Planning for Uncertainty and Disruption: How to Adapt to Tomorrow’s Trends Today

Text: Scott Steinberg

If there’s one thing that the last two years (and a close brush with Covid-19’s economic impact) have taught meeting and event planners, it’s that the unexpected is now the only thing modern professionals can expect. While in-person events are returning faster than anticipated, hybrid meetings are here to stay. And while travel is suddenly rebounding, it’s also becoming increasingly clear that an environment of constant change is the new status quo.

Luckily, as we share with thousands each year in keynote and workshop programs such as Think Like a Futurist: How to See Tomorrow Today, you don’t have to be especially brilliant or talented to successfully navigate through all this ongoing chaos or to stay one step ahead of the curve. Better still for industry vets who may be reeling from months of constant disruption: Anyone can learn to spot and adapt to rising trends more effectively by asking more pointed questions and exercising more critical thinking.

Having spent 20 years serving as a futurist and trends expert for today’s largest household brands, here’s a simple three-step system that you can use to more effectively plan for whatever the future brings and adapt to any unforeseen curveballs it throws your way.

Focus on the future

Futurism is the practice of actively contemplating future events and trends and how they promise to impact your business, and it’s only becoming an ever more vital skill to employ. Luckily, anyone can practice using it the same way we pros do: Studying the current state of the market and society, tracking emerging trends, and challenging yourself to think about how resulting developments might impact your organisation. You can become more of an anticipatory leader just by staying better attuned to what’s happening in the marketplace and making a point to actively plan by creating concrete action plans to address any scenarios you might face.

One of the easiest ways to do this is to challenge staffers to routinely pause and consider what’s coming next for your field, then craft sample scenarios that you and your colleagues can simulate working through to solve problems long before they become pressing issues. For example, simple exercises we often use at workshops and retreats to help partners think more strategically include:

Brainstorm ten unforeseen events and happenings that might impact your business in the future and discuss how you might address them with peers. For example, this might include asking yourself what if:

• A resurgence in Covid-19 causes event attendance to shrink, industry calendars to shift, and available labour to become even harder to come by?

• Audience spending and interest wind up pulling back in the wake of ongoing economic uncertainty?

• Geopolitical upheaval causes temporary or long-term hiccups to the event or travel planning process?

Thinking up ten new trends or innovations that promise to reshape your field and exploring which should be top of mind going forward by encouraging you to ask yourself pointed questions like:

• Which areas of your business are likeliest to be impacted by these new advancements, how, and when?

• How are you preparing to greet these changes from now on? Where can you turn for help if needed?

• What simple shifts in business or operating strategy could you address impending changes in the market or pivot to new audiences or spaces as needed?

Engaging in these exercises, essentially playing a constant game of asking yourself what if ? can help you determine which way the future is trending and the best plan of action to adopt going forward.

Better yet, the more you make a point to role-play through possible scenarios and exercise your problem-solving skills, the more you’ll discover that the type of critical thinking that futurists use is a skill that can strengthen through repeated exercise.

Make strategic planning your secret weapon

Planning for tomorrow not only encourages us to get in the habit of being more proactive in the face of impending shifts but also more purposeful when it comes to doing our research and making smart decisions. But perhaps best of all, it also gets us in the habit of exercising strong but weakly held opinions. For example, making decisions using the best information at hand and taking action, but not becoming so married to the strategies that we can’t change course in the face of new (or even contradictory) information and business intelligence.

As you go about this process, and consider new business strategies, don’t forget to take a long-term approach to plan either, and recognise that there are many ways to win in business besides boosting your company’s profits. For example: Although it may begin as a loss leader at first, starting a new conference or event series introduces you to new industries or partners or provides crucial business insights and learnings. It may be worth more than a short-term boost to revenues in the end.

So, as you consider which business choices to pursue, don’t forget to factor in the opportunity cost associated with any decision. Happily, asking yourself a few simple questions can help here, such as:

• Profits aside, how can you always ensure you’re finding ways to win with every opportunity you pursue, for example, by gaining new capabilities, insights, and resources that can apply to other business ventures?

• How adaptable are the business strategies you’re considering implementing, and if they fall short, just how readily can you repurpose tools, technologies, and insights gained from them in new and novel ways if needed, or use them to pivot to new opportunities?

• How quickly can resources and learnings garnered from your efforts in any given area translate to other contexts, industries, or areas of business opportunity?

Apply a measured approach to advancement

As corporate leaders can tell you, applying a structured approach to innovation pays to use. Noting this, you can get better at determining which way the wind is blowing by engaging in a few simple forward-thinking activities that indicate how tomorrow’s world is trending.

Staying up to date on emerging developments

For example, Millennials and Gen Zers, who think, learn, and operate differently from prior generations, are becoming the largest demographics in the workforce, just as artificial intelligence and robotics are transforming the shape of the workplace as we speak.

Just a few ways you can stay on top of these shifts include reading up on the latest news, attending conferences, staying attuned to academic research, consulting with suppliers and vendors, talking with industry thought leaders, and keeping on top of business and investment activity.

Applying a critical eye towards change management

Once you’ve spotted an emerging trend, make a point to think ahead and imagine what the future will look like in three, five, and ten years hence for your field. Now work backwards and consider how your industry got there and how you and your company can play a role in helping the market arrive at this future state.

By way of illustration, in the case of virtual reality or ‘metaverse’ (digitally simulated) events, for example, you might ask: How will these innovations impact current markets and industries? What business models will they upend, and to what extent? And what new opportunities will their arrival create?

Being more structured in your analysis

Having a strategic methodology for evaluating opportunities is also essential. For example, you might start by deciding whether a new technology aimed at the meetings and events industry is an incremental innovation (such as one that introduces a clever new feature or function) or disruptive innovation that produces a new product, service, or category.

Afterwards, you could identify prospective markets and audiences for it, pick a time to examine, and put the idea through rigorous analysis to understand the business opportunity it introduces. Then you’ll also want to consider the potential value to your organisation and the strategic rationale for pursuing it.

Surround yourself with expert advisers

No one can predict the future with 100 per cent certainty. But you can improve your accuracy by making it more collaborative and communal.

The more you can create and leverage a network of diverse advisers boasting different backgrounds and experiences in various domains, which can help provide more robust feedback and insight when you’re working to envision the future, the more successful you’ll be.

Seeing tomorrow today

In the end, it helps to remember that getting better about planning for tomorrow isn’t necessarily about getting better about predicting the future so much as it is about asking more pointed questions.

The more you stay attuned to market signals, work to weave them together to spot emerging patterns,

Better yet, the more you practice using these talents, the more you’ll also find that tomorrow is often simply what you choose to make of it, and the better equipped to adapt to changing times you’ll be.

Scott Steinberg, President and CEO of Bizdev: The International Association for Business Development and Strategic Partnerships. Hailed as the World’s Leading Business Strategist, award-winning professional speaker Scott Steinberg is among today’s best-known trends experts and futurists, and the best-selling author of “Think Like a Futurist; Make Change Work for You: 10 Ways to Future-Proof Yourself, Fearlessly Innovate, and Succeed Despite Uncertainty,” and “Fast >> Forward: How to Turbo-Charge Business, Sales, and Career Growth.” Find him through FuturistsSpeakers.com.

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