Montgomery County, MD Market Update Feb 2017

Page 1

STATPAK

MONTGOMERY COUNTY MARCH 2017

McEnearney.com

MARKET IN A MINUTE A SUMMARY OF MARKET CONDITIONS FOR FEBRUARY 2017

CONTRACTS Contract activity in February 2017 was down 2.0% from February of 2016 and there was an increase in three of the six price categories. The drop in activity in the lower price ranges is likely due to the very low inventory of available homes. The average number of days on the market for homes receiving contracts was down from 78 days in February 2016, compared to 58 days in February 2017.

URGENCY INDEX The Urgency Index, simply the percentage of homes going under contract that were on the market 30 days or less, was up in February compared to the year prior. During the past 12 years, the Index has been as high as 92% (May 2004) and as low as 16% (December 2007). In February 2017, the Urgency Index was 59.1%, up significantly from 46.4% in February 2016.

INVENTORY The number of homes on the market at the end of February was down 15.9% from the end of February 2016, but there were substantial increases in homes priced more than $1,000,000, and there was a 5.1% increase in the number of new listings coming on the market. The increase in contract activity combined with the decrease in inventory dropped overall supply at the end of February to 1.7 months, down from 2.0 months last February.

INTEREST RATES The rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage ended February at 4.10%. That’s slightly lower than the 4.19% rate at the end of January, but is a half point higher than it was this time last year. Rates have edged a bit higher as we have moved into March, and the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate for the second time in three months. While that does not have a direct impact on mortgage rates, the Fed’s move is certainly a sign of its confidence in the economy – and we can expect mortgage rates to rise modestly through the year.

AFFORDABILITY The payment on a no-money-down, 30-year fixed mortgage for a median-priced home is 28.3% lower today than it was a decade ago in February 2007, but is 12.7% higher than February of last year. The mortgage payment for a median priced home ($1,883) was lower in February than the median rented price ($2,000).

DIRECTION OF THE MARKET Virtually every key indicator is positive for the Montgomery County real estate market, mirroring the metro DC region as a whole. The spike in interest rates has brought buyers into the market out of concern that rising rates may price them out of the market if they don’t act, and an extremely mild winter has helped as well. The number of contracts is up (despite a small drop in February), homes are selling in less time, and inventory is very low. Absorption rates above 30% are indicative of a seller’s market, and rates are much higher than that for every property type – condo, attached and detached homes – for homes priced less than $500,000. It’s a good time to be a seller and perhaps a frustrating time for buyers who are faced with fewer choices and more competition for that limited inventory.

Unless otherwise noted, data derived from Metropolitan Regional Information Systems, Inc. (MRIS®). “Northern Virginia” is defined as Arlington and Fairfax counties and the cities of Alexandria, Falls Church & Fairfax. Copyright © 2017 – McEnearney Associates

Montgomery County StatPak - Page 1


MONTHLY SUMMARY FEBRUARY 2016 vs. FEBRUARY 2017

MONTGOMERY COUNTY Number of Sales Fully Available Inventory on 2/28 or 2/29 Number of New Listings Number of New Contracts Days on Market - New Contracts Average Sales Price Average Seller Subsidy Urgency Index Months' Supply

February 2016 664 2,088 1,154 1,035 78 $494,458 $3,705 46.4% 2.0

February 2017 725 1,756 1,213 1,014 58 $516,247 $4,012 59.1% 1.7

% Change 9.2% -15.9% 5.1% -2.0% -25.6% 4.4% 8.3% 27.4% -14.2%

WASHINGTON, DC Number of Sales Fully Available Inventory on 2/28 or 2/29 Number of New Listings Number of New Contracts Days on Market - New Contracts Average Sales Price Average Seller Subsidy Urgency Index Months' Supply

475 1,078 807 710 46 $621,792 $2,963 61.5% 1.5

574 1,173 937 778 43 $685,108 $2,307 66.2% 1.5

20.8% 8.8% 16.1% 9.6% -6.5% 10.2% -22.1% 7.6% -0.7%

NORTHERN VIRGINIA Number of Sales Fully Available Inventory on 2/28 or 2/29 Number of New Listings Number of New Contracts Days on Market - New Contracts Average Sales Price Average Seller Subsidy Urgency Index Months' Supply

1,117 3,400 2,186 1,720 67 $537,757 $3,631 54.4% 2.0

1,220 2,986 2,312 1,789 48 $542,929 $2,993 68.6% 1.7

9.2% -12.2% 5.8% 4.0% -28.4% 1.0% -17.6% 26.1% -15.6%

LOUDOUN COUNTY Number of Sales Fully Available Inventory on 2/28 or 2/29 Number of New Listings Number of New Contracts Days on Market - New Contracts Average Sales Price Average Seller Subsidy Urgency Index Months' Supply

362 1,392 713 521 73 $448,685 $4,149 49.9% 2.7

361 1,073 721 544 39 $460,313 $3,427 71.7% 2.0

-0.3% -22.9% 1.1% 4.4% -46.6% 2.6% -17.4% 43.7% -26.2%

* Note: Percentages depicted in red indicate a negative market trend; black indicates a positive market trend

Copyright © 2017 – McEnearney Associates

Montgomery County StatPak - Page 2


YEAR-TO-DATE SUMMARY 2016 vs. 2017

MONTGOMERY COUNTY Number of Closed Sales Average Month-End Available Inventory Number of New Listings Number of New Contracts Days on Market - New Contracts Average Sales Price Average Seller Subsidy Average Urgency Index Average Months' Supply

Year-to-Date Jan-Feb Jan-Feb 2016 2017 1,326 1,436 2,101 1,760 2,027 2,211 1,791 1,851 78 63 $473,356 $498,759 $3,695 $3,893 42.2% 53.8% 2.3 1.9

WASHINGTON, DC Number of Closed Sales Average Month-End Available Inventory Number of New Listings Number of New Contracts Days on Market - New Contracts Average Sales Price Average Seller Subsidy Average Urgency Index Average Months' Supply

932 1,086 1,554 1,232 47 $610,300 $3,045 59.3% 1.8

1,128 1,137 1,761 1,419 44 $677,259 $2,491 62.2% 1.6

21.0% 4.7% 13.3% 15.2% -6.4% 11.0% -18.2% 4.9% -9.1%

NORTHERN VIRGINIA Number of Closed Sales Average Month-End Available Inventory Number of New Listings Number of New Contracts Days on Market - New Contracts Average Sales Price Average Seller Subsidy Average Urgency Index Average Months' Supply

2,143 3,333 3,722 2,982 72 $535,906 $3,587 46.0% 2.2

2,347 2,857 4,007 3,239 57 $545,544 $3,239 59.4% 1.8

9.5% -14.3% 7.7% 8.6% -20.8% 1.8% -9.7% 29.1% -21.1%

LOUDOUN COUNTY Number of Closed Sales Average Month-End Available Inventory Number of New Listings Number of New Contracts Days on Market - New Contracts Average Sales Price Average Seller Subsidy Average Urgency Index Average Months' Supply

694 1,372 1,244 936 79 $465,412 $4,219 44.8% 2.9

719 1,025 1,233 984 50 $472,539 $3,869 64.6% 2.1

3.6% -25.3% -0.9% 5.1% -37.6% 1.5% -8.3% 44.4% -29.0%

% Change 8.3% -16.2% 9.1% 3.4% -18.8% 5.4% 5.3% 27.3% -18.9%

* Note: Percentages depicted in red indicate a negative market trend; black indicates a positive market trend

Copyright © 2017 – McEnearney Associates

Montgomery County StatPak - Page 3


MONTGOMERY COUNTY – Detail Pages 30-YEAR FIXED AND 1-YEAR ADJUSTABLE RATES

MORTGAGE RATES

Month-End Mortgage Rates – 2010-Current

6.50 6.00

1-Year ARM 30-Year Fixed

5.50

Interest Rate

5.00 4.50 4.00

30-year fixed interest rates at the end of February averaged 4.10%, compared to 3.62% at the end of February 2016. One-year adjustable rate mortgages were 3.14% at the end of February 2017, which is up from 2.79% at the end of February 2016.

3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00

BUYING POWER

BUYING POWER

Mortgage Amount with $1,000 Payment

AVERAGES SALE PRICE

A $1,000 principal and interest payment supported a loan of $206,954 at the end of February, which is $12,455 less than February 2016 but $44,507 more than February 2006. In February 2007, it would have taken a monthly PI payment of $2,625 to purchase a medianpriced home. Lower rates combined with a lower median price now means it takes a payment of $1,905 to buy a median-priced home. That’s a 28.3% decrease.

AVERAGE PRICES

Montgomery County – 2009-Current

Copyright © 2017 – McEnearney Associates

February 2017’s average sales price was $516,247, up 4.4% from the February 2016 average price of $494,458. Remember that these indicators are arithmetic computations based on all properties sold and do not indicate the appreciation or depreciation of any individual property.

Montgomery County StatPak - Page 4


URGENCY INDEX

URGENCY INDEX – 2013-Current

% of Contracts on the Market for 30 Days or Less Montgomery County – 2013-Current 100%

This chart compares the number of contracts (green line) to the percent that were on the market 30 days or less (blue bars). At first glance, it might appear that the lower contract activity also means a lower percentage of homes that sell quickly – but that’s not always true. As an example, December is always the month with the lowest number of contracts. December 2011 (not on this chart) had a 30% index, but that jumped to 44% in 2012, an early indicator that the market was picking up heading into 2013.

1,600

# Contracts

80%

1,200

60% 1,000 50% 800 40% 600

30%

Number of Contracts

1,400

70%

400

20%

200

URGENCY INDEX

Jan 17

Nov 16

Jul 16

Sep 16

May 16

Jan 16

Mar 16

Nov 15

Jul 15

Sep 15

May 15

Jan 15

Mar 15

Nov 14

Jul 14

Sep 14

May 14

Jan 14

Mar 14

Nov 13

Jul 13

Sep 13

May 13

Jan 13

10%

Mar 13

% of Contracts on the Market 30 Days or Less

90%

0%

1,800 % of Contracts

0

URGENCY INDEX - February

Montgomery County – February 2006-2017

URGENCY INDEX DC Metro Area by Jurisdiction Comparison – February 2017

URGENCY INDEX – DC Metro Area 

Copyright © 2017 – McEnearney Associates

During the past 12 years, the February Urgency Index has been as high as 60.2% and as low as 29.5%. At 59.1% now, Montgomery County is close to that high-water mark. The average February Urgency Index during the past 12 years is 45.6% – which is lower than where we are today. There was a 2.0% decrease in the number of new contracts for February 2017 compared to 2016 – but the Urgency Index increased significantly from 46.4% to 59.1%.

The average February Urgency Index during the past 12 years for all four of the jurisdictions we track is 50.4%. Montgomery County is in fourth place this month. As noted above, the urgency index is higher than its 12-year average.

Montgomery County StatPak - Page 5


NEW CONTRACT ACTIVITY

NEW CONTRACT ACTIVITY Montgomery County – February 2016 vs. February 2017 by Price Range

 36

$1,500,000 and higher

15 67

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

February 2017

57

February 2016

75

$750,000 - $999,999

89

220

$500,000 - $749,999

169 349

$300,000 - $499,999

As noted on page 2, the number of new contracts ratified in February 2017 was down 2.0% from the number of contracts ratified in February 2016. However, there were increases in three price categories. As noted on page 3, contract activity year-to-date is up 3.4%. 26.5% of all homes going under contract in February 2017 had a price reduction before going under contract.

358 267

$0 - $299,999

347 0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

# of New Contracts

FULLY AVAILABLE LISTINGS

FULLY AVAILABLE LISTINGS Montgomery County – February 29, 2016 vs. February 28, 2017

 

As noted on page 2, the overall inventory decreased 15.9% in February 2017 compared to February 2016. Inventory increased for homes priced more than $1 million. 31.4% of all homes on the market have had at least one price reduction since coming on the market. In February 2016, 35.3% of all homes on the market had at least one price reduction.

MONTHS’ SUPPLY

MONTHS’ SUPPLY Montgomery County – End of February 2016 vs. End of February 2017

 7.0

$1,500,000 and higher

14.6 3.3

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

2.9 2.5

$750,000 - $999,999

The overall supply of homes on the market at the end of February was 1.7 months, down 14.2% from 2.0 months at the end of February 2016. Supply is lower for five price categories.

2.5 1.5

$500,000 - $749,999

2.4

February 2017

1.2

$300,000 - $499,999

February 2016

1.6 1.3

$0 - $299,999

1.5 0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

# of Months' Supply

Copyright © 2017 – McEnearney Associates

Montgomery County StatPak - Page 6


AVERAGE NUMBER OF DAYS ON THE MARKET – NEW CONTRACTS

AVERAGE NUMBER OF DAYS ON MARKET Montgomery County – February 2016 vs. February 2017 – New Contracts 77.2

$1,500,000 and higher

141.2 84.0

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

92.5

52.7

$750,000 - $999,999

91.1 64.2

$500,000 - $749,999

76.1 February 2017

55.0

$300,000 - $499,999

The average number of days on the market for homes receiving contracts in February was down for all price categories. Overall, the average number of days on the market for all homes receiving contracts in February 2017 was 58 days, down 25.6% from 78 days in February 2016.

February 2016

77.5 50.3

$0 - $299,999

71.4 0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

# of Days on Market

NUMBER OF NEW LISTINGS, NEW CONTRACTS, AND ACTIVE LISTINGS Montgomery County – January 2011-Current

NUMBER OF NEW LISTINGS, CONTRACTS AND ACTIVE LISTINGS 

RELATIONSHIP OF SALES PRICE TO ORIGINAL LIST PRICE vs. DAYS ON MARKET Resale Properties Sold in Montgomery County – Feb. 2016 vs. Feb. 2017

There were 1,213 new listings that came on the market in February 2017, a 5.1% increase from the 1,154 in February 2016. The incredibly tight market in the spring of 2013 – shown by the convergence of the blue (new listings), green (active inventory) and red (new contracts) lines – now shows a larger gap.

RELATIONSHIP OF SALES PRICE TO ORIGINAL LIST PRICE vs. DAYS ON MARKET 

Initial pricing strategy is critical to the listing process, regardless of market conditions. The longer a home sits on the market, the deeper the discount to its original list price will likely be. Homes settling in February 2017 that received contracts their first week on the market sold, on average, 0.39% above list price. Those that took 4 months or longer to sell sold at 8.67% below original list!

SOME DEFINITIONS AND EXPLANATIONS TO AID YOUR UNDERSTANDING OF THE DATA    

The data shown here are collected, in whole or in part, from the Metropolitan Regional Information System, Inc, and are believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed “Sales” are transactions that settled during the statistical period; “Under Contracts” are contracts negotiated during the statistical period, but not yet settled “Available Listings” reflects single-family homes, town homes, new homes and condos on the market at the end of the period in question. “Months’ Supply” is simply the number of “Fully Available Listings” on the market at the end of the month divided by the number of “Contracts” ratified that month.

Copyright © 2017 – McEnearney Associates

Montgomery County StatPak - Page 7


Analysis by Property Type – Condo/Co-op LISTINGS

CONDO/CO-OP – LISTINGS

Condo/Co-op

New This Month

Total Active

Listings

2016

2017

% Change

2016

2017

% Change

$299,999 and under

201

172

-14.4%

341

252

-26.1%

$300,000 - $499,999

84

81

-3.6%

134

125

-6.7%

$500,000 - $749,999

18

15

-16.7%

40

30

-25.0%

$750,000 - $999,999

3

5

66.7%

10

8

-20.0%

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

0

4

-

5

10

100.0%

$1,500,000 & higher

1

6

500.0%

9

21

133.3%

307

283

-7.8%

539

446

-17.3%

Grand Total:

CONTRACTS

CONDO/CO-OP – CONTRACTS

Condo/Co-op

New This Month

Year-To-Date

Contracts

2016

2017

% Change

2016

2017

% Change

$299,999 and under

194

165

-14.9%

328

322

-1.8%

$300,000 - $499,999

52

61

17.3%

88

108

22.7%

$500,000 - $749,999

10

17

70.0%

21

27

28.6%

$750,000 - $999,999

3

4

33.3%

5

6

20.0%

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

0

2

-

1

5

400.0%

$1,500,000 & higher

2

3

50.0%

3

4

33.3%

261

252

-3.4%

446

472

5.8%

Grand Total:

SETTLEMENTS

Condo/Co-op

New This Month

Year-To-Date

2016

2017

% Change

2016

2017

% Change

$299,999 and under

123

138

12.2%

243

260

7.0%

$300,000 - $499,999

37

44

18.9%

81

88

8.6%

$500,000 - $749,999

5

8

60.0%

9

17

88.9%

$750,000 - $999,999

2

3

50.0%

4

3

-25.0%

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

3

5

66.7%

5

7

40.0%

$1,500,000 & higher

4

2

-50.0%

5

6

20.0%

174

200

14.9%

347

381

9.8%

Average Sales Price:

Feb 2016 Feb 2017 % Change YTD 2016 YTD 2017 % Change

Condo/Co-op

$307,121 $290,981

Copyright © 2017 – McEnearney Associates

-5.3%

$281,793 $302,108

The number of condos and co-ops receiving ratified contracts decreased 3.4% in February 2017 compared to February 2016. Year-to-date, contract activity is up 5.8% compared to 2015.

CONDO/CO-OP – SETTLEMENTS AND AVERAGE PRICE

Settlements

Grand Total:

The number of new listings for condos and co-ops coming on the market decreased 7.8% compared to February 2016. The fully available inventory of condos as of February 28, 2017 is 17.3% less than February 29, 2016.

 

The number of condos and co-ops settling in February 2017 increased 14.9% compared to February 2016. Year-to-date, the number of settlements is up 9.8%. The average price was down 5.3% compared to February 2016. Year-to-date, the average price is up 7.2%.

7.2% Montgomery County StatPak - Page 8


Analysis by Property Type – Fee Simple Attached LISTINGS

ATTACHED HOMES – LISTINGS

Fee Simple Attached Listings

New This Month

Total Active

2016

2017

% Change

2016

2017

% Change

$299,999 and under

87

81

-6.9%

131

74

-43.5%

$300,000 - $499,999

86

105

22.1%

129

98

-24.0%

$500,000 - $749,999

33

39

18.2%

45

45

0.0%

$750,000 - $999,999

7

13

85.7%

18

22

22.2%

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

1

3

200.0%

10

23

130.0%

$1,500,000 & higher

1

0

-100.0%

4

5

25.0%

215

241

12.1%

337

267

-20.8%

Grand Total:

CONTRACTS

ATTACHED HOMES – CONTRACTS

Fee Simple Attached

New This Month

Year-To-Date

Contracts

2016

2017

% Change

2016

2017

% Change

$299,999 and under

123

83

-32.5%

229

166

-27.5%

$300,000 - $499,999

83

88

6.0%

147

158

7.5%

$500,000 - $749,999

22

31

40.9%

41

51

24.4%

$750,000 - $999,999

4

6

50.0%

9

8

-11.1%

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

4

2

-50.0%

6

2

-66.7%

$1,500,000 & higher

0

1

-

0

1

-

236

211

-10.6%

432

386

-10.6%

Grand Total:

SETTLEMENTS

Fee Simple Attached Settlements

New This Month

Year-To-Date

2017

% Change

2016

2017

% Change

$299,999 and under

81

77

-4.9%

152

149

-2.0%

$300,000 - $499,999

66

63

-4.5%

113

126

11.5%

$500,000 - $749,999

19

24

26.3%

36

43

19.4%

$750,000 - $999,999

4

4

0.0%

4

6

50.0%

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

1

1

0.0%

3

1

-66.7%

$1,500,000 & higher

0

0

-

0

0

-

171

169

-1.2%

308

325

5.5%

Average Sales Price:

Feb 2016 Feb 2017 % Change YTD 2016 YTD 2017 % Change

Fee Simple Attached

$345,788 $362,532

Copyright © 2017 – McEnearney Associates

4.8%

$341,646 $355,781

Contract activity for attached homes decreased 10.6% in February 2017 compared to February 2016. Year-to-date, contract activity is down 10.6%.

ATTACHED HOMES – SETTLEMENTS AND AVERAGE PRICE

2016

Grand Total:

The number of new listings coming on the market in February 2017 for fee simple attached homes increased 12.1% compared to February 2016. The fully available inventory as of February 28, 2017 is 20.8% less than this time in 2016.

 

The number of settlements decreased 1.2% in February 2017 compared to February 2016. Year-to-date, the number of settlements is up 5.5%. The average sales price was up 4.8% in February 2017 compared to February 2016. Year-to-date, the average price is up 4.1%.

4.1% Montgomery County StatPak - Page 9


Analysis by Property Type – Fee Simple Detached LISTINGS

DETACHED HOMES – LISTINGS

Fee Simple Detached Listings

New This Month

Total Active

2016

2017

% Change

2016

2017

% Change

$299,999 and under

21

14

-33.3%

35

12

-65.7%

$300,000 - $499,999

203

214

5.4%

313

212

-32.3%

$500,000 - $749,999

175

194

10.9%

316

253

-19.9%

$750,000 - $999,999

101

99

-2.0%

192

154

-19.8%

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

80

98

22.5%

150

187

24.7%

$1,500,000 & higher

52

70

34.6%

206

225

9.2%

Grand Total:

632

689

9.0%

1212

1043

-13.9%

CONTRACTS

DETACHED HOMES – CONTRACTS

Fee Simple Detached Contracts

New This Month

Year-To-Date

2016

2017

% Change

2016

2017

% Change

$299,999 and under

30

19

-36.7%

64

39

-39.1%

$300,000 - $499,999

223

200

-10.3%

380

378

-0.5%

$500,000 - $749,999

137

172

25.5%

239

292

22.2%

$750,000 - $999,999

82

65

-20.7%

122

122

0.0%

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

53

63

18.9%

80

101

26.3%

$1,500,000 & higher

13

32

146.2%

28

61

117.9%

Grand Total:

538

551

2.4%

913

993

8.8%

SETTLEMENTS

Fee Simple Detached Settlements

The number of new listings for fee simple detached homes was up 9.0% in February 2017 compared to February 2016. The number of detached homes on the market on February 28, 2017 decreased 13.9% compared to February 29, 2016.

New This Month

DETACHED HOMES – SETTLEMENTS AND AVERAGE PRICE

Year-To-Date

2016

2017

% Change

2016

2017

% Change

$299,999 and under

25

15

-40.0%

55

34

-38.2%

$300,000 - $499,999

135

152

12.6%

290

315

8.6%

$500,000 - $749,999

84

89

6.0%

182

208

14.3%

$750,000 - $999,999

34

41

20.6%

69

73

5.8%

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

23

32

39.1%

47

61

29.8%

$1,500,000 & higher

18

27

50.0%

28

39

39.3%

Grand Total:

319

356

11.6%

671

730

8.8%

Average Sales Price:

Feb 2016 Feb 2017 % Change YTD 2016 YTD 2017 % Change

Fee Simple Detached

$668,735 $710,002

Copyright © 2017 – McEnearney Associates

6.2%

$631,697 $661,923

The number of contracts on detached homes in February 2017 was up 2.4% compared to February 2016. The number of contracts yearto-date increased 8.8%.

The number of settlements in February was up 11.6% compared to February 2016. Year-to-date, there has been an increase of 8.8%. The average sales price for detached homes increased 6.2% in February 2017 compared to February 2016. The average sales price year-todate is up 4.8%.

4.8% Montgomery County StatPak - Page 10


Absorption Rate by Property Type The following tables track absorption rate by property type, comparing the rates in the just-completed month to the rates in the same month of the previous year. The absorption rate is a measure of the health of the market, and tracks the percentage of homes that were on the market during the given month and in the given price range that went under contract. [The formula is # Contracts/(# Contracts + # Available).] An example: The absorption rate for detached homes priced between $500,000 and $749,999 in February 2017 was 40.5%; that compares to a rate of 30.2% in February 2016, and the increase means the market was better in 2017 for that type of home. If the absorption rate was less in 2017 than in 2016, we have put the 2016 rate in red. This month there was improvement for 14 of 18 individual categories.

Condo/Co-op Absorption Rates

February 2016 Listings Contracts

February 2017 Rate

Listings Contracts

Rate

$299,999 and under

341

194

36.3%

252

165

39.6%

$300,000 - $499,999

134

52

28.0%

125

61

32.8%

$500,000 - $749,999

40

10

20.0%

30

17

36.2%

$750,000 - $999,999

10

3

23.1%

8

4

33.3%

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

5

0

0.0%

10

2

16.7%

$1,500,000 & higher

9

2

18.2%

21

3

12.5%

539

261

32.6%

446

252

36.1%

Grand Total:

Fee Simple Attached Absorption Rates

February 2016 Listings Contracts

February 2017 Rate

Listings Contracts

Rate

$299,999 and under

131

123

48.4%

74

83

52.9%

$300,000 - $499,999

129

83

39.2%

98

88

47.3%

$500,000 - $749,999

45

22

32.8%

45

31

40.8%

$750,000 - $999,999

18

4

18.2%

22

6

21.4%

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

10

4

28.6%

23

2

8.0%

$1,500,000 & higher

4

0

0.0%

5

1

16.7%

337

236

41.2%

267

211

44.1%

Grand Total:

Fee Simple Detached Absorption Rates

February 2016 Listings Contracts

February 2017 Rate

Listings Contracts

Rate

$299,999 and under

35

30

46.2%

12

19

61.3%

$300,000 - $499,999

313

223

41.6%

212

200

48.5%

$500,000 - $749,999

316

137

30.2%

253

172

40.5%

$750,000 - $999,999

192

82

29.9%

154

65

29.7%

$1,000,000 - $1,499,999

150

53

26.1%

187

63

25.2%

$1,500,000 & higher

206

13

5.9%

225

32

12.5%

Grand Total:

1212

538

30.7%

1043

551

34.6%

Copyright © 2017 – McEnearney Associates

ABSORPTION RATES – CONDOS AND CO-OPS 

The overall absorption rate for condos and co-ops for February 2017 was 36.1%, an increase from the 32.6% rate in February 2016.

ABSORPTION RATES – ATTACHED HOMES 

The overall absorption rate for attached homes for February 2017 was 44.1%, up from the 41.2% rate in February 2016.

ABSORPTION RATES – DETACHED HOMES 

February 2016’s absorption rate for detached homes was 34.6%, up from the 30.7% rate of February 2016. And as we have seen in the other property types, the absorption rates are higher for the lower-priced categories.

Montgomery County StatPak - Page 11


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