Scenario Mapping Book by Miles Phillips

SCENARIO MAPPING

Scenario Mapping

The Scenario Mapping workshop was aimed at providing a tool for creating informed scenarios through a ‘scenario game’. In the scenario game each player takes the role of a key actor involved in the scenarios loaction; this then informs the view that a particular player takes. Fed by a series of action cards, actor cards, ‘wild cards’ and inspirational cards’ the scenario is partly played out as a game of chance, however each decision made is informed through the situation research and specific to the scenario unfolding. This way several scenarios can be created; providing situation specific outcomes; of which each in turn could form the direction of our projects.

Scenario Mapping - Group 1

In this scenario game; four players held the roles of Halima (a local social housing resident), EDF energy (a representative of the company due to a power station in place in Colombes), the Political Opposition (Communist), and final Fatima (a local social worker). The scenario played in three rounds followed how the implications of key political and capital players would affect the lives of the local residents. Taking the action cards of Transform, Erase, Originate, and Migrate; the scenario played out demonstrated how through the combination of these actors a series of grass route schemes, backed by a major energy provider and facilitated by politics helped to inform how local food production and local economies could develop.

Scenario Mapping

GROUP

ERA

inspirat ion

- If needed an inspiration mix card can be chosen to influence the action taken.

- The outcome is then marked on the map based on knowledge already known about Colombes sites and Locations

- As the game progresses links are drawn and placed on the map to establish how each action has an affect on the preceding or future.

- On the second round wild card events can be added and lexicon cards are not chosen.

ORM TRA ORM NSF

outcome - Introduces cultural diversity through the begining of Algerian cuisine in the grassroots groups

outcome - In response to the protests, EDF will invest personally iin the sustainable energy schemes of the eco-quarter

ORI GIN ATE

NEED CO-operative roles

outcome - a skills building centre for the squatters is established, Frederic from nearby allotments agrees to assist

outcome -

ERA SE

FATIMA

WITHERING OF

outcome - oppostion establishes a grass routes scheme throught he transformation of land near gare du stad

GLOBALISATION

- EDF cause a radical controvsy in halting the development of the eco quarter until it recieves a subsidery in its profit margin

- Is informed of the squatters and asks the to engage with the social and cultural centre.

ORI

EDF Political Opposistion

outcome -

- Fatima rallys fors the erasing of global foods in the supermarket and demands for local produce to be sold

outcome -

MIG R

ATE

outcome - residents of petit colombes protest against the halting of the eco-quarter development

HALIMA

SOCIAL UNREST

GIN

ATE

outcome - Halima erases all the produce in the community garden to attempt to engage the neighbours to a social event through cooking

outcome -

TRA

Mass Migration Impacts

HALIMA

- Fatime rallys to erase predomiance of cars in Petit Colombes and introduce more sustainable modes of transport

NSF

FATIMA

ORM NSF

Political Opposistion HALIMA EDF

~10,064

CHANGE

outcome - opposition decides to press for squatters settlement in Gare de Colombes area to be legalised

outcome -

Political Opposistion

Social

CLIMATE

GLOBALISATION

SCENARIO GAME 1 -

Agriculture

Drosstructure

Drosscape WITHERING OF

CRISIS

NATIONAL FOOD

SHOCK

Permaculture

Bioregionalism POST OIL PRICE

lexicon wild card

TRA

GIN ORI Energy Plant

- An action card is then chosen to deliniate whether the outcome is positive or negative

ATE

E RAT Infrastructure

FATIMA

inspiration

Social Housing

MIG

TRA

action

NSF

ORM

22 22

- An organisation of the French Algerian women immagrants of which Halima is apart. - Immagrants mostly exist within Colombes

YOUTH - a large youth populatiuon exists within Colombes - no major facilities for them to socialise - Maisanne, Halimaâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;s daughter key example

ERA

WORKERS UNION

TRANSPORT

ERA

- An organisation of the French Algerian women immagrants of which Halima is apart. - Immagrants mostly exist within Colombes

ERA SE

WOMENS GROUP

- Each player takes an actor card and remains that actor for the duration of the game; of which there are three rounds in total.

ALGERIAN

NSF O

- key supermarket player within France - supplies food and goods to regions of Colombes

TRA

MONOPRIX

- On the first round of each turn, each actor also chooses a lexicon word to inform their first actions choices.

How to play the scenario -

TRA NSF ORM

actors

11 11

wild c ard

- social manager at Colombes City Hall - controls social cultural centres at Fosses Jean and Petit Colombes

Residential subdivision

- Fench Communist Party - Currently second to the Green Party - Political influence for Colombes

FATIMA

CArcitecture

OPPOSITION

Resilience

POLITICAL

NEW Suburbanism

- Major French Power Company - Combustion site based in Colombes - Key Player in French Markets - Controls energy production for the suburb

EDFEnergy

- 51 - secretary - French Algerian - Lives in social housing @ 26 Avenue Audran - allotment instigator

acto

HALIMA

acto

CARD TYPES

- Each player takes an actor card and remains that actor for the duration of the game; of which there are three rounds in total.

action

Scenario making establishes certain narratives in order to interpret the different possibilities of alternative realities and outcomes. These alternatives can be based on varying and overlapping aspects of society formed from key societal factors. These factors being either environmental, financial, social, or political change; these outcomes can radically alter the programme of a project and its initial intentions

lexicon

SCENARIO GENERATION WORKSHOP

- Halimas daughter Maisanne moves out, forcing Halima to leave her home, the community garden is affected

wild card

action

acto

SCENARIO TOOLS

+ GAME CARDS

+ COLOMBES MAP

+ OUTCOME MARKERS

+ ACTOR / PARTICIPANTS

LOG BOOK

The initial scenario game examined the possibilities that could occur within Colombes baesd on the various organistations / actors / groups that we were aware existed. Using this knowledge of various actors we could take a speculative assumption of what actions may occur.

Scenario Mapping

Scenario Mapping - Group 2

Scenario Mapping

scenario Street festival by 56 St. Blaise – initiative, rubbish collectors go on strike and the council will not allow the festival. Initiative teenagers take pride in their community, and decide to collect the rubbish themselves by reusing items e.g. from factories etc. to collect rubbish in. This leads to future collaboration between 56 St. Blaise and teenagers to encourage reuse. Developer buys up tower blocks 0 to be redevel-

round 03

round 02

1 round 0

agenda 01 THE RULES : 1 should be from the 1. You must pick 2 cards from the ATTITUDE one PERSON CARD pile and pile. CARD onal card. This one can 2. You must pick 1 additi You can't pick an be randomly selected. ON CARD. ATTITUDE CARD or PERS

minute of the game, When you get to the 6th round can pick a one of the players in yourcard can't be an card randomly. Again the ON CARD. ATTITUDE CARD or PERS g, PAUSE the game After 10 minutes of playin before you start on and fill in a scenario sheet DA. the next AGEN

SUBDIVISION

Overview

COLLEGE STUDENT

conflict

Workers 56 Rue St. strike Blaise

Discussion

creative

BIN PERSON Festival

ownership

agenda 02 primary school student rail network strike

Facilitator

local family growth

commuter follower

factory worker manufacturer

stubborn

agenda 03

social land event economy flooding

meetings

greyfield

caring cultural event

shop owner

local mayor responsible

recycle household waste

leader

local resident

agenda 04 o.a.p.

smart

slow moving construct event

factory closure

gardener

on-thespot

place your selected cards here

Street festival by 56 St. Blaise – initiative, rubbish collectors go on strike and the council will not allow the festival. Initiative teenagers take pride in their community, and decide to collect the rubbish themselves by reusing items e.g. from factories etc. to collect rubbish in. This leads to future collaboration between 56 St. Blaise and teenagers to encourage reuse.

Developer buys up tower blocks 0 to be redeveloped into more expensive ﬂats. Issue to tackle subdivision. Commuter – interested in dealing with subdivision between commuters and locals decides to set up a cooking group in schools. 56 Rue St. Blaise insist that the food used has to be local produce. Leading to conﬂict between allotment people (producing local produce which is used) and supermarkets.

Gardeners are upset and there is an increase in number of homeless because of ﬂooding. Allotment people decide they are going to help the homeless by giving them produce – which smart active members will distribute. This leads to a new culture of sharing and creating local food networks.

EDF is closed, causing a sudden increase in unemployment. Also have issue of what to do with empty EDF site. Local business and inhabitants get involved and land owners offer land for public use (to generate money to reuse the EDF site). The site will be used to produce food and start a local economy and they have to prove progress/worth to the Mayor with timescale, funding etc is needed because the Mayor requires it before he/she will allow it to go ahead etc (as Mayor says there is no money available for it).

ACTIVITY CARD COMMUNITY INITIATIVE CARD LEXICON CARD SUDDEN EVENT CARD beauty & aesthetics

agenda scale crossovers & links recurrentt time delay

conflict

WILD L STICKER K R SELECTIONS L OON

knowledge

global affects

scenarios

ATTITUDE CARD

local produce. Leading to conﬂict between allotment people (producing local produce which is used) and supermarkets. Gardeners are upset and there is an increase in number of homeless because of ﬂooding. Allotment people decide they are going to help the homeless by giving them produce

is closed, causing a sudden increase in unemployment. Also have issue of what to do with empty EDF site. Local business public use (to generate money to reuse the EDF site). The site

THE RULES : 1 should be from the 1. You must pick 2 cards from the ATTITUDE and one pile CARD PERSON CARD pile.

PERSON CARD

schools. 56 Rue St. Blaise insist that the food used has to be

and inhabitants get involved and land owners offer land for

onal card. This one can 2. You must pick 1 additi You can't pick an be randomly selected. ON CARD. ATTITUDE CARD or PERS e of the game, minut 6th the to get 3. When you round must pick a one of the players in the of the game. No 02 used card from ROUND ON CARD allowed. ATTITUDE CARD or PERS the game, one player in 4. On the 9th minute of WILD STICKER. this round must pick 1 g, FINISH the game After 10 minutes of playin rio sheet. by filling in the scena

commuters and locals decides to set up a cooking group in

new culture of sharing and creating local food networks. EDF

thinker

THE RULES : 1 should be from the 1. You must pick 2 cards from the ATTITUDE one PERSON CARD pile and CARD pile. onal card. This one can 2. You must pick 1 additi You can't pick an be randomly selected. PERSON CARD. or ATTITUDE CARD 6th minute of the the to get you 3. When rs in your round must game, one of the playe ROUND 01 of the game. pick a used card from PERSON CARD allowed. No ATTITUDE CARD or g, PAUSE the game After 10 minutes of playinbefore you start the and fill in a scenario sheet DA. next AGEN

Commuter – interested in dealing with subdivision between

– which smart active members will distribute. This leads to a

transition

homeless person

oped into more expensive ﬂats. Issue to tackle subdivision.

will be used to produce food and start a local economy and they have to prove progress/worth to the Mayor with timescale, funding etc is needed because the Mayor requires it before he/she will allow it to go ahead etc (as Mayor says there is no money available for it).

Scenario Mapping

PRIMARY SCHOOL STUDENT HOUSE WIFE MANUFACTURER GARDENER SHOP OWNER SINGLE FATHER OAP SINGLE MOTHER BIN PERSON UN EMPLOYED HOUSE HUSBAND INVESTIGATOR COMMUTER TOU RIST HOMELESS PERSON COLLEGE STUDENT UNIVERSITY STUDENT LOCAL MAYOR LOCAL RESIDENT YOUNG COUPLE MARRIED COUPLE PERSON CARD

ASPHALT NATION INFILL PEAK OIL BROWN FIELD QUALITY OF LIFE RESILIENCE REUSE SELF-SUBSISTENCE NETWOKING SPRAWL ALTERNATIVE ENERGIES EDGE CITY TRANSI TION SELF GOVERNANCE SUBDIVISION SELF MANAGEMENT THREE ECOLOGIES ECOSOPHY LAND ECONOMY TOWERBLURB GREYFIELD PERMACULTURE NO WASTE MIDDLE LAND SCAPE RESIDENTIAL SUBDIVISION ADAPTIVE REUSE BLANDBURB SELF-ORGANISATION CONTESTED TERRITORIES RE-APPROPRIATE APPROPRIATION DISTRIBUTED COGNITION

SLEEP WORK SPORTS FESTIVAL CULTURAL EVENT PAINT CONST RUCT SHOWER RESEARCH EAT MUSIC PRODUCTION DRIVE STUDY GAME PLAY DANCE HOLIDAY CYCLE COMMUNITY MEETING GRAPHIC PRODUCTION DRAW PARTY SCHOOL-RUN MEET FRIEND PHYSICAL EXERCISE DISCUSSION MARKET CINEMA COOK WALK SHOP

SUDDEN EVENT CARD

ACTIVITY CARD

peak oil

COMMUNITY INITIATIVE CARD

permaculture

new attitudes to life happy together

adapting infrastructure for new uses agenda 04

adapt in for n frastruct ure ew u ses

future shopping market place

agenda 01 reuse

sharing

grow your own

energy

food

values of belongings & "waste"

existing inhabitants &influence of new

people

togethe

interactions

networking

people together

ills learning sk

self lity sustainabi

reuse items &belongings

adaptive economy

ics t polit erybody socialis share for ev fair

demographics

adapting social housing for the future da 02 agen

ATTITUDE CARD 200M X 200M ALLOTMENT WITH A SHED SIZE 200M X 250M COST OF 150 EUROS PER YEAR TO RENT GARDENERS ARE NOT ALLOWED TO PLANT TREES AS THEY TAKE TOO MUCH SPACE & ALLOTMENTS ARE USED FOR GROWING VEGETABLES FREDERIC WAITED 8 YEARS BEFORE HE GOT A PLOT OF LAND AT THE ALLOTMENTS THAT HE HAS BEEN RENTING NOW FOR 17 YEARS ACTIVE MEMBERS: INFORMAL PRODUCE EXCHANGE OLDER GARDENERS & YOUNGER GARDENERS EACH GARDENER HAS A KEY TO THE ALLOTMENTS RECYCLING: THEY COLLECT & RECYCLE THE COMMUNAL GARBAGE - IT IS COLLECTED AT THE SIDE PATH OF THE ALLOTMENTS SOME GARDENERS DON'T HAVE A GARDEN OF THEIR OWN MOST OF THE GARDENERS DRIVE TO THE ALLOTMENTS THE SHEDS ARE USED FOR GENERAL STORAGE OF GARDENING TOOLS & FURNITURE BURGLARS OFTEN BREAK INTO THE SHEDS CLOSER TO THE GATE MEETINGS ARE HELD IN ONE OF THE GARDENER'S SPACES GARDENERS GATHER FOR EVENTS SUCH AS BBQS MOST BUSY PERIODS FOR GARDENING IS IN THE SUMMER OWNERSHIP: COLOMBES COUNCIL OWNS THE ALLOTMENTS LAND THE ORIGINAL ALLOTMENTS WERE RELOCATED WHEN THE COUNCIL WANTED TO BUILD THE FRENCH NATIONAL STADIUM CONFLICT: GARDENERS ARE ARGUING ABOUT OWNERSHIP OF LAND & TRESPASSING - COURT HEARING NATIONAL GRID ELECTRICITY MEETINGS EXCHANGES PRODUCE GARDNER EXPERTISE PROJECT AS A PRECEDENT: RAINWATER COLLECTION / HTTP://56STBLAISE.WORDPRESS.COM ACTIVE MEMBERS COLLECT HOUSEHOLD WASTE EVERY WEDNESDAY HTTP://PANIERS.LEGUMES.NEUF.FR PRODUCE IS COLLECTED FROM THE FARM & DELIVERED IN BASKETS BY A VAN EVERY WEDNESDAY

WILD STICKER

energy production

resilience

LEXICON CARD

LE OPTIMISTIC CAN’T-DO SARCASTIC FRIENDLY INTERESTED HUMOROUS SERIOUS CHEERFUL SUPERIOR POMPOUS ARROGANT HUMBLE SASSY OPEN CLOSED AUTHORITATIVE LAZY INSINCERE TRUSTING CYNICAL LOVING SELFIS SH NURTURING CONSIDERATE INCONSIDERATE UNFRIENDLY CONSCIENTIOUS UNACCEPTING AGREEABLE SUSPICIOUS UNSUSPICIOUS STRAI IGHTFORWARD HELPFUL UNOBLIGING EXCLUSIV VE TENACIOUS UNTENACIOUS EGALITATRIAN UNCONSCIENTIOUS PESSIMISTIC APATHETIC INSOLENT HARSH LIBERAL GRATEFUL COLD TOLERANT CONDESCENDING DISSATISFIED SIN CERE UNAUTHORITATIVE INCLUSIVE SATISFIED DILIGENT CAUTIOUS RECKLESS CAN-DO HOSTI

BEAUTY & AESTHETICS CROSS-OVERS & LINKS CONFLICT GLOBAL AFFECTS NATIONAL GOVERNMENT ENFORCEMENT AGENDA SCALE KNOWLEDGE TIME DELAY RECURRENT

RAIL NETWORK STRIKE SLOW MOVING EVENT OVERVIEW FLOODING CILVIL SERVANT STRIKE ENFORCEMENT FACTORY CLOSURE WORKERS STRIKE ON-THE-SPOT EARTHQUAKE EXTREME SNOW FALL

timescale

how things will evolve

social infrastructure public spaces

BREAK THESE

subdivisions as sources of segregation

rehabilitating unused spaces increase land values

values locality how public spcaes evolve

uild

inhabiting "brownfield" through processes of spatial appropriation

lf-b

agenda 03

reuse terial es ma ourc l res -loca

typology

COLOMBES

lots of sites

old industrial sites no longer used

Scenario Mapping - Group 3

This scenario game was based around Fosses Jean and Stade, involving the local and non local population, with visiting architects and local professionals as some of the key players. A marker [sweet wrapper] was thrown onto the map to give the players a starting point, from this point a randomly chosen time frame was picked out of a pack, each player then took it in turns to pick out of the situations pack which contained positive and negative situations. The game continued over 5 turns then a new time frame was chosen, each player acted upon their turn.

Scenario Mapping