Samsø Energy Academy From Best To Next Practice Symposium
Community power development in Japan
from a global outlook Sept. 19th 2013 Institute for Sustainable Energy Policies (ISEP) Tetsu IIDA
0
on Sept.15 1310
1308
5.5
1306
1304
1302
1212
1210
1208
1206
1204
1202
3.11
1112
1110
1108
1106
1104
1102
1012
30
1010
1008
1006
1004
Nuclear Power (TWh/month)
Congratulations !
9.15
25
20
15
10
5
2
Toward Next Practice
Last 20 years - Historical discourse - Local initiative - Global reflection - New reality 3
Fukushima 4
5
(画像) WSJ
New crisis after 3.11
6
Reactor Bldg.
Turbine Bldg.
Cooling water
Sampling well
Contaminated water tank Sampling well Leak age
Sea level
Tritium plume Impermeable layer ?
12
（GW）
The 4th Revolution Energy revolution
Data from: GWEA, IAEA, Photon, Platts,
13
RE v.s. Nuke 世界全体(10億キロワット時)
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0 1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
The 4th Revolution economic & industrial
$260bn
$247bn
$189bn
$187bn
$153bn
$113bn
$75bn
$54bn
出典 : Bloomberg New Energy Finance
15
US (USD04/kW)
France (FF98/kW)
“Forgotten technology” of Nuclear
Cumulative Capacity (GW) 【出典】 Data: US from Koomey and Hultman 2007, France from Grubler 2009. Diagram from GEA forthcoming
16
Technology learning curve of renewable
【出典】 IPCC Special report (2011)
17
“Forecast” and “Reality” Nuclear
Renewable
出典 : IAEA, Inspiratia.com
18
4th revolution from central to distributed
4th revolution from central to distributed
20
NRG CEO David Crane “they don’t need the power industry at all” (Bloomberg May 23, 2013)
2001 Community wind in Japan
22
2004 Community solar in Japan
Community power development in Japan 1st Community Biomass & Efficiency
1st Community PV & Efficiency
1st Community Hydro 1st Community Wind
24
Define of Community Power ① 地域のオーナーシップ Local ownership ② 地域が意思決定する Local decision
③ 地域が便益を共有する Local profit share
25
Rising community power : Fukushima
Rising community power : Odawara
Rising community power in Japan Niceko Obihiro Kyotango
Toyama
Takarazuka Takayama
Bizen Hiroshima Yamaguchi Obama
Kumamoto
Shiragami Akita Yamagata
Iwate Aizu Soma Minami-Soma Saitama IIDA city Chofu Shizuoka Odawara Nagano Setagaya
Internal/External Networking
Community Power Conference 2013 in Yamaguchi
At the crossroad Old Paradigm
New Paradigm
Centralized
Distributed
Supply push
Demand (Social) pull
Hierarchy
Network
Fossil & nuke
RE & EE
Economic growth
Fairness, justice
31 31
Toward Next Practice
Next 20 years - Based on New reality - Historical discourse - Local initiative - Global reflection 3
Community Power Conference 2014 Let’s meet at Fukushima for community power
Jan.31 (Fri.)
Feb.1 (Sat.)
Feb.2 (Sun.)
福島 Fukushima 南相馬
福島市
(Soma) (Fukushima)
会津 (Aizu)
Supplimental
34
20km 50km
100km
35 35
36 36