Property Talk with Rod Lewis, Mike Pero Real Estate, Summer 2017

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Summer 2017

Despite challenging conditions, residential prices increase across New Zealand Median residential property prices across New Zealand have increased by 1.2% year-on-year to $525,000 according to the latest data from the Real Institute of New Zealand (REINZ) – source of the most complete and accurate real estate data in New Zealand. Nationally, excluding Auckland, median prices increased 5.7% yearon-year and Auckland median prices remained flat at $845,000. However, on a month-on-month basis, Auckland’s median price increased by 1.2% or by $10,000. Contributing to the overall increase, six regions across the country experienced double-digit median price increases in September yearon-year: Tasman (up 19.3% to $572,500) Gisborne (up 14.9% to $270,000) Wellington (up 10.6% to $531,000) Hawke’s Bay (up 18.3% to $392,000) Northland (up 14.4% to $446,000) Southland (up 10% to $220,000) Only two regions experienced price decreases during September (compared to September 2016) – West Coast (down 15.6% to $208,500) and Canterbury (down 3.2% to $426,000). Bindi Norwell, CEO at REINZ says: “Prices across the country increased in all but three regions, evidence that the market continues to grow despite some challenging conditions – including the LVR restrictions and banks continuing to tighten lending conditions. Much of the increase has been driven by the buoyancy in the regions.”

Soggy start to spring impacts sales volumes The number of properties sold during September fell 26.2% year-onyear (from 7,352 to 5,428) the lowest number of properties sold in the month of September for 6 years. Nationally, excluding Auckland, volumes decreased by 23.7% year-on-year. Looking at the regional picture, again all 16 regions in the country experienced a decrease in the number of properties sold on a yearon-year basis. Regions with the biggest reduction in volumes were Tasman (down 37%), Southland (down 34%) and Auckland (down 31.5%). Marlborough experienced the lowest number of sales since January 2012 (down 27.4%). The month-on-month figures provide a more positive picture, however, with a number of regions experiencing an increase in the number of sales in comparison to August, and two regions experienced double-digit growth – Gisborne (up 25%) and Taranaki (up 11.4%). “The soggy start to spring combined with the ‘election effect’ has had a significant impact on the number of sales across the country – this is the lowest number of sales in eight months, and the lowest number of sales in the month of September for six years. However, it’s not all doom and gloom as there are pockets of the country experiencing increases month-on-month and median prices are increasing in the majority of regions across the country.” “Overall, the New Zealand housing market continues to remain in a strong position. While volumes are down, median house prices across the country have increased again. As the weather warms up we expect the market to pick up again,” concludes Norwell.

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What’s Happening in the Market?

The median price trend continues to flatten, with the sales volume trend decreasing notably. The days to sell trend has moved up to easing slightly. The House Price Index remains quite flat, with slight negative 3 month and 12 month movements.

T

he median price decreased $14,000 (-3%) compared to September 2016. The TA’s were a mixed bag with Waimate the biggest drop in median (-22%) and Mackenzine was the largest gain at 42%. Compared to August the median price decreased $250 (-0%), with the Waimate median price decreasing 20% and Mackenzie increasing 9%. On a seasonally adjusted basis the median price decreased 1% compared to August, indicating that a small increase in the median price was expected at this time of year. Sales volume across the region fell 25% compared to September 2016, with sales volume falling furthest in Mackenzie (-56%), Ashburton (-32%), and Hurunui (-29%). Compared to August sales count decreased 13%, with sales increasing most in Mackenzie (40%), Kaikoura (29%) and Waimakariri (+16%), but falling in Selwyn (-25%), Christchurch City and Waimate (-15%). On a seasonally adjusted basis, volumes decreased 9% compared to August indicating that the decrease in sales was greater than would be expected moving from August to September. The number of days to sell improved

by three days in September from 37 days in August to 34 days in September. Compared to September 2016 the number of days to sell eased by three days. Over the past 10 years the number of days to sell in September across the region has averaged 34 days. There was 17 weeks of inventory available in September, an increase of one week compared to September 2016. REINZ Chief Executive Officer, Bindi Norwell, says: “The Canterbury market felt like a steady, normal market over the last month but the sales figures haven’t necessarily reflected that, whether it was a preoccupation with the election drama or a real turn in the market, it’s too early to say. Certainly, banks are a lot more selective on loans and that is impacting marginal property and some buyers, overall the market has felt tight but steady. Open home attendance levels have returned to what we were seeing in the market this time last year, suggesting that activity is starting to increase. Over the next few months I think we will have a small lift in sales to reflect the typical spring lift - there is obviously activity out there, consultants just have to hunt and hustle a bit more to find it.”

34

$525,000

Median days to sell in SEPTEMBER

National Median House Price

Residential property prices across New Zealand increased by 1.2% year-on-year to $525,000. Nationally, excluding Auckland, median prices increase 5.7% year-on-year and Auckland median prices remained flat at $845,000. “Prices across the country increased in all but three regions, evidence that the market continues to grow despite some challenging conditions including the LVR restrictions and banks continuing to tighten lending conditions. Much of the increase has been driven by the buoyancy in the regions,” says Bindi Norwell, REINZ CEO at REINZ.

Northland

$446,000

Auckland

$845,000

Waikato

$480,000

Bay of Plenty

$547,500

Gisborne

$270,000

Hawke’s Bay

$392,000

Manawatu/Wanganui

$271,000

Taranaki

$360,000

Wellington

$531,000

Nelson

$481,000

Marlborough

$396,000

Tasman

$572,500

West Coast

$208,500

Canterbury

$426,000

Otago

$397,000

Southland

$220,000

NZ excluding Auckland

$428,000

NEW ZEALAND TOTAL

$525,000

Median Price Breakdown - September 2017

The REINZ House Price Index shows: National

+2.1% on Sept 2016

National ex Auckland

+7.0% on Sept 2016

Auckland

-0.7% on Sept 2016

National

+0.7% on Aug 2017

National ex Auckland

+0.8% on Aug 2017

Auckland

+0.7% on Aug 2017

For more REINZ HPI information, see https://www.reinz.co.nz/reinz-hpi

Source: REINZ


Outdoor Oasis

With the promise of summer, and the festive season just around the corner, it is time to maximise the potential of your outdoor area. By Mike Pero, Chief Executive, Mike Pero Real Estate

Whether you have a porch, patio or pool, there’s plenty you can do to improve your outdoor experience at home and add value when it comes time to sell.

TAKE A SEAT It is time to liberate your outdoor furniture from storage, and make any necessary repairs to torn upholstery and treat fading wooden pieces to a moisturising coat of oil. If your outdoor furniture has seen better days, it may be time to give yourself an early Christmas gift and invest in a new set. Think carefully about how you use your outdoor areas. Consider a table and chairs for al fresco dining, sun loungers for beside the pool, outdoor bean bags made from quality nautical fabric, and occasional stools and coffee tables for relaxing in the shade. Then consider the various configurations that best allow for high traffic areas, and designate different zones with an outdoor rug.

CLEAR THE DECKS Attending to maintenance at the beginning of the season will stand you in good stead for the rest of summer so you can fully enjoy the good life at home. If you have a timber deck or porch,

Keep an immaculate lush lawn all year round with a smart automated mowing system, or for smaller areas consider laying artificial grass, which looks as good as the real thing with no maintenance or watering required.

a fresh lick of paint or stain will revitalise these spaces. Hiring a water blaster from your local home depot is an easy and effective way to refresh concrete patios, driveways and paths. If you have a pool, now is the time to ensure all the pumps are working and the pool chemicals are balanced.

GREEN FINGERS It’s that time of year to get planting and repotting to create the ultimate lush outdoor oasis. Potted plants, shrubs, herbs and flowers can add a burst of colour to otherwise unadorned spaces, and, if space is at a premium, walled or vertical gardens can be created with relative ease to camouflage unsightly fences. Hang trailing plants in baskets or woven macramé hangers to add interest and soften architectural features.

ENTERTAINER’S DREAM For more substantial, long-lasting additions that will completely transform your outdoor living spaces, you may wish to enlist the services of a seasoned landscape architect. Choose a company that offers the complete design package, from plant selection, to hardscaping, to installation of pergolas, louvres, swimming pools, built-in barbeques and outdoor fireplaces. Or, for the Kiwi DIY approach, there are fabulous design blogs to browse where you’ll find endless inspiration to spark your creativity.

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Rod Lewis 027 860 4835 rod.lewis@mikepero.com https://rodlewis.mikepero.com/

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