Agence Française de Développement
Working Paper
October 2010
94
Developing Lower Secondary Education: a Rural Issue and Challenge for Sub-Saharan Africa
Alain Mingat and Francis Ndem, IREDU, CNRS and University of Burgundy
Contact: Jean-Claude Balmès, Education and Vocational Training Department, AFD (balmesjc@afd.fr)
Research Department
Agence Française de Développement 5 rue Roland Barthes 75012 Paris - France Direction of Strategy www.afd.fr Research Department
Disclaimer The analysis and conclusions presented in this Working Paper are those of the authors. They do not necessarily reflect the position of the AFD or its partner institutions.
Publications Director: Dov ZERAH Editorial Director: Robert PECCOUD ISSN: 1958 - 539X Copyright: 4th quarter, 2010
Layout: Anne-Elizabeth COLOMBIER
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 2
Contents
1.
Introduction
5
The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
7
1.1
The Structure of Primary and Secondary Education Cycles
1.3
Different Education Profiles Depending on Countries and Groups of Countries
1.2
Household Surveys Provide Information on Rural Student School Attendance
7
11
13
1.3.1
Marked Differences between French- and English-Speaking Countries
1.4
Possible Differentiation Criteria: Gender, Level of Wealth, Geographic Environment
16
1.3.2
Illustration of the Great Diversity of Situations: Burkina Faso, Congo, Ghana and Malawi
13
13
1.4.1
An Aggregate Perspective for the 29 Countries in our Sample Different Situations According to the Country
22
2.
Putting the Rural Schooling Lag into Perspective
29
2.1.1
Often Long Distances to Secondary School for Rural Youth
1.4.2
2.1
2.1.2
The impact of the Distance from the Family Home to the Nearest Secondary School Distances with Consequences on Enrollments
18
29 29
31
2.2
The Weight of the Rural Environment in Schooling Dynamics in Lower Secondary Education
3.
Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries
3.1
Specificity of the Organization of Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas
39
An Illustrative Simulation
49
and Leeway for Development
34
39
3.2
A Significant Structure of Economies of Scale
4.
The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
53
4.1.1
Impacts on the Risk of Poverty
54
3.3
4.1
4.1.2
4.1.3
4.1.4
The Social Impacts of Education in Rural Areas Impact in Terms of Literacy
Access to School: Impacts and Intergenerational Effects Impacts in Urban and Rural Areas
4.1.5
Impacts on Maternal Health Factors
4.1.7
Towards a Synthesis
4.2.1
A Macro and Temporal Perspective of the Working Population
4.1.6
4.2
4.2.2
4.2.3
5.
42
53
56 56 57 58
Impact in terms of Child Health
61
Rural Areas and the Economic Dimension: the Economic Impacts of Education
65
Measure and Evolution of Apparent Labor Productivity and its Consequences
61 65
70
Economic Returns on Educational Investments in Rural Areas
72
Conclusion
77
Bibliography
83
Appendix 1. List of Household Surveys Used in the Study
85
Appendix 2. Related Tables
87
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 3
Introduction
The current development of African education systems
(4.2), Chad and Central African Republic (4.4), Burundi (4.6),
years of schooling. This perspective, targeted by the
all countries, and especially in those with a high multiplier
focuses on the perspective of universal completion of six
Mali (4.9), Angola (5.0), Burkina Faso (5.6) and Niger (7.9). In
international community for the year 2015 (Dakar
coefficient, progress towards universal primary completion will
declaration, Millennium Development Goals), will no doubt
generate particularly high pressure, firstly on lower secondary
be reached by a number of countries by that date, while for
education and then on upper secondary. The systems are
others this will probably be somewhat later. However,
potentially subject to massification.
is appropriate to highlight the fact that the growing number
Qualitatively, it is important to firstly identify the nature of
necessarily create strong pressure for the expansion of
potential options for achieving a given quantitative
beyond the very positive aspect of this anticipated result, it of young people completing primary education will
the services to be delivered, since there are in fact many
enrollments in secondary education.
development. This concerns curriculum content, total
teaching hours and schooling conditions, including staff-
The different countries (and the main donors) should
student ratios and the characteristics of the personnel
therefore prepare themselves for this pressure in order to
(particularly teaching staff) mobilized to deliver these
be in a position to propose a relevant response when the
services. Secondly, it is important to take into consideration
time comes, i.e. very soon, since there are already clear
the fact that the population knocking on the door of
signs of such pressure. This response does of course have
secondary education, once the goal of primary completion
both a quantitative (enrollments) and a financial (resources
has been achieved, will differ significantly from the
to be mobilized) aspect; but it also has a qualitative aspect
population completing primary education today. Indeed, in
that is important to take into account.
the present situation, with an estimated primary completion
Quantitatively, it is estimated that the average completion
Sub-Saharan African countries, it is in a way an advantaged
rate of between 50 and 55% on average for low-income
rate was only around 53% in low-income countries in 2003
population (the vast majority are urban dwellers) that has
lead to a multiplication in the number of students then
primary education tomorrow will be very different; there will
observed in 2003 (respectively 7.8 million in 2003 and 20.7
poor and rural children. The latter aspect is often
and that attaining universal primary completion by 2015 would
access to secondary education. Populations completing
completing this cycle by 2.7 compared to the situation
more often be girls, but above all a higher percentage of
million in 2015). This average progression is however of
underestimated and this document intends to explore it in
variable magnitude according to the country, with the
greater detail.
primary education varying between 2003 and 2015 from
The rural dimension of enrollments, particularly at post-
and Togo (1.8), Kenya and Malawi (1.9), to values of over 4.0
education, will be explored from several complementary
multiplier coefficient for the number of students completing
values of under 2.0 in countries such as Uganda (1.7), Ghana
primary level and more especially in lower secondary
in countries such as Ethiopia (4.1), Sudan and Guinea Bissau
angles:
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 5
Introduction
* Firstly, we shall draw up the major factual data on rural
* Finally, we shall tackle the issue of the economic
weight of the rural dimension in the challenges facing the
this concerns both the dimension of demand for
school coverage for the recent period and assess the
impacts of education in rural areas, bearing in mind that
development of education system coverage;
education from the population and that of the
organization of educational services. In this respect, it
* Secondly, we shall explore the issue of the educational
could well be of interest to examine rural schooling
services provided in rural and urban contexts from the
from the angle of the tension between i) education that
point of view of how they are organized and their unit
aims at maintaining populations in their environment
current situation and possible options for the future;
urban environments.
costs by examining in a complementary manner both the
and ii) education that facilitates their mobility towards
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 6
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
First of all, data on the structure of the education systems
systems in the different Sub-Saharan African countries as
Table 1 provides a picture of the structure of the education
concerned.
is not homogeneous throughout the countries in the region.
1.1
far as primary and general secondary education are
The Structure of Primary and Secondary Education Cycles
The first cycle of education (generically called “primary
This variety in the structure and duration of education
education” although the term used may of course vary from
cycles in the different Sub-Saharan African countries is
country to country) is characterized by a variability in the
one of the main points to come out when an
number of years of study it includes, even though this is
international comparison is made of schooling coverage
not exclusively so, since the same duration is observed in
analyzing enrollments and interpreting them in the
usually six years (typical of French-speaking countries but
indicators; it also acts as a reference backdrop for
Gambia, Ghana, Nigeria and Sierra Leone). Some
different countries studied. It is helpful to characterize
countries have a shorter cycle (4 years in Angola and in
the initial overall conditions prevailing in the different
Mozambique) while others, primarily English-speaking
dimension of current enrollments and the challenges
Guinea Bissau, 5 years in Eritrea, Madagascar and
countries in the region before tackling the rural
countries, have a 7-year (Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia,
presented by this dimension for the development
South Africa, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, Zimbabwe) or
perspectives of secondary education in Sub-Saharan
even an 8-year cycle (Kenya, Malawi, Sudan).
African countries.
On the basis of the variable duration of primary education,
Table 2 provides information on schooling coverage in
secondary education, lasting between 3 and 7 years of
primary and secondary education for the most recent
exception of a few countries like Kenya, Namibia and Sudan
Saharan Africa. According to these figures, the average
studies, is generally organized in two cycles (with the
available year for all 33 low-income countries in Sub-
which have an undifferentiated single cycle); but, once again,
value of the primary completion rate would be 52.7%. On
there is a wide variety of configurations for the way in which
this basis, and considering an average rate of transition
these two cycles are organized from the point of view of their
between primary and secondary education estimated at
respective number of years of study. In addition, it can be
62.8%, there would be 33.2% of a given generation
automatically incorporates some study years that are part of
(according to each country’s specific definition, given the
observed that when the primary cycle is long (7 or 8 years), it
accessing the first grade of secondary education
secondary education in other countries. As for the duration of
variety in the structure of the educational cycles). The
lower secondary education, this is between two and four
average Gross Enrollment Rate (GER) for the sample of
years, the latter being the more frequent, particularly when the
countries stands at 31.5% for lower secondary and 13.2%
duration of primary education is six years.
for upper secondary education.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 7
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
Table 1.
Structure of the different cycles of general studies in African education systems
Year of study
Angola
1
P
2
P
3
P
4
9
10
11
S1
S2
S2
S2
P
P
S1
S1
S2
S2
S2
S2
P1
P1
Madagascar
P
P
P
P
P
8
S1
P1 P
7
S1
P1 P
6
S1
Guinea Bissau Eritrea
5
P
P2 P
P2
S1
S1
S1
S2
P1
P1
Congo
P
P
P
P
P
P
S1
S1
S2
S2
S2
S2
Gambia
P
P
P
P
P
P
S1
S1
S1
S2
S2
S2
Mauritania Nigeria
Rwanda
Sierra Leone Benin
Burkina Faso Burundi
Cameroon
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
Central African Republic P Chad
P
Côte d’Ivoire
P
Republic of the Congo Gabon
Guinea Ghana Mali
Mauritius Niger
Senegal Togo
South Africa Lesotho
Botswana
Zambia
Uganda
Tanzania
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
S1
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P = primary; S1 = lower secondary; S2 = upper secondary
P P
P P
P
P
P
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1 S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S2
S2
S1
P
S P P P
S S S
S1
S S S
S1
Source: authors, based on data from the UNESCO Institute for Statistics (UIS).
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 8
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2 S2
S2
S2
S2
S1
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S
P
P
S1
S1
S1
S2
S2
S
P
P
S1
S1
S1
S2
S2
S
P
P
S1
S1
S1
S2
S2
S
P
P
S1
S1
S1
S1
S
P P
S1
S1
S1
S2
S
Sudan
Malawi
S1
S1
S1
P
P
Kenya
S1
S1
S2
S2
P P
S1
S1
S2
S2
P P
S1
S1
S2
S2
S1
P P
S1
S2
S2
S2
S1
P P
S1
S1
S2
S2
S1
P P
S1
S1
S2
S2
S1
P P
S1
S2
S2
P
Namibia
Zimbabwe
S1
S2
S2
P1
P
S1
S2
13
S2
P1
P
S1
S1
S2
P1
Ethiopia
P2
S1
S1
Mozambique
Democratic Republic of
P2
S1
12
S S S
S2
S
S
S2
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
Aside from these regional averages, there are significant
it, it ensues that access to secondary education tends to be
Rate (PCR) ranging from 26% (Niger) to 80% (Zimbabwe),
(in Table 2, we can see that the average access rate to
variations from country to country, the Primary Completion
even greater when there is a high primary completion rate
and the primary-secondary transition rate from 28%
secondary education is 24% in the group of countries with
(Tanzania) to 98% (Ghana). One of the consequences of
a low PCR, 36% in the group of countries with an average
this double dispersion is a high variability between
PCR and 46% in the group of countries with the highest
countries in the secondary education access rate, which
PCR).
or more in Congo, Ghana, Togo and Zimbabwe. This
However, this is only a tendency since some countries such
Gross Enrollment Rate in lower secondary education and
group accessing secondary education (16%) in spite of a
ranges from under 15% in Niger and Mozambique to 60%
variability between countries is of course reflected in the
as Tanzania may only have a small proportion of the age
later in upper secondary education. Figures for this
relatively high proportion of the age group completing
indicator range from around 12% (Niger, Mozambique,
primary education (60%), whereas other countries (such as
Tanzania) to over 60% (Congo and Ghana) for lower
Benin, Eritrea and Mali) have a significantly higher
secondary education; as for upper secondary, the variation
proportion of their population accessing secondary
ranges from figures of under 5% (Burkina Faso, Burundi,
education (36.38 and 33% respectively) while a significantly
Mozambique and Niger) to over 20% (Eritrea, Lesotho and
lower proportion of their population benefits from a full
Nigeria). These different orders of variability suggest that it
course of primary education.
worse, a normative) statement on secondary education in
Relatively similar conclusions are obtained when the
would be excessive to try and produce a generic (or even Sub-Saharan Africa; a degree of contextualization is clearly
analysis is extended to the connection between enrollments
necessary.
in lower and upper secondary education.
It is to be noted that there is no correlation between the
One of the characteristics of secondary education is
primary completion rate and the rate of transition between
worthy of mention here. This is the fact that around 20%
the last grade of primary and the first grade of secondary
of all students in each of the two cycles are enrolled in the
education. There is indeed a high variability in the transition
private sector. It is useful to add that, over and above
rate, as noted above, but the level of transition between the
regional averages, highly contrasted situations are
each country) does not seem to depend upon the
countries over 90% of enrollments are covered by the
two cycles (which results from a decision, albeit implicit, by
observed from one country to another. Thus, in some
proportion of the age group completing primary education
public sector at secondary level (Central African
and who are potential candidates for access to secondary
Republic, Eritrea, Kenya, Lesotho, Zambia), while in
education.
others, around half or over half of total students are
enrolled in the private sector (Madagascar, Rwanda,
As the primary completion rate varies greatly from one
Uganda), with every possible situation existing between
country to another and as the transition rate is not linked to
these two extremes.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 9
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
Table 2.
Enrollment indicators in low-income Sub-Saharan African countries (grouped according to PCR); most recent available year Primary Completion Rate (%)
Primary-Secondary Transition Rate (%)
Access rate to lower secondary education (%)
39.1
63.0
23.8
Central African Republic
30
56
17
14
7
Burundi
33
52
17
15
4
Group 1: low PCR Niger
Burkina Sudan
Madagascar Chad
Guinea Bissau Mozambique Mali
Rwanda Benin
Senegal
Côte d’Ivoire
Group 2: average PCR
Democratic Republic of Congo Eritrea
Mauritania Uganda
Ethiopia Guinea
Sierra Leone Cameroon
26 31 37
37 38
40
41
42 46 49
49
49
66
14
58
18
64
24
65
28
72
26
84
34
59
12
81
33
35
16
73
36
54
27
63
31
Gross Enrollment Rate Secondary (%) Lower
Upper
12
2
22.9
17
19
23
10
12
4
25 33
34 16
21 9 8
13
34
14
25
11
56.1
64.2
36.3
34.3
15.9
51
75
38
41
23
50
51 51 53 54
55
58
39
21
62
29
45
23
79
42
75
38
63
35
56
32
21
27 21 35
17
43
18
63
20
Lesotho
64
76
51
44
66
45
98
65
7
34
13
74
20 20
34
16
60
14
35
28
Group 3: high PCR
8
36
60
Ghana
4
25
Tanzania Gambia
9.6
12 2
22
73.9
60.0
46.7
44.0
16.7
Republic of the Congo
72
79
57
64
19
Malawi
73
30
22
22
14
Kenya
Zambia Togo
Nigeria
Zimbabwe
Overall
70
73 73 76 80
52.7
47
47
62
45
80
58
52
40
70
58
62.8
33.2
27
45 59 38 53
31.5
17 15 29 13.2
Source: database compiled using Country Status Reports on education systems, previous education sector simulation models (including the model built for the financial analysis of post-primary development options), and the EdStats and UIS database. Demographic data used to calculate enrollment rates comes from the United Nations.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 10
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
1.2
Household Surveys Provide Information on Rural Student School Attendance
School statistics make it possible to describe overall
In order to tackle the analysis of school attendance by
enrollments, bearing in mind that coverage indicators are
students living in rural areas in the education system as
the educational structures to a national reference
a necessity. It should however be noted that the
that the two terms of the ratio may be incorrectly measured.
matter of convention (what are the relevant population
often imprecise in that they relate a population registered in
a whole, recourse to household survey analysis becomes
population. Indeed, there is often good reason to believe
distinction between urban and rural is to some extent a
Concerning school statistics, it is not unusual for them to be
characteristics for classifying a locality as urban or rural?)
the same time). As for demographic reference data,
countries; the general statistics departments in the
either overestimated or underestimated (and even both at 1
and that these conventions are not the same for all
2
imprecision and errors are also relatively commonplace.3
different countries are in fact likely to adopt somewhat
different criteria for the dividing line. That said, even if the
In view of these possible problems, although measuring
classification criteria are not absolutely alike from one
schooling coverage on the basis of administrative data may
country to another, it is unlikely that this would lead to
often give reasonable orders of magnitude, it is however
invalid comparisons.
liable to be somewhat imprecise. In order to avoid such
possible problems, it is particularly helpful to have recourse
A great deal of household survey data can be mobilized to
on the number of children and the situation of each child in
all the countries), bearing in mind that there are often
to household survey data. Indeed, data is directly available
conduct the analyses (this type of survey exists in virtually
reference to school for each household surveyed; both the
several surveys available in the same country. There are
4
numerator and the denominator of schooling coverage
basically three types of survey: i) Demographic and Health
indicators are thus available in the same exhaustive source.
Surveys (DHSs), ii) Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys
Sampling errors do of course exist, but are generally limited
(MICSs) and iii) Surveys based on Core Welfare Indicator
in view of the size of the available household surveys.
Questionnaires (CWIQs); there are also other more specific
1 They may be overestimated because it is in the interest of school heads to declare more students than they actually have in their school. This may be because textbook allocations depend upon the number of students registered in a context where the ministry only provides one textbook for three students; but it may also be because the head’s bonus depends on enrollment statistics. There are also situations of overestimation when the computer file has some schools entered twice.
There is one additional reason why recourse to household
surveys is of particular interest, and that is the availability of
social variables. In school data, the gender dimension is well documented; the social dimension (parents’ profession
2 There may again be underestimations due to behavioral or practical reasons. For example, when tuition fees are received directly by the school and are to be transferred to the inspectorate or the Treasury Department, it may understandably be tempting to underdeclare the number of students. However, there are also practical reasons to do with the fact, for example, that some schools have not sent in the administrative questionnaire (this can concern public institutions, but more often private schools); the school data base may possibly not be adjusted to take these gaps into account.
or level of education), just as the ethnic group or the family’s level of income, is absent. The geographic location is generally indicated (region or province, but not always
the distinction between urban and rural areas), given that it
3 Thus
the most recent population census may be relatively old, meaning that projections may incorporate a significant degree of imprecision (especially when using data per year of age) given the uncertainty as to modifications in fertility and mortality parameters and in fine in the actual growth rates of the different age groups. But census data itself may, before being projected, incorporate some uncertainty (displaced populations, behavior on the part of elected representatives to reduce or increase the municipality’s population, government interest for a higher population than in reality to arrive at a level of GDP per capita that will make the country eligible for specific aid or aid at reduced interest rates, etc.).
concerns the location of the school, not the family. This is not really a problem for primary education as school recruitment areas are generally relatively limited,5 and the
location of the school and the family can be considered as one and the same thing; however, when it comes to
Is the child attending school at present? If so, in which grade? If not, has the child already been enrolled? And if so, what was the highest grade reached? …
4
secondary education, this is no longer statistically
However, this is not always the case since some urban schools recruit urban students living geographically nearby and also rural students who have to travel a long distance to school due to the absence of a school nearer to their home.
appropriate since some of the students attending lower
5
secondary schools in town actually come from the country.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 11
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
surveys generally sharing elements in common with the
Enrollment Rate (GER) is overestimated due to the
amongst those actually available.
relatively high).
surveys just listed. We have opted for using the most recent
inclusion of the frequency of repetition (and this can be
On the basis of the content of these surveys, it is of course
As such, the GER is an indicator of capacity (number of
possible to calculate the usual indicators characterizing
places on offer compared to the number of children of the
also possible to calculate them for specific populations, and
indicator.7
schooling coverage in the different cycles of education; it is
relevant age in the country) rather than a coverage
more particularly according to gender, geographic location
In these conditions, it is preferable to calculate an education
(urban/rural) and household level of income (usually looked
at through the income or wealth quintile).
profile that identifies the schooling situation per year of
However, enrollment rates assigned to different study
transition between cycles). This is the perspective we first
6
study throughout the entire education system (including
cycles are generally no longer considered as the most
use to describe average schooling coverage per country in
relevant statistic for describing schooling coverage. There
the different segments of the education system, then look at
are at least two reasons to suggest that they are
how this overall profile breaks down into variables such as
inappropriate: the first concerns the fact that a single global
gender, rural/urban location and income quintile. This study
indicator is calculated for a cycle, while experience shows
has been conducted for the following 29 countries: Benin,
that a significant proportion of those accessing a cycle often
Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Central African
drop out before reaching the final grade of that cycle. Thus,
Republic, Chad, Côte d’Ivoire, Democratic Republic of
an average measure tends to underestimate access to a
Congo, Ethiopia, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea Bissau,
cycle and to overestimate (sometimes in very high
Kenya, Lesotho, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique,
proportions) its completion; the second reason is that the
Niger, Nigeria, Republic of the Congo, Rwanda, Senegal,
numerical value of an indicator such as the Gross
Sierra Leone, Togo, Uganda, Zambia and Zimbabwe.
7 It is often suggested that the Net Enrollment Ratio (NER, ratio of the number of pupils of “normal” age for the cycle and the number of children of the same age group in the country) could reduce the drawback of the GER incorporating repeaters; yet in fact, the cure is in a way worse than the disease due to late/early admissions to primary school as is often the case in African contexts, leading to a sometimes very underestimated vision of actual enrollments. There are even more acute problems with the NER at secondary levels in view of the delays accumulated i) in initial access to school and ii) in the course of primary education (repetition) and in access to secondary education (often more frequent repetition of the last grade of primary school in order to increase the chances of being admitted to secondary education).
Household income and consumption are not directly observed in many of these surveys. On the other hand, a fairly wide range of variables characterizing the working population and the household’s actual living conditions is always available. Applying a factorial method to these variables makes it possible to rank the households from the ones with the most spartan living conditions and the fewest assets (characterizing the poorest households) to the ones in the opposite situation with living conditions and assets that demonstrate the implicit existence of a very high income. This is the basis on which all the households observed in a given survey are assigned to one or another of the five wealth quintiles. 6
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 12
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
1.3
Different Education Profiles Depending on Countries and Groups of Countries
Table 3 gives the estimations made for these 29 countries.
countries respectively, and 81% and 60.5% survival in upper
Graph 1 provides a visual illustration.
secondary).
Figures are more or less the same as those provided by the
In tertiary education, the gaps (6.1% of the age group
access into first grade of primary school. This is indeed
speaking countries compared to 7.8% in English-
regional average) than in the traditional statistics based on
between the final secondary grade and the first year of
completion, the regional average is slightly below (48%),
compared to 53.3% in French-speaking countries). The
administrative data, with however a marked difference for
have access to tertiary education on average in French-
significantly lower in the household surveys (78.4% for the administrative data
8
speaking countries) are smaller due to lower transition
(over 90%). Concerning primary
tertiary education in English-speaking countries (44%,
but close to, that provided by the administrative data.
difference is probably to do with the fact that i) the
baccalauréat is already considered as a higher education
1.3.1 Marked Differences between French- and
certificate in French-speaking countries, while this is not
English-Speaking Countries
the case in the English-speaking context, and ii)
universities enjoy much greater autonomy in English-
At the global aggregate level, French-speaking countries are
speaking countries, enabling them to impose more
again found to be lagging behind their English-speaking
regulated access to tertiary education.
counterparts. This gap is visible starting from access to
1.3.2 Illustration of the Great Diversity of
school (88.8% and 71.8% respectively for English-speaking
and
French-speaking
countries).
It
is
even
Situations: Burkina Faso, Congo, Ghana and
more
accentuated for primary completion insofar as there is lower
Malawi
compared to English-speaking countries9 (57.4 and 68.8%
Beyond the regional averages, and although a distinction
access and lower survival in French-speaking countries
respectively). Thus, the proportion of the age group reaching
can be made between the two major groups of countries,
the last grade of primary education is 61.5% in English-
the situation of individual countries can differ even more
speaking countries and only 42.1% in French-speaking
significantly. Graph 2 sets out the education profile
gaps observed between the two groups of countries at the
countries, Burkina Faso, Republic of the Congo, Ghana and
countries: a considerable difference. In lower secondary, the
established on the basis of household surveys for four
end of primary education are also present in lower
Malawi.10
secondary education insofar as the average transition rate
between primary and secondary education is comparable in
the two groups of countries (77% in English-speaking
countries and 80.8% in French-speaking countries) with a
proportion of 35.2% of the age group accessing secondary education in French-speaking countries compared to 47.6%
in English-speaking countries. These differences continue
through to the end of secondary education insofar as
8 Due to the problems encountered with administrative data, we have more confidence in household survey data, to the extent that we estimate that there would in fact be around 20% of an age group on average not accessing primary school in low-income countries in SubSaharan Africa.
English-speaking countries, in spite of a lower transition rate
between the two secondary cycles, have a significantly
higher survival rate than French-speaking countries in upper
9 English-speaking countries where, moreover, primary education comprises on average one more year of study than in French-speaking countries.
secondary (64.9% and 71.2% transition between the two
These countries were chosen to illustrate the variety of situations existing in the different countries in the region.
10
secondary levels for English-speaking and French-speaking
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 13
19.5
66.3
52.0
53.6
Mali
43.2
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
14
78.9
24.7
93.5
67.0
Senegal
97.4
Zimbabwe
62.8
61.5
42.1
71.8
88.8
48.0
87.0
78.4
89.6
58.6
69.6
59.9
32.6
82.8
47.6
35.2
38.5
74.3
40.8
41.3
59.5
51.9
27.5
11.1
74.8
62.9
9.8
14.2
32.7
34.2
32.3
43.7
40.0
17.5
35.5
70.1
48.5
17.4
55.2
41.2
17.0
28.6
61.8
12.9
42.2
18.9
Access
38.9
23.4
28.3
58.9
36.0
22.8
36.4
41.2
16.1
8.8
45.0
56.7
5.9
24.5
23.6
29.3
27.6
37.4
8.4
29.0
61.3
41.6
15.4
46.1
26.0
9.4
15.1
29.3
8.0
23.1
10.2
Achèvement
Secondary 1 (%)
24.2
16.6
18.8
7.2
20.2
12.1
23.1
33.7
11.9
7.4
26.8
51.3
4.0
19.7
11.1
21.8
19.8
32.5
6.0
25.8
23.2
33.5
10.6
38.2
22.9
8.1
1.9
21.6
6.0
7.8
17.5
Access
19.8
10.8
14.2
7.1
17.3
11.7
15.8
11.5
7.9
5.3
18.2
45.3
7.0
3.0
19.5
31.2
16.3
19.4
19.4
18.5
16.0
4.9
15.9
11.2
3.6
3.8
11.8
7.8
6.1
6.9
5.1
5.6
6.7
10.5
4.8
7.1
12.3
3.6
1.6
5.1
11.0
6.1
12.6
3.0
13.0
6.5
7.5
2.5
Tertiary
Achèvement Access (%)
Secondary 2 (%)
68.8
57.4
59.8
89.3
70.0
59.7
75.6
72.0
48.6
26.4
85.1
93.3
21.6
21.5
49.9
73.3
45.1
64.6
72.6
39.6
65.9
87.7
70.6
31.7
66.5
62.6
42.5
63.8
77.3
29.4
68.2
61.2
Survival Primary
77.0
80.8
78.9
85.4
65.1
70.5
85.4
86.8
84.6
44.8
90.3
79.7
82.2
77.1
83.3
87.1
74.7
68.5
58.5
70.2
88.3
91.5
89.4
77.2
87.3
94.2
77.1
73.3
85.3
66.3
86.0
77.8
Transition primary secondary 2
81.9
63.8
69.6
79.3
88.1
55.2
61.2
79.3
58.4
79.3
90.1 60.1
41.7
74.9
68.9
90.8
63.0
93.7
48.1
81.8
87.4
85.7
88.5
83.6
63.2
55.0
52.8
47.5
61.9
54.7
54.1
Survival Sec.1
64.9
71.2
68.6
12.2
56.1
53.1
63.4
81.9
73.8
83.9
90.5 59.7
67.0
80.4
47.0
74.3
71.8
86.7
71.3
89.0
37.8
80.5
69.1
82.7
88.0
86.6
12.6
73.6
75.5
75.9
76.1
Transition secondary 1 secondary 2
81.0
60.5
69.6
98.1
85.7
96.8
68.2
34.0
67.0
72.0
88.4 67.8
35.5 74.8
89.5
96.1 82.3
75.1
55.2 83.7
42.0
61.0
69.6
51.8
60.0
67.2
49.1
Survival Sec. 2
44.0
53.5
48.7
72.2
32.6
42.7 89.6
61.0
27.0 39.0
51.1
8.1
35.2 31.2
68.3 31.4
81.4 18.8
57.9
63.8
65.3
Transition secondary tertiary
Source: database compiled using Country Status Reports on education systems, previous simulation models of the education sector (including the model built for the financial analysis of post-primary development options) and the UIS and EdStats databases. Demographic data used to calculate the enrollment rates comes from the United Nations.
* Profiles in some countries do not cover the whole system; this is particularly the case when sample size was too small to produce sufficiently reliable figures in the highest segments of the education systems.
countries
English-speaking
countries
French-speaking
29 countries
Average
Zambia
92.1
98.2
Uganda
Togo
83.1
Sierra Leone
Rwanda
97.3
Republic Congo
12.0
84.6
55.3
Nigeria
Niger
18.3
39.2
39.3
85.4
78.6
95.7
63.8
68.4
25.0
40.1
76.7
54.3
22.5
63.3
43.7
22.1
39.0
72.4
Mozambique
Mauritania
Malawi
94.3
98.6
Lesotho
Kenya
63.1
61.0
87.4
Guinea Bissau
Guinea
Ghana
71.0
77.0
Gambia
Ethiopia
95.1
69.8
Democratic Congo
Côte d’Ivoire
Chad
CAR
61.2
93.6
Burundi
Cameroon
49.0
24.4
71.9
39.8
Completion
Primary (%)
Access
Burkina Faso
Benin
Country
Tableau 3. Education profile for a sample of 29 countries, between 2002 and 2005*
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
Graph 1. Average education profile, 28 countries
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
Graph 2. Education profile in 4 countries
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 15
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
There are clear differences. Congo, Ghana and Malawi
(61.1%). During lower secondary education, survival
show high figures for access to primary school (around 90%
registered in Congo (59.7%) is significantly below that of
(40%). However, low survival in primary education puts
this is compensated for in a way by considerably higher
(45% in Malawi compared to 85.1 and 87.7% respectively
(71%) compared to Ghana (38%); a comparable level of
or over), while in Burkina Faso the level is much lower
Ghana (which performs best out of the four countries), but
Malawi in a much lower position than Congo or Ghana
transition between the two secondary cycles in Congo
for Congo and Ghana). Burkina Faso is again in the lowest
access to upper secondary education is also to be found in
position with under 30% completion; this result is admittedly
Malawi (21.8% compared to 23.2% in Ghana) due to high
explained not only by low access but by low survival
1.4
transition (74.3%) between the two secondary cycles.
Possible Differentiation Criteria: Gender, Level of Wealth, Geographic Environment
These education profiles, which differ from one country to
wealth; but this is a relative (rather than absolute)
another, cover the overall school-age population for each
classification since the individuals of a given quintile have
country considered. It is possible that country profiles may
varying levels of wealth depending upon the country
vary more or less according to different groups of
considered. In addition, within a given country, while the
between possible differentiations according to gender,
just like the poor have boys and girls), it is not distributed
population; this is what we are to look at now, distinguishing
level of wealth is of course orthogonal with gender (the rich
geographic environment (urban/rural)11 and the level of
evenly according to geographic environment.
wealth.
The
geographic (urban/rural) environment poses
Before examining the results, it may be useful to point out
specific problems. In the first place, while the distinction
comparable and, more precisely, to note the distinctive
the distinction between urban and rural is on the other hand
that the three dimensions being looked at are not quite
between boys and girls does not lend itself to interpretation,
characteristics of the urban/rural aspect compared to those
a matter of convention: on what criteria, and starting from
concerning gender and the level of wealth. Concerning
gender,
distribution
is
what size does a village become a town? The problem is that, although the statistics departments in all countries are
largely
exposed to the same question and attempt to respond in a
homogeneous across countries and groups of population
reasonable manner, they do not necessarily give exactly
(groups defined according to the other distinctive criteria).
the same answer.12 At the end of the day, it has to be said
between 50% girls and 50% boys within the school-age
conventional nature and that the convention selected in one
that the distinction between urban and rural is of a
In all countries, distribution is more or less balanced
country may differ from that selected in another. In this
population. This distribution is the same in urban and rural
context, the international comparison of figures that make
populations, and in wealthy and poor families. The
the distinction between rural and urban in analyzing a given
level of family wealth is generally looked at
phenomenon (here education) is therefore not ideal; this
suggests that care must be taken when conducting such
through a grouping per quintile based on a previous ranking
of the families in a country (or of a sample of families in a
comparisons, but not that it would be pointless to do so.
assets in their possession and standard of living. As the
11 There may also of course be regional or ethnic disparities; however, these are not taken into
household survey) according to the level of consumption, grouping is made within each of the countries studied, this
account here as they cannot be analyzed in terms of international comparison.
For example, in one country a built-up area with a population of 3 000 is urban, while in another, this definition will be used for built-up areas with a population of 5 000, and at the same time the very concept of a built-up area is also a matter of convention.
provides a homogeneous distribution in five groups each
12
representing 20% of the population, arranged by order of
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 16
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
Caution is all the more important in that, while countries
(mechanically) differ too much from the national average;
identification of urban and rural, they also considerably
of the overall population.
may of course differ on the basis of the statistical
this will naturally be less true if rural areas account for 45%
differ on the actual respective weight of the two
environments, bearing in mind that these aspects are
A third difficulty with the geographic variable is its certainly
data. Thus, on the basis of the conventions selected in the
variable. The wealth variable is in fact distributed very
combined and cannot be separated in existing comparative
imperfect yet substantial relation to the family income
different countries for the urban-rural distinction, it can be
differently in urban and rural areas. Table 4 indicates the
seen (Table A1, in the appendices) that, on average for the
aggregate distribution of the population for the 29 countries
29 countries analyzed, 30.2% of the school-age population
in our study sample.
live in urban areas whereas 69.8% live in rural areas.
Generally speaking, the majority of economically privileged
However, this is an average since in some countries, like
families live in urban areas (52.6% of urban dwellers belong
Congo and Côte d’Ivoire, more than half the school-age
to the richest quintile, and 80% to the two highest quintiles),
population live in urban areas (according to the conventions
while an even larger majority of those living in poverty are
adopted in these two countries), while in countries such as
rural dwellers (96.5% of the poorest families live in rural
Burkina Faso, Burundi, Ethiopia, Kenya, Malawi and
areas). That said, there is indeed also a segment of poor
rural areas. It is of course essential to be aware of this data
bearing in mind that some rural families are not, in relative
Uganda, 85% or more of the school-age population live in
families who live in towns or their immediate vicinity,
and bear these differences in mind when analyzing
terms, in the category of underprivileged families (62% of
enrollments according to the geographic environment in the
families belonging to the second richest quintile and 24%
different countries in the region. For example, in a country
belonging to the highest quintile live in rural areas). The
where rural areas account for 85% of the country’s total
latter remarks however only slightly modify the initial
population, the schooling situation of rural children cannot
observation.
Table 4. Distribution of the population according to geographic environment and level of wealth (Sample of 29 countries) Environment Wealth quintile
Number
20% poorest
105 027 396
Quintile 3
88 194 738
20% richest
25 261 327
Quintile 2 Quintile 4 Total
99 436 506 65 812 328
383 732 295
Rural % vertical 27.4%
% horizontal 96.5%
3 822 827
23.0%
82.8%
18 278 166
6.6%
24.4%
78 308 694
25.9% 17.2% 100.0
92.3% 62.1%
72.0%
Urban % vertical
Number
2.6%
8 254 933
17.2%
106 472 904
20.0%
100.0%
52.6%
75.6%
103 570 021
19.4%
100.0%
100.0
7.7%
37.9% 28.0%
107 691 439 106 029 263 532 613 850
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
20.4%
% horizontal
12.3%
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
17
Total % vertical
108 850 223
27.0%
148 881 555
Number
3.5%
5.5%
40 216 935
% horizontal
20.2% 19.9% 100.0
100.0%
100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
Bearing in mind these introductory remarks, we can now
Table 5 sets out the basic estimations of the overall education
attempt to present the estimated education profiles for the
profile for the 29 countries as a whole, distinguishing the
different groups of population considered. We shall
population groups according to gender, geographic
examine the aggregate situation for the 29 countries in our
environment (urban/rural) and level of family wealth. For the
sample first, before examining that of the different countries
latter variable, we have grouped together the two poorest
1.4.1 An Aggregate Perspective for the 29
quintile (Q5) is considered separately. The table also indicates
making up the sample.
quintiles (Q1 and Q2, named Q12); we have done the same
for quintiles 3 and 4 (variable named Q34); the wealthiest
Countries in our Sample
the main combinations of the three segmentation variables.
Graph 3 provides an initial illustration of same.
Graph 3. School profile by gender, geographic environment and level of wealth, 29 countries
Source: compiled by the authors based on Table A1 in Appendix 2 and the household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 18
59.8
Primary Survival
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
19
1.9
34.9
Primary Survival
49.4
53.6
0.5
62.9
61.3
47.9
2.2
6.4
9.1
15.5
24.7
37.1
72.5
Gender
GRQ34
67.9
76.8
58.3
5.7
11.5
16.3
25.6
35.4
45.5
75.5
G
76.2
71.6
66.9
8.7
17.9
22.9
32.6
42.8
57.4
82.6
GRQ5
70.8
80.6
61.1
8.4
16.9
21.4
30.9
41.5
50.4
81.1
B
54.1
60.1
40.2
1.3
3.8
5.7
10
18.5
28.8
69.8
BRQ12
57.5
71.1
48.0
2.8
7.5
10.0
17.3
27.2
36.9
72.9
67.6
67.3
54
4.2
10.9
14.4
21.3
31.5
44.1
79.5
78.6
76.7
73.5
13.2
26.2
30.9
40.2
51.1
65.6
87.9
49.4
63.9
41.0
0.8
3.3
5.9
11.4
20.2
29.9
68.6
Q12
52.8
59.6
48.9
1.2
3.1
6.3
12.1
23
37.4
76.4
64.5
74.9
57.3
5.0
11.6
16.5
26.9
37.8
48.1
80.6
Wealth quintiles Q34
67.1
67.6
62.5
4
10.1
15.7
25.1
37.4
54.1
85.5
76.3
87.7
77.1
17.5
31.0
37.9
50.8
63.4
71.4
91.8
Q5
Gender x geographic context x wealth quintiles BRQ34 BRQ5 GUQ12 GUQ34
75.3
85.7
74.1
12.6
25.1
32.8
45.8
58.7
68.2
91.6
Geographic context R U
77.6
77.4
82.3
13
25.6
34.3
46.2
59.5
76.9
93.1
56.8
65.5
55.4
2.6
6.2
10.2
17.4
30.6
45.9
83.2
BUQ12
61.1
73.7
50.2
3.4
9.2
12.4
20.4
30.5
39.7
76.3
70.9
72.7
69.4
7,7
16.8
22.6
33
46.5
63.1
90.8
BUQ34
74.5
83.9
72.5
10.4
21.0
29.7
42.9
55.3
65.5
89.8
Source: compiled by the authors based on Table A1 in Appendix 2 and the household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
80.0
81.9
88.1
19.7
36.5
43.8
55.1
68.9
84.6
96.0
BUQ5
76.0
87.0
75.6
14.8
29.0
36.1
48.6
61.9
70.7
93.3
Gender x geographic environment BR GU BU
GUQ5
50.9
67.0
44.5
2.3
5.6
7.3
13.8
23.5
33.5
69.3
GR
* G is for “girls”, B for “boys”, R for “rural”, U for “urban”, Q12 for quintiles Q1 and Q2 combined (the 40% poorest population of each country), Q34 for quintiles Q3 and Q4 combined, and Q5 for the richest quintile.
Secondary 1 Survival
Primary-Sec.1 Transition
Tertiary Access
3.1
Secondary 2 Completion
Secondary 2 Access
6.5
13.2
23.1
62.2
GRQ12
69.6
78.9
6.9
Secondary 1 Completion
Secondary 1 Access
Primary Completion
Primary Access
29 countries overall (%)
Secondary 1 Survival
Primary-Sec.1 Transition
Tertiary Access
18.8
14.2
Secondary 2 Completion
Secondary 2 Access
28.3
38.5
48.0
78.4
Overall
Secondary 1 Completion
Secondary 1 Access
Primary Completion
Primary Access
Groups of population* 29 countries overall (%)
Table 5. Education profile elements by gender, geographic environment and level of wealth, average values for the 29 countries
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
The three segmentation variables are seen each to have a
For gender and geographic context, there are only two
taking of course the expected direction: girls are in the
as this is constructed and part of a continuum. For the latter
significant impact on education profiles, with disparities
“natural” categories; this is not the case for the level of wealth,
background compared to boys, rural dwellers in the
variable, Table 6 sets out three comparisons: the first
background compared to urban dwellers and the poor in the
compares the schooling of individuals belonging to quintiles 1
background compared to the rich. If we focus more
and 2 combined, with that of individuals from the fifth quintile
specifically on the dimension of geographic location, rural
(the poorest 40% and the richest 20% respectively within
right from the start of primary school (average access rate
schooling of individuals belonging to the first and second
widens with the higher levels. Thus, urban children are over
to the third and fourth quintiles; finally, the third comparison
education.
poorest quintiles with that of individuals belonging to the other
children are seen to be behind their urban counterparts
each country’s population); the second contrasts the
of 72.9 and 91.6% respectively) and the gap progressively
quintiles (the poorest 40%) with that of individuals belonging
twice as likely as rural children to enter lower secondary
again contrasts the schooling of individuals from the two
three quintiles (the 60% richest/least poor). Naturally, the
The gaps connected to the three social segmentation
greater the gap between the groups compared (the poorest
variables are not of the same intensity. In order to measure
group compared with the richer groups), the greater the
relative gaps.13 To remain with relatively similar references to
this intensity, Table 6 provides a measure of the disparity
the other two social variables, we are to opt for the third
ratio between privileged and underprivileged groups at
comparison contrasting the poorest 40% with the richest/least
different points of the education profile (aggregate values
poor 60% of the population.
for the 29 countries).
Table 6. Disparity ratio of privileged to underprivileged groups in diverse points of the education profile: gender, geographic environment and level of wealth, 29 countries Social groups
Primary Access
Primary Completion
Secondary 1 Access
Secondary 1 Completion
Secondary 2 Access
Secondary 2 Completion Tertiary Access
Primary Survival
Primary-Secondary 1 Transition Secondary 1 Survival
Gender Boy / Girl 1.07 1.11
1.17
1.20
1.31
1.47
1.48
1.05
1.05
1.04
Geographic environment Urban / Rural 1.26 1.85
Q5 / Q12 1.34 2.39
2.16
3.14
2.64
4.45
3.28
6.45
4.44
22.31
1.21
1.37
3.37
9.43
1.54
1.88
1.31
1.54
Wealth quintiles Q34 / Q12 1.17 1.61
1.87
2.36
Q345 / Q12 1.23 1.85
2.23
2.93
2.81
3.74
6.36
9.88
3.52 1.40
1.17
1.30
4.94 1.56
1.24
1.38
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
13 For example, at the end of upper secondary education, the ratio registers at 3.11 in the second comparison (poorest 40% compared to 40% less poor, without the richest 20%), while it registers at 4.63 in the third comparison (poorest 40 % compared to richest/less poor 60%), and at 7.67 in the first comparison contrasting the situation of the poorest 40% with that of the richest 20% of each country’s population.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 20
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
Generally speaking, and that is true for each of the three
favorable characteristics (boy, urban, rich) and the one
between privileged and underprivileged groups tends to be
The second part of Table 5 gives the estimated figures
profile; thus, social disparities grow as we climb up the
the 12 categories identified by the different combinations of
segmentation variables, the intensity of the disparities
accumulating all the unfavorable factors (girl, rural, poor).
more pronounced the higher the position on the education
needed to build the education profiles specific to each of
rungs of the education system. This tendency is visible in
the three variables.
Graph 4. This graph also shows that the intensity of the disparities between privileged and underprivileged groups
If we examine the education profiles of the two extremes
is slightly more pronounced on the basis of geographic
in the first instance (rich urban boys on the one hand and
environment than on gender. Thus, at the point of access to
poor rural girls on the other), then it is clear that schooling
lower secondary education for example, the disparity ratio
situations are extremely contrasted. Thus, for the 29
of the privileged group to the underprivileged group is 1.17
countries as a whole, while 96% of individuals have
fact the level of family wealth that makes the biggest
62% of individuals in the second group. If we now take
education, the disparity ratio between privileged and
interest in the context of this study), there are already
for gender and 2.16 for geographic environment. But it is in
access to school in the first group, this is the case for only
difference. Thus, again on access to lower secondary
access to lower secondary education (of particular
underprivileged groups reaches 2.23. At this point in the
considerable differences between the two categories with
system, disparities according to urban/rural areas and level
a figure of 68.9% for the first group and only 13.2% for
of wealth are roughly around six times greater in intensity
the second. As for access to upper secondary education,
than for gender. The ranking of the weight of the three
this is the case for 43.8% of rich urban boys compared to
segmentation variables is clearly visible in Graph 4.
only 3.3% of poor rural girls. The gaps are considerable.
Graph 5 illustrates these observations by extending the
Combining the modalities of the three social variables does
comparison to all 12 categories with, at either extremity,
of course result in even more pronounced disparities,
the two extreme cases that have just been briefly
particularly between the group that accumulates all the
described.
Graph 4. Social disparities in diverse entry and exit points of the education profile, 29 countries
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 21
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
Graph 5. Education profile by comparing gender-geographic environment and level of wealth (29 countries)
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
1.4.2 Different Situations According to the Country
the three dimensions in each national context, targeting
The information just presented concerns the average
focuses on the disparities between urban and rural areas
more particularly the urban/rural distinction; iii) the third
situation of the 29 countries in our study sample. It is likely
and examines possible differences between countries in
that the major lines that have been identified are more or
the process of generating these disparities between the
less valid for all of these countries; but it is also probable
different segments of the education system.
that some specific characteristics apply to the situation of
the individual countries making up the sample and these
* Variable intensity in the overall intensity of social
involved, we are to limit this presentation to the education
being considered
are worth exploring here. In view of the extent of data
inequalities and in the weight of the three social dimensions
profile for primary and lower secondary education. These education profiles (primary and lower secondary access
For practical reasons, it is not possible to take stock of the
social segmentation variables, are set out in Table A1 in
the education profile (access to primary, primary
along three complementary lines: i) the first consists in
conduct the analysis at the end of lower secondary
and completion) per country, and according to the three
social disparities in each country at each distinctive point of
annex to this document. On this basis, we shall proceed
completion, access to secondary…). We have decided to
calculating social disparity ratios for the three dimensions
education (a point where social inequalities have had the
analyzed and in building a global measure of the social
time to “express themselves”, and not take into account the
ii) the second consists in identifying the respective weight of
more intense but also where coverage is generally low).
disparities in the different countries making up the sample;
highest levels of the system, where inequalities are indeed
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 22
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
Table 7 offers a synthetic view of the intensity of the social
between the two orders of magnitude formally confirms this.
disparities per sample country for each of the three
dimensions studied, measured here by comparing the
On average, countries where the education system has
chances of the privileged population (boys, urban, two
lower coverage therefore have a significant tendency to be
secondary with those of the underprivileged population
does not however mean that the relationship is necessarily
highest wealth quintiles) of accessing the final year of lower
characterized by a higher level of social disparities. This
(girls, rural, three lowest income or wealth quintiles).
rigid and deterministic. Indeed, some countries may be
clearly above or below the average, demonstrating a
Let us focus firstly on the last column in the table, which
specific propensity for producing greater or lesser social
provides the average value of the ratio of the respective
inequalities when the influence of the level of schooling
social dimensions being studied.14 The average value of
like Benin, Burkina Faso, Côte d’Ivoire and Rwanda are
chances of privileged to underprivileged youth in the three
coverage is controlled in the different countries. Countries
this indicator for the sample countries as a whole is 3.91;
thus characterized by a significantly lower level of social
Thus, values of under 2 are observed in Ghana (1.54, the
coverage of their education systems; on the other hand,
but there is also noteworthy variability across countries.
disparities than would have been expected from the level of
minimum out of all the sample countries), Côte d’Ivoire
social disparities are higher than anticipated on the basis of
(1.9), Kenya (1.8) and Nigeria (1.7), while values of around
the level of coverage in Cameroon and Guinea and even
5 or over are registered in Burundi (5.0), Ethiopia (7.3),
more so in Ethiopia and Guinea-Bissau.
Guinea-Bissau (18.2, the country where social disparities
are the most pronounced according to the selected
* The respective weight of the three social dimensions,
indicator), Mozambique (8.6) and Central African Republic
particularly the urban/rural distinction
(6.0).
The overall average level of social disparities differs from
This variability in the intensity of social disparities between
country to country; as the global index incorporates
countries can itself be explained by the distinctive
disparities according to gender, geographic environment
political aspects do of course come to mind. The possibility
different situations for the three components. Data recorded
characteristics of each country; cultural, contextual or
and the level of wealth, the overall score can result from
of these factors actually playing a role cannot be ruled out;
in Table 8 enables an initial approach to this issue. For
but it can also be considered that the rule often validated in
some countries, the level of disparities is fairly coherent for
sociology of education whereby social disparities tend to be
the three dimensions studied, but this is not the case for all
high when systems are not well-developed (the chances of
countries:
schooling are low and the most privileged segments of society tend to monopolize the few places available) and
decrease as schooling coverage increases (and segments of the population previously excluded are admitted to
school). Graph 6 has been built on the basis of this
hypothesis.
The distribution of the dots, representing each country at the intersection between the rate of lower secondary completion and the overall index of social disparities at the
same level of study, shows the empirical relevance of the
14 This statistic does not have specific properties; it does however give a good overall idea of the intensity of overall social disparities (at the end of lower secondary education) in the different countries.
hypothesis; the value (0.60) of the coefficient of determination (R²) characterizing the average relation
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 23
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
Table 7. The extent of social disparities in the different countries (end of lower secondary) Country
% Rural
% Access End Secondary 1
Benin
63
23.1
Burundi
92
8.8
Burkina Faso Cameroon
Central African Rep Chad
Côte d’Ivoire
Democratic Congo Ethiopia Gambia Ghana
Guinea
Guinea Bissau Kenya
Lesotho Malawi Mali
Mauritania
Mozambique Niger
Nigeria
Republic Congo Rwanda
Senegal
Sierra Leone Togo
Uganda Zambia
Zimbabwe
Average 29 countries
85
10.2
65
29.3
75
12.7
60
46
69
85
62
57
70
59
85
80
85
72
55
66
83
12.1
26.0
32.3
20.8
41.6
61.3
29.0
10.5
37.4
27.6
34.6
23.6
22.0
8.3
Gender (B/G) 1.89
1.38
1.00
0.93
1.71
2.17
1.24
1.28
0.95
1.09
1.01
1.35
Ratio chances of privileged/underprivileged Environment Wealth Average (U/R) (Q12/Q345) 2.69
1.80
2.12
6.75
7.14
4.96
6.88
3.94
9.69
8.31
1.70
2.23
4.56
6.85
6.48
3.78
2.80
1.86
8.92
12.00
1.54
2.06
2.83
3.56
2.75
5.92
4.27
3.91
5.96
4.76
1.91
1.79
7.29
2.22
1.54
3.61
1.65
18.67
34.33
18.22
0.81
2.44
3.90
2.38
1.44
1.28
1.79 1.11
1.83
1.86
2.58
4.10
3.39
2.20 3.11
3.47
4.23
8.42
15.67
1.83
2.32
3.12
2.91
8.64
66
39.7
1.11
1.57
2.33
1.67
84
14.0
1.01
4.98
2.56
2.85
40
59
70
69
89
63
68.2 69.7
45.0
17.7
41.2
36.4
22.8
36.0
58.9 28.0
1.10
1.32
0.99
1.40
1.64
1.25
1.08 1.3
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
2.95
4.90
3.00
2.77
2.90
2.92
1.22 4.6
3.36
5.89
2.27
3.09
5.51
4.22
2.14 5.6
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 24
2.47
4.04
2.09
2.42
3.35
2.79
10.48 3.8
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
Graph 6. Overall index of social disparities at the end of lower secondary according to the cycle completion rate
y = 40.383x R = 0.6005
-0.8015
2
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
In
Benin and Mali, disparities according to geographic
Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Togo and Zambia,
environment and the level of wealth are moderate or low
disparities observed in the three dimensions are small, or
while gender disparities are particularly pronounced;
In
Burkina Faso, on the contrary, the urban/rural
In
Burundi and Ethiopia, the situation is the opposite to
are within the regional average, and do not demonstrate
an unfavorable balance to the detriment of any particular
one.
dimension is problematic;
Focusing specifically on rural and urban disparities, the countries where this dimension plays a particularly
that in Benin with very low or non-existent boy-girl
important role (to the detriment of rural children) are first of
disparities and very substantial disparities according to
all Central African Republic, Ethiopia, Guinea-Bissau and
geographic environment and level of wealth;
In
Mozambique, followed by Burkina Faso and Burundi; in
contrast, the dimension of disparities between urban and
Cameroon, it is household wealth that makes the
rural environments seems to be better managed in Côte
difference, the urban/rural distinction having a moderate
d’Ivoire, Ghana and Nigeria.
influence and the gender distinction a very limited one;
In
Finally, it is important to note that the lag in rural
Chad, there are considerable disparities according to
enrollments is very closely connected to the level of the
gender and geographic context, and less significant
system’s quantitative development. Graph 6 showed that
disparities according to the level of household wealth; In
overall social disparities are all the more pronounced
when schooling coverage is weaker; analyzing the
Guinea-Bissau, Mozambique and the Central African
connection between each of the three social dimensions
Republic, there are very high social disparities in all three
and coverage shows that it is by far the urban/rural
Gambia, Guinea, Kenya, Malawi, Mauritania, Nigeria,
observation. Indeed, the coefficient of determination is
dimensions, while in the Republic of the Congo, Ghana,
dimension which is at the origin of this overall
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 25
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
only 0.17 with gender and 0.40 with the level of wealth,
Referring to the data in Table 5, we know that 17.3% of rural
This brings us back to the argument put forward earlier,
education. It is consequently of interest to describe the
while it registers at 0.68 with the urban-rural distinction.
and 45.8% of urban dwellers complete lower secondary
and which will be handled again in point 2.2 below,
selective process leading up to this situation and, in
according to which education systems develop from the
particular, to identify the respective weight of the different
easier to more difficult contexts, starting with densely-
segments earlier in the education system where the
education makes it easy to set up schools, continuing
a breakdown of the geographic disparities observed
populated urban areas where the high demand for
disparities were progressively generated. Table 8 provides
with areas where the density of population remains
between urban and rural areas at the end of lower
acceptable and ending with sparsely populated rural
secondary education.
areas where the number of school-age children is limited and where demand for schooling is uncertain.
This descriptive table provides us with some very useful
* Process of generating urban/rural disparities in the
production of schooling inequalities between urban and
information that gives an understanding of both the rural environments and on schooling dynamics in Sub-
different sample countries
Saharan African countries. Upon examining the situation at
In this study, we focus specifically on the differentiations
the end of lower secondary education, we indeed expected
between rural and urban areas and on lower secondary
that the geographic differentiations at this level had already
education. It is however important to situate the study in the
been initiated to some extent in primary education, but the
framework of the sector as a whole, especially for the
common opinion was also that the transition between
overall social differentiations existing in the education
primary and secondary education would be particularly
systems of the different countries studied.
unfavorable to rural populations.
Table 8. Breakdown of the urban-rural differentiations observed at the end of lower secondary education between the different segments of the education profile 29 countries
Primary Access
% of the age group enrolled Rural (%) Urban (%) 72.9
91.6
Primary Completion
36.9
68.2
Secondary 1 Completion
17.3
45.8
Secondary 1 Access
27.2
Multiplicative ratio urban/rural
Specific contribution
Relative contribution %
1.85
1.47
39.7
2.64
1.23
21.0
1.26
58.7
2.16
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 26
1.26
1.17
23.4
15.9 100.0
1. The Overall Situation of Lower Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan African Countries
Factual information on the 29 countries as a whole is at
secondary survival. It is therefore due to the fact that rural
variance with this idea. In fact, almost two-thirds (63.1%)
children have less access to primary education and
secondary education between urban and rural dwellers
found less often than their urban counterparts at the
of the differentiations observed at the end of lower
above all drop out early more often that they are to be
are generated by unequal access to primary education
outcome of lower secondary education; transition to
(23.4%) and above all by different survival rates
secondary education is indeed a little more difficult for
throughout the primary cycle (39.7%); on this basis,
them, but represents only a small share of the sum total
transition to secondary education adds only 15.9%, with
(in all it accounts for only 15% of rural/urban disparities
a slightly higher figure (21%) estimated for lower
observed at the end of lower secondary education).15
Diagnostic errors were registered in the 1980s, especially in the Philippines and Morocco, giving more weight to primary-secondary transition than in reality; this led to inappropriate educational policies and unconvincing results for the systems.
15
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 27
2.
2.1
Putting the Rural Schooling Lag into Perspective
The impact of the Distance from the Family Home to the Nearest Secondary School 2.1.1 Often
As we have seen, rural enrollments in lower secondary
Long
Distances
School for Rural Youth
education are behind those of urban youth. This is true in
all the countries studied; but the intensity of same varies
to
Secondary
In town, distance to school must be taken into
from one country to another; we have already identified
consideration, but on the one hand is generally shorter than
more intense the lower the schooling coverage,
public transport makes somewhat long distances less of a
the fact that urban-rural disparities tend to be significantly
in the country and, on the other hand, the existence of
highlighting a process of “sequential” development of the
disadvantage. Table 9 indicates the distribution of the
systems, targeting initially those populations easiest to
distance to the nearest secondary school, for rural and
enroll and progressively those that are less so. We are
urban children respectively in a sample of 12 countries.
to the analysis of the lag in rural schooling: the fact that
Let us examine the averages regarding the time separating
distance from home, which no doubt constitutes an
significant differences between urban and rural contexts in
now to provide a new, yet related, explanatory dimension,
for those children, secondary school is often some
home from the nearest secondary school. There are very
additional impediment to their enrollment. In order to
the 12 countries in this sample, the former benefiting from
distribution of the distance to the nearest lower
minutes) from home on average, while for the latter, the
find out to what extent the fact that the (nearest)
average (69 minutes). While 36% of urban youth have a
document this issue, we shall describe firstly the
a lower secondary school less than half an hour (27
secondary school for rural youth; next, we shall strive to
nearest school is almost one hour and ten minutes away on
secondary school is far from the family home diminishes
lower secondary school less than 15 minutes from home,
especially amongst the population that has completed a
countries analyzed. Graph 7 adopts a cumulative
the chances of having access to secondary education,
this is the case for fewer than 8% of rural youth in the twelve
full course of primary education.
perspective.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 29
2. Putting the Lag in Rural Schooling into Perspective
Table 9. Distribution of the distance to the nearest secondary school in 12 countries Time to school Environment Benin
Burkina Faso
0-15 min. Rural Urban 8.4
13.6
15-30 min. Rural Urban
30-45 min. Rural Urban
45-60 min. Rural Urban
11.4
18.2
10.1
15.2
15.0
2.0
14.9
26.3
3.2
34.2
10.0
40.0
Congo
19.7
49.8
17.1
26.1
Guinea-Bissau
14.7
Burundi Guinea
Lesotho
7.1 6.0 9.4
59.1 21.5
Malawi
4.8
31.3
Mauritania
3.1
27.2
Mali
9.9
58.7
14.2 5.0
9.5
13.9
29.2 36.6
11.6
15.1
4.7
3.9
16.6
28.8
9.4
21.8
8.9
8.1 4.3
1.9
12.3
4.0
46.0
1.8 8.8
21.0
55.6 80.0
69.9
47.9
5.1
100.0
100.0
53.4
21.4
0.4
11.2 17.6
4.0
25.1
3.7
22.5
4.3
16.7
84.8
4.4
6.6
83.6
4.2
6.4
28.9
13.8
18.8
5.8
Average
7.6
35.7
9.9
28.8
10.2
19.4
6.4
3.7
34.6
5.3
22.3
3.9 7.4 7.1
71.2
100.0 100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0 100.0
100.0
100.0
8.5
100.0
6.4
100.0
1.3
71.6
13.5
65.9
8.9
Source: authors, based on household surveys, QUIBB in particular, which adequately document spatial aspects.
39.9
23.3
58.9
17.9
63.6
70.9
7.8
6.8
100.0
100.0
10.4
18.1
100.0
100.0
19.7
7.9
Overall Average time (min.) Rural Urban Rural Urban
3.5
14.2
31.4
30.1
65.4
23.6
2.4
2.8
56.2
4.0
11.6
Rwanda
Senegal
10.3
60 min. or more Rural Urban
100.0 100.0
100.0
63.6 77.6
68.6
59.6
15.9 31.6
66.8
33.3
100.0
81.1
31.7
100.0
80.7
27.0
100.0 100.0
100.0
71.3 74.2
69.3
18.3 30.6
27.3
Graph 7. Cumulative % of time for the nearest secondary school by environment
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
Data registered in the graph show that only 18% of rural
This overall average situation prevails in all the sample
youth have a lower secondary school less than 30 minutes
countries; significant differences are seen however from
two out of every three urban children. The nearest
geographic configuration of the different countries and ii)
only a third of rural youth in the sample countries; this is the
areas, and also iii) the schooling coverage situation in
from their parents’ home, while this is the case for around
one country to another; they are partly due to i) the
secondary school is under one hour from home for around
the distribution of population, particularly within rural
case for over 90% of urban youth.
secondary education in rural areas and iv) policies
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 30
2. Putting the Lag in Rural Schooling into Perspective
selected in terms of school mapping (either small local
to lower secondary school. The figures are low since some
further from potential students). Thus, the average
attended school but have not completed primary education.
schools or bigger schools that are, as such, generally
children have never attended school and others have
distance to secondary school in rural areas is under one
Finally, some children were able to complete primary
hour in Congo and Lesotho, while it exceeds one hour
education but had to put an end to their studies at this point.
of the Congo, almost 38% of rural youth have a lower
latter population.
while this is only the case for under 10% of rural youth in
In this sample of countries (but this is probably generally
twenty minutes in Mauritania or Senegal. In the Republic
The second part of the table more specifically targets the
secondary school less than thirty minutes from home,
Mauritania, Rwanda and Senegal. 2.1.2 Distances Enrollments
with
Consequences
the case), the distance to lower secondary school clearly
has a negative impact on the individual chances of access.
on
First of all, let us take a look at the issue of transition
between primary and lower secondary education. While the
chances of transition register at 69% on average for
We shall now strive to determine to what extent the fact that
children who have a school in the geographic neighborhood
the lower secondary school is farther from or nearer to
(less than 15 minutes away), this figure drops by 10 points
home modifies individual behavior in terms of access to
(59.1%) when the school is 15 to 30 minutes away, to
lower secondary education. It may be assumed that the
51.2% for 30 to 45 minutes away and is only 45.4% when
costs money-wise (transport, food…) for families, timewise
nearest school consequently clearly demonstrates a
before/after school) and psychologically (control over
“on the spot”, a low transition rate demonstrates that some
existence of a lower secondary school locally implies lower
the distance exceeds 45 minutes. A long distance to the
(possibility of using children for domestic chores
difficulty on the school supply side. But when the school is
children, especially girls) than those entailed by enrollment
individuals decide not to continue their studies in spite of
in a school far from the family home. It is necessary to
the logistic ease with which they could do so. The difficulty
enrollment and what the relation is between enrollment and
level of study.
determine at what distance difficulties result in lower
in this case consequently lies in education demand for this
the distance from home to the nearest lower secondary school.
This structure is valid on average for the sample of ten
countries, although there are noteworthy differences
To tackle these questions empirically, we have recourse to
between countries. These differences concern both the
econometric estimations on the basis of ten countries
level of the transition rate and the intensity of the relation
where household surveys include information on the
between distance and probability of transition. As we wish
distance from home to primary and lower secondary
to target the latter component, we have calibrated at 100
countries in our sample. It gives the result of the
individuals with a school less than 15 minutes away.
secondary education depending on the distance between
procedure. The differences between countries are clearly
schools respectively. Table 10 targets rural youth in the ten
the transition rate observed in each country for
estimations analyzing the probabilities of access to lower
Graph 8 illustrates the results obtained from this
the family home and the nearest secondary school, on the
apparent, with on the one hand countries where distance
overall school-age population on the one hand and on the
has no proven influence on transition, such as Congo, or
other.
countries like Mauritania and Rwanda where the fact that
population having completed primary education on the
little influence like Benin or Burundi, and on the other, secondary school is far from the family home proves to
The first portion of the table covers the total school-age
greatly penalize the chances of transition from primary to
population and examines the individual chances of access
secondary education.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 31
2. Putting the Lag in Rural Schooling into Perspective
Table 10. Probability of access to lower secondary education according to the distance to school (rural environment only) Access (%) (of total population) Benin
Burkina Faso
Burundi
0-15 min. 23.5 19.0
5.6
Distance: home - lower secondary school 15-30 min. 30-45 min. 23.5
20.2
9.6
7.3
5.6
4.0
45 min. or more 8.9 2.3
1.9
Congo
34.7
28.8
28.8
19.1
Malawi
11.9
5.9
5.9
2.9
Guinea Mali
Mauritania
Rwanda
Senegal
Average Transition (%) (of population completing primary education) Benin
Burkina Faso
18.2 14.7
26.3
11.1
16.5
18.2
12.5
12.5
12.4
9.6
12.4
3.2
2.6
2.6
11.4
5.4
9.6
7.2
10.3
10.3
12.5
3.6
Distance: home - lower secondary school
5.6
4.0
0-15 min.
15-30 min.
30-45 min.
45 min. or more
66.7
50.6
50.4
45.8
74.2
74.2
62.6
62.6
Burundi
46.0
46.0
42.6
35.5
Guinea
83.2
83.2
66.2
50.5
Mali
63.8
59.5
59.5
51.5
Rwanda
57.9
38.0
18.2
18.2
Average
69.0
59.1
51.2
45.4
Congo
Malawi
Mauritania Senegal
57.6 73.7 92.1 75.0
57.6
57.6
46.5
46.5
85.8
56.6
49.6
49.6
Source: authors, based on household surveys, QUIBB in particular, which adequately document spatial aspects.
Graph 8. Primary-secondary transition index according to distance between home and school
Source: authors, based on household surveys, QUIBB in particular, which adequately document spatial aspects.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 32
57.6 35.5 42.1 49.6
2. Putting the Lag in Rural Schooling into Perspective
A comparable type of structure is registered when basing
who have completed primary education) on an index of 100
the estimations on the overall relevant school-age
for the situation of the two populations and for the group of
population and not just on the population having completed
those with a school nearby. Graph 9 has been drawn up in
locally (it is probable that the primary school is close by too)
population is below the one for the population that has
primary education. Thus, children with a secondary school
this perspective. The fact that the curve for the total
have an 18.5% chance of accessing secondary education;
completed primary education, suggests that the distance to
this falls to 12.5% if the school is between 15 and 30
the nearest secondary school has on average had an
minutes away and to 5.4% if the school is more than 45
influence before primary completion. This is confirmed by
partly explained by the distance between home and
survival in primary education, were influenced by the
minutes away from the family home. These figures can be
the analysis showing that marginally access, but above all
secondary school for those who have completed primary
chances of being able to pursue studies in secondary
education, but may also be linked to dropouts before the
education. One can indeed expect the proximity of a
primary education.
their families) to stay on at primary school in order to take
end of primary education and/or to survival in the course of
secondary school to be an encouragement for children (and
advantage of the opportunity offered them; if the secondary
To highlight, and separate, what comes into play in the
school is far from home, then parents are not so familiar
and before that point, we can calibrate the two series (the
resulting in a lesser determination on the part of pupils to
transition between primary and lower secondary education
with it and are concerned about the difficulties of access,
one on the overall population and the other limited to those
complete primary education.
Graph 9. Index of access to lower secondary in rural areas according to distance to secondary school for total population and population that completed primary education
Source: authors, based on household surveys, QUIBB in particular, which adequately document spatial aspects.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 33
2. Putting the Lag in Rural Schooling into Perspective
2.2 The Weight of the Rural Environment in Schooling Dynamics in Lower Secondary Education After having observed the lag in schooling for youth living in
secondary enrollments in a given country and the level of
a rural environment compared to their urban counterparts –
development of this level of education. Graph 10 illustrates
and bearing in mind that urban populations are also
this relationship: the lower the overall enrollment rate, the
countries in our sample – we understand that the major part
areas, to the disadvantage of the latter.
generally a minority in the population of the different
greater the schooling disparities between urban and rural
of the efforts to be deployed for lower secondary
development will have a rural accent.
The existence of this overall average relationship, although
This section puts forward a method for estimating the number
of some countries whose position on the graph is far from
very significant, does not do away with the specific situation
of country inhabitants of lower secondary school-age that are
average; this is particularly the case for Ethiopia, Guinea-
not in school. To do so, we shall simply start from a measure of
Bissau and Mozambique, where the level of geographic
household surveys analyzed at the beginning of this study. But
basis of their overall coverage level in lower secondary
those not enrolled. This population will consequently be the
characterized by a lower intensity in geographic disparities
enrollment rates in urban and rural environments taken from the
disparities exceeds what could have been expected on the
unlike the traditional perspective, we explore the situation of
education; in contrast, Rwanda and Tanzania are
target to be reached in coming years in order to move towards
than expected on the basis of their low level of enrollment.
more extensive coverage in secondary education.
This structure of enrollments between urban and rural
Table 11 gives the value of the enrollment rate in lower
areas, and this negative relationship between the intensity
secondary education in the recent period broken down
of disparities and the level of coverage, are coherent with
between urban and rural areas on the one hand, and the
the argument whereby education systems develop
measure of the number of children not enrolled in both
according to a global principle of logistic and social ease.
contexts on the other. This enables an estimation of the
Historically, educational services are firstly developed in
potentially to be enrolled.
cities), where it is relatively easy to set them up due to i) the
16
proportion of rural youth in the total population still
urban areas (especially in large towns, particularly capital density of population and an adequate number of children
We can see that the average regional enrollment rate of 36% is
coming out of primary school and ii) the strong demand for
distributed between 22.2% for rural populations and 65.6% for
schooling from a well-to-do and influential population. Then,
lower secondary coverage as this ranges from 7% in Niger to
contexts where populations are fewer in number and the
urban populations. Not all countries have the same level of
the services are gradually scaled up in more difficult
76% in Ghana, and urban-rural disparities also differ
demand for schooling lower for these types of services
considerably depending on the country. While the chances of
(small towns, outskirts of towns). Rural areas, especially
enrollment in lower secondary education are on average almost
those with low population densities, are only reached at the
three times (2.9 times) higher for an urban child than for a rural
end of the quantitative expansion process for services. This
Nigeria, Togo and Zimbabwe, but is over 7 in Burkina Faso,
counter-examples, but dynamics of this sort do in general
child, the ratio of urban to rural GER is below two in Ghana,
is of course an overall tendency, no doubt with many small
Guinea-Bissau, Mozambique and Niger.
seem to be at work.17
Not surprisingly, in accordance with the precepts of sociology of education, a negative relationship is observed
16
We also use United Nations population data in projections dated 2004.17
17 These dynamics no doubt apply to African countries in the current period, just as they did in developed countries 50 or 80 years ago.
between the degree of urban-rural disparities in lower
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 34
59.5
41.8
25.1
70.0
19.3
Chad
95.5
18.4
61.8
25.6
76.3
Ghana
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
35
38.2
Mali
64.1
Rwanda
11.8
69.4
55.5
36.0
68.9
73.0
65.4
87.5
64.7
78.2
57.8
55.4
85.4
63.7
80.0
61.8
60.4
68.4
84.1
80.6
81.4
58.6
63.8
58.1
64.9
83.7
70.3
49.9
78.5
50.9
40.9
61.8
43.4
66.7
46.5
47.7
33.1
23.9
62.9
58.6
25.9
17.3
28.4
32.7
65.1
41.5
65.6
10.6
31.1
45.3
33.9
42.7
41.3
13.8
25.2
44.3
28.5
28.7
83.6
41.9
35.4
% Rural students
22.2
46.6
31.7
17.5
49.9
8.5
31.2
13.9
8.7
59.0
2.4
8.0
15.3
18.3
24.8
12.4
35.5
2.3
19.6
59.4
14.1
13.1
13.2
8.0
42.2
10.9
12.0
34.9
16.1
9.2
28.4
GER (%) Rural
65.6
77.8
78.3
61.3
99.0
33.6
86.2
54.8
30.0
73.1
26.8
61.9
58.9
81.3
70.6
72.4
81.4
27.4
76.4
99.7
50.7
90.3
44.5
49.9
90.2
50.0
44.4
89.7
67.4
72.8
66.5
GER (%) Urban
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
Overall
47.8
Zimbabwe
Zambia
23.0
Uganda
14.0
Togo
Tanzania
54.4
32.1
Sierra Leone
Senegal
7.3
Nigeria
Niger
28.6
32.6
32.1
Mozambique
Mauritania
Malawi
44.0
24.0
Madagascar
Lesotho
12.7
40.1
26.9
Guinea-Bissau
Guinea
Gambia
22.5
Ethiopia
DRC
29.0
Côte d’Ivoire
Congo
CAR
Burundi
Cameroon
64.8
79.8
44.0
20.8
% Rural school age pop
GER (%)
Burkina Faso
Benin
Country
49 675.8
1 379.6
600.3
2 463.1
585.8
3 453.7
352.7
1 104.4
711.7
9 715.9
1 183.3
1 249.2
199.6
1 272.7
529.8
1 617.6
146.5
100.4
875.3
1 492.0
90.3
7 316.9
5 432.4
1 828.8
378.3
881.7
387.1
1 530.9
756.9
775.3
1 263.6
Sec 1-. age pop (000)
8 623.8
469.3
124.5
377.2
189.2
229.6
63.5
84.8
53.0
3 649.9
22.3
61.8
18.5
159.0
110.6
161.7
42.3
1.4
109.4
515.3
8.2
801.3
504.1
73.0
66.7
75.5
27.7
272.0
116.1
93.0
142.9
Rural population enrolled (000)
26 692.4
537.8
268.4
1 778.1
190.0
2 471.2
140.2
527.0
554.4
2 534.5
923.8
709.7
102.1
711.5
335.1
1 142.1
76.9
57.5
449.2
351.6
50.4
5 326.3
3 314.9
839.6
91.4
616.2
202.6
507.8
606.9
915.4
359.7
Rural population not enrolled (000)
9 721.7
289.8
162.4
188.7
204.5
253.0
128.4
270.0
31.3
2 582.5
63.6
295.6
46.6
326.9
59.4
227.2
22.2
11.4
242.0
623.4
16.1
1 073.4
718.0
457.2
198.6
95.0
69.6
674.0
22.8
169.7
198.5
Urban population enrolled (000)
4 637.9
82.7
45.0
119.2
2.1
499.9
20.6
222.6
73.0
949.0
173.6
182.0
32.5
75.4
24.7
86.6
5.1
30.1
74.7
1.7
15.6
115.9
895.4
459.0
21.6
95.0
87.2
77.1
11.0
85.5
74.2
Urban population not enrolled (000)
31 330.3
620.5
313.4
1 897.2
1 92.1
2 971.2
160.8
749.6
627.4
3 483.5
1 097.4
891.7
134.6
786.9
359.8
1 228.7
82.0
87.6
523.9
353.3
66.0
5 442.2
4 210.3
1 298.6
113.0
711.2
289.8
585.0
618.0
1 000.9
433.8
Total population not enrolled (000)
84.7
86.7
85.6
93.7
98.9
83.2
87.2
70.3
88.4
72.8
84.2
79.6
75.8
90.4
93.1
93.0
93.8
65.6
85.7
99.5
76.3
97.9
78.7
64.7
80.9
86.6
69.9
86.8
98.2
82.9
91.5
% Rural in population not enrolled
Table 11. Gross enrollment rate in lower secondary education according to geographic environment and estimation of the weight of the rural context in populations still to be enrolled at this level
2. Putting the Lag in Rural Schooling into Perspective
2. Putting the Lag in Rural Schooling into Perspective
Graph 10. Scale of urban-rural disparities according to level of enrollment (end of lower secondary)
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 36
2. Putting the Lag in Rural Schooling into Perspective
Diagram 1. Proportion of population in and out of school in urban and rural areas
Rural areas
Urban areas
The left-hand column in the diagram represents the rural
urban and rural areas in the household surveys mobilized in
(68.9% on average of the country’s total population of the
enrolled in this age group in urban and rural areas in these
population of lower secondary school age in a given country
this study, and iii) the proportion of children enrolled and not
same age group in the sample countries), while the right-
same surveys. This information is given in Table 11. We can
hand column represents the corresponding urban
then estimate the proportion of young people from rural
grey) represents the sub-population actually enrolled in
in fact not enrolled in lower secondary education.
population (31.1%). The lower part of the diagram (light
environments in the young population as a whole who are
lower secondary education in the recent period in each of
the two populations (representing on average 22.2% of the
As an aggregate value for the sample countries as a whole,
rural population and 65.6% of the urban population), while
it is estimated that there are 49.7 million young people of
the sub-population not enrolled (77.8% of the rural
million in rural areas and 9.7 million in urban areas) are
on the other hand the upper part (cross-hatch) represents
lower secondary school age, of whom 18.3 million (8.6
reference population and 34.4% of the urban population
actually enrolled, while 31.3 million children are not. 26.7
respectively in an average country in our sample).
million of the latter live in a rural environment and 4.6 in an
The number of individuals in the different populations
enrolled, in the population of lower secondary age, reaches
urban environment. The share of rural children not actually
featured in the figure above can be identified for each
the extremely high figure of 84.7%. The conclusion
country on the basis of i) the estimated total population of
whereby the challenge of expanding lower secondary
lower secondary school age in each of the countries (United
education coverage – the point where the impact of growing
Nations data), ii) the distribution of this population between
pressure on post-primary education is initially felt – is first of
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 37
2. Putting the Lag in Rural Schooling into Perspective
all an issue of educational services in rural areas could not
however from one country to another. Thus, the share of
be better illustrated (since this is indeed the population to
rural children in the population not enrolled in lower
goals).
Central African Republic, Côte d’Ivoire, Nigeria and
This situation is valid qualitatively for all the low-income
Ethiopia, Ghana, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali,
be included in order to achieve the targeted quantitative
secondary education is around 70% in countries such as Senegal, while it is over 90% in Burkina Faso, Burundi,
countries in Sub-Saharan Africa; it may vary to some extent
Uganda and Togo.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 38
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
3.1 Specificity of the Organization of Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas We have seen that, in the recent period, rural youth has far
generic and not intended to precisely represent a specific
lower access to secondary education than urban youth, on
country, illustrate the type of situation encountered.
18
average in the countries in the region. We have also
identified that most of the progress to be made in lower
The graph shows the overall amount of current resources
secondary enrollments concerns rural areas. We shall now
that need to be mobilized for each school compared to the
examine some aspects of the services offered in rural
number of enrollments. It is the average relation between
areas, and more particularly the organizational and
the two orders of magnitude that is represented on the
financial aspects. Indeed, it is obvious that, in the present
graph. Both the gradient and the intercept point are seen to
situation, there are considerable differences between urban
be positive. Connecting the origin of the axes and any point
identifying educational services in rural areas that would be
directly provides, through the gradient of this straight dotted
affordable unit costs.
of the volume of resources to the number of students. It is
and rural schools, and implicitly the issue arises of
of the estimated relation (straight dotted lines on the graph)
both effective and of suitable quality and also have
line, the unit cost (expenditure per student), that is, the ratio
then quite clear that the expenditure per student is higher
In order to explore this issue, we take the analysis to the
for a small school A than for a larger school B.
level of individual lower secondary schools, beginning with
a description of the resources actually granted to them according to the number of students enrolled and the
implicit or explicit arrangements existing in the different
countries.
Generally speaking, it is expected that, on average, schools
with a higher number of enrollments will benefit from more
resources in order to fulfill their education mission, and therefore that there will be an ascending relationship
between resources mobilized and the number of
18 We have also observed that this situation was to a great extent to do with the fact that rural children have access to primary school less frequently than urban children and that, when they do have access, they are subject to more frequent dropping out than children in towns. The consequence of these two phenomena is that a much lower proportion of rural children complete primary education compared to urban children. On this basis, the chances of transition to secondary education for those completing primary education are indeed somewhat lower in the country than in towns, but the difference is not considerable.
enrollments.19 The analyses conducted show that while this
relationship is generally more or less linear, it is also characterized by an intercept point that is positive,
demonstrating the existence of economies of scale in
19 We do not tackle the issue of the random factor in the distribution around the average relation here concerning the management of the system (and which obviously deserves to be analyzed as such); it is the average relation concerning the educational policy that we are to focus on here.
school production and a cost function implying higher unit costs in small schools. The two graphs below, which are
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 39
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
School resources
Graph 11. Amounts of resources of a lower secondary school by number of students
Source: compiled by the authors.
Number of students
Unit cost
Graph 12. Unit cost by number of students in the school
Source: compiled by the authors using Graph 11.
Number of students
This is more immediately visualized in Graph 12 (derived
a school size of over 300 students (in the hypothetical
numerical value of the unit cost according to the number of
extra cost in small schools and the reference size T
from Graph 11), which directly shows the average
example). This therefore highlights both the intensity of the
enrollments in the school. The relation is globally
(sometimes called optimum size) above which the unit cost
descending with a higher level of expenditure per student in
no longer significantly diminishes as school size increases
small schools, tending to stabilize more or less starting from
(the idea that the level of expenditure per student will only
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 40
50
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
-
fall by 10% once the size has increased from T* to 800 students).
Concerning curriculum definition first of all, the
distinction can be made between a quantitative dimension and a distributive dimension. The quantitative
Graphs 11 and 12 have of course been built by way of
dimension measures the number of teaching hours
illustration, primarily with a view to explaining the method
scheduled for the students, for example 28 hours per
used. The working hypothesis is that while the generic form
week, 32 weeks in the year. The distributive dimension
no doubt applies fairly well to the situation of each of the
measures the way in which these hours are distributed
target countries in our study, the precise form can also
across the different subjects, the number of subjects (6
significantly differ from one country to another. For
subjects for example) on the one hand, and the number
between A and B type schools (Graph 11) is 3 in certain
teaching language, 5 hours for maths, 3 hours for sci-
example, it is possible that in reality, the ratio of unit costs
of hours allocated to each subject (6 hours to the
countries but only 1.4 in others. Similarly, it is possible that
ence…) on the other.
-
the optimum size T may be estimated at 250 students in a
given country and at 400 students in another. Before
Concerning teachers (those who have a direct in-
class teaching function) secondly, it is also relevant to
tackling the empirical analyses, it may be of use to start by
distinguish a quantitative dimension and a distributive
asking oneself the following questions: i) why do structures
dimension. The quantitative dimension is linked to their
education and ii) why would they differ from one country to
supposed to complete in the course of the week (20
of the type described above exist in lower secondary
status and to the number of hours of service they are
another?
hours for example). The distributive dimension is linked
to the teachers’ degree of polyvalence/specialization;
To explain the existence of economies of scale and of
for example, teacher training may target a single sub-
higher unit costs in small schools, two aspects may be more
ject (maths for example) or rather several subjects on
particularly taken into consideration:
administrative,
It is clear that, in a given country, i) the longer the teaching
minimum non-teaching staff once a school is
of subjects to be taught, iii) the shorter the teachers’
the
first
is
the
existence
of
the curriculum (both maths and science, for example).
pedagogical or technical personnel making up the
hours scheduled for the students, ii) the higher the number
operational (bearing in mind that some of the personnel
number of hours of service, and iv) the more specialized the
may have teacher status, but it is the function that is
teachers are at subject level, the more we can expect to
important here). As the minimum team exists whether the
need firstly a large number of teachers for the school to be
related financial salary charges constitute a fixed
teachers, independent of the size of the school, in order to
being necessarily distributed over the number of
to the notion of a fixed salary cost component of education,
school has for example 80, 150 or 200 students,
20
the
operational and secondly a high minimum number of
component of the cost. The corresponding amounts
transmit the scheduled curriculum. We therefore come back which is added to the fixed cost of other non-teaching staff
enrollments in the school, it ensues that they have a
as identified earlier.
higher quantitative impact on the unit cost when the number of enrollments is lower.
On these different points, there may potentially be
second aspect concerns teaching personnel.
substantial variations from one country to another, which
statutory rules governing their profession, are there to
education from country to country and, secondly, affect,
the
Teachers, with the training they have received and the
will in the first place affect the average level of unit cost of
provide the teachings set out in the curriculum definition
adopted by the administrative division for the given cycle
20 This is not contradictory with the possibility of the structure becoming more consequent when considering larger schools.
of studies.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 41
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
possibly significantly, the level of extra costs for small (rural)
Beyond the distinct numerical value of these two statistics, the
schools compared to bigger schools that are usually in an
ratio between the two is also meaningful, since this is what
organizational aspects are not legion; some estimations on
of the extra cost of small schools. On average for the region,
urban setting. The empirical information on these
most directly influences the overall unit cost and the intensity
the time aspect are however available.21
this ratio is 1.56, demonstrating that there is, in a typical SubSaharan African country, a little over one and a half teachers
Concerning the official teaching time for students per week,
per class in lower secondary education. However, this ratio
the average regional value is estimated at 27.5 hours (see
varies considerably between countries; while it is under 1.3 in
hours or less in Central African Republic, Congo, Ethiopia,
Niger and Zambia, it reaches 1.8 or more in Benin, Burundi,
Table 12) but there is some variation; this ranges from 25
the Democratic Republic of Congo, Ghana, Mozambique,
Gambia and Sierra Leone to 30 hours per week or more in
Guinea, Lesotho, Malawi, Mauritania and Uganda.
Rwanda and Togo. The average number of hours actually
Aside from the aspects of students’ and teachers’ school
another on account of the statutory hours that vary between
each country regarding the distribution of teaching time per
actually apply them.22 Statistics show an average regional
specialization in teacher training on the other; unfortunately,
Benin, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Lesotho, Madagascar, put in by the teachers also varies from one country to
hours, it would be important to document the situation in
countries and to the difference in the countries’ capacity to
value of 18.1 hours per week,
23
subject on the one hand and the degree of subject
with the values in the
it was not possible for us to collect this information at this
different countries ranging from 15 hours or less in Gambia,
stage of the study. That is why we are now to directly
Guinea, Malawi, Mauritania, Sierra Leone and Uganda to
examine the extent of economies of scale (that result from
Congo and Niger, and even 25 hours or more in the case of
countries where the information could be mobilized and the
20 hours or over in Cameroon, Democratic Republic of
the influence of these factors) empirically, in the sample of
Ghana and Mozambique.
3.2
analysis conducted.
A Significant Structure of Economies of Scale
We were able to collect the school census files for
(but all the same we do have indications for 21 countries in
secondary education in twenty-one countries for recent
the region); it is not totally homogeneous either since non-
years, and target schools offering only lower secondary education.
24
teaching staff could not be identified in some countries
These countries are: Benin, Burkina Faso,
while in others they could. Table 12 presents the data
Burundi, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad,
collected and the results of the analyses the data gave rise
Ethiopia, Ghana, Guinea, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi,
to. It provides some interesting information.
Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Niger, Republic of the
first concerns the average lower secondary school
Congo, Rwanda, Senegal, Togo and Uganda. The
The
21 It is to be noted that the figures concerning student and teacher time are estimated data and so subject to some approximation; this does not alter the fact that there is most likely a noteworthy variability between countries on these two aspects, as noted hereafter.
23 This figure corresponds to normal operation of the system. This time, which we associate with the actual amount of time dedicated to work, is in fact overestimated since it does not take into account the fact that the school year can begin late or end early, or yet again that there may be some teacher absenteeism in the course of the ordinary operation of the services.
size in the recent period and the proportion of small
information is therefore not complete on a regional scale
22 The number of hours is known to vary within the country from one school to another under the joint influence of the random factor in teacher allocation to individual schools (when there is over-allocation in some – usually urban – schools, all teachers are not fully employed) and difficulties in making full use of teachers in small schools.
24 We have particularly not taken into account the case of the generally large urban schools that provide both lower and upper secondary education.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 42
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
schools (those in rural areas, bearing in mind that the
school supply side, since it involves the existence of
censuses). The average number of students per school in
plicated to organize due to teacher specialization in
many smaller schools; it is also potentially more com-
urban-rural distinction is rarely available in school
lower secondary education with probably negative con-
our sample is 494. But this average corresponds to much
sequences on schooling costs (we shall examine this
lower figures in Ghana (124 students) and the Republic
point later in this paper). However, it does have obvious
of the Congo (146 students), and high figures in Benin
(962), Central African Republic (1 313) and Ethiopia (1
advantages from the demand angle due to the geo-
countries on the statistic concerning the percentage of
compared in spirit to primary school and, in this
graphic proximity of the schools. This option can be
343). There is also considerable diversity between
respect, undoubtedly contributes to providing basic
schools with fewer than 250 students (indeed a
education bringing together de facto the traditional cat-
conventional reference) with very low figures in Benin
egories of primary education and lower secondary edu-
(13%) and Ethiopia (11%), while the corresponding
cation.
figures are 81% in Congo and 91% in Ghana for a regional average of 46%.
The
second piece of information provided in Table 12 is
that, as we can obviously expect, in each country the
It is likely that this diversity can partly be understood by the
number of staff (teachers and/or non-teachers) assigned
diversity of the overall geographic distribution of the
population in the different countries on the one hand and to
to a lower secondary school is related to the number of
secondary enrollments on the other; but it is likely that this
substantially from one country to another:
students enrolled there. However, this ratio varies most
the proportion of urban enrollments in overall lower
-
diversity is also to do with the different strategies adopted
Firstly, it differs in intensity. While it is obviously
by the countries in terms of “school mapping” in the broad
desirable for schools with more students to dispose of
grouping students together from a relatively extensive
same number of students to benefit from more or less
more resources, it is also desirable for schools with the
sense of the term. While some countries have opted for
comparable numbers of teachers and non-teaching
geographic area, others have clearly opted for local schools
staff; yet this is never exactly the case and it is interest-
(the reality may be somewhere between these two
ing to observe that the value of the random factor [1-R²]
strategies).
-
in personnel allocation varies considerably from coun-
The first option is obviously favorable on the
try to country.25 The average value of the random factor
supply side because this means there are few large
is estimated at 34% (a higher figure than the 27%
schools. This makes management easier to handle
noted in primary education using comparable method-
and makes it possible to better control unit costs; but
ology), but while it is under 20% in Chad, Guinea and
it is unfavorable on the demand side, as we have
Togo, it exceeds 50% (and so corresponds to a quality
seen that distance represents an obstacle to educa-
of personnel management that definitely needs to be
tion, particularly for the least privileged categories.
improved upon) in Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon,
When the scaling-up process of lower secondary
Congo and Mali.
enrollments begins, with principally urban schooling
and low rural coverage, the disadvantages of this
option are obviously limited; but these disadvan-
tages are to become more and more obvious as
progress is made towards broader coverage of the
system; this option will in fact become less and less sustainable.
-
25 The numerical value of the random factor is a measure of a country’s capacity to effectively and fairly allocate personnel to schools. A value of zero would identify “perfection”, and so a perfect quality of personnel allocation management.
The second option is more difficult a priori on the
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 43
Teachers
Chad
Teachers
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
44
Teachers
Teachers
Teachers
Teachers
Teachers
Teachers
Gambia
Ghana
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau
Lesotho
Madagascar
3.62
3.89
0.0228
0.0221
0.0268
0.0154
0.0126
0.0333
0.0128
0.0156
0.0244
0.0198
0.0173
0.0135
0.0171
0.0471
0.0277
0.0196
0.0166
0.0127
0.28
0.26
0.35
0.20
0.19
0.31
0.23
0.22
0.11
0.12
0.23
0.26
0.59
0.83
0.65
0.60
0.26
0.60
273
390
644
124
1 343
313
1 313
386
292
290
962
6
38
43
91
11
63
20
51
46
45
13.3
Schools Average %< 250 enrollments students
120/500* = ratio comprising student-staff ratios for 120-student schools and 500-student schools.
Personnel
Personnel
3.13
5.16
Personnel
Personnel
2.53
3.82
6.15
8.33
Personnel
Personnel
Personnel
Teachers
Personnel
Teachers
Personnel
Ethiopia
Eritrea
Rep. Congo
Democratic
Personnel
Teachers
3.14
Personnel
2.02
5.41
3.50
Personnel
Côte d'Ivoire
Republic
Teachers
5.20
Personnel
Central African
8.18
Teachers
Cameroon
2.65
Personnel
Teachers
Burundi
2.55
Personnel
0.80
4.75
Teachers
Burkina Faso
Teacher-student ratio Constant Coefficient Random [1-R²]
Personnel
Teachers
Type of personnel
Benin
Country
Table 12. Lower secondary schools: the extra cost of small schools
5.44
5.66
5.27
6.40
4.82
5.19
7.17
9.58
5.09
3.61
6.79
4.58
6.57
11.95
4.87
4.12
6.08
1.81
80
6.35
6.54
6.35
7.01
5.33
6.53
7.68
10.20
6.07
4.40
7.49
5.12
7.25
13.83
5.98
4.90
6.74
2.32
120
7.04
7.21
7.15
7.47
5.71
7.53
8.07
10.67
6.80
4.99
8.01
5.53
7.76
15.24
6.81
5.49
7.24
2.70
12.74
12.73
13.85
11.32
8.86
15.85
11.27 14.57
12.90
9.94
12.33
8.80
12.04
27.02
13.73
10.39
5.88
11.39
15.02
14.94
16.53
12.86
10.12
19.18
12.55 16.13
15.34
11.92
14.06
10.25
13.75
31.73
16.50
12.35
7.15
13.05
1.76
1.82
1.60
2.27
2.19
1.42
2.55 2.64
1.65
1.54
2.22
2.08
2.20
1.82
1.51
1.65
2.15
1.35
Enrollments per school 150 400 500 120/500*
32.0
30.0
25.0
28.0
25.0
18.7
24.0
25.0
28.0
28.0
28.0
25.0
28.0
35.0
30.0
32.0
Student hours
19.8
16.0
18.6
15.0
25.0
11.2
17.1
19.0
24.3
16.5
19.1
18.3
21.6
16.9
20.0
18.0
Hours per week Teacher hours
1.62
1.88
1.34
1.87
1.00
1.67
1.40
1.32
1.15
1.70
1.47
1.37
1.30
2.07
1.50
1.78
Stud.Hrs/ Teach.Hrs
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
Teachers
Rwanda
Teachers
Teachers
Teachers
Teachers
Teachers
Teachers
Sierra Leone
Tanzania
Togo
Uganda
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
45
Zambia
Overall
4.14
2.88
0.027
0.023
0.053
0.033
0.0146
0.0136
0.0237
0.0380
0.0541
0.0294
0.0383
0.0298
0.0244
0.0281
.
0.0174
0.0148
0.0354
0.25
0.34
0.34
0.35
0.24
0.18
0.17
0.22
0.39
0.43
0.49
0.27
0.28
0.50
0.51
0.32
494.0
409
493
588
526
146
451
-
439
299
200
46
39
35
28
-
81
43
38
48
47
75
6.3
4.7
14.31
9.32
2.03
1.23
5.39
5.02
7.59
4.80
3.53
2.78
2.70
6.35
4.09
4.03
5.61
Source: compiled by the authors using the secondary school statistics database for the different countries.
Personnel
Personnel
10.07
Personnel
6.68
0.86
0.14
3.49
1.98
3.26
2.45
Personnel
Personnel
Personnel
Personnel
Teachers
Personnel
Personnel
Senegal
the Congo
0.47
Teachers
Republic of
0.39
Personnel
Teachers
Niger
0.75
Personnel
Teachers
Mozambique
4.10
Personnel
Teachers
Mauritania
2.70
2.85
2.78
Personnel
Teachers
Mali
Personnel
Teachers
Malawi
2.61
7.4
5.6
16.43
10.64
1.77
6.34
6.54
9.76
5.98
5.06
3.97
3.67
7.47
4.79
4.63
7.02
3.05
8.2
6.3
18.02
11.63
2.18
7.05
7.68
11.38
6.86
6.21
4.86
4.41
8.32
5.31
5.07
8.09
6.70
14.9
12.0
31.27
19.88
5.58
12.97
17.18
24.90
14.21
15.79
12.31
10.51
15.34
9.66
8.77
16.94
8.16
17.6
14.3
36.57
23.18
6.94
15.34
20.98
30.31
17.15
19.62
15.29
12.95
18.15
11.40
10.25
20.48
1.33
1.76
1.65
1.87
1.91
1.06
1.72
1.30
1.34
1.45
1.08
1.08
1.18
1.72
1.75
1.88
1.43
27.6
25.0
27.3
30.0
26.7
23.3
28.0
30.8
25.0
26.0
30.0
30.0
28.0
28.0
18.3
19.2
12.2
18.5
16.9
14.0
18.0
19.0
18.6
21.0
28.2
15.0
17.7
15.0
1.56
1.30
2.24
1.62
1.58
1.66
1.56
1.62
1.34
1.24
1.06
2.00
1.58
1.87
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
-
This relation also differs in the numerical values of
non-teaching staff), this may only register at around 10
of enrollments. By way of illustration and on the basis
Republic of the Congo and Uganda; these differences
its coefficients, both for the constant and the coefficient
in Mali and Togo and reach over 30 in Burundi,
of the analysis of the personnel as a whole, the
are obviously considerable.
constant can be very close to zero as in Niger and Togo
-
10 in Uganda; such variations are also observed in the
sion of this study, as to the level of extra cost inherent in
interest to us here on account of the urban-rural dimen-
or be as high as 8 as in Burundi and Ethiopia and even
small (rural) schools in reference to larger (urban)
value of the coefficient of enrollments. These variations
in
coefficients
show
differences
that
can
Finally, this relation differs, and this is of particular
schools. For that, we use the relation between the per-
be
sonnel (total staff or only teachers) and the size of the
considerable in the human resources employed in a
school. Through simulation, we can estimate the staff
school of a given size depending upon the country
numbers corresponding to different school sizes. Graph
where it is established. For example, in the case of an
13 below shows the indicator provided by the average
urban lower secondary school, with 500 students, then
student-staff (teachers and total staff) ratio for all the
it is observed that while the average for the sample
countries, according to the number of school enrollments.
countries is for 18 members of staff (14 teachers and 4
Number of students per staff member
Graph 13. Student-staff ratio according to the number of school staff (average African country)
Teachers
Personnel
Number of students Source: compiled by the authors using secondary school statistics base for the different countries.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 46
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
Unit salary cost (USS)
Graph 14. Unit salary cost (US$) according to the number of students in the school (average African country)
Personnel
Teachers
Number of students Source: compiled by the authors using secondary school statistics base for the different countries.
It is clear that the student-staff ratio is more favorable when
In rural areas, for reasons of both effectiveness and
teacher (20 students per staff member) for a school with
small, schools to be able to operate and provide good
and 38 respectively for a 600-student school. These gaps
as a constraint, there are no doubt potentially different
are better supervised quantitatively in small schools, this
encountered in the different countries sheds some light
the school is smaller, with an average of 14 students per
equity, it is thus important for small, and sometimes very
only 100 students, while the corresponding figures are 29
quality educational services. Although this may be seen
necessarily have financial implications as, while students
ways of achieving it. Analysis of the situations
leads to higher unit costs of schooling. Graph 14 provides a
on this point. It is indeed possible that some countries
low-income Sub-Saharan African country.
organization of their education system as far as
measure of the unit salary cost in US dollars in an average
might have adopted better formulas than others for the
managing the issue of small schools is concerned and
This relation is of the same type anticipated in the initial
that this may be apparent in the analysis of their unit cost
analysis framework with the unit cost of schooling
function. On the basis of an estimation of the relations of
while enrollments are limited and stabilizing progressively
country we calculate the ratio of the unit cost for an
decreasing as school size increases, significantly at first
the type represented in Graphs 11 and 12, for each
when considering large schools. It is difficult to determine a
average 120-student school (a more or less average size
be economies of scale, but visually this point is situated
school (a more or less typical urban school). On average
precise enrollment size above which there would no longer
in rural areas) to that of a 500-student lower secondary
somewhere between 350 and 500 students (the relative
for the countries where this analysis was conducted as a
difference in average unit cost for these two school sizes is
whole, this ratio is 1.65 when targeting teachers alone,
preferable for all schools to enroll at least 350 students. In
teachers alike.
possible when there is a low density of population or when
The curves on both graphs above (13 and 14) correspond
only 6%). On a strictly economic level, it would of course be
and 1.76 when considering both teachers and non-
urban areas, this is quite feasible; but it is generally not
local populations comprise less than 4 500 inhabitants.
to an average situation for the countries as a whole, and
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 47
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
this average may conceal noteworthy differences from one
In each of the five countries we observe a comparable relation
country situations by comparing the average relationship
a salary unit cost that decreases depending on the school
country to another. Graph 15 illustrates these differences in
between the two orders of magnitude taken into account with
between total salary unit cost (all personnel: teachers and
size; this general pattern is observed in all countries. But there
non-teachers) and the number of enrollments in a school in
are however some very significant differences:
a selection of countries (Burundi, Congo, Ethiopia, Madagascar and Togo).
-
The actual differences in salary unit cost between
countries (around 120 dollars), but at the same time
In Burundi and Congo, the salary unit cost of a
600-student school26 is seen to be similar in the two
this is significantly higher (nearly double) than what is
countries are to do with both i) the number of personnel
observed on average in the region (64 dollars). But
(teachers/non-teachers) employed in the schools which
Burundi and Congo are also seen to differ somewhat
may vary depending on the size of the school; ii) the
level of salary (expressed in dollars or in units of GDP
when comparing salary unit cost in small schools.
ways in which schooling is organized and personnel
above the regional average for small schools. Thus, for
However, in both these countries, this is still very much
per capita). As we are targeting more particularly the
an intake capacity of 100 students, the unit cost is
utilized, we have assigned all countries the average level
estimated at 258 dollars in Burundi and 173 dollars in
of salary observed in an average African country; this
does away with the salary level dimension in the
Congo compared to a regional average of 125 dollars.
consequences
school than in a 600-student school in Congo, and
The unit cost is therefore 46% higher in a 100-student
comparison, making it possible to focus on the of
the
different
organization and management.
types
of
school
112% higher in Burundi.
Graph 15. Relationship between total salary unit cost and number of students in a selection of countries
Burundi Congo
Unit cost (USS)
Ethiopia
Madagascar Togo
Overall
Uganda
Number of students
Source: compiled by the authors using secondary school statistics base for the different countries.
Salary unit costs are in a way conceptual insofar as a reference salary that is common to all the countries has been applied to all personnel (regional average) in order to do away with the influence of variety in the levels of salary between the different countries. The said variety, although very much a reality, would have interfered with our comparisons focused on the way schooling is organized and human resources managed in schools.
26
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 48
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
-
In the case of Ethiopia, we observe unit salary
the relative extra costs between a 100-student school
costs for 600-student schools that are very much lower
and a 600-student school are similar (45 and 46%
than those observed in Burundi and Congo (57 dollars
respectively).
in Ethiopia – close to the regional average – compared
to 120 dollars in the other two countries). But if we
-
enrollment size of 100 students, then Ethiopia is far
but above all by very high salary unit costs (the highest
greater economies of scale than the regional average,
examine the estimated extra cost for a school with an
in all 21 sample countries), whatever the size of the
from the average regional structure with a very high
school; thus for a 600-student school, the (conceptual)
unit cost (197 dollars). The unit salary cost of a 100-
unit salary cost is estimated at 140 dollars in Uganda,
student school thus exceeds that of a 600-student
while it amounts to only 58 dollars in Madagascar and
school by 235%.
-
32 dollars in Togo.
Madagascar is very close to the regional average,
whereas Togo is characterized by a much lower
Beyond the differences in unit costs, which can be related
enrollment size of 600 students, the unit salary cost (32
expenditure other than salaries, low-income Sub-Saharan
for this type of school (64 dollars), while the extra cost
organized and managed at lower secondary level (student-
position on the graph. If we look at schools with an
both to differences in salary levels and to resources for
dollars) is very much below (half) the regional average
African countries also differ in the way schools are
for a 100-student school (compared to 600 students)
staff ratios, management of staff tasks). Some countries are
amounts to only 45% (46 dollars in Togo compared to
more effective than others in their capacity to run small
125 dollars for the regional average). Unit costs in
schools at reasonable costs, with the extra cost for a 120-
Congo and Togo are extremely different (the unit cost
student school compared to a 500-student school (Table
registering at almost 4 times more than in Togo), but
70%.
of lower secondary education in Republic of the Congo
3.3
Finally, Uganda is characterized by somewhat
12) varying from 8 to 150% for a regional average of around
An Illustrative Simulation
The previous analysis has shown that, beyond general
this is why we have preferred a simulation approach that
differences in unit costs of schooling in lower secondary
introduces simple variations in organization modes on the
education, the different countries do not all succeed in the
basis of a hypothetical reference structure. This makes it
same way in managing the situation of small schools. In
possible to illustrate the different possible choices for
and target the second (specific management of small rural
they have on unit costs.
order to control the influence of the first (general) dimension
managing small lower secondary schools and the impact
schools, in reference to larger urban schools), the ratio of unit cost in a school with 120 students to another with 500
We have started from the initial and hypothetical situation
these small schools.
second with 500; these two schools apply the same hours
has been taken as an indicator of the capacity to manage
of two schools, the first with 120 enrollments and the
and curricula (28 hours of teaching per week distributed
But, if the ratio of unit costs between these two types of
across the different subjects on the official curriculum in
schools differs from one country to another, it implies that
the hypothetical country on the basis of an established
there are different types of organization in the different
schedule) and use the same teachers in terms of status
countries. As we have already mentioned, we only have a
and salary (18 hours of statutory service and an average
very incomplete description of these organization modes;
annual salary of 1 000 monetary units) on the other.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 49
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
Diverse ways of organizing teacher utilization and
ii) the second consists in using the “available” hours of a
definition of subjects taught are examined without making
teacher within the limit of his/her statutory service time, in
any change to the overall number of teaching hours to
order to contribute to the general running and
students. Table A2 in the appendix details the different
organization of the school (teacher coordination,
configurations simulated; Table 13 provides a synthetic
pedagogical follow-up, contacts with the parents…). This
summary of same.
would lower the school’s needs for full-time non-teaching
The first two lines in the table characterize a hypothetical
penalizes small schools;
staff, which is a “fixed” element in the cost function that
but probable initial situation for the two schools providing a
four-year cycle of secondary education in a context where
iii) the third consists in grouping relatively close subjects27
the subjects on the curriculum can only be taught by a
such as mathematics and science, or else history and
where no overtime is paid over and above the statutory
on the basis of these groups.
geography together, and organizing teacher training plans
teacher who has been specifically trained for that and service (18 hours).
-
The first simulation introduces the possibility of
The first school has 500 students across four levels and ten
overtime for teachers and the use of “available” hours
prevailing in the country, this school benefits from 21
the number of teachers necessary from ten to eight,
for supervision and administration. This would reduce
pedagogical groups. With the organization modes
increase the student/teacher ratio from 12 to 15, the
teachers (leading to a student-teacher ratio of 23.8) and 3
teacher utilization rate from 0.62 to 0.78, and would
non-teaching staff; the teacher utilization rate is estimated
reduce the number of non-teaching personnel from two
at 74% and the unit cost at 48 monetary units;
to one. 12 hours overtime is paid (25% over regular
hours), but the unit cost falls from 100 in the initial
The second school has 120 students and four pedagogical
configuration to 81.9, representing a saving of 18%.
groups. It benefits from ten teachers (leading to a studentteacher ratio of 12.0) and two non-teaching staff; the
teacher utilization rate is estimated at 62% and the unit cost
at 100 monetary units, i.e. just over twice that of the 500student school.
The purpose of the following simulations is to examine how the small school could reduce its unit cost. Generally
speaking, the goal is to reduce the constraint of strong
inflexibility (non-divisibility) in school organization modes prevailing in the initial scenario, which particularly
penalizes small (rural) schools. Three possible strategies are proposed in this respect:
i) the first consists in authorizing overtime for teachers so as
to avoid recruiting an extra teacher when a fraction of
27 Lower secondary education is situated between primary education, where it is considered preferable to have general teachers (teaching all subjects), and upper secondary education where teachers are specialized in the subjects taught. Some degree of polyvalence and specificity can be justified between the two; monographic studies on this aspect suggest that this formula is satisfactory from the angle of student learning achievements.
weekly teaching service would suffice; in the simulations,
overtime is paid with a bonus of 25% compared to regular
hours of service;
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 50
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
51
120
4
4
4
4
10
28
28
28
28
28
Pedagogical Student groups hours / week
Source: compiled by the authors using Table A2 in Appendix 2.
overtime
grouping/polyvalence and
3. With subject
polyvalence without overtime
2. With subject grouping and
120
120
and without subject grouping
subjects
1. With overtime
500
120
overtime or grouping of
Basic situation without
Enroll -ments
112
112
112
112
280
Teaching hours / week 18
18
18
18
18
Basic service / week
Table 13. Unit cost connected to different types of organization in a 120-student lower secondary school
6
8
8
21
10
1.04
0.78
0.78
0.74
0.62
Number of % utilization teachers of teachers
10
32
44
98
68
Available
Hours
14
0
12
0
0
Overtime
20.0
15.0
15.0
23.8
12.0
STR 3
1
1
1
2
Number of non-teaching staff 48.0
66.4
75.0
81.9
100.0
1.38
1.56
1.71
2.08
Unit Ratio salary 120/500 cost
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
3. Lower Secondary Educational Services in Rural Areas: Variability across Countries and Leeway for Development
-
Simulation 2 does not take the elements of the first
at 20 (compared to 12 in the initial situation for the 120-
grouping. The consequences are quite close to those in
The overall teacher utilization rate is 1.4 and the unit
simulation into account but introduces subject
student school and to 23.8 for the 500-student school).
the previous simulation (eight teachers with a utilization
cost 66.4 (one third lower than the initial situation).
rate of 0.78 and 1 non-teaching staff member), but the unit cost, at 75 monetary units, is lower than that in
These are only illustrative simulations, but they do show the
simulation 1 (81.9).
-
potential existence of options that would lead to controlling
the cost for small schools. There may of course be other
Simulation 3 combines the elements introduced
possibilities, particularly if the number of teaching hours to
respectively in the two earlier simulations, enhancing
students and the number of hours of teacher service are
the benefits of the two formulas. The 120-student
modified simultaneously to make them equal (24 hours per
school can then operate in good conditions but with
week for example). We can arrive in this way at a number
compared to ten and two respectively in the initial
the number of pedagogical groups (i.e. four in the case
only six teachers and one non-teaching staff member
of teachers (without recourse to overtime) that is equal to
configuration. The student/teacher ratio now registers
studied for a school of 120 students).
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 52
4.
The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
In this section our analysis focuses on the effects and
better participate in organized collective life and make
performance of those who have been trained once they
(demographic growth is controlled better in more
impacts of education in rural areas. We look at the
better-informed
have left the realm of education and have embarked on
political
choices)
or
demography
educated societies). The connections between education
their social and productive adult life. At individual level,
of the population on the one side, and employment and
we endeavor to determine if what young people learnt in
economic growth on the other, are obviously of prime
school did indeed constitute a good preparation for a
importance. This impact, in both the economic and social
distinguish the social and economic effects on the one
educated individual can earn more than a less educated
favorable economic and social life. In this perspective, we
spheres, can be observed both at individual level (a more
hand from the individual and collective effects on the
individual) and at the level of society (more educated
other. Social effects concern dimensions such as
societies enjoy higher economic growth, and obtain
mortality, health, civic life (more educated individuals can
4.1
better performances in health indicators).
The Social Impacts of Education in Rural Areas 5. Impact of education on maternal health (prenatal check-
Education has effects on a large number of social areas.
This may concern practices (use of a method of
ups, anti-tetanus vaccination, childbirth with skilled
contraception or immunization of children for example) and
attendants, postnatal check-ups, vitamin A intake),
6. Impact of education on child health (vaccination, vitamin
results (number of children in the household or risk of child
mortality before the age of 5). We are in fact constrained by
A intake, risk of child mortality).
the availability of data in household surveys, but these
generally offer observations in a fairly wide range of
As far as this general presentation is concerned, two points
observed situations. The choices we have made are
are to be highlighted:
divided into six major areas, each of which may possibly be the subject of several indicators:
-
1. Impact of education on reducing the risks of poverty,
look into the impact of education without giving the
28
the first is that the above issues cannot be
addressed in a generic manner. One cannot directly
2. Impact of education on sustainable literacy in adulthood,
research a marginalist perspective. It is possible to
3. Impact of education on childrenâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;s schooling, particularly
examine the degree of improvement in a given
4. Impact of education on population variables (age on
education, lower secondary education or when they
indicator when individuals have completed primary
girls,
have completed upper secondary and tertiary
giving birth to first child, use of a method of contraception,
spacing births and number of children),
education;
We have referred more particularly to the areas defined in the Millennium Development Goals. 28
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 53
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
-
the second point is the differentiation between
We shall examine the results obtained in the different
rural and urban environments. This study is mainly
dimensions in turn before proposing a synthesis.
based on the rural dimension and draws on
comparisons with urban areas. The analysis of social
4.1.1 Impacts on the Risk of Poverty
is a useful vector in the perspective of transforming
The risk for a household to be in a situation of poverty
impacts starts implicitly from the idea that education
ways of life and thinking. The aim is to reduce
(interpreted here as belonging to society’s 40% poorest
handicap for achieving defined social objectives and
than in an urban environment.32 In each of the two
group)31 is globally very much greater in a rural environment
traditional conceptions and practices that are a
environments, the risk of poverty depends on the level of
to promote the adoption of more modern conceptions
education of the head of the household, as illustrated by
and practices. The hypothesis whereby the urban
environment is a factor of modernity compared to the
Graph 16 below. But it is above all in rural areas, which are
cannot be verified without
the most manifest. Thus, in rural areas, individuals with no
the most affected by poverty, that the impact of education is
rural environment, where traditions are stronger and more difficult to change,
29
a rigorous identification of the respective impacts of
education run a 66% risk of poverty. The risk falls to 44% if the
education in these two living environments. This
head of the household has benefited from primary education,
identification would make it possible to examine to
29% with lower secondary education, 18% with upper
what extent education can actually make an impact in
secondary education and 12% with tertiary education.
the rural context, a priori less permeable to
One can thus conclude that, globally, education, such as it
modernity, and to compare this impact with that
registered in the urban context.
is generally organized in Sub-Saharan African countries
(even if the specific relevance and quality of education
should no doubt be improved upon), has a major impact
Considering these two points, Table 14 sets out the
on the risks for individuals to find themselves in a
aggregate results for the 21 countries30 for which household
situation of poverty in adulthood in rural areas.
survey data has been mobilized.
% risk of being in 40% poorest
Graph 16. Risk of being among the 40% poorest adults depending on level of education
Rural
Urban
None
Primary
Sec1
Sec2
Level of education
Tertiary
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1. 29 The urban environment does indeed facilitate modernity, through the circulation of information and the intermingling of its inhabitants, but also through the generally much more abundant availability of the instruments of modernity (medical services, bookshops, etc. within easy reach).
31 The first two quintiles have been grouped together as there is little difference in the level of wealth between the first and second quintile.
30 These countries are Benin, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Chad, Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, Ghana,
Guinea, Kenya, Lesotho, Malawi, Mali, Mozambique, Niger, Nigeria, Republic of the Congo, Rwanda, Senegal, Uganda, Zambia and Zimbabwe
32
Urban poverty, more visible, also exists.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 54
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
55 16.7
66.1
Poverty (%)
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
166.8
36.3
12.8
Mortality before the age of 5 (‰)
Complete vaccination (%)
Vitamin A intake (%)
Child health and infant mortality
14.2
Vitamin A intake after childbirth (%)
Postnatal check-up (%)
25.2
57.6
65.6
Medically-assisted childbirth (%)
Anti-tetanus vaccination (%)
Prenatal check-up (%)
Maternal health
Number of children
3.57
2.68
Birth spacing (years)
Use of contraception (%)
17.9
10.4
0.884
69.6
63.5
None 3.0
Age on giving birth to first child (years)
Population
Boy/girl parity
Boys (%)
Girls (%)
Access to school
Literacy (%)
Social area
Table 14. Social impact of education in rural and urban environments
43.8
117.9
48.5
22.6
25.8
23.7
49.2
75.0
84.0
3.11
2.91
18.6
20.2
28.8
85.4
53.3
27.6
31.1
27.2
64.7
78.7
89.0
2.47
3.21
19.7
27.1
0.972
95.1
92.8
17.5
59.7
56.7 31.6
36.4
31.5
76.0
80.8
91.4
1.77
3.52
20.9
32.9
0.974
95.6
93.5
Rural environments Secondary 1 Secondary 2 98.3 99.5
0.965
92.6
89.9
Primary 64.9
11.5
48.5
58.9 34.4
40.9
35.2
81.8
82.0
92.3
1.16
3.80
22.1
36.8
0.974
95.8
93.7
Tertiary 99.6
13.9
141.1
43.2 23.0
28.3
24.7
61.1
70.1
80.7
2.82
2.77
17.8
16.4
0.948
86.4
81.7
None 10.8
4.3
94.4
52.8 30.6
35.1
27.5
79.4
80.0
90.4
2.30
3.01
18.6
27.0
0.993
97.9
97.2
1.8
70.1
56.4 34.4
37.4
28.1
86.3
81.1
92.5
1.79
3.16
19.8 31.8
0.997
99.4
99.1
0.8
52.9
58.3 37.4
38.3
28.9
90.1
81.1
93.2
1.27
3.28
21.0 34.7
0.998
99.8
99.6
Urban environments Primary Secondary 1 Secondary 2 70.9 98.8 99.6
0.4
42.4
58.9 39.4
38.7
29.6
91.8
81.1
93.2
0.81
3.37
22.3 36.1
0.999
99.9
99.8
Tertiary 99.7
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
In an urban environment, the risks of poverty are much less
On average for all countries in our sample, the proportion of
14%, which is below that of the head of a household with
increases sharply with the length of primary schooling; but
intense overall. Individuals with no education are at a risk of
adults aged between 22 and 44 who can read easily
upper secondary education in a rural environment. With
on account of the average quality of educational services
primary education, and beyond, the risk of poverty is
(15 or 20 years ago), around 9 years of study are in fact
relatively low in urban areas (below 5%).
needed to ensure universal sustainable literacy in the adult population. Once again, urban areas have a (relatively
4.1.2 Impact in Terms of Literacy
limited) advantage over rural remembering how to read.
Reading, writing and counting skills are known to constitute
areas in terms of
a minimum reference for individuals in adulthood. To a large
The relation represented in Graph 17 corresponds to the
the educational services generally has a major effect upon
in fact noteworthy differences from country to country. Thus,
extent, these skills are acquired in school and the quality of
average situation of the different countries, while there are
what adults remember 10 or 20 years after leaving school.
for an average value of 65% literacy retention after six
The table shows that after six years of schooling, 65% of 22
years of study for rural adults, figures of around 45% are to
to 44 year olds in rural areas can read without difficulty; the
be found in Mali and Niger, 55% in Chad, 85% in Ethiopia
figure reaches 70 % in urban areas. It is probable that the
and 95% in Rwanda. These differences are mainly linked to
difference is to do with the fact that individuals in urban
the quality of education in the different countries.
areas have more opportunity to see written material than
those living in rural areas where there are fewer
4.1.3 Access
to
School:
However, it is also necessary to consider the length of initial
The chances of children attending school certainly depend
obtained.
reasonably close to the family home), but they also depend
Intergenerational Effects
opportunities to keep up these skills.
studies in more detail. Graph 17 shows the relationship
Impacts
and
upon where the school is located (it is preferable for it to be
Graph 17. Likelihood of being literate in adulthood (22-44 years old) depending on the duration of initial studies
% of literacy
Rural
Urban
Number of years of study
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 5
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
% access to school
Graph 18. Likelihood of being literate in adulthood (22-44 years old) depending on the duration of initial studies
Rural boys
Urban boys Rural girls
Urban girls None
Primary
Sec1
Sec2
Tertiary
Mother’s level of education
Source : compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
upon parents’ decisions in terms of the inherent benefits
attended school bears her first child a little before the age
not correspond to the ancestral social tradition, the chances
secondary education, this will be three years later on
and costs of schooling. Insofar as the “modern” school does
of 18, whereas if she has completed both cycles of
of children going to school are generally less favorable in
average (at the age of 21).
rural areas than in urban areas, and if the mother has
herself attended school, this constitutes a contributory
There is little difference between urban and rural women in
Traditions that favor boys, and the often more intense use
environments, there is a significant tendency for more
being discriminated against compared to boys in access to
successive pregnancies. Thus, while women who have not
when their mothers have been educated. Graph 18
pregnancies on average, those who have completed
factor for children, particularly girls, to do so as well.
terms of birth spacing; but in each of these two
of girl labor in the family economy, can lead to young girls
educated women to leave a longer interval between their
school. Girls’ chances of attending school rise considerably
attended school leave 2 years and 9 months between two
presents the results obtained.
primary education leave 3 years, and this figure rises to 3 years and 5 months for a complete secondary education.
4.1.4 Impacts in Urban and Rural Areas
There are significant differences between urban and rural
Four indicators have been taken into account: i) age on first
areas in the use of a method of contraception; this may in
pregnancy (the higher the age, the fewer the children); ii)
part be due to more traditional behavior in rural areas, but
use of a method of contraception (aimed at reducing the
also to the fact that there have been fewer information
number of children); iii) birth spacing (leading to better
campaigns in these areas and that family planning services
maternal and child health and to a lower number of
are scarcer. That said, the difference is not considerable,
children) iv) the fourth indicator is the number of children a
especially when considering women with the same level of
woman has by the average age of 29.
education, as illustrated by Graph 19. In the countries in our
sample, the average rate of use of a method of
Longer studies mean women will have their first child later,
contraception by women who have completed primary
with no significant difference in this respect between urban
education is estimated at 20% in rural areas and at 27% in
and rural areas. On average, a woman who has never
urban areas (but it is possible that urban women do not use
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 57
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
% of use of a method of contraception
Graph 19. Use of a method of contraception depending on mother’s level of education
Rural
Urban
None
Primary
Sec1
Sec2
Level of education
Tertiary
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
the same methods, since they may possibly have access to
secondary, as well as tertiary education, engender a
more modern and more effective methods).
specific marginal impact of around 0.5 children each. This
figure is very substantial and demonstrates a major effect of
In both environments, the women’s level of education
education on this dimension.
of contraception.33 The marginal impact appears to be
Rural areas seem a little more traditional than urban areas
primary education and those who have not attended school,
For example, women who have completed primary
exerts significant impact on their chances of using a method
particularly high between women who have followed
when comparing women with the same level of education.
while the positive impact also grows with secondary
education have around 0.8 children more in rural areas than
education but at a decreasing rate. When we consider
in urban areas.35
higher levels of education, the difference between urban
and rural areas further diminishes. We also observe that
4.1.5 Impacts on Maternal Health Factors
(both rural and urban) use no method of birth control.
Five indicators are considered in this dimension: i) prenatal
Concerning the number of children, the indicator is not the
skilled attendance at childbirth; iv) postnatal check-up; v)
even after tertiary education, around two-thirds of women
check-up; ii) antitetanus vaccination before childbirth; iii) vitamin A intake after giving birth.
final line of descent (not immediately accessible in
household surveys on account of the number of women
surveyed), but that of the average number of children for
women of around 29 years of age on average.34 Graph 20 illustrates the results obtained, and the corresponding figures are to be found in Table 14.
33 Even if the method used is not modern or very effective, it does clearly show that there is an awareness of this issue.
A sharp downward trend is clearly identified in the number
of children in connection with the woman’s level of
34
This indicator is therefore normally significantly lower than that of final descent.
The overall average differences in the number of children in rural and urban areas are greater due to the fact that urban women are more educated on average than those in rural areas.
education, both in urban and rural areas. The relationship is
35
more or less linear, and primary, lower and upper
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 58
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
Number of children
Graph 20. Average number of children for a 29 year-old woman depending on her level of education
Rural
Urban
None
Primary
Sec1
Sec2
Mother’s level of education
Tertiary
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
Prenatal check-ups are relatively frequent in the
frequent for women not to have medical follow-up
through pregnancy without a prenatal visit to a
21 illustrates the relation between the probability of a
during pregnancy in the country than in towns. 36 Graph
countries studied; only a minority of women go
medical check-up during pregnancy and the mother’s
specialist or supervision by specialized staff. This is
level of education.
the case for urban and rural areas, but it is more
% prenatal check-ups
Graph 21. Prenatal check-ups depending on mother’s level of education (as %)
Rural
Urban
None
Primary
Sec1
Sec2
Level of education
Tertiary
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
Probably for reasons of demand or of interest, in view of traditional practices, as well as supply and access to specialized services which are sometimes very far from the family home.
36
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 59
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
The pattern is identical in both types of environment.
Skilled attendance at childbirth constitutes an important
lesser tendency to have a check-up during pregnancy (66
effective if the woman requests it and if it is available locally.
proportion of check-ups during pregnancy increases very
indeed suggest the articulation of the supply and demand
education (by 10 points in urban areas and 18 points in
proportion of attendance at childbirth and the woman’s level
Women who have not attended school have a much
element of maternal health. This assistance can only be
and 81% respectively in rural and urban areas). The
The results obtained upon analysis of this dimension
substantially when women have completed primary
aspects. Graph 22 shows the relationship between the
rural areas). There is less difference when considering
of education.
higher levels of education; it is only in rural areas that
lower secondary education makes a significant additional
In the first place, the positive impact of women’s education
all, the impact of education on this aspect of maternal
Education does contribute to modifying women’s attitudes
change, although this is relatively modest (5 points). In
resulting in a demand for these services is clearly identified.
health is considerably higher in rural areas than in towns,
in what is a very important act for them. Part of this impact
bearing in mind that it is clearly primary education that
is obtained with a full cycle of primary education (+24 points
plays the central role.
in rural areas, +18 points in urban areas), but significant additional impacts, although of decreasing intensity, are
Concerning antitetanus vaccinations before giving birth, the
registered with each of the two secondary education cycles;
structure is very similar to that described for prenatal check-
with little marginal impact found for tertiary education.
ups (no doubt because women are given the antitetanus
However, large differences are also identified between
vaccination during these check-ups). However, almost 20%
urban and rural areas when comparing women of the same level of education;37 thus, there is a difference of 36 points
of well-educated women in both urban and rural areas have
for women who have never attended school and of 30
not received this vaccination.
% of assisted deliveries
Graph 22. Skilled attendance at childbirth depending on mother’s level of education (as %)
Rural
Urban
None
Primary
Sec1
Sec2
Level of education
Tertiary
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
They are once again globally more acute between the two types of environment, since women are less educated in rural areas.
37
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 60
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
points for those who have completed primary education.
observed in the full vaccinal coverage actually carried out in
These differences no doubt reflect both the effects of the
the different countries.
services actually supplied, as well as demand, since
education alone cannot change the traditional mentalities
As a result, the impact of the mother’s education may
prevailing in the rural context.
possibly be expressed only marginally around the average
vaccinal coverage registered in each individual country.
Postnatal check-ups and vitamin A intake after childbirth are
Table 14 and Graph 23 indicate that the mother’s education
characterized by significantly lower percentages than the
has a significant impact on the chances of her children
previous three aspects of maternal health. Postnatal care is
receiving full vaccination at the age of 2 (with, however, a
has an impact, particularly primary education, in influencing
indicate a significant difference in the performance of the
rural areas. Generally speaking, the urban-rural differences
vaccination coverage is around seven points lower in the
clear structure of decreasing marginal impact).38 They also
not as popular as prenatal care. The mother’s education
systems in place in urban and rural areas. Overall,
women’s behavior as to better postnatal care, especially in
rural areas than in towns.
are not very considerable, with the exception of the case of
women who have not attended school; they tend to
Finally, the indicator of the risk of child mortality before the
perpetuate traditional behavior in rural areas, while they
age of 5 is obviously of particular importance.
seem to be “carried along” by the more favorable context and better health service provision in urban areas.
It can be observed that, in both rural and urban areas (even
4.1.6 Impact in terms of Child Health
slightly more so in rural areas), the mother’s level of education has a powerful effect on reducing the risk of child
mortality before the age of 5. Figures do in fact fall from
Three indicators are taken into account here for this
around 150 for 1 000 when the mother has never attended
dimension: i) vitamin A intake, ii) complete vaccination at
school to around 100 for 1 000 when she has completed
the age of two and iii) risk of mortality before the age of 5.
primary education, to around 80 for 1 000 for complete lower secondary education, 65 for 1 000 for complete
On average for the countries analyzed as a whole, hardly
secondary education (lower and upper) and 50 for 1 000
one child out of two benefits from vitamin A intake in early
when the mother has attended tertiary education. The
childhood; the value is around 43% in rural areas and 53%
difference is relatively modest between urban and rural
in urban areas. The impact relating to the mother’s
areas.
education is obtained with primary education completion.
12 and 10 points are gained respectively in rural and urban
areas when the mother has completed a full course of
4.1.7 Towards a Synthesis
primary education, the marginal effects are of lower
The first point to be highlighted is the existence of
primary education compared to no schooling at all. Beyond intensity.
considerable differences between countries on most of
Concerning the proportion of full vaccination before the age
have merely given the average structures.
the aspects that have been analyzed and for which we
This concerns first of all average values. For example, at
of 2, the overall average coverage for the different sample
the time of the surveys, vaccination coverage in Côte
countries is under 30%, which can be considered as
d’Ivoire, Rwanda and Zimbabwe was over 50% whereas it
insufficient. It is likely that mothers do not benefit from the
was under 20% in Mali, Uganda and Zambia.
same level of information or have the same motivation to ensure that their children are vaccinated, but it is equally
38 The specific impact of primary education stands at ten points in rural areas and eight points in urban areas, whereas the additional effect associated with the lower secondary cycle only reaches five and four points respectively.
probable that supply is patchy; a strong indicator supporting the relevance of this statement is the pronounced variability
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 61
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
% vaccination
Graph 23. Complete vaccination before the age of two depending on the mother’s level of education (as %)
Rural
Urban
None
Primary
Sec1
Sec2
Level of education
Tertiary
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
Risk of mortality (%)
Graph 24. Risk of mortality for children before the age of 5 depending on the mother’s level of education
Rural
Urban
None
Primary
Sec1
Sec2
Level of education
Tertiary
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
In terms of the measure of the impact of education, some
of “modern” social behavior. In all the dimensions studied, the
countries such as Benin, Kenya and Mozambique have an
impact of education has proved to be both significant and
education system that has a strong influence on social
powerful. That said, in this framework, it is important to
behavior, while in other countries, such as Senegal and
measure empirically what are the respective impacts of the
Zimbabwe, the education system has a lesser influence on
different levels of studies in the different social dimensions
behavior.
analyzed. In this respect, Table 15 offers an estimation of the specific impacts (differential/marginal) of the different levels of
The second point that it is appropriate to recall is that
education for each of the indicators taken separately, and
education proves to be a powerful instrument for the adoption
consolidated for each of the six dimensions studied.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 62
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
63 40.8
Poverty
Overall score (6 dimensions)
Source: compiled by the authors using the previous results.
% impact for expenditure of 1 GDP per capita
Unit cost of the cycle (GDP/capita) 64.4
0.81
52.4
45.3
41.3
Full vaccination
Mortality before the age of 5
45.3
54.0
Child health
Vitamin A intake
37.8
45.0
42.5
71.0
Vitamin A intake after childbirth
Postnatal check-up
Medically-assisted childbirth
Antitetanus vaccination
68.8
53.0
Maternal health
Prenatal check-up
18.9
Number of children
37.2
21.2
9.5
18.8
1.27
23.8
27.5
27.5
23.5
24.9
21.3
21.8
17.0
27.3
15.2
18.9
20.1
26.6
26.3
26.1
26.0
87.9
9.8
9.7
Birth spacing
Use of contraception
34.6
87.7
87.4
64.1
1.2
8.1
1.76
14.3
20.7
21.7
18.3
19.0
15.2
21.7
20.4
20.0
8.7
8.8
15.9
29.3
27.8
21.7
28.8
2.0
2.0
2.1
Rural environments Primary Sec 1 Sec 2
17.3
None
Age on giving birth to first child
Boys
Girls
Access to school
Literacy
Social area
Table 15. Specific impact of the different levels of study on social dimensions
9.4
0.8
11.13
11.0
9.5
13.0
9.6
10.8
18.7
17.5
10.2
5.1
3.5
11.0
25.1
24.7
15.0
27.8
0.6
0.6
0.7
0.1
Tertiary
None
102.1
0.63
63.9
71.5
39.5
46.0
54.5 61.2
66.0
56.4
59.7
90.1
77.6
69.9
25.9
39.9
53.6
17.9
85.5
85.7
85.9
67.6
21.7
0.95
20.7
18.6
20.5
23.6
21.4 22.8
22.1
12.9
22.5
9.9
16.9
16.9
25.3
25.1
24.4
26.5
11.0
10.6
10.3
31.4
5.2
1.76
9.1
7.3
14.6
18.4
13.2 12.4
8.5
16.2
12.4
0.0
5.5
8.5
25.8
19.6
14.8
28.7
2.7
2.7
2.7
0.9
Urban environments Primary Sec 1 Sec 2
5.5
0.5
11.13
2.6
8.8
12.0
6.8 3.6
3.5
14.5
5.5
0.0
0.0
4.7
23.0
15.5
7.3
27.0
0.9
1.0
1.0
0.1
Tertiary
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
Graph 25. Specific impacts of different education levels on overall social dimension
Rural
Impacts (%)
Urban
Cumulative rural
Cumulative urban
None Source: compiled by the authors using Table 15.
Primary
Sec1
Sec2
Level of education
If we first look at the six social dimensions studied as a
Tertiary
expenditure. The indicator for primary education is seen
whole (last 3 lines in Table 15 and Graph 25), we clearly
to be around three times greater than for lower secondary
see that primary education has the highest impact with 52%
education.
impact of lower secondary education is much lower than
This overall structure does however differ somewhat in the
urban areas). Upper secondary has an even lower
primary education is especially important for literacy,
areas). The specific contribution of tertiary education is
education, and more particularly lower secondary, does add
in rural areas and 64% in urban areas. The additional that of primary education (24% in rural areas and 21% in
six social dimensions studied. In rural areas, the impact of
additional impact (14% in rural areas and 9% in urban
access to education and maternal health. Secondary
extremely low.
something to the contribution of primary schooling, but the
The predominance of primary education in producing
for child health, while primary education maintains the
strengthens the impact of primary education) is confirmed
substantial additional contribution. As far as the dimension
latter plays the leading role. As for the risk of poverty and
social impacts (while lower secondary education
highest impact, secondary education does make a very
when looking at the specific impacts of the different levels
of population is concerned, continuity is to a great extent
of education and the public expenditure involved in
the prevailing factor in both geographic environments, with
implementing them (penultimate line in the table). We can
each level of education playing a role in significantly
then calculate an indicator measuring the relative impact
improving the different selected indicators, through to
obtained for one unit of GDP per capita of unit
tertiary education.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 64
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
4.2
Rural Areas and the Economic Dimension: the Economic Impacts of Education
Three aspects are addressed here: i) the contextual
the working population, its distribution across the different
the past twenty years and its distribution across the
different sectors. Table 16 provides the initial quantitative
apparent labor productivity in a temporal perspective and its
sector of activity.
intersectoral mobility; iii) the analysis of the economic return
The figures indicate that on the overall sample the working
analysis of the working population, how it has evolved over
sectors of activity and average labor productivity in these
different sectors of economic activity; ii) the estimation of
information on the working population and its distribution by
consequences in terms of the working populationâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;s on educational investments in the rural world.
population has increased from 131 million individuals in
1985 to 211 million individuals in 2003. This increase
4.2.1 A Macro and Temporal Perspective of the
corresponds to a multiplication by 1.61, demonstrating an
Working Population
average growth rate of 2.65% per annum between the two
dates. However, during this period, developments as to the
The economic impacts of education in a country are
number of people per economic sector of activity are very
necessarily part of the overall national context concerning
contrasted.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 65
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
66
180.2
3 193
2 298
2 476
551
681
2 837
Mauritania
Niger
Rwanda
Rep. Congo
Nigeria
Malawi
2 463
762
27 804
3 100
3 177
4 372
Mali
Madagascar
7 615
Lesotho
Kenya
351
301
Guinea Bissau
Gambia
5 494
Guinea
Ghana
19 735
1 142
184
3 516
141
1 974
1 152
96
3 539
3 775
1 448
43 817
5 180
5 515
1 060
4 903
7 534
647
13 987
569
583
4 072
8 880
28 894
1 506
287
6 285
228
3 250
1 727
148
5 843
153.3
190.1
157.6
182.6
177.9
155.6
154.4
172.3
117.4
183.7
162.0
193.5
164.5
161.6
146.4
131.9
156.3
178.8
162.0
164.7
150.0
154.6
165.1
138.9
160.2
163.0
2 878
5 061
6 247
1 597
3 159
3 832
Index 2003
Overall Numbers (000) 1985 2003
Ethiopia
Eritrea
Djibouti
Côte d’Ivoire
Comoros
Chad
CAR
Cape Verde
Cameroon
Burundi
Burkina
Benin
Angola
Sector Indicator Years
2 268
303
17 641
2 355
2 653
410
2 559
3 270
406
5 980
255
188
1 650
3 360
17 100
900
44
1 936
99
1 493
668
55
2 040
2 092
2 626
1 011
2 500
2 729
114
12 003
3 842
4 042
401
2 406
4 048
367
9 448
303
117
2 022
2 470
21 986
1 042
31
1 953
102
1 984
700
15
1 886
2 814
3 601
1 105
2 820
Numbers (000) 1985 2003
120.4
37.7
68.0
163.1
152.3
97.7
94.0
123.8
90.6
158.0
118.8
62.0
122.6
73.5
128.6
115.8
70.1
100.9
102.8
132.9
104.8
27.7
92.4
134.5
137.1
109.3
112.8
92.1
39.7
63.4
83.0
85.6
60.2
80.6
74.8
73.5
78.5
72.8
62.5
66.6
61.2
86.6
78.8
24.0
55.1
70.5
75.6
58.0
57.6
57.6
91.0
83.1
63.3
65.2
72.3
7.9
27.4
74.2
73.3
37.8
49.1
53.7
56.7
67.5
53.3
20.0
49.7
27.8
76.1
69.2
10.7
31.1
44.7
61,0
40.5
10.3
32.3
88.1
71.2
38.4
45.1
Agriculture Index % Working Pop. 2003 1985 2003
56
18
714
26
93
6,5
26
83
18
202
8,3
2,8
46
130
35
32
1,5
90
1,6
48
30
7,1
151
87
103
41
170
59
18
694
27
96
7,2
27
94
18
202
8,0
3,4
46
131
41
32
1,7
87
1,6
48
27
6,8
147
77
101
40
170
Numbers (000) 1985 2003
Table 16. Evolution of the working population in a broad sample of low-income countries in Sub-Saharan Africa between 1985 and 2003
106.1
102.2
97.2
105.1
102.6
110.5
102.6
114.0
100.4
100.1
95.8
121.6
99.0
101.3
117.1
101.5
112.1
96.7
100.3
100.2
90.1
95.4
97.2
88.6
97.5
96.8
100.1
2.3
2.3
2.6
0.9
3.0
1.0
0.8
1.9
3.3
2.6
2.4
0.9
1.9
2.4
0.2
2.8
0.8
2.6
1.1
2.4
2.6
7.4
4.3
3.8
3.3
2.6
4.4
1.6
1.2
1.6
0.5
1.7
0.7
0.6
1.2
2.8
1.4
1.4
0.6
1.1
1.5
0.1
2.2
0.6
1.4
0.7
1.5
1.6
4.6
2.5
2.4
2.0
1.4
2.7
Industry Index % Working Pop. 2003 1985 2003
139
441
9 448
456
353
264
591
1 019
128
1 434
87
110
780
2 005
2 600
210
138
1 490
40
433
454
34
1 348
119
429
545
1 162
987
1 316
31 120
1 311
1 378
651
2 471
3 392
262
4 337
257
463
2 004
6 279
6 867
432
254
4 245
124
1 219
1 000
126
3 811
302
1 359
1 734
3 257
Numbers (000) 1985 2003
707.8
298.0
329.4
287.6
390.1
246.6
417.8
332.8
204.8
302.5
295.0
419.8
257.0
313.2
264.1
205.5
184.3
285.0
311.7
281.2
220.3
376.3
282.6
253.6
316.6
318.0
280.2
5.7
58.0
34.0
16.1
11.4
38.8
18.6
23.3
23.2
18.8
24.9
36.6
31.5
36.5
13.2
18.4
75.2
42.4
28.4
22.0
39.4
35.0
38.1
5.2
13.6
34.1
30.3
26.1
90.9
71.0
25.3
25.0
61.5
50.4
45.0
40.5
31.0
45.2
79.4
49.2
70.7
23.8
28.6
88.7
67.5
54.6
37.5
57.9
85.1
65.2
9.5
26.9
60.2
52.1
Services Index % Working Pop. 2003 1985 2003
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
3 103
131 360 211 438
5 461
4 579
17 70
2 172
315
43
9 462
4 181
161.0
176.0
168.0
174.2
181.8
163.8
139.4
133.7
165.3
2 391
2 040
11 132
833
197
5,7
3 671
1 458
94 937 106 079
2 089
1 434
8 039
781
132
17
5 187
1 395
Source: World Bank Indicators and International Labour Organization (ILO).
Overall
2 726
Zimbabwe
Zambia
10 162
1 195
192
31
7 075
2 529
Tanzania
Togo
Swaziland
Sao Tomé & P.
Sudan
Senegal
111.7
114.5
142.3
138.5
106.6
149.2
32.4
70.8
104.5
72.3
67.3
52.6
79.1
65.4
68.7
56.4
73.3
55.2
50.2
43.8
44.6
62.9
38.4
62.5
13.1
38.8
34.9
2 960
139
90
230
55
3,2
0,5
83
134
2 997
146
95
236
53
3,5
0,5
95
157
101.2
105.3
105.9
102.5
96.9
108.5
100.6
116.8
114.9
2.3
4.5
3.3
2.3
4.6
1.7
1.5
1.9
3.3
1.4
2.7
2.1
1.3
2.4
1.1
1.1
1.7
2.3
2 924
2 444
6 338
1 286
114
37
5 634
2 628
33 462 102 362
875
1 202
1 892
359
57
13
1 754
1 052
305.9
334.1
203.3
334.9
358.6
200.8
284.1
321.3
249.9
25.5
28.2
44.1
18.6
30.0
29.7
42.1
24.8 41.6
48.4
53.5
53.4
35.8
59.2
36.3
85.8
59.5 62.9
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
67
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
The agricultural sector employed the largest number of
These can be considered as average developments for the
that, while numbers are certainly on the increase (from 94.9
but at different degrees, for most of the countries
relatively modest evolution (+11 million out of the increase
working population over the period, the figures are
+17% in relative terms compared to the 1985 figure, while
observed in countries of a comparable level of development
period), which means that the share of agricultural
around 3.5% per annum in countries such as Kenya,
workers both in 1985 and in 2003. But it can also be seen
sample of countries analyzed; they are also valid globally,
million individuals in 1985 to 106.1 million in 2003), this is a
considered. Concerning the progression in volume of the
of 80 million in the overall working population, or rather
generally high (particularly if we compare them with those
the working population has increased by 61% over this
in Asia or in Latin America) with average growth rates of
employment in total employment falls from 72.3% in 1985
Gambia, Malawi, Republic of the Congo and Togo. But the
1.2 percentage points.
Burundi, Lesotho and Sudan, with growth rates in the
The industrial sector corresponds on average to a very
over the period studied.
to only 50.2% in 2003, i.e. an average annual decrease of
progression was much less dynamic in countries like
working population of around, or under, 1.5% per annum
small proportion of the working population in the countries
considered. In 1985, this sector only employed 2.3% of the
The structure of the working population in the different
aggregate terms on the sample countries as a whole, there
example, the share of agricultural employment in
overall working population. Between 1985 and 2003, and in
countries shows significant differences. In 2003, for
was practically no development in the numbers employed in
the working population (with an average value for this
this sector, the number observed in 2003 (a little under 3
sector of 50.2%) can vary from figures of around 30%
million) being virtually identical to that observed in 1985. As
(or less) in countries such as Cameroon, Côte
a result – and in view of the substantial increase in the
d’Ivoire, Gambia, Ghana, Nigeria and Republic of the
employment falls and only accounts for 1.4% of
Burkina Faso, Burundi, Ethiopia, Malawi, Niger and
working population over this period – the share of industrial
Congo, to figures of over 70% in countries such as
employment over the recent period.
Rwanda. But there is a downward trend in the
proportion of agricultural employment (22 points down
The most dynamic development concerns the working
during the 18 years from 1985 to 2003, i.e. 1.2 points
population employed in the service sector. Indeed, while
per annum on average) in all countries; this has
1985, which represented 25.5% of the total working
countries listed above (9 points down on average over
there were 33.5 million individuals in this sector of activity in
certainly been less pronounced in the second group of
population at the time, there were 102.4 million in 2003; the
the period) than in the first (32 points down on
service sector thus accounted for 48.4% of total
average over the period).
employment at that date (i.e. very similar to agricultural
The share of industrial employment is very limited in all
employment). This is all the more remarkable in that, on an overall expansion of the working population of 80 million
the countries making up the sample. Thus, in 2003, there
sector (86% of “new jobs”). While remarkable from the
industrial employment was over 2.5% (Angola, Cameroon,
over the period, 69 million are accounted for by the service
were only a few countries where the estimated proportion of
quantitative angle, this development is no doubt also a little
Cape Verde, Lesotho, Zimbabwe) whereas this proportion
expansion. It can indeed be asked to what extent this sector
the sample, this statistic dropped between the years 1985
growing general difficulties on the labor markets of the
the industrial sector in 1985 in eleven countries, the figure
worrying in terms of the productive dimension of this
was only around 1% for many countries. In all countries in
ensures a production or redistribution function concealing
and 2003; while over 3% of the working population was in
countries studied; we shall come back to this aspect later.
had dropped to 1% in 2003.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 68
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
The relative weakness of industrial employment implies that
connection between the International Labour Organization-
there is a very strong negative relation between the
type macroeconomic statistics presented above and those
proportion of agricultural employment and that of
resulting from household surveys. Some people may thus
employment in the service sector, those countries with a
be characterized as not working or part of the working
population working in the service sector, and vice versa.
the mixed bag of services in the macro grouping. In
high agricultural population having a low proportion of the
population but unemployed in a household survey, and in
addition, this category corresponds to an infinite variety of
It is interesting to go a little further than the global statistics
jobs, since it includes just as well a tailor craftsman
distinction between modern employment and informal
reasonable income as a young woman hairdressing in the
and introduce two complementary dimensions, namely the
employing several people and enjoying a regular and
employment on the one hand, and urban and rural
street with a customer every two days, or her brother selling
environments on the other. In the grouping per sector, the
individual cigarettes on a half-time basis.39
case of the agricultural sector is clear-cut; it is primarily
rural and informal; there are of course urban market
Geographically, this intermediate category has a strong
remain marginal.
individuals concerned live in urban areas, where they
urban dimension since, on average, almost 50% of
gardeners and some formal farming concerns, but they
represent 68% of total employment. On the other hand,
around 50% of the working population in this category
Concerning modern (public and private) employment, this is
currently live in rural areas, where the sector is estimated at
also a priori fairly easy to define, given that this employment
representing around 28% of total employment.
sector i) is relatively limited in terms of numbers and of
proportion of total employment (estimated at around 10% in
Although covering a wide range of activities and in spite of
the recent period with overall variations of between 4 and
15%, depending in particular on the level of development in
its uncertain statistical contours, this non-agricultural
proportions over time (thus, the proportion of modern jobs
quantitative estimations are indeed imprecise, this category
informal sector is of particular interest in that, although the
the different countries) and ii) has only developed in modest in total employment has remained basically stable at
is undergoing considerable development as we can see
distribution of modern employment is focused on urban
agricultural employment mentioned above. Table 17
27% of total employment; 40% of modern employment is to
of the working population.
with the dynamics of modern employment and of
around 10% between 1990 and 2004). The geographic
proposes reasonable orders of magnitude in the evolution
areas (60% of modern employment is urban, representing
be found in rural areas where it only represents a tiny proportion [more or less 5%] of total employment).
According to these estimations, and partly using the result
With little or no increase in the proportion of modern
in many countries in the region, the evolution of the service
of the analysis of data from household surveys carried out sector identified above essentially reflects that of non-
employment, and only a small increase in numbers and a
agricultural informal employment. It is indeed estimated that
significant fall in the proportion of agricultural employment,
non-agricultural informal jobs increased from 23 to 83.6
the category named non-agricultural informal employment
million between 1985 and 2003. Over this period, the
generously takes in all those not belonging to the previous
number of jobs increased by 80 million (211.4-131.4) with
two categories.
This is necessarily a relatively indistinct category, due in
part to the reality of the economic activities concerned and also to the statistical evaluation of this category. A measure
39 In such a variety of situations where income is extremely low, it is not easy to define the “border” between employment and non-employment.
of this vagueness can be seen in the fairly imperfect
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 69
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
Table 17. Tentative estimation of the evolution of the working population in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1985-2003 Millions
Working population Agriculture
1985
131.4
Number
2003 Urban
211.4
61.2
150.2
13.1
8.7
41.8
41.8
94.9
106.0
Services
33.5
102.4
Informal
20.9
81.8
Modern
12.6
3.0
3.0
Informal
2.1
1.9
0.9
1.1
Modern
13.5
21.8
Industry
0.9
1.1
Services
Non-agricultural informal Services Industry
12.6
20.6
23.0
83.6
2.1
1.9
20.9
99.6
20.6
Industry Modern
6.4
Rural
81.8
Source: compiled by the authors using Table 16.
4.2.2 Measure and Evolution of Apparent Labor
11.1 million in agriculture, 7.3 million in modern
Productivity and its Consequences
employment and 60.6 million in non-agricultural informal
employment. The latter therefore accounted for 76% of new
We now have some idea of the evolution of the working
jobs over the period in the region as a whole.
population and its distribution during the 1985-2003 period
This is a very strong observation; it is also very reliable
information on the measurement of the value added of the
the proportion of non-agricultural informal employment in
individuals employed alongside the value added in the
and we are to pursue the macro perspective by mobilizing
since the imprecision of these figures no doubt means that
different economic sectors. Putting the number of
the increase in jobs could be somewhere between 70 and
different sectors enables an estimation of average apparent
A question arising from this observation is to determine if
2003 period, we can analyze the evolution of labor
80%, which does not modify the conclusion of the analysis.
labor productivity. As both data are available for the 1985-
this trend brings progress or difficulties. One way to
productivity in the different economic sectors in the different
proceed is to look into the issue of labor productivity in the
countries over that period. Table 18 indicates the results
relevant countries.
obtained.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 70
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
Table 18. Apparent labor productivity by sector of activity, 1985-2003 (regional average, US dollars of the year 2003) Apparent labor productivity Overall
Agriculture
1985
1990
806.1
299.8
Services
Non-agricultural informal Industry
1995
819.4
1 298.8 11 473
802.0
363.0
451.1
498.9
730.0
600.0
550.0
508.9
846.5
13 520
Source: compiled by the authors using Table 16.
2003
803.3
348.0
1 007.4
912.9
2000
770.5
728.1
13 290
For the countries in Table 18 taken as a whole, the average
15 662
685.7
15 503
It can be noted that this initial comparative observation of
value of apparent labor productivity would have remained
labor productivity in the agricultural sector and in the non-
very much unchanged between 1985 and 2003, at around
agricultural informal sector is coherent with the intersectoral
us now examine the relative situation of the agricultural sector
individuals employed in the non-agricultural informal
800 dollars, in constant monetary value (of the year 2003). Let
mobility observed and a high increase in the number of
and the service sector. In 1985, average productivity in the
sector.40
agricultural sector was particularly low (300 dollars of 2003),
while that of the service sector was considerably higher (1 300
Moving along now from 1985 towards the current period, the
(public and private) service sector where the pay level is much
agricultural informal sector differ within the overall informal
trends observed in the agricultural sector and the non-
dollars). But this is the aggregate component of i) the modern higher and ii) the informal (non-agricultural) sector for the area
sector. Data in Table 18 and Graph 26 provide a clear
the basis of the share of the modern sector and of its
more or less continuous improvement in labor productivity in
illustration in this respect. Since 1985, there has been i) a
of services where labor productivity is considerably lower. On
agriculture (whereas the number of individuals employed in
estimated average level of remuneration, we have estimated
this sector has hardly increased) and ii) a progressive fall in
the average apparent productivity in the informal service
sector at around 913 dollars (of the year 2003) for 1985. This
average apparent labor productivity in the non-agricultural
apparent labor productivity in agriculture.
has increased (sharply as we can see in Table 16).
informal sector, while the number of individuals it employs
is therefore considerably higher than the figure estimated for
Graph 26. Evolution in labor productivity by sector of activity, 1985-2003
1 400
(2003 S)
Labor productivity($2003)
1 200 1 000
Agriculture
800
Services
600
Non-agric. informal
400 200
0
1985
1990
Source: compiled by the authors using Table 18.
1995
Years
2000
2003
40 The modern sector is obviously very attractive due to higher income possibilities, but access
is regulated, whereas this is not the case in the informal sector.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 69
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
The upward trend of labor productivity in agriculture
possible to identify the professional activity and type of
agricultural informal sector leads to a convergent situation,
information on the individuals’ schooling history. The
combined with the fall in labor productivity in the non-
job filled, in addition to providing sufficiently precise
as represented in Graph 26. Data for the year 2003 shows
second perspective is more demanding in terms of
virtually equal apparent labor productivity in these two
statistical data insofar as it requires the availability of an
structure will slow down the very strong dynamics
two perspectives as far as possible.
sectors of activity. It remains to be seen to what extent this
estimation of monetary income. We have followed these
registered over the last twenty years, characterized by a
sharp increase in the number of those working in the non-
Measuring per level of wealth and living conditions
The current situation of a drop in average labor productivity
index is set by fixing the level of the factorial score at 100
questioning on the type of incentive structural actions and
of the heads of households working as farmers, breeders or
agricultural informal sector.
Table 19 gives the results obtained for the wealth index (the
in a sector in quantitative expansion naturally leads to
in each country for farmers who have not attended school)
skills training for this sector insofar as it can no longer (and
fishermen in the fourteen countries where this analysis was
this has probably been the case for many years) effectively
conducted; it can be noted that these are primarily French-
absorb individuals who are not and who will not become
speaking countries.
farmers and who will not be able to find employment in the modern sector of the African economies. 4.2.3 Economic
Returns
Investments in Rural Areas
on
In all countries, the wealth index significantly increases for
farmers along with the level of studies reached in their
Educational
youth, albeit to varying degrees from one country to
another. Out of the 14 countries analyzed, this index rises from the value of 100 set conventionally for those who have
We shall now shift the perspective to individual level. The
not attended school to 192 for those who have completed
question then is to determine to what extent individuals
primary education, 252 for those who have completed lower
school. The situation of the (heads of) households can be
completed upper secondary education.
identified by applying a factorial method on the basis of
On account of its construction, the index does not constitute
also be brought down to individual level by using a
differential calculations according to the level of education,
disregarding the non-monetary share that can be quite
indicator for each level (differential index) and, on the other
enjoy better living conditions when they have attended
secondary and 297 for the (very few) farmers who have
looked at through the measure of their “wealth” indicator
the household’s assets and living conditions. This can
a cardinal measure. By way of illustration, we have made
measure of monetary income (but that leads to
in order on the one hand to generate a specific intensity
substantial for some farmers). In terms of the availability
hand, to calculate a cost-effectiveness indicator by relating
countries where there is a household survey making it
costs of schooling.
of data, the first perspective can be followed in many
the wealth index differentials to an estimation of the direct
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 72
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
Table 19. Impact of the farmers’ level of education on the wealth index in 14 countries Country
Level of education Secondary 1
None
Primary
Benin
100
312
471
601
Burundi
100
139
166
188
Burkina Faso Cameroon Chad
Congo
Ghana
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau
Malawi
100 100 100 100 100 100
100
100
189 304
203
130
155
316
467
142
179
248
368
220 508 233 175 583 211
469
160
235
309
168
188
190
100
103
Rwanda
100
145
100
425
162
Mali
Mauritania
216
Secondary 2
76
161
40
165
Senegal
100
168
224
271
Overall
100
192
252
297
127.6
48.8
25.0
Differential index
Cost effectiveness index
92
60
Source: compiled by the authors using household surveys on the labor market (see Appendix 1).
On the basis of the wealth indicator, the differential index
45
lower intensity, which is confirmed when introducing the
between successive levels of education decreases as we
financial dimension.
and primary education, to 60 points between primary and
Measurement by the level of individual monetary
move up the levels, from 92 points between no schooling
lower secondary, and 45 points between lower and upper
income
specific impacts at each level of study are considered in the
This analysis was possible in nine countries.41 As for the
secondary. The decrease is even more significant when the
light of related production costs, with figures of 127.6 for
previous point, we examine the situation of farmers and
upper secondary. These figures should of course not be
Table 20 summarizes the results obtained.
individuals working in a non-agricultural informal activity.
primary education, 48.8 for lower secondary and 25 for
considered as orders of magnitude, particularly due to the
absence of a metric of the wealth indicator at the basis of the analysis.
However, the differences are such that it can be assumed probable a priori i) that education does have a substantial
impact on the standard of living for farmers and ii) that this impact is particularly high with primary education; the
These are Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Chad, Côte d’Ivoire, Madagascar, Mali, Mauritania, Sierra Leone and Uganda.
41
impact is again substantial with secondary education but of
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 73
337
286
Burkina Faso
Chad
411
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
74
286
341
Mali
411
55.9 %
24 .1 %
18.8 %
16.6 %
42.7 %
53.1 %
9.9 %
29.5 %
14.6 %
22.3 %
9.1 %
% non-agricultural rural informal jobs
60.0 %
62.6 %
69.8 %
32.1 %
32.4 %
71.2 %
58.4 %
74.7 %
82.9 %
% farmers in working rural population
-
32 126
88 611
21 645
6 426
76 721
17 464
19 361
12 315
24 116
-
48 321
79 817
24 814
14 864
156 057
29 629
21 250
13 430
32 873
-
46 546
24 180
16 867
16 941
128 791
10 863
15 471
7 733
5 691
Primary
-
76 674
75 386
32 134
12 753
222 221
40 250
29 164
20 212
61 368
-
125 320
25 917
27 986
36 526
207 546
13 365
27 707
9 203
6 419
Sec 1
-
144 505
70 970
42 557
7 471
255 595
49 438
42 267
33 022
122 043
-
248 292
28 024
41 884
82 656
349 834
16 957
52 928
11 499
7 448
Sec 2
Income (national currency / month) None Primary Sec 1 Sec 2
-
27 573
21 609
9 418
10 636
100 854
10 080
11 772
7 748
5 611
None
Income (national currency / month)
Source: compiled by the authors using household surveys on the labor market (see Appendix 1).
234
Average
Uganda
193
409
Sierra Leone
Mauritania
311
793
Madagascar
Côte d’Ivoire
793
Chad
Cameroon
337
Burkina Faso
Non-agricultural GDP/cap rural informal (USD 2003) Education (complete cycles)
234
Average
Uganda
193
409
341
311
793
793
Sierra Leone
Mauritania
Mali
Madagascar
Côte d’Ivoire
Cameroon
Education (complete cycles)
GDP/cap (USD 2003)
Agriculture
1.46
1.50
0.90
1.15
2.31
2.03
1.70
1.10
1.09
1.36
1.96
2.39
0.85
1.48
1.98
2.90
2.30
1.51
1.64
2.54
1.61
2.69
1.07
1.66
2.16
1.61
1.23
1.79
1.19
1.13
2.72
4.50
0.80
1.97
1.16
3.33
2.83
2.18
2.68
5.06
1.57
1.98
1.08
1.50
2.26
1.69
1.27
1.91
1.25
1.16
6.2%
6.3%
-1.6%
2.7%
15.4%
16.4%
8.4%
1.5%
1.2%
5.2%
5.2 %
9.8%
2.0%
13.2%
9.9%
5.5%
1.3%
5.2%
0.0%
0.2%
3.2%
5.3%
7.0%
16.0%
-1.7%
6.2%
-3.3%
7.7%
5.8%
7.5%
7.2%
17.3%
16.0 %
42.3%
1.8%
22.0%
28.9%
15.3%
5.8%
19.8%
4.8%
9.3%
21.8%
-1.5%
9.0%
-4.3%
3.1%
4.4%
12.1%
13.4%
25.5%
20.7 %
49.1%
2.7%
16.6%
42.1%
22.9%
9.0%
30.3%
8.3%
Rate of private value added of education Primary Sec 1 Sec 2
Ratio to previous cycle of education Rate of private value added of education Primary Sec 1 Sec 2 Primary Sec 1 Sec 2
1.32
1.69
1.12
1.79
1.59
1.28
1.08
1.31
1.00
1.01
Ratio to previous cycle of education Primary Sec 1 Sec 2
Table 20. Income and returns to education for farmers and for those in the working population employed in the non-agricultural informal sector in rural areas
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
Let us focus firstly on the income of individuals working in
The observation of this diversity from country to country in
making up the sample, the higher the level of education,
raise questions. Indeed, if the country figures are accepted
agriculture. It can be observed that, in all nine countries
the value added of studies in the agricultural sector does
42
the higher the farmers’ average income. Thus, as an
as realistic, it would be important to understand the reasons
average value for the nine countries, farmers who have
and the contextual or political factors liable to account for
completed primary education earn 32% more than farmers
these differences. We do not have the relevant information
lower secondary education earn 62% more on average
analysis. In this perspective, the hypothesis could be tested
who have not attended school; those who have completed
at our disposal in this study to satisfactorily conduct this
than those who ended their studies upon completion of
by which farmers’ education would above all be likely to
primary education; finally, those who continued their studies
have an impact when a country moves away from
through to the end of upper secondary education (they are
subsistence farming, small surface areas and the use of the
few in number) earn 57% more on average than those who
most traditional techniques.
stopped studying at the end of lower secondary education.
There is of course no direct indicator on this aspect.
However, it is important to go beyond the measure of
However, it can be supposed that countries with a greater
the measurement of the rates of private returns, bearing in
traditional agriculture. The transcription of the hypothesis
In average terms, private return on
expected to have little impact on productivity in countries
income and move on to that of returns. We have opted for
proportion of farmers in the working population will have
mind that these have been estimated using the said
“shortcut” method.
43
expressed above is that the education of farmers would be
primary education in agriculture is estimated at 5.2%, which
where there is a large proportion of farmers in the working
is a positive value but can be considered relatively low.
population, but that the education of farmers could
What is interesting is that private return on general studies
potentially play a more important role in countries where the
(with no explicit vocational training for agriculture) is higher
proportion of the population employed in agriculture is
average value (16%); in upper secondary, the rate is still
testing this relationship. The econometric estimation makes
for lower secondary education, reaching a quite substantial
lower. We are in possession of the data necessary for
higher (20.7%), but this figure should be regarded with
it possible to define the variability in the rate of return of
some care due to the small number of individuals
primary education in the agricultural sector. The equation
concerned in the sample; that said, this does in any case
obtained is as follows:
general is significant in the agricultural sector.
η private to primary in agriculture = 15.4 – 0.177%
mean that the value added of secondary education in
farmers in the working population (t=2.4)
These average indications are indeed very interesting. But
one essential observation to be taken into account is that
R²=0.44
there are extremely varied situations across the nine
countries studied. For example, concerning the value added
of primary schooling, the average figure of 5.2% for the rate
of private return on studies results from figures varying from
0% (Cameroon) to 13.2% (Mauritania). Even greater differences are sometimes registered in the returns on
secondary education. Over and above the overall variety, the
This is the estimated income for individuals who have completed full cycles of study (primary, lower and upper secondary).
42
structure of returns across the different levels of education
with higher figures in secondary than in primary education is
43 The rate of return connected to level i is calculated as the ratio of the difference in income between the levels of study i and (i-1) and of the individual’s income at level (i-1) multiplied by the number of years of study of the cycle (i-1).
clearly identified in all countries making up the sample.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 75
4. The Social and Economic Relevance of Education in Rural Areas
This analysis must of course be considered as tentative and
the non-agricultural working population not working in the
partial; the results show that the context has a major impact
modern sector in fact face unemployment. More
traditional contexts are not favorable to the development of
heterogeneity within the population working in the non-
on the returns on studies in the agricultural sector and that
generally, this observation reflects the pronounced
the impacts of education. In a way, this result is in line with
agricultural informal sector. Indeed, while it can be
shows that returns on education for farmers are high in
identified as “non-agricultural informal” is unemployed,
that of Rosenzweig
44
in his study on India in which he
estimated that around one person out of every three
States concerned by the “green revolution”, unlike States
we must also consider the wide variation in the economic
not concerned by it.45
situation of people actually employed in the non-
agricultural informal sector (measured by the low value of
Finally, let us examine the situation of individuals working
the Mincer equation R²), a sector which has extremely
in the non-agricultural informal sector in rural areas.
disparate income levels.
One initial observation is that the definition of this
population is substantially different from the one figuring
In this “game”, an individual’s education seems to play quite
here the population working in a well-identified economic
educated individuals have a higher income than those that
the non-agricultural working population living in rural
significant part of some farmers’ income is not monetary) is
in international labor classifications. Indeed, we examine
a significant role overall as, fairly systematically, more
activity that provides them with a regular income, and not
are less educated. In general, i) monetary income (but a
areas. On comparing the data based on the non-
higher for individuals working in non-agricultural informal
agricultural rural working population with that on the
activities than for those in farming, bearing in mind that ii)
geographic context, we estimate that around one third of
sector of the national economies.
population working in a well-identified activity in the same
the value added of education is also relatively high in this
44 Rosenzweig, M. “Why are there returns to Education?” American Economic Review, Papers
and proceedings Vol. 85, n°2, 1991.
This result can also be found in research by Gurgand, « Education et productivité agricole en Côte d’Ivoire », Revue d’économie du développement, n°4, 1993.
45
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 76
5.
Conclusion
In this study, we have examined diverse aspects of the
illiteracy (37% of rural dwellers in general, and only 25% of
situation of education in rural areas, in the largest possible
poor rurals complete a full cycle of primary education
number of low-income Sub-Saharan African countries. The
compared to 68% of urban dwellers and 80% of rich urban
main fields analyzed were i) rural schooling (what is the
dwellers).
extent of the lag compared to urban schooling, and what
process is behind this lag in the education system); ii) the
In order to reach the goal of universal primary completion,
particularly for lower secondary education; iii) the issue of
from that background who are not completing primary
These are indeed three clearly separate aspects that are
account in the different actions that will be implemented.
organization and cost of educational services in rural areas,
rural areas must be targeted, since it is primarily children
the value added of investments in education in rural areas.
education today. The analyses conducted in this study
strongly emphasize the need to take rural specificities into
worth examining individually; however, they have links
which give an understanding of how the situation in the rural
-
Let us rapidly go back to some of the salient results for each
taken into account: i) the importance of having a school
These specificities concern first of all the supply of
educational services, with two important dimensions to be
world relates to the educational sphere in African countries.
that is free, of good quality and close to populations
of these aspects.
(progress has clearly been made on this aspect in most
A) Rural children are significantly behind with
countries, but more still needs to be done in many countries
schooling, since education systems tend to develop from
and in certain areas in most of them). The school must of course have the right number of qualified teachers (existing
the easier to more difficult contexts (both in reference to service provision and to schooling demand). “Rich urban”
empirical studies show that the allocation of personnel is
Rural populations, and especially those living in poverty
to be improved – assignment criteria actually applied,
often insufficient in rural areas and that this situation needs
dwellers benefit first to the detriment of poor rural dwellers.
incentives for teachers to work in difficult areas, etc.) and
(more intensely so for girls in some countries), fall further
behind at higher levels of education, but the urgent
these teachers must be actually present to deliver the
dwellers include: i) those who have no access to school
must be flexible and adaptable locally (school times, school
priority for them is clearly primary education. Poor rural
required annual 900 hours of teaching; ii) school supply
year, teaching content to some extent) to satisfy the
(27% rural compared to 8% urban in general, with a
interests and constraints of the rural populations to be
proportion of over 35% of poor rural dwellers who have no
included in the school.
access to school); ii) those who cut short their primary
education before reaching the end of the cycle (for those
who have had access to school, 50% complete the cycle in
-
dwellers, under 40% of those who have started school
contribution to the family economy) and most traditional
The analyses show that these actions will most likely
not be enough for the poorest (children make a vital
rural areas compared to 74% in urban areas; for poor rural
(insufficient perception of benefits associated with “modern”
complete the cycle), thus contributing to maintaining
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 77
5. Conclusion
schooling) segments of the population. In these cases, the
It comes out of the analyses that the arrangements made
targeting of activities (generally new for education policy
for reducing the extra cost of small schools mainly concern
decision-makers) that directly concern the stimulation of
the utilization of personnel. Indeed, situations of high extra
demand should be envisaged.
costs occur when there is a high number of non-teaching
staff weighing on the fixed part of the cost function and
B) The second section of this study concerns the
when teachers are under-utilized in the course of normal
organization and cost of educational services in rural
school operation.
areas at lower secondary level. Improving schooling for rural children also involves providing them with the
-
today find it difficult to access secondary education upon
can nevertheless be highlighted: i) when a school has only
demonstrated that the perspective of secondary education
more than one person fulfilling this function, bearing in mind
As far as non-teaching staff are concerned, there is no
doubt that their functions are of importance, but two points
possibility of attending secondary education. Rural youth
120 or 150 students, there is certainly no need to have
completion of primary education, yet it has been
that ii) the functions of non-teaching personnel (contacts
increases the chances of primary survival. However, this is
with the administration, with parents, internal organization
above all important in the medium term insofar as it is clear
that progress in secondary enrollments will primarily
and teacher follow-up…) can also be distributed among
average in Sub-Saharan African countries, lower secondary
incomplete and who can in this way complete them and
those teachers whose service hours in the school are
concern the rural world. Indeed, it is calculated that, on
contribute to reducing the unit cost of services provided,
coverage is already relatively high in urban areas (66%),
with no negative impact on quality;
while it is relatively low in rural areas (22%); as rural areas
account for 70% on average of the lower secondary school-
-
age population, the conclusion is that as much as 85% of
As far as teachers are concerned, the reasons why
the improvement in lower secondary coverage, called for by
their hours of service are often lower than their theoretical
understand how important it is for countries to set up
them together. Five measures can be envisaged, either
hours relate to difficulties in organizing lessons and linking
all policy makers, will concern rural areas. One can then
separately or together, in order to remedy these
appropriate arrangements in order to ensure service quality
shortcomings:
and control the unit cost of these services.
The last point is indeed important, since in the current
i)
situation, ministries of education often experience
review the hours of teaching time to students and the
hours of teacher service (these vary considerably from
one country to another) in order to make adjustments
difficulties in organizing these services at an acceptable
easier;
cost. Analyzing the cost of services in 21 countries in the
region has thus shown that a 120-student lower secondary school (the typical size for a local rural school) costs around
ii)
70% more on average per student than a 500-student
authorize (and pay appropriately) additional hours in order to reduce the use of teachers with only partial service;
school (a typical urban lower secondary school). This “extra
cost” of small schools obviously makes it difficult (costly) to scale up coverage for this level of education. The study
iii) introduce the rule whereby teachers not able to fulfill
immensely from one country to another, ranging from 10 to
administrative activities in order to make up their hours;
their complete service hours would have to carry out
shows that the “extra cost” of these small schools varies
160% within the sample of the 21 countries studied; some
iv) reorganize teaching programs in order to reduce the
countries therefore appear to more effectively contain the
number of subjects by grouping some subjects
cost of small schools than others, and can envisage scaling
together;
up enrollments with fewer constraints.
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 78
5. Conclusion
v)
organize teacher training to avoid disciplinary areas
education system that exercises a strong influence on
cover a larger field.
Zimbabwe, the education system has less influence on this
being concentrated on one specific subject but rather to
social behavior, while in other countries, like Senegal or behavior. Three overall results stand out very sharply:
An analysis must be conducted for each country to identify
the
i) the feasibility of each of these options and ii) the manner
social impacts of education (for girls when they are
young then for women in adult life) are very substantial
to effectively implement them in each national context.
in rural areas where they are of greater intensity overall
C) Finally, the third section of this study concerns
than in urban areas. This result is partly connected to the
the social and economic impacts of education in rural
fact that the social behavior of illiterate women is
areas. The interest in addressing this aspect is two-fold: on
significantly more traditional in rural areas than in urban
Education is considered as being solely a right or else a
encourages women who have not attended school to
the one hand, it is generally not well documented.
areas, as if in towns, a sort of ambient modernity
public good, the value of which is so obvious that there is
adopt behavior that they would not have adopted in rural
no need for an empirical verification of its economic and
areas. However, the results obtained show that on
social impacts. However, it is necessary to make this
average, in rural areas, women’s education is an effective
verification in rural areas since, given their attachment to
vector of modern behavior and for improving social
traditions, it is important to know to what extent education
indicators.
can contribute to changing behavior and to adopting more
In
“modern” practices in the different social dimensions
spite of the strong impact of women’s education in rural
areas, this sometimes comes up against poorer
considered as important. On the other hand, measuring these impacts is also important for defining educational
availability of population and health services than in
differ from primary education to secondary education.
skilled attendance at childbirth, she has to seek out the
urban areas. For example, for a woman to benefit from
policy choices and priorities. The effects of education can
service (and tends to do so more if she is more
The study examines, in a separate and complementary
educated), but the service also has to be available within
(reduction of the risk of poverty, sustainable literacy in
the case in urban areas than in rural areas).
reasonable distance (and this is on average more often
manner, both the social impacts of educational investments adulthood, intergenerational effects on children’s schooling,
Primary
population variables, maternal health, child health including
the total social impacts of education. If we look at the
immunization and risk of infant mortality) and the economic
total impact obtained for people who have never attended
impacts in terms of employment and income.
-
education generates the highest proportion of
school and those who have benefited from tertiary
On the level of social impacts, there are marked
education, it can be determined as a whole for the different
differences are primarily to do with two general factors: i)
with a full course of primary education, while the additional
social dimensions taken into account that 52% is obtained
differences between the 21 countries analyzed; these
impact of lower secondary education is 24%, that of upper
the impact of education increases the capacity of educated
secondary is only 14% and that of tertiary education is
women to make better use of existing services. However,
limited to 9%. This result therefore highlights the essential
the effectiveness of health and population policies is far
need of ensuring that rural children can benefit from
from equal from one country to another. For example,
universal primary completion. It also highlights that it is
vaccination coverage exceeded 50% at the time of the surveys in Côte d’Ivoire, Rwanda and Zimbabwe, while it
useful to continue schooling through to lower secondary
countries, like Benin, Kenya and Mozambique, have an
benefits registered with primary education.
education insofar as this significantly reinforces the social
was only 20% in Mali, Uganda and Zambia; ii) some
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 79
5. Conclusion
-
On the economic level, that of employment and the
education, namely the measure of the standard of living
value added of education in productive sectors, the
or of wealth established on the basis of assets and living
analyses carried out show first of all the important
conditions on the one hand, and the monetary income of
contextual change affecting the structure of the working
farmers on the other. The first perspective indicates a
very different situations from country to country). During the
education. The second perspective indicates slightly
population in Sub-Saharan African countries (again with
substantial impact of education and particularly primary
last 20 years, the working population has increased
different results bearing in mind that this only takes into
evolution, but the structure has changed a lot at the same
production consumption, so important in traditional
considerably as a result of the earlier demographic
account the monetary aspect of farming income (own-
time. While the share of the working population employed in
contexts, is not taken into account). According to the
agriculture was estimated at 72% in 1985, it registered at
second perspective, it appears that primary education
just over 50% in 2003. At the same time, the share of
has virtually no impact on farming income in contexts
modern employment remained stable, at around 10% on
where agricultural employment represents a very large
is estimated to have risen from 23% to 42%. This evolution
and subsistence farming. On the other hand, in contexts
average, while that of non-agricultural informal employment
proportion of the working population, i.e. for traditional
therefore shows a pronounced trend in the reduction of the
where the proportion of agricultural employment is lower,
share of agricultural employment over time (although the
and where farming techniques are more diversified, then
total number of farmers in the region is still slightly on the
primary education makes a positive difference. This result
rise) and also a constrained trend in the development of
can be interpreted by saying that farmers who have
modern employment, the proportion of which has remained
completed primary education are undoubtedly more apt
basically stable on average over the last 20 years. In
to benefit from the possibilities provided by more modern
between these two “major” trends, non-agricultural informal
farming (when the country moves on from subsistence
employment, on a high quantitative increase, acts as an
farming, small surface areas and the use of the most
overall adjustment variable on the labor market. One of the
traditional techniques) than their illiterate counterparts.
consequences is that it is as if the informal sector included
on the one hand jobs producing “well-identified” goods and
This result suggests a structure of complementarity
services providing the jobholder with reasonable living
between the farmers’ education and the measures taken
intermittent and poorly-paid situations sometimes bordering
perceived as more conducive to the expression of the
If we now examine the value added of education in the rural
making more effective the activities which support the
whether we are talking about an agricultural job or non-
with the results obtained by Rosenzweig in his study on
conditions, and on the other hand jobs that are more or less
to promote rural development; thus, the context is
on unemployment.
impacts of education, bearing in mind that at the same
time the farmers’ education can also be perceived as
world, results are seen to differ somewhat depending on
modernization of agriculture. This type of result is in line India, who found high returns on education for farmers in
agricultural informal jobs (limited to those that offer a
States that had been concerned by the “green revolution”,
regular monetary income). Let us in any case highlight that education is not envisaged as a productive factor in itself,
while they were low in States that were not concerned.
productive in their work, and more specifically to help them
All of this is valid for primary education. For secondary
them to do their work more effectively.
significantly higher profitability of education for farmers
but as a factor liable to lead individuals to be more
education,
make better strategic and technological choices or enable For
the
analyses
carried
out
report
a
than with primary education, and this appears to be
agricultural jobs, two perspectives were adopted for
fairly reliable since it is clearly identified in all the
the reference variable in order to evaluate the impacts of
countries in the sample. Looking at this result
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 80
5. Conclusion
alongside that observed for primary education also
In all, and in order to offer a very synthetic summary of the
secondary school, farmers are capable of introducing
rural schooling is very real and must be filled at primary
suggests that, thanks to the knowledge they gain at
results of this study, it can be highlighted that i) the gap in
some elements of modernity to enable them to draw a
level first of all, and that this will no doubt require special
higher income whatever the circumstances (even if
measures, the usual ones having proven to be insufficient;
course possible).
even to pursue this effort at lower secondary level; iii) the
complementarity with rural development actions is of For
ii) there are economic and social reasons to do so, and
development of lower secondary education in rural areas
non-agricultural informal jobs in rural areas
will require a significant review of the ways of organizing
demonstrate that education is very profitable, again
(rural) schools. The analyses conducted show that this is
for primary.
the move towards greatly increased coverage of lower
(for those who have a regular income), results
educational services so as to contain unit costs in small
with higher value added for secondary education than
possible; that said, the issue of the overall sustainability of
secondary schooling should not be underestimated.
Š AFD Working Paper No. 94 â&#x20AC;˘ Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 81
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Appendix 1.
A) Enrollments and social effects
List of Household Surveys Used in the Study
Country
Survey
Burkina Faso
Demographic and Health Survey
Cameroon
Demographic and Health Survey
Benin
Burundi
Central African Rep. Chad
Congo
Standardized Core Welfare Indicators Questionnaire
2003
Standardized Core Welfare Indicators Questionnaire
2002
General Census of Population and Housing Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey
2003 2004
2003
2003
Standardized Core Welfare Indicators Questionnaire
2005
Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey
2001
Côte d’Ivoire
Demographic and Health Survey
Ethiopia
Demographic and Health Survey
DRC
Year
2005
2005
Gambia
Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey
2000
Guinea
Demographic and Health Survey
2005
Kenya
Demographic and Health Survey
2003
Ghana
Guinea-Bissau Lesotho Malawi Mali
Mauritania
Mozambique Niger
Nigeria
Rwanda
Senegal
Sierra Leone Togo
Demographic and Health Survey
Standardized Core Welfare Indicators Questionnaire Demographic and Health Survey Demographic and Health Survey
Standardized Core Welfare Indicators Questionnaire Standardized Core Welfare Indicators Questionnaire Demographic and Health Survey Demographic and Health Survey Demographic and Health Survey Demographic and Health Survey Demographic and Health Survey Other Household Survey
Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey
2003
2002 2004 2004 2003 2005 2003 2006 2006 2005 2005
2003
2005
Uganda
Demographic and Health Survey
2006
Zimbabwe
Demographic and Health Survey
2006
Zambia
Demographic and Health Survey
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 85
2002
Appendix 1. List of Household Surveys Used in the Study
Labor market Country
Survey
Year
Benin
Core Welfare Indicators Questionnaire
2003
Burundi
Standardized Questionnaire on Development Indicators
2002
Burkina Faso
Core Welfare Indicators Questionnaire
Cameroon
Cameroon Household Survey
Chad
Chad Household and Informal Sector Survey
CAR
Congo
General Population and Housing Census
Standardized Questionnaire on Development Indicators
2002
2001
2003
2002 2005
Côte d’Ivoire
Household Standard of Living Survey
2002
Ghana
Core Welfare Indicators Questionnaire
2003
Guinea-Bissau
Core Welfare Indicators Questionnaire
2002
Madagascar
Household Survey
2001
Permanent Household Employment Survey
2004
Core Welfare Indicators Questionnaire
2002
Ethiopia Guinea
Lesotho
Malawi Mali
Mauritania
Mozambique Nigeria
Rwanda
Senegal
Sierra Leone Uganda
Zambia
Welfare Monitoring Survey Questionnaire Standardized Questionnaire on Core Welfare Indicators Core Welfare Indicators Questionnaire
Core Welfare Indicators Questionnaire
Standardized Questionnaire on Core Welfare Indicators Demographic and Health Survey
Standardized Questionnaire on Development Indicators Standardized Questionnaire on Development Indicators Integrated Household Survey
Socio-Economic Survey Questionnaire
Living Conditions Monitoring Survey III
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 86
2004
2002
2002
2002
2005
2006
2001 2001
2003
2002
2002
92.4
46.3
75
46
73.7
55.9
94.6
70
85
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
87
43.8
83
66
68.2
87.7
89.6
69
63
68.2
Zimbabwe
75.5
97.8
98.1
80.7
81.1
96.9
89.6
98.3
95.8
85.4
65.8
93.1
97.6
88.9
67.2
87.6
79.8
57.8
95.7
95.8
94.0
69.1
66.1
89.2
80.7
73.9
94.4
72.4
57.1
68.2
94.8
73.0
44.3
79.2
72.9
97.4
85.3
97.9
88.3
76.8
55.3
93.4
95.5
79.1
47.6
81.1
69.6
42.6
94.9
97.9
93.8
41.4
49.7
82.5
73.4
67.1
93.0
67.1
45.9
46.3
88.0
65.1
31.6
67.9
91.6
97.4
97.6
100.0
100.0
92.1
83.3
93.8
98.7
95.3
90.3
93.7
92.9
81.7
100.0
100.0
96.9
91.6
86.7
94.8
83.9
95.4
99.3
74.5
77.4
83.4
100.0
92.0
83.8
80.1
68.6
94.9
79.8
93.2
84.9
74.5
54.5
94.2
94.5
68.3
43.4
75.2
67.9
43.1
92.8
94.1
88.9
40.4
42.8
78.3
71.1
52.9
92.5
62.4
31.2
38.5
84.9
55.1
30.9
64.9
84.3
98.1
94.2
99.7
98.1
86.5
77.2
93.0
99.2
93.8
60.8
89.8
85.4
68.3
97.5
100.0
99.6
73.8
72.3
95.8
84.0
81.0
96.1
75.3
63.6
67.3
99.6
73.0
42.9
80.1
Primary access Context Wealth R U Q12 Q345
45.5
88.0
58.3
55.5
61.3
61.1
28.2
25.5
82.6
75.9
9.1
14.1
36.3
32.7
38.2
77.1
67.5
22.9
33.9
76.9
51.3
21.4
57.4
38.7
16.8
32.0
73.8
18.0
22.7
41.1 25.6
50.4
85.9
67.2
62.3
75.8
59.0
36.4
23.9
83.0
82.2
15.0
22.5
42.4
45.2
49.5
48.6
69.5
27.2
45.7
76.2
57.6
23.4
68.0
48.5
27.2
45.8
71.1
21.0
36.9
83.8
45.1
54.3
59.8
40.9
18.6
20.1
62.7
72.9
4.2
8.1
23.1
24.8
36.3
58.4
61.3
5.8
24.5
69.4
35.2
11.5
51.9
40.8
12.1
19.4
54.4
17.2
14.8
38.7
68.2
91.8
89.8
74.5
84.0
77.0
45.6
43.2
93.3
90.6
36.1
28.8
60.4
66.1
66.8
87.3
87.3
46.9
67.4
85.9
73.5
58.2
82.4
47.9
52.8
65.1
86.7
60.8
64.1
62.6
29.9
79.2
29.0
29.8
52.5
33.4
15.3
14.7
59.1
59.7
4.6
5.0
18.3
23.5
24.7
41.7
49.6
4.3
15.1
61.3
36.3
6.4
46.8
32.4
4.6
14.7
42.7
8.8
12.8
39.7
55.3
90.2
74.2
64.6
80.3
63.7
40.6
28.3
92.5
89.4
10.9
17.1
49.3
55.4
51.4
75.1
79.9
32.3
50.3
88.0
68.1
22.8
67.4
47.9
26.3
42.0
86.4
24.5
26.7
58.7
Primary completion Context Wealth R U Q12 Q345
55.2
Gender G B
Source: compiled by the authors based on household surveys listed in Appendix 1.
Average 29 countries
Zambia
70
89
Uganda
Togo
70
Sierra Leone
97.0
93.8
59
84
Senegal
Rwanda
40
80.7
Republic Congo
Niger
Nigeria
77.5
83.0
48.7
55
66
Mozambique
Mauritania
Malawi
95.7
72
Mali
100.0
57.5
85.5
85
80
Lesotho
Kenya
59
Guinea
Guinea Bissau
95.9
67.6
62
57
85
Gambia
Ghana
Ethiopia
69
67.4
Democratic Congo
Chad
Côte d’Ivoire
53.6
59.9
65
60
92
34.6
62.7
Gender G B
85
63
% Rural
Central African Rep
Cameroon
Burundi
Burkina Faso
Benin
Point in the system Group of population
35.4
74.2
36.2
35.4
50.2
53.7
23.6
11.3
74.9
58.9
7.5
10.2
29.9
27.0
29.2
51.8
34.4
14.5
29.2
69.5
46.7
16.9
49.2
36.1
11.5
23.1
61.1
12.6
17.6
31.5 20.0
41.5
74.2
45.6
47.7
66.3
50.7
31.0
10.8
74.7
67.2
12.3
17.9
35.5
40.7
36.3
34.3
46.4
20.3
40.9
70.5
50.8
17.8
60.1
46.1
22.2
34.0
62.5
13.2
27.2
70.5
25.2
35.0
48.7
31.5
13.9
6.8
52.0
54.2
2.9
4.9
17.2
20.4
24.9
37.7
32.4
3.7
20.0
60.6
27.7
7.0
41.9
37.9
8.6
10.4
42.2
10.9
10.8
30.5
58.7
80.2
64.8
74.5
74.4
69.4
39.6
27.6
86.8
79.9
32.0
23.4
52.6
58.8
56.4
70.3
59.2
33.4
61.4
81.2
68.9
49.5
76.9
45.8
43.1
52.2
76.8
49.1
51.9
62.6
20.2
56.0
13.8
15.6
41.6
24.5
11.7
4.5
45.6
38.6
2.2
1.9
12.0
19.6
14.6
20.4
24.2
2.8
11.5
51.6
27.3
3.2
37.3
25.6
3.4
7.8
29.9
5.0
7.8
27.0
54.5
45.2
80.3
48.1
46.8
70.1
54.3
34.4
11.1
87.0
76.0
9.0
12.8
41.2
48.9
37.9
55.8
47.9
21.9
44.5
82.9
64.7
14.1
59.0
46.2
19.7
28.7
76.1
15.4
20.9
Secondary 1 access Context Wealth R U Q12 Q345
52.4
Gender G B
Table A1. Education profile per country for primary and lower secondary education according to gender, geographical context and level of family wealth
24.7
56.8
32.1
17.5
29.6
41.5
13.7
8.7
43.0
53.8
4.2
23.2
16.0
26.0
29.8
31.2
6.3
24.6
60.9
39.9
15.8
40.0
23.3
5.8
11.0
30.5
8.0
8.5
16.0
29.8
61.2
40.0
28.7
41.4
40.9
18.1
8.8
47.1
59.8
7.7
25.8
28.6
33.4
24.2
44.9
10.4
33.2
61.5
43.6
15.0
51.3
28.8
12.6
18.8
28.3
8.0
11.7
30.2
16.7
53.7
20.4
17.3
19.0
19.2
5.0
4.8
19.7
47.4
1.2
11.9
10.1
21.3
21.8
30.1
0.9
14.5
48.6
21.7
5.2
31.5
18.9
3.5
3.2
10.3
5.9
4.3
13.5
58.2
44.2
65.4
59.5
50.1
52.6
57.6
24.5
23.9
74.3
10.1
40.4
41.4
54.9
53.1
56.0
16.8
51.6
74.9
61.4
46.4
70.2
32.1
29.1
31.0
40.6
39.8
29.6
36.3
11.0
30.4
9.9
4.7
14.1
17.3
3.6
2.7
16.8
30.2
0.3
7.3
9.9
11.1
9.3
20.8
0.3
6.1
36.8
20.7
0.9
26.8
10.3
2.3
2.1
5.4
1.4
2.5
15.7
32.2
65.1
41.8
25.9
43.5
39.3
21.2
6.9
56.5
70.5
4.7
30.9
34.4
34.5
36.3
45.8
10.3
36.1
75.9
56.9
10.8
49.9
28.8
8.7
13.6
37.0
10.0
11.4
28.2
Secondary 1 completion Gender Context Wealth G B R U Q12 Q345
Appendix 2. Related Tables
28 32
38
Students
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
88 2
38
Students
4
28 38
Total
Students
Pedagogical groups
PE
1
3
4
History-Geography
Language 1
11
6
1
32
28
3
4
4
11
6
1
32
28
3
2
2
4
2
3
6
6
1
26
28
3
4
4
11
6
1
26
28
3
2
2
4
2
3
6
6
1
26
1
24
28
3
4
4
11
6
1
24
28
3
2
2
4
2
3
6
6
1
24
28
3
2
2
4
2
3
6
6
24
4
120
112
12
16
16
44
24
4
120
112
12
8
8
16
8
12
24
24
4
120
112
12
8
8
16
8
12
24
Number of teaching hours needed / week 1 2 3 4 Total
1
Maths-Physics-Chemistry
Language 0
3 - Subject regrouping – 120-student school Years
Pedagogical groups
3
28
Total
PE
2
Geography
4
History
Language 1
2
3
6
6
1
28
3
2
2
4
2
3
6
6
Number of teaching hours needed / week 1 2 3 4 Total
1
Chemistry-Biology
Physics
Maths
Language 0
2 - Overtime – 120-student school Years
Pedagogical groups
3
2
28
3
Total
PE
2
2
4
2
3
6
6
Geography
4
2
History
Language 1
2
3
6
6
Number of teaching hours needed / week 1 2 3 4 Total
Chemistry-Biology
Physics
Maths
Language 0
1 – Gross – 120-student school Years
Table A2: Unit cost in a 120-student lower secondary school with a variety of organization modes
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
Service
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
Service
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
Service
1.0
STR
8
1
1
1
3
2
Teachers Number
STR
8.00
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
Teachers Number
STR
10
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
Teachers Number
1.33
15.0
0.78
0.67
0.89
0.89
0.81
0.67
% utilization
15.0
0.78
0.67
0.44
0.44
0.89
0.44
0.67
1.33
% utilization
12.0
0.62
0.67
0.44
0.44
0.89
0.44
0.67
0.67
0.67
% utilization
32
6
2
2
10
12
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
Teacher hours Available overtime
44
6
10
10
2
10
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Teacher hours Available overtime
68
6
10
10
2
10
6
12
12
Teacher hours Available overtime
12 000
9 833
1
9 000
Non Salary Teacher expend.
1
Non Salary Teacher expend.
2
Non Salary Teacher expend.
75.0
Unit Cost
81.9
Unit Cost
100.0
Unit Cost
Appendix 2. Related Tables
4
28 38
Total
Students
2
© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010
89 28 150
Students
Source: compiled by the authors.
Pedagogical groups
3
3
Total
PE
2
Geography
4
History
Language 1
2
3
6
6
3
140
28
3
2
2
4
2
3
6
6
1
32
28
3
4
4
11
6
2
110
28
3
2
2
4
2
3
6
6
1
26
28
3
4
4
11
6
2
100
28
3
2
2
4
2
3
6
6
1
24
28
3
4
4
11
6
10
500
280
30
20
20
40
20
30
60
60
4
120
112
12
16
16
44
24
Number of teaching hours needed / week 1 2 3 4 Total
1
3
Chemistry-Biology
Physics
Maths
Language 0
1 – Standard – 500-student school Years
Pedagogical groups
PE
4
History-Geography
Language 1
11
6
Number of teaching hours needed / week 1 2 3 4 Total
Maths-Physics-Chemistry
Language 0
4 – Subject regrouping + overtime – 120-student school Years
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
Service
18
18
18
18
18
18
Service
STR
21
2
2
2
3
2
2
4
4
Teachers Number
STR
6
1
1
1
2
1
Teachers Number
23,8
0.74
0.83
0.56
0.56
0.74
0.56
0.83
0.83
0.83
% utilization
20.0
1.04
0.67
0.89
0.89
1.22
1.33
% utilization
98
6
16
16
14
16
6
12
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
14
0
0
0
8
6
Teacher hours Available overtime
10
6
2
2
0
0
Teacher hours Available overtime
7 972
3
24 000
Non Salary Teacher expend.
1
Non Salary Teacher expend.
48.0
Unit Cost
66.4
Unit Cost
Appendix 2. Related Tables
Série Documents de travail / Working Papers Series Publiés depuis janvier 2009 / Published since January 2009 Les numéros antérieurs sont consultables sur le site : http://recherche.afd.fr Previous publications can be consulted online at: http://recherche.afd.fr
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Série Documents de travail / Working Papers Series
N° 89
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© AFD Working Paper No. 94 • Developing Lower Secondary Education - September 2010 91