lower rated securities provide higher current income but are considered to carry greater credit risk than higher rated securities. Leverage Risk - The risk of higher share price volatility and that the cost to a fund of its leveraged capital, such as preferred stock or debt, will exceed the earnings on the related assets. These securities are not suitable for all investors and should not be purchased on the basis of yield alone. The market price of these securities may decline. Dividend yields are not guaranteed and may be reduced, which may negatively impact the price of the security. Price changes may be amplified by portfolio leverage. The performance provided is past performance , which does not guarantee future results and current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. The investment return and principal value will fluctuate when sold and may be worth more or less than the original cost. Visit www.cefconnect.com and www.morningstar.com for more current monthly performance information. This and/or the accompanying information was prepared by or obtained from sources that McGowan Group Asset Management, Inc. believes to be reliable, but McGowan Group Asset Management, Inc. does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. The material has been prepared and is distributed solely for information purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. McGowan Group Asset Management, Inc. is a Federally Registered Investment Advisory Firm. Securities offered through Spire Securities, LLC an independent broker-dealer, member FINRA/SIPC.
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200 Crescent Court #657 Dallas, TX 75201 Phone: (214) 720-4400 Fax: (214) 720-4420 info@themcgowangroup.com
Thank you for listening to NetWorth Radio with Spencer McGowan on 570 KLIF! If you need anything in addition to the materials or have any questions, please give us a call at (214) 720-4400. Also if you missed any of the show or would like to listen to past shows, we now have podcasts available on our site at www.themcgowangroup.com If you would like to meet the team and upgrade your investment plan, please call us, (214) 720-4400. The consolidation process is surprisingly easy and we will walk you through every step. Schedule your 2012 planning meeting today! Our minimum consolidation is $500,000 per family. Please remember that if you are out of range of the station, you can listen live via the KLIF website at www.klif.com. Just click the green listen live icon and you should be connected. McGowanGroup Asset Management, Inc is a Federally Registered Investment Advisory Firm. Securities offered through independent firm, Spire Securities, LLC., a Registered Broker/Dealer and member FINRA / SIPC McGowanGroup and Spire only transact business in states where it is properly registered or notice filed, or excluded or exempted from registration requirements. Follow-up and individualized responses that involve either the effecting or attempting to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, as the case may be, will not be made absent compliance with state investment adviser and investment adviser representative registration requirements, or an applicable exemption or exclusion. All the materials presented in this guide are meant to be informational and used for educational purposes. Each situation is different and requires customization based on individual goals and risk tolerance. We recommend meeting with a financial professional before any action is taken. All articles used with permission. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners. No part of the information in this guide can be redistributed, copied, or reproduced without prior written consent of McGowan Group Asset Managemen and JPMorgan Asset Management.
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