Research Findings from: Day Visitor Survey Crawford Christie
Introduction to The Value and Volume of Tourism in the NorthWest November 2008 Crawford Christie Arkenford
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Who is a tourist? • Our interpretation of the WTO definition creates three categories based on where and how frequent the trip is. – A tourism day trip: taken outside ones usual environment – A ‘local leisure trip’: an infrequent leisure activity taking place within ones usual environment – A ‘residential leisure trip’ is a frequent leisure activity within ones usual environment
Frequency
Geography
Usual
Usual
Unusual
Living, Working, Everyday shopping
Rare activities within your usual environment eg going to the cinema once a quarter
Usual activities outside your Unusual usual environement eg visiting granny once a week © 2008 Arkenford Ltd
Unusual activities bith in terms of place and frequency, eg a visit to a tourist attracti9on in Northumberland
Tourism Day Trips in the Northwest
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Volume of trips by Main Purpose
• Just under 200M day visitor trips from within 90 minute travel time to the Northwest • Approximately 40M from further afield © 2008 Arkenford Ltd
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Value of day visits • We estimate a total of 6.2Billion is spent in the region by people on tourism day trips • ‘Special shopping’ is by far the most valuable activity • Events and nights out also generating above average spends. • VFR has a low average spend per person-trip but is still the largest absolute contributor
VFR Special shopping trip General day out Tourist/ visitor attraction Night out Undertake a leisure activity Meal Watch a sports event Attend a special event Participate in a sports event Cinema/ Theatre/ Concert All purposes
Annual volume of trips (m) 68 14 32 27 18 32 19 11 7 5 5 237
Annual spend at destination (m) £1,111 £1,029 £807 £704 £657 £644 £480 £344 £228 £119 £92 £6,247
£1,200
Spend per person trip £16 £72 £25 £26 £36 £20 £25 £32 £34 £24 £18 £26
£1,000 £800
Value and Volume of tourism day trips
120
Value and Volume of tourism 100 day
Annual spend at destination (m) Annual volume of trips (m)
80
£600
60
£400
40
£200
20
£0
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
0
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Activity rates over average 4 week period • 31% of people within a 90 minute drive time of the Northwest make at least one tourism day trip in a typical 4 week period. • They describe the majority of trips as VFR or ‘general days out’ 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
53% 72%
74% 87%
89%
88%
87%
4% 7%
8% 4%
8% 5%
97%
86%
82% 93%
94%
4%
4%
17%
15%
ht ou t
4%
To ur is
t/ VF vis R ito ra ttr ac tio n Sh op pi ng tri p Le i su Pa re rti ac cip ti v at ity e in sp or ts ev en Ge t ne ra ld W ay at ou ch t as po rts At ev te en nd t as pe cia le ve nt
2%
5% 9%
Ni g
13%
4%
M ea l
Al lt yp es
th ea tre /c on ce rt
12%
Ci ne m a/
15%
22%
31%
At least 1 trip in unusual environment
Usual environment only
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
No activities in past 4 weeks in NW
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Value by Main Purpose of trip • We can think of ‘main purpose’ as the initial idea or motivation for the day out • It is not an accurate description of what people actually do • Therefore we need to look at what people actually do and spend – to understand the contribution they are make to the local economy • For example
Proportion of trips including spend on... VFR
Other Shopping Food & Drink Recreation
Going on a special shopping trip General day out/ explore For a night out Going out for a meal Undertake a leisure activity Going to a visitor attraction
– 70% of all trips include spend on food and drink – Visiting an ‘attraction’ is more likely to generate spend on food than recreation
Watch a sports event Attend a special event Participate in a sports event Going to a cinema/ theatre etc
0%
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
25%
50%
75% 100%
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Local Value of a trip – visitor attractions • Only 40% of spending at visitor attractions comes from trips who’s main purpose was to visit a visitor attraction 45 40
Trips including a visit to a tourist attraction
35 30
% of Visits % of Spend
25
• Visitors at a visitor attraction on average spend £6.61 per person – – – –
Entrance £2.45 Food/ drink £1.50 Shopping £2.19 Other £0.47
– (many spend £0 on entrance fees)
20 15
lvistrcn fa o %
10 5
• In the whole day they spend £22.79 at the destination
0
– Ie the visitor attraction is only 29% of value of the day Main purpose of day
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
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Activity and spend by sub region • Gtr Manchester & Lancashire account for more than half the tourism day trips to the region – Large populations for VFR – Cumbria the regions premier tourist area but receives much lower volumes of day trips
• Gtr Manchester generates almost twice as much revenue as other sub regions • Although Lancashire has a large volume of visitors their spend is low
60,000,000
Annual volume
50,000,000 40,000,000 30,000,000 20,000,000 10,000,000 £2,500,000,000 £2,000,000,000 £1,500,000,000 £1,000,000,000 £500,000,000
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
£0
Annual revenue
Day Trips by those staying in the Northwest and surrounding areas
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Annual volume of person trips • 17m people take a holiday or short break to the Northwest annually • Cumbria and Lancashire account for 61% of the volume – Blackpool alone = 15% of volume – Lake District = 24% of volume 28%
33%
Cumbria Gtr Manchester Merseyside Cheshire
11%
Lancashire 14%
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
14%
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Day trips from a holiday base outside region In addition • 3.6m person trips are made to the Northwest from a holiday base outside the region • Merseyside attracts the smallest proportion of day visitors from a holiday base outside the region • Approx a third of these day trips are to Cumbria 15%
32%
Cumbria Gtr Manchester Merseyside
22%
Cheshire Lancashire
11% © 2008 Arkenford Ltd
21%
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Value of staying visitors • Annual value of £3.8bn – £1.1bn on activities – £2.7bn on accommodation
• Cumbria and Lancashire account for 2/3rd of the value
31%
34%
Cumbria Gtr Manchester Merseyside Cheshire Lancashire
9% 11% © 2008 Arkenford Ltd
15%
15
Destination positioning • UK holiday offering can be simplified into 4 offerings • NW has a presence in each • Don’t be all things to all men
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
Business Tourism to the Northwest
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Volume of business tourism trips • • • •
25.6m business tourism trips made to the Northwest annually 7.6 million involve an overnight stay WTO business tourism definition reduces the volume by approximately 50% Despite this the dedicated business survey has increased the estimate of trip volumes
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
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Value of business tourism • Annual value of business tourism = £2100M • Accommodation accounts for half of all pre travel spend • On trip, travel, accommodation and food and drink account are main expenditures •
•
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
Accommodation only relevant for 30% of business trips Personal discretionary spend accounts for 15% of total
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Purpose of trips
• Meetings account for a third of all business trips to the Northwest • Contract work includes skilled trades and construction work
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
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Occupation of business travellers • The three most skilled occupation classes account for majority of business trips
Elementary Occupations
Process, Plant And Machine Operatives
Sales And Customer Service Occupations
Personal Service Occupations
• Skilled trades also account for significant volume
Skilled Trades Occupations
Administrative And Secretarial Occupations Associate Professional And Technical Occupations Professional Occupations
,0 7
,0 6
,0 5
,0 4
,0 3
,0 2
,0 1
-
Managers And Senior Officials
Volume of trips (000's)
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
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Incidence of business trips • 26.6m people work 16+ hours per week in GB • 13% of these individuals have made a business tourism trip to or within the Northwest in the past 6 months • Incidence is naturally higher the closer the respondent lives to the Northwest • Gtr Manchester accounts for twice the incidence of all the other sub regions
Any NW sub region
13%
Gtr Manchester
8%
Lancashire
4%
Cheshire
4%
Merseyside
4%
Cumbria
3% 0%
North West North East Yorkshire Wales E Midlands W Midlands London East South East South West Scotland
10%
15%
29% 17% 16% 15% 14% 14% 13% 9% 8% 7% 6% 0%
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
5%
10%
20%
30%
40%
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Where these trips originate from Trip origins and destinations
• 9m trips from within the NW • London’s importance and transport links stimulate 3m trips annually • Neighbouring regions also account for c3m trips each
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
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Discretionary destination choice % of trips discretionary
• Destination for majority of business trips not decided by person attending – Someone else decides – Where the work is – Visiting clients/ suppliers office
15% 17% 15% 27% 22%
• If destination is chosen then more likely to be Cumbria
18%
© 2008 Arkenford Ltd
For more information please contact: Crawford Christie at Arkenford Ltd Mount Manor House 16 The Mount Guildford Surrey GU2 4HS O1483 510 310 www.arkenford.co.uk