Valley Real Estate Review -- July 2013

Page 1

Valley Real Estate Review Active Offices

July 2013 2012 Active Listings Months of Inventory

2013

5,582

5,104

11.02

Combined Sales Force

Total Listing Issued

Total Annual Sales

Total Annual Dollar Volume

2004 2005 2006 2007

392 442 487 505

1,618 1,898 2,131 2,194

15,105 15,307 16,585 18,425

9,894 11,576 10,587 8,899

$1,761,745,381 $2,302,562,120 $2,435,687,568 $2,226,574,295

2008

481

1,898

16,957

5,954

$1,433,604,120

% of Change -8.56%

2009

493

1,725

14,807

5,869

$1,257,251,311

2010

484

1,607

14,870

5,772

$1,149,297,552

2011

456

1,433

11,783

5,788

$1,127,525,552

-22.96%

2012

461

1,417

11,654

6,541

$1,266,808,552

2013 Year to Date

465

1,477

7,975

4,297

$847,144,956

8.49

1988 to 2013 YTD Average Sales Prices (all types, all areas) 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

57,263 62,968 66,718 72,002 78,723 86,339 98,379 107,670 117,470 127,493 136,601 140,886 144,482 146,282 149,460 161,637 179,917 198,908 230,064 250,205 240,780 214,219 199,116 194,804 193,672 197,148

2013 to 1999 Closed Sales by Month

1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0

2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002

7

Thousands

APR 599 489 436 551 382 565 837 826 845 839 732 693 632 611 660

MAY 739 592 536 639 414 577 924 1025 1001 838 800 748 757 661 617

63786306 5471

5030 5 4706

3

MAR 573 572 580 488 381 541 714 917 920 761 723 657 653 635 625

Number of Sales Year to Date

6

4

FEB 419 401 338 341 267 421 676 737 656 575 550 498 442 455 423

5584 4297 3652 355433243643 2885

2 1 0 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

JUNE 653 553 583 656 546 551 916 1064 1101 1027 795 825 757 733 819

JULY 802 622 478 473 584 617 871 937 1047 921 862 726 758 638 743

Number of Sales Year to date

AUG

SEPT

OCT

NOV

DEC

664 597 503 557 528 889 1077 1143 991 879 759 760 674 892

612 532 430 591 528 685 896 1195 901 914 733 687 605 744

594 468 418 635 502 675 882 1017 829 930 740 821 635 709

508 403 412 605 386 543 765 971 680 665 643 562 617 579

520 464 454 596 358 523 671 823 764 670 621 652 534 657

Percent Increase/ Decrease From Previous Year

3000 2500 2000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

16.58% -1.13% -11.45% -34.60% -21.00% 23.19% -6.47% 9.60% 17.95%

2001 2000 1999

Total Annual Dollar Volume

Millions

JAN 512 414 373 406 311 380 646 800 808 510 568 559 415 454 566

2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999

1500 1000 500 0

1994 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012


Residential Average Sales Prices by Area Year to Date

Top Sales Terms Year to Date

300

% Chg = Percent of change from previous year

AREA

Keizer 10 Central 20 SubEast 30 SubEast 35 Southeast 40 South 50 West 60 Benton 70 Linn 80 Marion 90 Polk 95 Total Average

OS

95 Polk

90 Marion

27

80

48

Linn

229

70

651

Benton

302

1,206

60

1,743

LSC

West

VA USDA 1TD

50

CNV CSH FHA

South

100

Southeast 40

0

150 SubEast 35

500

200

SubEast 30

1,000

250

Central 20

Thousands

1,500

Keizer 10

2,000

Residential Average Sales Prices by Area

2009

% Chg 08/ 2009

2010

% Chg 09/ 2010

2011

% Chg 10/ 2011

2012

% Chg 11/ 2012

2013 Year to Date

$204,747

-11.70%

$200,449

-2.10%

$186,257

-7.1%

$177,231

-4.8%

$192,054

144,558

-6.04%

121,048

-16.26%

110,633

-8.6%

101,111

-8.6%

120,570

172,070

-9.92%

164,755

-4.25%

150,713

-8.5%

131,690

-12.6%

147,446

184,831

-3.99%

174,089

-5.81%

153,768

-11.7%

155,072

0.8%

165,949

225,732

-11.89%

221,513

-1.87%

195,084

-11.9%

195,026

0.0%

213,622

259,896

-9.90%

254,274

-2.16%

239,344

-5.9%

244,789

2.3%

254,410

246,132

-4.54%

232,493

-5.54%

207,383

-10.8%

203,201

-2.0%

207,940

273,932

-8.59%

267,076

-2.50%

261,271

-2.2%

270,838

3.7%

277,956

176,117

-8.20%

158,356

-10.08%

145,832

-7.9%

157,402

7.9%

163,216

210,748

-9.14%

195,465

-7.25%

192,224

-1.7%

195,128

1.5%

196,052

198,532

-10.67%

196,252

-1.15%

171,895

-12.4%

181,584

5.6%

186,691

$215,432

-10.39%

205,406

-4.65%

$193,821

-5.6%

$196,867

1.6%

$206,616


July 2013

New Construction Statistics A member owned cooperative MLS Since 1949 New Construction Residential

Area 10 Keizer

Area 20 Central Salem

Area 30 Suburban NE

Area 35 Suburban SE

Area 40 SE Salem

Area 50 South Salem

Area 60 West Salem

Area 70 Benton County

Area 80 Linn County

Area 90 Marion County

Area 95 Polk County

Units Sold 12 Mos to date

23

1

12

2

97

20

43

86

71

34

27

Average Sales Price

$203,372

$167,000

$172,372

$157,400

$244,765

$240,776

$211,922

$249,708

$195,464

$212,885

$233,259

Average Square Footage

1,707

1,608

1,695

1,549

1,901

1,759

1,778

1,898

1,729

1,604

1,738

Average Cost per Square Foot

$119.00

$103.00

$101.00

$101.00

$128.00

$136.00

$119.00

$131.00

$113.00

$132.00

$134.00

Average Day on the Market

163

103

149

92

157

127

164

149

122

132

148

Currently Active Listings

8

1

3

4

44

7

15

27

39

37

6

New Construction

Sales 2009

Sales 2010

Sales 2011

Sales 2012

Residential$

Sales 2013 Year to Date

Currently Active

Currently Pending

Units

687

632

400

347

266

195

72

Average Price

$250,339

$232,067

$217,526

$217,959

$227,536

$258,018

$247,865

Average Square Footage

1,855

1,926

1,806

1,786

1,805

1,918

1,986

Average Cost per Square Foot

$135.00

$120.00

$120.00

$122.00

$126.00

$134.00

$124.00

Average Days on the Market

182

183

206

165

143

104

55

Equal Housing Opportunity

Many factors contribute to fluctuations in data users should analyze over an extended period to ascertain market trends. copyright 2013 WVMLS all rights reserved


Residential Sales by Number of Bedrooms

Number Sold 12 Months Average Sales Price Av. Square Footage Average Cost Square Foot Days on Market Active on the Market

2 Bedrooms

3 Bedrooms

4 5 Bedrooms Bedrooms

791

3,681

1,367

224

$121,512

$190,731

$265,804

$301,817

1,180

1,633

2,328

2,901

$102.00

$116.00

$114.00

$104.00

147

137

153

157

386

1,551

727

198

Units Sold

2 Bedrooms 4 Bedrooms 3 Bedrooms 5 Bedrooms

Sold Listings Days on Mkt Currently Active

600 500 400 300 200 100 0

40-49999 50-59999 60-69999 70-79999 80-89999 90-99999 100-109999 110-119999 120-129999 130-139999 140-149999 150-159999 160-169999 170-179999 180-189999 190-199999 200-224999 225-249999 250-274999 275-299999 300-349999 350-399999 400-449999 450-499999 500-749999 750-999999 1000000+

Units Sold / Days on Market/Active

Residential Listings by Price Range 12 Mos

Price Ranges


Residential Sold Price Analysis Active on the Market

2013 Dollar Volume Year to Date

Original Average List Price

Average Sales Price

% Sale to List

Days on the Mkt

Average Square Footage

Price Per Square Foot

$60790431

2013 Units Sold Year to Date 234

112

$44940728

$200609

$192054

95.7

120

1829

$105.00

275

27805594

172

92

20738159

131314

120570

91.8

135

1429

84.00

36472714

221

29103533

173

78

25508225

157399

147446

93.6

138

1554

94.00

196

30138541

238

36907361

141

78

23398850

179498

165949

92.4

160

1572

105.00

40

449

87592843

537

104729383

371

263

79254068

226853

213622

94.1

142

1943

109.00

50

205

49065569

244

59728735

180

146

45793836

278890

254410

91.2

149

2294

110.00

60

302

62629945

355

721316593

245

204

50945467

219291

207940

94.8

145

2030

102.00

70

699

182628785

793

214774891

578

388

160658958

289616

277956

95.9

108

1912

145.00

80

989

144227941

1034

162754153

697

628

113761715

174177

163216

93.7

141

1561

104.00

90

572

109952632

680

132687357

467

432

91556419

211500

196052

92.6

169

1721

113.00

95

310

53287605

356

64644125

252

265

47046202

203017

186691

91.9

165

1658

112.00

OS

416

94518115

438

103020158

217

265

55527613

278133

255887

92.0

164

1928

132.00

A R E A

2011 Units Sold

2011 Dollar Volume

2012 Units Sold

2012 Dollar Volume

10

279

$51965937

343

20

235

25998845

30

242

35

New Listings by the Month

40

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

JAN 1231 1117 1284 1373 1176 1313 1049 935 862

FEB 1129 1130 1327 1573 1160 1355 920 950 1070

MAR 1397 1395 1664 1609 1332 1586 1122 983 1075

APR 1386 1323 1699 1639 1275 1382 1142 1049 1253

MAY 1367 1610 1980 1535 1358 1349 1134 1255 1286

JUN 1544 1781 2022 1647 1500 1384 1165 1219 1132

JUL 1311 1557 1655 1708 1460 1364 1097 1169 1297

AUG 1510 1661 1780 1343 1405 1437 1066 1091

SEP 1376 1452 1429 1414 1276 984 845 836

OCT 1171 1549 1571 1278 1144 1004 819 906

NOV 1053 1176 1185 1039 891 928 811 728

DEC 843 834 819 799 830 784 675 533

0

2012 2013

Area OS

20

2011

Area 95

2010

Area 90

0

60

Area 80

2009

92

80

Area 70

500

95.9 93.7 92.6 91.9 91.8 93.6 92.4 94.1 91.2 94.8

Area 60

2008

95.7

Area 50

1000

100

Area 40

2007

Area 35

1500

Percent of Sales Price to List Price (YTD)

Area 30

2006

120

Area 20

2005

2000

Area 10

2500

Average Days on the Market Year to Date Average Sales Price Per Square Foot By Area Including Lot (YTD)

200 160

150

135 138

169 165 164 142 149 145

120

200

141 108

100

50

132 105 84

94

105

109

110

102

104

113

112

Area OS

Area 95

Area 90

Area 80

Area 70

Area 60

Area 50

Area 40

Area 35

Area 30

Area 20

50 Area 10

0

145

150

100

0 Area 10 Area 30 Area 40 Area 60 Area 80 Area 95 Area 20 Area 35 Area 50 Area 70 Area 90 Area OS


3421 25th St. SE Salem, Oregon 97302-1122 (503) 399-8657 1 800 944-3138 The Statistics presented in this update are compiled by the WVMLS. Statistics reflect sales made by member offices for properties listed in the Willamette Valley, Oregon. Many factors contribute to fluctuations in data. Users of this report should analyze data over an extended period to ascertain market trends. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Copyright 2013 WVMLS All rights reserved Executive Vice President/Editor Jay A. Gordon We welcome your comments and suggestions.

2002 to 2013 Residential Average/Median Sales Prices 300,000 250,000

Equal Housing Opportunity

All statistical reports are available on the web at WVMLS.COM

200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000

AREAS: Keizer

0

# 10

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

153,589 164,103 180,172 199,754 232,943 249,203 240,406 215,432 205,406 193,821 196,867 206,616

Central Salem

20

Suburban East

30

Suburban SE

35

Southeast Salem

40

South Salem

50

West Salem

60

Benton County

70

Linn County

80

Marion County

90

Polk County

95

138,555 147,273 156,900 172,400 199,900 217,000 210,000 192,000 180,050 169,000 169,000 180,000

Factoid: The average new home sold in the Willamette Valley is a 3 bedroom, 2 bath with 1,812 square feet plus a 2 car garage. The average cost per square foot for a new home is $127.00 including a 6,800 square foot lot. Closed Sales July 2013 Full Year 2012 July 2012 Full Year 2011

New Listings

Pending Listings

802

1,297

1,355

Average Sales Price $214,506

% List Price to Sales Price 96.23%

6,541

11,654

4,224

$193,672

96.01%

622

1,169

1,238

$194,252

97.43%

5,788

11,783

4,042

$194,804

94.68%


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